studying judgments and decisions made on the web gary mcclelland & barbara fasolo university of...

31
Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 1 Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making New Orleans, November 2000

Upload: tieve

Post on 25-Feb-2016

28 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

DESCRIPTION

Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making New Orleans, November 2000. MouseLab IDB (ca. 1990). IDB—Options x Attributes. IDB—Attributes x Options. IDB—46 x 5. IDB—Continued. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 1

Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the WebGary McClelland & Barbara FasoloUniversity of Colorado @ Boulder

Society for Judgment and Decision MakingNew Orleans, November 2000

Page 2: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 2

MouseLab IDB (ca. 1990)

Page 3: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 3

IDB—Options x Attributes

Page 4: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 4

IDB—Attributes x Options

Page 5: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 5

IDB—46 x 5

Page 6: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 6

IDB—Continued

Page 7: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 7

IDB—Still More

Page 8: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 8

IDB—More Yet!

Page 9: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 9

IDB—The End

Page 10: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 10

Winnowing Options• Specifying Attribute Cutoffs (EBA)• Sorting along Attributes (LEX)• Weighting Attributes (WADD)• Measuring Tradeoffs (MAUT)• Computing Option Score

Page 11: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 11

Elimination-by-Aspects

Page 12: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 12

Elimination-by-Aspects

Page 13: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 13

EBA—Are You Sure?

Page 14: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 14

EBA & LEX

Page 15: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 15

WADD—Getting the Wts

Page 16: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 16

WADD—Weights & Values

Page 17: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 17

Weight Profiles

Page 18: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 18

WADD—Option Score

Page 19: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 19

MAUT—Tradeoffs

www.activebuyersguide.com

Page 20: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 20

MAUT—Global

Page 21: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 21

Collaborative Filtering• www.amazon.com

• movielens.umn.edu

• www.imdb.com

Page 22: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 22

Data Collection• Server Log Files

• Messages Sent to Server by– HTML Forms– Javascript– Java

Page 23: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 23

Page 24: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 24

219.den1.phoenixdsl.net - - [03/Oct/2000:23:22:27 -0600] "GET

/~mcclella/timer.html HTTP/1.1" 200 1358219.den1.phoenixdsl.net –

[03/Oct/2000:23:22:41 -0600] "GET/~mcclella/start.html HTTP/1.1" 200 975

219.den1.phoenixdsl.net - -[03/Oct/2000:23:22:59 -0600] "GET/~mcclella/another.html HTTP/1.1" 200 771

219.den1.phoenixdsl.net - -[03/Oct/2000:23:23:05 -0600] "GET/~mcclella/start.html HTTP/1.1" 200 975

219.den1.phoenixdsl.net - -[03/Oct/2000:23:23:13 -0600] "GET/~mcclella/end.html HTTP/1.1" 200 484

Page 25: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 25

Online Auctions

Page 26: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 26

Bidding Logs

Page 27: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 27

Bid Bursts on eBay

Page 28: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 28

Friendly and Unfriendly

r=.5 r=-.3

Page 29: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 29

Link to Experiment

Page 30: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 30

PI and Attribute Correlation

Page 31: Studying Judgments and Decisions Made on the Web Gary McClelland & Barbara Fasolo University of Colorado @ Boulder Society for Judgment and Decision Making

Nov 2000 JDM, New Orleans 31

Conclusions• Important and real JDM being done

on the Web• JDM on the Web leaves lots of

traces• JDM Researchers ought to be

studying JDM on the Web