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Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University of Glasgow, United Kingdom Asian Cardio Diabetes Forum April 23 24, 2016 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

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Page 1: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Strategies targeting CV outcomes

in diabetes:

What have we learned so far?

Naveed Sattar, MDUniversity of Glasgow,

United Kingdom

Asian Cardio Diabetes ForumApril 23 – 24, 2016 – Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

Page 2: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Tackle lipids, BP and glycaemia to prevent CVD

Lifestyle?

Aspirin?

Other points of

relevance

Young onset diabetes

Ethnic variations

Men versus women

Page 3: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Glucose-

lowering

BP

lowering

Statins

CVD* ↓* ↓↓↓ ↓↓↓

Affordability + +/++ +++

Simplicity + ++ +++

Renal

disease

↓/↓↓* ↓↓↓ (ACE/ARB)

Retinopathy ↓↓↓ ↓↓↓ → (fibrates?)

Lowering LDL-c and BP are not difficult (Ferguson & Sattar DOM 2013)

Page 4: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

LIFESTYLE to prevent CVD in diabetes

LOOK AHEAD TRIAL

Page 5: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Archives of Internal Medicine. 170(17):1566-1575, September 27, 2010.

Page 6: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

LookAhead

NEJM

2013

Page 7: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Intervention control

Page 8: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Context / understanding

Weight loss can quickly lower glycaemia

– Minimal /negligible LDL-c change

Look Ahead folk had low classical risk factors

– Smoking low to begin with

– BP excellent – minor change

In general, CVD event ↓ hard via modest HbA1c

change

– Cf: recent DPP4 trials / Origin

Page 9: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Tackle lipids, BP and glycaemia to prevent CVD

Lifestyle?

Aspirin?

Other points of

relevance

Young onset diabetes

Ethnic variations

Men versus women

Page 10: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Percent with

vascular event

Odds ratio & 95% CI

ANTIPLATELET

better

CONTROL

betterCategory of patient

Previous MI 13.5 17.0

Acute MI 10.4 14.2

Previous stroke or TIA 17.8 21.4

Coronary Artery disease 6.2 8.9

High risk of embolism 13.5 16.8

Diabetes mellitus 15.7 16.7

ALL TRIALS 10.7 13.2

0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4

Antithrombotic Trialists’ Collaboration, 2002

Effects of antiplatelet therapy on vascular events

Allocated

antiplatelet

Allocated

control

% Odds

reduction

(SE)

25 (4)

30 (4)

22 (4)

37 (5)

26 (7)

7 (8)

13.2

ATTC, BMJ 2002;324:71-86

15.7 16.7

Page 11: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Events Avoided or Caused per 1000 Individuals

Treated with Aspirin for 5 Years

Avoided Caused

10 year risk CHD Ischaemic Haemorrhagic Majorof CHD event event stroke stroke bleed

<10% 5 0 1 5

10-20% 15 0 1 5

Secondary 25-50 25-50 1 5

http://www.ctsu.ox.ac.uk/ascend/

Armitage J (personal communication)

Page 12: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Aspirin: a secondary prevention drug?

4 ongoing trials in intermediate risk

ASCEND / ACCEPT-D

Case by Case: discuss with patient

DM + CVD: Yes

DM + proteinuria: YES/no

DM – no end organ damage: yes/NO

Page 13: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Tackle lipids, BP and glycaemia to prevent CVD

Lifestyle?

Aspirin?

Other points of

relevance

Young onset diabetes

Ethnic variations

Men versus women

Page 14: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Excess calories(increased intake or

reduced energy expenditure)

FAT

‘Spill over’pancreatic

beta cell

muscle

Subcutaneous stores

overwhelmed

(genes, ethnicity, ageing)

Hepatic lipid accumulation

Perivascular fat

Endothelial dysfunction

Insulin resistance

Hyperglycaemia

Sattar and Gill

BMC Medicine

2014

Page 15: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Diagnosis

~ 5-15

years

CHD equivalent

CH

D R

ISK

Age

Diabetes and CVD risk: durationDiagnosis and age of onset matter

Sattar (2013) Diabetologia (several studies support concept)

Page 16: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Tancredi M et al (2015) N Engl J Med

Higher lifetime risks in younger diabetes

Page 17: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Constantino et al (2013) Diabetes Care ePub

Page 18: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Tackle lipids, BP and glycaemia to prevent CVD

Lifestyle?

Aspirin?

Other points of

relevance

Young onset diabetes

Ethnic variations

Men versus women

Page 19: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Ntuk et al

(2014)

Diabetes

Care

Page 20: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Altered fat distribution: simplest evidence (WHR)

0.980.94Waist/hip ratio

25.725.9BMI (kg/m2)

SAn=1420

Europeann=1515

McKeigue Lancet 1991

Page 21: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

South

Asian

(N≤87a)

European

(N≤99a)p-value % diff

Waist (cm) 97.3 95.6 0.31

Waist-to-hip ratio 0.98 0.95) 0.009 3%

Lean mass (kg) 57.2 63.3 <0.001

Fat mass (kg) 24.4 21.8 0.058

Percentage body fat 29.2 24.8 <0.001

Ghouri et al. Diabetologia (2013)

More fat and less muscle in SA’s

Page 22: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Yes built differently

We carry more fuel (higher fat levels)

AND smaller engines (lower muscle mass)

Closer to point for ectopic fat spill over?

– Into abdomen?

– Liver?

– Muscle?

Sattar and Gill (2014) BMC Medicine

Page 23: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Excess calories(increased intake or

reduced energy expenditure)

Central FAT

‘Spill over’

WHR

pancreatic

beta cell ??

SABRE?

Muscle

Forouhi et al

Subcutaneous stores

overwhelmed

(genes, ethnicity, ageing)

Hepatic lipid

Accumulation /?

Perivascular fat

Endothelial dysfunction

Insulin

resistance

Diabetes

Page 24: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Diabetes in Asians

Less uptake uptake of Insulin

Higher HbA1c despite being on insulin

More retinopathy– SAs younger, shorter DM

duration, higher HbA1c (Raymond et al,

Diabetes Care, 2009)

More renal disease - greater prevalence,

more rapid progression (Chandie Shaw et al,

Diabetes Care, 2006)

But less PVD and neuropathy

Page 25: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

South Asians: more microvascular disease > CVD

Evidence shows more rapid rise in glycaemia over time

– Faster to nephropathy /microvascular complications

– CVD rates higher in South Asians but less in Chinese

– Need more data / evidence of less fatal events

Give statins & BP medications as in whites

More aggressive with

– Early lifestyle changes (very hard)

– Glycaemia therapies – trials to see which work best?

Page 26: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Tackle lipids, BP and glycaemia to prevent CVD

Lifestyle?

Aspirin?

Other points of

relevance

Young onset diabetes

Ethnic variations

Men versus women

Page 27: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

0,0645

0,2427

0,1664

0,0923

0,069

0,0342

0,1609

0,1344

0,0631

0,0384

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

White South Asian Black Chinese Overall

Ag

e-s

tan

dard

ized

dia

bete

s p

rev

ale

nce

Age standardised prevalence for males and females across ethnic groups

Men Women

More diabetes in men versus women across many ethnicities

Page 28: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

More men have diabetes: why?Women's CVD risk rises more when DM: why?

Logue et al (2012) Diabetologia

Age at diagnosis of diabetes (years)

Avera

ge B

MI

(kg / m

^2)

30

35

40

30 40 50 60 70 80 90

Men Women

Page 29: Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we … · 2016-06-16 · Strategies targeting CV outcomes in diabetes: What have we learned so far? Naveed Sattar, MD University

Summary

Lifestyle lessens glycaemia &improve QOL

– Diet first, then activity

Aspirin increasingly secondary prevention

Younger T2DM patients at higher CVD and mortality

risks: more aggressive management

South Asians: statins and blood pressure but more

aggressive glycaemia management

Women have to put on more weight to get diabetes than

men and so higher CVD risks once diabetes