statistics and more*

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STATISTICS AND MORE* Danielle Jespersen Heather Crume Jessica Geiss Christina Mudrick * Learn how to avoid inaccurate and misguiding statistics & figures

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Statistics and more*. Danielle JespersenHeather Crume Jessica Geiss Christina Mudrick. * Learn how to avoid inaccurate and misguiding statistics & figures. Advertising*. *results not typical. Shows how someone can lose 40 lbs. in a year. “Results not typical” Before & After Trick - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Statistics and more*

STATISTICS AND MORE*

Danielle Jespersen Heather CrumeJessica Geiss Christina Mudrick

* Learn how to avoid inaccurate and misguiding statistics & figures

Page 2: Statistics and more*

ADVERTISING**results not typical

Page 3: Statistics and more*

Shows how someone can lose 40 lbs. in a year

Page 4: Statistics and more*

“Results not typical”

Before & After Trick (smaller picture of the ‘before’)

Page 5: Statistics and more*

FALSE ADVERTISIN

G

Claims to “fight acne and reduce blemishes in under 8 hours”

Page 6: Statistics and more*

Before & After Trick (the after picture is smiling)

“Dramatization of typical results”

Page 7: Statistics and more*

Not proportionate

pie charts:-makes the prediction for carbon emissions in 2025 seem much higher because of its enlarged size compared to 1995

Page 8: Statistics and more*

Boasts of 7x less breakage

Page 9: Statistics and more*

*Fructis Strength & Repair Shampoo vs. market-leading shampoos.**in a brushing test comparing the Fructis Strength & Repair System to a non-conditioning shampoo.***The Garnier Fructis Strength & Repair System of Shampoo, Conditioner and Deep Conditioner

Page 10: Statistics and more*

“Up to 7x more moisture”

Page 11: Statistics and more*

*System of Vive Pro Hydra Gloss Shampoo and

Conditioner versus non-conditioning shampoo

Page 12: Statistics and more*

STUDY: WOMEN LESS

ABLE TO SUPPRESS

HUNGER THAN MEN

Page 13: Statistics and more*

A study was done by Jack Wang and colleagues at Brookhaven National Laboratory to determine why some overeat and gain weight while others do not.

A group of men and women were asked to fast overnight. The next day they were presented with their favorite foods, while using a technique they had been taught called cognitive inhibition to suppress thoughts of hunger and eating. Both men and women said the technique decreased their hunger; however the brain scans that were being used showed that the men’s brain activity actually decreased while the women’s brain activity continued to respond to the food.

  The conclusion: “Faced with their favorite foods,

women are less able than men to suppress their hunger, a discovery that may help explain the higher obesity rate for females”

Page 14: Statistics and more*

Reasons given as to why women reacted this way: Different nutritional needs for men and women since the

traditional role of the female is to provide nutrition to her child

Estrogen related hormones

Additional Studies Used: “Weller was a co-author of a recent paper in the journal

Neurolmage that studied women’s brains when participants were shown pictures of food. They found that obese women had a much stronger reaction than normal-weight women in brain regions related to reward.” 

“Wang noted that behavioral studies have shown that women have a higher tendency than men to overeat when presented with tasty food or under emotional stress.

Page 15: Statistics and more*

THE REAL PICTURE…

Page 16: Statistics and more*

Sample: 13 women & 10 men (Good representation of the world population or even the United

States?)  Does not say exactly how many men’s brain activity decreased

and how many women’s remained active.(Why would you generalize and not state the exact statistics?)  35.3% of American women obese

33.3% of American men obese(According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention)

(Big enough difference to need to explain the higher obesity rate for females?)

All of the reasons given are speculative and do not have any tests to back them up

(But they sure sound convincing!)   How many participants were in Weller’s studies? How many and which behavioral studies is Wang quoting? How reliable are they?

Page 17: Statistics and more*

Various Inconsistencies: Wang believes obesity is increasing because of

changes in society-food is more temping than in earlier generations and more is available-sounds all right…

(But is food only available and appetizing to women?)

Study funded by the National Institute on Drug Abuse, National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, and by the General Clinical Research Center of Stony Brook University.

(Why are the first two interested in a study unrelated to themselves?)

Page 18: Statistics and more*

MONTY HALL PROBLEM

Page 19: Statistics and more*

Let’s Make a Deal

? ? ?

Page 20: Statistics and more*

GOAL: PICK THE DOOR THAT HIDES THE CAR

1/3 1/3 1/3

Page 21: Statistics and more*

ONE DOOR WITH A GOAT IS OPENED....DO YOU SWITCH THE DOOR YOU CHOSE??

Page 22: Statistics and more*

THE MISCONCEPTION…50/50 CHANCE Don’t switch:

1/3 chance you chose the car2/3 chance you chose a goat

Switch:2/3 chance of choosing a goat; since the

door opened is always a goat, if you had chosen the goat and switch, you will automatically get the car

1/3 chance that you had originally selected the car, and in this case, switching would result in winning a goat

Page 23: Statistics and more*
Page 24: Statistics and more*

THEREFORE….It is not a 50/50 chance once one door is opened

Statistics show you should switch:67% chance you’ll switch to the

car33% chance you’ll switch to a

goat

Page 25: Statistics and more*

MANIPULATION**still mathematically correct

Page 26: Statistics and more*

TRIANGLE OPTICAL ILLUSION

Page 27: Statistics and more*
Page 28: Statistics and more*

IS THE PRIUS HYBRID THAT “MPG” EFFICIENT, ECONOMICAL AND RELIABLE?

Page 29: Statistics and more*

THE EVER POPULAR TOYOTA PRIUS HYBRID…IS SHE REALLY THAT “MPG” EFFICIENT, ECONOMICAL AND RELIABLE? The Prius Hybrid has been deemed the most

fuel efficient car in America, topping the charts at 48 mpg highway in 2007.

Its clean burning hybrid engine which combines the power of a battery and gasoline, is sweeping car buyers off their feet.

The 2009 Prius gets 60 mpg highway according to EPA estimates!

Sounds Great right? prius commercial

Page 30: Statistics and more*

THE “NON-GUZZLER” TURNS FOR THE WORST

There seems to be a bit of a problem with the eco, budget friendly Prius according to recent consumer reports.

One owner complained that her Prius Hybrid started out with 45mpg highway then over time it went down to 29 mpg!

One owner’s fuel light went on, his owner’s manual said he had roughly 80 miles or so left before he had to pull into a station. WRONG the car broke down after 20 miles driving with the fuel light on!

What happened to the hybrid’s astounding gas mileage?

Page 31: Statistics and more*
Page 32: Statistics and more*

HOW COULD RESEARCHERS DO THIS?IS IT CAR TROUBLE OR THE ESTIMATES?

Although the EPA and government ratings are at 60mpg for the 2009 Prius Hybrid, these amazing numbers are only estimates. That is the problem.

Consumers are expecting to get a concrete number, however that is apparently not the case.

Should researchers estimate mpg? It seems to make consumers unhappy.

With the recent problems consumers are experiencing, it is easy to blame the EPA with false advertising, but who is to be taken into account for the loss in mpg?

Page 33: Statistics and more*

THE END