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Strategic Research Agenda Prof Douglas Paul Director: James Watt Nanofabrication Centre University of Glasgow, U.K. [email protected]

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Page 1: Strategic Research Agenda - ICT-Energy · Domestic wifi router, mobile phone, LED bulb Smartphone, Tablet, Laptop MPU, low-energy bulb Desktop computer High performance workstation,

Strategic Research Agenda

Prof Douglas Paul

Director: James Watt Nanofabrication Centre University of Glasgow, U.K.

[email protected]

Page 2: Strategic Research Agenda - ICT-Energy · Domestic wifi router, mobile phone, LED bulb Smartphone, Tablet, Laptop MPU, low-energy bulb Desktop computer High performance workstation,

What is a Strategic Research Agenda?

Roadmap and links to other appropriate roadmaps

> 30 page document with executive summary

Strategic objectives / recommendations to drive common research objectives

Comparison of different approaches

Overview / brief introduction of field (laymans version - everyone can understand)

Ultimately used by Brussels to aid what should / could be funded in the future

Page 3: Strategic Research Agenda - ICT-Energy · Domestic wifi router, mobile phone, LED bulb Smartphone, Tablet, Laptop MPU, low-energy bulb Desktop computer High performance workstation,

EC 2020 CO2 Emission Target

106

107

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

CO

2 (

Mil

lio

n k

g p

er y

ea

r)

Year

World

China

EU28

USA

2020

20% target

Page 4: Strategic Research Agenda - ICT-Energy · Domestic wifi router, mobile phone, LED bulb Smartphone, Tablet, Laptop MPU, low-energy bulb Desktop computer High performance workstation,

ICT Global Energy Consumption

0

1

2

3

4

5

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

% o

f Tot

al A

nnua

l Ele

ctric

ity P

rodu

ctio

n

Year

Total ICT energy

End-user devicesCommunications

Data centres

This excludes TV, media, publishing, games, power switches, domestic & industrial ICT devices

=> 10% to 15% of electricity & ~ 5 % CO2 emissions

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030IC

T C

O2e E

mis

sio

n %

Year

Page 5: Strategic Research Agenda - ICT-Energy · Domestic wifi router, mobile phone, LED bulb Smartphone, Tablet, Laptop MPU, low-energy bulb Desktop computer High performance workstation,

Microprocessor Power Density

1.0

10

100

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020

200

400Po

wer

den

sity

(W/c

m2 )

Year

PWR nuclearreactor core

0.5

PC MPUs

Portable MPUs

Intel prediction

Page 6: Strategic Research Agenda - ICT-Energy · Domestic wifi router, mobile phone, LED bulb Smartphone, Tablet, Laptop MPU, low-energy bulb Desktop computer High performance workstation,

Microprocessors & ICT Devices

10-2

100

102

104

106

108

1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040

To

tal

po

we

r c

on

su

mp

tio

n (

W)

Year

HPC

PC MPUs

Portable MPUs

105

106

107

108

109

1010

1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030

Num

ber

Year

World populationMobile phone sales

PC sales Tabletsales

Smartphonesales

TV sales

without history

Page 7: Strategic Research Agenda - ICT-Energy · Domestic wifi router, mobile phone, LED bulb Smartphone, Tablet, Laptop MPU, low-energy bulb Desktop computer High performance workstation,

Devices Energy Consumption

TOPOL SETs & SATs

Page 8: Strategic Research Agenda - ICT-Energy · Domestic wifi router, mobile phone, LED bulb Smartphone, Tablet, Laptop MPU, low-energy bulb Desktop computer High performance workstation,

Internet and Telephone Traffic

10-3

10-1

101

103

105

107

1990 2000 2010 2020 2030

Inte

rnet

Tra

ffic

(PB

/mon

th)

Year

Total

Fixed

Managed

Mobile

Ciscoforecasts

Interconnect ~ 0.1 fJ to 100 pJ / bit

Photonics (long distance) ~ 1 µJ / bit

Wireless ~ 10 nJ / bit.m

Photonics (rack) ~ 40 pJ / bit

Wire limit ~ 3 fJ / bit.m

Page 9: Strategic Research Agenda - ICT-Energy · Domestic wifi router, mobile phone, LED bulb Smartphone, Tablet, Laptop MPU, low-energy bulb Desktop computer High performance workstation,

ICT Energy Harvesting Requirements

10 MW

1 MW

10 nW

100 nW

1 µW

10 µW

100 µW

1 mW

10 mW

100 mW

1 W

10 W

100 W

1 kW

10 kW

100 kW

Power consumption

Sustainable energy generation

32 kHz quartzoscillator

standby

Electronic watch,calculator

RFID tag

Hearing aid, CO2 detector

Miniature FM radio

Bluetooth transceiver

MP3 player

Domestic wifi router, mobile phone, LED bulb

Smartphone, Tablet, Laptop MPU, low-energy bulb

Desktop computer

High performance workstation, small server

HPC supercomputer, large HPC cloud storage

Vibrational energy harvester (50–100 Hz)10 cm2 indoor PV

1 m2 outdoor Si PV

7 mm2 thermoelectric ΔT = 50 ˚C

10 mm2 thermoelectric – body heat

1 m2 outdoor 50% efficient CPV

1 km2 SiPV solarfarmDomestic heating system

Small hydro scheme

ENIAC valve computer

HSPA mobile wifi substationMobile phone network base station

Laptop computer, thin client computer

Page 10: Strategic Research Agenda - ICT-Energy · Domestic wifi router, mobile phone, LED bulb Smartphone, Tablet, Laptop MPU, low-energy bulb Desktop computer High performance workstation,

Software Energy Performance / Opportunities

Page 11: Strategic Research Agenda - ICT-Energy · Domestic wifi router, mobile phone, LED bulb Smartphone, Tablet, Laptop MPU, low-energy bulb Desktop computer High performance workstation,

EC 2020 Society Agenda

Digital Agenda for Europe:

By 2013, access to all for internet with ≥ 30 Mbps

By 2020, 50% of people with access to internet with ≥ 100 Mbps

Smart Growth:

Increase internet of things (ICT devices) to improve GDP

Whilst meeting climate change targets:

Reduce CO2 emissions by 20% from 1990 levels !!!!!!

Develop economic growth based on knowledge & innovation

Page 12: Strategic Research Agenda - ICT-Energy · Domestic wifi router, mobile phone, LED bulb Smartphone, Tablet, Laptop MPU, low-energy bulb Desktop computer High performance workstation,

ICT Energy Objectives

High performance and low cost are major ICT drivers

Energy is only optimised when it prevents high performance (scaling, multi-core, photonics at rack level, etc….)

The Vision of the ICT Energy Co-ordinated Action is to direct research towards sustainable energy solutions for ICT devices and systems

Can a heuristic approach produce larger savings than individual energy improvements at each level of the stack?

How to produce energy sustainable ICT systems?

or the cost is excessive (HPC)

Page 13: Strategic Research Agenda - ICT-Energy · Domestic wifi router, mobile phone, LED bulb Smartphone, Tablet, Laptop MPU, low-energy bulb Desktop computer High performance workstation,

System Stacks: Autonomous Sensor

www.sensorsystems.org.uk

Page 2 of 5

www.sensorsystems.org.uk

and maintain interoperability across the range of activities and requirements in a complex system, it is proposed that a reference model be developed. Using the approach taken by the successful OSI model, a comparable model for a hierarchical sensor system is proposed.

A sensor systems reference model As in the case of communication systems, a sensor system is now more complex than can be effectively produced by a single, vertically integrated organisation. Consequently, the component parts and functions of sensor system need to be delineated by function and interface in order that concurrent system development can take place efficiently. The derivation of the model is based upon the OSI model but adapted for the specialist requirements of a complex sensor system. By examining the fundamental requirements of a sensor system, it can be established that all sensor systems carry out the same functions. In all cases, there is a requirement to detect a parametric change in the measureand, and after suitable conversion of the data into information, to pass that information to a ‘decision making authority’. Importantly, although the sensor system may carry out signal pre-processing or filtering, it does not make any decisions; this is beyond the remit of a sensor system. In the case of complex networks, this decision authority is often a human being, however it may be a machine system such as a automotive engine management system.

Pow

er a

nd m

anag

emen

t Sensor Element

Transductance & pre-processing

Communications and networking

Data repository

Analysis & post processing

Visualisation & presentation

Measurand

Superior decision system (human, biological, electronic, mechanical, chemical) acting upon the sensor system output

Dat

aIn

form

atio

n

Pow

er a

nd m

anag

emen

t Sensor Element

Transductance & pre-processing

Communications and networking

Data repository

Analysis & post processing

Visualisation & presentation

Measurand

Superior decision system (human, biological, electronic, mechanical, chemical) acting upon the sensor system output

Dat

aIn

form

atio

n

Figure 2 Sensor Systems Hierarchy

Using this generic approach, the model can be applied to a simple sensor system such as a thermometer or weather vane, or a highly complex network such as a battlefield management system or traffic management system. In order to understand the logic in How comparable is a supercomputer system stack?

Layout

RTL (u architecture)

Synthesis

Functional Blocks

Gate

Compiler

Program

Algorithms

Application

ISA

OS

Page 14: Strategic Research Agenda - ICT-Energy · Domestic wifi router, mobile phone, LED bulb Smartphone, Tablet, Laptop MPU, low-energy bulb Desktop computer High performance workstation,

The ICT System Stack

Page 15: Strategic Research Agenda - ICT-Energy · Domestic wifi router, mobile phone, LED bulb Smartphone, Tablet, Laptop MPU, low-energy bulb Desktop computer High performance workstation,

Questions

What is the biggest challenge to reduce energy consumption in ICT devices?

What is the most promising opportunity to reduce energy consumption in ICT devices?

Which part of the system stack do you belong to?

What are the fundamental limits for reducing energy consumption in this level of the stack? (Are they known?)

What strengths does Europe have to produce sustainable ICT systems?

What weaknesses does Europe have to produce sustainable ICT systems?

Page 16: Strategic Research Agenda - ICT-Energy · Domestic wifi router, mobile phone, LED bulb Smartphone, Tablet, Laptop MPU, low-energy bulb Desktop computer High performance workstation,

Wireless Standards vs Fundamental Limit

10-22

10-20

10-18

10-16

10-14

10-12

10-10

10-8

10-6

10-4

108

109

1010

1011

1012

1013

1014

1015

10-6

10-5

10-4

10-3

10-2

10-1

100

En

erg

y (

J/b

it o

ve

r 1

0 m

)

Frequency (Hz)

Wavelength (m)

single

photon

limit

3G

Bluetooth

Zigbee

802.11n wifi

GSM

Opportunity Challenges

Page 17: Strategic Research Agenda - ICT-Energy · Domestic wifi router, mobile phone, LED bulb Smartphone, Tablet, Laptop MPU, low-energy bulb Desktop computer High performance workstation,

Contact details

Contact: Prof Douglas Paul [email protected]

Tel:- +44 141 330 5219

http://userweb.eng.gla.ac.uk/douglas.paul/index.html

Draft available – e-mail: [email protected]

Input Deadline: Friday 9th October 2015

Page 18: Strategic Research Agenda - ICT-Energy · Domestic wifi router, mobile phone, LED bulb Smartphone, Tablet, Laptop MPU, low-energy bulb Desktop computer High performance workstation,

Questions

What is the biggest challenge to reduce energy consumption in ICT devices?

What is the most promising opportunity to reduce energy consumption in ICT devices?

Which part of the system stack do you belong to?

What are the fundamental limits for reducing energy consumption in this level of the stack? (Are they known?)

What strengths does Europe have to produce sustainable ICT systems?

What weaknesses does Europe have to produce sustainable ICT systems?