stewart magginis - assessment methodology
DESCRIPTION
Presentation held during the UNFF10 in IstanbulTRANSCRIPT
Stewart MaginnisGlobal DirectorNature-Based Solutions GroupIUCN
National Assessment of the Potential for Forest &
Landscape Restoration (FLR) – a new tool to support landscape restoration
Permanent pasture
Protected Primary Forest
Degraded Lands
Permanent pasture
Plantations
Secondary forest
Secondary forest
Permanent pasture
Intecnsive agriculture land
Degraded Primary Forest
Different Landscapes – Different Dynamics
Where and what to restore?
Objectives of National Assessment of FLR potential
Assessments designed to help:• bring different agency staff together with civil society
actors and researchers to look at the landscape, its challenges and opportunities, through a multi-sectoral lens.
• collectively assemble “best estimates” in data deficient situations (and help define evidence gaps)
• establish a common restoration framework
• align with national priorities eg REDD+ strategy.
• identify restoration priorities and develop ‘value for money’ restoration investments.
A flexible method: different approaches depending on data availability and end needs
Used multiple criteria to select sites for restoration: Areas where restoration is necessary, e.g.
1. Priorities for restoration according to Forest Zoning
Mexico – a country rich in geographical data
Some criteria for where restoration has more or less probability of success:
2. Socio-economical Pressure Index/ Deforestation Risk
Many national institutions participated in selecting criteria for prioritizing FLR
sites and provided relevant data layers.
3. Susceptibility to erosion by type of soil – including levels of priority
Different criteria were weighted according to relative importance
4. Geographical distribution of the dominant patterns of land tenure in the priority zones for FLR in Mexico
Physical & environmental criteria were balanced with
socio-economic criteria
5. Priority for restoration based on probability/resilience to fires by type of vegetation
Multiple data layers were analyzed with geometric model
Areas with potential for forest landscape restoration – darker colour indicates higher priority based on agreed criteria.
Final product: A map showing priority areas for restoration
based on multiple criteria
Assessment outcomes • Rapid response that used available GIS data
• Good geographic prioritization and helped 3 different government agencies develop a common restoration framework
• To be followed with sub-national analysis including:
• Local stakeholder consultation
• Specification of interventions
• Economic analysis
Ghana – less available data. So local expertise and stakeholder knowledge integrated more intimately with spatial analysis
Starting from where the woody biomass currently is concentrated: To an
approximation where key ecosystem goods and services are missing
And concluding with classifying landscapes where newopportunities can be found.
To a new assessment of on-reserve forest condition
Landscape Restoration Interventions
1. Eliminate Irrelevant AreasIn sub-national workshops base maps were modified with local knowledge from different sectors
On-reserve opportunities for wide-scale restoration:with an appropriate mix of interventions ascribed to each polygon
Followed by portfolios of options in the non-forest landscape
(mosaic restoration)
0.5 ton of carbon
Accompanied with best estimates of costs and benefits
The National Assessement in Ghana helped quantify the potential of different landscape restoration
interventions
Source: Greeley, 1925 (in Williams 2006)
Avoided Deforestation 127
Agro-forestry
565
Fallow168Regenera-
tion267
Planted Forests
202
Silviculture303
CO2e sequestration potential (Mt)
Net
ben
efits
per
ton
of C
O2e
seq
uest
ratio
n (C
edis
)Ghana Landscape Restoration Carbon Abatement Curve
..and the understanding the potential
net return
ABATEMENT CURVES – ( map – bullets – map)
Today: Forests are coming back
Source: Greeley, 1925 (in Williams 2006)
AD
AD
Central Region
Volta Region
Which in turn was used for regional prioritisation
Concluding remarks
• Mexico:-• Facilitated common
prioritisation among govt agencies
• Maps are an important representation of broad geographic potential
• Assessment methodology is an analytical tool: it is not designed for spatial planning
• The methodology – even at the pilot stage - has proven its ability to generate relevant knowledge that informs national planning
• Different emphasis can be given to different components depending on local requirements;
• Ghana• Informed prioritisation in
the Ghana FIP• Maps less important and
key role was to provide spatial estimates for economic analysis.
Thankyou!
forestlandscaperestoration.org