Statistics, Stochastic Processes and Applications  

CIMA - University of Évora

January 14, 2016Badajoz

http://www.cima.uevora.pt

University of Évora

PhD Members (12) PhD Students (11) PhD Collaborators (4)

Anabela AfonsoCarlos Braumann Clara Carlos Dulce Gomes Dulce PereiraGonçalo Jacinto Jorge SantosManuela OliveiraManuel CarmoPatrícia FilipePaulo Infante Russell Alpizar-Jara

Ana GalantinoAna JorgeFilipe Santos Fernando Ceia  Luísa CarvalhoMafalda LiraMaria João Inácio Maria Lagartinho Nuno BritesPalmira Caseiro Sónia Barbosa

Ana Cantarinha José BorgesManuel Minhoto Salvador Abreu

University ofMadeira

PhD Members (5) PhD Students PhD Collaborators (5)

José SilvaJoaquim AzevedoJoão Alves e SousaLudwig StreitJosé Carmo

Filipe Santos Ana Abreu Ana Cardoso Custodia Drumond Maribel GordonRui Caldeira

Life Science:  Forestry, Agriculture and Fisheries, Public Health, Medicine, Genetics, Epidemiology, Social and Demographic issues, etc.

Industry and Telecommunications: Efficiency analysis, Finance, and wireless sensors networks, internet traffic, etc.

Mathematical-Physics: Fractional Processes and grey Brownian motion; Infinite particle systems, etc.

Main Research Lines

A) Stochastic Processes and ApplicationsA1. Population and individual modelling in random environments A2. Stochastic Processes, Time Series Analysis and Space-time Modelling

B) Statistical Modeling and Data Analysis

B1. Sampling elusive populations and parameter estimation B2. Multivariate Analysis and Experimental Designs

  B3. Quality Control and Survival Analysis C) Stochastic and Mathematical Physics

C1. Stochastic analysis associated to Fractional Processes and grey Brownian motion

C2. Infinite particle systems and Polymer PhysicsC3. Measurement uncertainty phenomena and Wireless sensors networks

A1: Population and Individual modeling in random environments

Main research areas

Life Science Applications: Agriculture, Fisheries, Social and Demographic issues, etc.

Carlos Braumann; Patricia Filipe; Clara Carlos; Nuno Brites: Dynamical modelling in randomly varying environments of the size of wildlife populations (and applications in fisheries) and of the size of individual farm animals using stochastic differential equations (SDE). Associated profit optimization issues and statistical issues of parameter estimation and prediction. Also other applications of SDE’s [in finance with Manuela Larguinho mmlarguinho@gmail.com; in time evolution of human death rates (useful in insurance and social security) with Sandra Lagarto sdlagarto@gmail.com].braumann@uevora.pt; pasf@uevora.pt; clara.carlos@est.barreiro.ips.pt; brites@uevora.pt

A2: Stochastic Processes, Time Series Analysis and Space-time Modeling

Gonçalo Jacinto: Modelling and Performance evaluation of ADHOC and Sensor Networks. Estimating Internet traffic using the partial information of the network, obtained by probe packets. gjcj@uevora.pt

Dulce Gomes; Patricia Filipe: Application of Time Series and Dynamic Regression analysis to the Pulmonary Tuberculosis incidence rates incidence in Portugal. Modelling of Pulmonary Tuberculosis Delay-Time in Diagnosis, using Structured Additive Regression models and Survival Analysis methodologies. dmog@uevora.pt; pasf@uevora.pt

Industry and Efficiency analysis, Finance, etc.

B1: Sampling elusive populations and parameter estimation Life Science: Agriculture, Fisheries, Social and Demographic issues, etc.

Russell-Alpizar ; Anabela Afonso: Methods for estimating animal abundance and related parameters, model development, and estimators assessments. Applications to mountain ungulate populations, human populations and “computer bugs”.alpizar@uevora.pt; afonso@uevora.pt

B2: Multivariate Data Analysis and Experimental Designs Life Science:  Forestry, Wildlife, Agriculture, Public Health, Medicine, Genetics, Epidemiology, Network, Cognitive maps, Education,etc,

Manuela Oliveira: Development of mathematical models to characterize wildfires and to estimate its probability of occurrence as well as its damages. Development statistical models to identify relevant indicators of different cancers. AVC problems. Theory of risk models in natural disasters. Statistical inference in linear mixed models. Bayesian inference with TRI model in Education problems. mmo@uevora.pt

Dulce Pereira: Developments in JRA - Joint Regression Analysis. Comparison of JRA and AMMI models. Dulce Pereira; Anabela Afonso: assessing Friedman’s test and post-hoc analysis performance. Multivariate data analysis in Foresty and Biology dgsp@uevora.ptManuel Minhoto: Selection of variables in the context of Exploratory Analysis of a Data Matrix and General Linear Models. minhoto@uevora.pt

B3: Quality Control and Survival Analysis Industry

Paulo Infante; Anabela Afonso; Gonçalo Jacinto: Introducing new sampling schemes in control charts (for variables, attributes, profile monitoring, risk adjusted) and analyse economic-statistical performance of these control charts considering usual and new comparison criteria. Modeling and monitoring educational data (students performance, duration of the master's thesis, time of administrative procedures) and healthcare data (manchester database, waiting time in the emergency room, survival time of HIV patients, survival time of patients with cancer. Benefits of active aging - collaboration with Évora Municipality; Project AdolesSer for health education for sexual and reproductive health - collaboration with Health Centers Grouping of Alentejo Central. pinfante@uevora.pt

C: Stochastic and Mathematical Physics C1 e C2: Fractional Processes and grey Brownian motion; Infinite particle systems and Polymer Physics

José Luís e Ludwig Streit: Self-avoiding random path models for polymer configurations have been studied extensively in mathematics using combinatorics, stochastic analysis, in statistical mechanics, and in computer physics using Monte Carlo methods. The field is highly interdisciplinary, the motivation came from chemistry, while physics provides structural intuition. The mathematical results are less far-reaching but provide the higher reliability characteristic of the mathematical approach; much remains to be done in the stochastic analysis setting. joses@staff.uma.pt; streit@physik.uni-bielefeld.de

C3. Measurement uncertainty phenomena and Wireless sensors networks

Joaquim Azevedo e João Alves e Sousa jara@uma.pt; jasousa@lrec.pt

International Collaborations

Research Agreement between University of Évora and University of Campinas, Biomathematics Group - Brazil.

Academic and Cultural Cooperation Agreement between University of Évora and University of Costa Rica.

Collaboration with the General Direction for International Cooperation of Cape Verde, General Direction of Planning of Cape Verde and United Nations, and University of Cape Verde.

Forest Science, School of Forest Resources, University of Pennsylvania, U.S.A.

Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, Laurel, Maryland, U.S.A. Department of Statistics, North Carolina State University, U.S.A. University of Zielona Gora and University of Pozna, Poland. University Paul Sabatier, Toulouse, France. University of São Paulo. ESALQ. Piracicaba. University of Jaén, Spain. Participation in SOCRATES/ERASMUS programs (Spain and Poland).

Research projects with PI (principal investigator) or participation of group members (TM) Last 5 years (15)

H2020-MSCA-RISE-2015 / 691149. SuFoRun Models and decision SUpport tools for integrated FOrest policy development under global change and associated Risk and Uncertainty. Marie Curie International Staff Exchange Scheme. PI: Garcia (ISA), TM: M. Oliveira (2011-2014). (2016-2021)

FP7-PEOPLE-2010-IRSES/269257. ForEAdapt-Knowledge exchange between Europe and America on forest growth models and optimization for adaptive forestry. Marie Curie International Staff Exchange Scheme. PI: Garcia (ISA), TM: M. Oliveira (2011-2014).

PTDC/MAT/115168/2009 - Dynamics of epidemiological spreading, PI: Nico Stollenwerg (CMAF,U.Lisboa + U.Évora).TM: C.Braumann, (2011-13)

PTDC/SAU-SAP/116950/2010 - Controlo da Tuberculose Pulmonar em Portugal numa perspectiva espácio-temporal: determinantes, tendências e previsões da incidência em unidades geográficas. Contributo para um programa optimizado. PI: Carla Nunes (ENSP-UNL), TM: D.Gomes and P.Filipe (2012-2014).

PTDC/AGR-FOR/4526/2012. SADRI - Models and Decision Support Systems for Adressing Risk and Uncertainty in Forest Planning. PI: J. Borges (ISA), TM: M. Oliveira (2013-2015) PEC263 . Escolher Ciência da Escola à Universidade. Aplicando Matemática”. Entidade Coordenadora: Universidade de Évora. PI : Joaquim Correia. Ciência Viva. Agência Nacional para a Cultura Cientifica e Tecnológica. TM: M. Oliveira (2013-2015)

PTDC/GEO-FIQ/4178/2012. Eletric and acoustic coupling in rocks mechanical action. PI: H. Gonçalves (UÉ), TM: M. Oliveira Entidade Financiadora: Fundação para Ciência e Tecnologia. (2013-2016)

 

FAPESP Thematic Project. Assessing control of epidemics using mathematical and computer models. : UNICAMP – IMEC /15098-0 project Campinas University, Brazil. PI: Hyun M. Yang. TM: C.Braumann, R.Alpizar-Jara, (2011-16).

Projecto da Fundação Francisco Manuel dos Santos. Determinantes da fecundidade em Portugal.. CIDEHUS da Universidade de Évora. PI: F. Mendes; TM: P. Infante; A. Afonso. 2013-2015

FCT–Bilateral Action Between Portugal and Slovak Cooperação Científica e tecnológica FCT/Eslováquia, 2011/2012–Processo 441.00 Eslováquia. Oportunidade de implementação de ferramentas de Sistemas de Apoio à Decisão na gestão florestal, PI: J.Borges (ISA), TM: M.Oliveira, V.Bushenkov (2011-2012).

PTDC/AAG-MAA/3227/2012 NETPERSIST. Análise de redes na identificação de limiares críticos de conectividade para a persistência de metapopulações em paisagens agrícolas complexas. FCT funded, R.Alpizar-Jara. PI: A. Mira (CIBIO-U.E.). TM: R. Alpizar-Jara. (2012-2015).

Direção Geral da Saúde (Alto Comissário da Saúde) Portugal. Violência, abuso, negligência e condição de saúde dos idosos, PI: M. Lopes (UE)–TM: D.Pereira, (2012).

FCT–Bilateral Action Between Portugal and Slovak . Oportunidade de implementação de ferramentas de Sistemas de Apoio à Decisão na gestão florestal. PI: J.Borges (ISA), TM: M.Oliveira (2011-2012).

PTDC/EIA-EIA/115988/2009 AWARW. Traffic analysis, modelling and measurements for the management of the future Internet. PI: R. Valadas (IST-UNL), TM: G. Jacinto.

Automated acoustic identification of bat species. PI: G. Jacinto - Bat Conservation International, Inc. (BCI), USA, (2011-2012).

Publications

YearBooks

(editor)

 Papers in international scientific periodicals with referee

and Chapter

books

Papers in internation

al conference proceedings

2011-2014 1 62 21

links: University of Évora: cima.uevora.ptUniversity of Madeira: ccm.uma.pt

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