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State ownership and banks’ information monopoly rents:
Evidence from Chinese data
ADSTRACT
In a lending relationship, banks with an information monopoly charge higher interest rates.
State ownership in banks and borrowing firms has a bearing on this relationship. On the one
hand, state-owned enterprises (SOEs), suffering from worse information asymmetry and
inefficient risk-taking, tend to get stuck with incumbent banks. On the other hand,
state-owned banks place less emphasis on the information production, and hence are less
likely to benefit from information monopoly compared to profit-maximizing private banks.
To investigate the hypotheses, we use equity initial public offering (IPO) as the information
releasing event, and the loan interest rate decline around the IPO as the proxy of pre-IPO
information monopoly rent. With proprietary loan-level data from China, we find SOEs
experience a larger decline in their loan interest rates around their IPOs, the
central-government-controlled Big Four banks exhibit a smaller decline in rates they charge,
and their interest rate declines concentrate in loans made to SOEs.
Keywords State Ownership, Information Monopoly Rent, Loan Interest Rate, IPO, Banking
Relationship
JEL G21; G24; G32
Jan 15, 2018
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1. Introduction
The conventional wisdom about lending holds that banks are relationship lenders who
acquire proprietary, firm-specific information about the borrowers through screening
and monitoring services to overcome the information asymmetry (e.g., Diamond, 1984;
Allen, 1990). A dark side of banks’ information production is that it creates an
informational gap between incumbent banks and outside banks. A firm seeking to
switch banks may be perceived by uninformed outsiders as a “lemon” regardless of its
true financial condition. This gives incumbents monopoly power to “hold up” the
borrowers and charge high interest rates (Sharpe, 1990; Rajan, 1992). Recent studies,
such as Santos and Winton (2008), Hales and Santos (2009) and Schenone (2010), use
loan data in the United States and provide empirical evidence of banks’ information
monopoly rent.
This paper, focusing on China’s banking market where state-owned companies and
banks are heavyweight players, seeks to understand whether information monopoly rent
exists in such a market, and how state ownership influences this rent. We argue that
state-owned enterprises (SOEs) are subject to greater hold-up costs, because of the three
features of SOEs that differentiate them from privately-owned companies.
First, the objective function of SOEs is not, at least not solely, profit maximization;
rather it has a focus on providing social services (Baumol, 1984). Bai, Lu and Tao (2006)
contend that SOEs in China pursue two goals simultaneously: financial profits and
social stability. This dual objectives problem makes it more difficult to monitor and
evaluate managers. Second, the public ownership in SOEs is nontransferable, which
“inhibits the capitalization of future consequences into current transfer prices and
reduces owners’ incentives to monitor managerial behavior” (De Alessi, 1980). In other
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words, the public lacks the incentive to monitor performance of SOEs. And third, SOEs
enjoy implicit government guarantees, that is, bailouts may be available in case of
financial distress.
Both the dual objectives and nontransferable public ownership of SOEs hinder
monitoring and cause greater information asymmetry. Consistent with this, prior
research shows that state ownership is associated with lower financial reporting quality
and financial transparency (Bushman, Piotroski, and Smith, 2004; Guedhami, Pittman,
and Saffar, 2009). In a lending relationship, greater information barriers are more
costly to overcome for potential competitor banks, benefiting the incumbent banks.
Implicit government guarantees further exacerbates the adverse selection problem in the
credit market, because the perception is then SOEs should have no difficulties receiving
loans from incumbent banks, and only the worst “lemons” would seek funds from
outsiders.
Another unintended effect of implicit government guarantees is that SOEs are
subject to the classical moral hazard problem in that their managers and private
shareholders benefit from risk-taking but may not bear the cost of financial distress.
SOEs also tend to make investment decisions that are financially inefficient, thanks to
their dual objectives.1 As a result, SOEs often hold a majority of the nonperforming
loans (NPLs) in China’s banking system.2 Recovery of these NPLs from SOEs incurs
tremendous time and financial costs, often ending up with substantial loan write-offs
following long-term gridlock.3
Thus SOEs might represent greater risks to
1 For instance, SOEs in China are subject to restrictions on, among others, firing workers, and hence are slow to
terminate unprofitable projects. 2 For instance, PwC in a December 2015 report attributes the rapid increase in NPLs to the RMB 4 trillion financial
stimulus in 2009, a majority of which flew to SOEs, and industrial over-capacity, which inflicted SOEs particularly
badly. 3 According to the China Banking Regulatory Committee (CBRC), China’s banks had written off more than 2 trillion
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profit-maximizing banks, despite the implicit government guarantees. Consistent with
this judgement, China’s banks assign significantly lower internal credit ratings to SOEs
than non-SOEs (Qian, Strahan, and Yang, 2015). Rajan (1992) theorizes that firms
with greater risk should suffer more from informational hold-up problems, because
outside banks are less willing to bid on loans perceived risky.
In a nutshell, SOEs, compared to non-SOEs, suffer from worse information
asymmetry. The adverse selection problem they face is exacerbated by the implicit
government guarantees. The government protection coupled with dual objectives lead to
SOEs’ inefficient risk-taking. All these factors indicate SOEs would be subject to
greater information monopoly rents in the credit market.
China’s banking sector also features government ownership and interventions. The
four largest commercial banks4, often dubbed as the Big Four, are controlled by the
central government and pursue social welfare maximization rather than firm value
maximization (Sapienza, 2004; Iannotta, Nocera, and Sironi, 2013). 5
Intuitively,
information production is needed in the lending relationship only if both banks and
borrower firms are independent and profit-maximizing (Bailey, Huang, and Yang, 2011).
Unlike other commercial banks that have widely dispersed ownership structures often
without a controlling owner, the Big Four place more emphasis on political and social
goals (Berger, Hansen, and Zhou, 2008), and hence their lending decision-making is less
likely based on the borrowers’ creditworthiness. For this reason, the quantity and quality
of proprietary information the Big Four acquire might be lower, and so would
information monopoly rents they are able to charge. yuan ($308 billion) during the three years preceding Jun 2016. 4 The Agricultural Bank of China (ABC), the China Construction Bank (CCB), the Bank of China (BOC), and the
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), combined held about half of the industry assets as during
2003-2012 and made 60 percent of loans in our sample. 5 See the ultimate controllers of Chinese commercial banks in Appendix Table A1.
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The lending relationships between the Big Four banks and SOEs are especially
interesting, as the common political and social goals could bring them into the loan
transactions. As a matter of fact, nearly half of loans the Big Four make go to SOEs, and
this fraction is much higher than that for non-Big Four banks.6 In such SOE-Big Four
transactions, impacts of state ownership on both parties would play a role in
determining the cost of loans. On the one hand, the high risk and information
asymmetry of SOEs impede them from switching to alternative lenders, suggesting high
information monopoly rents. On the other hand, the shared political and social goals
diminish the importance of information production, which would lead to lower
information monopoly rents. The net effect is thus an empirical issue.
Based on the above analyses, we make two hypotheses about the information
monopoly rents in China’s credit market.
1) Holding all else constant, SOEs are subject to greater information monopoly rents
than non-SOE firms.
2) Holding all else constant, the Big Four banks enjoy smaller information monopoly
rents than non-Big Four banks, especially when loans are to non-SOE borrowers.
Our investigation is based on a proprietary, loan-level dataset that spans the period
May 1996 through December 2014. The dataset contains detailed information of 10,534
traditional loans to private and public firms in China. In order to detect information
monopoly rents in a bank-firm relationship, we compare the loan pricing before and
after the firm’s IPO, in the same spirit of Hale and Santos (2009) and Schenone (2010).
In these studies, IPOs serve as major information releasing events that level the playing
field among banks and erode incumbent banks’ information monopoly. A decline in the
6 See Appendix Table A4.
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cost of loans around the IPO indicates an information monopoly rent prior to the IPO.
We measure the loan cost by the percentage interest rate spread, namely, the
difference of a loan’s interest rate from China’s benchmark interest rate, as a percentage
of the benchmark. Overall, SOEs exhibit a greater decline in the spread around IPOs
(4.27%) than non-SOEs (1.47%). After controlling for loan, firm and bank
characteristics, an average SOE’s spread decline is 2.33 percentage points greater than
that of a non-SEO firm, consistent with our expectation. With similar controls, the
declines in the Big Four’s interest rate spreads around the borrowers’ IPOs are on
average 1.80 percentage points lower than those of non-Big Four banks, also consistent
with our expectation. This effect is concentrated on loans made to non-SOEs: the Big
Four’s spread decline is 3.36 percentage points lower than non-Big Four banks. In
contrast, for loans made to SOEs, the Big Four’s spread decline is 3.01 percentage
points larger than that of other banks. This result indicates that the high switching costs
of SOEs in China outweigh the low information advantage of the Big Four, allowing the
later to fetch higher information monopoly rents from the banking relationships with
SOEs.
Competing, but not necessarily conflicting, interpretations of the loan rate decline
around IPOs include IPO’s risk effect and cash flow effect. The former holds that an
equity IPO lowers the firm’s debt ratio and financial risk, which in turn leads to lower
credit cost (Pagano et al., 1998; Hsu et al., 2010). The latter argues that certification by
investment banks (Carter and Manaster, 1990) and increased investor recognition could
lead to higher future cash flows and hence reduce credit cost. We control for these
factors by incorporating capital structure, underwriter reputation and analyst coverage in
the model and obtain the same results.
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Alternatively, the SOE vs. non-SOE discrepancy in loan rate decline may arise due
to ownership structure changes of SOEs around IPOs. In an IPO, an SOE brings in new
owners, likely private investors, swaying the objective function towards profit
maximization. Increased profit maximization incentives may drive the firm to more
aggressively negotiate loan terms, resulting in a larger drop in loan rate.7 Inconsistent
with this conjecture, though, we find that SOEs with an increase or a minor decrease in
state ownership experience greater interest rate declines after IPO than those with a
major decrease in state ownership. When we exclude those SOEs with a major drop in
state ownership, we still find that SOEs experience significantly greater loan rate
decline than non-SOEs. Hence the interest rate decline is not attributable to the change
in state ownership around IPOs.
We have considered the potential influence of interest rate liberalization in China
on banks’ information monopoly rent.8 Relaxation in interest rate regulation expands
banks’ pricing capacity, incentivizes their information production, and may ultimately
entrench or compromise incumbent bank’s information advantage. After controlling for
the interest rate liberalization, our findings do not change.
Our results are also robust to alternative sample selections, with different time
periods around the IPO, and with the restriction that sample loans are from the same
banks around the IPO. In addition, we use the matched sample approach to control for
the potential endogeneity of IPO decisions and the results remain qualitatively the same.
Despite the accumulating evidence of banks’ information monopoly rents, all
investigations thus far consider a developed market in which profit-maximizing,
7 We thank an anonymous referee for this suggestion. 8 Commercial banks in China could set their lending rates between a floor rate and a ceiling rate during 1996- 2004.
The ceiling was removed in 2004 and the floor removed in 2013. See details of the evolving process of regulation on
loan interest rates in China in appendix Table A3.
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privately-held companies are domiciled. Very little is known about how banks and
borrowing companies interact to determine the cost of loans in an environment where
either party may have incentives other than pursuing maximum profits for its private
owners. Our paper represents the first peek into the lending relationship confounded by
government ownerships and interventions. It complements and extends the existing
literature of relationship banking (Petersen and Rajan,1994; Degryse and Van
Cayseele ,2000; Bharath et al.,2011; López-Espinosa, Mayordomo and Moreno,2016;
Prilmeier, 2017), and explores yet another implication of state ownership in business
management. While promoting social welfare, state ownership undercuts the efficiency
of both banks and borrowing firms in that it weakens banks’ incentive to information
production and yet enhances borrowers’ cost of debt.
The rest of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 provides the background of
the Chinese banking market. Section 3 describes our variables and methodology. Main
results are presented in Section 4. Section 5 concludes.
2. Overview of China’s banking market
Government intervention in the credit market is perceived as very common in
China (Berger et al., 2009; Jia, 2009). For a long time the People Bank of
China(hereafter PBOC), the central bank in China, limited the commercial banks’
pricing capacity on both deposits and loans by setting target interest rates along with
upper and lower bounds. In other words, Chinese banks could set the interest rates only
within the floating range on interest rates. Interest rates regulation has been gradually
relaxed over time. Prior to May 1996, lending institutions had to provide credit at the
exact interest rates mandated by the PBOC. During May 1996 through October 2004,
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the central bank designated both ceilings and floors for interest rates on loans made by
different types of lending institutions to different types of borrowing companies. The
ceiling and floor rates are set as certain percentage of a benchmark rate that depends on
loan maturity. For instance, in May 1996, the benchmark interest rate for a one-year
loan is 10.98%, and the ceiling rate for loans made by commercial banks to small-sized
enterprises is 110% of the benchmark, and the floor rate is 90% of the benchmark. The
interest rate ranges were expanded a few times during this period. In October 2004, the
PBOC eliminated the ceilings on interest rates for commercial banks' lending. In July
2013, ceilings and floors were removed for all bank loans, and banks gained full pricing
capacity.9 The interest rate regulation typically repressed the price of credit, which
leads to excessive demand. As a result, quantity-based control such as credit rationing,
in the forms of borrower rationing or loan size rationing, became widespread
(Kirschenmann, 2016). In such a credit environment, interbank competition is perceived
as very low, and borrowers would prefer to be “locked-in” with relationship banks.
Another salient characteristic of China’s banking sector is the state ownership of
banks. Compared to smaller lending institutions, the four largest, state-owned
commercial banks are subject to more government intervention in their credit decisions.
Although government intervention makes state-owned banks less efficient and have
poorer asset quality (e.g., La Porta et al., 2002; Barth et al., 2004), the Big Four still
dominate the banking market in China. According to the 2015 Almanac of China’s
Finance and Banking, during 2010-2014 the Big Four on average owned over 40% of
industry assets. Other players in China’s credit market include 12 joint-stock
commercial banks, city commercial banks, rural credit unions, and others.
9 Appendix Table A3 demonstrates the evolving process of regulation on loan interest rates in China.
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The Big Four differ from other players not only in size but also in ownership
structure. The actual controller of the Big Four banks is the central government
(Ministry of Finance), while non-Big Four banks have no controlling owner or are
controlled by provincial or city governments, enterprises, or individual investors.
Appendix Table A1 provides the information about actual controllers of China’s banks.
Bai et al. (2006) argue that compared with local governments, central governments care
more about social stability and would impose higher level of restrictions and
intervention on affiliated banks. In addition, Big Four banks have far larger percentages
of state ownership than others. Using data from banks’ annual reports and the
Bankscope database, Gao et al. (2017) show that the average and median state
ownership of the Big Four are over 10 times of those of non-Big Four banks. The
contrast in ownership structure means non-Big Four banks are probably subject to
substantially less political interference and behave more like profit-maximizers (Ferri,
2009).
The third defining feature of China’s banking market is the existence of
state-owned borrowers. Despite their dwindling number, SOEs still play an important
role in the economy.10
Extant evidence indicates that SOEs and non-SOEs receive
discriminative treatments in a state-dominated banking system (Brandt and Li, 2003;
Cull and Xu, 2003; Firth et al., 2009; Guariglia et al., 2011). Because state-owned banks
seek political and social goals similar to SOEs (e.g., Sapienza, 2004; Iannotta, Nocera,
and Sironi, 2013), they prefer to lend to SOEs over non-SOEs. In the event of financial
distress, the governments always channeled fiscal resources to state-owned firms to
keep them afloat. Government officials have an incentive to assist SOEs to obtain bank
10 According to Wind database, SOEs generated 38 percent of the industrial output in 2003, and this ratio declined
slowly to 22 percent in 2014.
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loans because they could gain political capital from the success of SOEs (Li and Zhou,
2005; Wang et al., 2008).
3. Data and Variables
3.1. Data
The sample construction starts with identifying the 1,704 IPOs on the Shanghai
Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange between 1999 and 2012. We then
manually collect these firms’ loan data prior to and after their IPOs. The pre-IPO loan
data are obtained from IPO prospectuses. The Chinese Securities Regulatory
Commission requires that a firm preparing to go public must disclose its loan contracts
information. This information typically includes the name of bank, the loan amount and
maturity, the interest rate, and other covenants of the loan contracts. We obtain the
post-IPO loan data from these companies’ annual reports, wherein details of loans are
typically available in notes to the financial statements. We collect loan data only for the
three years immediately following the IPO, because Pagano et al. (1998) find that the
information effects of IPO hold for no more than three years. For symmetry we use
pre-IPO loan data during the three years prior to the IPO. The sample thus obtained is
the first ever to have loan-level price information on China’s credit market. 11
For
robustness we also use loan data in only one year prior to IPO and one year post-IPO to
conduct our examinations.
In addition, we extract the firm-specific data from the China Stock Market and
Accounting Research (CSMAR) database as well as the Wind database. Bank-specific
information is from the BankScope database.
11 Extant studies on Chinese loan markets use yearly aggregate firm-level data from the China Stock Markets and
Accounting Research Database (CSMAR) (e.g. Chen et al., 2013), rely on loan-level datasets provided by a few
state-owned banks (Chang et al., 2014; Qian et al., 2015), or focus on non-price terms of the post-IPO loan contracts
( Xu et al., 2015; Gao et al.,2017).
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Following Hale and Santos (2009) and Schenone (2010), we exclude 32 financial
firms, 947 firms with only pre- or post-IPO loans, and 230 firms for which our control
variables are missing. This leaves us 10,534 loans for 495 IPO firms during 1996-2014,
with an average of about 21 loans per firm. Of these loans, 5,491 (52.1%) are made
pre-IPO, and 5,052 (48.9%) are made post-IPO; 3,690 (35.0%) are borrowed by SOEs,
and the rest by non-state-owned firms; 6,395 (60.7%) are made by the Big four banks,
and the rest by the non-Big Four banks. Appendix Table A4 shows the distribution of
loans in various categories.
3.2. Variables
Our main interest is in the change in interest rates on bank loans around IPOs.
Instead of the actual interest rate, we focus on the percentage spread (Spread), measured
as the difference in interest rate from the benchmark interest rate set by the PBOC as a
percentage of the benchmark rate.12
Because the benchmark rate reflects the PBOC’s
assessment of market conditions and differs for loans of different maturities, the spread
to some extent controls for market conditions and loan maturity. It is calculate as
*100 (1)
Actual interest rate Bechmark interest rateSpread
Bechmark interest rate
To capture the interest rate changes around IPOs, we create a dummy variable,
PostIPO, that takes the value of one for a loan that is made after the borrower firm’s
IPO, and takes the value of zero if made before the IPO. We also use two dummy
variables to differentiate different types of borrowers and lenders: SOE is equal to one
for loans of state-owned firms, and zero otherwise; Big4 is equal to one for loans made
12 Note this spread is relative to the benchmark interest rate set by the PBOC, different from those used in the
literature (e.g., Santos and Winton, 2008; Hale and Santos, 2009; Schenone, 2010) that are relative to LIBOR.
Besides, we use the percentage spread rather than the raw spread as the baseline measure. The rational is that the
actual interest rates in China’s banking market are often cited as a percentage of the benchmark rate. The PBOC set
ceilings and floors for interest rates also as certain percentages of the benchmark rate. For instance, a ceiling of 1.1
means the maximum interest rate is 110% of the benchmark.
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by the Big Four banks, and zero otherwise.
In the baseline model, we control for major loan, firm, and bank relationship
characteristics that are known to influence loan interest rates. Loan characteristics
include the maturity (Maturity), the loan amount (Amount), and whether a loan is
secured (Secured). Secured is equal to one if a loan has collaterals or guarantors, and
zero otherwise. Firm characteristics include firm age (Age), size (Size), asset tangibility
(Tangible), investment return (ROA), financial leverage (Leverage), and earnings
volatility (Earnings volatility). Size is measured as the logarithm of total assets in
millions of constant RMB yuan of year 1990. Asset tangibility is the sum of inventories
and plant, property and equipment as a ratio to total assets. Financial leverage controls
for the decline in financial risk of the borrower firm around IPO thanks to the equity
capital raised. Following Boubakri et al. (2013), earnings volatility is found as standard
deviation of operating profit margin (EBIT/Assets) in rolling periods of three preceding
years and proxies for the borrower’s operating risk. In robustness checks, we further
consider the post-IPO information asymmetry by bringing in IPO underwriter reputation,
analyst coverage, and information disclosure quality of the borrower firm to make sure
the loan rate declines around IPOs we document reflect the extent to which incumbent
banks’ information advantage dissolves.
We measure a firm’s banking relationship with the following three variables. At the
loan level, we follow Schenone (2010) to define Relationship intensity as the number of
loans a bank has made to the firm as a ratio to the total number of loans the firm has
received from all banks. At the firm level, we measure its Loan concentration in a year
as the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) of bank shares. HHI proxies for the intensity
of competition among banks for a firm’s business; a higher HHI value corresponds to
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less competition for incumbent banks. At the bank level, we compute the share of a
bank (Bank share) in each of its borrowers’ total loan amount during a year. This
variable captures a bank’s competitiveness in securing business from its existing clients.
In addition, we control for the changes in China’s credit market conditions using
three dummy variables, Liberalization I,Liberalization II, and Recession. The first two
captures the process of interest rate liberalization in China during the sample period.
Liberalization I is equal to one for loans taken after the PBOC removed the ceilings for
commercial bank loans on October 28, 2004 but before the PBOC completely
eliminated the control on loan interest rates on July 19, 2013, and zero otherwise.
Liberalization II is equal to one for loans after July 19, 2013. The interest rate
liberalization may have mixed effects on banks’ information monopoly rents: it gave the
banks greater pricing capacity, encouraging information production of incumbents for a
consolidated advantage, and at the same time inspires pricing competition from
outsiders. Recession is equal to one for loans taken in recession periods. Santos and
Winton (2008) and Mattes et al. (2012) show that banks take greater information
monopoly rents during abnormal financial periods when increased uncertainty
magnifies difficulties of outside capital suppliers in evaluating the quality of borrowers.
Following them, we identify two recession periods using the Early Warning Index of
Macroeconomic Climate13
, respectively from July 1997 to October 2002, and from
January 2012 to December 2014.
[ INSERT TABLE 1 ABOUT HERE ]
13 The Early Warning Index of Macroeconomic Climate is a monthly index that measures the probability with which
the economy is in a recession using three categories of economic variables after the removal of measurement errors as
well as seasonal and other short-term fluctuations. In vein of Santos and Winton (2010) and Mattes et al. (2012), we
identify a recession as a period when the Early Warning Index is below its long-run average for at least four
consecutive quarters.
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Table 1 provides detailed variable definitions. Statistic summary of the variables in
our sample is presented in Table 2. The actual interest rate averages 6.04% and ranges
between 0.6% and 14.94%. Spread on average is negative at -0.114, indicating the
actual loan rates are merely 0.114 percent, or 0.7 basis points, lower than the average
benchmark rate. The median spread is zero. However, actual rates can be widely
deviated from the benchmark, with the spread ranging from -66.93 percent to 50 percent.
About 48% of loans in our sample are made after borrowers’ IPOs. Thirty five percent
of them are loans to SOEs, and the Big Four make 60.6% of the loans. Loan maturity
ranges from about a week (0.017) to 25 years, with an average of about 2 years and a
median of 1 year. Thus roughly half of the loans are short-term loans. The average loan
amount is 41.81 million yuan. About three fourth of the loans are either collateralized or
guaranteed.
An average borrower firm is 6.8 years old, with total assets of 4.247 billion yuan
and a ROA of 7.8%. Tangible assets and debt account for 42.7% and 44.7%,
respectively, of the firm’s total assets. Earnings volatility averages 0.104.
The HHI measuring loan concentration at the firm level averages 0.338, ranging
from nearly zero to one. Relationship intensity has a mean of 0.404, indicating that for
an average loan, its bank has made two loans out of every five loans the firm has
received. More than 10 percent of the loans are from banks which have not lent any
loans to the borrower in the prior years. For a bank, on average it provides funds to its
clients that amounts to 30.8 percent of their total borrowing in a year.
[ INSERT TABLE 2 ABOUT HERE ]
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4. Results
4.1. Changes in loan and firm characteristics around the IPO
Table 3, Panel A presents the comparison of loan spread and other characteristics
around borrowers’ IPOs. Pre-IPO loans have on average a positive spread of 0.989%,
while post-IPO loans’ average spread is negative at -1.314%, representing a decline of
2.303 percentage points that is statistically significant at the one percent level. If the
benchmark rate is 6%, then such a decline amounts to 14 basis points. According to the
literature, this decline in loan spread is indicative of the information asymmetry rents
banks charge. For loans of SOEs, this decline in spread is 4.274 percentage points,
much larger than that for loans of non-SOEs (1.470 percentage points), consistent with
our conjecture that SOEs suffer from greater information asymmetry rents. After a firm
goes public, loan maturity lengthens and the amount increases, and fewer loans need
collaterals or guarantees, all consistent with IPOs moderating information asymmetry of
issuing companies.
Panel B presents the changes in banking relationship characteristics around IPOs.
An average firm’s loan concentration (HHI) is 0.356 prior to its IPO, which declines to
0.318 after the IPO. Relationship intensity also declines from 0.427 to 0.378. At the
bank level, a bank’s average loan share declines from 0.362 to 0.335. Thus a firm use
loans from more banks post-IPO, as predicted by the theory. Notably, the decline in
SOEs’ loan concentration (-0.060) is more pronounced than that in non-SOE firms’;
relationship intensity for SOEs’ loans declines more (-0.106) around IPOs than for
non-SOE borrowers; banks’ shares in SOE loans also witness a greater decline (-0.039)
than that in non-SOE loans (-0.025). These comparisons all point to that SOEs’
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borrowing opportunities improve after the IPO by a larger degree than non-SOE firms,
indicating that the hold-up problem prior to their IPOs is more severe for SOEs.
[ INSERT TABLE 3 ABOUT HERE ]
4.2. State ownership and Cost of Bank Loan around IPO
Table 4 reports the first set of multivariate tests that investigate the determinants of
loan interest rate. Specifically, we estimate the following model,
𝑆𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑑𝑖𝑗𝑡 = 𝛼𝑖 + 𝛾𝑡 + 𝛽1𝑃𝑜𝑠𝑡𝐼𝑃𝑂𝑖𝑗𝑡 + 𝛽2𝑆𝑂𝐸𝑖𝑡 + 𝛽3𝑃𝑜𝑠𝑡𝐼𝑃𝑂𝑖𝑗𝑡 × 𝑆𝑂𝐸𝑖𝑡
+ 𝛿𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑜𝑙𝑠 + 휀𝑖𝑗𝑡 (2)
where i, j, and t are subscripts for borrower firm, lending bank, and year of the loan,
respectively. The dependent variable is the interest rate spread. Main explanatory
variables are PostIPO, the indicator of a post-IPO loan, SOE, the indicator of a SOE
firm, and their interaction. Control variables include loan characteristics, firm
characteristics, and banking relationship characteristics. Firm and year fixed effects are
controlled for.
In column (1) we run the regression in the full sample, and PostIPO is the variable
of interest. It receives a negative coefficient of -1.415, statistically significant at the one
percent level. It indicates that, holding all else constant, an average firm’s loan spread
declines by 1.415 percentage points after its IPO. Assuming a 6 percent benchmark
interest rate, this represents a rate decline of 8.5 basis points. As the IPO disseminates a
large amount of information to the credit market, we interpret this rate decline as
evidence of information monopoly rents prior to the IPO in the Chinese banking market.
To examine whether state ownership influences information monopoly rents, we
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run the same regression in the subsample of SOE loans and non-SOE loans, separately,
and report the results in column (2) and column (3), respectively. In the SOE subsample,
the coefficient on PostIPO is -3.059, statistically significant at the one percent level; in
contrast, in the non-SOE subsample, this coefficient is much lower in magnitude, -0.857,
which is not statistically different from zero. This contrast indicates SOEs suffer from
more severe information monopoly rents, consistent with our hypothesis. To verify this
finding, we run a regression in which SOE, an indicator variable that is equal to one for
loans of SOEs and zero otherwise, as well as its interaction with PostIPO, are brought
in. Column (4) presents the results. PostIPO receives a coefficient of -0.972, that is of
marginal significance statistically. This coefficient captures the information monopoly
rents charged on non-SOE borrowers. The coefficient on SOE is negative but not
statistically different from zero. The interaction term between SOE and PostIPO obtains
a negative and statistically significant coefficient of -1.575, capturing the difference
between SOEs and non-SOE firms in spread decline around the IPOs, corroborating the
subsample regression results. Assuming a 6% benchmark interest rate, this coefficient
indicates that the raw interest rate decline around IPO for SOEs is 9.5 basis points larger
than for non-SOEs. In short, the results show that firms are able to borrow from banks
at lower interest rates after their equity IPOs, thanks to the information releasing effect
of IPOs, and SOEs enjoy greater interest rate declines than their non-SOE peers,
consistent with our hypothesis.
[INSERT TABLE 4 ABOUT HERE ]
Most control variables load in the regressions, speaking for their impacts on cost of
bank loans. Among firm characteristics, we find that the percentage spread decreases
with the loan maturity. This negative association is probably mechanical because a same
19
raw spread represents a smaller percentage spread for a longer term loan with a greater
benchmark interest rate. The spread decreases as the loan amount increases, consistent
with the economies of scale in loan size (Hale and Santos, 2009; Fields et al., 2012).
Secured obtains a negative coefficient, because collaterals and guarantees are sought
only for riskier credits (e.g., Berger and Udell, 1990). Coefficients on firm
characteristics are well expected, showing that firms that have more tangible assets and
lower leverage enjoy lower interest rates. It is worth noting that the inclusion of
financial leverage controls for the decline in financial risk thanks to the equity capital
raised in the IPO. Earnings volatility and loan concentration both load positively,
indicating that riskier firms and firms facing low bank competition pay higher cost for
their loans. Relationship intensity does not load. A potential interpretation is that loan
concentration is an alternative measure of the strength of banking relationship, which
subsumes the effect of relationship intensity observed in Schenone (2010).
4.3. Robustness checks
4.3.1. Alternative samples
We check the robustness of the above results in this section. First, we shorten the
length of window for each sample firm from six years around its IPO, i.e., three years
pre-IPO and three years post-IPO or the [-3,3] period, to two years around the IPO, i.e.,
one year pre-IPO and one year post-IPO or the [-1,1] period. This change shrinks the
sample size but minimizes the variations in loan interest rate attributable to factors not
related to the IPO information releasing event. We run the same regressions as above
the reports the results in Table 5, columns (1)-(3). In the subsample of SOE loans,
20
PostIPO receives a statistically significant coefficient of -3.597; in the subsample of
non-SOE loans, the same coefficient is -1.417, statistically different from zero. In the
full sample regression augmented with the SOE indicator variable and its interaction
with PostIPO, PostIPO barely loads and the interaction term loads with a negative
coefficient of -0.972. These results are qualitatively identical to those in Table 4.
In a second check, we restrict our sample to only loans that have counterpart loans
from the same banks in the other time period across the IPO event. To illustrate, assume
firm A has a loan from Bank M and a loan from Bank N during the three years prior to
its IPO, and a loan from Bank M during the three years post-IPO. Then only the two
loans from Bank M will be kept and the loan from Bank N drops out. This additional
restriction ensures that we compare interest rates between the same bank-firm pairs
during the pre- and post-IPO periods. The results remain qualitatively unchanged as
presented in columns (4)-(6) in Table 5.
[ INSERT TABLE 5 ABOUT HERE ]
4.3.2. Alternative interpretation: Change in ownership structure
Besides information monopoly power of incumbent banks, the change in ownership
structure of SOEs may give rise to the SOEs vs. non-SOEs discrepancy in loan rate
decline we have documented. As we discussed, SOEs pursue both financial and social
goals. In an IPO, an SOE sells newly-created and/or existing shares to new investors,
including other state-owned institutions and corporations, privately-owned institutional
investors and individual investors. If private investors gain greater influence on the
SOE’s business decisions, they will move its objective towards profit maximization.
Increased profit maximization incentives then could drive managers to become more
21
aggressive negotiators when dealing with banks, which in turn would lead to a drop in
the loan interest rate. Non-SOEs, however, are already profit maximizers before IPOs,
and probably won’t experience a similar change in incentives or the interest rate.
To examine this alternative interpretation, we first tabulate the ownership structure
of SOEs in our sample pre- and post-IPO in Appendix Table A2. Panel A shows that
only 4 out of 150 SOEs changed their ultimate controllers within 3 years after IPO. Yet,
all the 4 new ultimate controllers are a government. In other words, all SOEs remain
state-owned post-IPO and still facing the dual objectives problem. Out of all SOEs in
our sample, 20 experienced a non-negative change in state ownership, and the rest
decreased their state ownership. State ownership declines by less than 20% for 36 firms,
by greater than 40% for 15 firms, and by an extent between 20% and 40% for 79 firms.
We then consider the interest rate declines around IPOs given various levels of
change in state ownership and report the results in Table 6. First, we divide all SOEs
into two groups: Group 1 includes those that experienced an increase or minor decrease
(less than 20%) in state ownership around IPO, and Group 2 includes those with a major
decrease (over 20%) in state ownership. If ownership structure change is the cause of
interest rate decline, we would expect Group 2 SOEs exhibit greater rate declines
around IPO. Regressions of interest rate spread on PostIPO and all control variables, as
shown in the first two columns of Table 2, produce negative and statistically significant
coefficients on PostIPO, indicating both groups of SOEs witness a decline in loan cost
after IPO. However, the coefficient for Group 1 (-4.083) is greater in magnitude than
that for Group 2 (-3.253), inconsistent with the conjecture that ownership structure
change matters. To further attack this issue, we run the Equation (2) regression in
subsamples that include SOEs with a nonnegative change in state ownership and
22
non-SOEs (Column 3). The result is very similar to the baseline results reported in Table
4. The coefficient of SOE×PostIPO is -5.209, statistically significant at the one percent
level, confirming that in absence of a decline of state ownership, SOEs on average
experience a markedly larger decline in loan rate. In Column 4, we exclude from the
sample only those SOEs with a state ownership decline greater than 40%, and the
results are qualitatively similar. Thus we can conclude that the consideration of
ownership structure does not alter our main findings, i.e., greater information monopoly
causes SOEs’ interest rates to decline by more after IPO.
[ INSERT TABLE 6 ABOUT HERE ]
4.3.3. More alternative interpretations
Loan interest rates may go lower post-IPO as the result of a decline in perceived
risk of issuer firms. Pagano et al. (1998) and Hsu et al. (2010) point out that equity
issuance lowers the issuer’s debt ratio, enhances its ability of service existing debt, as
well as raise its debt capacity. The reduced financial risk would lead to lower cost of
debt. This effect would cause a similar decline in interest rates around IPO as the
relationship banks’ information monopoly rents. In all our prior investigations, we
control for a borrower firm’s financial risk using its debt-to-asset ratios and earnings
volatility both before and after its IPO. Both variables load positively, consistent with
the positive relationship between financial risk and cost of credit. Untabulated
comparison show that our sample firms on average exhibit a drop in both debt ratios and
earnings volatility post-IPO, indicating post-IPO firms do have reduced financial risk.
However, these findings do not subsume our information monopoly rent interpretation.
Underwriter reputation could exert a certification effect (e.g., Carter and Manaster,
23
1990), and analyst coverage following IPOs would lead to improved investor
recognition. One can argue that both may positively contribute to IPO firms’ future cash
flows and give rise to lower interest rates. The results in Table 10 show that our findings
about information monopoly rents remain intact in the presence of underwriter
reputation and analyst coverage.
4.3.4. Endogeneity of IPOs
Our detection of information monopoly rents hinges on the information
dissemination effect of IPOs. A concern is that IPOs are not exogenous, and in particular,
IPO decisions and the decline in loan interest rates may be driven by a same set of
factors, for example, improved market conditions. If this is the case, then the decline in
loan interest rates cannot be interpreted as the result of IPO information dissemination.
Similar to Hale and Santos (2010), we employ the match sample approach to address
this concern. The idea is that as the treatment sample (the listed firms) are similar to the
control sample (the unlisted firms) in all characteristics but the IPO, the difference in
interest rate patterns between the two matched samples is attributable to the IPO event.
For a firm in our sample, the pool of candidate control firms includes all other firms
in year -2 relative to their respective IPO years. The one-year gap between the control
firm-year and the IPO year minimizes the possibility that the IPO information
dissemination has begun. To prevent overlapping years, we restrict our investigation
period to the one-year period before the IPO date and the one-year after the IPO date,
i.e., the [-1, 1] period. The result is that for any pair of treatment firm and control firm,
we have two years around the IPO for the treatment firm, and two years for the control
firm. For instance, Firm A went public on May 31, 2010 and we have its loan
information during 2007-2013, three years prior to the IPO year and three years
24
following the IPO year. This firm in year 2008 then can be a candidate control firm.
Suppose it is matched to Firm B that went public on Nov 1, 2006. We keep loans of
Firm B during Nov 1, 2015-Oct 31, 2017 as the treatment observations, and use loans of
Firm A during Jun 1, 2007-May 31, 2009 as the control observations.
To find the control firms, we first estimate the Probit model of having the equity
IPO in any given year, using as explanatory variables a set of firm characteristics as
follows,
𝑃(𝐼𝑃𝑂𝑖𝑡) = Φ(𝛼 + 𝛽𝑋𝑖𝑡−1) (3)
where IPOit is an indicator that firm i issued an IPO in year t, Xit-1 is the vector of
aforementioned firm characteristics, and Φ(.) is the cumulative probability density
function of the normal distribution. We use the estimated values of α and 𝛽 to
construct the propensity score for each firm i in year t as the predicted probability of an
equity IPO.
Using this propensity score, we utilize radius matching (Radius=0.01) to match IPO
firms to those that have not yet issued a public equity. We do not force each equity IPO
firm to have a matching non-IPO firm; instead, we drop those IPO firms that do not
have a close match. We also drop the non-IPO firms that are not used as a match for any
IPO firm. Thus, our matched sample consists of only those firms that are similar in their
probability of issuing public equity. In the first attempt, we require that a non-IPO firm
can be used as a control for one IPO firm (one-to-one matching), and obtain 67 pairs of
IPO firms and control firms, with in total 1,282 loans during the [-1,1] periods. In
another attempt, we allow a non-IPO firm to be controls for multiple IPO firms
(one-to-N matching), and find 182 private firms to match 297 IPO firms combined
25
having 3,045 loans. In either the matched sample, we create a dummy variable,
Treatment, that is equal to one for an IPO firm and zero for a match firm.
We then re-run the regression (2) in the matched sample with the additional
interaction between PostIPO and Treatment, and the three-way interaction among SOE,
PostIPO, and Treatment, on the right-hand side. For a control firm, PostIPO is set to
take the value one if the loan is taken in the second half of the two-year period, and take
the value zero if the loan is in the first half of the period. Effectively we assume a
hypothetical IPO date for the control firm that is the day exactly two years prior to its
actual IPO date, and contrast the loan interest rate change around the hypothetical IPO
date of the control firm against that around the IPO date for the IPO firm. The
regression with the two aforementioned interaction terms hence constitute
difference-in-difference tests that can reliably expose the information effect of IPO as
well as whether SOEs are victims of greater information monopoly rents.
[ INSERT TABLE 7 ABOUT HERE ]
Table 7 reports the regression results, with those based on the one-to-one matching
in columns (1) and (2), and those based on the one-to-N matching in columns (3) and
(4). In (1) and (3), the interaction term PostIPO×Treatment loads negatively, which
tells that the interest rate spread declines only around the actual IPOs, confirming the
existence of information monopoly pre-IPO. In (2) and (4), the three-way interaction
term SOE×PostIPO×Treatment also loads negatively, confirming our baseline finding
in Table 4 that SOEs are subject to more severe information monopoly rents. Therefore,
controlling for the potential endogeneity of equity IPO decisions does not alter our
results.
26
4.3.5. Interest rate liberalization
During our sample period, China’s banking sector underwent gradual
liberalization of interest rates, as depicted in Figure 1. The gray area represents the
allowable interest rate range that expands over time. The process exhibits two notable
observations. First, actual interest rates of commercial banks (dotted line) closely track
the official benchmark interest rates (gray line). Second, interest rate spread (solid
line), the percentage gap between actual and benchmark interest rates, fluctuates around
the average value of zero. There is not a discernable pattern how the expansion in
allowable interest rate range influences the interest rate spread.
Theoretically, the impact of interest rate liberalization on banks’ information
monopoly rents is unclear as it provides incentives to both incumbent and outside banks
to engage in information production. On the one hand, interest rate regulation restricts
banks’ pricing capacity. Under such restrictions, banks can earn substantial economic
rent privileged by government authorities (Hutchison and Pennacchi, 1996; Kwan,
2003), but limited monopoly rent involving information advantage, because deficient
loan pricing ability impedes the complete compensation for cost of information
production, which dampens incumbent banks’ information production incentives.
On the other hand, interest rate regulation is also a source of monopoly power for
incumbent banks (Salas and Saurina,2003), as information monopoly rents can be
partially or completely competed away via lower rates offered by outside lenders when
interest rates is liberalized. Besanko and Thakor (1992) find that increased competition
introduced by banking deregulation erodes informational rents associated with
relationship banking.
Despite the ambiguous implication of interest rate liberalization on commercial
27
banks’ loan interest rate, we control for its potential impact by employing two dummy
variables, Liberalization I and Liberalization II, to capture the two major steps in the
process of China’s interest rate liberalization process. Liberalization I takes the value of
one for loans made during the period from October 28, 2004 to July 19, 2013, after the
PBOC removed the ceilings for commercial bank loans interest rates. Liberalization II
is equal to one for loans taken after July 20, 2013, when loan interest rates liberalization
was completed and loan interest rates began to be determined mainly by the market
force.
We add Liberalization I and Liberalization II to the right-hand side of model (2).
Regression results based on three different specifications are in Table 8. In
specifications (1)-(3), neither SEO nor the interaction terms are included; in
specification (4), SOE and its interaction with PostIPO is brought back in. The two
liberalization indicators obtain positive coefficients in the full sample and the SOE
subsample, and load in the latter. They receive negative but insignificant coefficients in
the non-SOE subsample. These results suggest that as banks gain more discretion in
determining loan interest rates, they tend to raise the interest rates for SOEs but cut
those for non-SOE. Our variable of interest is still the interaction term SOE×PostIPO,
which receives a negative and statistically significant coefficient in column (4),
indicating after controlling of interest rate liberalization, SOEs still experience more
pronounced interest rate cuts after their IPOs. Thus the interest rate liberalization does
not undercut our finding that interest rate decline around IPOs is the result of dissolving
information monopoly.
[ INSERT TABLE 8 ABOUT HERE ]
28
4.4. The Big Four banks and information monopoly rents
We then proceed to investigate whether the Big Four banks behave differently from
other banks in exploiting proprietary information they hold of borrowers. Univariate
comparisons are presented in Table 9. In the full sample, loans made by the Big Four
charge a slightly lower spread (-0.821 percentage points) after the borrower IPOs, while
non-Big Four banks lower their loan spreads by a much larger discount of 4.384
percentage points. In the subsample of SOE loans, the Big Four and non-Big Four banks
both witness a decline in interest rate spread of about 4 percentage points. When the
borrowers are non-SOE firms, a stark contrast arises: the Big Four banks’ percentage
loan spreads on average increase by 1.179 percentage points, while those for other
banks decline by 4.581 percentage points. These comparisons seem to suggest that the
Big Four enjoy lower information monopoly rents, especially when they lend to
non-SOE firms.
[ INSERT TABLE 9 ABOUT HERE ]
Table 10 reports multivariate analyses. In these analyses we run a regression that
has Big4, the indicator of a loan from a Big Four bank, and its interaction with PostIPO
as additional independent variables. Our main variable of interest is the interaction term.
Column (1) presents the estimates in the subsample of SOE loans. PostIPO (Big4) has a
negative (positive) but statistically insignificant coefficient, but their interaction term
loads negatively at the five percent level of statistical significance. The sum of the
coefficient on PostIPO and that on the interaction is -4.471, and it is statistically
significant at the one percent level, as shown at the bottom of the table. When a SOE
29
borrows from a non-Big Four bank, its cost of debt does not change significantly around
its IPO; When it borrows from a Big Four bank, its interest rate spread relative to the
benchmark rate declines by 4.471 percentage points. When we consider a benchmark
rate of 6%, this amounts to a decline of 27 basis points in raw interest rate, which is
economically substantial.
When the borrower is a non-SOE firm, PostIPO, Big4, and their interaction all
receive statistically significant coefficients, which are -2.805, -2.012, and 3.357,
respectively, as shown in column (2). The negative coefficient on Big4 indicates that
overall the Big Four banks charge lower rates on non-SOE loans than other banks,
consistent with their role of promoting growth in the economy. When non-SEO firms
borrow from a non-Big Four bank, its interest rate would decline by 2.805 percentage
points after its IPO; if it borrows from a Big Four bank, however, no interest rate
decline can be expected (net effect is 0.552 = -2.805 + 3.357, which is not statistically
significant.)
In column (3), the estimates are for the full sample, including loans to both SOE
and non-SOE borrowers. The results are qualitatively similar to those in column (2), in
that PostIPO and Big4 load negatively, their interaction loads positively, and the sum of
the PostIPO coefficient and the interaction coefficient is not significantly different from
zero. The subsample and full-sample results combined indicate that the Big Four banks
charge information monopoly rents only on SOEs, and overall they enjoy lower rents
than their smaller peers, consistent with our hypothesis.
[ INSERT TABLE 10 ABOUT HERE ]
30
4.5. Controlling for Post-IPO Information Asymmetry
Thus far we have used the IPO as the information releasing event, and interpret the
decline in loan interest rates as the result of vanishing information monopoly. An
implicit assumption is in place for us to compare information monopoly rents across
SEOs vs. non-SEOs, and the Big Four vs. non-Big Four banks: A bank’s information
monopoly, if any, completely vanishes after the borrower IPO. In other words, the IPO
process perfectly eradicates asymmetric information. We acknowledge this is a very
strong assumption as a wide array of stock market evidence show that varying levels of
information asymmetry exist on publicly-listed companies. The decline in loan interest
rate thus captures only the fraction of information asymmetry that is eliminated by the
IPO information dissemination event.
To address this issue, we control for the residual information asymmetry after IPO
using three additional variables: Underwriter reputation, Analyst coverage, and
information disclosure quality. During the bookbuilding procedure that prevails in
China’s IPO market, investment banks acquire information about the issuer quality
through due diligence as well as soliciting indication of interest from informed investors
(e.g., Benveniste and Spindt, 1989; Hanley, 1989; Ljungqvist and Wilhelm, 2002), and
more reputable underwriters produce more information than less reputable ones (Wang
and Yung, 2011). We measure a borrower’ IPO underwriter reputation using the market
share of the lead underwriter during the year (e.g., Beatty and Ritter, 1986; Megginson
and Weiss, 1990 ). Analysts are important information producers (e.g., Hong et al., 2000;
Frankel and Li, 2004) and we use the log of one plus the average number of financial
analysts following a firm after its IPO to capture the post-IPO information asymmetry.
31
Besides, post-IPO information asymmetry depends on the quality of information
disclosure by the publicly-listed companies themselves, as low disclosure quality
creates uncertainty about, among others, the credibility of financial statements (Graham
et al., 2008). We measure information disclosure quality by a dummy variable that is
equal to one if a firm is criticized for or charged with violations of information
disclosure regulations by the stock exchange where its stocks trade, or China Securities
Regulatory Commission (CSRC) in the [-3,3] event window, and zero otherwise.
We re-run all the regressions with the three post-IPO information asymmetry
measures, Underwriter reputation, Analyst coverage and Information disclosure quality,
as additional control variables, in a smaller sample where the values of these variables
are available. Table 11 reports selected regression results but all other results are similar.
While Underwriter reputation and Analyst coverage do not load, Information disclosure
quality obtains positive and statistically significant coefficients; nevertheless, they do
not alter our main results. PostIPO loads negatively in all specifications, SOE×PostIPO
loads negatively in column (2), and Big4×PostIPO loads positively in column (3). Thus
after controlling for post-IPO information asymmetry, SOEs still benefit more from the
leveling of information asymmetry among commercial banks, and Big Four banks lose
more of its information advantage around the borrower IPOs.
[ INSERT TABLE 11 ABOUT HERE ]
5. Conclusion
In this paper, we empirically investigate how Chinese banks exploit the
information monopoly. Theory suggests that an information advantage enables a
32
incumbent bank to hold up borrowers for higher interest rates. Since a large amount of
information about a firm is disseminated at the time of its equity IPO, it will erode the
incumbent bank’s information advantage and force it to cut loan interest rates after the
borrower’s IPO. The decline in interest rates around a firm’s IPO hence indicates the
existence of information monopoly rents banks enjoy prior to the IPO.
As governments own some of borrower firms as well as some of the banks, China’s
credit market provides a unique laboratory to examine how state ownership influences
the cost of credit. We argue that SOEs suffer from worse information asymmetry,
aggravated adverse selection problem, and inefficient risk-taking, stemming from the
dual objective problem, nontransferability of state ownership, and implicit government
guarantees. As a result they often face high switching costs in the credit market and pay
high information monopoly rents to their incumbent lenders. The state-owned Big Four
banks, pursuing political and social goals rather than purely profit maximization, place
less emphasis on information production in the lending process, and hence would enjoy
lower information monopoly rents than their smaller, privately-owned peers, and this
effect is more pronounced when borrowers are non-SOE firms.
Using a large proprietary sample of bank loan contracts in China spanning the
period from 1996 to 2014, we find that loan interest rate spreads (relative to the
benchmark rate set by the central bank) decline after firms undertake their IPOs. This
indicates that Chinese banks overall do enjoy information monopoly rents, despite their
lack of pricing capacity during most of our sample period. SOEs experience
significantly larger decline in loan interest rates around their IPOs than non-SOE
borrowers. The Big Four banks cut their loan rates by a smaller percentage than non-Big
Four banks after the borrowers go public, and the Big Four’s rate cuts are concentrated
33
in loans made to SOEs. All these results are consistent with our expectations, and robust
to a wide array of robustness checks.
Our paper represents the first attempt to understand the lending relationships
confounded by government ownerships and interventions. It extends the existing
literature of banking relationships by providing an institutional angle to view the
variation in information monopoly rents in the credit market. Our findings reveal yet
another implication of state ownership in business management. While promoting social
welfare, state ownership undercuts the efficiency of both parties in the credit market in
that it increases the cost of debt for borrowers and weakens banks’ incentives for
efficient credit allocation.
34
Appendix Table A1. Controllers of banks in China
This table discloses the actual or ultimate controllers of the commercial banks in China since 2004
when Big Four become privatized and publicly listed on both domestic and Hong Kong stock
exchanges.
Data Sources: Banks’ annual financial reports, CSMAR and Bankscope databases.
Bank Name Bank Type Actual Controller(2004-2015)
Bank of China(BOC) Big Four
Ministry of Finance (Through Central Huijin
Investment Co.)
Industrial and Commercial Bank of
China(ICBC)
Big Four Ministry of Finance (Through Central Huijin
Investment Co.)
Agricultural Bank of China(ABC)
Big Four Ministry of Finance (Through Central Huijin
Investment Co.)
China Construction Bank(CCB)
Big Four Ministry of Finance (Through Central Huijin
Investment Co.)
China Merchants Bank(CMB) Non Big Four China Merchants Group
Shanghai Pudong Development
Bank(SPDB)
Non Big Four State Asset Supervision and Administration
Commission of Shanghai
China Everbright Bank(CEB) Non Big Four Central Huijin Investment Co.
Industrial Bank(CIB)
Non Big Four State Asset Supervision and Administration
Commission of Fujian
Huaxia Bank(HXB)
Non Big Four State Asset Supervision and Administration
Commission of Beijing
China Guangfa Bank(CGB)
Non Big Four State Asset Supervision and Administration
Commission of Guangdong
China Bohai Bank
Non Big Four State Asset Supervision and Administration
Commission of Tianjin
Bank of Communications
(BOCOM)
Non Big Four No Actual Controller
China Citic Bank(ECITIC) Non Big Four No Actual Controller
PingAn Bank(PAB) Non Big Four No Actual Controller
China Zheshang Bank(CZB) Non Big Four No Actual Controller
HengFeng Bank(HFB) Non Big Four No Actual Controller
China Minsheng Banking(CMBC) Non Big Four No Actual Controller
City Commercial Banks Non Big Four Urban enterprises, citizens or local
governments
35
Panel A. Change of ultimate controller around IPO
(0, 3)
SOEs 4 4 150
Non-SOEs 3 0 345
All 7 4 495
Pane B. Changes in state ownership for SOEs around IPO
< 50% [50%, 90%] > 90%
≥ 0 20 0 0 20
(-20%, 0) 13 21 2 36
(-40%, -20%) 3 25 51 79
≤ -40% 0 5 10 15
Appendix Table A2. Change in Ownership Structure around IPO
Period relative to IPO date (in years) New state
controller# of firms
State ownership pre-IPOAll
Panel A shows the number of firms whose ultimate controller has changed around IPO. Panel B
shows the changes in state ownership for SOEs around IPO. The data source is CSMAR database
and Wind database, complemented with hand-collected information from firms' prospectuses and
annual reports.
Range of Change
(-1, 1)
0
0
0
36
Appendix Table A3. Loan interest rates liberalization in China
This table shows the process of loan interest rates liberalization in China. Prior to 1996/05/01, loan interest
rates were set as fixed by the PBOC, and banks were completely deprived of loan pricing capacities. On
1996/05/01, the PBOC relaxed its control on interest rates by setting upper and lower bounds for interest
rates around the benchmark rates, forming different floating ranges based on types of banks and borrowers.
The floating ranges were then expanded several times. On 2004/10/29, the PBOC eliminated the ceilings
on loan interest rates for commercial banks' lending. On 2013/07/20, the process of loan interest rates
liberalization in China was completed with PBOC’s final removal of interest rate bounds for all types of
loans. Since then, financial institutions could, in theory, independently decide on lending rates based on
market forces.
Sources: The People ’s Bank of China (PBOC) website (http://www.pbc.gov.cn/).
Floating ranges of loan interest rates
Periods
Commercial banks Urban credit cooperatives Rural credit
cooperatives
Small sized
enterprises
Large and
medium-sized
enterprises
Small sized
enterprises
Large and
medium-sized
enterprises
All
enterprises
-1996/04/30 1 1 1 1 1
1996/05/01-1998/10/30 [0.9, 1.1] [0.9, 1.1] [0.9, 1.1] [0.9, 1.1] [0.9, 1.4]
1998/10/31-1999/08/31 [0.9, 1.2] [0.9, 1.1] [0.9, 1.2] [0.9, 1.1] [0.9, 1.5]
1999/09/01-2003/12/31 [0.9, 1.3] [0.9, 1.1] [0.9, 1.3] [0.9, 1.1] [0.9, 1.5]
2004/01/01-2004/10/28 [0.9, 1.7] [0.9, 1.7] [0.9, 1.7] [0.9, 1.7] [0.9, 2]
2004/10/29-2012/06/07 [0.9, ∞] [0.9, ∞] [0.9, 2.3] [0.9, 2.3] [0.9, 2.3]
2012/06/08-2013/07/19 [0.8, ∞] [0.8, ∞] [0.8, 2.3] [0.8, 2.3] [0.8, 2.3]
2013/07/20 [∞, ∞]
37
Appendix Table A4. Loan distributions in our sample
This table shows the shares of different lenders (the Big Four vs. others) and borrowers (SOEs and
non-SOEs) in our sample. Big4 refer to the four largest, state-owned banks, namely, the Agricultural
Bank of China (ABC), the China Construction Bank (CCB), the Bank of China (BOC) and the
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC). A SOE is a firm whose ultimate controlling
shareholder is a local or central government. Panel A and Panel B presents the distributions in loan
transactions and loan amount, respectively.
Panel A. Distribution of loan transactions
Full sample Pre-IPO Post-IPO
Transactions Percent Loan Percent Loan Percent
SOE
Big4 2673 72.44% 1701 76.11% 972 66.80%
Non-Big4 1017 27.56% 534 23.89% 483 33.20%
Total 3690 100% 2235 100% 1455 100%
Non-SOE
Big4 3719 54.27% 1866 57.31% 1853 51.52%
Non-Big4 3134 45.73% 1390 42.69% 1744 48.48%
Total 6853 100% 3256 100% 3597 100%
Panel B. Distribution of loan amounts
Full sample Pre-IPO Post-IPO
Amount Percent Amount Percent Amount Percent
SOE
Big4 3038.18 69.10% 1682.82 73.79% 1355.35 64.05%
Non-Big4 1358.55 30.90% 597.834 26.21% 760.71 35.95%
Total 4396.73 100% 2280.66 100% 2116.07 100%
Non-SOE
Big4 4644.36 53.82% 2235.86 56.05% 2408.50 51.90%
Non-Big4 3985.44 46.18% 1753.39 43.95% 2232.05 48.10%
Total 8629.81 100% 3989.25 100% 4640.55 100%
38
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41
Variable Definition
Actual Interest rate The loan’s raw interest rate.
SpreadThe difference of a loan interest rate from the benchmark interest rate set by the
People's Bank of China, expressed as a percentage of the benchmark rate,
Post IPO A dummy variable, equal to one if loan takes out after firm’ s equity IPO, and zero
otherwise.
SOE A dummy variable, equal to one if the ultimate controlling shareholder of a borrower is
the central government or a local government, and zero otherwise.
Big4 A dummy variable, equal to one for the loans made by the four first tier commercial
banks in China: Agricultural Bank of China (ABC), the China Construction Bank
(CCB), the Bank of China (BOC) and the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China
(ICBC), and zero otherwise.
Maturity Loan maturity, measured in years.
AmountThe log of one plus loan amount, where the loan amount is in millions of constant
RMB yuan of year 1990.
SecuredA dummy variable equal to one if the loan has collaterals or guarantors, and zero
otherwise.
Age The number of years since incorporation.
ROA Net income divided by assets.
Tangible Inventories plus plant, property, and equipment over assets.
Size Log of assets in millions of constant RMB yuan of year 1990.
Leverage Total debt over assets.
Earnings volatility The standard deviation of EBIT-to-asset ratio in rolling periods of three preceding
years.
Loan concentration The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) on total banking lending in a year.
Following Schenone (2010), Relationship intensity is defined as:
Bank share A bank’s loan share in a borrower’ total loan amount in a year.
Liberalization I A dummy variable, equal to one for loans taken after 2004/10/28, when the PBOC
removed the ceiling for commercial bank interest rates (See Table A2), and before
2013/07/19, when the PBOC completely removed the restrictions on interest rates,
and zero otherwise.
Liberalization II A dummy variable, equal to one for loans taken after 2013/07/19, when the PBOC
completely removed the restrictions on interest rates, and zero otherwise.
Recession A dummy variable, equal to one for loans taken during recession periods, Jul 1997 to
Oct 2002, and Jan 2012 to Dec 2014.
Underwriter reputation Market share of the IPO lead underwriter in China's IPO market during the year.
Analyst coverage Log of one plus the average number of analysts following the firm in the three years
after its IPO.
Information disclosure
quality
a dummy variable, equal to one if a firm is criticized for or charged with violations of
information disclosure regulations by the stock exchange where its stocks trade, or
China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) in the [-3,3] event window, and
zero otherwise.
Post-IPO information asymmetry variables
Time variables
Table 1. Variable Definitions
Banking Relationship Characteristics
Relationship intensity
Loan Characteristics
Firm Characteristics
𝑒𝑙𝑎𝑡 𝑜𝑛𝑠 𝑝 𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑠 𝑡 = 𝑡 𝑡 𝑡
𝑖 𝑡 𝑡
𝑠𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑑 = 𝑡 𝑖 𝑡 𝑡 𝑡 − 𝑖 𝑡 𝑡 𝑡
𝑖 𝑡 𝑡 𝑡 × .
42
Table 2. Summary statistics
The sample includes 10,534 loans during 1996-2014 for 495 firms that had their IPOs during
1999-2012. This table reports summary statistics for loan, firm, banking relationship characteristics
and time variables. Variables are as defined in Table 1. Loan amount and firm size (total assets) are
in millions of constant RMB yuan of year 1990.
Variable Mean Median Std. Dev. Min Max Obs.
Actual Interest rate 6.036 5.900 1.447 0.006 14.940 9,857
Spread -0.114 0.000 7.011 -66.930 50.000 10,534
PostIPO 0.479 0.000 0.500 0.000 1.000 10,534
SOE 0.350 0.000 0.477 0.000 1.000 10,534
Big4 0.606 1.000 0.488 0.000 1.000 10,534
Loan Characteristics
Maturity 2.047 1.000 2.174 0.017 25.000 10,534
Amount (million yuan) 41.81 135.11 15.31 0.020 4,402.76 10534
Secured 0.744 1.000 0.437 0.000 1.000 10534
Firm Characteristics
Age 6.781 5.920 4.656 0.001 26.500 9,656
ROA 0.078 0.064 0.091 -1.153 1.418 9,656
Tangible 0.427 0.398 0.222 0.002 0.974 9,656
Size (million yuan) 4,247 11,993 1,564 75 136,752 9,656
Leverage 0.447 0.458 0.166 0.004 0.943 9,656
Earnings volatility 0.104 0.089 0.077 0.013 0.811 9,656
Bank Relationship Characteristics
Loan concentration 0.338 0.273 0.275 0.000 1.000 10,534
Relationship intensity 0.404 0.333 0.310 0.000 1.000 10,534
Bank share 0.308 0.233 0.245 0.000 1.000 10,534
Time variables
Liberalization I 0.696 1.000 0.460 0.000 1.000 10,534
Liberalization II 0.019 0.000 0.136 0.000 1.000 10,534
Recession 0.234 0.000 0.424 0.000 1.000 10,534
43
Table 3. Loan and banking relationship characteristics: pre- vs. post-IPO
This table presents the comparison in loan and banking relationship characteristics between pre-IPO and
post-IPO subsamples. Spread is measured as a percentage above or below the benchmark interest rate set by the
People's Bank of China. Maturity is the loan maturity measured in years. Amount is the log of one plus loan
amount in millions of constant RMB yuan of year 1990. Secured is dummy variable equal to one if the loan is
collateralized or guaranteed. Relationship intensity measures the strength of banking relationship as a loan is
made. Loan concentration measures a firm’s bank loan concentration using the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index.
Bank share is a bank’s average share in its borrowers’ total loan amount. The mean values are presented for all
loans, and for loans of SOEs and those of non-SOEs, in the full sample period, and in the pre-IPO period and
post-IPO period, separately. T-tests are conducted to test the differences between the pre-IPO mean and the
post-IPO mean. *,
** and
*** mark statistical significance at the 10, 5, and 1 percent levels, respectively.
Full period Pre-IPO Post-IPO Difference t value
Panel A: Loan Characteristics
Spread
All Loans -0.114 0.989 -1.314 -2.303*** -6.923
SOE -0.566 1.119 -3.154 -4.274*** -7.182
Non-SOE 0.129 0.900 -0.570 -1.470*** -3.637
Maturity ( years)
All Loans 2.046 1.749 2.370 0.621*** 14.801
SOE 2.328 2.132 2.628 0.496*** 6.099
Non-SOE 1.895 1.486 2.265 0.779*** 16.348
Amount
All Loans 1.236 1.142 1.337 0.196*** 19.672
SOE 1.192 1.020 1.454 0.434*** 22.166
Non-SOE 1.259 1.225 1.290 0.065*** 5.911
Secured
All Loans 0.744 0.785 0.698 -0.087*** -10.310
SOE 0.713 0.782 0.607 -0.175*** -11.708
Non-SOE 0.760 0.788 0.735 -0.053*** -5.118
Panel B: Banking Relationship Characteristics
Loan concentration
All Loans 0.338 0.356 0.318 -0.038*** -7.128
SOE 0.316 0.339 0.279 -0.060*** -6.329
Non-SOE 0.350 0.368 0.333 -0.035*** -5.356
Relationship intensity
All Loans 0.404 0.427 0.378 -0.050*** -8.307
SOE 0.441 0.483 0.376 -0.106*** -9.863
Non-SOE 0.384 0.390 0.378 -0.012 -1.611
Bank share
All Loans 0.349 0.362 0.335 -0.027*** -4.615
SOE 0.338 0.353 0.314 -0.039*** -3.880
Non-SOE 0.355 0.368 0.343 -0.025*** -3.440
44
Table 4. State ownership and cost of bank loans around IPOs
This table presents the fixed-effects estimation of the regression of interest rate spread on explanatory
variables. The sample is the 10,534 loans for 495 firms that had their IPOs during 1999-2012. For each
firm, all loans in the three years prior to the IPO and the three years post-IPO are included. The dependent
variable is Spread, the percentage interest rate spread relative to the benchmark interest rates set by the
PBOC. PostIPO is equal to one for a loan taken after the firm’s IPO, and zero otherwise. SOE is equal to
one a firm whose ultimate controlling shareholder is a local or central government. Loan, firm, and bank
relationship characteristics as well as time variables are controlled for. In parentheses t statistics are
reported. *,
**, and
*** mark statistical significance at the 10, 5, and 1 percent levels, respectively.
All SOE Non_SOE All
(1) (2) (3) (4)
PostIPOijt -1.415***
-3.059***
-0.857 -0.972*
(-2.80) (-3.02) (-1.42) (-1.71)
SOEit -1.426
(-1.33)
SOEit ×PostIPOijt -1.575***
(-2.70)
Maturityijt -1.084***
-1.006***
-1.174***
-1.093***
(-11.47) (-6.62) (-9.36) (-11.55)
Amountijt -0.234 -1.975***
0.711 -0.207
(-0.61) (-3.02) (1.51) (-0.54)
Securedijt 3.106***
4.296***
2.605***
3.083***
(7.42) (5.12) (5.38) (7.36)
Ageit-1 -0.219 2.028***
-1.417***
-0.204
(-0.52) (2.74) (-2.75) (-0.48)
Sizeit-1 3.349**
8.351**
0.254 2.963**
(2.30) (2.10) (0.16) (2.01)
ROAit-1 -4.668 -1.662 -3.580 -4.106
(-1.45) (-0.14) (-1.07) (-1.27)
Tangibleit-1 4.170**
-2.515 6.598**
3.968**
(2.24) (-0.87) (2.38) (2.13)
Leverageit-1 5.454***
11.979***
5.554* 5.635
***
(2.76) (3.52) (1.93) (2.85)
Earnings volatilityi 4.709**
6.099* 3.013 3.893
*
(2.02) (1.66) (1.58) (1.90)
Loan concentrationit 1.503* 0.755 2.611
** 1.377
*
(1.81) (0.51) (2.53) (1.66)
Relationship intensityijt 0.014 -1.433 0.917 0.032
(0.02) (-1.41) (1.34) (0.06)
Recessionijt 4.984***
4.351***
8.199 4.670***
(3.75) (3.07) (1.28) (3.48)
Constant Yes Yes Yes Yes
Firm fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes
Loan year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes
00 Post SOEsPostH : = (p -value) 0.000
N 9,656 3,112 6,544 9,656
R2 0.449 0.437 0.467 0.450
45
Table 5. State ownership and cost of bank loans around IPOs: Alternative samples
This table presents the fixed-effects estimation of the regression of interest rate spread on explanatory
variables in two alternative samples. The first alternative sample includes loans during only one year
before the IPO and one year post-IPO and the results are displayed on the left. The second alternative
sample includes loans during three years before and three years after IPO but only from banks that lend to
the firm both pre- and post-IPO. The dependent variable is Spread, the percentage interest rate spread
relative to the benchmark interest rates set by the PBOC. PostIPO is equal to one for a loan taken after the
firm’s IPO, and zero otherwise. SOE is equal to one a firm whose ultimate controlling shareholder is a
local or central government. Loan, firm, and bank relationship characteristics as well as time variables are
controlled for. In parentheses t statistics are reported. *,
**, and
*** mark statistical significance at the 10, 5,
and 1 percent levels, respectively.
1 year pre- and 1 year post- IPO
pre- and post-IPO loans from the
same banks
SOE Non_SOE All SOE Non_SOE All
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
PostIPOijt -3.597***
-1.417**
-1.594***
-3.450***
-0.917 -1.072*
(-2.88) (-2.24) (-2.63) (-2.84) (-1.44) (-1.73)
SOEit -8.967 -8.944
(-1.38) (-0.66)
SOEit×PostIPOijt -0.972* -1.602
*
(-1.91) (-1.85)
Maturityijt -1.185***
-0.270* -0.656
*** -1.035
*** -0.434
** -0.700
***
(-5.97) (-1.82) (-5.55) (-5.21) (-2.32) (-5.38)
Amountijt -2.074***
-0.462 -1.130***
-2.795***
-1.190**
-1.697***
(-2.85) (-0.85) (-2.61) (-3.21) (-2.03) (-3.50)
Securedjt 5.702***
2.138***
3.000***
5.420***
1.376**
2.570***
(5.68) (4.19) (6.55) (5.06) (2.36) (4.99)
Ageit-1 2.767**
-1.942***
-0.348 2.147**
-2.167***
-0.619
(2.55) (-2.77) (-0.59) (2.00) (-2.98) (-1.04)
Sizeit-1 1.911* 7.881
*** 1.027
*** 9.704
* 1.527 5.245
***
(1.92) (3.51) (5.68) (1.91) (0.81) (2.99)
ROAit-1 -2.066 -1.409* -1.653
** 7.205 -0.282 0.225
(-1.41) (-1.77) (-2.08) (0.45) (-0.06) (0.05)
Tangibleit-1 -1.502***
4.713 -0.955 -6.267* 5.800
* 2.632
(-3.69) (1.40) (-0.46) (-1.82) (1.93) (1.30)
Leverageit-1 1.129***
4.100 1.924 8.869**
2.638 3.182
(2.64) (1.18) (0.86) (2.06) (0.86) (1.47)
Earnings volabilityi 3.588**
2.861***
3.477***
2.890 1.202* 1.224
**
(2.06) (3.24) (3.75) (1.28) (1.93) (2.39)
Loan concentrationit 1.004 -3.954***
-4.532***
4.127**
2.839**
3.036***
(0.45) (-2.58) (-3.75) (2.26) (2.40) (3.10)
Relaitonship intensity ijt 0.042 -0.440 -0.262 2.728* 0.274 0.832
(0.04) (-0.56) (-0.40) (1.87) (0.34) (1.17)
Recessionijt 3.928**
5.072 3.813***
6.216***
1.656 6.221***
(2.46) (0.88) (2.67) (3.56) (0.24) (4.03)
Constant Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Firm fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Loan year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
00 Post SOEsPostH : = (p -value) 0.000 0.002
N 1,511 3,116 4,627 1,853 4,022 5,875
R2 0.539 0.596 0.564 0.493 0.438 0.451
46
Table 6. Excluding SOEs with major declines in state ownership
This table presents the fixed-effects estimation of the regression of interest rate spread on explanatory variables
in the sample excluding SOEs with a major decline in state ownership after IPO. The dependent variable is
Spread, measured as a percentage difference in loan interest rate from the benchmark interest rate. PostIPO is
equal to one when firm’s loan is taken after the IPO, and zero otherwise. SOE is equal to one a firm whose
ultimate controlling shareholder is a local or central government. Loan, firm, and bank relationship
characteristics as well as time variables are controlled for. In parentheses t statistics are reported. *,
**, and
***
mark statistical significance at the 10, 5, and 1 percent levels, respectively.
SOEs w/ state
ownership
change > -20%
SOEs w/ state
ownership
change < -20%
All firms except for
SOEs w/ state
ownership
change < 0
SOEs w/ state
ownership change
< -20%
PostIPOijt -4.083**
-3.253**
-0.857 -1.230**
(-2.47) (-2.31) (-1.64) (-2.08)
SOEijt -5.779 15.296
(-0.35) (0.90)
SOEijt×PostIPOijt -5.209***
-2.961**
(-3.13) (-2.37)
Maturityijt -0.472* -1.550
*** -1.121
*** -0.922
***
(-1.80) (-8.35) (-9.34) (-8.30)
Amountijt -1.484 -2.444***
0.852* 0.481
(-1.38) (-3.03) (1.89) (1.12)
Securedijt 8.617***
3.833***
3.273***
3.066***
(5.57) (3.86) (6.93) (6.60)
Ageit-1 0.736 3.606***
-0.790 -0.648
(0.71) (3.26) (-1.57) (-1.41)
Sizeit-1 24.413***
-4.757 0.061 3.048*
(3.92) (-0.80) (0.04) (1.95)
ROAit-1 -8.277 34.538* -3.176 -5.513
*
(-0.48) (1.92) (-0.96) (-1.66)
Tangibleit-1 -42.673***
7.005**
6.446**
1.319
(-5.25) (2.09) (2.39) (0.50)
Leverageit-1 -6.502 6.644 5.651**
3.039
(-0.81) (1.46) (2.04) (1.13)
Earnings volabilityi 23.735 3.886 12.356 14.290*
(1.05) (0.16) (1.50) (1.84)
Loan concentrationit -4.080 2.620 1.599 0.679
(-1.56) (1.41) (1.64) (0.72)
Relaitonship intensity ijt -0.007 -1.529 1.213* 0.683
(-0.00) (-1.32) (1.82) (1.05)
Recessionijt 12.601***
3.038**
9.460 13.268***
(3.06) (2.10) (1.48) (4.07)
Constant Yes Yes Yes Yes
Firm fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes
Loan year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes
N 1163 1949 7003 7707
R2
0.480 0.437 0.478 0.459
47
Table 7. State ownership and cost of bank loans around IPOs: Matched Sample
This table presents the fixed-effects estimation of the regression of interest rate spread on explanatory
variables in the sample including IPO firms and their matched private firms. The private firms are
identified using radius matching and only loans made during one year before and one year after the IPO
are included. Results based on one-to-one matching is displayed on the left, and those based on one-to-N
matching is on the right. The dependent variable is Spread, the percentage interest rate spread relative to
the benchmark interest rates set by the PBOC. PostIPO is equal to one for a loan taken after the firm’s IPO,
and zero otherwise. Treatment is equal to one for an IPO firm and zero for a match firm. SOE is equal to
one a firm whose ultimate controlling shareholder is a local or central government. Loan, firm, and bank
relationship characteristics as well as time variables are controlled for. In parentheses t statistics are
reported. *,
**, and
*** mark statistical significance at the 10, 5, and 1 percent levels, respectively.
Matched firms One to one matching One to N matching (1) (2) (3) (4) PostIPOijt 1.447 2.743
** 7.585
* -0.237
(1.01) (1.96) (1.87) (-0.04) PostIPOijt × Treatmentit -2.425
* -2.536
* -8.906
** -0.125
(-1.70) (-1.80) (-2.14) (-0.02) SOEit -4.933
* 6.037
(-1.81) (1.52) SOEit×PostIPOijt -0.264 2.596 (-0.15) (0.44) SOEit×PostIPOijt × Treatmentit -1.746
* -4.923
**
(-1.94) (-2.59) Maturityijt -0.397
*** -0.336
*** -0.979
*** -0.608
***
(-2.87) (-3.60) (-4.00) (-4.04) Amountijt 0.307 -1.206
*** 3.546
*** -0.237
(0.60) (-3.48) (3.14) (-0.34) Securedijt 3.628
*** 1.818
*** 3.427
*** 1.998
**
(6.62) (4.92) (2.66) (2.51) Ageit-1 -2.319
*** -2.065
*** -6.494
*** -3.569
***
(-3.11) (-4.11) (-3.72) (-3.32) Sizeit-1 3.649 1.297 1.820
*** 1.365
***
(1.09) (1.12) (3.25) (3.25) ROAit-1 -0.139 -0.368 -1.906 -6.906 (-0.02) (-0.08) (-1.11) (-1.15) Tangibleit-1 -1.009 0.281 -3.880
* -2.593
(-0.41) (0.17) (-1.84) (-1.30) Leverageit-1 0.752 2.261 -7.069 -8.285 (0.28) (1.23) (-1.63) (-1.08) Earnings volabilityi 1.402 1.014 4.873 4.439 (1.27) (0.90) (1.55) (1.34) Loan concentrationit 8.519
*** 5.249
*** 1.441
*** 6.301
***
(6.07) (5.56) (3.50) (3.44) Relationship intensity ijt -0.242 -0.936 -2.760
* -2.078
(-0.34) (-1.58) (-1.84) (-1.26) Recessionijt 7.923
*** 5.278
*** 19.149
*** 8.130
***
(4.77) (4.61) (4.46) (2.83) Constant Yes Yes Yes Yes Firm fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Loan year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes
N 1,282 1,282 3,045 3,045 R
2 0.565 0.578 0.532 0.538
48
Table 8. Interest rate liberalization and cost of bank loans around IPOs
The dependent variable is Spread, the percentage difference in loan interest rate from the benchmark
interest rate. PostIPO is equal to one for a loan taken after the firm’s IPO, and zero otherwise. SOE is equal
to one a firm whose ultimate controlling shareholder is a local or central government. Liberalization I is
equal to one when firm’s loan is taken from 2004/10/29 to 2013/07/19, and zero otherwise; Liberalization
II is equal to one when firm’s loan is taken after 2013/07/20, and zero otherwise (see Table A3). Loan, firm,
and bank relationship characteristics as well as time variables are controlled for. In parentheses t statistics
are reported. *,
**, and
*** mark statistical significance at the 10, 5, and 1 percent levels, respectively.
All SOE Non_SOE All (1) (2) (3) (4)
PostIPOijt -1.472***
-3.131***
-0.878 -1.037*
(-2.90) (-3.09) (-1.45) (-1.82) SOEijt -18.603 (-1.34) SOEijt×PostIPOijt -1.547
**
(-1.97) Liberalization Iijt 2.281 5.145
* -0.815 2.254
(1.23) (1.85) (-0.32) (1.21) Liberalization IIijt 0.158 7.735
* -3.508 0.166
(0.07) (1.65) (-1.17) (0.07) Maturityijt -1.080
*** -0.981
*** -1.173
*** -1.088
***
(-11.41) (-6.43) (-9.36) (-11.49) Amountijt -0.232 -1.927
*** 0.727 -0.205
(-0.61) (-2.94) (1.55) (-0.54) Securedijt 3.097
*** 4.238
*** 2.599
*** 3.075
***
(7.40) (5.05) (5.37) (7.34) Ageit-1 -0.173 1.803
** -1.263
** -0.160
(-0.40) (2.40) (-2.41) (-0.37) Sizeit-1 3.397
** 8.561
** 0.282 3.017
**
(2.33) (2.15) (0.17) (2.04) ROAit-1 -4.840 -0.966 -3.789 -4.285 (-1.51) (-0.08) (-1.13) (-1.33) Tangibleit-1 4.251
** -2.499 6.552
** 4.051
**
(2.28) (-0.87) (2.36) (2.17) Leverageit-1 5.530
*** 1.160
*** 5.459
* 5.706
***
(2.80) (3.58) (1.90) (2.88) Earnings_volabilityi 1.101
** 2.844 1.084 1.294
*
(2.07) (1.65) (1.58) (1.96) Loan_concentrationit 1.482
* 0.791 2.558
** 1.358
(1.79) (0.54) (2.48) (1.63) Relaitonship intensity ijt -0.006 -1.437 0.900 0.012 (-0.01) (-1.42) (1.31) (0.02) Recessionijt 4.975
*** 4.271
*** 8.281 4.668
***
(3.74) (3.01) (1.29) (3.47) Constant Yes Yes Yes Yes Firm fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Loan year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes
00 Post SOEsPostH : = (p-value) 0.000
N 9,656 3,112 6,544 9,656 R
2 0.450 0.438 0.467 0.450
49
Whole period Pre-IPO Post-IPO t statistic
All loans Big Four 0.293 0.656 -0.165 -0.821 ** -2.159
Non-Big Four -0.719 1.61 -2.774 -4.384 *** -7.089
SOE loans Big Four -0.021 1.45 -2.597 -4.047 *** -5.738
Non-Big Four -1.937 0.061 -4.285 -4.346 *** -3.75
Non-SOE loans Big Four 0.519 -0.068 1.111 1.179 *** 2.774
Non-Big Four -0.333 2.203 -2.377 -4.581 *** -6.281
Difference
Table 9. Loan Interest Rates for the Big Four vs. Other Banks
This table compares the changes in loan interest rate spread around borrower IPOs for loans made by the
Big Four banks and non-Big Four banks, in the full sample, as well as in the subsamples of SOE loans and
non-SOE loans. The Big Four refers to the four largest, state-owned commercial banks in China. Spread is
measured as a percentage spread relative to the benchmark interest rates set by the People's Bank of China.
In each sample, the difference in the mean pre-IPO spread and post-IPO spread is reported and tested
using a t-test. *,
**, and
*** mark statistical significance at the 10, 5 and 1 percent levels, respectively.
50
Table 10. Big Four banks and cost of loans around IPOs
The dependent variable is Spread, measured as a percentage difference in loan interest rate from the
benchmark interest rate. PostIPO is equal to one when firm’s loan is taken after the IPO, and zero
otherwise. Big4 is equal to one for loans made by the four largest commercial banks. Loan, firm, and bank
relationship characteristics as well as time variables are controlled for. In parentheses t statistics are
reported. *,
**, and
*** mark statistical significance at the 10, 5, and 1 percent levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3)
SOE Non-SOE All firms
PostIPOijt -1.457 -2.805***
-2.685***
(-1.10) (-3.85) (-4.27)
Big4ijt 0.865 -2.012***
-1.253***
(0.96) (-3.71) (-2.68)
Big4ijt×PostIPOijt -3.014**
3.357***
1.802***
(-2.39) (4.78) (2.94)
Maturityijt -1.055***
-1.144***
-1.107***
(-6.88) (-9.11) (-11.64)
Amountijt -1.959***
0.623 -0.295
(-2.96) (1.32) (-0.77)
Securedijt 4.578***
2.630***
3.235***
(5.42) (5.41) (7.70)
Ageit-1 1.872**
-1.399***
-0.353
(2.52) (-2.72) (-0.84)
Sizeit-1 7.774* 0.259 3.716
**
(1.94) (0.16) (2.54)
ROAit-1 -6.772 -3.312 -5.157
(-0.57) (-0.99) (-1.60)
Tangibleit-1 -2.734 7.282***
4.453**
(-0.95) (2.62) (2.39)
Leverageit-1 2.692***
6.199**
5.728***
(3.72) (2.16) (2.90)
Earnings volabilityi 6.373* 11.538 5.733
**
(1.68) (1.40) (2.16)
Loan concentrationit 0.826 2.887***
1.870**
(0.55) (2.80) (2.24)
Relaitonship intensity ijt -1.251 1.073 0.182
(-1.20) (1.53) (0.31)
Recessionijt -8.014 5.492***
5.006***
(-0.54) (3.98) (3.55)
00 Post PostBig4H : = (p-value) 0.000 0.410 0.115
N 3,085 6,525 9,656
R2
0.439 0.469 0.450
51
Table 11. Controlling for Residual Information Asymmetry
The dependent variable is Spread, measured as a percentage difference in loan interest rate from the
benchmark interest rate. PostIPO is equal to one when firm’s loan is taken after the IPO, and zero
otherwise. SOE is equal to one a firm whose ultimate controlling shareholder is a local or central
government.Big4 is equal to one for loans made by the four largest commercial banks.
Underwriter_reputationijt is measured by the market share of the lead underwriters. Analyst_coverageijt is
the log of one plus the firm’s average number of financial analysts following the firm after IPO years.
Information_disclosure_qualityijt is equal to one when firm is criticized or charged with information
disclosure regulations violations by the stock exchange or CSRC after IPO. Loan, firm, and bank
relationship characteristics as well as time variables are controlled for. In parentheses t statistics are
reported. *,
**, and
*** mark statistical significance at the 10, 5, and 1 percent levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3) PostIPOijt -1.670
*** -1.348
** -3.173
***
(-3.11) (-2.27) (-4.79) SOEijt -15.632 (-1.57) SOEijt×PostIPOijt -1.251
*
(-1.66) Big4ijt -2.129
***
(-4.15) Big4ijt×PostIPOijt 2.506
***
(3.86) Underwriter_reputationijt -0.188 1.145 -0.187 (-0.18) (0.95) (-0.18) Analyst_coverageijt 0.780 -1.935 0.701 (0.13) (-0.34) (0.12) Information_disclosure_qualityijt 20.682
** 12.823 12.684
(2.10) (1.42) (1.01) Maturityijt -0.188 1.145 -0.187 (-0.18) (0.95) (-0.18) Amountijt 0.780 -1.935 0.701 (0.13) (-0.34) (0.12) Securedijt 20.682
** 12.823 12.684
(2.10) (1.42) (1.01) Ageit-1 -0.834
*** -0.842
*** -0.855
***
(-8.18) (-8.24) (-8.34) Sizeit-1 -0.411 -0.386 -0.445 (-1.01) (-0.94) (-1.08) ROAit-1 3.634
*** 3.611
*** 3.746
***
(8.33) (8.27) (8.56) Tangibleit-1 -0.162 -0.150 -0.154 (-0.35) (-0.33) (-0.34) Leverageit-1 4.490
*** 4.200
*** 4.827
***
(2.97) (2.74) (3.18) Earnings_volabilityi -3.572 -3.175 -3.810 (-1.10) (-0.98) (-1.17) Loan_concentrationit 1.484 1.373 1.587 (0.76) (0.71) (0.82) Relaitonship_intensity ijt 2.480 2.655 2.834 (1.20) (1.28) (1.37) Recessionijt 13.981
* 13.331
* 13.397
*
(1.93) (1.83) (1.85) Constant Yes Yes Yes Firm fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Loan year fixed effects Yes Yes Yes
N 8158 8158 8122 R
2 0.388 0.389 0.391
52
Figure 1. Loan interest rates and spreads over time in China’s credit market
7
The sample period is from May 1996 to December 2014. The vertical axis on the left is for the actual
and the benchmark interest rates, and the vertical axis on the right is for the interest rate spread,
measured as a percentage of the benchmark interest rate. Actual Intereast rate is averaged for all the
loans in a month. Benchmark interest rate is the base interest rate for the loans with a maturity of 1
year set by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC). The grey area depicts the floating ranges of loan
interest rates imposed by the PBOC. The process of loan interest rates liberalization in China (see
Table A3) can be divided into three subperiods: the 1st period from May 1996 to October 2004, the
2nd
period from October 2004 to October 2013(LibrilizationI) , and the 3rd
period starting from
October 2013(Liberilization II).
-6.00
-4.50
-3.00
-1.50
0.00
1.50
3.00
4.50
6.00
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
16.00%
May
-96
Nov
-96
May
-97
Nov
-97
May
-98
Nov
-98
May
-99
Nov
-99
May
-00
Nov-0
0
May
-01
Nov
-01
May
-02
Nov-0
2
May
-03
Nov
-03
May
-04
Nov-0
4
May
-05
Nov
-05
May
-06
Nov-0
6
May
-07
Nov
-07
May
-08
Nov-0
8
May
-09
Nov
-09
May
-10
Nov-1
0
May
-11
Nov
-11
May
-12
Nov
-12
May
-13
Nov-1
3
May
-14
Nov
-14
Actual Interest_Rate
Benchmark Interest_Rate(1Year)
Spread
1st 2
nd 3
rd