statistics for transparency, accountability, results and transformation

The South Africa I know, the home I understand

Statistics for Transparency, Accountability, Results and Transformation

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MandateMandateStatistics fulfils a vital role as a decision support system

o System of planning – roadmap to achieve long-term goalso System of monitoring and evaluation – to know and understand

status of progress against goals and targetso System of evidence and accountability for the state:

Informs planning and policy development Monitors progress and evaluate performance Communicate the efficacy of the development agenda Enable citizens the right/entitlement to participate in

democracy

Stats SA has the statutory mandate to: o Produce official statisticso Coordinate the production of official and other statistics within the

South African National Statistics System (SANSS)o Disseminate and be guarantor of use


Risk mapRisk map

CPI basket (2001)

GDP (1998)

SASA (2005)

Risks (2001)

• What was our response?

• Did we act with speed? • Did these risks eventuate?

• How have we mitigated these risks?

Disseminate(2012)

Labour statistics

(2006)

NSS (2001)

Geography(2009)

Collection methods

(2011)

ICOTS (2003)

Stats Act(2014)

Succession(2012)

Race discourse

(2013)

Business Register(1998)

Post 2015 - MDG

(2014)


Risks eventuatedRisks eventuated

CPI basket (2001)

Risks (2001)

• CPI debacle in 2003• Impact: Loss of credibility• Estimated R50 billion to government and R10 billion to private sector

Disseminate(2012)

• 2001 – 2005 qualified audit opinions• 2001/02 disclaimer

• Failure of evidence to reach the audience indirectly leading to:o Public protestso Loss of life o Loss of propertyo Wrong choices

ICOTS & SASA

• Failure to impact on maths teaching and appreciation at schools• Levels of statistical competence among Blacks and Coloureds still leaving a lot to be desired


What have we done?What have we done?


Strategy mapStrategy mapIn

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Statisticalproduction

Governance & Administration

Technology & Infrastructure People

Statistical Coordination & Support

Out

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iden

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Out

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Employment

Manufacturing

ServiceDeliver

yConstruction

Transport

Agriculture

Trade

Finance

Mining

Utilities

Population

Increased use of statistical information as evidence in:

PlanningPlanningPolicy

developmentPolicy

development Monitoring &Evaluation

Monitoring &Evaluation

Decision-making

Decision-making

Education

Impa

ct

on

Soci

ety

Impa

ct

on

Soci

ety A Better Life for All

Improved service Improved service

deliverydelivery

Economic growth & Economic growth &

transformationtransformationDecent Decent

jobsjobs

Healthy Healthy lifelife

People are & People are & feel safefeel safe

Statistical Frames

Organisation


Investing in peopleInvesting in people

Schools level (Maths4Stats – training of teachers, Census@School – school curriculum adopted)

Tertiary level (KZN, Stellenbosch, Wits, UCT)

Inside Stats SA (Internship, e-learning, bursaries, leadership training, statistical training )

Empowering partners in the NSS & Continent (Certificate in official statistics, Statistical methodology)


Governance & AdministrationGovernance & Administration

Unqualified audit

Improved systems, processes & policies (E.g. Invoice Tracking System; ICT governance framework)

Integrated planning and reporting(Programme & project planning & reporting)

Enterprise risk management (Strategic and Operational risks)

Management systems (Use of Management Performance Assessment Tool)


Statistical productsStatistical products

Manufacturing

Business services

Construction

Transport, storage &

communication

Agriculture, hunting,

forestry & fishing

18 releases

25 releases25 releases



1 release1 release

Trade

Finance

Mining & Quarryin

g

Electricity, Gas & Water





Tourism 25 releases25 releases

GDP

Quarterly

Annual

Understanding Economic growth & transformation

171 releases



Introduced

new CPI

methodolog

y in 2009

Consumer Price Index

12 releasesProducer Price Index

12 releasesRe-engineered

PPI published

In 2013

Understanding Price changes

12 releases

Understanding Employment, Decent work and Job creation

Quarterly Employment

Survey4 releases4 releases

Quarterly Labour Force Survey

4 releases

Annual Report

Introduced

new QLFS

methodology

in 2008



General Household Survey

12 releasesNon-financial Survey of Municipalities

1 Release

Understanding Poverty and Service Delivery

1 Release

Understanding Education

Countrywide almost 85% of households

had access to electricity

Income & Expenditure Survey 1 Release

Census 2011

General Household Survey

Quarterly Labour Force Survey

Statistical system: Partnering with

Dept of Basic Education

Census of Schools(Limpopo &

Eastern Cape)

Living Conditions Survey 3 Release



Mortality and Causes of Death

12 releases Other Vital statistics

1 Release

Understanding Health

16 releases

Understanding Crime

Tuberculosis has been the leading cause of death over the past 10 years

Statistical support to Department of Health

Victims of Crime Survey

Statistical support to SAPS:o Data quality policy on Crime Statisticso Statistical support and adviceo Training in SASQAF

Statistical system: Partnering with

SAPS

1 release1 release

2 reports2 reports



Census 2011

Key achievements

Released results: 30 October 2012 (within 12 months)

Various platforms: Roambi, Mobi, other androids, web portal, cd’s, print

Key products:

- My Ward, My Councillor- Digital Atlas- My Village, My Suburb (Ikaya)- Umkhanyakude (new data portal)


Statistical coordinationStatistical coordination

Addressing the information gap Census of Schools, data mining , integrative statistical and geographical products, engaging experts and researchers, MDG process

Addressing the quality gap SASQAF Statistical support and advice to various organs of state including SAPS, provincial governments, municipalities, Home Affairs, Transport, DPME, Tourism

Addressing the skills gap CRUISE, E-learning, training in statistical competencies, training municipalities in use of statistical products


Communicate, Disseminate and UseCommunicate, Disseminate and Use

CommunicateCommunicated results; created good public awareness of the organisation and products; trained media

DisseminateCreated various platforms for dissemination to increase access (Umkhanyakude, Roambi etc)

UseDeveloped specialised products (My ward, My Councillor etc)ISIbalo Annual Symposia and ISIbalo Annual Lecture Series


Impact on SocietyImpact on Society

Increased statistical literacy?(increasing rationale for making decisions)

Results used for transparency and accountability? (Statistics for Transparency, Accountability, Results and Transformation)

Used in the planning environment? (baseline information for NDP)

Increased knowledge, understanding and use by the leadership, citizens and state

Used in the monitoring and evaluation environment?(measuring development and impact)


Going forwardGoing forward


Strategic intentStrategic intentIn

vest

in le

arni

ng

and

grow

th

Inve

st in

lear

ning

an

d gr

owth

Busi

ness

es

proc

esse

sBu

sine

sses

pr

oces

ses

Stati

stica

l pr

oduc

tsIn

spa

ce

Stati

stica

l pr

oduc

tsIn

spa

ce

Statisticalproduction

Governance & Administration

Technology & Infrastructure People

Statistical Coordination & Support

Out

com

e:Ev

iden

ce fo

r de

cisi

ons

Out

com

e:Ev

iden

ce fo

r de

cisi

ons

Employment

Manufacturing

ServiceDeliver

yConstruction

Transport

Agriculture

Trade

Finance

Mining

Utilities

Population

Increased use of statistical information as evidence in:

PlanningPlanningPolicy

developmentPolicy

development Monitoring &Evaluation

Monitoring &Evaluation

Decision-making

Decision-making

Education

Impa

ct

on

Soci

ety

Impa

ct

on

Soci

ety A Better Life for All

Improved service Improved service

deliverydelivery

Economic growth & Economic growth &

transformationtransformationDecent Decent

jobsjobs

Healthy Healthy lifelife

People are & People are & feel safefeel safe

Statistical Frames

Organisation


Invest in learning and growthInvest in learning and growth

Statistical literate society (Schools level: Maths4Stats – training of teachers, Census@School – Adopt a school)

Statistical and technical competency (Tertiary level: KZN, Stellenbosch, Wits, UCT et)

Institution building (Strategy, governance and accountability = predictable & sustainable)

Statistical leadership and management(Fundamental principles of Official Statistics, Charter on Statistics in Africa and legislative reform)


Statistical production, coordination & useStatistical production, coordination & use

Frames (Business register; Geospatial Information Frame)

Standards and classification (SNA 2008; SEEA 2012; NCA; ISIC4; SASQAF )

Statistical production (innovative collection methods - CPS; GDP expenditure approach; Large scale Community Survey; small area estimation)

Statistical coordination (SAPS; Education; CRVS; Municipalities, certification)

Communication, dissemination and use(Outreach, Technology; engage & train users)


PrioritiesPrioritiesUrgent

• Dissemination and use (levers: municipalities and schools)• Community Survey /Continuous Population Survey (Income and expenditure, poverty, service delivery information) • GDP: Expenditure side• Frames (business register, spatial info frame, master sample)• Legislative review (policy document & Amendment Bill)• Designate statistics as official (SASQAF)• Statistical coordination (NSDS, Administrative records – Education, SAPS, Agriculture)• International standards (SNA2008; ISIC4; SEEA)• Post 2015 Agenda (MDGs)• New building

Maintain & Improve

• Price statistics• Economic growth and transformation statistics• Population statistics• Financial statistics• Employment statistics (harmonisation)• Governance and management information systems• Quality and methodology• International statistical development & support

Museum value

• 100 years of statistical practice• 20 years of statistics in democracy• Geographic statistical areas• Historical time series

Innovate & Invest

• Collection & dissemination methods (including technology)•Maths4Stats/Census@School• Research & development• ISIbalo statistics training & development programme


STARTSTART

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Transformation is action in unison to drive change for the better

Statistics are numerical facts for statecraft

Transparency is a pre-audit to ensure predictability

Accountability is taking responsibility and accepting consequences

Results allow parties to read the same facts


Step change to STARTStep change to START

T

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statistics for transparency, accountability, results and transformation

Documents