state of the nation pension challenges and opportunities ... · state of the nation pensions &...
TRANSCRIPT
This is for financial adviser use only and shouldn’t be relied upon by any other person.
STATE OF THE NATIONPENSION CHALLENGES AND
OPPORTUNITIES IN 2017
STATE OF THE NATION
• State pensions
• Pension freedoms
• Automatic enrolment
• Pensions & D-i-v-o-r-c-e
• Rise of the ISAs
• Budget predictions…
AGENDA
STATE OF THE NATIONSTATE PENSIONS
STATE OF THE NATIONSTATE PENSIONS
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2016/17 2021/22 2027/28 2037/38 2047/48 2057/58 2067/68
Total State Pensions
All pensions + housing/DLA/PIP/AA
£496 billion
£440 billion
Source: DWP
STATE OF THE NATIONSTATE PENSIONS
Foundation amount
Source: The pension advisory service, April 2017
Total £159.55 p.w.
Current entitlement
Notional STP entitlement
Future entitlement
BSP
Graduated pension
SERPS
S2P
NINI
NINI
NINI
NI
NINI
NINI
NIDelay
DelayDelay
STATE OF THE NATION
• Changes in criteria:
• Minimum contribution years:
• NI record to get full pension:
• Defferal:
STATE PENSIONS
1 year to 10 years
30 years to 35 years
5 weeks/10.4% p.a.to 9 weeks/5.8% p.a.
STATE OF THE NATIONSTATE PENSIONS
Recommendations
Increase State Pension Age to 68
Accelerated timetable 2044 to 2037
Scrap the ‘triple lock’
✓
✓
✓
STATE OF THE NATIONSTATE PENSIONS
1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960
60
66
61
62
63
64
65
Year of Birth
SPA
MenWomen
WASPIWomen Against State
Pension Inequality
STATE OF THE NATION
Planning points:
• Changing goalposts will drive advice
• Class 3 NICs useful for some
STATE PENSIONS
STATE OF THE NATIONPENSION FREEDOMS
STATE OF THE NATIONPENSION FREEDOMS
Source: Citizen’s Advice Life after Pension Choices August 2016
29%of total
32% of >£100K+
Figure 2: How consumers plan to spend their pension savings
Putting it in the bank:
STATE OF THE NATIONPENSION FREEDOMS
Planning points:
• Timing and taxation of withdrawals
• Sustainability
• Transfer advice
STATE OF THE NATIONAUTOMATIC ENROLMENT
STATE OF THE NATIONAUTOMATIC ENROLMENT
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17
Mil
lio
ns
Eligible jobholders automatically enrolled into an automatic enrolment scheme
Source: The Pension Regulator, Declaration of Compliance Monthly Report, August 2017.
STATE OF THE NATIONAUTOMATIC ENROLMENT
Source: The Pension Regulator
STATE OF THE NATIONAUTOMATIC ENROLMENT
Govt review: our response
• Contribution rates – must go up!
• Self-employed participation
• Net pay arrangement schemes
STATE OF THE NATIONAUTOMATIC ENROLMENT
Planning points:
• Employers still need help!
• Scheme reviews
• Self-employed
STATE OF THE NATIONPENSIONS & D-I-V-O-R-C-E
30,000
50,000
70,000
90,000
110,000
130,000
150,000
170,000
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Total Wife Husband
Number of opposite sex couples divorcing: On petition of/Party to whom granted, all decrees
Source: ONS
STATE OF THE NATIONPENSIONS & DIVORCE
Source: ONS
Divorces of opposite sex couples:Men and Women age 60 and over
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
STATE OF THE NATIONPENSIONS & DIVORCE
WS v WS
H: SIPP/Money Puchase – CEV £970,696
W: DB – CEB £3,064,154
Both pensions in payment
Wanted to avoid a pension sharing order as this “would take the husband well over the lifetime allowance with severe
taxation consequences.”
Judge decided to use Duxbury calculation to determine the offsetting amount - £425,000.
Source: Family Law Week: WS v WS [2015] EWHC 3941 (Fam) http://www.familylawweek.co.uk/site.aspx?i=ed158758
STATE OF THE NATIONPENSIONS & DIVORCE
Husband’s Sipp £970,696Wife’s DB £3,064,154
TOTAL £4,034,850
Divide by 2 £2,017,425
Possible share £3,064,154- £2,017,154
£1,046,729
£621,729 more than the amount awarded!
Figures shown are for illustrative purposes only.
STATE OF THE NATIONPENSIONS & DIVORCE
Planning points:
• Divorcees need help!
• Solicitors need help!
• A growing and potentially lucrative market…
STATE OF THE NATIONPENSIONS & DIVORCE
STATE OF THE NATIONPENSIONS & DIVORCE
“Nearly one quarter of a million people face divorce in the UK each year, with the
majority needing financial assistance. Yet there are just 42 accredited financial
adviser specialists in family law – that’s oneadviser for every 5,000 people.”
Source: Resolution with the Personal Finance Society “Unlock the divorce and separation market”
STATE OF THE NATIONPENSIONS & DIVORCE
“Financial Adviser Specialist Accreditation is open to associate members of Resolution who hold a
QCF Level 4 plus AF3/G60 and a valid Statement of Professional
Standing (SPS).”
Source: Resolution with the Personal Finance Society “Unlock the divorce and separation market”http://www.resolution.org.uk/editorial.asp?page_id=1013
STATE OF THE NATIONRISE OF THE ISAS
STATE OF THE NATIONRISE OF THE ISAS
0
50
100
150
200
250
300 Pensions Annual Allowance(excluding taper)
Adult ISA Subscription Limits
Source: HMRC: Individual Savings Account (ISA) Statistics, April 2017 & Royal London
0
50
100
150
200
250
300 Pensions Annual Allowance(excluding taper, includingMPAA)
Adult ISA SubscriptionLimits
STATE OF THE NATIONRISE OF THE ISAS
Source: HMRC: Individual Savings Account (ISA) Statistics, April 2017 & Royal London
STATE OF THE NATIONRISE OF THE ISAS
Cash ISA
Stocks & shares ISA
Junior ISA
Help to buy ISA
FInnovative inance ISA
Pensions ISALifetime ISA
LISA
Junior ISA
Help to Buy: ISA
Lifetime ISA
Cash ISA
Stocks and Shares ISA
Lifetime ISA
Source:https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/579862
/Savings_product_infographic_Christmas_2016_v7.pdf
Premium Bond
£4K
STATE OF THE NATIONRISE OF THE ISAS
18-40
25%
LISA50 LISALISA
Source: HMRC, Lifetime ISA: updated design note
LISA
After 12 months, first UK home up to
£450K
From age 6060
Terminal ill-health(<12 months to live)
LISA to LISA transfer
Full withdrawals tax and penalty
free if:
Otherwise a 25% charge will apply
Source: HMRC, Lifetime ISA: updated design note
STATE OF THE NATIONRISE OF THE ISAS
Our view:
• LISA is a welcome alternative savings option
• It may not be suitable for retirement savings:
Access penalty
Investment structure
Phased withdrawal
• Combination of plans likely to be useful option
• Continued need for quality financial advice
STATE OF THE NATIONBUDGET PREDICTIONS
STATE OF THE NATIONBUDGET PREDICTIONS…
5
4
32
1
Tax-free cash
Employer NICs
LTA
Tapered AA
AA
1. AA2. Tapered AA3. LTA4. Employer NI5. PCLS