strategic update - cps energy · watts of energy mwh megawatt hour unit for measuring power that is...
TRANSCRIPT
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STRATEGIC UPDATE
PRESENTED BYPaula Gold-Wil l iams,
Pres ident & CEO
March 6, 2018
I n f o r m a t i o n a l U pda t e
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AGENDA
PART 1: THOUGHT LEADERSHIP / FLEXIBLE PATH
PART 2: POTENTIAL SOLAR OPTION FOR COSA
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WE HAD:
• Great External Speakers
• Updates from our Sr. Chiefs
• City & State Congressional Guests
• Social Media
• PRESS CONFERENCE on Smart City
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2ND ANNUAL FUTURE OF ENERGY SYMPOSIUM
Paula Gold-Williams kicked off the 2nd Annual Future of Energy Symposium Dr. Cris Eugster hosted a panel on
energy & its foundational role for our smart city with guests Dr. Massoud Amin and Clint Vince
Mayor Ron Nirenberg discussed our path for moving our city forward, thru focuses on climate, renewables & other emerging topics.
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2ND ANNUAL FUTURE OF ENERGY SYMPOSIUM
Dr. Cavanagh explained how federal policy on home appliances has supported energy conservation. Then he & I discussed how gas is an important value proposition for SA.
“FELECIA TALKS:” Our Chief Customer Engagement Officer (CCEO) explained how the voice of the customer was anchoring our path forward.
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Now: Renewables and Traditional Generation
Future: Renewables and Energy Storage
DEVELOPING A FLEXIBLE FUTURE
Traditional power plants play an important role in firming up renewables until energy storage reaches utility scale
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Currently not economical.
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WHY FLEXIBLE?
• Predictable customer load
• Predictable customer growth
• Consistent generation levels
Traditional(Historical)
40+ Year Baseload Assets
Traditional Power Plants
Flexible(Future)
• Energy Efficiency
o Equipment using less energy
o Declining use per customer
• More Potential for Renewables
o Intermittency in generation
o Renewables serving off-peak hours
• New technologies on the horizon
Need Ability to AdaptFlexible Generation Path
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WILL CONSIDER & ASSESS:• Moving up shut down of JK Spruce 1 to 2030 from 2047
• Removing the JK Spruce 1 coal unit SCR* from business plan & budget• Extending life of Combined Cycle plants (AVR & Rio Nogales) additional 8 years• Adding 4,100 MW of renewables by 2040 (in addition to current 1,600 = 5,700
MW)• Adding 550 MW of battery storage (duration increased from 1 to 4 hours
discharge)
• Including Flexible Generation build in smaller increments to fill remaining load forecast gap– MAJOR CONSIDERATION: “Price to Beat” based on Natural Gas Combined Cycle (NGCC) - $
per MWh & capacity factor
FLEX PLAN KEY ASSUMPTIONS
The Flexible Generation Path allows for updates in strategic direction as technologies & customer needs change
* Selective Catalytic Reduction (Reduces NOx)8
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14% 11% 9%
18%14%
7%
45%49%
13%
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22%21%
50%
6% 5%
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100%
2018Traditional
2040Traditional
2040Flexible Plan
Nameplate Mix
Storage/TechRenewablesFlex GenGasCoalNuclear
FLEXIBLE PATH STRATEGY - CAPACITY MIX
Natural Gas combined cycle provides the baseline pivot within the Flexible Path Strategy. Will adjust our plan when competing technology provides more benefit.
Under the new Flexible Path Strategy, we have multiple options.
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TWH
CY
Flexible Plan
Nuclear Coal Gas Flex Gen Renewables MrktPurch
FLEXIBLE PATH STRATEGY – ALL GEN MIX (TWh)
A flexible path strategy with renewable and market purchase options.
Market purchases could be renewables.
While we’re not projecting to be long in generation, especially if Distributed Generation materializes, we will ensure that a balanced portfolio approach is maintained.
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ELECTRIC VEHICLES (EVs)
• U.S. EV sales are growing, but are only about 1% of total U.S. vehicle sales.
• EV sales are predicted to be over 50% of new car sales by 2040.
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U.S. EV Sales
OTHER NEW OPPORTUNITY!
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ELECTRIC VEHICLE PILOT NETWORK
146 Charging Stations!
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ELECTRIC VEHICLE CHARGING STATION LOCATIONS
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Cit
y &
Co
un
ty • Libraries
• Public Garages
• County Services
• Community College
• Port SA
Edu
cati
on • UTSA
• ACCD
Ad
dit
ion
al L
oca
tio
ns • Hospital &
Medical Clinics
• Grocery Stores & Malls
• Entertainment
• Workplace
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ELECTRIC VEHICLE CHALLENGES
• Unauthorized commercial EV charging stations are operating in the Greater San Antonio Area, creating the following risks:
• Customers being charged high rates for use of these stations
• Creates potential public and employee safety hazards if the interconnection is not set up properly
• Owners of these stations violate the law by reselling electricity in the area powered by CPS Energy
• CPS Energy is currently developing a framework for installation of charging stations by authorized vendors where they are needed
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MORE ROOFLESS SOLAR!
• Phase 1 sold out quickly, customer feedback very positive
• Seeking vendor to build up to 5 MW in CPS Energy territory
• Encouraging innovative approaches
RFP responses received February 26, 2018
Target to award contract by June 2018
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TENTATIVE RFP TIMELINE
2/26 3/6Early April
3/7-3/28
Proposals Due
Minimum RequirementsPre-Screening
Completed
Short List to Steering
Committee
VendorRecommendation
Award Contract
End of April May-June
Technical Evaluation
Short List InterviewsContract
Negotiations
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Thank You
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COSA’S PATHWAY TO 100% RENEWABLES
FOR CITY FACILITIESPRESENTED BY:
Cris Eugster
Chief Operating Officer
March 6, 2018
In fo rmat iona l Update
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TABLE OF CONTENTS• DIVERSIFICATION & CREATIVITY
• THE VISION AND CAPABILITIES
• COSA’S USAGE
• PATHWAY TO SUCCESS
• GETTING TO 100% RENEWABLE
• NEXT STEPS
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DIVERSIFICATION & CREATIVITYOur strategic strength in energy diversification &its continual focus on being creative positions us to be able to support COSA’s &other local governments’ environmental & climate goals!
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THE VISION
• We are the ideal strategic partner to deliver solutions to meet this goal & achieve a green energy supply for COSA facilities
• We can provide options & flexible approaches with our broad renewable portfolio & programs
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Solara 110 MW
Pearl 50 MW
Sirius 110 MW
Helios 95 MWEclipse 40 MW
Sinkin 1&2 20 MW
Somerset 11 MW
Alamo 1 40 MW
Alamo 2 - 4.4 MW
Alamo 3 - 5.5 MW
Blue Wing14 MWSweetwater 3 &4
341 MW
Desert Sky 1&2 161 MW
Cedro Hill 150 MW
Los Vientos 200 MW
Penascal 77 MW
Papalote Creek 130 MW
Ivory 50 MW
-Wind Farms
-Solar Farms
Legend:
Community Solar 1 MW
LARGE SOLAR & WIND PORTFOLIO
Residential Solar• 88 MW
homeowner owned
• 5 MW Solar Host installed and in-flight
• 1 MW Community Solar installed
• 5 MW Community Solar RFP
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#1 IN SOLAR IN TEXASAlamo 7 Solar Farm 106.4 MW – Haskell, Texas
Alamo 6 Solar Farm 110.2 MW – Pecos County, Texas
CPS Energy has over 500 MW of Solar
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ADDITIONAL PROGRAMS
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Energy EfficiencySolar Host & Roofless Solar
WeatherizationElectric Charging
Solar Rebates
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CURRENT COSA USAGE
• City Facilities: ~1,200
• Annual Average Usage: ~225,000 MWh
• Current Renewable Procurement: ~3,350 MWh• Renewable % of total load: 1.5%
• Includes direct renewable pricing & COSA-owned on-site
• Solar Host participation ~300 kW
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COSA’S PATH TO 100% RENEWABLE/SOLAR
Synthetic New Renewable Generation
• Synthetic• Written Structural
Transactions
There are many pathways to success
Hybrid RenewablesSolarWind
+Traditional Generation
RenewablesSolarWind
+Energy Storage
Short Term Very Long Term
RECs* PPAs**
Physical Assets
Rebated Non-Rebated
* RECs: Renewable Energy Credits** PPAs: Purchased Power Agreements
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CPS ENERGY WILL FIRM UP RENEWABLES
NOW: RENEWABLES & TRADITIONAL GEN. FUTURE: RENEWABLES + ENERGY STORAGE
Traditional generation is playing the role of “virtual storage” for renewable energy until energy storage technology scales up.
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PATHWAY TO SUCCESS
• Utilize CPS Energy Renewable Energy Credits (RECs) tied to our solar & wind farms
• Flexible build out of rooftop solar on COSA facilities supported by solar rebate
• Ability to integrate new technologies & opportunities in the future
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Build 3 MW Solar (example)
Upfront Capital Cost
- CPS Energy Rebate
= Net Capital Cost
ROOFTOP SOLAR + CPS ENERGY RECSGETTING TO 100% RENEWABLE IN 2018
CPS Energy RECs(example)
Value of CPS RECs
x 216,500 MWh
= Cost Per Year
e- +
Purchase of RECs added to electric bill 12
Rooftop solar requires capital investment
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On Site Gen
CPS Energy RECs
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100% RENEWABLE COSA CAN CONTROL THE PROGRAM
CPS Energy RECs
On Site Gen
2018 2018
Small On-Site Buildout Aggressive On-Site Buildout
COSA can be 100% renewable quickly with the ability to scale using the CPS Energy portfolio
2%
15%
98% 85%
2%
100%
98%
or
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ROOFTOP SOLAR + RECSFLEXIBLE OPTIONS
Benefits
• RECs are tied to physical CPS Energy solar and wind farms
• Ability to achieve 100% renewable in the short-term
• Blend of on-site generation supplemented with CPS Energy renewable portfolio
• Utility cost savings from solar production to offset the cost of RECS
• Flexibility to slow down or speed up on-site generation based on changing solar panel costs
• Ability to adjust approach at any time
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NEXT STEPS
• Meet with COSA about path forward
• Finalize proposal to COSA
• Begin internal process to support transaction
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Thank You
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GLOSSARY
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DEFINITIONS
Acronym Term Definition
MW MegawattA measure of the capability to produce one million watts of energy
MWh Megawatt hourUnit for measuring power that is equivalent to one million watts; equal to 1,000 kilowatt hours (Kwh)
PPAPurchase Power Agreement
A contract between two parties, one who generates electricity and one who purchases the energy
RECRenewable Energy Credit
Tradeable, non-tangible energy commodity representing proof that 1 MWh of electricity was generated from an eligible renewable energy source
SyntheticA virtual PPA where the buyer receives RECs directly from the renewable generator but does not take physical delivery of power.