stc-report september, 10 th, 2009, offenbach. stc-report priority projects/tasks conservative...

STC-Report

September, 10th, 2009, Offenbach

STC-Report

Priority Projects/Tasks Conservative Dynamical Core” (CDC) approved by STC

Decision tree (Deliverables: Dec. 2009) on “how or if to continue the project” considered to be very important

VERSUS2 (SDO) approved by STC SDA has to be adapted with resources and milestones accordingly (Deliverables:

Nov. 2009)

Priority Task Postprocessing approved by STC Will be based on FieldExtra

Still some resources missing (operators to calculate metric terms )

Termination of Priority Project SatCloud Tasks: use of the NWC cloud analysis, AMSU-A over land

Very little contributions from participating members

Scientists had too little technical and scientific support at their local centers

COSMO General Meeting, 2009, Offenbach

STC-report: Enhancing the internal communication

Some issues with collaboration and communication inside COSMO became apparent during last COSMO yearLack of communication inside Priority Projects and also inside

the STC

Project leaders complained about reporting effort and effort to support team members abroad

FTE concept seemed not to be helpful in some cases

Initial proposal of Chairman and SPMTry to replace FTEs by work-package contracts

Introduce a financial contribution


STC-report: Enhancing the internal communication

STC evaluated the situation It showed to be difficult to amend the agreement

Especially regarding direct monetary contributions to COSMO

Possible ways aheadEnhancing collaboration needed

VideoConferencingDWD has new tool whichwas presented to the STC

Test between DWD and MCH next week

Plan to have monthly PP compulsory (video)conferences

In conjunction with less reporting

Instead use license money, contributions from donating partners toSupport research visits, PP kick-offs/meetings, training, education

The STC promotes that the PL actually requests “Educated FTEs”COSMO General Meeting, 2009, Offenbach

STC-report

Preparation of COSMO for future HPC architectures. Activities in Switzerland and implication for COSMO.

Activities in Italy (Cooperation with CASPUR)

Coordination indispensable

STC proposes to set-up a new Priority task

Roshydromet was accepted as a full member by the STC

Roshydromet invites the COSMO Community to MOSCOW for the next General Meeting


MeteoSuisse Some activities at MeteoSwissoutside of the priority projects

Done Additional 06 UTC run of COSMO-7

On demand mode (hourly 6h runs of COSMO-2)

Operationalization of SSO (COSMO-7 and COSMO-2)

Tuning of turbulence (for convection) and horizontal diffusion

Improvement of Post-processing (Kalman Filter)

Clean-up and documentation of Fieldextra

Planned: Tuning of SSO parameters (values of GME used now)

Assimilation of precipitation in terra s.a. (MSMA)

Redefinition of vertical layers (thinner in PBL)

Use of COSMO-ART for pollen forecasts


Strategic issues at MeteoSwiss

Start of operations for project CN Met (COSMO-2 for NPP)

C2SM (competence center for climate modelling) in place with ETHZ and other research institutes

COSMO, COSMO-CLM, COSMO-ART, (ECHAM)

1 Director, 3 PhD, 3 scientific programmers

Swiss national HPCN strategy approved by government CSCS to build a 4 PFlops computer until 2012

Probably massive parallel machine (<1 Mio cores)

HP2C initiative to support the code adaptation Proposal of C2SM/CSCS/MeteoSwiss (+COSMO?)

Support of the modelling activities of MeteoSwiss Toward COSMO-1 in 5 years time


What’s new in Italy

New computer installed at CNMCA (HP Linux Cluster – 128 nodes (1024 cores) -12.8 peak TeraFlops)- final test for acceptance starts on 15 September.Contract with CINECA (Bologna) renewed for 3 more years.ARPA Piemonte has opened a 3 years contract with CINECA which will provide the computer power for developing an environmental modeling chain based on COSMO model outputs.Wave models are now in operation both at CNMCA and ARPA-SIMC (based on WAM and SWAN) with the Italian Navy and the National Civil Protection as main users.In the framework of a cooperation with the EUMETSAT MIST, COSMO-IT output has been provided to serve as proxi data-set to simulate IRS radiance at the top of atmosphere.After a formal request by the Israeli PR, COSMO-ME output is daily provided to the Israeli NMS since 31st August.


Plans and cooperation for 2010 in Italy

Porting of the 3d-var - COSMO ME - COSMO IT chain on the new computer at CNMCA.

Developing of a RUC cycle for COSMO I2 at ARPA SIMC.

Start of developing of an environmental modeling chain based on COSMO-Model output at ARPA Piemonte.

A meteo-hydrological coupled system for the Po river basin, driven by COSMO LEPS and COSMO I7 – COSMO I2 suite, will be implemented at ARPA-SIMC

In cooperation with the Italian Navy, development at CNMCA of a deployable SWAN model to be used for near coast operations.

In the framework of the program MyOcean, COSMO ME will provide the atmospheric forcing to the oceanographic system MFS for the Mediterranean. Studies aimed at improving interactions between the two system will be pursued.

In order to improve the cooperation between USAM/CNMCA, ARPA SIMC and ARPA Piemonte, discussion is started on the elaboration of a common strategic plan on the development and operational use of NWP models.


HNMS - Greece

Implementation of 2.5Km COSMO-GR and parallel running for Verification purposes, especially for some important cases affected Greek area.

Development of special applications to assist (more) forecaster’s work (TAF etc).

Operational Version of METEO-FR’s model MOTHY (Modèle Océanique de Transport d'HYdrocarbures) for the Eastern Mediterranean, with 10m winds and MSLP of COSMO-GR.

Operational Use of COSMO-GR for issuing marine Bulletins for Eastern Mediterranean and Black Sea.

Operational Use of COSMSO-GR for running WAM-4 in the Mediterranean and Black Sea (next slide).

HNMS - Greece

What has changed since last year?

The forecasters in our operational meteorological center make continuous use of the COSMO-GR (7Km) products during their shifts.

Consequently, COSMO-GR is now our main operational local area model. The fact that two years ago the situation was quite different, shows that COSMO-GR model became more suitable for the people that make operational forecasts, especially by raising the degree of confidence on their decisions.


INSTITUTE OF METEOROLOGY AND WATER MANAGEMENTPoland

IMGW strategy for COSMO (continuation of the one

presented in 2008)

increase the engagement of IMGW in the area of the NWP

development

increase and concentrate resources on well defined areas of

model development (esp. dynamics, also assimilation)

strengthen the cooperation between IMGW and academia

continue and develop international cooperation with important

NWP research centres, especially NCAR

increase computational capabilities based on own machine and

cooperation with academic computational centre in Gdansk

(TASK)


a formal bid for a new computer is open

expected peak performance 3TB,

expected delivery: autumn 2009

expected operational implementation of 7-km COSMO:

end of 2009/beginning 2010

expected semi-operational implementation of 2.8-km COSMO:

beginning of 2010

Work on data assimilation started (reconfiguration of initialization system,

first successful test trials of analysis cycle)

expected implementation of assimilation data base in 2010

expected semi-operational implementation of analysis cycle in 2010

Successful start of the new group working on dynamical problems for

COSMO CDC PP


INSTITUTE OF METEOROLOGY AND WATER MANAGEMENTPoland


Operational runsHardware system: IBM cluster: 14 Server Blades – each blade with 2 processors Intel Xeon Quad Core 3.00 GHz, 8 GB RAM

Domains:

INM - Romania

161x145 grid points - 7 km resolution: nudging data assimilation for synop; two runs per day (00 UTC and 12 UTC).301x231 grid points – 2.8 km resolution: no data assimilation; two runs per day (00 UTC and 12UTC).

2009:

2010:161x145 grid points - 7km resolution:

data assimilation for radar data;four runs per day (00, 06, 12 and 18 UTC).

301x231 grid points - 2,8 km resolution: nudging data assimilation for synop; four runs per day (00, 06, 12 UTC 18 UTC).

INM - Romania


Development in the frame of COSMO Consortium Further participation on “VERification System Unified Survey” (VERSUS) -

Priority Project: 0.3 FTE

Further participation on Priority Tasks for Support Activities:

0.2 FTE (COSMO Newsletter) + 0.3 FTE ?? (Contents Management)

Participation on “Towards Unified Turbulence-Shallow Convection Scheme” (UTCS) Priority Project: 0,5 FTE

Contributions to other Priority Projects, if it is required

Romania may organize and partially support a training course, using the infrastructure of his National Meteorological School, in Bucharest or Constanta (Black Sea border).

COSMO Romanian Group Dr. Gheorghe STANCALIE (Dr.I.V.PESCARU – retired)

Mrs. Rodica DUMITRACHE, senior researcher, PhD student

Mr. Cosmin BARBU, researcher, PhD student

Mr. Bogdan MACO M.Sc student

Mrs. Liliana VELEA, Mrs. Aurelia LUPASCU, Mrs. Iulia IBANESCU (currently working abroad)

ROSHYDROMET

COSMO-RU07OSMO-RU07

h = 2.8 km

Initial data for 00 и 12 UTC, 78 h forecasts

h = 7 km

Grid: 701 * 621 * 40

SGI Altix 4700 (1664 cores) (832 processors Itanium,

64-bit, 3,3 Tb memory)

Run time

33 min: 512 cores (16x32)

19 min: 1024 cores (32x32)

h = 7 км

ROSHYDROMET’s Strategy Data assimilation

3D-var

Global models: Spectral models T169L31, T339L63. SL-AB

Mesomodels: COSMO-RU (5000 km x 4300km, 701 x 621, h=7 km; 2.8 km) ARW –nowcasting (research)

Ensembles Breeding method with T85L31 (reseach T169L31)

Visualization Isograf , GrADS

Sochy 2014 COSMO-RU01 (h = 1 km)

DWD – Strategy revisited The NWP system strategy

Local scale ensemble forecasting system

Global forecasting system that must be expanded into an ensemble prediction system providing the necessary BCs on the regional scale

Ensemble data assimilation systems

Maximum use of remote sensing data

Strengthen cooperation with academia DWD-research program for 3 years (budget of 500k€ per year)

DWD defined areas of research

Contracts with research institutes/universities concluded

Topics: physics, ensemble forecasting dynamics

HErZ Topics: dynamics and predictability, data assimilation, model development (physics),

climate monitoring and diagnostics, exploiting the potential of weather and climate simulation for the society

Budget draft contains 2 Mio€ per year for the next 4 years

Support of 4-5 research groups at the universities/research institutes

Groups will be lead co-operatively by one scientist from the institute and one from DWD


DWD – Future development of NWP-system


New Supercomputer@DWD since late summer of 2008 2x3TFlop front-end Q1 2009 NEC SX9: 30*LMRAPS within 1400” in parallel Q3 2010 NEC SX9: 90*LMRAPS within 1400” in parallel Still not operational

several issues with SX9 and database prevented numerical experimentation to work as needed Hopefully SX9 will take over the operational suite in October (this year!)

Late 2009: GME 30km, 60 levels

Hybrid data assimilation scheme for GME and COSMO 3D-Var and LETKF 2011 introduction of LETKF in ICON

COSMO-DE-Ensemble Same configuration as deterministic model Pre-operational 2010, 20 members Operational 2011/2012, 40 members

ICON Non-hydrostatic, triangular mesh Operational 2011 Will replace GME and COSMO-EU

stc-report september, 10 th, 2009, offenbach. stc-report priority projects/tasks conservative...

Documents

pbluse of cosmo

cosmo community

project cn met cosmo

new priority taskroshydromet

priority task postprocessing

landvery little contributions

scientific support

direct monetary contributions