stabilize entertainment group ebitdaexpand targeted advertising, data analytics beginning to...
TRANSCRIPT
Q1 2019 AT&T EARNINGS
© 2019 AT&T Intellectual Property. All rights reserved. AT&T, Globe logo, Mobilizing Your World and DIRECTV are registered trademarks and service marks of AT&T Intellectual Property and/or AT&T affiliated
companies. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.
1st Quarter Earnings
AT&T Investor Update
April 24, 2019
© 2019 AT&T Intellectual Property. All rights reserved. AT&T, Globe logo, Mobilizing Your World and DIRECTV are registered trademarks and service marks of AT&T Intellectual Property and/or AT&T affiliated
companies. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.
Information set forth in this presentation contains financial estimates and other forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, and actual results might differ materially. A discussion of factors that may affect future results is contained in AT&T’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. AT&T disclaims any obligation to update and revise statements contained in this presentation based on new information or otherwise.
This presentation may contain certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations between the non-GAAP financial measures and the GAAP financial measures are available on the company’s website at https://investors.att.com.
The “quiet period” for FCC Spectrum Auctions 101/102 (28Ghz and 24Ghz) is in effect. During the quiet period, auction applicants are required to avoid discussions of bids, bidding strategy and post-auction market structure with other auction applicants.
Important additional Information:
AT&T has filed a Form 8-K reporting the quarterly results for the first quarter of 2019. The 8-K must be read in conjunction with this presentation and contains additional important details on the quarterly results.
Cautionary Language Concerning Forward-Looking Statements
2
© 2019 AT&T Intellectual Property. All rights reserved. AT&T, Globe logo, Mobilizing Your World and DIRECTV are registered trademarks and service marks of AT&T Intellectual Property and/or AT&T affiliated
companies. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.3
Deliver on merger plan, advance video strategy1Q performance strong, WM organizing for future, SVOD beta in 4Q
Grow wireless service revenuesUp 2.9% in 1Q, with continued postpaid and prepaid phone growth
Expand targeted advertising, data analyticsBeginning to optimize Turner inventory
De-lever through strong free cash flow, non-core asset sales$5.9B 1Q FCF, Hulu, Hudson Yards, working other opportunities
Stabilize Entertainment Group EBITDAUp 6.9% in 1Q, driven by broadband revenue
Lead in network through FirstNet, 5G and fiber investmentsNation’s fastest1 and also the best2 wireless network; 5G ramping
1Q Update:
2019 Initiatives
1 Based on analysis by Ookla® of Speedtest Intelligence® data average download speeds for Q1 2019. 2 Based on Global Wireless Solutions (GWS)® “Best Network OneScore” awarded to AT&T for overall national wireless network performance in 2018.
© 2019 AT&T Intellectual Property. All rights reserved. AT&T, Globe logo, Mobilizing Your World and DIRECTV are registered trademarks and service marks of AT&T Intellectual Property and/or AT&T affiliated
companies. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.
Q1 2019 AT&T EARNINGS
© 2019 AT&T Intellectual Property. All rights reserved. AT&T, Globe logo, Mobilizing Your World and DIRECTV are registered trademarks and service marks of AT&T Intellectual Property and/or AT&T affiliated
companies. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.
1Q19 Results
© 2019 AT&T Intellectual Property. All rights reserved. AT&T, Globe logo, Mobilizing Your World and DIRECTV are registered trademarks and service marks of AT&T Intellectual Property and/or AT&T affiliated
companies. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.
$0.85 $0.86
19.7% 21.4%
1Q19 Financial Summary
ADJUSTED EPSAdj. OI Margin
1Q19 Highlights
1Q18 1Q19
Reported EPS $0.75 $0.56
Adjustments:
• Actuarial (gain) loss on benefit plans ($0.12) $0.05
• Amortization of intangibles $0.13 $0.21
• Merger integration items $0.06 $0.01
• Other adjustments1 $0.03 $0.03
Adjusted EPS $0.85 $0.86
1Q191Q18
Adjusted EPS of $0.86, up 1.2%Includes $0.03 impact from WarnerMedia
Includes $(0.04) impact from accounting changes
$44.8 billion in consolidated revenues Up $6.8 billion, or 18%
Includes ~$7.5 billion from WarnerMedia, net of eliminations
Adjusted operating income margin of 21.4%Up 170bps, with strength in Mobility, WarnerMediaand improvement in Entertainment Group
1 1Q19 includes $0.04 of employee separation costs and ($0.02) of tax-related items.
REVENUES
$38.0
$44.8
1Q191Q18
5
$ in billions, except EPS
© 2019 AT&T Intellectual Property. All rights reserved. AT&T, Globe logo, Mobilizing Your World and DIRECTV are registered trademarks and service marks of AT&T Intellectual Property and/or AT&T affiliated
companies. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.6
Cash Flow and Capital Detail$ in billions, except EPS
CapexFree Cash Flow
Cash from Operations Cash from operations of $11.1 billion, up 24%
Reflects addition of WarnerMedia
Free cash flow of $5.9 billion; $25.4 billion trailing 12 months
Capex totaled $5.2 billion
Capital Investment totaled $6.0 billion, which includes cash payments for vendor financing of $0.8 billion
Net Debt reduced by $2.3 billion in the quarter
$5.9 billion Free cash flow
- $0.8 billion Cash payments for vendor financing
+ $0.9 billion Other items, primarily collateral return initiative
- $3.7 billion Net dividend payments
$2.3 billion 1Q de-levering
$8.9
$11.1
1Q18 1Q19
$2.8$5.9
$6.1
$5.2
Annualized Free Cash Flow
$5.1
$6.5
$7.9
$5.9
$25.4
1Q194Q183Q182Q18 TTM
Trailing 12 months (TTM)
© 2019 AT&T Intellectual Property. All rights reserved. AT&T, Globe logo, Mobilizing Your World and DIRECTV are registered trademarks and service marks of AT&T Intellectual Property and/or AT&T affiliated
companies. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.
$ in billions
Mobility momentum, Entertainment stabilization
Revenues stable; up slightly excluding wireless equipment
Growth in Mobility offset by video and legacy revenues
Entertainment Group revenue trends significantly improved
EBITDA growth in Mobility and Entertainment offsets Business Wireline pressure
EBITDA margin up 20 bps, even with accounting headwinds
$6.7 $6.5
7
1Q19 Communications SegmentEBITDA MARGINREVENUES
EBITDA
Mobility Business Wireline
1Q18 1Q19
$35.5 $35.4
35.5% 35.7%
$12.6 $12.6
1Q18 1Q19
$17.4 $17.6
41.8% 42.0%
$7.3 $7.4
Entertainment Group
1Q18 1Q19
$11.4 $11.3
22.9% 24.7%
$2.6 $2.8
1Q18 1Q19
40.5% 37.8%
$2.7 $2.5
© 2019 AT&T Intellectual Property. All rights reserved. AT&T, Globe logo, Mobilizing Your World and DIRECTV are registered trademarks and service marks of AT&T Intellectual Property and/or AT&T affiliated
companies. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.
$ in billions
8
1Q19 Communications Segment – Mobility
Continued service revenue and EBITDA growth
Wireless service revenues up 2.9%; equipment revenue impacted by record-low upgrades
EBITDA growth even with accounting headwinds; EBITDA service margin of 53.6%
179,000 postpaid smartphone net adds
80,000 postpaid phone net adds
Solid 0.93% postpaid phone churn
96,000 prepaid net adds; 85,000 phones
Record-low 1Q churn
$13.4 $14.0
-1.7%
2.9%
ServiceEquipment
1Q PostpaidSmartphone Net AddsService Revenue Growth*
1Q18 1Q19
$17.4 $17.6
$4.0 $3.8
$13.7 $13.9 $13.8
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
0.2%
2.3%2.9%
* 2018 growth rates presented on a comparable basis, to exclude the impact of ASC 606.
(216)
42
(354)
179
1Q17 1Q18 1Q19
(60)
80
Postpaid Phone Net Adds
Mobility
1Q18 1Q19
41.8% 42.0%
$7.3 $7.4$13.4 $13.8
EBITDA MarginEBITDAREVENUES
Network Leadership
FirstNet deployment > halfway done; 60% is next payment milestone
Nation’s Best Network, per GWS
Nation’s Fastest Network, per Ookla
5G now in parts of 19 cities
© 2019 AT&T Intellectual Property. All rights reserved. AT&T, Globe logo, Mobilizing Your World and DIRECTV are registered trademarks and service marks of AT&T Intellectual Property and/or AT&T affiliated
companies. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.
Video subscribers:
22.4 million premium TV subs; 544,000 net losses in the quarter
1.5 million OTT subs; 83,000 net losses in the quarter, sequential improvement
Broadband net adds of 45,000 with 297,000 AT&T Fiber net adds
Entertainment Group
Premium Video
-3.0%
-5.2% -4.7%-1.5%
2.2%
-7.1%
-0.8%
3.7%6.2%
8.3%
$ in billions
$(547) $(454)
9
1Q19 Communications Segment – Entertainment Group
$(498) $(370)
$181
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q191 2018 is shown on a comparable basis, to exclude the impact of ASC 606.
$ in millions IPBB
VideoHS Internet
1Q18 1Q19
$11.4 $11.3
$1.9 $2.1
1Q18 1Q19
22.9% 24.7%
$2.6 $2.8
$8.2 $8.1
Legacy/Other
226300249 259
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
297
Net Adds
2.0M 2.2M2.5M
2.8M3.1M
Passed 8.1M 9.0M 10.1M 11.2M 12.4M1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
EBITDA MarginEBITDAREVENUES
EBITDA grew as Entertainment Group focuses on long-term value of customer base
Broadband revenues grow; video revenues continue to improve
Cash operating expenses down 3.2%
YOY EBITDA Change1 ARPU Growth1 AT&T Fiber Subscribers
© 2019 AT&T Intellectual Property. All rights reserved. AT&T, Globe logo, Mobilizing Your World and DIRECTV are registered trademarks and service marks of AT&T Intellectual Property and/or AT&T affiliated
companies. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.
$ in billions
1Q18 1Q19
REVENUES OI MARGIN
$8.1 $8.4
24.8% 26.8%
TurnerWarner Bros.
* Results reflect the combination of historic Time Warner Inc. adjusted results and AT&T’s RSNs (reported in the Turner division). Otter Media financials included in WarnerMedia results after the 8/7/18 acquisition of the controlling interest. Prior to this date, Otter Media was included as an equity-method investment.
HBO
1Q19* WarnerMedia Segment
10
OP INCOME
$2.0 $2.2
$3.2 $3.5
11.8% 15.5%
1Q18 1Q19+$164M
Op. Income
$1.6 $1.5
33.0%37.5%
1Q18 1Q19
+$32M
Op. Income
$3.5 $3.4
33.7% 36.2%
1Q18 1Q19
+$82M
Op. Income
Strong start to year, with revenue up 3.3% and 11.6% operating income growth on a pro forma basis
Delivering on merger promise of EPS and cash flow accretion; solid expense management
Warner Bros. continues strong performance in theatrical and television
HBO grows operating income despite carriage dispute
Record viewership driven by Game of Thrones’ April premiere
Turner delivers solid operating income growth
Subscription revenues grow; ad revenues decline primarily due to shift of NCAA Final Four games
© 2019 AT&T Intellectual Property. All rights reserved. AT&T, Globe logo, Mobilizing Your World and DIRECTV are registered trademarks and service marks of AT&T Intellectual Property and/or AT&T affiliated
companies. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.
Latin America revenues impacted by FX
Mexico down 3%
• Service revenue up 9%; equipment down 22%
Vrio down 21%
EBITDA down $94 million
Mexico improved by $58 million YOY
Vrio down $152 million, primarily due to FX
93,000 wireless subscriber net adds in Mexico
Revenues up 26%
Largely driven by AppNexus
EBITDA margin of 62%, reflecting AppNexus acquisition
Includes investment in new product development
Applying Xandr data and analytics to Turner inventory
11
1Q19 Xandr and Latin America Segment Results
Latin America
© 2019 AT&T Intellectual Property. All rights reserved. AT&T, Globe logo, Mobilizing Your World and DIRECTV are registered trademarks and service marks of AT&T Intellectual Property and/or AT&T affiliated
companies. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.12
Leverage update
1 Net debt to Adj. EBITDA ratio; illustrative of approximately $60B Adj. EBITDA.
At Merger Close 1Q19 YE 2019
$180B$169B
~$150B
~75% of $40B TWX acquisition debt on target to be paid off by year-end
2019 Net Debt Reduction Target = ~$20 Billion
2019 Plan
Free Cash Flow ~$26B
Less: Dividends ~($14B)
FCF after Dividends ~$12B
Asset Monetization ~$6 - $8B
Total Cash Generation ~$20B
1Q De-levering ~$2.3B
Subsequent asset sales ~$4B
Cash Generation to date ~$6B
2Q-4Q FCF after dividends ~$10B
Other cash initiatives ~$3 - $5B
Total Cash Generation ~$20B
2019 Results and Forecast
3.0x1
2.8x1
~2.5x1
Hulu (completed)
Hudson Yards
Additional asset sales
Working capital initiatives
Other
NET DEBT
Q1 2019 AT&T EARNINGS
© 2019 AT&T Intellectual Property. All rights reserved. AT&T, Globe logo, Mobilizing Your World and DIRECTV are registered trademarks and service marks of AT&T Intellectual Property and/or AT&T affiliated
companies. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.
Q&A