x

x

it

稳定压倒⼀切

⼈民日报 日⼈民报 日⼈民报没有⼈民愿意看的日报 新闻内容与观点通常与⼤众的认知成颠倒状态⼈民日报，胡说⼋道！⼈民日报，暴日⼈民！

1946 1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 20061945 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 20050.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

Prop

ortio

n of

Aut

ocra

cies

with

Give

n In

stitu

tions

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

Prop

ortio

n of

Gov

ernm

ents

as

Auto

crac

y

Nominally Democratic Institutions

Single Party Regime

Banned Political Parties

t − 1t

i

t−1

−240 −180 −120 −60 −30 0 30Days Until Election

0.06

0.10

0.14

0.18

0.22

Rat

e of

Pro

test

1946 1952 1958 1964 1970 1976 1982 1988 1994 2000 20061945 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 20050

5

10

15

20

Num

ber o

f Exi

ts

Coups and AssassinationsRevolts, Elections, Term Limits, and Resignations

I FoundationsPersuasion and DominationA Theory of Autocratic PropagandaA Global Dataset of Autocratic Propaganda

II The Political Origins of Propaganda StrategiesThe Politics of Pro-Regime PropagandaNarrating the DomesticNarrating the WorldThreatening Citizens with Repression

III The Propaganda CalendarThe Propagandist's DilemmaMemory and Forgetting

IV Propaganda, Protest, and the FuturePropaganda and ProtestConclusionAppendix: Supporting Tables and FiguresAppendix: Newspaper SummariesAppendix: Identifiers by Country