study of the u.s. market for windows, doors and skylights · study of the u.s. market . for...
TRANSCRIPT
Executive Report
Study of the U.S. Market For Windows, Doors and Skylights
Copyright © 2016 - Published May 2016 by:
Researched by: Ducker Research Company, Inc. 1250 Maplelawn Drive Troy, MI 48084 (248) 644-0086 www.ducker.com
American Architectural Manufacturers Association (AAMA) 1827 Walden Office Square, Suite 550 Schaumburg, Illinois 60173 Tel: (847) 303-5664 www.aamanet.org
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Section Description Page A. INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY 1
1. Methodology 2. Purpose 3. Methodology and Time Line 4. Terminology
B. U.S. CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY 6
1. U.S. Summary 2. U.S. Residential Starts 3. Non-residential Floor Area
C. DOOR MARKET 19
1. Summary 2. Market Size by Application 3. Segmentation by Material 4. Wood Doors by Application 5. Historic and Projected Growth
D. WINDOW MARKET 26 1. Summary 2. Residential-Type Market Size by Application 3. Residential-Type Window Segmented by Application and Material
4. Residential-Type Wood Windows in Conventional Applications 5. Residential-Type Vinyl Windows in Conventional Applications 6. Historic and Projected Growth 7. U.S. Non-residential Glass and Windows Market Size 8. Non-residential Historic and Projected Growth
E. PATIO DOOR MARKET 65 1. Summary 2. Market Size by Application 3. Segmentation of Wood Units 4. Patio Door Forecasts F. SKYLIGHT MARKET 75 1. Summary 2. Market Size by Application 3. Commercial Skylights
APPENDICES: A. B. C. D. E. F.
Eleven U.S. Census Regions U.S. Entry Door Market by Region U.S. Conventional Residential Window Market by Region Non-residential Vision Area Models U.S. Patio Door Market by Region U.S. Glass Usage by Region
LIST OF EXHIBITS
Section Number & Type Description Page
A A.1 Time Line Program Time Line 2015 – 2016 • Program Approval • Draft Report • Report Publication
3
B B.1 Bar Graph U.S. New Residential Construction Segmented by Type of Structure 2009-2018F • Manufactured Homes • Multi-Family • Single Family
8
B.2 Map U.S. Conventional Housing Starts
by Geographic Region 2015 • 11 Regions
9
B.3 Pie Chart U.S. Residential Housing Starts by Region
2015 • South • West • Midwest • Northeast
10
B.4 Pie Chart U.S. Residential Housing Starts by Region
2017 Forecasted • South • West • Midwest • Northeast
10
B.5 Table Expenditures and Growth Over Prior Year
• 2008 – 2018F 11
B.6 Bar Chart Total U.S. Residential Improvement Expenditures
• Billions of Dollars 2008-2018F 11
B.7 Table New U.S. Housing by Type of Structure
Private and Public, Including Farm 2008 – 2018F • Total Shelter • Manufactured Housing • Total Conventional • Single Family • Multi-Family
12
B (cont.) B.8 Table New U.S. Conventional Housing by Geographical Region Private and Public, Including Farm 2008 – 2018F • Northeast • Midwest • South • West
13
B.9 Table U.S. Manufactured Housing Shipments to Dealers
by Geographical Region Private and Public, Including Farm 2008 – 2018F • Northeast • Midwest • South • West
13
B.10 Bar Chart Forecasted Non-residential Contract Awards by Floor Area Segmented by Major Building Category 2013 – 2020F • Manufacturing/Warehouse • Office/Hotel/Institutional • Store/Mercantile
14
B.11 Map New U.S. Non-residential Contract Awards by Geographical Region
2015 • 11 Regions
15
B.12 Pie Chart Non-residential Contracts by Region
2015 • South • West • Midwest • Northeast
16
B.13 Pie Chart Non-residential Contracts by Region
2016 Forecasted • South • West • Midwest • Northeast
16
B.14 Table Non-residential Contract Awards (Reported) by Selected Building
Types and Regions 2014 – 2020F • Manufacturing/Warehouse • Office/Hotel/Institutional • Store/Mercantile • Total Non-residential
17
C C.1 Table Total Market for U.S. Doors by Application 2015 • Residential Entry • Non-residential Entry
19
C.2 Table Total U.S. Market for Doors by Construction Type and Application
2015 • New Construction • Remodeling • Replacement
20
C.3 Pie Chart U.S. Residential Entry Doors by Material
2015 • Steel • Wood • Fiberglass
21
C.4 Pie Chart U.S. Residential Fiberglass Entry Doors by Finish 2015 • Smooth • Molded/Textured
21
C.5 Table Non-residential Entry Doors by Material
2015 • Steel • Aluminum • Wood • Other
22
C.6 Table Wood Doors by Application
2015 • Residential Entry • Non-residential Entry
23
C.7 Table Sales of U.S. Doors by Material and Application 2009-2018F • Steel • Wood • Fiberglass • Aluminum
24
D D.1 Table Total Market for Residential-Type Window Units by Application 2013 and 2015 • Residential New Construction • Residential Remodel • Residential Replacement • Manufactured Housing • Non-residential New Construction • Non-residential Remodel • Non-residential Replacement
27
D (cont.) D.2 Table Total U.S. Market for Residential-Type Window Units by
Application and Framing Material 2013 and 2015 • Residential, Non-residential and Manufactured Housing Window
Units • Wood and Clad Wood • Vinyl • Aluminum • Other
29
D.3 Bar Graph Total U.S. Conventional Residential Window Demand
Historic and Forecasted Window Usage by Framing Material 2009 – 2018F • Wood and Clad Wood • Aluminum • Vinyl • Other
30
D.4 Table U.S. Conventional Residential Window Usage by Framing Material
Segmented by Construction Type 2013 and 2015 • New, Remodel, and Replacement • Wood and Clad Wood • Vinyl • Aluminum • Other
31
D.5 Table Conventional Residential Window Usage
Segmented by Framing Material 2013 and 2015 • Wood • Aluminum Clad Wood • Vinyl Clad Wood • Aluminum with Thermal Break • Aluminum without Thermal Break • Vinyl • Other
32
D (cont.)
D.6 Table Conventional Residential Window Usage Segmented by Configuration 2013 and 2015 • Wood, Vinyl, Aluminum, and Other • Double Hung • Single Hung • Casement • Gliding/Slider • Awning • Fixed • Specialty
33
D.7 Pie Chart Conventional Residential Window Volumes
Segmented by Customization 2013 and 2015 • Standard Stock Windows • Customized Windows
35
D.8 Table Conventional Residential Window Glass Usage
Segmented by Framing Material 2013 and 2015 • Single Lite, Two Lite Sealed IG, Other • Wood • Vinyl • Aluminum • Other
36
D.9 Pie Chart Conventional Residential Windows – Insulating Glass
Segmented by Type of Spacer 2013 and 2015 • Rigid Warm Edge • Non-Rigid Warm Edge • Aluminum Spacer
37
D.10 Pie Chart Conventional Residential Windows – Hurricane Resistant
Florida, All Other Regions 2013 and 2015 • Non Hurricane • Hurricane Impact Glazing • Hurricane Non-Impact Glazing
38
D.11 Table Conventional Residential Windows
Segmented by Glass Type 2013 and 2015 • Wood, Vinyl, Aluminum, and Other • Clear • Tinted/Reflective • Low-E
39
D.12 Pie Chart Conventional Residential Windows – Low-E
Segmented by Coating Type 2013 and 2015 • Sputtered • Pyrolytic
40
D (cont.) D.13 Table Conventional Residential Windows – Energy Ratings
Segmented by Rating Type 2013 and 2015 • Wood, Vinyl, Aluminum/Other • NFRC Rating • NFRC and Energy Star Rating • No Rating
41
D.14 Table Conventional Residential Wood Window Units
Segmented by Configuration 2013 and 2015 • Double Hung • Single Hung • Casement • Gliding/Slides • Awning • Fixed • Specialty
42
D.15 Table Conventional Residential Wood Window Units – Window Sash and
Frame Segmented by Wood Species Used 2013 and 2015 • Ponderosa Pine • Southern Yellow Pine • Radiata Pine • White Pine • Fir/Hemlock • Other Softwoods • Oak • Other Hardwoods
43
D.16 Pie Chart Conventional Residential Wood Window Units – Non-Clad
Segmented by Exterior Finish 2013 and 2015 • Primed/Prefinished • Natural • No Finish
44
D.17 Pie Chart Conventional Residential Wood Window Units
Segmented by Type of Insulating Spacer 2013 and 2015 • Rigid Warm Edge Spacer • Non-Rigid Warm Edge • Aluminum Spacer
45
D.18 Pie Chart Conventional Residential Wood Window Units
Segmented by Low-E Usage and Technology 2013 and 2015 • Sputtered • Pyrolytic
45
D (cont.) D.19 Table Conventional Residential Vinyl Window Units Segmented by Configuration 2013 and 2015 • Double Hung • Single Hung • Casement • Gliding/Slider • Awning • Fixed • Specialty
46
D.20 Pie Chart Conventional Residential Vinyl Window Units
Segmented by Type of Insulating Spacer 2013 and 2015 • Rigid Warm Edge Spacer • Non-Rigid Warm Edge • Aluminum Spacer
47
D.21 Pie Chart Residential Vinyl Window Units
Segmented by Fabrication Method 2013 and 2015 • Fully Welded Frame • Mechanically Fastened Frame • Hybrid of Mechanically Fastened Frame and Fully Welded Frame
47
D.22 Pie Chart Conventional Residential Vinyl Window Units
Segmented by Solid Extrusion Color 2013 and 2015 • White • Tan • Other
48
D.23 Table Conventional Residential Windows Usage
2008-2018 Forecast • New Construction, Remodel/Replacement and Total Construction • Wood • Aluminum • Vinyl • Fiberglass • Other
49
D (cont.) D.24 Table New Non-residential Construction and Major Additions Segmented by Building Category 2013 and 2015 • Curtain Wall, Storefront, Site Fabricated Windows, and Shop
Fabricated Windows • Office and Bank • Stores, Other Mercantile • Manufacturing/Warehouses • Educational • Hospital/Health Care (incl. Government) • Public/Government • Religious • Amusement/Recreational • Hotel/Motel/Dormitory • Miscellaneous • High Rise Multi-Family
52
D.25 Table Total Non-residential Vision Area
Segmented by Type of Construction 2013 and 2015 • New Building/Major Additions and Replacement • Curtain Wall • Storefront • Site Fabricated Windows • Shop Fabricated Windows
53
D.26 Table Framing Materials Used in Non-residential Construction
2013 and 2015 • Curtain Wall, Storefront, Site Fabricated Windows, and Shop
Fabricated Windows • Aluminum with Thermal Break • Aluminum without Thermal Break • Wood • Vinyl, Other
54
D.27 Table Non-residential Aluminum Framing
Segmented by Finish Material 2013 and 2015 • Anodized Finish • Standard Paint • High End paint
55
D.28 Table Calculations –High-Rise Construction – New and Major Additions
2013 and 2015 • Ratio High-Rise, High-Rise Vision Area, Total Vision Glass Area • Office/Bank • All Other
56
D.29 Table Total U.S. Non-residential Glass Usage
Segmented by Glazing Configuration 2013 and 2015 • Single Lite and Non-Sealed • Insulating glass units
57
D (cont.) D.30 Table Glass Usage – Non-residential Windows 2011 to 2015 • Clear • Tint • Reflective • Low-E
57
D.31 Pie Chart Usage of Low-E Segmented by Coating Technology
2013 and 2015 • Sputter and Suspended Film • Pyrolytic
58
D.32 Pie Chart Non Residential Glazing – Hurricane Resistant
Florida, All Other Regions 2015 • Non Hurricane • Hurricane Impact Glazing • Hurricane Non Impact Glazing
59
D.33 Picture U.S. Market for Commercial Windows Segmented by Window Type
2015 • Site Fabricated • Shop Fabricated
60
D.34 Pie Chart U.S Market for Architectural Rated Shop-Fabricated Windows by
Rating Segmented by Window Rating Type 2013 and 2015 • AW • C • H/C
60
D.35 Table U.S. Architecturally-Rated Shop-Fabricated Windows Segmented by
Window Configuration 2013 and 2015 • Fixed • Projected / Awning • Slider • Hung • Door • Specialty/Other
61
D.36 Pie Chart U.S Shop-Fabricated Patio and Terrace Doors
Segmented by Door Type 2015 • Hinged • Sliding
62
D.37 Table U.S. Window Usage in Non-residential Buildings – 2011-2018F
• New Construction • Remodeling & Replacement
63
E E.1 Table Total U.S. Market for Residential Patio Doors
Segmented by Framing Material 2011 - 2015 • Wood • Aluminum • Vinyl • Steel • Fiberglass • Other
65
E.2 Table Total U.S. Market for Residential Patio Doors
Segmented by Construction Type and Framing Material 2013 and 2015 • New Construction, Remodel, and Replacement • Wood • Aluminum • Vinyl • Steel • Fiberglass • Other
66
E.3 & E.4. Pie Charts
Patio Doors by Framing Material 2013 and 2015 • Wood • Aluminum • Vinyl • Steel • Fiberglass • Other
67
E.5 Table Total U.S. Market for Residential Patio Doors Segmented by Application and Framing Material 2013 and 2015 • Hinged and Sliding • Wood • Aluminum • Vinyl • Steel • Fiberglass • Others
68
E.6 Table Total U.S. Sliding and Hinged Patio Doors
Segmented by Number of Panels 2013 and 2015 • One Panel, Two Panel, and Three or More Panels • Wood • Aluminum • Vinyl • Steel • Fiberglass • Others
69
E (cont.) E.7 Table Total U.S. Market for Residential Patio Doors Segmented by Low-E Usage and Technology 2013 and 2015 • Clear, Tinted, Reflective and Low-E • Wood • Aluminum • Vinyl • Steel • Fiberglass • Others
70
E.8 Table Wood Patio Doors
Segmented by Cladding and Type of Door 2013 and 2015 • Hinged and Sliding • Clad • Non-Clad
71
E.9 Pie Chart Non-Clad Wood Patio Doors
Segmented by Finish Type 2015 • Primed/Painted • Natural Finish • No Finish
72
E.10 Table Wood Patio Door Lumber Type
Segmented by Wood Species 2015 • Ponderosa Pine • Southern Yellow Pine • Radiata Pine • White Pine • Fir/Hemlock • Oak • Other Softwoods • Other Hardwoods
72
E.11 Table Residential Patio Door Market
2009 – 2018F • New Construction • Remodel and Replacement
73
F F.1 Table Residential-Type Skylights (Including Light Commercial)
2009 – 2015 • New Construction • Remodel/Replacement
75
F.2 Table Skylights by Type and Application
2015 • Plastic Glazed Skylight and Glass Glazed Skylight • Residential • Light Commercial
75
F.3 Pie Chart Total Market for Skylights by Type
2013 and 2015 • Glass Glazed Skylights • Plastic Glazed Skylights
76
F.4 Pie Chart Plastic Glazed Skylights by Type 2015 • Acrylic • Polycarbonate
77
F. 5 Pie Chart Plastic Glazed Skylights by Type
2015 • Translucent/Diffusing • Tinted/Colored • Clear
77
F.6 Pie Chart Glass Glazed Skylights by Type
2015 • Low E • Clear • Tinted • Reflective
78
F.7 Pie Chart Residential-Type Skylights by Framing Material
2015 • Vinyl • Aluminum • Wood and Clad wood • Frameless / Other
79
F.8 Table Residential-Type Skylights by Type and Application
2015 • Plastic Glazed Skylights and Glass Glazed Skylights • Fixed • Venting • Venting – Motorized/Operable
80
F.9 Table Forecast of Residential-Type Skylights
2014 – 2018F • New • Remodeling / Replacement
80
Appendix
A APDX-A.1 Map APDX-A.2 Table
Eleven U.S. Census Regions Four to Eleven Region Conversion and Abbreviation Definitions
Appendix
B Table U.S. Entry Door Market Segmented by Application and Estimated
Geographic Segmentation 2015 • Residential • Non-residential
Appendix
C Table U.S. Conventional Residential Window Market Segmented by
Application and Estimated Geographic Segmentation 2015 • New Construction • Remodeling and Replacement
Appendix
D APDX-D.1 Graphic
Conversion: Total Vision Glass Area
APDX-D.2
Graphic Model: Total Vision Glass Area
APDX-D.3
Table United States Non-residential New and Major Additions 2015 Contract Awards • Office and Bank • Stores, other Mercantile • Manufacturing/Warehouse • Educational • Hospital/Healthcare (incl. Government) • Public/Government • Religious • Amusement/Recreational • Hotel/Motel/Dormitory • Miscellaneous • High Rise Multi Family
APDX-D.4
Table U.S. Non-residential Total Wall Area – New and Additions 2015 • Floor Area and Wall-to-Floor Ratio • Office and Bank • Stores, other Mercantile • Manufacturing/Warehouse • Educational • Hospital/Healthcare (incl. Government) • Public/Government • Religious • Amusement/Recreational • Hotel/Motel/Dormitory • Miscellaneous • High Rise Multi Family
APDX-D.5
Table U.S. Non-residential Vision and Opaque Wall Area – New and Additions Segmented by Building Category 2015 • Total Wall Area and Vision Glass • Office and Bank • Stores, other Mercantile • Manufacturing/Warehouse • Educational • Hospital/Healthcare (incl. Government) • Public/Government • Religious
• Amusement/Recreational • Hotel/Motel/Dormitory • Miscellaneous • High Rise Multi Family
Appendix E
Table U.S. Patio Door Market Segmented by Application and Estimated Geographic Segmentation 2015 • New Construction • Remodeling and Replacement
Appendix
F Table U.S. Glass Usage
Segmented by Glass Type and Estimated Geographic Segmentation 2015
• Clear • Tinted • Low E
Copyright © 2016 AAMA
All rights reserved.
This report or any part thereof may not be reproduced in any form without the written permission of the publisher.
1
A. INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY Ducker Worldwide has been conducting the study of the U.S. residential and
non-residential window and door markets for AAMA (the American Architectural Manufacturers Association) since 1982. It is the only program of its kind to have served the fenestration industry continuously for over 30 years, and it is the longest and most commonly referenced research program in the industry. This particular study details market volumes and trends in the U.S. for 2015, forecasted through 2018, as well as historical volumes. A summary report, the Statistical Review and Forecast Report, is also available.
Prior to 1982, studies were conducted for the Sealed Insulating Glass
Manufacturers Association (SIGMA) since 1978. This association is now called the Insulating Glass Manufacturers Alliance (IGMA). Additionally, Ducker’s fenestration research history goes back to 1972 when we first developed a demand model for flat glass usage in the United States. Ducker further produces many syndicated and custom market research studies for the fenestration and building products markets annually. These include the annual studies of the North American Flat Glass Market Study and a bi-annual study of the Northern American Fabricated Glass Market among many others.
This following report is the result of a combined market study and a database
analysis funded by AAMA. The intent of this study is to develop a full database and a comprehensive report on all segments of the window and door market. The database is designed to be utilized for studies into the foreseeable future and to compare ongoing trends.
1. Methodology The role of Ducker Worldwide is to combine primary and secondary market research efforts with its own body of knowledge to profile and track residential and non-residential segments of fenestration market volume. As a major input to the research, Ducker receives confidential disclosures from AAMA members along with non-members. However, multiple industry sources, such as demand models, raw material and component suppliers, and internal databases, are necessary and consistently used to triangulate market statistics.
2
Public databases are also utilized, such as the U.S. Bureau of Census and other sources of construction metrics. In addition, Ducker interviewed several hundred home builders, contractors, installers and distributors, which help to develop indicative product usage factors and channel flow as a cross reference to the various manufacturers’ input. This report, the U.S. National Statistical Review and Forecast, and associated regional reports were prepared by Ducker Worldwide LLC. Opinions and estimates constitute the best judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice, as additional information becomes available. Any interpretations derived from these findings are the sole responsibility of those using the report. Reproduction without the explicit, written consent of Ducker Worldwide, LLC or AAMA is strictly prohibited. The metrics published throughout the report represent the best judgment of Ducker through March of 2016; however, the Census or other sources of construction metrics frequently do not finalize their 2015 data totals until late into 2016, and they also will revise historical information. Ducker takes into account these historical revisions when updating models and thus minor differences between published construction data may occur. These revisions do not impact market size estimates for fenestration categories unless stated throughout the report. Please note that while all individual numbers are accurate as rounded, totals may not always add due to rounding.
The following report represents our research and analytical efforts beginning in January 2016.
2. Purpose The purpose of this study is to provide a comprehensive single report detailing the window and door market for AAMA.
3. Methodology and Time Line Study findings are based upon disclosures from window and door manufacturers, suppliers, secondary construction data metrics and our prior database and experience in providing this information in the past. Study findings are segmented by geographic region as illustrated in Appendix A to this report. The research program for AAMA spans from December 2015 through April 2016. A timeline is provided on the following page as
3
Exhibit A.1. Exhibit A.1
Program Time Line
2015 – 2016
Program Draft Report Approval Report Publication
December 2015 April 2016 May 2016
For purposes of presenting data in this report, the term Exhibits will be used to display all graphics, charts, and tables.
4. Terminology Certain terms are used throughout the report which may require definition. Also, in our analysis, assumptions are made regarding units and construction activity. The following is a list of definitions and assumptions used in the development of this report. Specific questions on terminology throughout the report can also be directed to Ducker Worldwide, LLC. Doors: Units are defined as actual door slabs and panels, rather than openings where one or more slabs would be used. Excluded from door units are closet doors, bifold doors and service and industrial doors. Entry Doors: A door opening that allows passage from the exterior of a building or home to the interior. In the residential market, hinged rear entrance doors connecting an attached garage to a home are included, while patio doors are excluded and reported separately. In the non-residential market, entry doors also include vestibule doors.
• Agree scope • Initiate fieldwork • Analyze and report
information
• Present draft results • Fieldwork complete • Review draft reports
with AAMA advisory committees
• Make revisions, final edits
4
Framing: Metal, wood, fiberglass, vinyl or composite members comprising the window. In operable windows, framing members include both an operational portion and fixed portion of the window. Insulating Glass: A combination of two or more panes of glass with a hermetically sealed air space between the panes of glass separated by a spacer. This space may or may not be filled with an inert gas, such as argon. Non-residential: Non-residential construction is defined as all commercial buildings, from small to large, that are not meant for residence. Hotels, motels and dormitories are included in non-residential figures. Patio Doors: Units are defined as openings at the manufacturer level, to avoid double counting units due to multiple operable, or inoperable panels. For example, a double French door and a triple panel sliding door are all considered one unit. Figures in this report identify units with single panels and multiple panels alike as one singular unit. Further segmentation by number of panels in detailed in the Patio Door section of this report. Residential: Residential construction is defined as dwelling units: single-family attached, single-family detached, multi-family and manufactured homes. Apartment buildings, although considered commercial construction, are included in our residential figures, except for high rise construction which uses commercial shop-fabricated windows. Skylights: Standardized unit specified by product. Not included in window volumes. Sloped Glazing: Nonstandard specification, also called custom skylights or monumental glazing. This product is captured in curtainwall data, but not segmented out. Does not include sunrooms, which are a separate category. Study Regions: Eleven geographic regions are used throughout the report. Appendix A to this report illustrates the definition of these regions. Sunrooms: Separate classification from sloped glazing. Not included in window volumes, but some windows may be ultimately destined for use in a sunroom. Vision Glass Area: Unless otherwise noted, glass area figures are
5
surface measure of vision glass area. Figures for spandrel glass materials also are surface measured. Windows: Units are defined as openings at the manufacturer level. However, the definition of a unit differs among manufacturers (e.g., a bay window to some may be three openings while to others it may be one). This does not account for multiple windows that are nailed together at the distributor level for one opening. Figures in this report more closely reflect units at the manufacturer level, rather than openings at the job site. Sliding and hinged patio or French doors are considered a separate market from windows.
* * *
2015/2016 U.S. National Statistical Review and Forecast – April 2016
Forecast: Ducker Worldwide LLC
Copyright 2016 - Published by:
Researched and edited in April 2016 by:
Ducker Worldwide, LLC 1250 Maplelawn Dr. Troy, MI 48084 (248) 644-0086 www.ducker.com
Introduction
Market estimates in the U.S. Industry Statistical Review and Forecast are driven not only by statistics published by the Census Bureau and other construction statistics organizations, but also from primary interviews with leading manufacturers of windows, doors and skylights, as well as component suppliers. All forecasts are based on projections of construction activity as of March 2016 and appropriate usage factors and tabulations developed by Ducker Worldwide LLC, which is solely responsible for the data. Any questions on the Review or its contents should be directed to Ducker. Please note that totals may not always add due to rounding.
Ducker has been conducting residential and non-residential market studies continuously since 1982 for the American Architectural Manufacturers Association (AAMA).
The U.S. Industry Statistical Review and Forecast is published annually in the spring. Additional and much more detailed information on window, door and skylight markets is contained in the (2015/2016) Study of the U.S. Market for Windows, Doors and Skylights and the (2015/2016) Distribution of Residential and Non-residential Windows and Doors in the U.S. Market. All reports are available from AAMA.
Contents
Residential Construction Activity
1 1 2 3 4
New residential housing New housing by type of structure Residential construction activity Improvement expenditures Manufactured housing shipments Existing home sales 4
Residential Product Statistics
5-6 7 8 9
Prime windows Skylights Patio doors Entry door usage Door forecast 10
Non-residential Product Statistics
9 10
Entry door usage Door forecast Insulating glass statistics 11
Non-residential Construction Activity
12-13 14
Contract awards Regional construction Window usage 15-16
U.S. Map of Geographic Division 17
American Architectural Manufacturers Association (AAMA) 1827 Walden Office Square, Suite 550 Schaumburg, Illinois 60173 Phone: (847) 303-5664 www.aamanet.org
Executive Report
The Distribution of Residential and Non-residential Windows and Doors in the 2015 U.S. Market
Copyright 2016 - Published May 2016 by:
American Architectural Manufacturers Association (AAMA) 1827 Walden Office Square, Suite 104
Schaumburg, Illinois 60173 Phone: (847) 303-5664
www.aamanet.org
Researched by: Ducker Research Company, Inc. 1250 Maplelawn Troy, MI 48084 (248) 644-0086 www.ducker.com
1
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Section Description Page I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ....................................................................4 II. INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY ..........................................6 A. Introduction B. Study Objectives C. Study Methodology III. CHANNEL MEMBER DEFINITIONS AND PROFILES ......................9 A. Characteristics of Channel Members B. Characteristic Definitions C. Distributor Profiles IV. PRODUCT FLOW ANALYSIS ......................................................... 25 A. Market Size B. Distribution Discussion C. Windows
D. Patio Doors E. Entry Doors
V. ISSUES AND TRENDS .................................................................... 55 A. Channel Member Trends
B. Regional Trends VI. NON-RESIDENTIAL WINDOWS AND DOORS............................... 59 A. Non-residential Windows and Glazing
B. Non-residential Windows and Glazing Supply Channel Chain Definitions
C. Non-residential Window Distribution Analysis D. Non-residential Door Channel Member Definitions E. Non-residential Door Distribution Analysis
2
INDEX OF EXHIBITS Exhibit Title Page Number III.1 Definitions – Categorizing Process .............................................................. 10 III.2 Millwork Wholesaler Profile .......................................................................... 13 III.3 Big Box Profile .............................................................................................. 16 III.4 Lumberyard Profile ....................................................................................... 18 III.6 Shortline Distributor Profile ........................................................................... 20 III.7 Specialty Retailer Profile .............................................................................. 22 III.8 Summary of Distribution Definitions ............................................................. 24 IV.1 2015 Market Size - Residential .................................................................... 25 IV.2 2015 Windows – Manufacturer Direct .......................................................... 27 IV.3 2015 Windows – Secondary Distribution Channels ...................................... 28 IV.4 2015 Windows - Total Volume by Channel Distribution ............................... 29 IV.5 2015 Millwork Wholesaler – Actual Window Purchases and Sales .............. 30 IV.6 2015 Big Box – Actual Window Purchases and Sales ................................. 31 IV.7 2015 Lumberyard – Actual Window Purchases and Sales ........................... 32 IV.9 2015 Shortline Distributor – Actual Window Purchases and Sales .............. 33 IV.10 2015 Specialty Retailer – Actual Window Purchases and Sales .................. 34 IV.11 2015 Summary of Window Volumes – Segmented by End User ................. 35 IV.12 2015 Summary of Window Volumes – Segmented by Construction Type ... 36 IV.13 2015 Patio Doors – Manufacturer Direct ...................................................... 37 IV.14 2015 Patio Doors – Major Distribution Channels .......................................... 38 IV.15 2015 Patio Doors – Total Volume by Channel of Distribution....................... 39 IV.16 2015 Millwork Wholesaler – Actual Patio Door Purchases and Sales .......... 40 IV.17 2015 Big Box – Actual Patio Door Purchases and Sales ............................. 41 IV.18 2015 Lumberyard – Actual Patio Door Purchases and Sales....................... 42 IV.20 2015 Shortline Distributor – Actual Patio Door Purchases and Sales .......... 43 IV.21 2015 Specialty Retailer – Actual Patio Door Purchases and Sales .............. 44 IV.22 2015 Summary of Patio Door Volumes – Segmented by End User ............. 45 IV.23 2015 Summary of Patio Door Volumes – Segmented by Construction Type45 IV.24 2015 Entry Doors – Manufacturer Direct ...................................................... 46 IV.25 2015 Entry Doors – Secondary Distribution Channels ................................. 47 IV.26 2015 Entry Doors – Total Volume by Channel of Distribution ...................... 48 IV.27 2015 Millwork Wholesaler – Actual Entry Door Purchases and Sales .......... 49 IV.28 2015 Big Box – Actual Entry Door Purchases and Sales ............................. 50
3
INDEX OF EXHIBITS (continued)
Exhibit Title Page Number IV.29 2015 Lumberyard – Actual Entry Door Purchases and Sales ...................... 51 IV.30 2015 Shortline Distributor – Actual Entry Door Purchases and Sales .......... 52 IV.31 2015 Specialty Retailer – Actual Entry Door Purchases and Sales .............. 53 IV.32 2015 Summary of Entry Door Volumes – Segmented by End User ............. 54 IV.33 2015 Summary of Entry Door Volumes – Segmented by Construction Type54 V.1 Historic View of Window and Door Product Distribution Channel Characteristics ............................................................................................. 57 V.2 Historic View of Window and Door Product Distribution Flow – 2003-2015 ...................................................................... 58 VI.1 Non-residential Construction Specification Process and Cycle ..................... 60 VI.2 Architectural Glazing Products Supply Chain ................................................ 67 VI.3 Shop-fabricated Commercial Window Supply Chain ..................................... 70 VI.4 Non-residential Door Product Flow ................................................................ 73
Copyright 2016 AAMA
All rights reserved.
This report, or any part thereof, may not be reproduced in any form without the written permission of the publisher.