STRATEGIC VISIONA Selected Bibliography

U.S. ARMY WAR COLLEGE LIBRARY

March 2008

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PREFACE

Strategic Vision is an enduring theme at the U.S. Army War College. Compiled in support ofthis theme, this selected bibliography reflects books, documents, periodical articles, and a number ofweb sites. Please note that the majority of references to military-related materials on vision may befound in the third part of the bibliography titled “The U.S. Military and the Future”.

With a few notable exceptions, the materials in this bibliography are dated 2004 to the pre-sent. For older materials, please see the bibliography titled Strategic Vision: A Selected Bibliogra-phy, dated July 2004. All items are available through the USAWC Library. For your convenience,at the end of the entries, we have added Library call numbers, Internet addresses, or database links.Call numbers indicate the item’s shelf location in our Library; please note that call numbers can varyfrom library to library. Web sites were accessed during March 2008.

This bibliography and others, compiled by our research librarians, are available onlinethrough the Library’s home page at http://www.carlisle.army.mil/library/bibliographies.htm.

For additional information, please contact the Research and Information Services Branch,U.S. Army War College Library, by sending an e-mail message to USAWC.LibraryR@us.army.mil orby phoning DSN 242-4260 or Commercial (717) 245-4260.

Jeanette M. Moyer, compiler

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STRATEGIC VISION

A Selected Bibliography

March 2008

Contents

VISION, CRITICAL THINKING, CREATIVITY, STRATEGIC PLANNING,LEADING CHANGE

Books, Documents, Multimedia, and Internet Resources................................... 1

Periodical Articles................................................................................................ 6

FUTURES STUDIES, FORECASTING, THE FUTURE WORLD SCENE

Books, Documents, and Internet Resources........................................................ 8

Periodical Articles................................................................................................ 15

THE U.S. MILITARY AND THE FUTURE

Books, Documents, and Internet Resources........................................................ 18

Periodical Articles................................................................................................ 23

BIBLIOGRAPHIES..................................................................................................... 27

VISION, CRITICAL THINKING, CREATIVITY,STRATEGIC PLANNING, LEADING CHANGE

Books, Documents, Multimedia, and Internet Resources

Ackermann, Fran, and Colin Eden. The Practice of Making Strategy: A Step-by-Step Guide. Thou-sand Oaks: Sage, 2005. 265pp. (HD30.28 .A35 2005)

Barzelay, Michael, and Colin Campbell. Preparing for the Future: Strategic Planning in the U.S.Air Force. Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution Press, 2003. 274pp. (UG633 .B16 2003)

Bass, Bernard M., and Ronald E. Riggio. Transformational Leadership, 2d ed. Mahwah, NJ:Lawrence Erlbaum, 2006. 282pp. (HD57.7 .B178 2006)

Beach, Lee Roy. Leadership and the Art of Change: A Practical Guide to Organizational Trans-formation. Thousand Oaks: Sage, 2006. 180pp. (HD57.7 .B21 2006)

Calzada, Laurie. 180 Ways to Effectively Deal with Change: Get Over It! Get with It! Get to It!Dallas: Walk the Talk Company, 2006. 47pp. (BF637 .C4C13 2006)

Capaldi, Nicholas, and Miles Smit. The Art of Deception: An Introduction to Critical Thinking.Amherst: Prometheus Books, 2007. 277pp. (BC177 .C16 2007)

Christensen, Ralph. Roadmap to Strategic HR: Turning a Great Idea into a Business Reality. NewYork: American Management Association, 2006. 270pp. (HF5549 .C36 2006)

Clegg, Stewart, Martin Kornberger, and Tyrone Pitsis. “Managing Innovation and Change.” InManaging and Organizations: An Introduction to Theory and Practice, 371-406. ThousandOaks: Sage, 2005. 562pp. (HD31 .C42 2005)

Cohen, William A. The Art of the Strategist: 10 Essential Principles for Leading Your Company toVictory. New York: AMACOM, 2004. 239pp. (HD57.7 .C642 2004)

Collins, Jim. Good to Great: Why Some Companies Make the Leap - And Others Don’t. New York:Harper Audio, 2005. 8 CDs. (HD57.7 .C652 2005)

Connerley, Mary L., and Paul B. Pedersen. Leadership in a Diverse and Multicultural Environment:Developing Awareness, Knowledge, and Skills. Thousand Oaks: Sage, 2005. 215pp. (HD38.2.C66 2005)

Davis, Paul K., Steven C. Bankes, and Michael Egner. Enhancing Strategic Planning with MassiveScenario Generation: Theory and Experiments. Santa Monica: RAND, National SecurityResearch Division, 2007. 58pp. (UB210 .D37 2007) http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/2007/RAND_TR392.pdf

Duggan, William R. Coup D’Oeil: Strategic Intuition in Army Planning. Carlisle Barracks: U.S.Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, 2005. 59pp. (U413 .A66D83 2005) http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/PUB631.pdf

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Duggan, William R. Strategic Intuition: The Creative Spark in Human Achievement. New York:Columbia Business School, 2007. 192pp. (HD53 .D84 2007)

Echevarria, Antulio J., II. Challenging Transformation’s Clichés. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army WarCollege, Strategic Studies Institute, 2006. 30pp. (U413 .A66E137 2006) http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/PUB746.pdf

Elder, Linda, and Richard Paul. A Miniature Guide for Students and Faculty to the Foundations ofAnalytic Thinking: How to Take Thinking Apart and What to Look for When You Do: TheElements of Thinking and the Standards They Must Meet, 2d ed. Dillon Beach: Foundation forCritical Thinking, 2003. 48pp. (BF441 .E43 2003)

FitzRoy, Peter, and James M. Hulbert. Strategic Management: Creating Value in a TurbulentWorld. Hoboken: Wiley, 2005. 432pp. (HD30.28 .F37 2005)

Forgang, William G. Strategy-Specific Decision Making: A Guide for Executing CompetitiveStrategy. Armonk: Sharpe, 2004. 182pp. (HD30.23 .F685 2004)

Georgescu, Peter. The Source of Success: Five Enduring Principles at the Heart of Real Leadership.San Francisco: Jossey-Bass, 2005. 177pp. (HD57.7 .G25 2005)

Gerras, Stephen J. Thinking Critically about Critical Thinking: A Fundamental Guide for StrategicLeaders. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, Department of Command, Leadership, andManagement, 2006. 28pp. http://www.au.af.mil/au/awc/awcgate/army-usawc/crit_thkg_gerras.pdf

Gilley, Ann. The Manager as Change Leader. Westport: Praeger, 2005. 133pp. (HD57.7 .G342005)

Gladwell, Malcolm. Blink: The Power of Thinking without Thinking. New York: Little, Brown,2005. 277pp. (BF448 .G53 2005)

Glassman, Alan M., Deone Zell, and Shari Duron. Thinking Strategically in Turbulent Times: AnInside View of Strategy Making. Armonk: Sharpe, 2005. 170pp. (HD30.28 .G41 2005)

Godet, Michel. Creating Futures: Scenario Planning as a Strategic Management Tool, 2d ed.London: Economica, 2006. 349pp. (HD30.28 .G52 2006)

Goffee, Rob, and Gareth Jones. Why Should Anyone Be Led by You? What It Takes to Be anAuthentic Leader. Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 2006. 244pp. (HD57.7 .G663 2006)

Goleman, Daniel, Richard Boyatzis, and Annie McKee. “Creating Sustainable Change.” In PrimalLeadership: Learning to Lead with Emotional Intelligence, 225-248. Boston: Harvard BusinessSchool Press, 2004. (HD57.7 .G542 2004)

Govindarajan, Vijay, and Chris Trimble. Ten Rules for Strategic Innovators: From Idea to Execu-tion. Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 2005. 224pp. (HD62.5 .G68 2005)

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Gryskiewicz, Stan, and Sylvester Taylor. Making Creativity Practical: Innovation That GetsResults. Greensboro: Center for Creative Leadership, 2003. 31pp. (HD57.7 .C45 no.421)

Hall, James. Tools of Thinking: Understanding the World through Experience and Reason.Chantilly, VA: Teaching, 2005. 4 DVDs. (LB1590.3 .H14 2005)

Halpern, Diane F. “Creative Thinking.” In Thought & Knowledge: An Introduction to CriticalThinking, 4th ed., 396-429. Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum, 2003. (BF441 .H25 2003)

Halpern, Diane F., and Heidi R. Riggio. Thinking Critically about Critical Thinking, 4th ed.Mahwah, N.J.: Lawrence Erlbaum, 2003. 248pp. (BF441 .H14 2003)

Harvard Business School. Harvard Business Review on the Mind of the Leader. Boston: HarvardBusiness School, 2005. 179pp. (HD57.7 .H378 2005)

Heldman, Kim. “Monitoring and Controlling Change.” In PMP: Project Management Professional:Study Guide, 3d ed., 391-426. Hoboken: Wiley, 2005. (HD69 .P75H45 2005)

Hesselbein, Frances, and Eric K. Shinseki. “Managing Complexity, Leading Change.” In Be, Know,Do: Leadership the Army Way: (Adapted from the Official Army Leadership Manual), 107-130.New York: Leader to Leader Institute, 2004. (HD57.7 .B4 2004)

Hesselbein, Frances, and Marshall Goldsmith, eds. The Leader of the Future 2: Visions, Strategies,and Practices for the New Era. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass, 2006. 318pp. (HD57.7 .L41 2006)

Holyoak, Keith J., and Robert G. Morrison, eds. The Cambridge Handbook of Thinking andReasoning. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2005. 858pp. (BF441 .C36 2005)

Hughes, Richard L., and Katherine Colarelli Beatty. Becoming a Strategic Leader: Your Role inYour Organization’s Enduring Success. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass, 2005. 268pp. (HD57.7.H83 2005)

Isaksen, Scott G., and Joe Tidd. Meeting the Innovation Challenge: Leadership for Transformationand Growth. Hoboken: John Wiley, 2006. 392pp. (HD57.7 .I71 2006)

Johansen, Bob. Get There Early: Sensing the Future to Compete in the Present. San Francisco:Berrett-Koehler, 2007. 258pp. (HD30.28 .J53 2007)

Kao, John. Innovation Nation: How America Is Losing Its Innovation Edge, Why It Matters, andWhat We Can Do to Get It Back. New York: Free Press, 2007. 306pp. (HD45 .K15 2007)

Kaplan, Robert S., and David P. Norton. Strategy Maps: Converting Intangible Assets into TangibleOutcomes. Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 2004. 454pp. (HD30.28 .K16 2004)

Katz, Roberta. Change Management and Strategic Planning. Mill Valley, CA: Kantola Productions,2006. DVD. (HD30.28 .C31 2006)

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Kelly, Tom. The Ten Faces of Innovation: IDEO’s Strategies for Beating the Devil’s Advocate &Driving Creativity throughout Your Organization. New York: Currency/Doubleday, 2005.273pp. (HD58.9 .K43 2005)

Lawler, Edward E., III, and Christopher G. Worley. Built to Change: How to Achieve SustainedOrganizational Effectiveness. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass, 2006. 334pp. (HD58.8 .L18 2006)

LeGault, Michael R. Think!: Why Crucial Decisions Can’t Be Made in the Blink of an Eye. NewYork: Threshold Editions, 2006. 355pp. (E169.1 .L23 2006)

Light, Paul C. “Lessons on Managing Change.” In The Four Pillars of High Performance: HowRobust Organizations Achieve Extraordinary Results, 203-244. New York: McGraw-Hill, 2005.(HD58.8 .L54 2005)

Lucas, James R. Broaden the Vision and Narrow the Focus: Managing in a World of Paradox.Westport: Praeger, 2006. 208pp. (HD57.7 .L71 2006)

Martin, Roger L. The Opposable Mind: How Successful Leaders Win through Integrative Thinking.Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 2007. 210pp. (HD57.7 .M17 2007)

Martinez, Coleen K. Biodefense Research Supporting the DoD: A New Strategic Vision. CarlisleBarracks: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, 2007. 38pp. (U413 .A66M22007) http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/PUB767.pdf

McCauley, Cynthia D., and Ellen Van Velsor, eds. The Center for Creative Leadership Handbookof Leadership Development, 2d ed. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass, 2004. 528pp. (HD57 .C242004)

McCausland, Jeffrey D. Developing Strategic Leaders for the 21st Century. Carlisle Barracks: U.S.Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, 2008. 117pp. (U413 .A66M115 2008) http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/PUB839.pdf

Meinhart, Richard. Strategic Planning by the Chairmen, Joint Chiefs of Staff, 1990 to 2005. CarlisleBarracks: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, 2006. 28pp. (U413 .A66L48no.13) http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/PUB703.pdf

Messick, David M., and Roderick M. Kramer, eds. The Psychology of Leadership: New Perspec-tives and Research. Mahwah, N.J.: Lawrence Erlbaum, 2005. 347pp. (BF637 .L4P79 2005)

Michalko, Michael. Thinkertoys: A Handbook of Creative-Thinking Techniques, 2d ed. Berkeley:Ten Speed Press, 2006. 394pp. (HD53 .M31 2006)

Morgan, Howard, Phil Harkins, and Marshall Goldsmith, eds. “Coaching for OrganizationalChange.” In The Art and Practice of Leadership Coaching: 50 Top Executive Coaches RevealTheir Secrets, 153-188. Hoboken: Wiley, 2005. (HD57.7 .A67 2005)

Murphy, Robert M. Managing Strategic Change: An Executive Overview. Carlisle Barracks: U.S.Army War College, Department of Command, Leadership, and Management, 2003. 68pp.(U413 .D2M871 2003) http://www.au.af.mil/au/awc/awcgate/army-usawc/murphymgttext.pdf

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Northouse, Peter G. “Transformational Leadership.” In Leadership: Theory and Practice, 3d ed.,169-202. Thousand Oaks: Sage, 2004. (HM1261 .N56 2004)

Paul, Richard, and Linda Elder. The Miniature Guide to Critical Thinking: Concepts & Tools, 4thed. Dillon Beach: Foundation for Critical Thinking, 2004. 19pp. (BF441 .P39 2004)

Paul, Richard, and Linda Elder. The Thinker’s Guide to the Nature and Functions of Critical &Creative Thinking. Dillon Beach: Foundation for Critical Thinking, 2004. 48pp. (BF441 .P3852004)

Pink, Daniel H. A Whole New Mind: Moving from the Information Age to the Conceptual Age. NewYork: Riverhead Books, 2005. 260pp. (BF408 .P56 2005)

Puccio, Gerard J., Mary C. Murdock, and Marie Mance. Creative Leadership: Skills That DriveChange. Thousand Oaks: Sage, 2007. 308pp. (HD57.7 .P71 2007)

Realizing Change: Knowing When and How to Successfully Change. Houston: APQC Publications,2005. 127pp. (HD58.8 .R21 2005)

Ringland, Gill. Scenario Planning: Managing for the Future, 2d ed. Chichester, UK: Wiley, 2006.478pp. (HD30.28 .R56 2006)

Ruggiero, Vincent Ryan. The Art of Thinking: A Guide to Critical and Creative Thought, 7th ed.New York: Pearson/Longman, 2004. 267pp. (BF441 .R84 2004)

Ruggiero, Vincent Ryan. Beyond Feelings: A Guide to Critical Thinking, 7th ed. Boston: McGrawHill, 2004. 237pp. (BF441 .R85 2004)

Sashkin, Marshall. “Transformational Leadership Approaches: A Review and Synthesis.” In TheNature of Leadership, ed. John Antonakis, Anna T. Cianciolo, and Robert J. Sternberg, 171-196. Thousand Oaks: Sage, 2004. (HD57.7 .N377 2004)

Sawyer, Keith. Group Genius: The Creative Power of Collaboration. New York: Basic Books,2007. 274pp. (HD30.29 .S29 2007)

Schenecker, Parker B. The “Current” Commander: Understanding and Effecting Change in Civil-ian Organizations. Strategy Research Project. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, 2007.18pp. (AD-A468-838) http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA468838

Schick, Theodore, Jr., and Lewis Vaughn. How to Think about Weird Things: Critical Thinking fora New Age, 4th ed. Boston: McGraw-Hill, 2005. 338pp. (BC177 .S35 2005)

Schwartz, Peter. Inevitable Surprises: Thinking Ahead in a Time of Turbulence. New York: GothamBooks, 2003. 247pp. (HD30.28 .S317 2003)

Shambach, Stephen A., ed. Strategic Leadership Primer, 2d ed. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army WarCollege, Department of Command, Leadership, and Management, 2004. 68pp. (U413 .C67S772004)

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Sloan, Julia. Learning to Think Strategically. Boston: Elsevier/Butterworth-Heinemann, 2006.285pp. (HD30.28 .S53 2006)

Weiner, Edie, and Arnold Brown. Futurethink: How to Think Clearly in a Time of Change. UpperSaddle River: Pearson Prentice Hall, 2006. 286pp. (HD58.8 .W45 2006)

Welch, Jack. “Change: Mountains Do Move.” In Winning, 177-194. New York: Harper Business,2005. (HF5386 .W384 2005)

Wheatley, Margaret J. Finding Our Way: Leadership for an Uncertain Time. San Francisco:Berrett-Koehler, 2005. 296pp. (HD57.7 .W32 2005)

Wilcox, Martin, and Stephen Rush, eds. “How to Deal with Change.” In The CCL Guide to Leader-ship in Action: How Managers and Organizations Can Improve the Practice of Leadership,35-47. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass, 2004. (HD57.7 .C33 2004)

Yarger, Harry R. Strategic Theory for the 21st Century: The Little Book on Big Strategy. LetortPaper No. 12. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, 2006.83pp. (U413 .A66L48 no.12) http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/PUB641.pdf

Yukl, Gary. “Leading Change in Organizations.” In Leadership in Organizations, 6th ed., 284-317.Upper Saddle River: Pearson/Prentice Hall, 2006. (HD57.7 .Y85 2006)

Zinni, Tony, and Tony Koltz. The Battle for Peace: A Frontline Vision of America’s Power andPurpose. New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2006. 233pp. (E895 .Z35 2006)

Periodical Articles

Ahn, Mark J., John S.A. Adamson, and Daniel Dornbusch. “From Leaders to Leadership: ManagingChange.” Journal of Leadership & Organizational Studies 10 (Spring 2004): 112-123.ProQuest

Basadur, Min. “Leading Others to Think Innovatively Together: Creative Leadership.” The Leader-ship Quarterly 15 (February 2004): 103-121.

Cares, Jeff, and Jim Miskel. “Take Your Third Move First.” Harvard Business Review 85 (March2007): 20-21.

Christensen, Clayton M., Matt Marx, and Howard H. Stevenson. “The Tools of Cooperation andChange.” Harvard Business Review 84 (October 2006): 72-80.

Fernandez, Sergio, and Hal G. Rainey. “Managing Successful Organizational Change in the PublicSector.” Public Administration Review 66 (March-April 2006): 168-176. ProQuest

Fitzsimmons, Michael. “The Problem of Uncertainty in Strategic Planning.” Survival 48 (December2006): 131-146. InformaWorld

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Florida, Richard, and Jim Goodnight. “Managing for Creativity.” Harvard Business Review 83(July-August 2005): 124-131.

Folaron, Jim. “The Human Side of Change Leadership.” Quality Progress 38 (April 2005): 39-43.ProQuest

Friedberg, Aaron L. “Strengthening U.S. Strategic Planning.” Washington Quarterly 31 (Winter2007-2008): 47-60. MIT Press

Griffin, Sean D. “Critical Thinking: A Weapon for All Wars.” Marine Corps Gazette 89 (June2005): 44-45. ProQuest

Guillot, W. Michael. “Critical Thinking for the Military Professional.” Air & Space Power Journal -Chronicles Online Journal (June 2004). http://www.airpower.maxwell.af.mil/airchronicles/cc/guillot.html

Hines, Andy. “Strategic Foresight: The State of the Art.” Futurist 40 (September-October 2006):18-21. ProQuest

Jaussi, Kimberly S., and Shelley D. Dionne. “Leading for Creativity: The Role of UnconventionalLeader Behavior.” The Leadership Quarterly 14 (August-October 2003): 475-498.

Kan, Melanie M., and Ken W. Parry. “Identifying Paradox: A Grounded Theory of Leadership inOvercoming Resistance to Change.” The Leadership Quarterly 15 (August 2004): 467-491.

Kramer, Robert. “Leading Change through Action Learning.” Public Manager 36 (Fall 2007):38-44. ProQuest

Mumford, Michael D., Shane Connelly, and Blaine Gaddis. “How Creative Leaders Think: Experi-mental Findings and Cases.” The Leadership Quarterly 14 (August-October 2003): 411-432.

Nguyen Huy, Quy and Henry Mintzberg. “The Rhythm of Change.” MIT Sloan ManagementReview 44 (Summer 2003): 79-84. ProQuest

Nicholson, Demetrios J. “Seeing the Other Side of the Hill: The Art of Battle Command, Decision-making, Uncertainty, and Information Superiority Complex.” Military Review 85 (November-December 2005): 57-64. ProQuest

Owens, Mackubin Thomas. “Strategy and the Strategic Way of Thinking.” Naval War CollegeReview 60 (Autumn 2007): 111-124. ProQuest

Reiter-Palmon, Roni, and Jody J. Illies. “Leadership and Creativity: Understanding Leadership froma Creative Problem-Solving Perspective.” The Leadership Quarterly 15 (February 2004): 55-77.

Rejeski, David and Robert L. Olson. “Has Futurism Failed?” Wilson Quarterly 30 (Winter 2006):14-21. ProQuest

Schneider, James J. “Agents of Change: Transforming the Principles of War for the 21st Century.”Army 56 (July 2006): 25-32. ProQuest

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Schumm, Walter R., et al. “A Comparison of Methods for Teaching Critical Thinking Skills forU.S. Army Officers.” American Journal of Distance Education 20 (March 2006): 39-50.InformaWorld

Sirkin, Harold L., Perry Keenan, and Alan Jackson. “The Hard Side of Change Management.”Harvard Business Review 83 (October 2005): 108-118.

Spain, Everett S.P. “Managing Expectations While Leading Change.” Military Review 87 (March-April 2007): 74-85. ProQuest

Tucker, Bruce A., and Robert F. Russell. “The Influence of the Transformational Leader.” Journalof Leadership & Organizational Studies 10 (Spring 2004): 103-111. ProQuest

Tyler, Tom R., and David De Cremer. “Process-Based Leadership: Fair Procedures and Reactionsto Organizational Change.” The Leadership Quarterly 16 (August 2005): 529-545.

Vandergriff, Donald E. “Adaptive Leaders Course: Old Dogs Teaching New Tricks.” Part 1 of 2.Army 57 (November 2007): 59-66. ProQuest

Vandergriff, Donald E. “Adaptive Leaders Course: Old Dogs Teaching New Tricks.” Part 2 of 2.Army 57 (December 2007): 49-62. ProQuest

FUTURES STUDIES, FORECASTING, THE FUTURE WORLD SCENE

Books, Documents, and Internet Resources

Adams, John A., Jr. Bordering the Future: The Impact of Mexico on the United States. Westport:Praeger, 2006. 167pp. (HF1456.5 .M6A21 2006)

Alesina, Alberto, and Francesco Giavazzi. The Future of Europe: Reform or Decline. Cambridge:MIT Press, 2006. 186pp. (HC240 .A42 2006)

Anderson, Janna Quitney, and Lee Rainie. The Future of the Internet II. Washington, D.C.: PewInternet & American Life Project, 2006. 104pp. (HM851 .A52 2006) http://www.pewinternet.org/pdfs/PIP%5FFuture%5Fof%5FInternet%5F2006.pdf

Armacost, Michael H., and Daniel I. Okimoto, eds. The Future of America’s Alliances in NortheastAsia. Stanford: Asia-Pacific Research Center, 2004. 259pp. (DS518.8 .F87 2004)

Barnett, Thomas P.M. Blueprint for Action: A Future Worth Creating. New York: G.P. Putnam’sSons, 2005. 440pp. (JZ1480 .B37 2005)

Barnett, Thomas P.M. The Pentagon’s New Map: War and Peace in the Twenty-First Century. NewYork: Berkley Books, 2005. 435pp. (UA23 .B337 2005)

Beason, Doug. The E-Bomb: How America’s New Directed Energy Weapons Will Change the WayFuture Wars Will Be Fought. Cambridge: Perseus Running, 2006. 256pp. (UG486.5 .B4372006)

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Bensahel, Nora, and Daniel L. Byman, eds. The Future Security Environment in the Middle East:Conflict, Stability, and Political Change. Santa Monica: RAND, Project Air Force, 2004.345pp. (UA832 .F77 2004) http://www.rand.org/publications/MR/MR1640/MR1640.pdf

Berkowitz, Peter, ed. The Future of American Intelligence. Stanford: Stanford University, HooverInstitution Press, 2005. 184pp. (JK468 .I6F77 2005)

Biddle, Stephen D. American Grand Strategy after 9/11: An Assessment. Carlisle Barracks: U.S.Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, 2005. 44pp. (U413 .A66B33 2005) http://www.carlisle.army.mil/ssi/pdffiles/Pub603.pdf

Black, Jeremy. War and the New Disorder in the 21st Century. New York: Continuum, 2004.178pp. (U21.2 .B42 2004)

Campbell, Kurt M., et al. The Age of Consequences: The Foreign Policy and National SecurityImplications of Global Climate Change. Washington, D.C.: Center for Strategic & InternationalStudies, Center for a New American Security, 2007. 119pp. http://www.cnas.org/attachments/contentmanagers/1278/CSIS-CNAS_AgeofConsequences_October07.pdf

Campbell, Kurt M., and Michele A. Flournoy. The Inheritance and the Way Forward. Washington,D.C.: Center for a New American Security, June 2007. 39pp. http://www.cnas.org/attachments/contentmanagers/365/InheritanceReport.pdf

Canton, James. The Extreme Future: The Top Trends That Will Reshape the World for the Next 5,10, and 20 Years. New York: Dutton, 2006. 371pp. (CB161 .C15 2006)

Carter, Jimmy. Palestine: Peace Not Apartheid. New York: Simon & Schuster, 2006. 264pp.(DS119.7 .C16 2006)

Coker, Christopher. The Future of War: The Re-Enchantment of War in the Twenty-First Century.Malden: Blackwell, 2004. 162pp. (U21.2 .C54 2004)

Cordesman, Anthony H. Iraqi Security Forces: A Strategy for Success. Westport: Praeger SecurityInternational, 2006. 410pp. (DS79.769 .C67 2006)

Cornish, Edward. Futuring: The Exploration of the Future. Bethesda: World Future Society, 2004.313pp. (HM901 .C56 2004)

Dodge, Toby. Iraq’s Future: The Aftermath of Regime Change. Adelphi Paper No. 372. New York:Routledge, International Institute for Strategic Studies, 2005. 72pp. (U162 .A3 no.372)InformaWorld

Dyekman, Gregory J. Security Cooperation: A Key to the Challenges of the 21st Century. StrategyResearch Project. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, 2007. 18pp. (AD-A471-301)http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA471301

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Economy, Elizabeth C. The River Runs Black: The Environmental Challenge to China’s Future.Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 2004. 337pp. (HC430 .E5E36 2004)

Farnsworth, Jeffrey A. Spacepower: A Strategic Assessment and Way Forward. Strategy ResearchProject. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, 2007. 20pp. (AD-A469-671) http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA469671

Friedman, Thomas L. The World Is Flat: A Brief History of the Twenty-First Century, updated andexpanded ed. New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux, 2006. 600pp. (JZ1318 .F63 2006)

Gaffney, Frank J. War Footing: Ten Steps America Must Take to Prevail in the War for the FreeWorld. Annapolis: Naval Institute Press, 2006. 301pp. (UA23 .W161 2006)

Ganor, Boaz, ed. Post Modern Terrorism: Trends, Scenarios, and Future Threats. Herzliya, Israel:International Policy Institute for Counter-Terrorism, Interdisciplinary Center, 2005. 176pp.(HV6431 .P57 2005)

Gerstein, Daniel M. Securing America’s Future: National Strategy in the Information Age.Westport: Praeger Security International, 2005. 264pp. (UA23 .G553 2005) Praeger SecurityInternational

Gray, Colin S. Another Bloody Century: Future Warfare. London: Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 2005.431pp. (U21.2 .G61 2005)

Hain, D. Bruce. The Chinese Century: Sino-American Relations - Change, Challenges, andOpportunities in the 21st Century. Strategy Research Project. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. ArmyWar College, 2006. 28pp. (AD-A448-646) http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA448646

Hall, J. Storrs. Beyond AI: Creating the Conscience of the Machine. Amherst: Prometheus Books,2007. 408pp. (Q335 .H14 2007)

Hall, J. Storrs. Nanofuture: What’s Next for Nanotechnology. Amherst: Prometheus Books, 2005.333pp. (T174.7 .H14 2005)

Hammes, Thomas X. The Sling and the Stone: On War in the 21st Century. St. Paul: Zenith Press,2006. 321pp. (U241 .H16 2006)

Haney, Eric L., ed. Beyond Shock and Awe: Warfare in the 21st Century. New York: BerkleyCaliber, 2006. 258pp. (U42 .B29 2006)

Ilgen, Thomas L., ed. Hard Power, Soft Power, and the Future of Transatlantic Relations.Burlington: Ashgate, 2006. 207pp. (D1065 .U5H16 2006)

Independent Task Force on Immigration and America’s Future. Immigration and America’s Future:A New Chapter. Spencer Abraham and Lee H. Hamilton, Project Co-chairs. Washington, D.C.:Migration Policy Institute, Independent Task Force on Immigration and America’s Future,2006. 153pp. (JV6465 .I55 2006) http://www.migrationpolicy.org/task_force/new_chapter_summary.pdf

11

Institute for Security Studies. The New Global Puzzle: What World for the EU in 2025? NicoleGnesotto and Giovanni Grevi, Project Directors. Paris: European Union, Institute for SecurityStudies, 2006. 250pp. (JN30 .G52 2006) http://www.iss.europa.eu/uploads/media/NGP_01.pdf

Institute for the Future. 2004 Ten-Year Forecast: Perspectives. Menlo Park: Institute for the Future,2004. 95pp. (CB158 .T25 2004)

Jentleson, Bruce W. American Foreign Policy: The Dynamics of Choice in the 21st Century, 2d ed.New York: Norton, 2004. 693pp. (E840 .J46 2004)

Karoly, Lynn A., and Constantijn W.A. Panis. The 21st Century at Work: Forces Shaping theFuture Workforce and Workplace in the United States. Santa Monica: RAND, 2004. 258pp.(HD8072.5 .K16 2004) http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/2004/RAND_MG164.pdf

Kashmeri, Sarwar A. America and Europe after 9/11 and Iraq: The Great Divide. Westport:Praeger Security International, 2007. 128pp. (D2025.5 .U64K37 2007) Praeger SecurityInternational

Kerr, Joanna, Ellen Sprenger, and Alison Symington, eds. The Future of Women’s Rights: GlobalVisions and Strategies. New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2004. 224pp. (HQ1236 .F77 2004)

Khalsa, Sundri K. Forecasting Terrorism: Indicators and Proven Analytic Techniques. Lanham:Scarecrow Press, 2004. 103pp. (HV6431 .K475 2004)

Khalsa, Sundri K. Terrorism Forecasting: A Web-Based Methodology. Washington, D.C.: JointMilitary Intelligence College, Center for Strategic Intelligence Research, 2004. 83pp. (U428.J6O11 no.11)

Kotlikoff, Laurence J., and Scott Burns. The Coming Generational Storm: What You Need to Knowabout America’s Economic Future. Cambridge: MIT Press, 2004. 274pp. (HB3505 .K68 2004)

Kurzweil, Ray. The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology. New York: Viking,2005. 652pp. (QP376 .K76 2005)

Kynge, James. China Shakes the World: A Titan’s Rise and Troubled Future - And the Challengefor America. Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 2006. 270pp. (HC427.95 .K95 2006)

Levi, Michael A., and Michael E. O’Hanlon. The Future of Arms Control. Washington, D.C.:Brookings Institution Press, 2005. 190pp. (JZ5687 .L28 2005)

Levin, Michael L. The Next Great Clash: China and Russia vs. the United States. Westport: PraegerSecurity International, 2008. 195pp. Praeger Security International

Lia, Brynjar. Globalisation and the Future of Terrorism: Patterns and Predictions. New York:Routledge, 2005. 259pp. (HV6431 .L31 2005)

Libicki, Martin C., et al. Byting Back: Regaining Information Superiority against 21st-CenturyInsurgents. Santa Monica: RAND, 2007. 159pp. (JC328.5 .L32 2007) http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/2007/RAND_MG595.1.pdf

12

Lieber, Robert J. The American Era: Power and Strategy for the 21st Century. New York:Cambridge University Press, 2005. 255pp. (JZ1480 .L32 2005)

Lutz, Wolfgang, Warren C. Sanderson, and Sergei Scherbov. The End of World Population Growthin the 21st Century: New Challenges for Human Capital Formation and Sustainable Develop-ment. Sterling, VA: Earthscan, 2004. 341pp. (HB849.53 .E53 2004)

Mandeles, Mark D. The Future of War: Organizations as Weapons. Washington, D.C.: PotomacBooks, 2005. 212pp. (UA23 .M15 2005)

Martin, James. The Meaning of the 21st Century: A Vital Blueprint for Ensuring Our Future. NewYork: Riverhead Books, 2006. 431pp. (T174 .M16 2006)

Maugeri, Leonardo. The Age of Oil: The Mythology, History, and Future of the World’s MostControversial Resource. Westport: Praeger, 2006. 340pp. Praeger Security International

Miller, James N., and Shawn W. Brimley. Phased Transition: A Responsible Way Forward and Outof Iraq. Washington, D.C.: Center for a New American Security, June 2007. 64pp. http://www.cnas.org/pdf/IraqReport.pdf

Myers, Rodney S., Tanja F. Blackstone, and Myron C. Murset. Civilian Turnover and RetirementProjection Study. Millington, TN: Navy Personnel Research, Studies, and Technology, 2006.20pp. (HD5724 .M92 2006)

Navarro, Peter. The Coming China Wars: Where They Will Be Fought and How They Will Be Won.Upper Saddle River: Financial Times Press, 2007. 263pp. (HF1604 .N18 2007)

Newbold, K. Bruce. Six Billion Plus: World Population in the Twenty-First Century, 2d ed.Lanham: Rowman & Littlefield, 2007. 245pp. (HB849.53 .N481 2007)

O’Hanlon, Michael E. Defense Strategy for the Post-Saddam Era. Washington, D.C.: BrookingsInstitution Press, 2005. 148pp. (UA23 .O342 2005)

Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development. Infrastructure to 2030: Telecom, LandTransport, Water and Electricity. Paris: OECD, 2006. 355pp. (HC79 .C3I527 2006)

Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development, International Futures Programme.Space 2030: Exploring the Future of Space Applications. Paris: OECD International FuturesProgramme, 2004. 239pp. (T174 .S61 2004)

Ortega, Martin. Building the Future: The EU’s Contribution to Global Governance. Chaillot PaperNo. 100. Paris: European Union, Institute for Security Studies, 2007. 141pp. (JZ5584 .E85C3no.100) http://www.iss.europa.eu/uploads/media/cp100.pdf

Phares, Walid. Future Jihad: Terrorist Strategies against America. New York: Palgrave Macmillan,2005. 277pp. (HV6432 .P31 2005)

13

Pirages, Dennis, and Ken Cousins, eds. From Resource Scarcity to Ecological Security: ExploringNew Limits to Growth. Cambridge: MIT Press, 2005. 268pp. (HC79 .E5F76 2005)

Posner, Richard A. Preventing Surprise Attacks: Intelligence Reform in the Wake of 9/11. Stanford:Stanford University, Hoover Institution, 2005. 214pp. (JK468 .I6P57 2005)

Preston, Thomas. From Lambs to Lions: Future Security Relationships in a World of Biological andNuclear Weapons. Lanham: Rowman & Littlefield, 2007. 421pp. (U793 .P74 2007)

Rescher, Nicholas. Predicting the Future: An Introduction to the Theory of Forecasting. Albany:State University of New York Press, 1998. 315pp. (CB158 .R47 1998)

Roberts, Paul. The End of Oil: On the Edge of a Perilous New World. Boston: Houghton Mifflin,2004. 389pp. (HD9560.6 .R63 2004)

Rothstein, Hy S. Afghanistan and the Troubled Future of Unconventional Warfare. Annapolis:Naval Institute Press, 2006. 218pp. (UA23 .R57 2006)

Schnabel, Rockwell A. The Next Superpower?: The Rise of Europe and Its Challenge to the UnitedStates. Lanham: Rowman & Littlefield, 2005. 199pp. (JN30 .S35 2005)

Schneider, Barry R., and Jim A. Davis, eds. The War Next Time: Countering Rogue States andTerrorists Armed with Chemical and Biological Weapons, 2d ed. Maxwell Air Force Base: U.S.Air Force Counterproliferation Center, 2004. 267pp. (UG447 .W37 2004) http://www.au.af.mil/au/awc/awcgate/cpc-pubs/war_next_time/index.htm

Serfaty, Simon, ed. Visions of the Atlantic Alliance: The United States, the European Union, andNATO. Washington, D.C.: CSIS Press, 2005. 306pp. (JZ1480 .A54V37 2005)

Shultz, Richard H., Jr., and Andrea J. Dew. Insurgents, Terrorists, and Militias: The Warriors ofContemporary Combat. New York: Columbia University Press, 2006. 316pp. (U240 .S37 2006)

Silberglitt, Richard, et al. The Global Technology Revolution 2020, In-Depth Analyses: Bio-Nano-Materials-Information Trends, Drivers, Barriers, and Social Implications. Santa Monica:RAND, 2006. 281pp. (T174 .G45 2006) http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/2006/RAND_TR303.pdf

Simmons, Matthew R. Twilight in the Desert: The Coming Saudi Oil Shock and the WorldEconomy. Hoboken: Wiley, 2005. 428pp. (HD9576 .S33S35 2005)

Sims, Jennifer E., and Burton Gerber, eds. Transforming U.S. Intelligence. Washington, D.C.:Georgetown University Press, 2005. 285pp. (JK468 .I6T61 2005)

Sokolski, Henry, ed. Taming the Next Set of Strategic Weapons Threats. Carlisle Barracks: U.S.Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, 2006. 179pp. (U413 .A66T15 2006) http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/PUB707.pdf

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Solomon, Anne G.K., ed. Technology Futures and Global Power, Wealth, and Conflict: A Report ofthe Project on Technology Futures and Global Power, Wealth, and Conflict. Washington, D.C.:CSIS Press, 2005. 116pp. (T14.5 .T21 2005)

Steyn, Mark. America Alone: The End of the World as We Know It. Washington, D.C.: Regnery,2006. 224pp. (E895 .S72 2006)

Strachan, Hew, and Andreas Herberg-Rothe, eds. Clausewitz in the Twenty-First Century. Oxford:Oxford University Press, 2007. 319pp. (U102 .C61 2007)

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. New York:Random House, 2007. 366pp. (Q375 .T35 2007)

Terriff, Terry, Aaron Karp, and Regina Karp, eds. Global Insurgency and the Future of ArmedConflict: Debating Fourth-Generation Warfare. New York: Routledge, 2008. 303pp. (U241.G56 2008)

Terrill, W. Andrew, and Conrad C. Crane. Precedents, Variables, and Options in Planning a U.S.Military Disengagement Strategy from Iraq. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College,Strategic Studies Institute, 2005. 60pp. (U413 .A66T271 2005) http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA438695

Tiersky, Ronald, and Erik Jones, eds. Europe Today: A Twenty-First Century Introduction, 3d ed.Lanham: Rowman & Littlefield, 2007. 486pp. (JN12 .E868 2007)

United Nations. World Population to 2300. New York: United Nations, Department of Economicand Social Affairs, Population Division, 2004. 240pp. (HB849.53 .W56 2004)

U.S. Congressional Budget Office. Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2008 to 2018.Washington, D.C.: U.S. Congressional Budget Office, January 2008. 181pp. http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/89xx/doc8917/01-23-2008_BudgetOutlook.pdf

U.S. Congressional Budget Office. The Long-Term Budget Outlook. Washington, D.C.: U.S.Congressional Budget Office, December 2007. 52pp. http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/88xx/doc8877/12-13-LTBO.pdf

U.S. Defense Science Board. Defense Science Board Task Force on the Future of the Global Posi-tioning System. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Defense Science Board, Office of the Undersecretary ofDefense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics, October 2005. 99pp. http://www.acq.osd.mil/dsb/reports/2005-10-GPS_Report_Final.pdf

U.S. Department of State. U.S. Agency for International Development. Strategic Plan: Fiscal Years2007-2012: Transformational Diplomacy. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Department of State, U.S.Agency for International Development, 2007. 64pp. http://www.state.gov/documents/organization/82819.pdf

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U.S. Government Accountability Office. Forces That Will Shape America’s Future: Themes fromGAO’s Strategic Plan, 2007-2012. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Accountability Office,2007. 34pp. (CB161 .U53 2007) http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d07467sp.pdf

U.S. National Intelligence Council. Mapping the Global Future: Report of the National IntelligenceCouncil’s 2020 Project. Washington, D.C.: U.S. National Intelligence Council, 2004. 120pp.http://purl.access.gpo.gov/GPO/LPS57296

U.S. National Research Council, and U.S. Institute of Medicine. Globalization, Biosecurity, and theFuture of the Life Sciences. Washington, D.C.: National Academies Press, 2006. 299pp.(HV6433.3 .G45 2006) http://www.nap.edu/books/0309100321/html/index.html

Weidenfeld, Werner, et al., eds. From Alliance to Coalitions: The Future of Transatlantic Relations.Gütersloh, GE: Bertelsmann Foundation, 2004. 349pp. (HF1418.5 .W27 2004)

Periodical Articles

Beckett, Ian. “The Future of Insurgency.” Small Wars and Insurgencies 16 (March 2005): 22-36.InformaWorld

Betts, Richard K. “The Future of Force and U.S. National Security Strategy.” Korean Journal ofDefense Analysis 17 (Winter 2005): 7-26. http://www.kida.re.kr/english2007/publications/pdf/KIDA0p00000zck.pdf

Brigham, Lawson W. “Thinking about the Arctic’s Future: Scenarios for 2040.” Futurist 41(September-October 2007): 27-29, 31-34. ProQuest

Callahan, William A. “Future Imperfect: The European Union’s Encounter with China (and theUnited States).” Journal of Strategic Studies 30 (August 2007): 777-807. InformaWorld

Cetron, Marvin J., and Owen Davies. “Trends Now Shaping the Future: Economic, Societal, andEnvironmental Trends.” Futurist 39 (March-April 2005): 27-42. ProQuest

Cetron, Marvin J., and Owen Davies. “Trends Shaping Tomorrow’s World: Forecasts and Implica-tions for Business, Government, and Consumers (Part One).” Futurist 42 (March-April 2008):35-52. ProQuest

Cetron, Marvin J., and Owen Davies. “Worst-Case Scenario: The Middle East.” Futurist 41(September-October 2007): 16-25. ProQuest

Chiarelli, Peter W. “Learning from Our Modern Wars: The Imperatives of Preparing for aDangerous Future.” Military Review 87 (September-October 2007): 2-15. ProQuest

Cimbala, Stephen J. “Nuclear Weapons in the Twenty-First Century: From Simplicity toComplexity.” Defense & Security Analysis 21 (September 2005): 267-281. InformaWorld

16

Couldry, Nick. “New Media for Global Citizens? The Future of the Digital Divide Debate.”Brown Journal of World Affairs 14 (Fall-Winter 2007): 249-261.

Dorn, A. Walter. “Canadian Peacekeeping: Proud Tradition, Strong Future?” Canadian ForeignPolicy 12 (Fall 2005): 7-33. ProQuest

Elbe, Stefan. “HIV/AIDS: A Human Security Challenge for the 21st Century.” Whitehead Journalof Diplomacy and International Relations 7 (Winter-Spring 2006): 101-113.

Fishman, Brian. “After Zarqawi: The Dilemmas and Future of Al Qaeda in Iraq.” WashingtonQuarterly 29 (Autumn 2006): 19-32. MIT Press

Foster, Gregory D., et al. “Strategy and the Search for Peace.” Futurist 40 (November-December2006): 18-26. ProQuest

Friedberg, Aaron L. “The Future of U.S.-China Relations: Is Conflict Inevitable?” InternationalSecurity 30 (Fall 2005): 7-45. MIT Press

Fullerton, Richard. “The Future: Oil, America, and the Air Force.” Air & Space Power Journal 19(Winter 2005): 27-31. ProQuest

Garreau, Joel, et al. “The Next 30 Years.” Wilson Quarterly 30 (Winter 2006): 32-43. ProQuest

Gonzalez, Edward, and Kevin F. McCarthy. “Cuba’s Uncertain Future after Fidel.” BrownJournal of World Affairs 14 (Fall-Winter 2007): 27-39.

Gray, Colin. “Future Warfare: Or, the Triumph of History.” RUSI Journal 150 (October 2005):16-19. ProQuest

Gries, Peter Hays. “Forecasting US-China Relations, 2015.” Asian Security 2 (June 2006): 63-86.InformaWorld

Halloran, Richard. “Strategic Communication.” Parameters 37 (Autumn 2007): 4-14. ProQuest

Jalali, Ali A. “The Future of Afghanistan.” Parameters 36 (Spring 2006): 4-19. ProQuest

James, Andrew D. “European Military Capabilities, the Defense Industry and the Future Shape ofArmaments Co-operation.” Defense & Security Analysis 21 (March 2005): 5-19. InformaWorld

Jenkins, Philip. “Demographics, Religion, and the Future of Europe.” Orbis 50 (Summer 2006):519-539. Wilson Omnifile

Keller, Patrick. “The Future of NATO: Between Overstretch and Irrelevance.” American ForeignPolicy Interests 29 (May 2007): 207-217. InformaWorld

Klare, Michael T. “Global Warming Battlefields: How Climate Change Threatens Security.”Current History 106 (November 2007): 355-361. Current History Journal

Kohn, Richard H. “Coming Soon: A Crisis in Civil-Military Relations.” World Affairs 170 (Winter2008): 69-80. ProQuest

17

Kokjohn, Tyler A., and Kimbal E. Cooper. “In the Shadow of Pandemic.” Futurist 40 (September-October 2006): 52-58. ProQuest

Larsen, Jeffrey A. “Is There a Future for Non-Strategic Nuclear Weapons?” Defence Studies 6(March 2006): 52-72. InformaWorld

Lee, Margaret C. “The 21st Century Scramble for Africa.” Journal of Contemporary AfricanStudies 24 (September 2006): 303-330. InformaWorld

Legro, Jeffrey W. “What China Will Want: The Future Intentions of a Rising Power.” Perspectiveson Politics 5 (September 2007): 515-534. Cambridge

Levy, Steven. “The Future of Reading.” Newsweek 150 (26 November 2007): 56-64. ProQuest

Martin, James. “The 17 Great Challenges of the Twenty-First Century.” Futurist 41 (January-February 2007): 20-24. ProQuest

Moltz, James Clay. “The Past, Present, and Future of Space Security.” Brown Journal of WorldAffairs 14 (Fall-Winter): 187-195.

Patterson, Eric. “Just War in the 21st Century: Reconceptualizing Just War Theory after September11.” International Politics 42 (March 2005): 116-134. ProQuest

Pearson, Ian, and Ian Neild. “A Timeline for Technology: To the Year 2030 and Beyond.” Futurist40 (March-April 2006): 31-36. ProQuest

Pickering, Thomas R. “Diplomacy: The Future.” Fletcher Forum of World Affairs 29 (Winter2005): 191-199.

Podesta, John, and Peter Ogden. “The Security Implications of Climate Change.” WashingtonQuarterly 31 (Winter 2007-2008): 115-138. MIT Press

Rejeski, David and Robert L. Olson. “Has Futurism Failed?” Wilson Quarterly 30 (Winter 2006):14-21. ProQuest

Rothstein, Hy S. “Less Is More: The Problematic Future of Irregular Warfare in an Era of Collaps-ing States.” Third World Quarterly 28 (March 2007): 275-294. InformaWorld

Russell, James A. “Saudi Arabia in the 21st Century: A New Security Dilemma.” Middle EastPolicy 12 (Fall 2005): 64-78. ProQuest

Sabathier, Vincent, and G. Ryan Faith. “Present and Future Expansion into Outer Space.” BrownJournal of World Affairs 14 (Fall-Winter 2007): 147-157.

Saffo, Paul. “Six Rules for Effective Forecasting.” Harvard Business Review 85 (July-August2007): 122-131.

Schlesinger, James. “Thinking Seriously: About Energy and Oil’s Future.” National Interest, no. 82(Winter 2005-2006): 19-24. ProQuest

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Smith, Julianne, and Derek Mix. “The Transatlantic Climate Change Challenge.” WashingtonQuarterly 31 (Winter 2007-2008): 139-154. MIT Press

Stancati, Bernard. “The Future of Canada’s Role in Hemispheric Defense.” Parameters 36 (Autumn2006): 103-116. ProQuest

Tenner, Edward. “The Future Is a Foreign Country.” Wilson Quarterly 30 (Winter 2006): 62-66.ProQuest

Thurmond, Will. “Biodiesel’s Bright Future.” Futurist 41 (July-August 2007): 27-30. ProQuest

Walton, C. Dale. “Not Only Islamism: Great Power Politics and the Future of Terrorism.”Comparative Strategy 26 (January 2007): 21-37 InformaWorld

Wunderle, William, and Andre Briere. “Uncertain Future: A Strategic Review of the Middle Eastand Implications for the United States.” Comparative Strategy 26 (May 2007): 205-214.InformaWorld

THE U.S. MILITARY AND THE FUTURE

Books, Documents, and Internet Resources

Adams, Thomas K. The Army After Next: The First Postindustrial Army. Westport: Praeger Secu-rity International, 2006. 327pp. Praeger Security International

Alexander, John B. The Changing Nature of Warfare, the Factors Mediating Future Conflict, andImplication for SOF. JSOU Report No. 06-1. Hurlbert Field: JSOU Press, 2006. 48pp. (U262.J65 no. 06-1)

Association of the United States Army. Institute of Land Warfare. 2006 and Beyond: What the U.S.Army Is Doing. Torchbearer National Security Report. Arlington: Association of the UnitedStates Army, Institute of Land Warfare, March 2006. 31pp. (UA23 .A95T86 2006) http://www.ausa.org/PDFdocs/TBSecRpt/TBear%5FMarch%5F06%5Foptimized.pdf

Association of the United States Army. Institute of Land Warfare. Future Combat Systems: Takingthe Current Force into the Future. Background Brief, no.103W. Arlington: Association of theUnited States Army, Institute of Land Warfare, June 2005. 11pp. http://www.ausa.org/pdfdocs/BB103W.pdf

Association of the United States Army. Institute of Land Warfare. The U.S. Army: A Modular Forcefor the 21st Century. Torchbearer National Security Report. Arlington: Association of theUnited States Army, Institute of Land Warfare, March 2005. 27pp. (UA23 .A95U57 2005)http://www.ausa.org/pdfdocs/TB%5FModularity.pdf

Beason, Doug. The E-Bomb: How America’s New Directed Energy Weapons Will Change the WayFuture Wars Will Be Fought. Cambridge: Perseus Running, 2006. 256pp. (UG486.5 .B4372006)

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Bentley, Christopher F. Integrated Capabilities: Evolving Joint Capabilities for a Strategic Envi-ronment. Strategy Research Project. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, 2007. 16pp.(AD-A469-388) http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA469388

Brown, Charles Q., Jr. Developing Doctrine for the Future Joint Force: Creating Synergy andMinimizing Seams. Fellows Research Report. Maxwell Air Force Base: U.S. Air University,2004. 115pp. http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA430936

Coker, Christopher. The Future of War: The Re-Enchantment of War in the Twenty-First Century.Malden, MA: Blackwell, 2004. 162pp. (U21.2 .C54 2004)

Collins, Ruth B., William T. Johnsen, William G. Pierce, George E. Reed, George E. Teague, andMarybeth P. Ulrich. Educating Strategic Leaders in an Age of Uncertainty: The Future of Mili-tary War Colleges. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army War College, 2005. 131pp. (U413 .C64 2005)

Cordesman, Anthony H. Salvaging American Defense: The Challenge of Strategic Overstretch.Westport: Praeger Security International, 2007. 470pp. (UA23 .C674 2007) Praeger SecurityInternational

Cote, Owen R., Jr. The Future of Naval Aviation. Cambridge: MIT, Security Studies Program,2006. 74pp. (VG93 .C67 2006) http://web.mit.edu/ssp/people/cote/MIT%5FSSP%5FFutureofNavalAviation.pdf

Dockery, Kevin. Future Weapons. New York: Berkley Caliber, 2007. 326pp. (UF500 .D68 2007)

Dombrowski, Peter, ed. Naval Power in the Twenty-First Century: A Naval War College ReviewReader. Newport: Naval War College Press, 2005. 310pp. (V420 .U54N29 no.24) http://www.nwc.navy.mil/press/newportpapers/documents/NP24WEB.pdf

Echevarria, Antulio J., II. Fourth-Generation War and Other Myths. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. ArmyWar College, Strategic Studies Institute, 2005. 21pp. (U413 .A66E136 2005) http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/PUB632.pdf

Echevarria, Antulio J., II. Toward an American Way of War. Carlisle Barracks: U.S. Army WarCollege, Strategic Studies Institute, 2004. 29pp. (U413 .A66E133 2004) http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA421512

Edwards, John. The Geeks of War: The Secretive Labs and Brilliant Minds behind Tomorrow’sWarfare Technologies. New York: AMACOM, 2005. 221pp. (U393 .E38 2005)

Evans, Michael, Alan Ryan, and Russell Parkin, eds. Future Armies, Future Challenges: LandWarfare in the Information Age. Crows Nest, NSW, Australia: Allen & Unwin, 2004. 370pp.(UG748 .F77 2004)

Flournoy, Michele A., and Tammy Schultz. Shaping U.S. Ground Forces for the Future: GettingExpansion Right. Washington, D.C.: Center for a New American Security, 2007. 52pp. http://www.cnas.org/pdf/Ground_Forces.pdf

Gray, Colin S. Another Bloody Century: Future Warfare. London: Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 2005.431pp. (U21.2 .G61 2005)

20

Hammes, Thomas X. The Sling and the Stone: On War in the 21st Century. St. Paul: Zenith Press,2006. 321pp. (U241 .H16 2006)

Haney, Eric L., ed. Beyond Shock and Awe: Warfare in the 21st Century. New York: BerkleyCaliber, 2006. 258pp. (U42 .B29 2006)

Hoehn, Andrew R. A New Division of Labor: Meeting America’s Security Challenges beyond Iraq.Santa Monica: RAND, 2007. 112pp. (UA23 .N282 2007) http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/2007/RAND_MG499.pdf

Johnson, David E. Learning Large Lessons: The Evolving Roles of Ground Power and Air Power inthe Post-Cold War Era, new updated ed. Santa Monica: RAND, 2007. 235pp. (UA23 .J5212007) http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/2007/RAND_MG405-1.pdf

Johnson, David E., et al. Joint Paths to the Future Force: A Report on Unified Quest 2004. SantaMonica: RAND, 2006. 76pp. (U260 .J532 2006) http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/2006/RAND_MG391.pdf

Kagan, Frederick W. Finding the Target: The Transformation of American Military Policy. NewYork: Encounter Books, 2006. 443pp. (UA23 .K13 2006)

Lord, Carnes, ed. Reposturing the Force: U.S. Overseas Presence in the Twenty-First Century.Newport: Naval War College Press, 2006. 194pp. (V420 .U54N29 no.26) http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA459914

Lynch, Kristin F., et al. Supporting the Future Total Force: A Methodology for Evaluating PotentialAir National Guard Mission Assignments. Santa Monica: RAND, 2007. 218pp. (UG633 .L952007) http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/2007/RAND_MG539.pdf

Maccagnan, Victor, Jr. Logistics Transformation: Restarting a Stalled Process. Carlisle Barracks:U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, 2005. 37pp. (U413 .C2M12 2005) http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA430726

Mandeles, Mark D. The Future of War: Organizations as Weapons. Washington, D.C.: PotomacBooks, 2005. 212pp. (UA23 .M15 2005)

Matthews, Lloyd J., ed. The Future of the Army Profession. Don M. Snider, Project Director. 2d ed.,rev. and expanded. Boston: McGraw-Hill, 2005. 762pp. (UB147 .F87 2005)

McCausland, Jeffrey D. Educating Leaders in an Age of Uncertainty: The Future of Military WarColleges. Neil Weissman, Project Supervisor. Carlisle: Dickinson College, Leadership inConflict Initiative, 2005. 380pp. http://alpha.dickinson.edu/departments/leadership/Smith%20Richardson/Smith%20Richardson%20Report%20Page.htm

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Periodical Articles

Boston, Scott. “Toward a Protected Future Force.” Parameters 34 (Winter 2004-2005): 55-70.ProQuest

Bradley, John A. “An Unrivaled Wingman: Air Force Reserve Vision.” Joint Force Quarterly, no.43 (4th Quarter 2006): 18-23. ProQuest

Brasher, Nathan. “Unmanned Aerial Vehicles and the Future of Air Combat.” Proceedings: U.S.Naval Institute 131 (July 2005): 36-39. ProQuest

Carafano, James J. “Sustaining Military Capabilities in the 21st Century: Rethinking the Utility ofthe Principles of War.” American Intelligence Journal 23 (Autumn-Winter 2005): 67-72.

Christianson, C.V. “Joint Logistics in the Future.” Joint Force Quarterly, no. 41 (2d Quarter 2006):76-79. ProQuest

Cohen, Eliot. “The US Military after Iraq: A Speculation.” RUSI Journal 151 (February 2006):20-22. ProQuest

Coss, Michael A. “Joint Professionals: Here Today, Here to Stay.” Joint Force Quarterly, no. 38(3d Quarter 2005): 92-99. ProQuest

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Crea, Vivien. “The U.S. Coast Guard: A Flexible Force for National Security.” Naval War CollegeReview 60 (Winter 2007): 14-23. ProQuest

Cucullu, Gordon. “Our New-Millennium Military.” American Enterprise 16 (September 2005):42-45. ProQuest

Dalton, Jane G. “Future Navies - Present Issues.” Naval War College Review 59 (Winter 2006):17-39. ProQuest

Doggrell, Les. “Operationally Responsive Space: A Vision for the Future of Military Space.” Air &Space Power Journal 20 (Summer 2006): 42-49. http://www.airpower.maxwell.af.mil/airchronicles/apj/apj06/sum06/doggrell.html

Erwin, Sandra I. “Heavy Seas Ahead: The Fleet and Crew Are Poised to Shrink, But the Navy’sMissions Are Growing.” Government Executive 37 (15 July 2005): 68-78. ProQuest

Erwin, Sandra I. “Marines Probing New Ways to Fight Future Insurgencies.” National Defense 90(October 2005): 14-15. ProQuest

Fastabend, David A., and Robert H. Simpson. “Adapt or Die: The Imperative for a Culture of Inno-vation in the United States Army.” Army 54 (February 2004): 14-22. ProQuest

“Forum: The Future of Reserve Forces.” 11 articles. Joint Force Quarterly, no. 36 (December2004): 17-87. http://www.dtic.mil/doctrine/jel/jfq_pubs/issue36.htm

Fullerton, Richard. “The Future: Oil, America, and the Air Force.” Air & Space Power Journal 19(Winter 2005): 27-31. ProQuest

Grange, David L. “Developing Irregular Warfare Leaders for the 21st Century.” NationalStrategy Forum Review 16 (Summer 2007): 5-10. http://0185745.netsolhost.com/Programs/NationalStrategyForumReview/PastNSFRIssues/Summer2007V16Issue3/Summer2007DevelopingIrregularWarfare/tabid/86/Default.aspx

Gray, Colin. “Future Warfare: Or, the Triumph of History.” RUSI Journal 150 (October 2005):16-19. ProQuest

Grier, Peter. “Space - The Next 50 Years.” Air Force Magazine 88 (February 2005): 70-73.http://www.afa.org/magazine/feb2005/0205space.pdf

Grissom, Adam. “The Future of Military Innovation Studies.” Journal of Strategic Studies 29(October 2006): 905-934. InformaWorld

Hammes, Thomas X. “Dealing with Uncertainty.” Marine Corps Gazette 89 (November 2005):36-40. ProQuest

Hammes, Thomas X. “Fourth Generation Warfare Evolves, Fifth Emerges.” Military Review 87(May-June 2007): 14-23. ProQuest

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Harper, David. “Targeting the American Will and Other Challenges for 4th-Generation Leader-ship.” Military Review 87 (March-April 2007): 94-104. ProQuest

Harter, Mark E. “Ten Propositions Regarding Space Power: The Dawn of a Space Force.” Air &Space Power Journal 20 (Summer 2006): 64-126. ProQuest

Harvey, Francis J. “Shaping the 21st Century US Army.” Military Technology 29, no. 10 (2005):20-29. ProQuest

Helmly, James R. “The Army Reserve: Focus on the Future.” Army 56 (February 2006): 26-33.ProQuest

Hilburn, Matt. “Future Launch: A Few Visionary Marines Would Take Expeditionary Warfare toNew Heights.” Sea Power 49 (February 2006): 28-31. ProQuest

Hoffman, James C., and Charles Tustin Kamps. “At the Crossroads: Future ‘Manning’ forUnmanned Aerial Vehicles.” Air & Space Power Journal 19 (Spring 2005): 31-37. ProQuest

Keeton, Pamela, and McCann, Mark. “An Army of One Voice: The Service Needs a StrategicVision for Communications.” Armed Forces Journal 143 (August 2005): 42-45.

Kennedy, Harold. “Marines Struggle to Begin Rebuilding Force in ‘07.” National Defense 90 (April2006): 46-47. ProQuest

Kroesen, Frederick J. “The Future of the U.S. Army.” Army 55 (July 2005): 12, 14. ProQuest

Lasswell, James A. “Achieving Future Capabilities: Using Science and Technology - The MarineCorps’ Strategic Plan.” Marine Corps Gazette 90 (January 2006): 10, 12. ProQuest

Levinson, Rob. “What Do We Do Next Time? Fighting America’s Wars after Iraq.” Air & SpacePower Journal 21 (Winter 2007): 28-30. ProQuest

L’Heureux, Christopher D. “Tactical Logistics: Adapting for the Future.” Armor 114 (January-February 2005): 39-45. ProQuest

Manning, Elizabeth H. “It’s Y Time: A New Generation of Young Adults Entering the WorkforceIs Like None That Has Come Before, and the Military Is Learning to Adapt.” Officer 83(July-August 2007): 36-41.

McNeill, Dan K. “Army Force Generation: U.S. Army Forces Command Future.” Army 55(October 2005): 63-70. ProQuest

Metz, Steven, and Raymond Millen. “Insurgency and Counterinsurgency in the 21st Century:Reconceptualizing Threat and Response.” Special Warfare 17 (February 2005): 6-21. ProQuest

Murdock, Clark A., and Richard W. Weitz. “Beyond Goldwater-Nichols: New Proposals forDefense Reform.” Joint Force Quarterly, no. 38 (3d Quarter 2005): 34-41. ProQuest

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Pappalardo, Joe. “Cybersecurity.” National Defense 90 (October 2005): 23-25. ProQuest

Pardesi, Manjeet Singh. “Unmanned Aerial Vehicles/Unmanned Combat Aerial Vehicles: LikelyMissions and Challenges for the Policy-Relevant Future.” Air & Space Power Journal 19 (Fall2005): 45-54, 127. ProQuest

Peters, Ralph. “The Shape of Wars to Come: We Need to Think Creatively about Our Expedition-ary Future.” Armed Forces Journal 142 (May 2005): 38-40.

Peters, Ralph. “The Sleeping Service: The Navy Has a Brilliant Future - If It Wakes Up.” ArmedForces Journal 143 (December 2005): 40-43. http://www.armedforcesjournal.com/2005/12/1193748

Petraeus, David H. “To Ph.D. or Not to Ph.D…”American Interest 2 (July-August 2007): 16-28.

Reynolds, Kevin P. “Building the Future Force: Challenges to Getting Military TransformationRight.” Contemporary Security Policy 27 (December 2006): 435-471. InformaWorld

Rogers, Phillipe D. “Changing Our Corps.” Marine Corps Gazette 89 (July 2005): 44-46. ProQuest

Scales, Robert H. “The Shape of Brigades to Come.” Armed Forces Journal 143 (October 2005):28-32.

Shibilski, Daniel P. “Future of Air Force Intelligence.” Proceedings: U.S. Naval Institute 132(February 2006): 48-51. ProQuest

Silverstein, Judy L. “A Coast Guard for the 21st Century.” Proceedings: U.S. Naval Institute 131(August 2005): 46-50. ProQuest

Szafranski, Richard. “The First Rule of Modern Warfare: Never Bring a Knife to a Gunfight.”Air & Space Power Journal 19 (Winter 2005): 19-26. ProQuest

Terriff, Terry. “Of Romans and Dragons: Preparing the US Marine Corps for Future Warfare.”Contemporary Security Policy 28 (April 2007): 143-162. InformaWorld

Vorobyov, I.N. “Characteristics of Combat Actions (Operations) in Future Wars.” Military Thought14, no. 2 (2005): 63-75. ProQuest

Whitehead, Stuart A. “Battle Command: Toppling the Tower of Babel.” Military Review 85(September-October 2005): 22-25. ProQuest

Wilson, J.R. “Science Nonfiction: On Land and Undersea, Smart, Agile Robots Will Help WageFuture Wars.” Armed Forces Journal 142 (May 2005): 28-32.

Wooley, Michael W. “America’s Quiet Professionals: Specialized Airpower - Yesterday, Today,and Tomorrow.” Air & Space Power Journal 19 (Spring 2005): 59-66. ProQuest

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