steve barsh of dream it ventures on de risking for wharton entrepreneurship club february 2009

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Copyright © 2008-2009 by DreamIt Ventures LLC. All Rights Reserved. Dreamitventures.com De-Risking and Acceleration Steve Barsh, Managing Partner [email protected] * 215.888.2101 dreamitventures.com barshbits.com sbarsh 1

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Presentation given by Steve Barsh of DreamIt Ventures for the Wharton Entrepreneurship Club February 2009 on techniques for identifying key assumptions and de-risking them early in a capital-efficient manner to lower risks and increase value.

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Page 1: Steve Barsh Of Dream It Ventures On De Risking For Wharton Entrepreneurship Club February 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by DreamIt Ventures LLC. All Rights Reserved.Dreamitventures.com

De-Risking and Acceleration

Steve Barsh, Managing [email protected] * 215.888.2101

dreamitventures.com

barshbits.com sbarsh

1

Page 2: Steve Barsh Of Dream It Ventures On De Risking For Wharton Entrepreneurship Club February 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by DreamIt Ventures LLC. All Rights Reserved.Dreamitventures.com

Agenda

• DreamIt Ventures

• De-risking & discovery

• Q&A

2

Page 3: Steve Barsh Of Dream It Ventures On De Risking For Wharton Entrepreneurship Club February 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by DreamIt Ventures LLC. All Rights Reserved.Dreamitventures.com

Help great peoplewith great ideas

build great companies

• 3 month Startup Accelerator

• Pre-Seed investment

• Expertise

• Mentorship

3

Page 4: Steve Barsh Of Dream It Ventures On De Risking For Wharton Entrepreneurship Club February 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by DreamIt Ventures LLC. All Rights Reserved.Dreamitventures.com

Entrepreneurs Receive

4

Team Members

Professional Services

Community

Mentoring

Capital

Software + Resources

Expert Speakers

Page 5: Steve Barsh Of Dream It Ventures On De Risking For Wharton Entrepreneurship Club February 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by DreamIt Ventures LLC. All Rights Reserved.Dreamitventures.com

Premises & Observations

• Money too early• Validation from investors• Key risks• Out-of-box techniques• De-risk before

• Pitching• Building the product

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Page 6: Steve Barsh Of Dream It Ventures On De Risking For Wharton Entrepreneurship Club February 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by DreamIt Ventures LLC. All Rights Reserved.Dreamitventures.com

3 – 7 Key Assumptions

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Page 7: Steve Barsh Of Dream It Ventures On De Risking For Wharton Entrepreneurship Club February 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by DreamIt Ventures LLC. All Rights Reserved.Dreamitventures.com

De-Risking Goals

• Convert assumptions into knowledge• At lowest cost• As quickly as possible

• Decrease assumptionsto increase value

• Consume intellectual capitalbefore significant outside capital

• Succeed or fail quickly7

Page 8: Steve Barsh Of Dream It Ventures On De Risking For Wharton Entrepreneurship Club February 2009

Dreamitventures.com Copyright © 2008-2009 by DreamIt Ventures LLC. All Rights Reserved.

Common Assumptions

Positioning / differentiationDemandMarket sizeFeature setCompetitionPricing / business modelSales / adoption cycleTeamProduct developmentExecutionMarketingFinancials & forecastsFinancial needsEnterprise value

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Page 9: Steve Barsh Of Dream It Ventures On De Risking For Wharton Entrepreneurship Club February 2009

Dreamitventures.com Copyright © 2008-2009 by DreamIt Ventures LLC. All Rights Reserved.

Common Problems

Key assumptions not captured and no time tableLittle discussion with potential customersLittle primary researchWeak demandPricing a guessMarketing field of dreamsStrategy alignment

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Page 10: Steve Barsh Of Dream It Ventures On De Risking For Wharton Entrepreneurship Club February 2009

Dreamitventures.com Copyright © 2008-2009 by DreamIt Ventures LLC. All Rights Reserved.

Stop Waving, Start Pointing!

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Page 11: Steve Barsh Of Dream It Ventures On De Risking For Wharton Entrepreneurship Club February 2009

Dreamitventures.com Copyright © 2008-2009 by DreamIt Ventures LLC. All Rights Reserved.

100% Sure?

• Plans

• Presentations

• Pitches

• Financial models• Forecasts

• Estimates

• Things with numbers or graphs

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Page 12: Steve Barsh Of Dream It Ventures On De Risking For Wharton Entrepreneurship Club February 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by DreamIt Ventures LLC. All Rights Reserved.Dreamitventures.com

Experiment

• Hypotheses

• Prove or Disprove

• Build -- Release, measure, learn, iterate

• Research

• Valid proxies

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Page 13: Steve Barsh Of Dream It Ventures On De Risking For Wharton Entrepreneurship Club February 2009

Dreamitventures.com Copyright © 2008-2009 by DreamIt Ventures LLC. All Rights Reserved.

Key Investment Questions

• Key assumptions, dependencies, and timetable?

• Evidence we are looking for?

• Assumptions de-risked before further investment?

• Success criteria (e.g., market uptake; revenue; impact, financials, etc.)?

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Page 14: Steve Barsh Of Dream It Ventures On De Risking For Wharton Entrepreneurship Club February 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by DreamIt Ventures LLC. All Rights Reserved.Dreamitventures.com

3 Main Takeaways

1.Key assumptions

2.Experiments

3.Convert assumptions into knowledge

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Page 15: Steve Barsh Of Dream It Ventures On De Risking For Wharton Entrepreneurship Club February 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by DreamIt Ventures LLC. All Rights Reserved.Dreamitventures.com

More Info

• Redeye VC Blog: Failing Cheaper by Josh Kopelman, First Round Capital.

• Common Mistakes Made by Entrepreneurs by Mark Henricks.

• How To: Raise Money in a Down Economy by Eric Ries at KPCB.

• Discovery-Driven Growth: A Breakthrough Process to Reduce Risk and Seize Opportunity (March 2009) by Rita McGrath and Ian MacMillan (Wharton)

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Page 16: Steve Barsh Of Dream It Ventures On De Risking For Wharton Entrepreneurship Club February 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by DreamIt Ventures LLC. All Rights Reserved.Dreamitventures.com

Agenda

• DreamIt Ventures

• De-risking & discovery

• Q&A

16

Page 17: Steve Barsh Of Dream It Ventures On De Risking For Wharton Entrepreneurship Club February 2009

Copyright © 2008-2009 by DreamIt Ventures LLC. All Rights Reserved.Dreamitventures.com

De-Risking and Acceleration

Steve Barsh, Managing [email protected] * 215.888.2101

dreamitventures.com

barshbits.com sbarsh

17

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