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Strategic Development - Methods amp Models Study materials
The primary method for accessing WBS course materials is online via mywbs
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Exported on July 28th 2015 at 0210 PM Warwick Business School
Study materials Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Introduction
Module objectives
The module focuses on the role of models systems and structured methods in supporting corporate strategic planningin organisations
The objectives of this module are to develop
a framework for the strategic planningstrategic development process
an understanding of the methods and models available and their role in supporting the strategic developmentprocess
skills in applying a selection of methods including scenario planning and system modelling
Page 1 of 1 Warwick Business School
Module outline Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Monday
Monday 5 January 2015
0930-1000 Arrival and coffee
1000-1115 Module introduction A framework for strategic development FOB
1115-1300 Exploring the strategic agenda FOB
1300 Lunch
1400-1530 Setting strategic direction FOB
1530-1600 Break
1600-1730 Implementing performance measurement systems in the strategic development process MK
EVENING Syndicate work Scenario preparation
Sessions will be led by the following faculty members
FOB = Frances OBrienMK = Martin Kunc
Page 1 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Tuesday
Tuesday 6 January 2015
0900-1030 Scenario planning Generating scenario factors FOB
1030-1100 Break
1100-1300 Scenario planning Factor reduction FOB
1300 Lunch
1400-1530 Supporting strategy in practice tbc
1530-1600 Break
160-1730 Scenario planning Formulating themes FOB
EVENING Syndicate work Writing scenario narratives
Page 2 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Wednesday
Wednesday 7 January 2015
0900-1030 Rehearsing strategy using modelling MK
1030-1100 Break
1100-1300 An introduction to strategic modelling using system dynamics MK
1300 Lunch
1400-1530 Resource mapping MK
1530-1600 Break
1600-1730 Modelling for strategic development Workshop MK
FREE EVENING
Page 3 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Thursday
Thursday 8 January 2015
0900-1030 Identifying and mapping resources and capabilities MK
1030-1100 Break
1100-1300 Generating and evaluating strategic options FOB
1300 Lunch
1400-1530 Supporting strategy in practice tbc
1530-1600 Break
1600-1730 Decision and risk analysis for the evaluation of strategic options MK
EVENING Syndicate work presentation preparation
Page 4 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Friday
Friday 9 January 2015
0900-1030 Group presentations Scenario planning FOBMK
1030-1100 Break
1100-1200 Group presentations Scenario planning FOBMK
1200-1300 Developing the strategy process FOB
1300-1330Conclusion and module debrief (including assessment guidance and discussion of potentialprojects)
FOB
Page 5 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Module assessment
The module will be assessed by 100 coursework
Choose an organisation to work on throughout this assessment either one you currently work for or one with whichyou are familiar
Part A Describe the strategic planningdevelopment process in the organisation (10)
Part B Prepare between two and four scenarios for the organisation Each scenario should be based on amaximum of 12 factors Your report for this section should cover
i The development process a short description of the scenarios developed and a discussion of the keyissues arising during their development (40)
ii The development of strategic initiatives and a recommendation of what strategy should be pursued bythe organisation in the light of the scenarios (10)
iii A brief description of the value of scenario planning to your chosen organisation and how it can beintegrated into the strategic planning development process (10)
Part C Discuss the possible future development of frameworks methods and models (other than scenarioplanning or SWOTTOWS analysis) to support the strategic planningdevelopment process within your chosenorganisation (30)
Evidence of reading relevant literature will influence the marking
Maximum length 3000 words Anything over this limit will not be marked References and appendices are notincluded in the word count
The deadline for submission is 1730 (UK time) on Monday 9 February 2015
The marks for this assignment will be released on Monday 9 March 2015
The submission deadline is precise and uploading of the document must be completed before 1730 (UK time) on thesubmission date Any document submitted even seconds later than 1730 precisely will be penalised for latesubmission in line with WBS policy Please consult your student handbook on mywbs for more detailed information
The online assignment submission system will only accept documents in portable documents format (PDF) filesPlease note that we will not accept PDF files of scanned documents You should create your assignment in yourchosen package (for example Word) then convert it straight to PDF before uploading Please place your student IDnumber NOT YOUR NAME on the front of your submission as all submissions are marked anonymously
All the scripts should also have the following paragraph included on the front page
This is to certify that the work I am submitting is my own All external references andsources are clearly acknowledged and identified within the contents I am aware of theUniversity of Warwick regulation concerning plagiarism and collusion
No substantial part(s) of the work submitted here has also been submitted by me in otherassessments for accredited courses of study and I acknowledge that if this has been donean appropriate reduction in the mark I might otherwise have received will be made
PLEASE ENSURE YOU KEEP A SECURITY COPY OF YOUR ASSESSMENT
Page 1 of 1 Warwick Business School
Assessment Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Teaching faculty
Frances OBrien (Module Organiser) - Associate Professor of Operational ResearchWBS
Frances OBriens research interests include the development and use of approaches tosupport strategy development in particular scenario planning and visioningmethodologies and the practice of combining OR and strategy tools by managementteams She holds a BSc (Joint Honours) in Mathematics and Classical Studies from SurreyUniversity and an MSc in Operational Research from Southampton University Shepreviously worked for the Operational Research Group of Ford of Europe as a consultantproviding modelling support on simulation manpower planning and allocation studies Sheis an active member of the UK Operational Research Society for which she chairs the ORand Strategy Special Interest Group
Martin Kunc - Associate Professor of Management Sciences WBS
Martin holds a PhD in Decision Science from London Business School He previouslyworked for Arthur Andersen and Chilean business schools He is a member of the GeneralCouncil of the UK Operational Research Society His research interests include the use ofmodelling to support strategy development in particular strategic decision-making supplychain design and human resource planning and the role of managerial cognition on theprocess of decision making especially in the area of complex decision-making Martin hasconducted consultancy and research projects for several organisations includingMasterfoods Standard amp Poors Lafarge and Warwickshire County Council
Page 1 of 1 Warwick Business School
Teaching Faculty Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Readings
The textbook provided for the week is
OBrien FA and Dyson RG (2007) Supporting Strategy Frameworks Methods and ModelsChichester Wiley
Pre-readings are included in the online materials you should read these in advance of the session to which theyrelate Unless specified you should treat ALL case studies as required pre-reading Completing as much of thepre-reading as possible before you attend will provide you with a wider understanding of the topics to be discussedduring the module and therefore enhance your contribution to the class
Case study advice
Any case studies for this module purchased from the Case Centre are provided for your personal use on this modulefor which you are registered You may download and print one copy for your personal use
The case studies will expire on 9 February 2015 and will not be available to you after this We recommend that youdownload any cases immediately When you have taken your copy of a case study you may not make further copiesshare them with or sell the materials to any other person or use them for any purpose not connected with your studiesfor this MBA module Failure to follow these terms and conditions of use may result in disciplinary action
Page 1 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Monday readings
Monday 5 January 2015
Preparation for exploring strategic agenda
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 3
Preparation for strategic direction
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 2
Collins JC and Porras JI (1996)Building Your Companys VisionHarvard Business Review September-O ctober pp 65-77To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9609167704
OConnell D Hickerson K and Pillutla A (2011)Organizational Visioning An Integrative ReviewGroup and Organization Management 36 1 pp 103-25
Preparation for performance measurement
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 11
Kaplan SR and Norton DP (1996)Using the Balanced Scorecard as a Strategic Management SystemHarvard Business Review January-February pp 75-85To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9601185348
Page 2 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Tuesday readings
Tuesday 6 January 2015
Preparation for scenario planning
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 9
Yeoman I and Greenwood C (2006)From Fast Food to Slow Food The Prospects for Scotlands Cuisine to 2015Tomorrows World Consumer and Tourist 2 3
Page 3 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Wednesday readings
Wednesday 7 January 2015
Preparation for rehearsing strategy with modelling
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 7
Senge P (1992)A shift of Mindin The Fifth DisciplineLondon Random House Business
Case study People Express (Ref 9-483-103)
Preparation for modelling for strategic development
Pre-reading Morecroft J (2007)Managing Business Growthin Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics A Feedback Systems ApproachChichester Wiley
Page 4 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Thursday readings
Thursday 8 January 2015
Preparation for generating strategy
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapters 6 and 9
Preparation for decision and risk analysis
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 10
Page 5 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Friday readings
Friday 9 January 2015
There are no readings for this day
Page 6 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Preparation for syndicate group work
IN ADDITION you have been put into a syndicate group with a number of other people Each group has beenallocated a company for which you will undertake a scenario planning exercise as follows
Page 7 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 8 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 9 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Group 7 (A209) - Age NI
Marcus Tyrberg
Steven Vallender
Tapfuma Vazhure
Stuart Walker
David Willetts
Aghiad Yabroudi
Each person in the group should access information for their organisation (such as an annual report if one exists) viathe companys website You need to have read this and done some further research (see suggestions below) beforearrival as you will be working on scenarios for these organisations in exercises throughout the week starting on thefirst day
Your further research should help you gain an understanding of the organisation and the industry within which itoperates in terms of past events current policiestrends and future developmentsuncertainties You will be asked topool your findings from your own and the supplied material with the other members of your syndicate group You mayfind the following questions useful
What planning horizon is your organisation likely to use for strategy development
What are the key issuesconcerns currently affecting your organisation
Who are your organisations key competitors Check their websites
Who are the key stakeholders for your organisation
What is your organisations visionmission statement Check the website
Over the past 10 years has your organisation experienced change What have been the drivers of thischange
Useful websites
Good sources of information include annual reports analyst reports newspapers and journals such as the FinancialTimes and the Economist as well as industry reports I would encourage you to make use of the Internet whatfollows is a non-exhaustive list of useful websites
httpwwwshellcomhomecontentfuture_energyscenarios
Its well worth visiting this site as much of the practice and literature on scenarios has a basis in theShell experience of scenario planning This particular page provides an introduction to scenariosincluding Shells current New lens Scenarios to 2100 Theres also a video of Shells scenarios as wellas archive material of previous scenario exercises
wwwwfsorg
World Future Society a non-profit educational and scientific organisation for those interested in futuresstudies
Check the variety of on-line resources available - different futures thinkers - The Futurist magazine etc
httpnewoptimistscomthe-forumscenario-planning
Website describing the New Optimists experiences developing scenarios about the future of FoodSupply within the West Midlands over the next 50 years Have a look at their scenario wildcards section
Page 10 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
httpwwwbisgovukforesightabout-us
The following quote is taken from their website and gives a good summary of what theyre about andwhat you will find on the site
Since its creation in 1994 the Foresight Programme has helped the UKGovernment to think systematically about the future We advise government abouthow to ensure todays decisions are robust to future uncertainties By combining thelatest science and evidence with futures analysis we help policy makers tacklecomplex issues with a better understanding of the potential opportunities andchallenges that lie ahead
We do this in three ways
Major Foresight Projects in-depth two-year studies which build acomprehensive evidence base on major issues looking 20-80 years into thefuture
Policy Futures Projects shorter projects which provide futures andevidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding
The Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre training toolkits and networks tostrengthen futures thinking capacity and share best practice within andacross government
Our work is used to stimulate and inform the development of more effectivestrategies policies and priorities at national and international levels
Foresight is headed by Professor Sir Mark Walport the Government ChiefScientific Adviser who reports directly to the Prime Minister and Cabinet It is a partof the Government Office for Science within the Department for BusinessInnovation amp Skills
Accessed (190913)
wwwplausiblecustompublishcom
Norwegian consultancy for futures studies and scenario based strategic planning established in the1990s as an experiment in internet based research
Interesting reading on a variety of topics This year artificial cells self-driving cars etc
Mintel - accessed via Warwick Library Website
This is a useful site for reports concerning for example the future
Page 11 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
- Download Details
- Introduction
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Module assessment
- Teaching faculty
- Readings
- Monday readings
- Tuesday readings
- Wednesday readings
- Thursday readings
- Friday readings
- Preparation for syndicate group work
-
Introduction
Module objectives
The module focuses on the role of models systems and structured methods in supporting corporate strategic planningin organisations
The objectives of this module are to develop
a framework for the strategic planningstrategic development process
an understanding of the methods and models available and their role in supporting the strategic developmentprocess
skills in applying a selection of methods including scenario planning and system modelling
Page 1 of 1 Warwick Business School
Module outline Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Monday
Monday 5 January 2015
0930-1000 Arrival and coffee
1000-1115 Module introduction A framework for strategic development FOB
1115-1300 Exploring the strategic agenda FOB
1300 Lunch
1400-1530 Setting strategic direction FOB
1530-1600 Break
1600-1730 Implementing performance measurement systems in the strategic development process MK
EVENING Syndicate work Scenario preparation
Sessions will be led by the following faculty members
FOB = Frances OBrienMK = Martin Kunc
Page 1 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Tuesday
Tuesday 6 January 2015
0900-1030 Scenario planning Generating scenario factors FOB
1030-1100 Break
1100-1300 Scenario planning Factor reduction FOB
1300 Lunch
1400-1530 Supporting strategy in practice tbc
1530-1600 Break
160-1730 Scenario planning Formulating themes FOB
EVENING Syndicate work Writing scenario narratives
Page 2 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Wednesday
Wednesday 7 January 2015
0900-1030 Rehearsing strategy using modelling MK
1030-1100 Break
1100-1300 An introduction to strategic modelling using system dynamics MK
1300 Lunch
1400-1530 Resource mapping MK
1530-1600 Break
1600-1730 Modelling for strategic development Workshop MK
FREE EVENING
Page 3 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Thursday
Thursday 8 January 2015
0900-1030 Identifying and mapping resources and capabilities MK
1030-1100 Break
1100-1300 Generating and evaluating strategic options FOB
1300 Lunch
1400-1530 Supporting strategy in practice tbc
1530-1600 Break
1600-1730 Decision and risk analysis for the evaluation of strategic options MK
EVENING Syndicate work presentation preparation
Page 4 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Friday
Friday 9 January 2015
0900-1030 Group presentations Scenario planning FOBMK
1030-1100 Break
1100-1200 Group presentations Scenario planning FOBMK
1200-1300 Developing the strategy process FOB
1300-1330Conclusion and module debrief (including assessment guidance and discussion of potentialprojects)
FOB
Page 5 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Module assessment
The module will be assessed by 100 coursework
Choose an organisation to work on throughout this assessment either one you currently work for or one with whichyou are familiar
Part A Describe the strategic planningdevelopment process in the organisation (10)
Part B Prepare between two and four scenarios for the organisation Each scenario should be based on amaximum of 12 factors Your report for this section should cover
i The development process a short description of the scenarios developed and a discussion of the keyissues arising during their development (40)
ii The development of strategic initiatives and a recommendation of what strategy should be pursued bythe organisation in the light of the scenarios (10)
iii A brief description of the value of scenario planning to your chosen organisation and how it can beintegrated into the strategic planning development process (10)
Part C Discuss the possible future development of frameworks methods and models (other than scenarioplanning or SWOTTOWS analysis) to support the strategic planningdevelopment process within your chosenorganisation (30)
Evidence of reading relevant literature will influence the marking
Maximum length 3000 words Anything over this limit will not be marked References and appendices are notincluded in the word count
The deadline for submission is 1730 (UK time) on Monday 9 February 2015
The marks for this assignment will be released on Monday 9 March 2015
The submission deadline is precise and uploading of the document must be completed before 1730 (UK time) on thesubmission date Any document submitted even seconds later than 1730 precisely will be penalised for latesubmission in line with WBS policy Please consult your student handbook on mywbs for more detailed information
The online assignment submission system will only accept documents in portable documents format (PDF) filesPlease note that we will not accept PDF files of scanned documents You should create your assignment in yourchosen package (for example Word) then convert it straight to PDF before uploading Please place your student IDnumber NOT YOUR NAME on the front of your submission as all submissions are marked anonymously
All the scripts should also have the following paragraph included on the front page
This is to certify that the work I am submitting is my own All external references andsources are clearly acknowledged and identified within the contents I am aware of theUniversity of Warwick regulation concerning plagiarism and collusion
No substantial part(s) of the work submitted here has also been submitted by me in otherassessments for accredited courses of study and I acknowledge that if this has been donean appropriate reduction in the mark I might otherwise have received will be made
PLEASE ENSURE YOU KEEP A SECURITY COPY OF YOUR ASSESSMENT
Page 1 of 1 Warwick Business School
Assessment Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Teaching faculty
Frances OBrien (Module Organiser) - Associate Professor of Operational ResearchWBS
Frances OBriens research interests include the development and use of approaches tosupport strategy development in particular scenario planning and visioningmethodologies and the practice of combining OR and strategy tools by managementteams She holds a BSc (Joint Honours) in Mathematics and Classical Studies from SurreyUniversity and an MSc in Operational Research from Southampton University Shepreviously worked for the Operational Research Group of Ford of Europe as a consultantproviding modelling support on simulation manpower planning and allocation studies Sheis an active member of the UK Operational Research Society for which she chairs the ORand Strategy Special Interest Group
Martin Kunc - Associate Professor of Management Sciences WBS
Martin holds a PhD in Decision Science from London Business School He previouslyworked for Arthur Andersen and Chilean business schools He is a member of the GeneralCouncil of the UK Operational Research Society His research interests include the use ofmodelling to support strategy development in particular strategic decision-making supplychain design and human resource planning and the role of managerial cognition on theprocess of decision making especially in the area of complex decision-making Martin hasconducted consultancy and research projects for several organisations includingMasterfoods Standard amp Poors Lafarge and Warwickshire County Council
Page 1 of 1 Warwick Business School
Teaching Faculty Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Readings
The textbook provided for the week is
OBrien FA and Dyson RG (2007) Supporting Strategy Frameworks Methods and ModelsChichester Wiley
Pre-readings are included in the online materials you should read these in advance of the session to which theyrelate Unless specified you should treat ALL case studies as required pre-reading Completing as much of thepre-reading as possible before you attend will provide you with a wider understanding of the topics to be discussedduring the module and therefore enhance your contribution to the class
Case study advice
Any case studies for this module purchased from the Case Centre are provided for your personal use on this modulefor which you are registered You may download and print one copy for your personal use
The case studies will expire on 9 February 2015 and will not be available to you after this We recommend that youdownload any cases immediately When you have taken your copy of a case study you may not make further copiesshare them with or sell the materials to any other person or use them for any purpose not connected with your studiesfor this MBA module Failure to follow these terms and conditions of use may result in disciplinary action
Page 1 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Monday readings
Monday 5 January 2015
Preparation for exploring strategic agenda
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 3
Preparation for strategic direction
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 2
Collins JC and Porras JI (1996)Building Your Companys VisionHarvard Business Review September-O ctober pp 65-77To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9609167704
OConnell D Hickerson K and Pillutla A (2011)Organizational Visioning An Integrative ReviewGroup and Organization Management 36 1 pp 103-25
Preparation for performance measurement
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 11
Kaplan SR and Norton DP (1996)Using the Balanced Scorecard as a Strategic Management SystemHarvard Business Review January-February pp 75-85To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9601185348
Page 2 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Tuesday readings
Tuesday 6 January 2015
Preparation for scenario planning
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 9
Yeoman I and Greenwood C (2006)From Fast Food to Slow Food The Prospects for Scotlands Cuisine to 2015Tomorrows World Consumer and Tourist 2 3
Page 3 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Wednesday readings
Wednesday 7 January 2015
Preparation for rehearsing strategy with modelling
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 7
Senge P (1992)A shift of Mindin The Fifth DisciplineLondon Random House Business
Case study People Express (Ref 9-483-103)
Preparation for modelling for strategic development
Pre-reading Morecroft J (2007)Managing Business Growthin Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics A Feedback Systems ApproachChichester Wiley
Page 4 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Thursday readings
Thursday 8 January 2015
Preparation for generating strategy
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapters 6 and 9
Preparation for decision and risk analysis
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 10
Page 5 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Friday readings
Friday 9 January 2015
There are no readings for this day
Page 6 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Preparation for syndicate group work
IN ADDITION you have been put into a syndicate group with a number of other people Each group has beenallocated a company for which you will undertake a scenario planning exercise as follows
Page 7 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 8 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 9 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Group 7 (A209) - Age NI
Marcus Tyrberg
Steven Vallender
Tapfuma Vazhure
Stuart Walker
David Willetts
Aghiad Yabroudi
Each person in the group should access information for their organisation (such as an annual report if one exists) viathe companys website You need to have read this and done some further research (see suggestions below) beforearrival as you will be working on scenarios for these organisations in exercises throughout the week starting on thefirst day
Your further research should help you gain an understanding of the organisation and the industry within which itoperates in terms of past events current policiestrends and future developmentsuncertainties You will be asked topool your findings from your own and the supplied material with the other members of your syndicate group You mayfind the following questions useful
What planning horizon is your organisation likely to use for strategy development
What are the key issuesconcerns currently affecting your organisation
Who are your organisations key competitors Check their websites
Who are the key stakeholders for your organisation
What is your organisations visionmission statement Check the website
Over the past 10 years has your organisation experienced change What have been the drivers of thischange
Useful websites
Good sources of information include annual reports analyst reports newspapers and journals such as the FinancialTimes and the Economist as well as industry reports I would encourage you to make use of the Internet whatfollows is a non-exhaustive list of useful websites
httpwwwshellcomhomecontentfuture_energyscenarios
Its well worth visiting this site as much of the practice and literature on scenarios has a basis in theShell experience of scenario planning This particular page provides an introduction to scenariosincluding Shells current New lens Scenarios to 2100 Theres also a video of Shells scenarios as wellas archive material of previous scenario exercises
wwwwfsorg
World Future Society a non-profit educational and scientific organisation for those interested in futuresstudies
Check the variety of on-line resources available - different futures thinkers - The Futurist magazine etc
httpnewoptimistscomthe-forumscenario-planning
Website describing the New Optimists experiences developing scenarios about the future of FoodSupply within the West Midlands over the next 50 years Have a look at their scenario wildcards section
Page 10 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
httpwwwbisgovukforesightabout-us
The following quote is taken from their website and gives a good summary of what theyre about andwhat you will find on the site
Since its creation in 1994 the Foresight Programme has helped the UKGovernment to think systematically about the future We advise government abouthow to ensure todays decisions are robust to future uncertainties By combining thelatest science and evidence with futures analysis we help policy makers tacklecomplex issues with a better understanding of the potential opportunities andchallenges that lie ahead
We do this in three ways
Major Foresight Projects in-depth two-year studies which build acomprehensive evidence base on major issues looking 20-80 years into thefuture
Policy Futures Projects shorter projects which provide futures andevidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding
The Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre training toolkits and networks tostrengthen futures thinking capacity and share best practice within andacross government
Our work is used to stimulate and inform the development of more effectivestrategies policies and priorities at national and international levels
Foresight is headed by Professor Sir Mark Walport the Government ChiefScientific Adviser who reports directly to the Prime Minister and Cabinet It is a partof the Government Office for Science within the Department for BusinessInnovation amp Skills
Accessed (190913)
wwwplausiblecustompublishcom
Norwegian consultancy for futures studies and scenario based strategic planning established in the1990s as an experiment in internet based research
Interesting reading on a variety of topics This year artificial cells self-driving cars etc
Mintel - accessed via Warwick Library Website
This is a useful site for reports concerning for example the future
Page 11 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
- Download Details
- Introduction
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Module assessment
- Teaching faculty
- Readings
- Monday readings
- Tuesday readings
- Wednesday readings
- Thursday readings
- Friday readings
- Preparation for syndicate group work
-
Monday
Monday 5 January 2015
0930-1000 Arrival and coffee
1000-1115 Module introduction A framework for strategic development FOB
1115-1300 Exploring the strategic agenda FOB
1300 Lunch
1400-1530 Setting strategic direction FOB
1530-1600 Break
1600-1730 Implementing performance measurement systems in the strategic development process MK
EVENING Syndicate work Scenario preparation
Sessions will be led by the following faculty members
FOB = Frances OBrienMK = Martin Kunc
Page 1 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Tuesday
Tuesday 6 January 2015
0900-1030 Scenario planning Generating scenario factors FOB
1030-1100 Break
1100-1300 Scenario planning Factor reduction FOB
1300 Lunch
1400-1530 Supporting strategy in practice tbc
1530-1600 Break
160-1730 Scenario planning Formulating themes FOB
EVENING Syndicate work Writing scenario narratives
Page 2 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Wednesday
Wednesday 7 January 2015
0900-1030 Rehearsing strategy using modelling MK
1030-1100 Break
1100-1300 An introduction to strategic modelling using system dynamics MK
1300 Lunch
1400-1530 Resource mapping MK
1530-1600 Break
1600-1730 Modelling for strategic development Workshop MK
FREE EVENING
Page 3 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Thursday
Thursday 8 January 2015
0900-1030 Identifying and mapping resources and capabilities MK
1030-1100 Break
1100-1300 Generating and evaluating strategic options FOB
1300 Lunch
1400-1530 Supporting strategy in practice tbc
1530-1600 Break
1600-1730 Decision and risk analysis for the evaluation of strategic options MK
EVENING Syndicate work presentation preparation
Page 4 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Friday
Friday 9 January 2015
0900-1030 Group presentations Scenario planning FOBMK
1030-1100 Break
1100-1200 Group presentations Scenario planning FOBMK
1200-1300 Developing the strategy process FOB
1300-1330Conclusion and module debrief (including assessment guidance and discussion of potentialprojects)
FOB
Page 5 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Module assessment
The module will be assessed by 100 coursework
Choose an organisation to work on throughout this assessment either one you currently work for or one with whichyou are familiar
Part A Describe the strategic planningdevelopment process in the organisation (10)
Part B Prepare between two and four scenarios for the organisation Each scenario should be based on amaximum of 12 factors Your report for this section should cover
i The development process a short description of the scenarios developed and a discussion of the keyissues arising during their development (40)
ii The development of strategic initiatives and a recommendation of what strategy should be pursued bythe organisation in the light of the scenarios (10)
iii A brief description of the value of scenario planning to your chosen organisation and how it can beintegrated into the strategic planning development process (10)
Part C Discuss the possible future development of frameworks methods and models (other than scenarioplanning or SWOTTOWS analysis) to support the strategic planningdevelopment process within your chosenorganisation (30)
Evidence of reading relevant literature will influence the marking
Maximum length 3000 words Anything over this limit will not be marked References and appendices are notincluded in the word count
The deadline for submission is 1730 (UK time) on Monday 9 February 2015
The marks for this assignment will be released on Monday 9 March 2015
The submission deadline is precise and uploading of the document must be completed before 1730 (UK time) on thesubmission date Any document submitted even seconds later than 1730 precisely will be penalised for latesubmission in line with WBS policy Please consult your student handbook on mywbs for more detailed information
The online assignment submission system will only accept documents in portable documents format (PDF) filesPlease note that we will not accept PDF files of scanned documents You should create your assignment in yourchosen package (for example Word) then convert it straight to PDF before uploading Please place your student IDnumber NOT YOUR NAME on the front of your submission as all submissions are marked anonymously
All the scripts should also have the following paragraph included on the front page
This is to certify that the work I am submitting is my own All external references andsources are clearly acknowledged and identified within the contents I am aware of theUniversity of Warwick regulation concerning plagiarism and collusion
No substantial part(s) of the work submitted here has also been submitted by me in otherassessments for accredited courses of study and I acknowledge that if this has been donean appropriate reduction in the mark I might otherwise have received will be made
PLEASE ENSURE YOU KEEP A SECURITY COPY OF YOUR ASSESSMENT
Page 1 of 1 Warwick Business School
Assessment Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Teaching faculty
Frances OBrien (Module Organiser) - Associate Professor of Operational ResearchWBS
Frances OBriens research interests include the development and use of approaches tosupport strategy development in particular scenario planning and visioningmethodologies and the practice of combining OR and strategy tools by managementteams She holds a BSc (Joint Honours) in Mathematics and Classical Studies from SurreyUniversity and an MSc in Operational Research from Southampton University Shepreviously worked for the Operational Research Group of Ford of Europe as a consultantproviding modelling support on simulation manpower planning and allocation studies Sheis an active member of the UK Operational Research Society for which she chairs the ORand Strategy Special Interest Group
Martin Kunc - Associate Professor of Management Sciences WBS
Martin holds a PhD in Decision Science from London Business School He previouslyworked for Arthur Andersen and Chilean business schools He is a member of the GeneralCouncil of the UK Operational Research Society His research interests include the use ofmodelling to support strategy development in particular strategic decision-making supplychain design and human resource planning and the role of managerial cognition on theprocess of decision making especially in the area of complex decision-making Martin hasconducted consultancy and research projects for several organisations includingMasterfoods Standard amp Poors Lafarge and Warwickshire County Council
Page 1 of 1 Warwick Business School
Teaching Faculty Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Readings
The textbook provided for the week is
OBrien FA and Dyson RG (2007) Supporting Strategy Frameworks Methods and ModelsChichester Wiley
Pre-readings are included in the online materials you should read these in advance of the session to which theyrelate Unless specified you should treat ALL case studies as required pre-reading Completing as much of thepre-reading as possible before you attend will provide you with a wider understanding of the topics to be discussedduring the module and therefore enhance your contribution to the class
Case study advice
Any case studies for this module purchased from the Case Centre are provided for your personal use on this modulefor which you are registered You may download and print one copy for your personal use
The case studies will expire on 9 February 2015 and will not be available to you after this We recommend that youdownload any cases immediately When you have taken your copy of a case study you may not make further copiesshare them with or sell the materials to any other person or use them for any purpose not connected with your studiesfor this MBA module Failure to follow these terms and conditions of use may result in disciplinary action
Page 1 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Monday readings
Monday 5 January 2015
Preparation for exploring strategic agenda
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 3
Preparation for strategic direction
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 2
Collins JC and Porras JI (1996)Building Your Companys VisionHarvard Business Review September-O ctober pp 65-77To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9609167704
OConnell D Hickerson K and Pillutla A (2011)Organizational Visioning An Integrative ReviewGroup and Organization Management 36 1 pp 103-25
Preparation for performance measurement
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 11
Kaplan SR and Norton DP (1996)Using the Balanced Scorecard as a Strategic Management SystemHarvard Business Review January-February pp 75-85To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9601185348
Page 2 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Tuesday readings
Tuesday 6 January 2015
Preparation for scenario planning
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 9
Yeoman I and Greenwood C (2006)From Fast Food to Slow Food The Prospects for Scotlands Cuisine to 2015Tomorrows World Consumer and Tourist 2 3
Page 3 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Wednesday readings
Wednesday 7 January 2015
Preparation for rehearsing strategy with modelling
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 7
Senge P (1992)A shift of Mindin The Fifth DisciplineLondon Random House Business
Case study People Express (Ref 9-483-103)
Preparation for modelling for strategic development
Pre-reading Morecroft J (2007)Managing Business Growthin Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics A Feedback Systems ApproachChichester Wiley
Page 4 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Thursday readings
Thursday 8 January 2015
Preparation for generating strategy
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapters 6 and 9
Preparation for decision and risk analysis
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 10
Page 5 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Friday readings
Friday 9 January 2015
There are no readings for this day
Page 6 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Preparation for syndicate group work
IN ADDITION you have been put into a syndicate group with a number of other people Each group has beenallocated a company for which you will undertake a scenario planning exercise as follows
Page 7 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 8 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 9 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Group 7 (A209) - Age NI
Marcus Tyrberg
Steven Vallender
Tapfuma Vazhure
Stuart Walker
David Willetts
Aghiad Yabroudi
Each person in the group should access information for their organisation (such as an annual report if one exists) viathe companys website You need to have read this and done some further research (see suggestions below) beforearrival as you will be working on scenarios for these organisations in exercises throughout the week starting on thefirst day
Your further research should help you gain an understanding of the organisation and the industry within which itoperates in terms of past events current policiestrends and future developmentsuncertainties You will be asked topool your findings from your own and the supplied material with the other members of your syndicate group You mayfind the following questions useful
What planning horizon is your organisation likely to use for strategy development
What are the key issuesconcerns currently affecting your organisation
Who are your organisations key competitors Check their websites
Who are the key stakeholders for your organisation
What is your organisations visionmission statement Check the website
Over the past 10 years has your organisation experienced change What have been the drivers of thischange
Useful websites
Good sources of information include annual reports analyst reports newspapers and journals such as the FinancialTimes and the Economist as well as industry reports I would encourage you to make use of the Internet whatfollows is a non-exhaustive list of useful websites
httpwwwshellcomhomecontentfuture_energyscenarios
Its well worth visiting this site as much of the practice and literature on scenarios has a basis in theShell experience of scenario planning This particular page provides an introduction to scenariosincluding Shells current New lens Scenarios to 2100 Theres also a video of Shells scenarios as wellas archive material of previous scenario exercises
wwwwfsorg
World Future Society a non-profit educational and scientific organisation for those interested in futuresstudies
Check the variety of on-line resources available - different futures thinkers - The Futurist magazine etc
httpnewoptimistscomthe-forumscenario-planning
Website describing the New Optimists experiences developing scenarios about the future of FoodSupply within the West Midlands over the next 50 years Have a look at their scenario wildcards section
Page 10 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
httpwwwbisgovukforesightabout-us
The following quote is taken from their website and gives a good summary of what theyre about andwhat you will find on the site
Since its creation in 1994 the Foresight Programme has helped the UKGovernment to think systematically about the future We advise government abouthow to ensure todays decisions are robust to future uncertainties By combining thelatest science and evidence with futures analysis we help policy makers tacklecomplex issues with a better understanding of the potential opportunities andchallenges that lie ahead
We do this in three ways
Major Foresight Projects in-depth two-year studies which build acomprehensive evidence base on major issues looking 20-80 years into thefuture
Policy Futures Projects shorter projects which provide futures andevidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding
The Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre training toolkits and networks tostrengthen futures thinking capacity and share best practice within andacross government
Our work is used to stimulate and inform the development of more effectivestrategies policies and priorities at national and international levels
Foresight is headed by Professor Sir Mark Walport the Government ChiefScientific Adviser who reports directly to the Prime Minister and Cabinet It is a partof the Government Office for Science within the Department for BusinessInnovation amp Skills
Accessed (190913)
wwwplausiblecustompublishcom
Norwegian consultancy for futures studies and scenario based strategic planning established in the1990s as an experiment in internet based research
Interesting reading on a variety of topics This year artificial cells self-driving cars etc
Mintel - accessed via Warwick Library Website
This is a useful site for reports concerning for example the future
Page 11 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
- Download Details
- Introduction
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Module assessment
- Teaching faculty
- Readings
- Monday readings
- Tuesday readings
- Wednesday readings
- Thursday readings
- Friday readings
- Preparation for syndicate group work
-
Tuesday
Tuesday 6 January 2015
0900-1030 Scenario planning Generating scenario factors FOB
1030-1100 Break
1100-1300 Scenario planning Factor reduction FOB
1300 Lunch
1400-1530 Supporting strategy in practice tbc
1530-1600 Break
160-1730 Scenario planning Formulating themes FOB
EVENING Syndicate work Writing scenario narratives
Page 2 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Wednesday
Wednesday 7 January 2015
0900-1030 Rehearsing strategy using modelling MK
1030-1100 Break
1100-1300 An introduction to strategic modelling using system dynamics MK
1300 Lunch
1400-1530 Resource mapping MK
1530-1600 Break
1600-1730 Modelling for strategic development Workshop MK
FREE EVENING
Page 3 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Thursday
Thursday 8 January 2015
0900-1030 Identifying and mapping resources and capabilities MK
1030-1100 Break
1100-1300 Generating and evaluating strategic options FOB
1300 Lunch
1400-1530 Supporting strategy in practice tbc
1530-1600 Break
1600-1730 Decision and risk analysis for the evaluation of strategic options MK
EVENING Syndicate work presentation preparation
Page 4 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Friday
Friday 9 January 2015
0900-1030 Group presentations Scenario planning FOBMK
1030-1100 Break
1100-1200 Group presentations Scenario planning FOBMK
1200-1300 Developing the strategy process FOB
1300-1330Conclusion and module debrief (including assessment guidance and discussion of potentialprojects)
FOB
Page 5 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Module assessment
The module will be assessed by 100 coursework
Choose an organisation to work on throughout this assessment either one you currently work for or one with whichyou are familiar
Part A Describe the strategic planningdevelopment process in the organisation (10)
Part B Prepare between two and four scenarios for the organisation Each scenario should be based on amaximum of 12 factors Your report for this section should cover
i The development process a short description of the scenarios developed and a discussion of the keyissues arising during their development (40)
ii The development of strategic initiatives and a recommendation of what strategy should be pursued bythe organisation in the light of the scenarios (10)
iii A brief description of the value of scenario planning to your chosen organisation and how it can beintegrated into the strategic planning development process (10)
Part C Discuss the possible future development of frameworks methods and models (other than scenarioplanning or SWOTTOWS analysis) to support the strategic planningdevelopment process within your chosenorganisation (30)
Evidence of reading relevant literature will influence the marking
Maximum length 3000 words Anything over this limit will not be marked References and appendices are notincluded in the word count
The deadline for submission is 1730 (UK time) on Monday 9 February 2015
The marks for this assignment will be released on Monday 9 March 2015
The submission deadline is precise and uploading of the document must be completed before 1730 (UK time) on thesubmission date Any document submitted even seconds later than 1730 precisely will be penalised for latesubmission in line with WBS policy Please consult your student handbook on mywbs for more detailed information
The online assignment submission system will only accept documents in portable documents format (PDF) filesPlease note that we will not accept PDF files of scanned documents You should create your assignment in yourchosen package (for example Word) then convert it straight to PDF before uploading Please place your student IDnumber NOT YOUR NAME on the front of your submission as all submissions are marked anonymously
All the scripts should also have the following paragraph included on the front page
This is to certify that the work I am submitting is my own All external references andsources are clearly acknowledged and identified within the contents I am aware of theUniversity of Warwick regulation concerning plagiarism and collusion
No substantial part(s) of the work submitted here has also been submitted by me in otherassessments for accredited courses of study and I acknowledge that if this has been donean appropriate reduction in the mark I might otherwise have received will be made
PLEASE ENSURE YOU KEEP A SECURITY COPY OF YOUR ASSESSMENT
Page 1 of 1 Warwick Business School
Assessment Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Teaching faculty
Frances OBrien (Module Organiser) - Associate Professor of Operational ResearchWBS
Frances OBriens research interests include the development and use of approaches tosupport strategy development in particular scenario planning and visioningmethodologies and the practice of combining OR and strategy tools by managementteams She holds a BSc (Joint Honours) in Mathematics and Classical Studies from SurreyUniversity and an MSc in Operational Research from Southampton University Shepreviously worked for the Operational Research Group of Ford of Europe as a consultantproviding modelling support on simulation manpower planning and allocation studies Sheis an active member of the UK Operational Research Society for which she chairs the ORand Strategy Special Interest Group
Martin Kunc - Associate Professor of Management Sciences WBS
Martin holds a PhD in Decision Science from London Business School He previouslyworked for Arthur Andersen and Chilean business schools He is a member of the GeneralCouncil of the UK Operational Research Society His research interests include the use ofmodelling to support strategy development in particular strategic decision-making supplychain design and human resource planning and the role of managerial cognition on theprocess of decision making especially in the area of complex decision-making Martin hasconducted consultancy and research projects for several organisations includingMasterfoods Standard amp Poors Lafarge and Warwickshire County Council
Page 1 of 1 Warwick Business School
Teaching Faculty Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Readings
The textbook provided for the week is
OBrien FA and Dyson RG (2007) Supporting Strategy Frameworks Methods and ModelsChichester Wiley
Pre-readings are included in the online materials you should read these in advance of the session to which theyrelate Unless specified you should treat ALL case studies as required pre-reading Completing as much of thepre-reading as possible before you attend will provide you with a wider understanding of the topics to be discussedduring the module and therefore enhance your contribution to the class
Case study advice
Any case studies for this module purchased from the Case Centre are provided for your personal use on this modulefor which you are registered You may download and print one copy for your personal use
The case studies will expire on 9 February 2015 and will not be available to you after this We recommend that youdownload any cases immediately When you have taken your copy of a case study you may not make further copiesshare them with or sell the materials to any other person or use them for any purpose not connected with your studiesfor this MBA module Failure to follow these terms and conditions of use may result in disciplinary action
Page 1 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Monday readings
Monday 5 January 2015
Preparation for exploring strategic agenda
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 3
Preparation for strategic direction
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 2
Collins JC and Porras JI (1996)Building Your Companys VisionHarvard Business Review September-O ctober pp 65-77To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9609167704
OConnell D Hickerson K and Pillutla A (2011)Organizational Visioning An Integrative ReviewGroup and Organization Management 36 1 pp 103-25
Preparation for performance measurement
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 11
Kaplan SR and Norton DP (1996)Using the Balanced Scorecard as a Strategic Management SystemHarvard Business Review January-February pp 75-85To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9601185348
Page 2 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Tuesday readings
Tuesday 6 January 2015
Preparation for scenario planning
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 9
Yeoman I and Greenwood C (2006)From Fast Food to Slow Food The Prospects for Scotlands Cuisine to 2015Tomorrows World Consumer and Tourist 2 3
Page 3 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Wednesday readings
Wednesday 7 January 2015
Preparation for rehearsing strategy with modelling
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 7
Senge P (1992)A shift of Mindin The Fifth DisciplineLondon Random House Business
Case study People Express (Ref 9-483-103)
Preparation for modelling for strategic development
Pre-reading Morecroft J (2007)Managing Business Growthin Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics A Feedback Systems ApproachChichester Wiley
Page 4 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Thursday readings
Thursday 8 January 2015
Preparation for generating strategy
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapters 6 and 9
Preparation for decision and risk analysis
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 10
Page 5 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Friday readings
Friday 9 January 2015
There are no readings for this day
Page 6 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Preparation for syndicate group work
IN ADDITION you have been put into a syndicate group with a number of other people Each group has beenallocated a company for which you will undertake a scenario planning exercise as follows
Page 7 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 8 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 9 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Group 7 (A209) - Age NI
Marcus Tyrberg
Steven Vallender
Tapfuma Vazhure
Stuart Walker
David Willetts
Aghiad Yabroudi
Each person in the group should access information for their organisation (such as an annual report if one exists) viathe companys website You need to have read this and done some further research (see suggestions below) beforearrival as you will be working on scenarios for these organisations in exercises throughout the week starting on thefirst day
Your further research should help you gain an understanding of the organisation and the industry within which itoperates in terms of past events current policiestrends and future developmentsuncertainties You will be asked topool your findings from your own and the supplied material with the other members of your syndicate group You mayfind the following questions useful
What planning horizon is your organisation likely to use for strategy development
What are the key issuesconcerns currently affecting your organisation
Who are your organisations key competitors Check their websites
Who are the key stakeholders for your organisation
What is your organisations visionmission statement Check the website
Over the past 10 years has your organisation experienced change What have been the drivers of thischange
Useful websites
Good sources of information include annual reports analyst reports newspapers and journals such as the FinancialTimes and the Economist as well as industry reports I would encourage you to make use of the Internet whatfollows is a non-exhaustive list of useful websites
httpwwwshellcomhomecontentfuture_energyscenarios
Its well worth visiting this site as much of the practice and literature on scenarios has a basis in theShell experience of scenario planning This particular page provides an introduction to scenariosincluding Shells current New lens Scenarios to 2100 Theres also a video of Shells scenarios as wellas archive material of previous scenario exercises
wwwwfsorg
World Future Society a non-profit educational and scientific organisation for those interested in futuresstudies
Check the variety of on-line resources available - different futures thinkers - The Futurist magazine etc
httpnewoptimistscomthe-forumscenario-planning
Website describing the New Optimists experiences developing scenarios about the future of FoodSupply within the West Midlands over the next 50 years Have a look at their scenario wildcards section
Page 10 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
httpwwwbisgovukforesightabout-us
The following quote is taken from their website and gives a good summary of what theyre about andwhat you will find on the site
Since its creation in 1994 the Foresight Programme has helped the UKGovernment to think systematically about the future We advise government abouthow to ensure todays decisions are robust to future uncertainties By combining thelatest science and evidence with futures analysis we help policy makers tacklecomplex issues with a better understanding of the potential opportunities andchallenges that lie ahead
We do this in three ways
Major Foresight Projects in-depth two-year studies which build acomprehensive evidence base on major issues looking 20-80 years into thefuture
Policy Futures Projects shorter projects which provide futures andevidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding
The Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre training toolkits and networks tostrengthen futures thinking capacity and share best practice within andacross government
Our work is used to stimulate and inform the development of more effectivestrategies policies and priorities at national and international levels
Foresight is headed by Professor Sir Mark Walport the Government ChiefScientific Adviser who reports directly to the Prime Minister and Cabinet It is a partof the Government Office for Science within the Department for BusinessInnovation amp Skills
Accessed (190913)
wwwplausiblecustompublishcom
Norwegian consultancy for futures studies and scenario based strategic planning established in the1990s as an experiment in internet based research
Interesting reading on a variety of topics This year artificial cells self-driving cars etc
Mintel - accessed via Warwick Library Website
This is a useful site for reports concerning for example the future
Page 11 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
- Download Details
- Introduction
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Module assessment
- Teaching faculty
- Readings
- Monday readings
- Tuesday readings
- Wednesday readings
- Thursday readings
- Friday readings
- Preparation for syndicate group work
-
Wednesday
Wednesday 7 January 2015
0900-1030 Rehearsing strategy using modelling MK
1030-1100 Break
1100-1300 An introduction to strategic modelling using system dynamics MK
1300 Lunch
1400-1530 Resource mapping MK
1530-1600 Break
1600-1730 Modelling for strategic development Workshop MK
FREE EVENING
Page 3 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Thursday
Thursday 8 January 2015
0900-1030 Identifying and mapping resources and capabilities MK
1030-1100 Break
1100-1300 Generating and evaluating strategic options FOB
1300 Lunch
1400-1530 Supporting strategy in practice tbc
1530-1600 Break
1600-1730 Decision and risk analysis for the evaluation of strategic options MK
EVENING Syndicate work presentation preparation
Page 4 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Friday
Friday 9 January 2015
0900-1030 Group presentations Scenario planning FOBMK
1030-1100 Break
1100-1200 Group presentations Scenario planning FOBMK
1200-1300 Developing the strategy process FOB
1300-1330Conclusion and module debrief (including assessment guidance and discussion of potentialprojects)
FOB
Page 5 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Module assessment
The module will be assessed by 100 coursework
Choose an organisation to work on throughout this assessment either one you currently work for or one with whichyou are familiar
Part A Describe the strategic planningdevelopment process in the organisation (10)
Part B Prepare between two and four scenarios for the organisation Each scenario should be based on amaximum of 12 factors Your report for this section should cover
i The development process a short description of the scenarios developed and a discussion of the keyissues arising during their development (40)
ii The development of strategic initiatives and a recommendation of what strategy should be pursued bythe organisation in the light of the scenarios (10)
iii A brief description of the value of scenario planning to your chosen organisation and how it can beintegrated into the strategic planning development process (10)
Part C Discuss the possible future development of frameworks methods and models (other than scenarioplanning or SWOTTOWS analysis) to support the strategic planningdevelopment process within your chosenorganisation (30)
Evidence of reading relevant literature will influence the marking
Maximum length 3000 words Anything over this limit will not be marked References and appendices are notincluded in the word count
The deadline for submission is 1730 (UK time) on Monday 9 February 2015
The marks for this assignment will be released on Monday 9 March 2015
The submission deadline is precise and uploading of the document must be completed before 1730 (UK time) on thesubmission date Any document submitted even seconds later than 1730 precisely will be penalised for latesubmission in line with WBS policy Please consult your student handbook on mywbs for more detailed information
The online assignment submission system will only accept documents in portable documents format (PDF) filesPlease note that we will not accept PDF files of scanned documents You should create your assignment in yourchosen package (for example Word) then convert it straight to PDF before uploading Please place your student IDnumber NOT YOUR NAME on the front of your submission as all submissions are marked anonymously
All the scripts should also have the following paragraph included on the front page
This is to certify that the work I am submitting is my own All external references andsources are clearly acknowledged and identified within the contents I am aware of theUniversity of Warwick regulation concerning plagiarism and collusion
No substantial part(s) of the work submitted here has also been submitted by me in otherassessments for accredited courses of study and I acknowledge that if this has been donean appropriate reduction in the mark I might otherwise have received will be made
PLEASE ENSURE YOU KEEP A SECURITY COPY OF YOUR ASSESSMENT
Page 1 of 1 Warwick Business School
Assessment Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Teaching faculty
Frances OBrien (Module Organiser) - Associate Professor of Operational ResearchWBS
Frances OBriens research interests include the development and use of approaches tosupport strategy development in particular scenario planning and visioningmethodologies and the practice of combining OR and strategy tools by managementteams She holds a BSc (Joint Honours) in Mathematics and Classical Studies from SurreyUniversity and an MSc in Operational Research from Southampton University Shepreviously worked for the Operational Research Group of Ford of Europe as a consultantproviding modelling support on simulation manpower planning and allocation studies Sheis an active member of the UK Operational Research Society for which she chairs the ORand Strategy Special Interest Group
Martin Kunc - Associate Professor of Management Sciences WBS
Martin holds a PhD in Decision Science from London Business School He previouslyworked for Arthur Andersen and Chilean business schools He is a member of the GeneralCouncil of the UK Operational Research Society His research interests include the use ofmodelling to support strategy development in particular strategic decision-making supplychain design and human resource planning and the role of managerial cognition on theprocess of decision making especially in the area of complex decision-making Martin hasconducted consultancy and research projects for several organisations includingMasterfoods Standard amp Poors Lafarge and Warwickshire County Council
Page 1 of 1 Warwick Business School
Teaching Faculty Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Readings
The textbook provided for the week is
OBrien FA and Dyson RG (2007) Supporting Strategy Frameworks Methods and ModelsChichester Wiley
Pre-readings are included in the online materials you should read these in advance of the session to which theyrelate Unless specified you should treat ALL case studies as required pre-reading Completing as much of thepre-reading as possible before you attend will provide you with a wider understanding of the topics to be discussedduring the module and therefore enhance your contribution to the class
Case study advice
Any case studies for this module purchased from the Case Centre are provided for your personal use on this modulefor which you are registered You may download and print one copy for your personal use
The case studies will expire on 9 February 2015 and will not be available to you after this We recommend that youdownload any cases immediately When you have taken your copy of a case study you may not make further copiesshare them with or sell the materials to any other person or use them for any purpose not connected with your studiesfor this MBA module Failure to follow these terms and conditions of use may result in disciplinary action
Page 1 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Monday readings
Monday 5 January 2015
Preparation for exploring strategic agenda
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 3
Preparation for strategic direction
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 2
Collins JC and Porras JI (1996)Building Your Companys VisionHarvard Business Review September-O ctober pp 65-77To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9609167704
OConnell D Hickerson K and Pillutla A (2011)Organizational Visioning An Integrative ReviewGroup and Organization Management 36 1 pp 103-25
Preparation for performance measurement
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 11
Kaplan SR and Norton DP (1996)Using the Balanced Scorecard as a Strategic Management SystemHarvard Business Review January-February pp 75-85To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9601185348
Page 2 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Tuesday readings
Tuesday 6 January 2015
Preparation for scenario planning
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 9
Yeoman I and Greenwood C (2006)From Fast Food to Slow Food The Prospects for Scotlands Cuisine to 2015Tomorrows World Consumer and Tourist 2 3
Page 3 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Wednesday readings
Wednesday 7 January 2015
Preparation for rehearsing strategy with modelling
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 7
Senge P (1992)A shift of Mindin The Fifth DisciplineLondon Random House Business
Case study People Express (Ref 9-483-103)
Preparation for modelling for strategic development
Pre-reading Morecroft J (2007)Managing Business Growthin Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics A Feedback Systems ApproachChichester Wiley
Page 4 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Thursday readings
Thursday 8 January 2015
Preparation for generating strategy
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapters 6 and 9
Preparation for decision and risk analysis
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 10
Page 5 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Friday readings
Friday 9 January 2015
There are no readings for this day
Page 6 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Preparation for syndicate group work
IN ADDITION you have been put into a syndicate group with a number of other people Each group has beenallocated a company for which you will undertake a scenario planning exercise as follows
Page 7 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 8 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 9 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Group 7 (A209) - Age NI
Marcus Tyrberg
Steven Vallender
Tapfuma Vazhure
Stuart Walker
David Willetts
Aghiad Yabroudi
Each person in the group should access information for their organisation (such as an annual report if one exists) viathe companys website You need to have read this and done some further research (see suggestions below) beforearrival as you will be working on scenarios for these organisations in exercises throughout the week starting on thefirst day
Your further research should help you gain an understanding of the organisation and the industry within which itoperates in terms of past events current policiestrends and future developmentsuncertainties You will be asked topool your findings from your own and the supplied material with the other members of your syndicate group You mayfind the following questions useful
What planning horizon is your organisation likely to use for strategy development
What are the key issuesconcerns currently affecting your organisation
Who are your organisations key competitors Check their websites
Who are the key stakeholders for your organisation
What is your organisations visionmission statement Check the website
Over the past 10 years has your organisation experienced change What have been the drivers of thischange
Useful websites
Good sources of information include annual reports analyst reports newspapers and journals such as the FinancialTimes and the Economist as well as industry reports I would encourage you to make use of the Internet whatfollows is a non-exhaustive list of useful websites
httpwwwshellcomhomecontentfuture_energyscenarios
Its well worth visiting this site as much of the practice and literature on scenarios has a basis in theShell experience of scenario planning This particular page provides an introduction to scenariosincluding Shells current New lens Scenarios to 2100 Theres also a video of Shells scenarios as wellas archive material of previous scenario exercises
wwwwfsorg
World Future Society a non-profit educational and scientific organisation for those interested in futuresstudies
Check the variety of on-line resources available - different futures thinkers - The Futurist magazine etc
httpnewoptimistscomthe-forumscenario-planning
Website describing the New Optimists experiences developing scenarios about the future of FoodSupply within the West Midlands over the next 50 years Have a look at their scenario wildcards section
Page 10 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
httpwwwbisgovukforesightabout-us
The following quote is taken from their website and gives a good summary of what theyre about andwhat you will find on the site
Since its creation in 1994 the Foresight Programme has helped the UKGovernment to think systematically about the future We advise government abouthow to ensure todays decisions are robust to future uncertainties By combining thelatest science and evidence with futures analysis we help policy makers tacklecomplex issues with a better understanding of the potential opportunities andchallenges that lie ahead
We do this in three ways
Major Foresight Projects in-depth two-year studies which build acomprehensive evidence base on major issues looking 20-80 years into thefuture
Policy Futures Projects shorter projects which provide futures andevidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding
The Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre training toolkits and networks tostrengthen futures thinking capacity and share best practice within andacross government
Our work is used to stimulate and inform the development of more effectivestrategies policies and priorities at national and international levels
Foresight is headed by Professor Sir Mark Walport the Government ChiefScientific Adviser who reports directly to the Prime Minister and Cabinet It is a partof the Government Office for Science within the Department for BusinessInnovation amp Skills
Accessed (190913)
wwwplausiblecustompublishcom
Norwegian consultancy for futures studies and scenario based strategic planning established in the1990s as an experiment in internet based research
Interesting reading on a variety of topics This year artificial cells self-driving cars etc
Mintel - accessed via Warwick Library Website
This is a useful site for reports concerning for example the future
Page 11 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
- Download Details
- Introduction
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Module assessment
- Teaching faculty
- Readings
- Monday readings
- Tuesday readings
- Wednesday readings
- Thursday readings
- Friday readings
- Preparation for syndicate group work
-
Thursday
Thursday 8 January 2015
0900-1030 Identifying and mapping resources and capabilities MK
1030-1100 Break
1100-1300 Generating and evaluating strategic options FOB
1300 Lunch
1400-1530 Supporting strategy in practice tbc
1530-1600 Break
1600-1730 Decision and risk analysis for the evaluation of strategic options MK
EVENING Syndicate work presentation preparation
Page 4 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Friday
Friday 9 January 2015
0900-1030 Group presentations Scenario planning FOBMK
1030-1100 Break
1100-1200 Group presentations Scenario planning FOBMK
1200-1300 Developing the strategy process FOB
1300-1330Conclusion and module debrief (including assessment guidance and discussion of potentialprojects)
FOB
Page 5 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Module assessment
The module will be assessed by 100 coursework
Choose an organisation to work on throughout this assessment either one you currently work for or one with whichyou are familiar
Part A Describe the strategic planningdevelopment process in the organisation (10)
Part B Prepare between two and four scenarios for the organisation Each scenario should be based on amaximum of 12 factors Your report for this section should cover
i The development process a short description of the scenarios developed and a discussion of the keyissues arising during their development (40)
ii The development of strategic initiatives and a recommendation of what strategy should be pursued bythe organisation in the light of the scenarios (10)
iii A brief description of the value of scenario planning to your chosen organisation and how it can beintegrated into the strategic planning development process (10)
Part C Discuss the possible future development of frameworks methods and models (other than scenarioplanning or SWOTTOWS analysis) to support the strategic planningdevelopment process within your chosenorganisation (30)
Evidence of reading relevant literature will influence the marking
Maximum length 3000 words Anything over this limit will not be marked References and appendices are notincluded in the word count
The deadline for submission is 1730 (UK time) on Monday 9 February 2015
The marks for this assignment will be released on Monday 9 March 2015
The submission deadline is precise and uploading of the document must be completed before 1730 (UK time) on thesubmission date Any document submitted even seconds later than 1730 precisely will be penalised for latesubmission in line with WBS policy Please consult your student handbook on mywbs for more detailed information
The online assignment submission system will only accept documents in portable documents format (PDF) filesPlease note that we will not accept PDF files of scanned documents You should create your assignment in yourchosen package (for example Word) then convert it straight to PDF before uploading Please place your student IDnumber NOT YOUR NAME on the front of your submission as all submissions are marked anonymously
All the scripts should also have the following paragraph included on the front page
This is to certify that the work I am submitting is my own All external references andsources are clearly acknowledged and identified within the contents I am aware of theUniversity of Warwick regulation concerning plagiarism and collusion
No substantial part(s) of the work submitted here has also been submitted by me in otherassessments for accredited courses of study and I acknowledge that if this has been donean appropriate reduction in the mark I might otherwise have received will be made
PLEASE ENSURE YOU KEEP A SECURITY COPY OF YOUR ASSESSMENT
Page 1 of 1 Warwick Business School
Assessment Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Teaching faculty
Frances OBrien (Module Organiser) - Associate Professor of Operational ResearchWBS
Frances OBriens research interests include the development and use of approaches tosupport strategy development in particular scenario planning and visioningmethodologies and the practice of combining OR and strategy tools by managementteams She holds a BSc (Joint Honours) in Mathematics and Classical Studies from SurreyUniversity and an MSc in Operational Research from Southampton University Shepreviously worked for the Operational Research Group of Ford of Europe as a consultantproviding modelling support on simulation manpower planning and allocation studies Sheis an active member of the UK Operational Research Society for which she chairs the ORand Strategy Special Interest Group
Martin Kunc - Associate Professor of Management Sciences WBS
Martin holds a PhD in Decision Science from London Business School He previouslyworked for Arthur Andersen and Chilean business schools He is a member of the GeneralCouncil of the UK Operational Research Society His research interests include the use ofmodelling to support strategy development in particular strategic decision-making supplychain design and human resource planning and the role of managerial cognition on theprocess of decision making especially in the area of complex decision-making Martin hasconducted consultancy and research projects for several organisations includingMasterfoods Standard amp Poors Lafarge and Warwickshire County Council
Page 1 of 1 Warwick Business School
Teaching Faculty Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Readings
The textbook provided for the week is
OBrien FA and Dyson RG (2007) Supporting Strategy Frameworks Methods and ModelsChichester Wiley
Pre-readings are included in the online materials you should read these in advance of the session to which theyrelate Unless specified you should treat ALL case studies as required pre-reading Completing as much of thepre-reading as possible before you attend will provide you with a wider understanding of the topics to be discussedduring the module and therefore enhance your contribution to the class
Case study advice
Any case studies for this module purchased from the Case Centre are provided for your personal use on this modulefor which you are registered You may download and print one copy for your personal use
The case studies will expire on 9 February 2015 and will not be available to you after this We recommend that youdownload any cases immediately When you have taken your copy of a case study you may not make further copiesshare them with or sell the materials to any other person or use them for any purpose not connected with your studiesfor this MBA module Failure to follow these terms and conditions of use may result in disciplinary action
Page 1 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Monday readings
Monday 5 January 2015
Preparation for exploring strategic agenda
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 3
Preparation for strategic direction
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 2
Collins JC and Porras JI (1996)Building Your Companys VisionHarvard Business Review September-O ctober pp 65-77To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9609167704
OConnell D Hickerson K and Pillutla A (2011)Organizational Visioning An Integrative ReviewGroup and Organization Management 36 1 pp 103-25
Preparation for performance measurement
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 11
Kaplan SR and Norton DP (1996)Using the Balanced Scorecard as a Strategic Management SystemHarvard Business Review January-February pp 75-85To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9601185348
Page 2 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Tuesday readings
Tuesday 6 January 2015
Preparation for scenario planning
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 9
Yeoman I and Greenwood C (2006)From Fast Food to Slow Food The Prospects for Scotlands Cuisine to 2015Tomorrows World Consumer and Tourist 2 3
Page 3 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Wednesday readings
Wednesday 7 January 2015
Preparation for rehearsing strategy with modelling
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 7
Senge P (1992)A shift of Mindin The Fifth DisciplineLondon Random House Business
Case study People Express (Ref 9-483-103)
Preparation for modelling for strategic development
Pre-reading Morecroft J (2007)Managing Business Growthin Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics A Feedback Systems ApproachChichester Wiley
Page 4 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Thursday readings
Thursday 8 January 2015
Preparation for generating strategy
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapters 6 and 9
Preparation for decision and risk analysis
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 10
Page 5 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Friday readings
Friday 9 January 2015
There are no readings for this day
Page 6 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Preparation for syndicate group work
IN ADDITION you have been put into a syndicate group with a number of other people Each group has beenallocated a company for which you will undertake a scenario planning exercise as follows
Page 7 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 8 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 9 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Group 7 (A209) - Age NI
Marcus Tyrberg
Steven Vallender
Tapfuma Vazhure
Stuart Walker
David Willetts
Aghiad Yabroudi
Each person in the group should access information for their organisation (such as an annual report if one exists) viathe companys website You need to have read this and done some further research (see suggestions below) beforearrival as you will be working on scenarios for these organisations in exercises throughout the week starting on thefirst day
Your further research should help you gain an understanding of the organisation and the industry within which itoperates in terms of past events current policiestrends and future developmentsuncertainties You will be asked topool your findings from your own and the supplied material with the other members of your syndicate group You mayfind the following questions useful
What planning horizon is your organisation likely to use for strategy development
What are the key issuesconcerns currently affecting your organisation
Who are your organisations key competitors Check their websites
Who are the key stakeholders for your organisation
What is your organisations visionmission statement Check the website
Over the past 10 years has your organisation experienced change What have been the drivers of thischange
Useful websites
Good sources of information include annual reports analyst reports newspapers and journals such as the FinancialTimes and the Economist as well as industry reports I would encourage you to make use of the Internet whatfollows is a non-exhaustive list of useful websites
httpwwwshellcomhomecontentfuture_energyscenarios
Its well worth visiting this site as much of the practice and literature on scenarios has a basis in theShell experience of scenario planning This particular page provides an introduction to scenariosincluding Shells current New lens Scenarios to 2100 Theres also a video of Shells scenarios as wellas archive material of previous scenario exercises
wwwwfsorg
World Future Society a non-profit educational and scientific organisation for those interested in futuresstudies
Check the variety of on-line resources available - different futures thinkers - The Futurist magazine etc
httpnewoptimistscomthe-forumscenario-planning
Website describing the New Optimists experiences developing scenarios about the future of FoodSupply within the West Midlands over the next 50 years Have a look at their scenario wildcards section
Page 10 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
httpwwwbisgovukforesightabout-us
The following quote is taken from their website and gives a good summary of what theyre about andwhat you will find on the site
Since its creation in 1994 the Foresight Programme has helped the UKGovernment to think systematically about the future We advise government abouthow to ensure todays decisions are robust to future uncertainties By combining thelatest science and evidence with futures analysis we help policy makers tacklecomplex issues with a better understanding of the potential opportunities andchallenges that lie ahead
We do this in three ways
Major Foresight Projects in-depth two-year studies which build acomprehensive evidence base on major issues looking 20-80 years into thefuture
Policy Futures Projects shorter projects which provide futures andevidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding
The Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre training toolkits and networks tostrengthen futures thinking capacity and share best practice within andacross government
Our work is used to stimulate and inform the development of more effectivestrategies policies and priorities at national and international levels
Foresight is headed by Professor Sir Mark Walport the Government ChiefScientific Adviser who reports directly to the Prime Minister and Cabinet It is a partof the Government Office for Science within the Department for BusinessInnovation amp Skills
Accessed (190913)
wwwplausiblecustompublishcom
Norwegian consultancy for futures studies and scenario based strategic planning established in the1990s as an experiment in internet based research
Interesting reading on a variety of topics This year artificial cells self-driving cars etc
Mintel - accessed via Warwick Library Website
This is a useful site for reports concerning for example the future
Page 11 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
- Download Details
- Introduction
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Module assessment
- Teaching faculty
- Readings
- Monday readings
- Tuesday readings
- Wednesday readings
- Thursday readings
- Friday readings
- Preparation for syndicate group work
-
Friday
Friday 9 January 2015
0900-1030 Group presentations Scenario planning FOBMK
1030-1100 Break
1100-1200 Group presentations Scenario planning FOBMK
1200-1300 Developing the strategy process FOB
1300-1330Conclusion and module debrief (including assessment guidance and discussion of potentialprojects)
FOB
Page 5 of 5 Warwick Business School
Programme Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Module assessment
The module will be assessed by 100 coursework
Choose an organisation to work on throughout this assessment either one you currently work for or one with whichyou are familiar
Part A Describe the strategic planningdevelopment process in the organisation (10)
Part B Prepare between two and four scenarios for the organisation Each scenario should be based on amaximum of 12 factors Your report for this section should cover
i The development process a short description of the scenarios developed and a discussion of the keyissues arising during their development (40)
ii The development of strategic initiatives and a recommendation of what strategy should be pursued bythe organisation in the light of the scenarios (10)
iii A brief description of the value of scenario planning to your chosen organisation and how it can beintegrated into the strategic planning development process (10)
Part C Discuss the possible future development of frameworks methods and models (other than scenarioplanning or SWOTTOWS analysis) to support the strategic planningdevelopment process within your chosenorganisation (30)
Evidence of reading relevant literature will influence the marking
Maximum length 3000 words Anything over this limit will not be marked References and appendices are notincluded in the word count
The deadline for submission is 1730 (UK time) on Monday 9 February 2015
The marks for this assignment will be released on Monday 9 March 2015
The submission deadline is precise and uploading of the document must be completed before 1730 (UK time) on thesubmission date Any document submitted even seconds later than 1730 precisely will be penalised for latesubmission in line with WBS policy Please consult your student handbook on mywbs for more detailed information
The online assignment submission system will only accept documents in portable documents format (PDF) filesPlease note that we will not accept PDF files of scanned documents You should create your assignment in yourchosen package (for example Word) then convert it straight to PDF before uploading Please place your student IDnumber NOT YOUR NAME on the front of your submission as all submissions are marked anonymously
All the scripts should also have the following paragraph included on the front page
This is to certify that the work I am submitting is my own All external references andsources are clearly acknowledged and identified within the contents I am aware of theUniversity of Warwick regulation concerning plagiarism and collusion
No substantial part(s) of the work submitted here has also been submitted by me in otherassessments for accredited courses of study and I acknowledge that if this has been donean appropriate reduction in the mark I might otherwise have received will be made
PLEASE ENSURE YOU KEEP A SECURITY COPY OF YOUR ASSESSMENT
Page 1 of 1 Warwick Business School
Assessment Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Teaching faculty
Frances OBrien (Module Organiser) - Associate Professor of Operational ResearchWBS
Frances OBriens research interests include the development and use of approaches tosupport strategy development in particular scenario planning and visioningmethodologies and the practice of combining OR and strategy tools by managementteams She holds a BSc (Joint Honours) in Mathematics and Classical Studies from SurreyUniversity and an MSc in Operational Research from Southampton University Shepreviously worked for the Operational Research Group of Ford of Europe as a consultantproviding modelling support on simulation manpower planning and allocation studies Sheis an active member of the UK Operational Research Society for which she chairs the ORand Strategy Special Interest Group
Martin Kunc - Associate Professor of Management Sciences WBS
Martin holds a PhD in Decision Science from London Business School He previouslyworked for Arthur Andersen and Chilean business schools He is a member of the GeneralCouncil of the UK Operational Research Society His research interests include the use ofmodelling to support strategy development in particular strategic decision-making supplychain design and human resource planning and the role of managerial cognition on theprocess of decision making especially in the area of complex decision-making Martin hasconducted consultancy and research projects for several organisations includingMasterfoods Standard amp Poors Lafarge and Warwickshire County Council
Page 1 of 1 Warwick Business School
Teaching Faculty Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Readings
The textbook provided for the week is
OBrien FA and Dyson RG (2007) Supporting Strategy Frameworks Methods and ModelsChichester Wiley
Pre-readings are included in the online materials you should read these in advance of the session to which theyrelate Unless specified you should treat ALL case studies as required pre-reading Completing as much of thepre-reading as possible before you attend will provide you with a wider understanding of the topics to be discussedduring the module and therefore enhance your contribution to the class
Case study advice
Any case studies for this module purchased from the Case Centre are provided for your personal use on this modulefor which you are registered You may download and print one copy for your personal use
The case studies will expire on 9 February 2015 and will not be available to you after this We recommend that youdownload any cases immediately When you have taken your copy of a case study you may not make further copiesshare them with or sell the materials to any other person or use them for any purpose not connected with your studiesfor this MBA module Failure to follow these terms and conditions of use may result in disciplinary action
Page 1 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Monday readings
Monday 5 January 2015
Preparation for exploring strategic agenda
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 3
Preparation for strategic direction
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 2
Collins JC and Porras JI (1996)Building Your Companys VisionHarvard Business Review September-O ctober pp 65-77To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9609167704
OConnell D Hickerson K and Pillutla A (2011)Organizational Visioning An Integrative ReviewGroup and Organization Management 36 1 pp 103-25
Preparation for performance measurement
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 11
Kaplan SR and Norton DP (1996)Using the Balanced Scorecard as a Strategic Management SystemHarvard Business Review January-February pp 75-85To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9601185348
Page 2 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Tuesday readings
Tuesday 6 January 2015
Preparation for scenario planning
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 9
Yeoman I and Greenwood C (2006)From Fast Food to Slow Food The Prospects for Scotlands Cuisine to 2015Tomorrows World Consumer and Tourist 2 3
Page 3 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Wednesday readings
Wednesday 7 January 2015
Preparation for rehearsing strategy with modelling
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 7
Senge P (1992)A shift of Mindin The Fifth DisciplineLondon Random House Business
Case study People Express (Ref 9-483-103)
Preparation for modelling for strategic development
Pre-reading Morecroft J (2007)Managing Business Growthin Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics A Feedback Systems ApproachChichester Wiley
Page 4 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Thursday readings
Thursday 8 January 2015
Preparation for generating strategy
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapters 6 and 9
Preparation for decision and risk analysis
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 10
Page 5 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Friday readings
Friday 9 January 2015
There are no readings for this day
Page 6 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Preparation for syndicate group work
IN ADDITION you have been put into a syndicate group with a number of other people Each group has beenallocated a company for which you will undertake a scenario planning exercise as follows
Page 7 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 8 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 9 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Group 7 (A209) - Age NI
Marcus Tyrberg
Steven Vallender
Tapfuma Vazhure
Stuart Walker
David Willetts
Aghiad Yabroudi
Each person in the group should access information for their organisation (such as an annual report if one exists) viathe companys website You need to have read this and done some further research (see suggestions below) beforearrival as you will be working on scenarios for these organisations in exercises throughout the week starting on thefirst day
Your further research should help you gain an understanding of the organisation and the industry within which itoperates in terms of past events current policiestrends and future developmentsuncertainties You will be asked topool your findings from your own and the supplied material with the other members of your syndicate group You mayfind the following questions useful
What planning horizon is your organisation likely to use for strategy development
What are the key issuesconcerns currently affecting your organisation
Who are your organisations key competitors Check their websites
Who are the key stakeholders for your organisation
What is your organisations visionmission statement Check the website
Over the past 10 years has your organisation experienced change What have been the drivers of thischange
Useful websites
Good sources of information include annual reports analyst reports newspapers and journals such as the FinancialTimes and the Economist as well as industry reports I would encourage you to make use of the Internet whatfollows is a non-exhaustive list of useful websites
httpwwwshellcomhomecontentfuture_energyscenarios
Its well worth visiting this site as much of the practice and literature on scenarios has a basis in theShell experience of scenario planning This particular page provides an introduction to scenariosincluding Shells current New lens Scenarios to 2100 Theres also a video of Shells scenarios as wellas archive material of previous scenario exercises
wwwwfsorg
World Future Society a non-profit educational and scientific organisation for those interested in futuresstudies
Check the variety of on-line resources available - different futures thinkers - The Futurist magazine etc
httpnewoptimistscomthe-forumscenario-planning
Website describing the New Optimists experiences developing scenarios about the future of FoodSupply within the West Midlands over the next 50 years Have a look at their scenario wildcards section
Page 10 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
httpwwwbisgovukforesightabout-us
The following quote is taken from their website and gives a good summary of what theyre about andwhat you will find on the site
Since its creation in 1994 the Foresight Programme has helped the UKGovernment to think systematically about the future We advise government abouthow to ensure todays decisions are robust to future uncertainties By combining thelatest science and evidence with futures analysis we help policy makers tacklecomplex issues with a better understanding of the potential opportunities andchallenges that lie ahead
We do this in three ways
Major Foresight Projects in-depth two-year studies which build acomprehensive evidence base on major issues looking 20-80 years into thefuture
Policy Futures Projects shorter projects which provide futures andevidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding
The Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre training toolkits and networks tostrengthen futures thinking capacity and share best practice within andacross government
Our work is used to stimulate and inform the development of more effectivestrategies policies and priorities at national and international levels
Foresight is headed by Professor Sir Mark Walport the Government ChiefScientific Adviser who reports directly to the Prime Minister and Cabinet It is a partof the Government Office for Science within the Department for BusinessInnovation amp Skills
Accessed (190913)
wwwplausiblecustompublishcom
Norwegian consultancy for futures studies and scenario based strategic planning established in the1990s as an experiment in internet based research
Interesting reading on a variety of topics This year artificial cells self-driving cars etc
Mintel - accessed via Warwick Library Website
This is a useful site for reports concerning for example the future
Page 11 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
- Download Details
- Introduction
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Module assessment
- Teaching faculty
- Readings
- Monday readings
- Tuesday readings
- Wednesday readings
- Thursday readings
- Friday readings
- Preparation for syndicate group work
-
Module assessment
The module will be assessed by 100 coursework
Choose an organisation to work on throughout this assessment either one you currently work for or one with whichyou are familiar
Part A Describe the strategic planningdevelopment process in the organisation (10)
Part B Prepare between two and four scenarios for the organisation Each scenario should be based on amaximum of 12 factors Your report for this section should cover
i The development process a short description of the scenarios developed and a discussion of the keyissues arising during their development (40)
ii The development of strategic initiatives and a recommendation of what strategy should be pursued bythe organisation in the light of the scenarios (10)
iii A brief description of the value of scenario planning to your chosen organisation and how it can beintegrated into the strategic planning development process (10)
Part C Discuss the possible future development of frameworks methods and models (other than scenarioplanning or SWOTTOWS analysis) to support the strategic planningdevelopment process within your chosenorganisation (30)
Evidence of reading relevant literature will influence the marking
Maximum length 3000 words Anything over this limit will not be marked References and appendices are notincluded in the word count
The deadline for submission is 1730 (UK time) on Monday 9 February 2015
The marks for this assignment will be released on Monday 9 March 2015
The submission deadline is precise and uploading of the document must be completed before 1730 (UK time) on thesubmission date Any document submitted even seconds later than 1730 precisely will be penalised for latesubmission in line with WBS policy Please consult your student handbook on mywbs for more detailed information
The online assignment submission system will only accept documents in portable documents format (PDF) filesPlease note that we will not accept PDF files of scanned documents You should create your assignment in yourchosen package (for example Word) then convert it straight to PDF before uploading Please place your student IDnumber NOT YOUR NAME on the front of your submission as all submissions are marked anonymously
All the scripts should also have the following paragraph included on the front page
This is to certify that the work I am submitting is my own All external references andsources are clearly acknowledged and identified within the contents I am aware of theUniversity of Warwick regulation concerning plagiarism and collusion
No substantial part(s) of the work submitted here has also been submitted by me in otherassessments for accredited courses of study and I acknowledge that if this has been donean appropriate reduction in the mark I might otherwise have received will be made
PLEASE ENSURE YOU KEEP A SECURITY COPY OF YOUR ASSESSMENT
Page 1 of 1 Warwick Business School
Assessment Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Teaching faculty
Frances OBrien (Module Organiser) - Associate Professor of Operational ResearchWBS
Frances OBriens research interests include the development and use of approaches tosupport strategy development in particular scenario planning and visioningmethodologies and the practice of combining OR and strategy tools by managementteams She holds a BSc (Joint Honours) in Mathematics and Classical Studies from SurreyUniversity and an MSc in Operational Research from Southampton University Shepreviously worked for the Operational Research Group of Ford of Europe as a consultantproviding modelling support on simulation manpower planning and allocation studies Sheis an active member of the UK Operational Research Society for which she chairs the ORand Strategy Special Interest Group
Martin Kunc - Associate Professor of Management Sciences WBS
Martin holds a PhD in Decision Science from London Business School He previouslyworked for Arthur Andersen and Chilean business schools He is a member of the GeneralCouncil of the UK Operational Research Society His research interests include the use ofmodelling to support strategy development in particular strategic decision-making supplychain design and human resource planning and the role of managerial cognition on theprocess of decision making especially in the area of complex decision-making Martin hasconducted consultancy and research projects for several organisations includingMasterfoods Standard amp Poors Lafarge and Warwickshire County Council
Page 1 of 1 Warwick Business School
Teaching Faculty Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Readings
The textbook provided for the week is
OBrien FA and Dyson RG (2007) Supporting Strategy Frameworks Methods and ModelsChichester Wiley
Pre-readings are included in the online materials you should read these in advance of the session to which theyrelate Unless specified you should treat ALL case studies as required pre-reading Completing as much of thepre-reading as possible before you attend will provide you with a wider understanding of the topics to be discussedduring the module and therefore enhance your contribution to the class
Case study advice
Any case studies for this module purchased from the Case Centre are provided for your personal use on this modulefor which you are registered You may download and print one copy for your personal use
The case studies will expire on 9 February 2015 and will not be available to you after this We recommend that youdownload any cases immediately When you have taken your copy of a case study you may not make further copiesshare them with or sell the materials to any other person or use them for any purpose not connected with your studiesfor this MBA module Failure to follow these terms and conditions of use may result in disciplinary action
Page 1 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Monday readings
Monday 5 January 2015
Preparation for exploring strategic agenda
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 3
Preparation for strategic direction
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 2
Collins JC and Porras JI (1996)Building Your Companys VisionHarvard Business Review September-O ctober pp 65-77To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9609167704
OConnell D Hickerson K and Pillutla A (2011)Organizational Visioning An Integrative ReviewGroup and Organization Management 36 1 pp 103-25
Preparation for performance measurement
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 11
Kaplan SR and Norton DP (1996)Using the Balanced Scorecard as a Strategic Management SystemHarvard Business Review January-February pp 75-85To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9601185348
Page 2 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Tuesday readings
Tuesday 6 January 2015
Preparation for scenario planning
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 9
Yeoman I and Greenwood C (2006)From Fast Food to Slow Food The Prospects for Scotlands Cuisine to 2015Tomorrows World Consumer and Tourist 2 3
Page 3 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Wednesday readings
Wednesday 7 January 2015
Preparation for rehearsing strategy with modelling
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 7
Senge P (1992)A shift of Mindin The Fifth DisciplineLondon Random House Business
Case study People Express (Ref 9-483-103)
Preparation for modelling for strategic development
Pre-reading Morecroft J (2007)Managing Business Growthin Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics A Feedback Systems ApproachChichester Wiley
Page 4 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Thursday readings
Thursday 8 January 2015
Preparation for generating strategy
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapters 6 and 9
Preparation for decision and risk analysis
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 10
Page 5 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Friday readings
Friday 9 January 2015
There are no readings for this day
Page 6 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Preparation for syndicate group work
IN ADDITION you have been put into a syndicate group with a number of other people Each group has beenallocated a company for which you will undertake a scenario planning exercise as follows
Page 7 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 8 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 9 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Group 7 (A209) - Age NI
Marcus Tyrberg
Steven Vallender
Tapfuma Vazhure
Stuart Walker
David Willetts
Aghiad Yabroudi
Each person in the group should access information for their organisation (such as an annual report if one exists) viathe companys website You need to have read this and done some further research (see suggestions below) beforearrival as you will be working on scenarios for these organisations in exercises throughout the week starting on thefirst day
Your further research should help you gain an understanding of the organisation and the industry within which itoperates in terms of past events current policiestrends and future developmentsuncertainties You will be asked topool your findings from your own and the supplied material with the other members of your syndicate group You mayfind the following questions useful
What planning horizon is your organisation likely to use for strategy development
What are the key issuesconcerns currently affecting your organisation
Who are your organisations key competitors Check their websites
Who are the key stakeholders for your organisation
What is your organisations visionmission statement Check the website
Over the past 10 years has your organisation experienced change What have been the drivers of thischange
Useful websites
Good sources of information include annual reports analyst reports newspapers and journals such as the FinancialTimes and the Economist as well as industry reports I would encourage you to make use of the Internet whatfollows is a non-exhaustive list of useful websites
httpwwwshellcomhomecontentfuture_energyscenarios
Its well worth visiting this site as much of the practice and literature on scenarios has a basis in theShell experience of scenario planning This particular page provides an introduction to scenariosincluding Shells current New lens Scenarios to 2100 Theres also a video of Shells scenarios as wellas archive material of previous scenario exercises
wwwwfsorg
World Future Society a non-profit educational and scientific organisation for those interested in futuresstudies
Check the variety of on-line resources available - different futures thinkers - The Futurist magazine etc
httpnewoptimistscomthe-forumscenario-planning
Website describing the New Optimists experiences developing scenarios about the future of FoodSupply within the West Midlands over the next 50 years Have a look at their scenario wildcards section
Page 10 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
httpwwwbisgovukforesightabout-us
The following quote is taken from their website and gives a good summary of what theyre about andwhat you will find on the site
Since its creation in 1994 the Foresight Programme has helped the UKGovernment to think systematically about the future We advise government abouthow to ensure todays decisions are robust to future uncertainties By combining thelatest science and evidence with futures analysis we help policy makers tacklecomplex issues with a better understanding of the potential opportunities andchallenges that lie ahead
We do this in three ways
Major Foresight Projects in-depth two-year studies which build acomprehensive evidence base on major issues looking 20-80 years into thefuture
Policy Futures Projects shorter projects which provide futures andevidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding
The Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre training toolkits and networks tostrengthen futures thinking capacity and share best practice within andacross government
Our work is used to stimulate and inform the development of more effectivestrategies policies and priorities at national and international levels
Foresight is headed by Professor Sir Mark Walport the Government ChiefScientific Adviser who reports directly to the Prime Minister and Cabinet It is a partof the Government Office for Science within the Department for BusinessInnovation amp Skills
Accessed (190913)
wwwplausiblecustompublishcom
Norwegian consultancy for futures studies and scenario based strategic planning established in the1990s as an experiment in internet based research
Interesting reading on a variety of topics This year artificial cells self-driving cars etc
Mintel - accessed via Warwick Library Website
This is a useful site for reports concerning for example the future
Page 11 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
- Download Details
- Introduction
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Module assessment
- Teaching faculty
- Readings
- Monday readings
- Tuesday readings
- Wednesday readings
- Thursday readings
- Friday readings
- Preparation for syndicate group work
-
Teaching faculty
Frances OBrien (Module Organiser) - Associate Professor of Operational ResearchWBS
Frances OBriens research interests include the development and use of approaches tosupport strategy development in particular scenario planning and visioningmethodologies and the practice of combining OR and strategy tools by managementteams She holds a BSc (Joint Honours) in Mathematics and Classical Studies from SurreyUniversity and an MSc in Operational Research from Southampton University Shepreviously worked for the Operational Research Group of Ford of Europe as a consultantproviding modelling support on simulation manpower planning and allocation studies Sheis an active member of the UK Operational Research Society for which she chairs the ORand Strategy Special Interest Group
Martin Kunc - Associate Professor of Management Sciences WBS
Martin holds a PhD in Decision Science from London Business School He previouslyworked for Arthur Andersen and Chilean business schools He is a member of the GeneralCouncil of the UK Operational Research Society His research interests include the use ofmodelling to support strategy development in particular strategic decision-making supplychain design and human resource planning and the role of managerial cognition on theprocess of decision making especially in the area of complex decision-making Martin hasconducted consultancy and research projects for several organisations includingMasterfoods Standard amp Poors Lafarge and Warwickshire County Council
Page 1 of 1 Warwick Business School
Teaching Faculty Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Readings
The textbook provided for the week is
OBrien FA and Dyson RG (2007) Supporting Strategy Frameworks Methods and ModelsChichester Wiley
Pre-readings are included in the online materials you should read these in advance of the session to which theyrelate Unless specified you should treat ALL case studies as required pre-reading Completing as much of thepre-reading as possible before you attend will provide you with a wider understanding of the topics to be discussedduring the module and therefore enhance your contribution to the class
Case study advice
Any case studies for this module purchased from the Case Centre are provided for your personal use on this modulefor which you are registered You may download and print one copy for your personal use
The case studies will expire on 9 February 2015 and will not be available to you after this We recommend that youdownload any cases immediately When you have taken your copy of a case study you may not make further copiesshare them with or sell the materials to any other person or use them for any purpose not connected with your studiesfor this MBA module Failure to follow these terms and conditions of use may result in disciplinary action
Page 1 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Monday readings
Monday 5 January 2015
Preparation for exploring strategic agenda
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 3
Preparation for strategic direction
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 2
Collins JC and Porras JI (1996)Building Your Companys VisionHarvard Business Review September-O ctober pp 65-77To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9609167704
OConnell D Hickerson K and Pillutla A (2011)Organizational Visioning An Integrative ReviewGroup and Organization Management 36 1 pp 103-25
Preparation for performance measurement
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 11
Kaplan SR and Norton DP (1996)Using the Balanced Scorecard as a Strategic Management SystemHarvard Business Review January-February pp 75-85To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9601185348
Page 2 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Tuesday readings
Tuesday 6 January 2015
Preparation for scenario planning
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 9
Yeoman I and Greenwood C (2006)From Fast Food to Slow Food The Prospects for Scotlands Cuisine to 2015Tomorrows World Consumer and Tourist 2 3
Page 3 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Wednesday readings
Wednesday 7 January 2015
Preparation for rehearsing strategy with modelling
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 7
Senge P (1992)A shift of Mindin The Fifth DisciplineLondon Random House Business
Case study People Express (Ref 9-483-103)
Preparation for modelling for strategic development
Pre-reading Morecroft J (2007)Managing Business Growthin Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics A Feedback Systems ApproachChichester Wiley
Page 4 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Thursday readings
Thursday 8 January 2015
Preparation for generating strategy
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapters 6 and 9
Preparation for decision and risk analysis
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 10
Page 5 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Friday readings
Friday 9 January 2015
There are no readings for this day
Page 6 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Preparation for syndicate group work
IN ADDITION you have been put into a syndicate group with a number of other people Each group has beenallocated a company for which you will undertake a scenario planning exercise as follows
Page 7 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 8 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 9 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Group 7 (A209) - Age NI
Marcus Tyrberg
Steven Vallender
Tapfuma Vazhure
Stuart Walker
David Willetts
Aghiad Yabroudi
Each person in the group should access information for their organisation (such as an annual report if one exists) viathe companys website You need to have read this and done some further research (see suggestions below) beforearrival as you will be working on scenarios for these organisations in exercises throughout the week starting on thefirst day
Your further research should help you gain an understanding of the organisation and the industry within which itoperates in terms of past events current policiestrends and future developmentsuncertainties You will be asked topool your findings from your own and the supplied material with the other members of your syndicate group You mayfind the following questions useful
What planning horizon is your organisation likely to use for strategy development
What are the key issuesconcerns currently affecting your organisation
Who are your organisations key competitors Check their websites
Who are the key stakeholders for your organisation
What is your organisations visionmission statement Check the website
Over the past 10 years has your organisation experienced change What have been the drivers of thischange
Useful websites
Good sources of information include annual reports analyst reports newspapers and journals such as the FinancialTimes and the Economist as well as industry reports I would encourage you to make use of the Internet whatfollows is a non-exhaustive list of useful websites
httpwwwshellcomhomecontentfuture_energyscenarios
Its well worth visiting this site as much of the practice and literature on scenarios has a basis in theShell experience of scenario planning This particular page provides an introduction to scenariosincluding Shells current New lens Scenarios to 2100 Theres also a video of Shells scenarios as wellas archive material of previous scenario exercises
wwwwfsorg
World Future Society a non-profit educational and scientific organisation for those interested in futuresstudies
Check the variety of on-line resources available - different futures thinkers - The Futurist magazine etc
httpnewoptimistscomthe-forumscenario-planning
Website describing the New Optimists experiences developing scenarios about the future of FoodSupply within the West Midlands over the next 50 years Have a look at their scenario wildcards section
Page 10 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
httpwwwbisgovukforesightabout-us
The following quote is taken from their website and gives a good summary of what theyre about andwhat you will find on the site
Since its creation in 1994 the Foresight Programme has helped the UKGovernment to think systematically about the future We advise government abouthow to ensure todays decisions are robust to future uncertainties By combining thelatest science and evidence with futures analysis we help policy makers tacklecomplex issues with a better understanding of the potential opportunities andchallenges that lie ahead
We do this in three ways
Major Foresight Projects in-depth two-year studies which build acomprehensive evidence base on major issues looking 20-80 years into thefuture
Policy Futures Projects shorter projects which provide futures andevidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding
The Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre training toolkits and networks tostrengthen futures thinking capacity and share best practice within andacross government
Our work is used to stimulate and inform the development of more effectivestrategies policies and priorities at national and international levels
Foresight is headed by Professor Sir Mark Walport the Government ChiefScientific Adviser who reports directly to the Prime Minister and Cabinet It is a partof the Government Office for Science within the Department for BusinessInnovation amp Skills
Accessed (190913)
wwwplausiblecustompublishcom
Norwegian consultancy for futures studies and scenario based strategic planning established in the1990s as an experiment in internet based research
Interesting reading on a variety of topics This year artificial cells self-driving cars etc
Mintel - accessed via Warwick Library Website
This is a useful site for reports concerning for example the future
Page 11 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
- Download Details
- Introduction
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Module assessment
- Teaching faculty
- Readings
- Monday readings
- Tuesday readings
- Wednesday readings
- Thursday readings
- Friday readings
- Preparation for syndicate group work
-
Readings
The textbook provided for the week is
OBrien FA and Dyson RG (2007) Supporting Strategy Frameworks Methods and ModelsChichester Wiley
Pre-readings are included in the online materials you should read these in advance of the session to which theyrelate Unless specified you should treat ALL case studies as required pre-reading Completing as much of thepre-reading as possible before you attend will provide you with a wider understanding of the topics to be discussedduring the module and therefore enhance your contribution to the class
Case study advice
Any case studies for this module purchased from the Case Centre are provided for your personal use on this modulefor which you are registered You may download and print one copy for your personal use
The case studies will expire on 9 February 2015 and will not be available to you after this We recommend that youdownload any cases immediately When you have taken your copy of a case study you may not make further copiesshare them with or sell the materials to any other person or use them for any purpose not connected with your studiesfor this MBA module Failure to follow these terms and conditions of use may result in disciplinary action
Page 1 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Monday readings
Monday 5 January 2015
Preparation for exploring strategic agenda
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 3
Preparation for strategic direction
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 2
Collins JC and Porras JI (1996)Building Your Companys VisionHarvard Business Review September-O ctober pp 65-77To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9609167704
OConnell D Hickerson K and Pillutla A (2011)Organizational Visioning An Integrative ReviewGroup and Organization Management 36 1 pp 103-25
Preparation for performance measurement
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 11
Kaplan SR and Norton DP (1996)Using the Balanced Scorecard as a Strategic Management SystemHarvard Business Review January-February pp 75-85To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9601185348
Page 2 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Tuesday readings
Tuesday 6 January 2015
Preparation for scenario planning
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 9
Yeoman I and Greenwood C (2006)From Fast Food to Slow Food The Prospects for Scotlands Cuisine to 2015Tomorrows World Consumer and Tourist 2 3
Page 3 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Wednesday readings
Wednesday 7 January 2015
Preparation for rehearsing strategy with modelling
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 7
Senge P (1992)A shift of Mindin The Fifth DisciplineLondon Random House Business
Case study People Express (Ref 9-483-103)
Preparation for modelling for strategic development
Pre-reading Morecroft J (2007)Managing Business Growthin Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics A Feedback Systems ApproachChichester Wiley
Page 4 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Thursday readings
Thursday 8 January 2015
Preparation for generating strategy
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapters 6 and 9
Preparation for decision and risk analysis
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 10
Page 5 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Friday readings
Friday 9 January 2015
There are no readings for this day
Page 6 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Preparation for syndicate group work
IN ADDITION you have been put into a syndicate group with a number of other people Each group has beenallocated a company for which you will undertake a scenario planning exercise as follows
Page 7 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 8 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 9 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Group 7 (A209) - Age NI
Marcus Tyrberg
Steven Vallender
Tapfuma Vazhure
Stuart Walker
David Willetts
Aghiad Yabroudi
Each person in the group should access information for their organisation (such as an annual report if one exists) viathe companys website You need to have read this and done some further research (see suggestions below) beforearrival as you will be working on scenarios for these organisations in exercises throughout the week starting on thefirst day
Your further research should help you gain an understanding of the organisation and the industry within which itoperates in terms of past events current policiestrends and future developmentsuncertainties You will be asked topool your findings from your own and the supplied material with the other members of your syndicate group You mayfind the following questions useful
What planning horizon is your organisation likely to use for strategy development
What are the key issuesconcerns currently affecting your organisation
Who are your organisations key competitors Check their websites
Who are the key stakeholders for your organisation
What is your organisations visionmission statement Check the website
Over the past 10 years has your organisation experienced change What have been the drivers of thischange
Useful websites
Good sources of information include annual reports analyst reports newspapers and journals such as the FinancialTimes and the Economist as well as industry reports I would encourage you to make use of the Internet whatfollows is a non-exhaustive list of useful websites
httpwwwshellcomhomecontentfuture_energyscenarios
Its well worth visiting this site as much of the practice and literature on scenarios has a basis in theShell experience of scenario planning This particular page provides an introduction to scenariosincluding Shells current New lens Scenarios to 2100 Theres also a video of Shells scenarios as wellas archive material of previous scenario exercises
wwwwfsorg
World Future Society a non-profit educational and scientific organisation for those interested in futuresstudies
Check the variety of on-line resources available - different futures thinkers - The Futurist magazine etc
httpnewoptimistscomthe-forumscenario-planning
Website describing the New Optimists experiences developing scenarios about the future of FoodSupply within the West Midlands over the next 50 years Have a look at their scenario wildcards section
Page 10 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
httpwwwbisgovukforesightabout-us
The following quote is taken from their website and gives a good summary of what theyre about andwhat you will find on the site
Since its creation in 1994 the Foresight Programme has helped the UKGovernment to think systematically about the future We advise government abouthow to ensure todays decisions are robust to future uncertainties By combining thelatest science and evidence with futures analysis we help policy makers tacklecomplex issues with a better understanding of the potential opportunities andchallenges that lie ahead
We do this in three ways
Major Foresight Projects in-depth two-year studies which build acomprehensive evidence base on major issues looking 20-80 years into thefuture
Policy Futures Projects shorter projects which provide futures andevidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding
The Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre training toolkits and networks tostrengthen futures thinking capacity and share best practice within andacross government
Our work is used to stimulate and inform the development of more effectivestrategies policies and priorities at national and international levels
Foresight is headed by Professor Sir Mark Walport the Government ChiefScientific Adviser who reports directly to the Prime Minister and Cabinet It is a partof the Government Office for Science within the Department for BusinessInnovation amp Skills
Accessed (190913)
wwwplausiblecustompublishcom
Norwegian consultancy for futures studies and scenario based strategic planning established in the1990s as an experiment in internet based research
Interesting reading on a variety of topics This year artificial cells self-driving cars etc
Mintel - accessed via Warwick Library Website
This is a useful site for reports concerning for example the future
Page 11 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
- Download Details
- Introduction
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Module assessment
- Teaching faculty
- Readings
- Monday readings
- Tuesday readings
- Wednesday readings
- Thursday readings
- Friday readings
- Preparation for syndicate group work
-
Monday readings
Monday 5 January 2015
Preparation for exploring strategic agenda
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 3
Preparation for strategic direction
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 2
Collins JC and Porras JI (1996)Building Your Companys VisionHarvard Business Review September-O ctober pp 65-77To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9609167704
OConnell D Hickerson K and Pillutla A (2011)Organizational Visioning An Integrative ReviewGroup and Organization Management 36 1 pp 103-25
Preparation for performance measurement
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 11
Kaplan SR and Norton DP (1996)Using the Balanced Scorecard as a Strategic Management SystemHarvard Business Review January-February pp 75-85To download this article click on the link above and search for the following term AN9601185348
Page 2 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Tuesday readings
Tuesday 6 January 2015
Preparation for scenario planning
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 9
Yeoman I and Greenwood C (2006)From Fast Food to Slow Food The Prospects for Scotlands Cuisine to 2015Tomorrows World Consumer and Tourist 2 3
Page 3 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Wednesday readings
Wednesday 7 January 2015
Preparation for rehearsing strategy with modelling
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 7
Senge P (1992)A shift of Mindin The Fifth DisciplineLondon Random House Business
Case study People Express (Ref 9-483-103)
Preparation for modelling for strategic development
Pre-reading Morecroft J (2007)Managing Business Growthin Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics A Feedback Systems ApproachChichester Wiley
Page 4 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Thursday readings
Thursday 8 January 2015
Preparation for generating strategy
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapters 6 and 9
Preparation for decision and risk analysis
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 10
Page 5 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Friday readings
Friday 9 January 2015
There are no readings for this day
Page 6 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Preparation for syndicate group work
IN ADDITION you have been put into a syndicate group with a number of other people Each group has beenallocated a company for which you will undertake a scenario planning exercise as follows
Page 7 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 8 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 9 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Group 7 (A209) - Age NI
Marcus Tyrberg
Steven Vallender
Tapfuma Vazhure
Stuart Walker
David Willetts
Aghiad Yabroudi
Each person in the group should access information for their organisation (such as an annual report if one exists) viathe companys website You need to have read this and done some further research (see suggestions below) beforearrival as you will be working on scenarios for these organisations in exercises throughout the week starting on thefirst day
Your further research should help you gain an understanding of the organisation and the industry within which itoperates in terms of past events current policiestrends and future developmentsuncertainties You will be asked topool your findings from your own and the supplied material with the other members of your syndicate group You mayfind the following questions useful
What planning horizon is your organisation likely to use for strategy development
What are the key issuesconcerns currently affecting your organisation
Who are your organisations key competitors Check their websites
Who are the key stakeholders for your organisation
What is your organisations visionmission statement Check the website
Over the past 10 years has your organisation experienced change What have been the drivers of thischange
Useful websites
Good sources of information include annual reports analyst reports newspapers and journals such as the FinancialTimes and the Economist as well as industry reports I would encourage you to make use of the Internet whatfollows is a non-exhaustive list of useful websites
httpwwwshellcomhomecontentfuture_energyscenarios
Its well worth visiting this site as much of the practice and literature on scenarios has a basis in theShell experience of scenario planning This particular page provides an introduction to scenariosincluding Shells current New lens Scenarios to 2100 Theres also a video of Shells scenarios as wellas archive material of previous scenario exercises
wwwwfsorg
World Future Society a non-profit educational and scientific organisation for those interested in futuresstudies
Check the variety of on-line resources available - different futures thinkers - The Futurist magazine etc
httpnewoptimistscomthe-forumscenario-planning
Website describing the New Optimists experiences developing scenarios about the future of FoodSupply within the West Midlands over the next 50 years Have a look at their scenario wildcards section
Page 10 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
httpwwwbisgovukforesightabout-us
The following quote is taken from their website and gives a good summary of what theyre about andwhat you will find on the site
Since its creation in 1994 the Foresight Programme has helped the UKGovernment to think systematically about the future We advise government abouthow to ensure todays decisions are robust to future uncertainties By combining thelatest science and evidence with futures analysis we help policy makers tacklecomplex issues with a better understanding of the potential opportunities andchallenges that lie ahead
We do this in three ways
Major Foresight Projects in-depth two-year studies which build acomprehensive evidence base on major issues looking 20-80 years into thefuture
Policy Futures Projects shorter projects which provide futures andevidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding
The Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre training toolkits and networks tostrengthen futures thinking capacity and share best practice within andacross government
Our work is used to stimulate and inform the development of more effectivestrategies policies and priorities at national and international levels
Foresight is headed by Professor Sir Mark Walport the Government ChiefScientific Adviser who reports directly to the Prime Minister and Cabinet It is a partof the Government Office for Science within the Department for BusinessInnovation amp Skills
Accessed (190913)
wwwplausiblecustompublishcom
Norwegian consultancy for futures studies and scenario based strategic planning established in the1990s as an experiment in internet based research
Interesting reading on a variety of topics This year artificial cells self-driving cars etc
Mintel - accessed via Warwick Library Website
This is a useful site for reports concerning for example the future
Page 11 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
- Download Details
- Introduction
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Module assessment
- Teaching faculty
- Readings
- Monday readings
- Tuesday readings
- Wednesday readings
- Thursday readings
- Friday readings
- Preparation for syndicate group work
-
Tuesday readings
Tuesday 6 January 2015
Preparation for scenario planning
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 9
Yeoman I and Greenwood C (2006)From Fast Food to Slow Food The Prospects for Scotlands Cuisine to 2015Tomorrows World Consumer and Tourist 2 3
Page 3 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Wednesday readings
Wednesday 7 January 2015
Preparation for rehearsing strategy with modelling
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 7
Senge P (1992)A shift of Mindin The Fifth DisciplineLondon Random House Business
Case study People Express (Ref 9-483-103)
Preparation for modelling for strategic development
Pre-reading Morecroft J (2007)Managing Business Growthin Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics A Feedback Systems ApproachChichester Wiley
Page 4 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Thursday readings
Thursday 8 January 2015
Preparation for generating strategy
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapters 6 and 9
Preparation for decision and risk analysis
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 10
Page 5 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Friday readings
Friday 9 January 2015
There are no readings for this day
Page 6 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Preparation for syndicate group work
IN ADDITION you have been put into a syndicate group with a number of other people Each group has beenallocated a company for which you will undertake a scenario planning exercise as follows
Page 7 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 8 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 9 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Group 7 (A209) - Age NI
Marcus Tyrberg
Steven Vallender
Tapfuma Vazhure
Stuart Walker
David Willetts
Aghiad Yabroudi
Each person in the group should access information for their organisation (such as an annual report if one exists) viathe companys website You need to have read this and done some further research (see suggestions below) beforearrival as you will be working on scenarios for these organisations in exercises throughout the week starting on thefirst day
Your further research should help you gain an understanding of the organisation and the industry within which itoperates in terms of past events current policiestrends and future developmentsuncertainties You will be asked topool your findings from your own and the supplied material with the other members of your syndicate group You mayfind the following questions useful
What planning horizon is your organisation likely to use for strategy development
What are the key issuesconcerns currently affecting your organisation
Who are your organisations key competitors Check their websites
Who are the key stakeholders for your organisation
What is your organisations visionmission statement Check the website
Over the past 10 years has your organisation experienced change What have been the drivers of thischange
Useful websites
Good sources of information include annual reports analyst reports newspapers and journals such as the FinancialTimes and the Economist as well as industry reports I would encourage you to make use of the Internet whatfollows is a non-exhaustive list of useful websites
httpwwwshellcomhomecontentfuture_energyscenarios
Its well worth visiting this site as much of the practice and literature on scenarios has a basis in theShell experience of scenario planning This particular page provides an introduction to scenariosincluding Shells current New lens Scenarios to 2100 Theres also a video of Shells scenarios as wellas archive material of previous scenario exercises
wwwwfsorg
World Future Society a non-profit educational and scientific organisation for those interested in futuresstudies
Check the variety of on-line resources available - different futures thinkers - The Futurist magazine etc
httpnewoptimistscomthe-forumscenario-planning
Website describing the New Optimists experiences developing scenarios about the future of FoodSupply within the West Midlands over the next 50 years Have a look at their scenario wildcards section
Page 10 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
httpwwwbisgovukforesightabout-us
The following quote is taken from their website and gives a good summary of what theyre about andwhat you will find on the site
Since its creation in 1994 the Foresight Programme has helped the UKGovernment to think systematically about the future We advise government abouthow to ensure todays decisions are robust to future uncertainties By combining thelatest science and evidence with futures analysis we help policy makers tacklecomplex issues with a better understanding of the potential opportunities andchallenges that lie ahead
We do this in three ways
Major Foresight Projects in-depth two-year studies which build acomprehensive evidence base on major issues looking 20-80 years into thefuture
Policy Futures Projects shorter projects which provide futures andevidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding
The Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre training toolkits and networks tostrengthen futures thinking capacity and share best practice within andacross government
Our work is used to stimulate and inform the development of more effectivestrategies policies and priorities at national and international levels
Foresight is headed by Professor Sir Mark Walport the Government ChiefScientific Adviser who reports directly to the Prime Minister and Cabinet It is a partof the Government Office for Science within the Department for BusinessInnovation amp Skills
Accessed (190913)
wwwplausiblecustompublishcom
Norwegian consultancy for futures studies and scenario based strategic planning established in the1990s as an experiment in internet based research
Interesting reading on a variety of topics This year artificial cells self-driving cars etc
Mintel - accessed via Warwick Library Website
This is a useful site for reports concerning for example the future
Page 11 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
- Download Details
- Introduction
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Module assessment
- Teaching faculty
- Readings
- Monday readings
- Tuesday readings
- Wednesday readings
- Thursday readings
- Friday readings
- Preparation for syndicate group work
-
Wednesday readings
Wednesday 7 January 2015
Preparation for rehearsing strategy with modelling
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 7
Senge P (1992)A shift of Mindin The Fifth DisciplineLondon Random House Business
Case study People Express (Ref 9-483-103)
Preparation for modelling for strategic development
Pre-reading Morecroft J (2007)Managing Business Growthin Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics A Feedback Systems ApproachChichester Wiley
Page 4 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Thursday readings
Thursday 8 January 2015
Preparation for generating strategy
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapters 6 and 9
Preparation for decision and risk analysis
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 10
Page 5 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Friday readings
Friday 9 January 2015
There are no readings for this day
Page 6 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Preparation for syndicate group work
IN ADDITION you have been put into a syndicate group with a number of other people Each group has beenallocated a company for which you will undertake a scenario planning exercise as follows
Page 7 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 8 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 9 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Group 7 (A209) - Age NI
Marcus Tyrberg
Steven Vallender
Tapfuma Vazhure
Stuart Walker
David Willetts
Aghiad Yabroudi
Each person in the group should access information for their organisation (such as an annual report if one exists) viathe companys website You need to have read this and done some further research (see suggestions below) beforearrival as you will be working on scenarios for these organisations in exercises throughout the week starting on thefirst day
Your further research should help you gain an understanding of the organisation and the industry within which itoperates in terms of past events current policiestrends and future developmentsuncertainties You will be asked topool your findings from your own and the supplied material with the other members of your syndicate group You mayfind the following questions useful
What planning horizon is your organisation likely to use for strategy development
What are the key issuesconcerns currently affecting your organisation
Who are your organisations key competitors Check their websites
Who are the key stakeholders for your organisation
What is your organisations visionmission statement Check the website
Over the past 10 years has your organisation experienced change What have been the drivers of thischange
Useful websites
Good sources of information include annual reports analyst reports newspapers and journals such as the FinancialTimes and the Economist as well as industry reports I would encourage you to make use of the Internet whatfollows is a non-exhaustive list of useful websites
httpwwwshellcomhomecontentfuture_energyscenarios
Its well worth visiting this site as much of the practice and literature on scenarios has a basis in theShell experience of scenario planning This particular page provides an introduction to scenariosincluding Shells current New lens Scenarios to 2100 Theres also a video of Shells scenarios as wellas archive material of previous scenario exercises
wwwwfsorg
World Future Society a non-profit educational and scientific organisation for those interested in futuresstudies
Check the variety of on-line resources available - different futures thinkers - The Futurist magazine etc
httpnewoptimistscomthe-forumscenario-planning
Website describing the New Optimists experiences developing scenarios about the future of FoodSupply within the West Midlands over the next 50 years Have a look at their scenario wildcards section
Page 10 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
httpwwwbisgovukforesightabout-us
The following quote is taken from their website and gives a good summary of what theyre about andwhat you will find on the site
Since its creation in 1994 the Foresight Programme has helped the UKGovernment to think systematically about the future We advise government abouthow to ensure todays decisions are robust to future uncertainties By combining thelatest science and evidence with futures analysis we help policy makers tacklecomplex issues with a better understanding of the potential opportunities andchallenges that lie ahead
We do this in three ways
Major Foresight Projects in-depth two-year studies which build acomprehensive evidence base on major issues looking 20-80 years into thefuture
Policy Futures Projects shorter projects which provide futures andevidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding
The Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre training toolkits and networks tostrengthen futures thinking capacity and share best practice within andacross government
Our work is used to stimulate and inform the development of more effectivestrategies policies and priorities at national and international levels
Foresight is headed by Professor Sir Mark Walport the Government ChiefScientific Adviser who reports directly to the Prime Minister and Cabinet It is a partof the Government Office for Science within the Department for BusinessInnovation amp Skills
Accessed (190913)
wwwplausiblecustompublishcom
Norwegian consultancy for futures studies and scenario based strategic planning established in the1990s as an experiment in internet based research
Interesting reading on a variety of topics This year artificial cells self-driving cars etc
Mintel - accessed via Warwick Library Website
This is a useful site for reports concerning for example the future
Page 11 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
- Download Details
- Introduction
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Module assessment
- Teaching faculty
- Readings
- Monday readings
- Tuesday readings
- Wednesday readings
- Thursday readings
- Friday readings
- Preparation for syndicate group work
-
Thursday readings
Thursday 8 January 2015
Preparation for generating strategy
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapters 6 and 9
Preparation for decision and risk analysis
Pre-reading OBrien and Dyson Chapter 10
Page 5 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Friday readings
Friday 9 January 2015
There are no readings for this day
Page 6 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Preparation for syndicate group work
IN ADDITION you have been put into a syndicate group with a number of other people Each group has beenallocated a company for which you will undertake a scenario planning exercise as follows
Page 7 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 8 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 9 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Group 7 (A209) - Age NI
Marcus Tyrberg
Steven Vallender
Tapfuma Vazhure
Stuart Walker
David Willetts
Aghiad Yabroudi
Each person in the group should access information for their organisation (such as an annual report if one exists) viathe companys website You need to have read this and done some further research (see suggestions below) beforearrival as you will be working on scenarios for these organisations in exercises throughout the week starting on thefirst day
Your further research should help you gain an understanding of the organisation and the industry within which itoperates in terms of past events current policiestrends and future developmentsuncertainties You will be asked topool your findings from your own and the supplied material with the other members of your syndicate group You mayfind the following questions useful
What planning horizon is your organisation likely to use for strategy development
What are the key issuesconcerns currently affecting your organisation
Who are your organisations key competitors Check their websites
Who are the key stakeholders for your organisation
What is your organisations visionmission statement Check the website
Over the past 10 years has your organisation experienced change What have been the drivers of thischange
Useful websites
Good sources of information include annual reports analyst reports newspapers and journals such as the FinancialTimes and the Economist as well as industry reports I would encourage you to make use of the Internet whatfollows is a non-exhaustive list of useful websites
httpwwwshellcomhomecontentfuture_energyscenarios
Its well worth visiting this site as much of the practice and literature on scenarios has a basis in theShell experience of scenario planning This particular page provides an introduction to scenariosincluding Shells current New lens Scenarios to 2100 Theres also a video of Shells scenarios as wellas archive material of previous scenario exercises
wwwwfsorg
World Future Society a non-profit educational and scientific organisation for those interested in futuresstudies
Check the variety of on-line resources available - different futures thinkers - The Futurist magazine etc
httpnewoptimistscomthe-forumscenario-planning
Website describing the New Optimists experiences developing scenarios about the future of FoodSupply within the West Midlands over the next 50 years Have a look at their scenario wildcards section
Page 10 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
httpwwwbisgovukforesightabout-us
The following quote is taken from their website and gives a good summary of what theyre about andwhat you will find on the site
Since its creation in 1994 the Foresight Programme has helped the UKGovernment to think systematically about the future We advise government abouthow to ensure todays decisions are robust to future uncertainties By combining thelatest science and evidence with futures analysis we help policy makers tacklecomplex issues with a better understanding of the potential opportunities andchallenges that lie ahead
We do this in three ways
Major Foresight Projects in-depth two-year studies which build acomprehensive evidence base on major issues looking 20-80 years into thefuture
Policy Futures Projects shorter projects which provide futures andevidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding
The Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre training toolkits and networks tostrengthen futures thinking capacity and share best practice within andacross government
Our work is used to stimulate and inform the development of more effectivestrategies policies and priorities at national and international levels
Foresight is headed by Professor Sir Mark Walport the Government ChiefScientific Adviser who reports directly to the Prime Minister and Cabinet It is a partof the Government Office for Science within the Department for BusinessInnovation amp Skills
Accessed (190913)
wwwplausiblecustompublishcom
Norwegian consultancy for futures studies and scenario based strategic planning established in the1990s as an experiment in internet based research
Interesting reading on a variety of topics This year artificial cells self-driving cars etc
Mintel - accessed via Warwick Library Website
This is a useful site for reports concerning for example the future
Page 11 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
- Download Details
- Introduction
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Module assessment
- Teaching faculty
- Readings
- Monday readings
- Tuesday readings
- Wednesday readings
- Thursday readings
- Friday readings
- Preparation for syndicate group work
-
Friday readings
Friday 9 January 2015
There are no readings for this day
Page 6 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Preparation for syndicate group work
IN ADDITION you have been put into a syndicate group with a number of other people Each group has beenallocated a company for which you will undertake a scenario planning exercise as follows
Page 7 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 8 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 9 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Group 7 (A209) - Age NI
Marcus Tyrberg
Steven Vallender
Tapfuma Vazhure
Stuart Walker
David Willetts
Aghiad Yabroudi
Each person in the group should access information for their organisation (such as an annual report if one exists) viathe companys website You need to have read this and done some further research (see suggestions below) beforearrival as you will be working on scenarios for these organisations in exercises throughout the week starting on thefirst day
Your further research should help you gain an understanding of the organisation and the industry within which itoperates in terms of past events current policiestrends and future developmentsuncertainties You will be asked topool your findings from your own and the supplied material with the other members of your syndicate group You mayfind the following questions useful
What planning horizon is your organisation likely to use for strategy development
What are the key issuesconcerns currently affecting your organisation
Who are your organisations key competitors Check their websites
Who are the key stakeholders for your organisation
What is your organisations visionmission statement Check the website
Over the past 10 years has your organisation experienced change What have been the drivers of thischange
Useful websites
Good sources of information include annual reports analyst reports newspapers and journals such as the FinancialTimes and the Economist as well as industry reports I would encourage you to make use of the Internet whatfollows is a non-exhaustive list of useful websites
httpwwwshellcomhomecontentfuture_energyscenarios
Its well worth visiting this site as much of the practice and literature on scenarios has a basis in theShell experience of scenario planning This particular page provides an introduction to scenariosincluding Shells current New lens Scenarios to 2100 Theres also a video of Shells scenarios as wellas archive material of previous scenario exercises
wwwwfsorg
World Future Society a non-profit educational and scientific organisation for those interested in futuresstudies
Check the variety of on-line resources available - different futures thinkers - The Futurist magazine etc
httpnewoptimistscomthe-forumscenario-planning
Website describing the New Optimists experiences developing scenarios about the future of FoodSupply within the West Midlands over the next 50 years Have a look at their scenario wildcards section
Page 10 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
httpwwwbisgovukforesightabout-us
The following quote is taken from their website and gives a good summary of what theyre about andwhat you will find on the site
Since its creation in 1994 the Foresight Programme has helped the UKGovernment to think systematically about the future We advise government abouthow to ensure todays decisions are robust to future uncertainties By combining thelatest science and evidence with futures analysis we help policy makers tacklecomplex issues with a better understanding of the potential opportunities andchallenges that lie ahead
We do this in three ways
Major Foresight Projects in-depth two-year studies which build acomprehensive evidence base on major issues looking 20-80 years into thefuture
Policy Futures Projects shorter projects which provide futures andevidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding
The Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre training toolkits and networks tostrengthen futures thinking capacity and share best practice within andacross government
Our work is used to stimulate and inform the development of more effectivestrategies policies and priorities at national and international levels
Foresight is headed by Professor Sir Mark Walport the Government ChiefScientific Adviser who reports directly to the Prime Minister and Cabinet It is a partof the Government Office for Science within the Department for BusinessInnovation amp Skills
Accessed (190913)
wwwplausiblecustompublishcom
Norwegian consultancy for futures studies and scenario based strategic planning established in the1990s as an experiment in internet based research
Interesting reading on a variety of topics This year artificial cells self-driving cars etc
Mintel - accessed via Warwick Library Website
This is a useful site for reports concerning for example the future
Page 11 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
- Download Details
- Introduction
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Module assessment
- Teaching faculty
- Readings
- Monday readings
- Tuesday readings
- Wednesday readings
- Thursday readings
- Friday readings
- Preparation for syndicate group work
-
Preparation for syndicate group work
IN ADDITION you have been put into a syndicate group with a number of other people Each group has beenallocated a company for which you will undertake a scenario planning exercise as follows
Page 7 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 8 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 9 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Group 7 (A209) - Age NI
Marcus Tyrberg
Steven Vallender
Tapfuma Vazhure
Stuart Walker
David Willetts
Aghiad Yabroudi
Each person in the group should access information for their organisation (such as an annual report if one exists) viathe companys website You need to have read this and done some further research (see suggestions below) beforearrival as you will be working on scenarios for these organisations in exercises throughout the week starting on thefirst day
Your further research should help you gain an understanding of the organisation and the industry within which itoperates in terms of past events current policiestrends and future developmentsuncertainties You will be asked topool your findings from your own and the supplied material with the other members of your syndicate group You mayfind the following questions useful
What planning horizon is your organisation likely to use for strategy development
What are the key issuesconcerns currently affecting your organisation
Who are your organisations key competitors Check their websites
Who are the key stakeholders for your organisation
What is your organisations visionmission statement Check the website
Over the past 10 years has your organisation experienced change What have been the drivers of thischange
Useful websites
Good sources of information include annual reports analyst reports newspapers and journals such as the FinancialTimes and the Economist as well as industry reports I would encourage you to make use of the Internet whatfollows is a non-exhaustive list of useful websites
httpwwwshellcomhomecontentfuture_energyscenarios
Its well worth visiting this site as much of the practice and literature on scenarios has a basis in theShell experience of scenario planning This particular page provides an introduction to scenariosincluding Shells current New lens Scenarios to 2100 Theres also a video of Shells scenarios as wellas archive material of previous scenario exercises
wwwwfsorg
World Future Society a non-profit educational and scientific organisation for those interested in futuresstudies
Check the variety of on-line resources available - different futures thinkers - The Futurist magazine etc
httpnewoptimistscomthe-forumscenario-planning
Website describing the New Optimists experiences developing scenarios about the future of FoodSupply within the West Midlands over the next 50 years Have a look at their scenario wildcards section
Page 10 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
httpwwwbisgovukforesightabout-us
The following quote is taken from their website and gives a good summary of what theyre about andwhat you will find on the site
Since its creation in 1994 the Foresight Programme has helped the UKGovernment to think systematically about the future We advise government abouthow to ensure todays decisions are robust to future uncertainties By combining thelatest science and evidence with futures analysis we help policy makers tacklecomplex issues with a better understanding of the potential opportunities andchallenges that lie ahead
We do this in three ways
Major Foresight Projects in-depth two-year studies which build acomprehensive evidence base on major issues looking 20-80 years into thefuture
Policy Futures Projects shorter projects which provide futures andevidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding
The Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre training toolkits and networks tostrengthen futures thinking capacity and share best practice within andacross government
Our work is used to stimulate and inform the development of more effectivestrategies policies and priorities at national and international levels
Foresight is headed by Professor Sir Mark Walport the Government ChiefScientific Adviser who reports directly to the Prime Minister and Cabinet It is a partof the Government Office for Science within the Department for BusinessInnovation amp Skills
Accessed (190913)
wwwplausiblecustompublishcom
Norwegian consultancy for futures studies and scenario based strategic planning established in the1990s as an experiment in internet based research
Interesting reading on a variety of topics This year artificial cells self-driving cars etc
Mintel - accessed via Warwick Library Website
This is a useful site for reports concerning for example the future
Page 11 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
- Download Details
- Introduction
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Module assessment
- Teaching faculty
- Readings
- Monday readings
- Tuesday readings
- Wednesday readings
- Thursday readings
- Friday readings
- Preparation for syndicate group work
-
Page 8 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Page 9 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Group 7 (A209) - Age NI
Marcus Tyrberg
Steven Vallender
Tapfuma Vazhure
Stuart Walker
David Willetts
Aghiad Yabroudi
Each person in the group should access information for their organisation (such as an annual report if one exists) viathe companys website You need to have read this and done some further research (see suggestions below) beforearrival as you will be working on scenarios for these organisations in exercises throughout the week starting on thefirst day
Your further research should help you gain an understanding of the organisation and the industry within which itoperates in terms of past events current policiestrends and future developmentsuncertainties You will be asked topool your findings from your own and the supplied material with the other members of your syndicate group You mayfind the following questions useful
What planning horizon is your organisation likely to use for strategy development
What are the key issuesconcerns currently affecting your organisation
Who are your organisations key competitors Check their websites
Who are the key stakeholders for your organisation
What is your organisations visionmission statement Check the website
Over the past 10 years has your organisation experienced change What have been the drivers of thischange
Useful websites
Good sources of information include annual reports analyst reports newspapers and journals such as the FinancialTimes and the Economist as well as industry reports I would encourage you to make use of the Internet whatfollows is a non-exhaustive list of useful websites
httpwwwshellcomhomecontentfuture_energyscenarios
Its well worth visiting this site as much of the practice and literature on scenarios has a basis in theShell experience of scenario planning This particular page provides an introduction to scenariosincluding Shells current New lens Scenarios to 2100 Theres also a video of Shells scenarios as wellas archive material of previous scenario exercises
wwwwfsorg
World Future Society a non-profit educational and scientific organisation for those interested in futuresstudies
Check the variety of on-line resources available - different futures thinkers - The Futurist magazine etc
httpnewoptimistscomthe-forumscenario-planning
Website describing the New Optimists experiences developing scenarios about the future of FoodSupply within the West Midlands over the next 50 years Have a look at their scenario wildcards section
Page 10 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
httpwwwbisgovukforesightabout-us
The following quote is taken from their website and gives a good summary of what theyre about andwhat you will find on the site
Since its creation in 1994 the Foresight Programme has helped the UKGovernment to think systematically about the future We advise government abouthow to ensure todays decisions are robust to future uncertainties By combining thelatest science and evidence with futures analysis we help policy makers tacklecomplex issues with a better understanding of the potential opportunities andchallenges that lie ahead
We do this in three ways
Major Foresight Projects in-depth two-year studies which build acomprehensive evidence base on major issues looking 20-80 years into thefuture
Policy Futures Projects shorter projects which provide futures andevidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding
The Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre training toolkits and networks tostrengthen futures thinking capacity and share best practice within andacross government
Our work is used to stimulate and inform the development of more effectivestrategies policies and priorities at national and international levels
Foresight is headed by Professor Sir Mark Walport the Government ChiefScientific Adviser who reports directly to the Prime Minister and Cabinet It is a partof the Government Office for Science within the Department for BusinessInnovation amp Skills
Accessed (190913)
wwwplausiblecustompublishcom
Norwegian consultancy for futures studies and scenario based strategic planning established in the1990s as an experiment in internet based research
Interesting reading on a variety of topics This year artificial cells self-driving cars etc
Mintel - accessed via Warwick Library Website
This is a useful site for reports concerning for example the future
Page 11 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
- Download Details
- Introduction
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Module assessment
- Teaching faculty
- Readings
- Monday readings
- Tuesday readings
- Wednesday readings
- Thursday readings
- Friday readings
- Preparation for syndicate group work
-
Page 9 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
Group 7 (A209) - Age NI
Marcus Tyrberg
Steven Vallender
Tapfuma Vazhure
Stuart Walker
David Willetts
Aghiad Yabroudi
Each person in the group should access information for their organisation (such as an annual report if one exists) viathe companys website You need to have read this and done some further research (see suggestions below) beforearrival as you will be working on scenarios for these organisations in exercises throughout the week starting on thefirst day
Your further research should help you gain an understanding of the organisation and the industry within which itoperates in terms of past events current policiestrends and future developmentsuncertainties You will be asked topool your findings from your own and the supplied material with the other members of your syndicate group You mayfind the following questions useful
What planning horizon is your organisation likely to use for strategy development
What are the key issuesconcerns currently affecting your organisation
Who are your organisations key competitors Check their websites
Who are the key stakeholders for your organisation
What is your organisations visionmission statement Check the website
Over the past 10 years has your organisation experienced change What have been the drivers of thischange
Useful websites
Good sources of information include annual reports analyst reports newspapers and journals such as the FinancialTimes and the Economist as well as industry reports I would encourage you to make use of the Internet whatfollows is a non-exhaustive list of useful websites
httpwwwshellcomhomecontentfuture_energyscenarios
Its well worth visiting this site as much of the practice and literature on scenarios has a basis in theShell experience of scenario planning This particular page provides an introduction to scenariosincluding Shells current New lens Scenarios to 2100 Theres also a video of Shells scenarios as wellas archive material of previous scenario exercises
wwwwfsorg
World Future Society a non-profit educational and scientific organisation for those interested in futuresstudies
Check the variety of on-line resources available - different futures thinkers - The Futurist magazine etc
httpnewoptimistscomthe-forumscenario-planning
Website describing the New Optimists experiences developing scenarios about the future of FoodSupply within the West Midlands over the next 50 years Have a look at their scenario wildcards section
Page 10 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
httpwwwbisgovukforesightabout-us
The following quote is taken from their website and gives a good summary of what theyre about andwhat you will find on the site
Since its creation in 1994 the Foresight Programme has helped the UKGovernment to think systematically about the future We advise government abouthow to ensure todays decisions are robust to future uncertainties By combining thelatest science and evidence with futures analysis we help policy makers tacklecomplex issues with a better understanding of the potential opportunities andchallenges that lie ahead
We do this in three ways
Major Foresight Projects in-depth two-year studies which build acomprehensive evidence base on major issues looking 20-80 years into thefuture
Policy Futures Projects shorter projects which provide futures andevidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding
The Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre training toolkits and networks tostrengthen futures thinking capacity and share best practice within andacross government
Our work is used to stimulate and inform the development of more effectivestrategies policies and priorities at national and international levels
Foresight is headed by Professor Sir Mark Walport the Government ChiefScientific Adviser who reports directly to the Prime Minister and Cabinet It is a partof the Government Office for Science within the Department for BusinessInnovation amp Skills
Accessed (190913)
wwwplausiblecustompublishcom
Norwegian consultancy for futures studies and scenario based strategic planning established in the1990s as an experiment in internet based research
Interesting reading on a variety of topics This year artificial cells self-driving cars etc
Mintel - accessed via Warwick Library Website
This is a useful site for reports concerning for example the future
Page 11 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
- Download Details
- Introduction
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Module assessment
- Teaching faculty
- Readings
- Monday readings
- Tuesday readings
- Wednesday readings
- Thursday readings
- Friday readings
- Preparation for syndicate group work
-
Group 7 (A209) - Age NI
Marcus Tyrberg
Steven Vallender
Tapfuma Vazhure
Stuart Walker
David Willetts
Aghiad Yabroudi
Each person in the group should access information for their organisation (such as an annual report if one exists) viathe companys website You need to have read this and done some further research (see suggestions below) beforearrival as you will be working on scenarios for these organisations in exercises throughout the week starting on thefirst day
Your further research should help you gain an understanding of the organisation and the industry within which itoperates in terms of past events current policiestrends and future developmentsuncertainties You will be asked topool your findings from your own and the supplied material with the other members of your syndicate group You mayfind the following questions useful
What planning horizon is your organisation likely to use for strategy development
What are the key issuesconcerns currently affecting your organisation
Who are your organisations key competitors Check their websites
Who are the key stakeholders for your organisation
What is your organisations visionmission statement Check the website
Over the past 10 years has your organisation experienced change What have been the drivers of thischange
Useful websites
Good sources of information include annual reports analyst reports newspapers and journals such as the FinancialTimes and the Economist as well as industry reports I would encourage you to make use of the Internet whatfollows is a non-exhaustive list of useful websites
httpwwwshellcomhomecontentfuture_energyscenarios
Its well worth visiting this site as much of the practice and literature on scenarios has a basis in theShell experience of scenario planning This particular page provides an introduction to scenariosincluding Shells current New lens Scenarios to 2100 Theres also a video of Shells scenarios as wellas archive material of previous scenario exercises
wwwwfsorg
World Future Society a non-profit educational and scientific organisation for those interested in futuresstudies
Check the variety of on-line resources available - different futures thinkers - The Futurist magazine etc
httpnewoptimistscomthe-forumscenario-planning
Website describing the New Optimists experiences developing scenarios about the future of FoodSupply within the West Midlands over the next 50 years Have a look at their scenario wildcards section
Page 10 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
httpwwwbisgovukforesightabout-us
The following quote is taken from their website and gives a good summary of what theyre about andwhat you will find on the site
Since its creation in 1994 the Foresight Programme has helped the UKGovernment to think systematically about the future We advise government abouthow to ensure todays decisions are robust to future uncertainties By combining thelatest science and evidence with futures analysis we help policy makers tacklecomplex issues with a better understanding of the potential opportunities andchallenges that lie ahead
We do this in three ways
Major Foresight Projects in-depth two-year studies which build acomprehensive evidence base on major issues looking 20-80 years into thefuture
Policy Futures Projects shorter projects which provide futures andevidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding
The Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre training toolkits and networks tostrengthen futures thinking capacity and share best practice within andacross government
Our work is used to stimulate and inform the development of more effectivestrategies policies and priorities at national and international levels
Foresight is headed by Professor Sir Mark Walport the Government ChiefScientific Adviser who reports directly to the Prime Minister and Cabinet It is a partof the Government Office for Science within the Department for BusinessInnovation amp Skills
Accessed (190913)
wwwplausiblecustompublishcom
Norwegian consultancy for futures studies and scenario based strategic planning established in the1990s as an experiment in internet based research
Interesting reading on a variety of topics This year artificial cells self-driving cars etc
Mintel - accessed via Warwick Library Website
This is a useful site for reports concerning for example the future
Page 11 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
- Download Details
- Introduction
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Module assessment
- Teaching faculty
- Readings
- Monday readings
- Tuesday readings
- Wednesday readings
- Thursday readings
- Friday readings
- Preparation for syndicate group work
-
httpwwwbisgovukforesightabout-us
The following quote is taken from their website and gives a good summary of what theyre about andwhat you will find on the site
Since its creation in 1994 the Foresight Programme has helped the UKGovernment to think systematically about the future We advise government abouthow to ensure todays decisions are robust to future uncertainties By combining thelatest science and evidence with futures analysis we help policy makers tacklecomplex issues with a better understanding of the potential opportunities andchallenges that lie ahead
We do this in three ways
Major Foresight Projects in-depth two-year studies which build acomprehensive evidence base on major issues looking 20-80 years into thefuture
Policy Futures Projects shorter projects which provide futures andevidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding
The Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre training toolkits and networks tostrengthen futures thinking capacity and share best practice within andacross government
Our work is used to stimulate and inform the development of more effectivestrategies policies and priorities at national and international levels
Foresight is headed by Professor Sir Mark Walport the Government ChiefScientific Adviser who reports directly to the Prime Minister and Cabinet It is a partof the Government Office for Science within the Department for BusinessInnovation amp Skills
Accessed (190913)
wwwplausiblecustompublishcom
Norwegian consultancy for futures studies and scenario based strategic planning established in the1990s as an experiment in internet based research
Interesting reading on a variety of topics This year artificial cells self-driving cars etc
Mintel - accessed via Warwick Library Website
This is a useful site for reports concerning for example the future
Page 11 of 11 Warwick Business School
Readings Strategic Development - Methods amp Models
- Download Details
- Introduction
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Module assessment
- Teaching faculty
- Readings
- Monday readings
- Tuesday readings
- Wednesday readings
- Thursday readings
- Friday readings
- Preparation for syndicate group work
-