stock market review -...
TRANSCRIPT
The Stock Market
Flops Tops
Stock Market Review
Week 34– from August 22nd to August 26th 2016
CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT BEYOND NUMBERS
Bloomfield Investment Corporation is a pan-African credit rating agency which specializes in the assessment of the credit risk. Headquartered in Abidjan with offices in Douala and in Kigali. the agency operates essentially in Africa.
Department of Economic and Stock Market Analysis
Accreditation UEMOA AN-001/2012 RWANDA ref/CMA/July/3047/2015
Headquarters Plateau. BIAO-CI Tower. 15th floor. Abidjan - Côte d’Ivoire
Website www.bloomfield-investment.com
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BRVM 10 k 3.21% 251.11 BRVM COMPOSITE k 1.54% 287.79
Evol Value
Average PER* k 26.12
Average yield / share* m 4.53%
Market capitalization (billion FCFA) k 7 183
Trading volume (shares) 12 478 153
Trading volume (bonds) 65 463
Value traded (shares) 3 770 369 081
Value traded (bonds) 586 099 500
Market Trends
The BRVM ends this week up displaying 255.11 points for the BRVM 10 index (3.21%) and 287.79 points for the BRVM Composite index (1.54%). The capitalization of the stock market amounted to 7 183 billion FCFA. The transaction value of stock market amounted to 3.7 billion FCFA this week spread mainly between the following sectors "Finance" (35%), "Public Services" (33%) and "Distribution" (14%). The ECOBANK stock makes the largest weekly market growth with a gain of 23.81% while the SOLIBRA stock shows the largest decline with a fall of 6.38%. On the commodities market, the ore products follow a downward trend while palm oil continues its upward trend.
* Calculated on the basis of the latest financial information published without
consideration of companies in liquidation
(Source BRVM)
Listed Companies 40
Price Evol% Vol
Val (000)
PER Y/S
ECOBANK TRANS. INCORP. TG
26 23.81% 12 344 048 290 947 7.3 7.7%
TOTAL CI 19 325 10.43% 18 360 352 923 44.9 2.4%
SGB CI 135 000 6.71% 3 496 458 974 15.5 3.9%
CROWN SIEM CI 52 000 4.00% 8 411 41.7 2.3%
Price Evol% Vol Val (000) PER Y/S
SOLIBRA CI 186 300 -6.38% 38 7 163 13.6 2.2%
SAFCA CI 30 000 -6.25% 19 570 54.9 4.8%
PALM CI 10 000 -4.76% 41 639 412 262 N/A 6.5%
SAPH CI 12 600 -3.08% 88 1 109 N/A 4.6%
Sector Indices
# Companies
Value Evol% Evol YTD
Volume Value
traded (MFCA)
Avg PER
Avg Y/S
BRVM - Industry 12 176.56 -2.71% 5.63% 4 613 163 21.1 3.1%
BRVM – Public services 4 745.18 0.19% -7.30% 55 488 1 223 18.7 4.8%
BRVM - Finances 10 94.77 6.41% -8.59% 12 355 407 1 310 21.2 4.2%
BRVM - Transport 2 1 285.60 -0.07% -4.09% 590 129 39.4 4.5%
BRVM - Agriculture 4 176.08 -2.69% 4.48% 42 051 422 29.1 13.2%
BRVM - Distribution 7 700.24 2.45% 23.77% 19 992 523 47.0 2.0%
BRVM – Other sectors 1 493.83 0.00% -
24.11% 12 0 15.8 N/A
CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT BEYOND NUMBERS
News BRVM Corporates
[SITAB]: Through a statement, SITAB has announced a
change in the direction decided at the Board of Directors in
July 2016. After joining the Imperial Tobacco group three
years ago, Mr Eric SABATES Thiam was appointed CEO of
the following companies: Imperial Tobacco in Côte Ivory,
Imprimerie Industrielle Ivoirienne and SITAB Industries.
He replaces Mr. Abdoulaye KONE, previously interim CEO.
Mr. Abdoulaye KONE get back to his duties as Deputy
General Manager / Chief Financial Officer of SITAB SA.
[BRVM]: The Director General of the Regional Stock
Exchange Securities conducted a working visit to the
Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) as part of the
implementation of the development activities of the
regional stock exchange. Areas of cooperation were
identified by the authorities of both stock exchanges, they
include SMEs financing, the issuance of bond loans in
Renminbi for the financing of infrastructure, and
development of tools of technology. The signing of a
partnership agreement is expected to occur shortly for the
implementation of these areas of cooperation.
[BOND]: For the refinancing of securities previously
issued and to finance investments planned in the 2016
budget, the Ivorian government has issued bonds that
allowed it to raise an amount of 125 474 600 000FCFA the
regional market of the UEMOA. Thus, the first listing of the
bond '' TPCI 6% 2016-2018 '' will be held on September 9,
with the first negotiation to be determined by the
comparison of purchase and sale orders with a fixed
reference price (10 000 FCFA).
The Stock Market
Market News
[COTE D’IVOIRE]: The rating agency Moody's retains the
rating "Ba3" assigned to Cote d'Ivoire in November 2015,
with a stable outlook. Strong economic growth, political
stability after the reelection of President Alassane Ouattara
and the potential of mining and hydrocarbon sectors are
the main positive factors identified by the agency. However,
even if it is on an improving trend, the institutional
framework of the country remains low, according the
agency.
[KENYA] : The President of Kenya has signed a new law
regulating the interest rates applicable to bank loans and
deposits. The new law caps the interest rate on bank loans
to four percentage points above the reference rate of the
Central Bank of Kenya (currently 10.5%), while deposits of
savers will be paid up to at least 70% of the reference rate.
The current credit rates of some Kenyan banks reach 18%,
while deposits rates are often lower than 5%. Kenyan
President further recalled that the commercial banks of the
country promised twice to reduce their credit rates
voluntarily without passing to the act.
[NIGERIA]: In a circular issued 22 August of 2016, the
Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has invited all Authorized
Dealers to allocate at least 60% of their total foreign
exchange purchases to end users strictly for the purposes of
importation of raw materials, plant and machinery.
Through this measure, the CBN intends to promote the
supply of the manufacturing sector which has difficulties in
procuring foreign currency.
The Chief Economist’s Analysis [ A Focus on NESTLE CI]
Ivorian subsidiary of the Nestle food company has achieved in the first quarter 2016 a turnover of 33.835 billion FCFA against 27.24 billion FCFA at the same period previous year, an increase of 24%. This is due to the smooth running of the business both in the domestic market and the export market which was heavily impacted by the crisis in northern Nigeria. This performance coupled with good control of expenses contributed to an improved revenue from ordinary activities: it was in deficit in the first quarter 2015 to -1.808 billion FCFA, and it rose to a surplus of 1.740 billion FCFA in the first quarter 2016. Thus, Net Income stood at 1.809 billion FCFA against a deficit of 1.892 billion FCFA at the same period last year. According to Nestlé CI, this result is ahead in relation to its objectives, demonstrating the effectiveness of the investments made, the good health of its markets and its competitiveness compared to the strong market competition. On the stock market the Nestlé CI stock, is among the top performers of the industry sector with a gain of 21% of his value from the beginning of the year. This momentum is expected to continue for the rest of the year. .
CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT BEYOND NUMBERS
The Stock Market
Public Services Sector
Financial Sector
Industry Sector
Distribution Sector
Transport Sector
Reference price
Evol% Vol Val (000) PER Y/S Net margin
ratio ROE
CIE CI 73 550 0.75% 256 18 989 24.88 3.62% 1.9% 33.0%
ONATEL BF 13 000 0.00% 6233 81 001 17.49 5.01% 17.5% 32.7%
SODE CI 81 005 0.01% 38 3 131 22.15 4.00% 3.7% 25.9%
SONATEL SN 22 850 0.18% 48961 1 119 825 10.34 6.56% 25.6% 36.0%
Reference price
Evol% Vol Val (000) PER Y/S Net margin
ratio ROE
BICI CI 91 010 1.12% 368 33 502 16.39 4.65% 17.2% 21.7%
BANK OF AFRICA BN 186 000 -2.11% 41 7 681 14.95 4.35% 9.0% 24.5%
BANK OF AFRICA BF 141 115 0.08% 408 57 551 12.91 4.74% 38.4% 40.5%
BANK OF AFRICA CI 180 000 -1.64% 297 54 258 21.84 3.44% 19.2% 41.2%
BANK OF AFRICA M 58 500 0.52% 6098 356 397 16.91 0.00% 23.6% 24.0%
BANK OF AFRICA NG 94 000 0.00% 357 33 531 16.22 5.12% 28.9% 27.2%
BANK OF AFRICA S 60 000 0.00% 275 16 479 34.63 2.95% 8.2% 20.8%
ECOBANK TRANS. INCORP. TG
26 23.81% 12344048 290 947 7.34 7.66% 5.1% 6.3%
SAFCA CI 30 000 -6.25% 19 570 54.90 4.80% 0.3% 1.2%
SGB CI 135 000 6.71% 3496 458 974 15.54 3.87% 29.2% 35.4%
Reference price
Evol% Vol Val (000) PER Y/S Net margin
ratio ROE
SERVAIR ABIDJAN CI 150 000 0.00% 124 18 338 65.51 1.20% 16.1% 68.3%
BERNABE CI 170 000 -2.98% 30 5 088 24.03 3.24% 5.2% 20.3%
CFAO CI 102 000 0.00% 95 9 587 49.30 1.83% 5.7% 18.3%
TRACTAFRIC MOTORS CI 498 900 -0.22% 30 14 967 34.40 2.62% 4.7% 27.8%
VIVO ENERGY CI 165 000 1.23% 652 105 453 63.66 0.71% 1.2% 19.7%
TOTAL CI 19 325 10.43% 18360 352 923 44.94 2.39% 1.7% 17.4%
TOTAL SN 24 300 -1.62% 701 17 078 16.15 3.85% 1.2% N/A
Reference price
Evol% Vol Val (000) PER Y/S Net margin
ratio ROE
BOLLORE AFRICA LOGISTICS CI
265 500 -0.04% 490 128 257 39.44 3.61% 8.8% 19.4%
MOVIS CI 5 000 -1.96% 100 487 N/A 5.40% -6.3% -35.0%
Reference price
Evol% Vol Val (000) PER Y/S Net margin
ratio ROE
SICABLE CI 100 000 -0.50% 6 600 21.11 1.00% 5.4% 14.9%
FILTISAC CI 28 000 -1.75% 333 9 311 25.13 3.73% 8.4% 10.1%
NEI-CEDA CI 3 400 -1.59% 5 17 N/A 6.62% -6.4% -54.7%
NESTLE CI 60 500 0.00% 220 13 324 21.30 1.04% 2.3% -731.5%
CROWN SIEM CI 52 000 4.00% 8 411 41.74 2.34% 4.6% 12.9%
AIR LIQUIDE CI 18 000 0.00% 5 90 18.70 3.50% 10.4% 29.5%
SOLIBRA CI 186 300 -6.38% 38 7 163 13.56 2.20% 14.4% 34.6%
SMB CI 30 000 -1.64% 774 23 258 10.56 1.50% 4.1% 579.6%
SITAB CI 153 000 -0.65% 175 26 966 14.94 5.33% 10.1% 58.0%
TRITURAF CI-Ste en Liquidation
490 0.00% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
UNILEVER CI 26 370 -2.33% 21 566 N/A 4.68% -21.1% -172.6%
UNIWAX CI 27 000 0.00% 3028 81 592 23.24 1.80% 11.1% 63.7%
CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT BEYOND NUMBERS
Agricultural Sector
The Stock Market
Other Sectors
African Stock Markets
Reference price
Evol% Vol Val (000) PER Y/S Net margin
ratio ROE
PALM CI 10 000 -4.76% 41639 412 262 N/A 6.47% -0.4% -0.6%
SICOR CI 5 300 0.00% 82 450 46.60 36.21% 9.3% -41.9%
SOGB CI 32 005 0.02% 242 7 754 11.54 5.34% 11.3% 11.6%
SAPH CI 12 600 -3.08% 88 1 109 N/A 4.61% -3.8% -5.1%
Reference
price Evol% Vol Val (000) PER Y/S
Net margin ratio
ROE
SETAO CI 40 000 0.00% 12 480 15.81 N/A 5.1% -6.6%
Raw Materials
Price Evol
Silver (USD/Oz) 18.6 -3.45%
Gold(USD/XAU) 1 324.4 -1.56%
Natural gas(USD/MMBtu) 2.9 10.83%
WTI Crude Oil (USD/bbl) 47.3 -3.62%
London Cocoa (GBP/t) 2 341.7 -2.90%
New York Cocoa (USD/t) 3 020.5 -2.31%
Coffee US (USD/lb) 145.3 2.61%
Rubber (JPY/kg) 153.9 -12.56%
Palm oil(Riggints/t) 2 800.0 -1.82%
Currencies *
Price Evol
USD / XOF 585.93 1.16%
GBP / XOF 769.71 1.62%
EUR / XOF 655.96 0.00%
JPY / XOF 5.75 -0.45%
CNY / XOF 87.78 0.79%
ZAR / XOF 40.80 -4.87%
NGN / XOF 1.71 2.16%
EGP / XOF 65.99 1.16%
KES / XOF 5.78 1.05%
African Stock Markets
Johannesburg Stock Exchange
ALL SHARE INDEX m -0.60% 3 438.41
Nairobi Stock Exchange
NSE ALL SHARE INDEX m -8.03% 134.97
Nigerian Stock Exchange
ALL SHARE INDEX m -0.72% 27 450.91
Egyptian Exchange EGX 100 INDEX k 0.03% 811.00
Casablanca Stock Exchange
MOROCCAN ALL SHARE INDEX k 0.03% 9 954.88
* Weekly evolution of the average price (order the day before the close of trading)
CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT BEYOND NUMBERS
Credit Ratings(1/3)
Company name Country Sector/ Activity Long term Short term Rating
expiration date Rating Perspective Rating Perspective
CIE Côte d'Ivoire Electricity AA+ Stable A1+ Stable 30/09/2016
IDT Côte d'Ivoire Tobacco distribution Confidential 01/11/2016
Loyale Assurances SA Côte d'Ivoire IARD Insurances BB- Negative C Negative 31/10/2016
Loyale Vie SA Côte d'Ivoire LIFE Insurances A- Stable A2 Stable 30/06/2016
OMNIUM Mali Manufacturing and distribution of batteries
BBB+ Stable A3 Stable 31/05/2016
ONEP Côte d'Ivoire Analysis of the National Drinking Water Office
B+ Positive B Stable 30/09/2016
PAA Côte d'Ivoire Port activities A Stable A1- Positive 30/06/2016
PALMCI Côte d'Ivoire Seed and palm oil products A- Stable A1- Stable 30/08/2016
PETRO IVOIRE Côte d'Ivoire Oil Products Distribution A Stable A3 Stable 30/06/2017
Port Autonome de San Pedro(PASP) Côte d'Ivoire Public port operations A Stable A2 Stable 30/05/2017
SHELTER AFRIQUE Kenya Banking A Stable A1 Stable 31/06/2017
SIMAT Côte d'Ivoire Handling and Transit Confidential 31/03/2011
Société Ivoirienne de Raffinage (SIR) Côte d'Ivoire Crude oil refining Confidential 31/03/2012
SODECI Côte d'Ivoire Water distribution AA- Stable A1- Stable 30/09/2016
Ville de Dakar Sénégal Local community BBB+ Stable A3 Positive 30/09/2016
CROWN SIEM CI Côte d'Ivoire Metal packaging BBB+ Stable A3 Positive 31/07/2016
SICOGI Côte d'Ivoire Construction and housing management
BBB Stable B Stable 31/10/2015
NESTLE CI Côte d'Ivoire Food industry A- Positive A1- Stable 31/10/2016
GuarantCo Royaume-Uni Institutional Garranty AAA Stable A1+ Stable 31/06/2017
Commune du Plateau Côte d'Ivoire Local community BBB- Stable A2 Stable 31/07/2016
CAMTEL Cameroun Telecommunications BBB Stable A3 Stable 31/07/2016
CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT BEYOND NUMBERS
Credit Ratings (2/3)
Company name Country Sector/ Activity Long term Short term Rating
expiration date Rating Perspective Rating Perspective
AVENI – RE Côte d’Ivoire Reinsurance A- Stable A2 Stable 30/09/2016
Emission de la ville de Dakar Sénégal Financial instrument A Stable A1 Stable 01/01/2016
District d'Abidjan Côte d'Ivoire Local community BB+ Stable B Stable 31/10/2016
Fond d'Entretien Routier (FER) Côte d'Ivoire Financing of the maintenance of road infrastructure
A- Positive A2 Stable 30/09/2016
Bank Of Africa – Benin Benin Banking sector A Positive A1 Positive 27/02/2016
Bank Of Africa – Burkina Faso Burkina Faso Banking sector A Positive A1- Positive 30/04/2016
Bank Of Africa – Niger Niger Banking sector A- Stable A2 Stable 30/04/2016
Bank Of Africa – Sénégal Sénégal Banking sector A- Stable A2 Stable 31/05/2016
Bank Of Africa – Côte d’Ivoire Côte d’Ivoire Banking sector A Stable A2 Stable 31/05/2016
Koffi & Diabaté Développement Côte d’Ivoire Construction BBB+ Stable A3 Stable 30/06/2016
Bank Of Africa – Mali Mali Banking sector A- Stable A2 Stable 30/04/2017
Caisse Régionale de Refinancement Hypothécaire
UEMOA Financial institution AA Stable A1 Positive 30/06/2017
BERNABE Côte d'Ivoire Industrial hardware. building materials. industrial equipment. steel construction and machining
A+ Positive A1- Stable 30/10/2016
Air Côte d’Ivoire Côte d’Ivoire Airline company BBB Positive A3 Stable 31/10/2016
VIP NET Côte d'Ivoire Telecommunications Confidential 30/09/2015
ANSUT Côte d'Ivoire Telecommunications Confidential 31/07/2016
DEKEL OIL Côte d’Ivoire Seed and palm oil products Confidential 31/10/2016
FICOGES Côte d’Ivoire Audit Confidential 31/10/2016
UIREVI Côte d’Ivoire Export agriculture Confidential 31/12/2016
NSIA Banque Côte d’Ivoire Banking sector Confidential 01/01/2017
ERANOVE France Public services management In development
Tropical Packaging Côte d’Ivoire Metal industry In development
Tropical Distribution Côte d’Ivoire Distribution In development
Radiant Insurance Company Rwanda Insurance In development
NSIA Assurance VIE Côte d'Ivoire Côte d’Ivoire Insurance In development
CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT BEYOND NUMBERS
Credit Ratings (3/3)
Company name Country Sector/ Activity Long term Short term Rating expiration
date Rating Perspective Rating Perspective
NSIA Assurance Cote d'Ivoire Côte d’Ivoire Insurance In development
NSIA Assurance GABON Gabon Insurance In development
NSIA Assurance Guinée Bissau Guinée Bissau Insurance In development
NSIA Assurance Sénégal Sénégal Insurance In development
NSIA Assurance Vie Sénégal Sénégal Insurance In development
Alios Finance Côte d’Ivoire Finance In development
CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT BEYOND NUMBERS
Bond Market
Corporate Bonds
Regional Entities Bonds
Government Bonds
Quantity Reference price Previous price Coupon Maturity
BOA BURKINA F. 6.25% 2012-2017 10 000 10 000 587.5 11-oct
BOA - CI 6.25% 2012-2017 10 000 10 000 612.5 11-oct
BOA NIGER 6.25% 2012-2017 9 250 9 250 587.5 11-oct
BOA SENEGAL 6.50% 2012-2017 10 000 10 000 611 11-oct
ORAGROUP 6.75% 2013-2019 6 10000 10000 337.5 04 jun/ 04 dec
PAA 6.95% 2010-2017 3 2000 2000 168.85 28 may / 28 nov
PAD 7% 2010-2017 2500 2500 189.79 22 jun / 22 dec
PALMCI 7% 2009-2016 9 925 9 925 342.06 28 jun / 28 dec
SHELTER AFRIQUE 6.6% 2014-2021 9 000 10 000 327.29 28 feb / 28 aug
SIFCA 6.90% 2013-2021 10 000 10 000 676.2 08-aug
Quantity Reference price Previous price Coupon Maturity
BHB 6.25% 2012-2017 10 000 10 000 587.5 11-oct
BIDC 6.75 % 2010-2017 10 000 10 000 336.58 04 apr/ 04 oct
BIDC-EBID 6.50% 2014-2021 194 10 000 10 000 325 28 apr/ 28 sept
BOAD 5.95% 2012-2019 10 000 10 000 595 06-march
BOAD 5.95% 2014-2021 9 925 9 925 260.82 26-dec
CRRH-UEMOA 6.10% 2012-2022 9 950 9 950 305 13 feb / 13 aug
CRRH-UEMOA 6.10% 2012-2024 9 999 9 999 305 17 janv / 17 july
CRRH-UEMOA 6% 2013-2023 10 000 10 000 300 26 apr / 26 oct
CRRH-UEMOA 6% 2014-2024 10 000 10 000 300 30 june / 30 dec
CRRH-UEMOA 6% 2015-2025 10 000 10 000 290.9 04 jan / 04 july
Quantity Reference price Previous price Coupon Maturity
CAA BENIN 6.50% 2011-2016 10 000 10 000 650 09-nov
ETAT SENEGAL 6.5% 2014-2021 35 000 8 000 8 000 325 27 may/27 nov
ETAT SENEGAL 6.70% 2012-2019 10 000 10 000 670 14-dec
ETAT SENEGAL 6.50% 2013-2023 10 000 10 000 325 29 jan / 29 july
ETAT SENEGAL 6.30% 2015-2025 10 000 10 000 313.28 25 may / 25 nov
TPBF 6.50% 2011-2016 10 000 10 000 650 21-dec
TPBF 6.50% 2013-2020 10 050 10 050 325 29 may/ 29 nov
TPCI 7% 2010-2017 10 000 10 000 700 01-oct
TPCI 6.5% 2011-2016 10 085 10 085 650 15-sept
TPCI 6.50% 2012-2017 10 000 10 000 650 19-sept
TPCI 6.30% 2013-2018 30 000 10 050 10 000 315 03 june / 03 dec
TPCI 6.55% 2014-2022 10 000 10 000 655 20-may
TPCI 5.85% 2014-2021 10 000 10 000 292.5 19 june / 19 dec
TPCI 3% 2014-2024 10 000 10 000 150 19 june / 19 dec.
TPCI 5.99% 2015-2025 260 9 975 10 000 599 14-may
TPCI 5.85% 2015-2022 9 999 9 999 599 05 apr/05 oct
CREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT BEYOND NUMBERS
Contact Bloomfield Investment Corporation
Djeneba DIALLO Director Economic and Stock Market Analysis [email protected]
Bloomfield Investment Corporation 06 BP 1888 Abidjan 06 Phone: (225) 20 215 747 / (225) 20 215 749 Fax: (225) 20 215 751