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State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

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Page 1: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting

W. Spencer ReederWA Dept. of EcologyMarch, 2009

Page 2: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

“Our mission is to protect, preserve and enhance Washington’s environment, and promote the wise management of our air,

land and water.”

Page 3: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

- Governor Gregoire’s Executive Order: 2007 Climate Change Challenge

- Preparation & Adaptation Work Groups (2007)• Forestry, Agriculture, Human Health,

Coastal/Infrastructure, Water Resources and Quality

Page 4: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

Washington’s Climate Change Challenge

Executive Order 07-02• Specific climate change goals

“…in consultation with a broad range of stakeholders to develop a climate change initiative,…”

“Determine specific steps… to prepare for the… impacts to public health, agriculture, the coast line, forestry, and infrastructure.”

“…policy options that can maximize the efficiency of emission reductions including market-based systems,… and incentives;”

“Work with… local governments…”

Page 5: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

Specific WA Targets

By 2020 reduce GHG emissions to 1990 levels

By 2035 reduce emissions to 25% below 1990 levels

By 2050 reduce emissions to 50% below 1990 levels

By 2020 increase the number of clean energy sector jobs to 25,000 from the 8,400 jobs in 2004

By 2020 reduce expenditures by 20% on fuel imported into the state

Page 6: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

Statutory Emission Reductions

6

Page 7: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

7

Residential, Commercial and Industrial Fuel Use 20%

Washington State 2005 GHG Emissions

Electricity Consumed 20%

Agriculture 6%Industrial processing 4%Waste 3%

Transportation 47%

Page 8: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

W a s t e

2 %

A g r i c .

8 %

I n d .

P r o c e s s &

O t h e r

8 %

R C I F u e l

U s e

2 0 %

T r a n s p o r t

2 8 %

E l e c t r i c i t y

( c o n s -

b a s e d )

3 4 %

U S

Washington’s Emissions Profile

*2005 estimates

RCI = Residential, Commercial, Industrial

W a s t e

3 %

I n d .

P r o c e s s &

O t h e r

4 %

A g r i c .

6 %

E l e c t r i c i t y

( c o n s -

b a s e d )

2 0 %

R C I F u e l

U s e

2 0 %

T r a n s p o r t

4 7 %

W a s h i n g t o n

Page 9: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

WA State Stakeholder Process

Technical Working Groups• Transportation • Forestry • Energy Supply • Residential, Commercial and

Industrial • Agriculture

Preparation/Adaptation Work Groups

• Water Resources and Quality • Coastal/Infrastructure • Forestry • Agriculture • Human Health

Climate Advisory/Action Team

Education and Engagement

Miti

gatio

n

Governor Gregoire

Page 10: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

WA State Stakeholder Process

Technical Working Groups• Transportation • Forestry • Energy Supply • Residential, Commercial and

Industrial • Agriculture

Preparation/Adaptation Work Groups

• Water Resources and Quality • Coastal/Infrastructure • Forestry • Agriculture • Human Health

Climate Advisory/Action Team

Education and Engagement

Miti

gatio

n

Governor Gregoire

Beyond WasteEnergy Efficiency & Green BldgTransportationSEPA

Implementation Work Groups

2008

Page 11: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

PAWG Report High Level Recommendations

- Early actions are needed while we improve scientific knowledge

- Monitoring and adaptive management is required

- Biological functions and processes are center of attention

- Regional collaboration will allow for a more efficient response

Adaptation Themes:

Adaptation Strategic Areas:

- Emergency Planning, Preparedness & Response; Monitoring; Education/Outreach & Engagement; Institutional Flexibility

Page 12: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

Coastal PAWG Recommendations

- Incorporate best available information

- Revise state land use & shoreline planning statutes

- Pursue state funding for pilot projects

- Utilize Flood Control Assistance Account Program

Page 13: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

Coastal PAWG Recommendations

- Inform property purchases regarding risks

- Incorporate future projectionso Infrastructure, Habitat reclamation, Toxic Cleanup

- Improve mapping

- Develop Guidelines for local Gov’t

Page 14: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

February 4th 2006 Storm Event examples of impacts…

Page 15: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

Data / Research- Regional Climate Models / Projections- Flood Plain Maps (FEMA)- Land Elevations / Topography / Bathymetry- Monitoring / Vulnerability Assessments

Needs

Page 16: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

Data / Research- Regional Climate Models / Projections- Flood Plain Maps (FEMA)- Land Elevations / Topography / Bathymetry- Monitoring / Vulnerability Assessments

Needs

Policy- Avoid Inconsistencies & Conflicts between:

• Planning/Permitting Mechanisms• Land Use Regulations• Enforcement Strategies

Page 17: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009
Page 18: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009
Page 19: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

1) global/regional ice & freshwater inputs

2) global/regional temperature & salinity

3) regional atmospheric & ocean processes

4) local geodynamics (tectonic & isostatic)

Estimates

Page 20: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009
Page 21: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

global sea level (IPCC AR4, Fig. 5.13)

Page 22: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

global sea level (IPCC AR4, Fig. 5.13)

Page 23: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

global sea level (IPCC AR4, Fig. 5.13)

Figure 10.33 from IPCC (2007)

Page 24: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009
Page 25: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009
Page 26: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

Assessment Report

Page 27: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

BC Storm Surge Model (operational)

Page 28: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

Fraser River Delta• 126 kms of sea dikes

protecting 220,000 people at or below sea level in Richmond & Delta. – Sinking delta ~ 1-3

mm/yr• Long term sea level rise

increases risk of dike breach during extreme event

Page 29: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

Needs

Page 30: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

Needs

Page 31: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

Needs

Page 32: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

“Without a much improved comprehension of the many processes and their feedbacks, predictions of future sea level change will be characterized by large uncertainty.”

Page 33: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

Regional Efforts Underway

BC-WA MOU on sea level rise

West Coast Governor’s Agreement on Ocean Health

National Academy of Sciences West Coast SLR Study

Pacific Coast Collaborative

Western Climate Initiative

Page 34: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009
Page 35: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

Part 2

Page 36: State Climate Change Policy: Mitigating, Preparing, Adapting W. Spencer Reeder WA Dept. of Ecology March, 2009

http://www.ecy.wa.gov/climatechange/index.htm