sse financial results - sse plcsse.com/media/316752/sse-full-year-2015-final-presentation.pdf ·...
TRANSCRIPT
SSE Financial Results Full year to 31 March 2015
Lord Smith of Kelvin
2
Chairman
“SSE is a great company with fantastic people” Lord Smith of Kelvin
3
Capex (£bn)
00.30.60.91.21.51.8
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
0.38 0.50 0.66
0.81
1.28 1.32 1.44
1.71 1.49 1.58 1.48
Dividend growth (p/share)
0
20
40
60
80
100
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
42.5 46.5 55.0 60.5
66.0 70.0 75.0 80.1 84.2 86.8 88.4
The SSE team
4
Safety comes first
5
Total Recordable Injury Rate*
0.04
0.08
0.12
0.16
FY14 FY15
0.12 0.12
20
30
40
50
FY14 FY15
40 42
Total Recordable Injuries
*TRIR – per 100,000 hours worked
Strategy for long-term success
6
Employees Politicians Customers Regulators
Great Britain Ireland
Our core purpose Our strategy Our financial objective
Provide the energy people need in a reliable and sustainable way
Efficient operation of, and investment in, a balanced range of energy businesses
Annual dividend increases of at least RPI inflation for shareholders
Working for a long-term framework
7
Taking forward energy policy commitments
Concluding its energy market investigation
Positively contributing to emerging market
Delivering solid financial results..
8 ..while extending household energy price freeze
Dividend (p/share)
60
70
80
90
100
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
75.0 80.1
84.2 86.7 88.4
Adjusted PBT (£bn)
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
1.32 1.34 1.42
1.55 1.56
Capital Investment (£bn)
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
1.44
1.71
1.49 1.58
1.48
Adjusted EPS (p/share)
90
100
110
120
130
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
113.2 112.9 118.5
123.4 124.1
Gregor Alexander
9
Finance Director
₋ Financial Overview ₋ Networks
Focusing on the key financial results FY14 £m FY15 £m % change
Adjusted profit before tax 1,551.1 1,564.7 +0.9%
Fair value re-measurements (IAS 39) (212.0) (105.3)
Exceptional items (747.2) (674.6)
Interest on net pension liabilities (IAS 19R) (28.2) (14.0)
Tax on JCEs and associates 11.6 (35.6)
Reported profit before tax 575.3 735.2
Adjusted earnings per share 123.4p 124.1p +0.6%
Adjusted effective tax rate 15.3% 14.4%
Full-year dividend 86.7p 88.4p +2.0%
Dividend cover 1.42x 1.40x
10
11
Summarising performance in SSE’s businesses Operating Profit FY14 £m FY15 £m % change
EPM and Generation 496.1 433.3
Gas Production 130.2 36.6
Gas Storage 8.3 3.9
Total Wholesale 634.6 473.8 -25.3%
Electricity Distribution 507.0 467.7
Electricity Transmission 136.7 184.1
Gas Distribution (SGN)* 276.6 285.0
Total Networks 920.3 936.8 +1.8%
Energy Supply 246.2 368.7
Energy Related Services 24.1 17.7
Enterprise 56.8 70.4
Total Retail 327.1 456.8 +39.7%
Corporate Unallocated (1.9) 14.0
Total Operating Profit 1,880.1 1,881.4 +0.1%
*SSE share
Beauly-Denny
Focusing on adjusted earnings per share
12
Adjusted EPS FY (p)
100
110
120
130
FY14 FY15
123.4 124.1
1.20
1.30
1.40
1.50
FY14 FY15
1.42 1.40
Adjusted Dividend Cover
- FY15 adjusted EPS in line with forecast
- EPS subject to key uncertainties
- SSE is currently targeting FY16 EPS which at least matches analyst expectations*
- Adjusted dividend cover could range between around 1.2x to around 1.4x in the 3 years to March 2018
*c.115p at 08/05/2015
Making the right investment decisions (1)
13
FY14 FY15 Change %
Capital expenditure and investment (£m) 1,583 1,475 -6.8%
Adjusted net debt and hybrid capital (£m) 7,643 7,568 -1.0%
Average interest rate 4.71% 4.21%
Over the last 5 years SSE:
- Increased Networks RAV by £2.4bn
- Completed almost 800MW* of new onshore and 350MW** of new offshore wind
- Completed Great Island CCGT
- Issued hybrid bonds at just 4.02% Greater Gabbard windfarm
*83MW sold **SSE share
Making the right investment decisions (2)
14 £5.5bn net capex expected in the period of 2014-2018; significant portfolio of
projects in early development
Committed
− Caithness-Moray (Transmission)
− Clyde extension (Onshore wind)
Optional
− Bhlaraidh (Onshore wind)
− Ferrybridge Multifuel 2 (Thermal generation)
− Beatrice (Offshore wind)
Diverse Projects
50%
30%
10%
10%
Networks
Wholesale
Retail
Other
FY16 c. £1.75bn capex forecast
Focusing on value from disposals
15 Target proceeds and net debt reduction to be achieved
c.£1bn
Wind ‘Recycling’
Langhope Rig (16MW)
Assets Sold (c.£475m)
Disposal Programme Outstanding
Disposals and capital ‘recycling’ programme
Clyde windfarm
FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
25.7 27.5 30.0 32.4 35.0 37.7 42.5
46.5
55.0 60.5
66.0 70.0
75.0 80.1
84.2 86.7 88.4
Maintaining a platform for dividend growth
16
Dividend Per Share FY (p)
Targeting at least RPI in future
Networks central to SSE strategy
17
0
2
4
6
8
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
Transmission Distribution SGN
Total Networks RAV, £bn (net)
Operating Profit FY14 FY15 % change
Distribution 507.0 467.7 -7.8%
Transmission 136.7 184.1 +34.7%
Gas Distribution (SGN) 276.6 285.0 +3.0%
Networks Operating Profit 920.3 936.8 +1.8%
Networks RAV increased by almost 50% since April 2010 to £7.35bn
Keeping the lights on for Distribution customers
18
100
200
300
400
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
212 260
289 308 328
Distribution capex (£m)
Electricity distributed (TWh)
30
35
40
45
FY14 FY15
40.4 39.6
400
450
500
550
FY14 FY15
507
468
Operating profit (£m)
Working for customers in ED-1
- New Distribution price control
- Delivering an underlying reduction in household distribution costs
- Stable and transparent regulatory framework
- Base revenues set for 2015/16 despite CMA ED1 appeal
- SSE is focused on:
- Supporting stable and transparent regulatory framework
- Achieving efficiencies
- Ensuring investors receive fair return
19
Increasing the asset base in Transmission
0
50
100
150
200
FY14 FY15
137
184
Operating Profit (£m) Transmission RAV (£bn)
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
FY11 FY15
0.52
1.73
0
100
200
300
400
500
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
117
229
334 349
467
Transmission capex (£m)
20
Achieving efficiencies in Gas Distribution
21 *SSE share
Operating Profit* (£m)
200
225
250
275
300
FY14 FY15
277 285
2.30
2.35
2.40
2.45
2.50
FY14 FY15
2.44 2.46
RAV* (£bn)
0
100
200
300
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
200 202 199 161 170
SGN capex* (£m)
Alistair Phillips-Davies
22
Chief Executive
₋ Business and Political Environment ₋ Retail ₋ Wholesale ₋ Outlook
Ensuring SSE is well-positioned for the future
23 2015 – an important year for energy businesses
SSE 2014/15 goals
- Deliver good operational performance
- Deliver solid financial results
- Ensure SSE is well positioned to succeed
Challenges SSE faced in 2014/15
- Electricity distribution price control
- Auction for generation capacity
- CMA energy market investigation
- UK general election
Working in the interest of customers and investors alike
24
Taking forward energy policy commitments
Completing interim findings which will be subject to more analysis
Seeking to secure a coherent and enduring framework
Managing issues in Energy Supply
25
Operating profit (£m) FY14 FY15 % change
Energy Supply 246.2 368.7 +49.8%
Energy Related Services 24.1 17.7 -26.6%
Enterprise 56.8 70.4 +23.9%
Total Retail 327.1 456.8 +39.7%
Energy Customer Accounts (m) 9.10 8.58 -5.7%
Aged Debt (£m) 117.8 106.2 -9.8%
9.7 9.6 9.5 9.1 8.6
4
6
8
10
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
Customer numbers (m)
89 88 90
118 106
0
50
100
150
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
Aged debt (£m)
GB Ireland
Energy Supply profit margin was 4.6%, equating to £69 on a typical duel-fuel bill
Putting customers first for the long term
26
2 Price Cuts in 15 Months
Price Freeze until July 2016
Brand building Industry-leading broadband offer
‘Treating Customers
Fairly’ principles
Customer service
improvement
Fundamental digital channels
overhaul
£110m Investment in Energy Supply
Building a new business - Enterprise
27
- Dedicated relationship management
- ESG acquisition
- Potential to attract significant and sustainable growth
Profit Growth (£m)
57 70*
0
20
40
60
80
FY14 FY15
Revenue Growth (£m)
595 651
0
200
400
600
800
FY14 FY15
*includes £15.3m gas pipelines disposal
Managing Wholesale business in response to long term trends
28
Operating profit FY14 FY15 % change
EPM and Generation 496.1 433.0 -12.7%
Gas Production 130.2 36.6 -71.9%
Gas Storage 8.3 3.9 -53.0%
Total Wholesale 634.6 473.8 - 25.3%
Exceptional Charges (584.9) (685.9) 0
10
20
30
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
13.6 16.8
20.6 16.6
9.1
Coal-fired output (TWh)
2
4
6
8
10
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
4.4
7.6 7.3
9.0 8.5
Renewable output (TWh)
0
100
200
300
400
500
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
177 184
414 398
Gas production output (m therms)
0
10
20
30
40
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
29.3
21.6
8.7 10.1 9.8
Gas- and oil-fired output (TWh)
Taking the right decisions in Generation – coal
29
0
5
10
15
20
25
W-0
6
S-0
7
W-0
7
S-0
8
W-0
8
S-0
9
W-0
9
S-1
0
W-1
0
S-1
1
W-1
1
S-1
2
W-1
2
S-1
3
W-1
3
S-1
4
W-1
4
S-1
5
W-1
5
S-1
6
W-1
6
S-1
7
W-1
7
Actuals Forward Curve*
Baseload Dark Spreads (£/MWh)
- Difficult decision to:
- Not reopen Unit 4 at Ferrybridge
- Close Unit 3 at Ferrybridge by the end of FY16
- Options for Fiddler’s Ferry to be reassessed following next capacity auction
*as at 8th May 2015
Ferrybridge power station
Taking the right decisions in Generation – gas
30
- £15m in Peterhead to improve flexibility
- Over £100m in Medway and Keadby – improved flexibility and reliability
- Bring Keadby out of deep mothball
- No further new CCGT development at present
Investment in Thermal Generation (£m)
0
100
200
300
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
130 130
228 277
161
New gas turbine - Medway
Peterhead CCGT
Investments and investment decisions
Taking the right decisions in Generation – renewables (1)
31
Total Renewable Capacity (MW)
2,295 2,365 2,941 3,161 3,289 3,357
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
Hydro Onshore wind Offshore wind
In the last 5 years SSE added:
- Just under 800MW* of new onshore wind
- 350MW** of new offshore wind
Walney offshore windfarm
*83MW sold **SSE share
Taking the right decisions in Generation – renewables (2)
32
Decisions take account of:
- Disciplined approach to capital investment
- Avoiding dependency on particular fuels/technologies
- Introduction of competition for CfDs
Total Renewable Output (TWh)
56% 50%
37% 34% 35%
44%
44%
49% 51% 51%
6% 14%
15% 14%
0
2
4
6
8
10
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
Offshore Wind - 2x ROCs
UK onshore wind and hydro - 1x ROCs
Non-ROCable renewable output
Plans and options include:
- Recycling capital
- Over 280MW of onshore wind under construction
- Beatrice offshore wind farm
Completing new assets in Ireland
- Great Island CCGT
- Now in full commercial operation
- Completion costs out-turned on budget
- Cleanest, most efficient and reliable gas power plant on Irish grid
- Reform of Single Electricity Market (SEM)
- Published September 2015
- Dublin based SSE team
- Fully engaged in regulatory and policy process
33
Great Island CCGT
Maintaining Gas Production assets
34
- 5 years since SSE first invested in gas production assets
- Portfolio estimated reserves in excess of 2.2bn therms
- SSE will look at opportunities to increase reserve base
0
100
200
300
400
500
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
177 184
414 398
Gas production output (m therms)
0
30
60
90
120
150
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
43 40
130
37
Gas production profit (£m)
Sean gas platform
Laying foundations and making progress
Uncertainty continues
- CMA appeals of RIIO-ED1 price control
- New government’s energy policies
- Findings and potential remedies from CMA Energy Market investigation
35
Our priority has been – and continues to be – to ensure SSE is in a good position for the long term
Doing the right things for the long term
36
- Securing £100m of operational efficiencies
- Completing disposals totalling £475m
- Taking difficult decisions in generation
- Commissioning Great Island CCGT
- Reconnecting with Distribution customers
- Securing approval for Caithness-Moray link
- Extending our energy price freeze
- Investing in energy supply business
- Launching SSE Enterprise
- Maintaining strong options for future investment
- Reducing level and cost of our net debt
Delivering dividend growth for the long-term
37
FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
25.7 27.5 30.0 32.4 35.0 37.7 42.5
46.5
55.0 60.5
66.0 70.0
75.0 80.1
84.2 86.7 88.4 RPI*
Dividend Per Share FY (p)
*forecast, at least RPI
Value for customers and value for investors Q and A
38