subsidies and biofuels in the united states presenter: john drexhage, director, climate change and...
TRANSCRIPT
Subsidies and Biofuels in the United States
Presenter: John Drexhage, Director, Climate Change and Energy Program, IISD
With the assistance of Ronald Steenblik, Director of Research, GSI
Growth has been phenomenal
U.S. ethanol production(millions of gallons)
Source: Iowa Corn Promotion Board <www.iowacorn.org/ethanol/ethanol_6.html#2>
Growth in U.S. biodiesel production
0
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400
500
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700
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006e
Mil
lio
n g
all
on
s p
er
ye
ar
U.S. corn used for ethanol(millions of bushels)
Source: Iowa Corn Promotion Board <www.iowacorn.org/ethanol/ethanol_6.html#4>
What role played by subsidies?
Feedstock crop
Energy
Labor
Capital
Water
Intermediate inputs
Land
Subsidies to value-adding factors
Subsidies to the supply of intermediate inputs
Crop & irrigation subsidies
Energy subsidies
Subsidies to production of biofuels• Production-linked payments and tax credits;•Tax exemptions;•Market price support ( e.g. import tariffs)Value-adding factors
Biofuel
By-products
Subsidies to storage and distribution infrastructure
Vehicles (car, bus,
truck)
Subsidies for purchase of biofuel
Subsidies for purchase of or operation of vehicle
Consumers of by-
products (e.g.,
livestock producers
)
Subsidies to by-product consuming industry
Subsidies to intermediate inputs
Production Consumption
Biofuel Manufacturing
Plant
Biofuel Manufacturing
Plant
International comparison of ethanol incentives (US cents/litre)
Country Production incentive
Reduced excise tax
Import tariff
(MFN)1
Exceptions from tariff
Australia — 28.9¢
Value of rebate on excise tax
28.9¢
Effective rate because excise tax not rebated
None
Brazil — 30¢ (Sao Paulo) — Mercosur
Canada up to 16.4¢ (variable rate, QB)
up to 15.1¢ (BC) 4.3¢ NAFTA, CAFTA, Chile
EU — up to 70.9¢ (Ger)
24.1¢ EFTA, GSP (not incl. Brazil)
Switzerland — 57.8¢ 27.7¢ EU, GSP (incl. Brazil)
USA 13.5¢ + state up to 8.4¢ (MO) 2.2% + 14.3¢ NAFTA, CBI
1. Undenatured ethyl alcohol for use as a fuel.
USA: aggregate support and subsidy intensity
Subsidies to ethanol and biodiesel: total and per gasoline or diesel gallon equivalent Ethanol Biodiesel Units Low High Low High Total support
Estimate for 2006 $ billions 5.1 6.8 0.4 0.5 Annualized estimate, 2006-2012 $ billions 6.3 8.7 1.7 2.3
Subsidy per gallon gasoline (gge) or diesel (gde) equivalent
Estimate for 2006 $/gge or $/gde 1.42 1.87 1.69 2.15 Annualized estimate, 2006-2012 $/gge or $/gde 1.44 1.96 1.24 1.70
Source: Doug Koplow, Biofuels—At What Cost?: Government Support for Ethanol and Biodiesel in the United States, Global Subsidies Initiative of the International Institute for Sustainable Development, Geneva.
Cost to displace GHG emissions, using biofuels subsidies
Ethanol Biodiesel Cellulosic
ethanol (hypothetical
case)1 Units Low High Low High Low High Subsidy per metric ton of CO2-equivalent emission reduced
Displacement ratio -21% 32% NQ NQ 88% 88% Estimate for 2006 $/tonne NA 520 NQ NQ 118 147 Annualized estimate, 2006-2012 $/tonne NA 545 NQ NQ 124 164
mt CO2e on market for same cost NA 33-142 NQ NQ 8-32 9-43 NA = not applicable. NQ = not quantified. Displacement ratios from Farrell et al. (2006b).
Source: Doug Koplow, Biofuels—At What Cost?: Government Support for Ethanol and Biodiesel in the United States, Global Subsidies Initiative of the International Institute for Sustainable Development, Geneva.
E85-capable AFVs made available in 2005, by vehicle type
Light trucks and SUVs, 556,078
Medium-duty vehicles, 8,255
Automobiles and Minivans,
179,615
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/alternate/page/datatables/atf14-20_05.html
100th meridian
Existingbiorefinery
10 existingbiorefineries
Biorefineries underconstruction, Oct 06
Top tier of counties,nitrate runoff
Top two tiers of counties, nitrate runoff
Location of biorefinery plants in relation to the Mississippi River Basin
Legend
Sources: Map from Environmental Working Group (www.ewg.org/reports/deadzone/top10.php), used with permission;plant locations from Renewable Fuels Association (www.ethanolrfa.org/objects/documents/834/plantmap_100506.pdf); plant locations are approximate. Ogallala formation location fromhttp://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/f/f7/Ogallala_changes_in_feet_1980-1995_USGS.gif
Top three tiers of counties, nitrate runoff
Ogallala Aquifer
Opportunity cost
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0 100 200 300 400 500 600International price of sugar in $ per ton
Inte
rnat
ion
al p
rice
of
gas
olin
e
in $
per
lite
r
Breakeven lines for ethanol from highly efficient producers in landlocked and non-landlocked areas
non-landlocked areas
landlocked areas
Note: Prices are from January 1990 through August 2006 and are normalized to their 2006 value.
Sources: Based on Figures 1.2 and 1.3 in the forthcoming World Bank report (used with permission), “Considering Biofuel Trade Policies”. Premium unleaded gasoline in Northwest Europe from Energy Intelligence 2006; raw sugar cane prices from the International Sugar Agreement.
Thank you!
For more information, the report Biofuels: At What Cost? — Government Support for Ethanol and Biodiesel in the United States” is available at:
http://www.globalsubsidies.org/