stern-like biodiversity study - brainstorm on approach dg env - wednesday 27 june 2007 a...
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Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
A methodological proposal and European case study
Jean-Louis WeberProject manager
Spatial analysis, land and ecosystem accounting
EEA
Stern-like Biodiversity Study
Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Roy Haines-YoungCentre for Environmental Management,
School of Geography,University of Nottingham
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
GDP + Final use of ecosystem services
IDPIDPInclusive Domestic Product
Accounting for environmental benefits and costs
Benefits: the Demand sideBenefits: the Demand sideC
ost
s: t
he S
upp
ly s
ide
Cost
s: t
he S
upp
ly s
ide
+
Intermediate consumption
+
Maintenance of the resource
+
Restoration from ecosystem degradation
FCPFCP
Full Cost of Products
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Economic-Environmental Accounts: International and European context
• SEEA 2003 (Integrated System of Environmental and Economic Accounting)
• Accounts in monetary AND in physical units
• Tested in Europe by Eurostat, EEA and most member countries; now: European Strategy (ESEA) 2003, revised 2007
• 2006, SEEA endorsed as an international standard by the UN Statistical Commission – revision by 2012
• 2006, SEEA Water – « interim standard » from 2007
• Other implementation manuals cosnsidered: energy & minerals, land & ecosystems
• At the EEA: Land cover accounts for Europe 1990-2000 (2006), report and gridded database; “Implementation of land and ecosystem accounts at the EEA”(Journal of Ecological Economics – 2007)
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
SEEA: expansion of the System of National Accounts (UN1993) in order to include more environmental aspects
Natural resources EcosystemsEconomic
assets (SNA)Non-economic
assets
Openingstocks
Openingstocks
OpeningState
SNAtransactions
and otherflows
Changes instocks
Changesin stocks
Economicactivities,
naturalprocesses,
etc.
Changesin state
Closingstocks
Closingstocks
Closingstate
Described in SNA
RM HASSAN - UN The System of Environmental and Economic Accounting (UN 2003) - RANESA Workshop June 12-16, 2005 Maputo
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Economic Environmental Accounts: Flows and Assets
EGSGDPE
cono
mic
ass
ets E
cosystem assets
GDP: Gross domestic Product
EGS: Ecosystem Goods and Services
Inte
rme
dia
te
us
e o
f E
GS
Fin
al u
se
of
no
n-m
ark
et E
GS
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Economic system and ecosystem: co-evolving
EGSGDP
Eco
nom
ic a
sset
s Ecosystem
assets
GDP: Gross domestic Product
EGS: Ecosystem Goods and Services
Inte
rme
dia
te
us
e o
f E
GS
Fin
al u
se
of
no
n-m
ark
et E
GS
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Of the usefulness of environmental accounts
• They are integrated, physical and monetary, connected to the National Accounts (classifications, definitions…)
• They are based on sound rules (e.g. double-entry accounting)
• But– The world does not work according to the structure of
accounts…– Accounts are human constructs
• A way or organising our thoughts and information• They need to focus on
– Needs of end users who make decisions– Values and views of people who depend on or make use of the
services that nature offers otherwise they will not capture the real world
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Back to the logic underlying the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment…
Biophysical structure or
process(e.g. woodland
habitat or net primary productivity )
Service(e.g. flood
protection, or harvestable products)
Service(e.g. flood
protection, or harvestable products)
Function(e.g. slow
passage of water, or biomass)
Function(e.g. slow
passage of water, or biomass)
Benefit(e.g. willingness to pay for woodland
protection or for more woodland, or
harvestable products)
Benefit(e.g. willingness to pay for woodland
protection or for more woodland, or
harvestable products)Σ Pressures
Limit pressures via policy action?
Minimum levels of service
(service limits)
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Demand and Supply of ecosystem goods and services
• Demand: – Market: EGS imbedded in the price of commodities
(intermediate consumption of economic sectors) – Non-market end services: individual consumption of
households, collective consumption of government, beneficiaries x willingness to pay
• Supply: – Market: full cost of products (physical and monetary,
intermediate consumption of resource and indirect degradations);
– Sustainability of intermediate consumption/use measured by the integrity/health of natural assets, in physical terms
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Demand side
• Key questions:– What are the services associated with this place or
situation that matter for sustainability and how are they generated?
– How important is each of these services, to who, and for what reasons?
– What, if anything, could replace or substitute for each of the benefits, either here or elsewhere?
– Do we expect to have enough of each of these services either here or elsewhere in the future?
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Inclusive Domestic Product
FinalEGS
IDP
GDPF
ina
l us
e o
f n
on
-ma
rke
t EG
S
Inclusive Domestic Product
GDP: Gross Domestic Product
EGS: Ecosystem Goods and Services
IDP: Inclusive Domestic Product
Weak sustainability
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Supply side, environmental limits and policy action/inaction
Time
Undamaged
Service
output
Damaged
Target
Limit
Collapse
Marginal losses
Marginal gains
What are the risks and vulnerabilities?
Policy choices
Enhanced
Maintained
Neglected
Eroded or degraded
Precautionary limit?
Accounting Modelling
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Sustainable
intermediate use
Non-Sustainable
intermediate use
Eco
nom
ic a
sset
s Ecosystem
assetsEGS
IDP
GDP
Fin
al u
se
of
no
n-m
ark
et E
GS
GDP: Gross domestic Product
EGS: Ecosystem Goods and Services
IDP: Inclusive Domestic Product
Sustainable and non sustainable economic use
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Stocks
Integrity/Health
Sustainable
intermediate use
Non-Sustainable
intermediate use
Eco
nom
ic a
sset
s Ecosystem
assetsEGS
IDP
GDP
Fin
al u
se
of
no
n-m
ark
et E
GS
GDP: Gross domestic Product
EGS: Ecosystem Goods and Services
IDP: Inclusive Domestic Product
Ecosystem Assets and calculation of Full Cost of Products
Alternative prices for resource use
according to environmental
objectives
Observation of symptoms:
Vigor
Organisation
Resilience
Dependence
Support to healthy populations
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
GDP: Gross domestic Product
EGS: Ecosystem Goods and Services
IDP: Inclusive Domestic Product
LEP: Land Ecological Potential
€: Monetary units
: Physical units EGS
IDP
GDPE
cono
mic
ass
ets E
cosystem assets
Inte
rme
dia
te
us
e o
f E
GS
Fin
al u
se
of
no
n-m
ark
et E
GS
€&
€€€&€€&&
Physical and monetary accounts
€
LEP
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Key points
• Non market ecosystem services: Final use is to be measured in physical units first; pricing will come in a second step
• The full cost of the products has to be calculated as : production/distribution cost + cost of restoration of the resource + costs of degradation of ecosystems (indirect use of services) + rents
• Assets accounts doesn't need to be valued in money in any cases; physical assets (incl. health, resilience) will tell about the sustainability of use of EGS
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
MARKET THEORY
POLITICALECOLOGY
DECISIONTHEORY
SYSTEM ECOLOGY
THERMODYNAMICSTHERMODYNAMICS
Market Analysis
CostMethods
CostMethodsHedonicPrices
ContingentValuation
ContingentValuation
Contingent choice
EmergySynthesis
EmbodiedenergyMFAEFA
HANPP
Extended Exergy
Accounting
Multi-criteriaAssessment
VA
LU
AT
ION
M
ET
HO
DV
AL
UA
TIO
N
ME
TH
OD Cost Methods
WeakComparability
Crematistic (money)Valuation
PhysicalValuation
Multi-criteriaValuation
VALUEVALUECONCEPTCONCEPT
Strongcomparability
CO
NC
EP
TU
AL
FR
AM
EW
OR
KC
ON
CE
PT
UA
LF
RA
ME
WO
RK
USEVALUE
NON-USEVALUE
ENERGYVALUE
MULTIPLEVALUES
BIOPHYSICALVALUE
ENERGYMEMORY
EXERGYMETABO
LISMDIRECT
USEINDIRECT
USEOPTION VALUE
HERITAGEEXISTENCE
OB
JE
CT
OF
VA
LU
AT
ION
OB
JE
CT
OF
VA
LU
AT
ION
FRAMEWORK FOR VALUATIONVALUE CONCEPT AND DERIVED APPROACHES
ENVIRONMENTALENVIRONMENTALECONOMICSECONOMICS
ECOLOGICALECOLOGICALECONOMICSECONOMICS
Lomas et al. 2006Lomas et al. 2006
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Cost of water supply and environmental cost
REMAINING RESOURCE COST (CRR)Cost of the hypothetical measures of restoration of the degradation that will be left in water bodies with respect to the natural state of reference (IN) once reached the objective of the WFD (EO).
ENVIRONMENTAL COST(CA)
Cost of partial restoration to meet the objective of the WFD in 2015 (EO) from the maximum state of deterioration (EE) generated by the human activities before applying any measures of mitigation. A part of the same one (EA-EE) corresponds to the cost of the measures applied until now. The rest (EO-EA) corresponds to the cost of the measures necessary to reach the objective of the WFD.
COST OF WATER SUPPLY(CAA)Costs of resource procurement, distribution and return. The acquisition cost must be the optimal combination of resource generation and resource reassignment of the uses based on the quality required.
Cost of servicesIntegral cost of replacement
CRR CAA
CA
EN
EO EE
EA
CA
Joan
Esc
riù W
ater
Age
ncy
of C
atal
unya
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Example of full cost accounting : physical and monetary
Environmental Cost of the WFD = CAR1 + CAR2 + CAR3
Cost of the “effective measures” for meeting the objetive of the WFD considered in the
Programe of Measures of River Basin Management Plan
Cost of measures formitigating impacts of uses over the water bodies
CAR1
Cost of measures of ecosystem restoration CAR2
Cost of measures for resource procurement CAR3
restoration
DA1
DA3
DA2
PHYSICAL ACCOUNTS MONETARY ACCOUNTS
Degradation ofwater quality
Impacts on water use
Impacts onecosystems
Physico-chemicalobjectives
Biological &hydro-morphological objectives
Joan
Esc
riù W
ater
Age
ncy
of C
atal
unya
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Cálculo del coste ambiental
Degradation of the water bodies
Impacts on uses
Impacts on the
ecosystems
EnvironmentalCost
As cost of the measures of restoration of:
Why this option?
The environment itself is not “monetisable” (“no entiende de dinero”, “no está en el mercado”).
Contingent valuation methods offer only a subjective value of the environment.
The cost of restoration measures tells us of the environmental costs, when these measures are effective and efficient (reference to targets)
AN
ÁL
ISIS
EC
ON
ÓM
ICO
DE
L A
GU
A E
N C
AT
AL
UÑ
A
Joan
Esc
riù W
ater
Age
ncy
of C
atal
unya
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
GL
OB
AL
RE
GIO
NA
LR
EG
ION
AL
LOCALLOCALE
co
sy
ste
m
Fu
nc
tio
ns
Manufactured Capital
Buildings Roads and
infraestructuresMachines
Tools
Financial Capital
Money (Change value)
Human Capital
Workers Wealth
AptitudesEducation
Knowledge
Social-cultural Capital
Institutions Social networks
Trust Ethic
GobernanceHu
ma
n-m
ad
eC
ap
ita
lN
atu
ral
Ca
pit
al
FRAMEWORK FOR VALUATIONECOSYSTEM SERVICES, FUNCTIONS AND NATURAL CAPITAL
Co
nec
tivi
ty
wit
h o
ther
ec
osy
stem
sFunctioning
Primary Production Water Cycle Biogeochemical Cycles
Structure
Geotic Structures Biotic Structures
Dynamism time
ECOSYSTEMS
time
Ecologicalintegrity
Resilience
Ec
os
ys
tem
se
rvic
es
Production Habitat InformationRegulation
Provisioning Services Regulation Services Cultural Services
- Water availability - Crops- Hunting - Fishes- Acuiculture - Harvests- Livestock - Medical plants- Fibers - Potential uses
Soil formation Carbon secuestration Air quality Water quality Pest and diseases control Polinization Invasion resistence Habitat provisioning
Tourism and recreation Aesthetic Cultural heritage Spiritual values Education Research Traditional knowledge
Martín-López et al. In pressMartín-López et al. In press
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Wetlands, a first case study for Eureca!...
… and for the assessment of biodiversity costs
Food Energy Water WoodLandscape
servicesBroad pattern intensive agricultureExtensive and mosaic agro-systemsForestsDry open natural landscapesWetlandsRivers and lakesUrban systems
MountainsCoastal ecosystemsSea
Reporting unitsAdministrative (NUTS)River basins (sub-basins)Bio-geographic regions
Socio-Ecosystems
Services
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Accounting for ecosystems: Conceptual Model
Distribution Patterns Neighbourhoods
S
C
A
L
E
S
Distribution Patterns Neighbourhoods
S
C
A
L
E
S
Spatial analysisSpatial analysis
DP S IRDriving forces (production, consumption)
Pressures
State of environment
Impacts of state on society, economy and ecosystems
Responses
CausationCausation
FrameworkFrameworkStocks & flows
Values
Goods & Services
System interactions
Stocks & flows
Values
Goods & Services
System interactions
Indicators Indicators
& &
Aggregates Aggregates
€&
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Approach based on LEAC (+ rivers…)
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
LEAC: from changes to flows of land cover
LCF3
LCF1
LCF2
LCF5
LCF4
LCF7
LCF6
LCF8
Change Matrix(44x43=1932
possible changes)summarized into
flows
LCF9
Corine land cover types 1 2A 2B 3A 3B 3C 4 5
Land cover flows
Art
ific
ial a
reas
Fo
rest
ed la
nd
Wet
lan
ds
Wat
er b
od
ies
LCF1 Urban land management 737 15 19 0 8 0 0 780LCF2 Urban residential sprawl 1924 1867 200 145 8 3 2 4149LCF3 Sprawl of economic sites and infrastructures 77 2728 1595 665 451 35 22 53 5627LCF4 Agriculture internal conversions 17252 10062 27314LCF5 Conversion from other land cover to agriculture 273 935 1796 1734 155 96 50 5039LCF6 Withdrawal of farming 2393 2860 5253LCF7 Forests creation and management 254 35803 5166 1048 1063 3 43337LCF8 Water bodies creation and management 191 252 253 117 190 17 21 1042LCF9 Changes due to natural & multiple causes 311 44 15 1317 1323 1041 229 252 4534
No Change 160016 1149717 802502 990736 255914 50289 45502 45473 3500149
LCF1 Urban land management 780 780LCF2 Urban residential sprawl 4149 4149LCF3 Sprawl of economic sites and infrastructures 5627 5627LCF4 Agriculture internal conversions 15695 11619 27314LCF5 Conversion from other land cover to agriculture 2450 2590 5039LCF6 Withdrawal of farming 1124 2792 1244 23 70 0 5253LCF7 Forests creation and management 42547 766 24 43337LCF8 Water bodies creation and management 21 1021 1042
No Change 160016 1149717 802502 990736 255914 50289 45502 45473 3500149
199
0
2000
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Framework of Ecosystem Accounts
Natural assets accounts • Natural capital structure, resilience & wealth (physical
units, by sectors)• Capital consumption & accumulation (physical units, €)• Ecosystem assets wealth (€)
Natural Capital Accounts/ living & cycling natural capital
Functions & Services• Land use function• Natural function
Supply & use of ecosystem goods and services(Use of resource by sectors, supply to consumption &
residuals, accumulation, I-O analysis)
Material/energy flows(focus on biomass, water,
nutrients, residuals)
Accounts of flows of ecosystem goods and services
Counts of stocks integrity/health
(by ecosystem types, focus on quality)
Ecosystem Stocks &
State Accounts
Core accounts of stocks & flows
(by ecosystem types, raw quantities)
Land coverWaterBiomass, CN, P
Eco
syst
em t
ypes
Economic sectorsSpatial integration
Economic integration
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Changes in QuantityChanges in Quantity
Changes in QualityChanges in Quality
Opening stockOpening stock
Closing stockClosing stock
Land use functions
Land use functions
X
Services
Land use functions
X
Services
Minimum levels of service
(service limits)
Reflections on our efforts to
build ecosystem accounts
Stern-like Biodiversity Study - Brainstorm on Approach
DG ENV - Wednesday 27 June 2007
Partnership for case study on Mediterranean wetlands
• EEA, ETC-LUSI and ETC-BD• ETCLUSI partners (UAB, Danube Delta, Andalusia)• The Observatory of Mediterranean Wetlands
(under creation, FP7)• Voluntary partners: Tour du Valat (Camargue),
EKBY (Greece), MEDWET• Talks for coordination with the ESA GlobWetlands
project Phase 2 (from 2008)