spot market rates & indices · 1 15 may ±∆ ±% bdi 634 s 60 10.5% bci 954 s 338 54.9% bpi...
TRANSCRIPT
1
15 May ±∆ ±%BDI 634 p 60 10.5%
BCI 954 p 338 54.9%
BPI 579 q -15 -2.5%
BSI 628 p 10 1.6%
BHSI 327 q -2 -0.6%
W-O-W change
With the global glut in dry bulk commodities seemingly determined to stay for a while,
difficulties keep propping up around most major traders. On the iron ore front and de-
spite the short rally in freight rates noted this past week, troubles keep on circulating
the major Australian and Brazilian producers, while other regions such as West Africa
have seen their iron ore exporting ambitions dwindled. Yet through all this, it seems
there is one part of the dry bulk trade that could possibly continue to ramp up even
during downward trends. Agricultural commodities and in particular grains such as
wheat, soybeans, rice and sugar are a vital part of human sustenance and as such are
more directly linked with world population growth rather than economic growth. Their
importance has been well acknowledged by most governments for centuries, with most
keeping strict observation on their internal production as well as stockpiling reserves
as a safety guard against bad harvests, droughts and the inevitable famine they may
bring about. In the past this had pushed most of the major closed economies (USSR,
China etc.) to plan for self-reliance and provide strong financial backing for their agri-
culture. However with the dawn of the 21st Century, the growing opening of trade has
pushed most to find ways to open this heavily protected industry to global competition
despite it being one of the last strongholds of protectionism.
China which is the world’s second largest economy has instinctively held on to the Mao
principles of self-reliance for food produce, making it one of the world’s largest provid-
ers of farm subsidies and in turn one of the world’s largest producers despite its lacking
farm yield growth and output plateau over the past couple of years. Yet it seems that a
mood for change is in the air. It is not something that can be expected soon as the main
government line is still for an 85% of its annual consumption to be met by domestic
production. Nevertheless, China has also become the world’s largest importer of agri-
cultural produce and as its population becomes more well-off, it will inevitably bring
about one of the largest shifts in global agricultural trade. At the same time, it will be
the ever rising costs in local production that will inevitably push the Chinese govern-
ment to soften much of its protectionist measures. The rapid rise in labour costs cou-
pled with issues brought recently upon the seasonal inflow of migrant farm workers
from outside China, will mean that the absolute influence of each dollar spent on agri-
cultural subsidies will be ever less effective. It is already the case that imports, which
face large freight costs and import taxes are still considerably cheaper than local pro-
duce especially for commodities such as cane sugar. At the same time, the recent scan-
dals that have broken out regarding corruption within the purchasing of reserves by
government officials may provide added pressure for relaxing of the subsidies scheme.
All this might point to a growing demand for the grain trade moving forward and as
recent developments regarding deals struck by China with both Ukraine and Russia
regarding import volumes for the 2015/2016 grain season, we might be seeing a prel-
ude of what is to come. For the moment it looks as though we will face a global grain
trade volume this year that will be slightly lower than last year’s volumes. Yet moving
forward it looks as though the benefit that could be brought to the medium and small
sized dry bulk vessels could be considerable despite the lesser role played by grains
within the overall dry bulk seaborne trade.
George Lazaridis
Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations
11th - 15th May 2015 | Week 20
Dry Bulk Freight Market
Secondhand Market
Newbuilding Market
Demolition Market
Economic Indicators
Tanker Freight Market
15 May ±∆ ±%BDTI 829 p 76 10.1%
BCTI 643 p 19 3.0%
W-O-W change
Avg Price Index (main 5 regions)
15 May ±∆ ±%Dry 312 u 0 0.0%
Wet 333 q -3 -0.9%
W-O-W change
Aggregate Price Index
15 May ±∆ ±%Bulkers 83 q -2 -2.4%
Cont 104 u 0 0.0%
Tankers 103 q 0 -0.1%
Gas 100 q 0 -0.2%
M-O-M change
15 May ±∆ ±%Gold $ 1,221 p 13 1.1%
Oil WTI $ 60 p 8 15.8%
Oil Brent $ 67 p 9 15.5%
Iron Ore 61 p 13 28.0%
Coal 67 p 9 16.2%
M-O-M change
Aggregate Price Index
15 May ±∆ ±%Capesize 53 q -3 -5.2%
Panamax 48 q -2 -3.2%
Supramax 55 q 0 -0.8%
Handysize 61 u 0 0.0%
M-O-M change
VLCC 102 q 0 -0.3%
Suezmax 95 q -1 -0.6%
Aframax 116 u 0 0.0%
MR 116 p 0 0.3%
2
2014 2015
11th - 15th May 2015
Capesize - The Capesize market came to life this week with a flurry of fixing early
on in the week pulling rates up significantly on all major routes and leaving a sense
of optimism amongst owners as things started to heat up. Things should a small
sense of correction come Friday. Nevertheless, it looks as though things might con-
tinue on the positive note over the coming days as the volume of activity keeps
strong.
Panamax - Despite a sense of improving conditions in the Pacific basin this week, a
large disappointment was left behind as the Atlantic started to lose traction due to
the holiday on Thursday and left the market without its much needed support.
Supramax - Witnesing a reversal in overall sentiment from previous weeks, owners
started to gain ground showing a small but firm improvement from previous levels
across almost all routes. It was only in the North Atlantic were things seemed to be
a touch more difficult, with the slow activity eating away on the higher rates
achieved a couple of weeks back.
Handysize - Mixed messages overall for the Handies, with rates from the Conti-
nent making headway thanks to an improved number of fresh inquiries emerging
this week, while position lists had been somewhat limited in comparison. At the
same time difficulties in North and South America, coupled with a slower week in
the Pacific lead to an overall negative trend although the correction was only mar-
ginal.
0
10
20
30
40
50'000 US$/day
15 May 08 May ±% 2015 2014
Baltic Dry IndexBDI 634 574 10.5% 607 1,104
CapesizeBCI 954 616 54.9% 561 1,961
BCI 5TC $ 6,946 $ 4,737 46.6% $ 5,352 $ 15,278ATLANTIC RV $ 7,000 $ 4,660 50.2% $ 5,883 $ 14,130
Cont / FEast $ 14,040 $ 10,010 40.3% $ 13,300 $ 32,135PACIFIC RV $ 6,695 $ 4,836 38.4% $ 4,599 $ 14,319
FEast / ECSA $ 7,445 $ 5,690 30.8% $ 5,886 $ 13,932Panamax
BPI 579 594 -2.5% 609 964BPI - TCA $ 4,630 $ 4,734 -2.2% $ 4,867 $ 7,714
ATLANTIC RV $ 4,853 $ 5,435 -10.7% $ 4,851 $ 6,861Cont / FEast $ 8,723 $ 9,323 -6.4% $ 9,806 $ 15,315PACIFIC RV $ 4,634 $ 3,907 18.6% $ 4,466 $ 7,844FEast / Cont $ 310 $ 269 15.2% $ 345 $ 835
SupramaxBSI 628 618 1.6% 618 939
BSI - TCA $ 6,566 $ 6,460 1.6% $ 6,459 $ 9,816Cont / FEast $ 9,217 $ 9,092 1.4% $ 8,865 $ 14,974Med / Feast $ 8,500 $ 8,383 1.4% $ 7,375 $ 13,840PACIFIC RV $ 5,625 $ 5,417 3.8% $ 5,903 $ 8,873FEast / Cont $ 4,880 $ 4,790 1.9% $ 5,195 $ 6,179USG / Skaw $ 9,586 $ 9,757 -1.8% $ 9,880 $ 14,638Skaw / USG $ 4,217 $ 4,033 4.6% $ 3,355 $ 4,971
HandysizeBHSI 327 329 -0.6% 357 523
BHSI - TCA $ 4,832 $ 4,876 -0.9% $ 5,311 $ 7,680Skaw / Rio $ 3,488 $ 3,238 7.7% $ 3,120 $ 5,625
Skaw / Boston $ 3,680 $ 3,380 8.9% $ 3,253 $ 5,273Rio / Skaw $ 8,756 $ 9,381 -6.7% $ 8,073 $ 10,072
USG / Skaw $ 6,325 $ 6,592 -4.1% $ 7,042 $ 10,743SEAsia / Aus / Jap $ 3,554 $ 3,579 -0.7% $ 4,569 $ 7,022
PACIFIC RV $ 4,650 $ 4,629 0.5% $ 5,933 $ 7,840
Spot market rates & indices Average
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
BDI BCI BPI BSI BHSI
0
5
10
15'000 US$/day
0
5
10
15'000 US$/day
0
3
6
9
12
15'000 US$/day
3
2014 2015
Crude Oil Carriers - After the slow start of the month things rapidly turned bullish
once more, with a rapid jump in activity coming out of the MEG helping lift rates up
fairly quickly and quickly clearing position lists while charterers started to move
quickly into the June program. On the back of this and with a good number of late
May cargoes emerging this week, things started to quickly heat up for Suezmaxes
as well, though here things have seemingly reached a temporary peak and should
be less firm over the coming days. Through all of this, Afras were also able to make
some headway in the MEG and Caribs, though at the same time there was a correc-
tion in rates to be seen in the North Sea and Baltic region as there was a fresh in
flow of ballasters coming in.
Oil Products - Things moved fairly well in the products markets as well, especially
for CPPs, were the lack of promptly available units helped keep the balance in the
ship owners favor, while further demand out of US Gulf might drive things further
during the next couple of days .
11th - 15th May 2015
15 May 08 May ±% 2015 2014
Baltic Tanker IndicesBDTI 829 753 10.1% 833 777BCTI 643 624 3.0% 669 602
VLCCWS 47.00 34.42 36.5% 32.71 28.24
$/day $ 44,251 $ 23,646 87.1% $ 22,078 -$ 6,110WS 79.18 63.11 25.5% 60.60 48.36
$/day $ 75,112 $ 55,291 35.8% $ 54,983 $ 37,314WS 76.82 61.68 24.5% 59.44 47.70
$/day $ 81,513 $ 59,572 36.8% $ 61,730 $ 25,202WS 80.00 70.54 13.4% 69.60 57.22
$/day $ 76,706 $ 65,015 18.0% $ 66,103 $ 32,821SUEZMAX
WS 97.50 72.50 34.5% 83.96 75.11$/day $ 54,793 $ 35,711 53.4% $ 46,618 $ 27,044
WS 104.23 77.73 34.1% 92.37 82.23$/day $ 49,736 $ 28,118 76.9% $ 48,244 $ 26,364
AFRAMAXWS 104.44 119.44 -12.6% 110.88 109.50
$/day $ 26,499 $ 37,707 -29.7% $ 37,059 $ 23,581WS 121.67 109.72 10.9% 110.15 107.79
$/day $ 30,427 $ 24,874 22.3% $ 29,726 $ 16,427WS 111.94 101.94 9.8% 147.96 127.51
$/day $ 24,422 $ 20,042 21.9% $ 44,691 $ 24,895WS 80.83 86.39 -6.4% 100.02 89.14
$/day $ 27,978 $ 31,772 -11.9% $ 49,821 $ 29,167DPP
WS 95.00 125.00 -24.0% 147.84 139.78$/day $ 13,561 $ 23,062 -41.2% $ 32,217 $ 21,213
WS 120.75 121.75 -0.8% 128.57 127.00$/day $ 26,163 $ 26,298 -0.5% $ 30,826 $ 19,144
WS 114.00 106.63 6.9% 103.63 96.35$/day $ 32,994 $ 29,127 13.3% $ 32,124 $ 17,892
WS 92.78 103.06 -10.0% 113.48 104.64$/day $ 22,776 $ 28,186 -19.2% $ 38,736 $ 21,008
CPPWS 104.22 103.44 0.8% 98.77 96.90
$/day $ 24,593 $ 23,762 3.5% $ 25,279 $ 14,208WS 160.00 147.05 8.8% 142.80 123.74
$/day $ 21,005 $ 18,371 14.3% $ 20,439 $ 9,516WS 140.00 130.00 7.7% 130.26 110.57
$/day $ 21,508 $ 18,884 13.9% $ 20,205 $ 7,995WS 117.14 98.21 19.3% 92.90 92.94
$/day $ 13,708 $ 9,640 42.2% $ 10,509 $ 3,442
MED-MED
CONT-USAC
USG-CONT
MEG-USG
MEG-SPORE
WAF-USG
BSEA-MED
MEG-SPORE
MEG-JAPAN
WAF-USAC
NSEA-CONT
CARIBS-USG
CARIBS-USAC
SEASIA-AUS
MEG-JAPAN
CARIBS-USAC
BALTIC-UKC
ARA-USG
Spot market rates & indices Average
450
650
850
1,050
1,250
1,450
BDTI BCTI
-100
10203040506070
'000 US$/day
-25
0
25
50
75
100'000 US$/day
0
20
40
60
80
100'000 US$/day
4
9
14
19
24
29'000 US$/day
4
last 5 years
15 May 10 Apr ±% Min Avg Max
VLCC
$ 47,500 $ 45,000 5.6% $ 18,000 $ 27,941 $ 52,500
$ 42,500 $ 41,500 2.4% $ 22,000 $ 30,949 $ 45,000
Suezmax
$ 34,000 $ 33,000 3.0% $ 15,250 $ 21,681 $ 34,000
$ 32,500 $ 33,000 -1.5% $ 17,000 $ 23,567 $ 33,000
Aframax
$ 25,000 $ 23,000 8.7% $ 13,000 $ 16,267 $ 25,000
$ 23,500 $ 23,000 2.2% $ 14,750 $ 18,021 $ 23,500
MR
$ 17,250 $ 15,750 9.5% $ 12,500 $ 13,980 $ 17,250
$ 16,000 $ 15,250 4.9% $ 13,500 $ 14,753 $ 16,000
12 months
36 months
12 months
36 months
Tanker period market TC rates
12 months
36 months
12 months
36 months
last 5 years
15 May 10 Apr ±% Min Avg Max
Capesize
$ 8,500 $ 8,500 0.0% $ 7,950 $ 19,715 $ 40,200
$ 10,250 $ 10,250 0.0% $ 9,950 $ 19,363 $ 33,700
Panamax
$ 7,000 $ 8,000 -12.5% $ 6,950 $ 13,993 $ 30,450
$ 8,000 $ 8,500 -5.9% $ 7,950 $ 13,444 $ 22,450
Supramax
$ 7,500 $ 8,250 -9.1% $ 7,450 $ 13,150 $ 24,950
$ 8,000 $ 8,500 -5.9% $ 7,950 $ 12,673 $ 18,700
Handysize
$ 6,500 $ 7,250 -10.3% $ 6,450 $ 10,494 $ 18,700
$ 7,000 $ 7,500 -6.7% $ 6,950 $ 10,611 $ 15,200
12 months
Dry Bulk period market TC rates
12 months
36 months
36 months
12 months
36 months
12 months
36 months
11th - 15th May 2015
Latest indicative Dry Bulk Period Fixtures
Latest indicative Tanker Period Fixtures
81012141618202224262830
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
6
7
8
9
10
11
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
15
20
25
30
35
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
12
13
14
15
16
17M/T ''BUNGA KASTURI TIGA'', 298100 dwt, built 2006, $28000, for 12 months
trading, to CPC
M/T ''DESH MAHIMA'', 114686 dwt, built 2010, $30000, for 60-90 days
trading, to BP
M/T ''SEA BAY'', 108650 dwt, built 2009, $30000, for 60-90 days trading, to
PETROCHINA
M/T ''MERKUR O'', 74999 dwt, built 2004, $20,250, for 12 months trading, to
KOCH
M/T ''VENDOME STREET'', 47917 dwt, built 2011, $17,250, for 12 months
trading, to KOCH
M/V ''YM RIGHTNESS'', 77684 dwt, built 2004, dely Hong Kong 18/20 May,
$5,650, for 4/6 months trading, to Noble
M/V ''NORD SATURN'', 77288 dwt, built 2012, dely Paradip prompt, 6,900,
for 4/8 months trading, to GMI
M/V ''N.BONANZA'', 76500 dwt, built 2006, dely Fangcheng 16/18 May,
$4,600 1st 40 days balance $6,600, for 4/6 months trading, to Noble
M/V ''DA SHUN'', 81068 dwt, built 2013, dely aps Indonesia prompt, $6,000,
for 4-7 months trading, to Noble
M/V ''STAR KAPPA '', 52055 dwt, built 2001, dely aps Togo 18/20 May,
$8,500, for min 3/max 6 months trading, to Ultrabulk
5
Reported Transactions
The pressure keeps on mounting on the newbuilding front, as the sub
par performance in terms of new contracting is bringing on the pres-
sure and forcing for further competition in terms of pricing beyond
the sectors which are facing the biggest difficulties. We have slowly
started to see discounts being offered beyond the dry bulk sector, as
shipbuilders try to feed the market with incentive for further order-
ing. Nevertheless, it all looks as though we may well close the year
with some of the lowest activity volumes noted since the early 2000’s.
Though many will see this as a positive, bringing about a fast paced
decrease in the orderbook, which is something that we have been
hoping for over the past five years, but at the same time the pressure
placed on the market will put strong financial pressure on shipbuild-
ers, possibly leaving a possibility for a small domino effect onto any
parties that have provided backing for those same shipbuilders. In
effect effort will now have to be placed on closer co-operation be-
tween closely linked shipbuilders, while it might be the much needed
push to drive the shipbuilding industry into further consolidation and
leave fertile ground for further merger and acquisition deals to take
place.
11th - 15th May 2015
20
30
40
50
60
Capesize Panamax Supramax Handysize
US$ million
30
50
70
90
110VLCC Suezmax Aframax LR1 MR
US$ million
Indicative Dry NB Prices (US$ million) last 5 years
15 May 10 Apr ±% Min Avg Max
Dry Bulkers
Capesize (180,000dwt) 50.0 52.0 -3.8% 50.0 54.8 58.0
Kamsarmax (82,000dwt) 27.3 27.8 -1.8% 27.3 30.0 30.8
Panamax (77,000dwt) 26.8 27.0 -0.9% 26.8 28.9 29.5
Ultramax (64,000dwt) 25.3 26.0 -2.9% 25.3 27.1 28.0
Handysize (37,000dwt) 21.5 22.0 -2.3% 21.5 22.9 23.5
Container
Post Panamax (9,000teu) 88.0 88.0 0.0% 88.0 88.7 91.0
Panamax (5,200teu) 58.0 58.0 0.0% 55.3 57.5 58.5
Sub Panamax (2,500teu) 31.0 31.0 0.0% 31.0 31.8 33.0
Feeder (1,700teu) 22.5 22.5 0.0% 22.5 25.5 27.0
Indicative Wet NB Prices (US$ million) last 5 years
15 May 10 Apr ±% Min Avg Max
Tankers
VLCC (300,000dwt) 96.0 96.5 -0.5% 94.0 98.0 101.0
Suezmax (160,000dwt) 65.0 65.0 0.0% 59.5 64.9 66.0
Aframax (115,000dwt) 53.5 53.5 0.0% 52.5 54.0 55.0
LR1 (75,000dwt) 45.8 45.8 0.0% 43.0 45.9 47.0
MR (56,000dwt) 36.5 36.5 0.0% 35.0 36.8 37.3
Gas
LNG 160k cbm 200.0 200.0 0.0% 198.0 199.6 200.0
LPG LGC 80k cbm 77.0 77.5 -0.6% 75.0 78.3 80.0
LPG MGC 55k cbm 67.5 67.5 0.0% 65.0 67.2 68.5
LPG SGC 25k cbm 45.0 45.0 0.0% 43.0 44.5 45.5
Type Units Size Shipbuilder Price Buyer Delivery Comments
BULK 5 38,500 dwt JIANGSU HONGQIANG, China N/A NAVIBULGAR - Bulgary 2017
BULK 3 17,500 dwt HONDA ZOSEN, Japan N/A MITSUI O.S.K. LINES - Japan 2016/2017
TANKER 1+1 160,000 dwt HYUNDAI SAMHO, S. Korea $ 67.0m BLUMENTHAL - Germany 2017switch from Capesize order
from July 2014
CONT 3+3 11,000 teu CCSC, China $ 90.0m OCEANBULK - Greece 2017switch from 5+5 Capesize
order
LNG 1 178,000 cbm IMABARI, Japan N/ATRINITY LNG TRANSPORT -
Japan2020
JV between K-Line, Imabari &
Mitsui
LNG 2 165,000 cbm MHI NAGASAKI, Japan N/A NYK - Japan 2018to go on T/C to subsidiary of
Mitsubishi Corp
ROPAX 2 7,000 ceu ULJANIK, Croatia $ 55.0m SIEM SHIPPING - U. S. Based 2017
6
Indicative Dry Bulk Values (US$ million)
15 May 10 Apr ±% Min Avg Max
CapesizeResale 47.0 48.0 -2.1% 36.0 53.9 74.0
5 year old 33.0 33.0 0.0% 31.5 42.7 61.010 year old 19.0 21.0 -9.5% 19.0 30.7 45.515 year old 11.0 12.5 -12.0% 11.0 18.8 29.5
PanamaxResale 28.5 28.5 0.0% 24.5 34.2 46.0
5 year old 16.5 16.5 0.0% 16.5 26.6 40.310 year old 11.5 12.0 -4.2% 11.5 20.5 33.815 year old 7.0 8.0 -12.5% 7.0 14.2 24.5
SupramaxResale 27.5 27.5 0.0% 23.5 31.5 40.0
5 year old 15.5 16.0 -3.1% 15.5 24.6 32.310 year old 11.0 11.0 0.0% 11.0 18.5 26.315 year old 6.5 6.5 0.0% 6.5 13.1 21.6
HandysizeResale 21.5 21.5 0.0% 21.0 24.9 30.0
5 year old 13.5 13.5 0.0% 13.5 20.2 27.410 year old 9.5 9.5 0.0% 9.5 15.4 21.815 year old 6.0 6.0 0.0% 6.0 10.8 16.5
last 5 years
11th - 15th May 2015
With asset prices having dropped significantly over the past couple of
months and the pressure on several owners to release some of their
still their underperforming tonnage, has continued to feed the sale
and purchase market over the past couple of weeks. Buyers are still
fairly reluctant to act fast, but it seems as though the offered dis-
counts are enticing enough for most asset players to make their play.
On the tanker side, things have been equally busy with another round
of resales from Navig8 having been reported this week. Prices here
having been holding their ground slightly better though the premise
still holds that in terms of earnings things should be slightly more bull-
ish.
+0%
-3%
-21%
-37%-40%
-35%
-30%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
1 month diff 3 months diff6 months diff 12 months diff
+0%
-8%
-20%
-39%-45%
-40%
-35%
-30%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
1 month diff 3 months diff6 months diff 12 months diff
-3%
-14%
-30%
-42%-45%
-40%
-35%
-30%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
1 month diff 3 months diff6 months diff 12 months diff
+0%
-7%
-25%
-34%-40%
-35%
-30%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
1 month diff 3 months diff6 months diff 12 months diff
Indicative Tanker Values (US$ million)
15 May 10 Apr ±% Min Avg Max
VLCCResale 105.0 105.0 0.0% 80.0 96.6 117.0
5 year old 80.0 81.0 -1.2% 55.0 71.3 91.010 year old 52.0 52.0 0.0% 33.8 47.7 65.015 year old 31.0 31.0 0.0% 16.9 26.0 32.0
SuezmaxResale 70.0 70.0 0.0% 53.0 64.5 74.5
5 year old 57.5 57.5 0.0% 38.0 50.5 63.410 year old 40.0 41.0 -2.4% 24.0 34.5 46.015 year old 22.0 22.0 0.0% 14.0 19.2 26.6
AframaxResale 56.0 56.0 0.0% 39.0 48.9 60.0
5 year old 45.0 45.0 0.0% 27.0 36.9 47.010 year old 30.0 30.0 0.0% 16.0 24.0 33.015 year old 16.0 16.0 0.0% 8.0 13.0 17.5
MRResale 37.5 37.0 1.4% 32.0 36.5 39.3
5 year old 27.0 27.0 0.0% 22.0 26.6 30.510 year old 18.0 18.0 0.0% 13.8 17.6 20.415 year old 12.0 12.0 0.0% 9.0 10.9 13.8
last 5 years
-1% -1%
+4%
+7%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
1 month diff 3 months diff6 months diff 12 months diff
+0%
-4%
+5%
+15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
1 month diff 3 months diff6 months diff 12 months diff
+0%
-2%
+7%
+18%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
1 month diff 3 months diff6 months diff 12 months diff
+0% +0%
+8%
-7%-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
1 month diff 3 months diff6 months diff 12 months diff
7
11th - 15th May 2015
Size Name Dwt Built Shipbuilder M/E Coating Price Buyers Comments
LR1 STX JINHAE 1651 73,800 2015 STX OFFSHORE &
SHBLDG, S. KoreaMAN-B&W
EPOXY
coated
LR1 STX JINHAE 1652 73,800 2015 STX OFFSHORE &
SHBLDG, S. KoreaMAN-B&W
EPOXY
coated
LR1 STX JINHAE 1657 73,800 2016 STX OFFSHORE &
SHBLDG, S. KoreaMAN-B&W
EPOXY
coated
LR1 STX JINHAE 1658 73,800 2016 STX OFFSHORE &
SHBLDG, S. KoreaMAN-B&W
EPOXY
coated
MR FLAGSHIP IRIS 51,551 2012 HYUNDAI MIPO, S.
KoreaMAN-B&W
EPOXY
coated$ 30.5m Danish - Maersk
incl. 6 mos. T/C to Trafigura
at abt $15,600pd.
MR IVER EXPERT 45,809 1997 HALLA ENG & HI -
SAMHO, S. KoreaB&W
EPOXY
PHEN$ 8.5m Chinese - Sinochem ice class 1D
PROD/
CHEMVEGA SPRING 22,780 2001 KITANIHON, Japan Mitsubishi ZS N/A undisclosed
Size Name Dwt Built Shipbuilder M/E Gear Price Buyers Comments
CAPE BLUE CHO OYU 180,161 2011 DAEHAN SHBLDG,
S. KoreaMAN-B&W $ 29.0m undisclosed
CAPE SUNGDONG 1215 180,000 2015 SUNGDONG, S.
KoreaMAN-B&W $ 43.5m undisclosed
CAPE JIANG JUN SHAN 176,924 2006 NAMURA IMARI,
JapanMAN-B&W $ 18.2m
Chinese Taipei -
Winning Shipping
CAPE CECILIA 170,565 1999 NAMURA IMARI,
JapanMAN-B&W $ 8.8m European
PMAX TIARA GLOBE 72,928 1998
HUDONG
SHIPBUILDING,
China
B&W4 X 30t
CRANES$ 5.8m Chinese geared panamax
SMAX HUDSON TRADER 2 58,110 2009
TSUNEISHI
ZHOUSHAN HUL,
China
MAN-B&W4 X 30t
CRANES$ 14.2m Greek
HMAX AGIA 45,296 1994 SHIN KURUSHIMA
ONISHI, JapanMitsubishi
4 X 25,4t
CRANES$ 3.4m Chinese
Size Name TEU Built Shipbuilder M/E Gear Price Buyers Comments
SUB
PMAXSFL HUNTER 2,824 2006
HYUNDAI MIPO, S.
KoreaMAN-B&W
SUB
PMAXCLYDE 2,824 2007
HYUNDAI MIPO, S.
KoreaMAN-B&W
SUB
PMAXPASSAT SPRING 2,732 2006
GDANSKA GDYNIA,
PolandMAN-B&W $ 14.2m
U. K. Based - Borealis
Maritime
SUB
PMAX
CALEDONIAN
EXPRESS2,702 2006
NORDSEEWERKE,
GermanyMAN-B&W $ 14.3m Turkish - Arkas
SUB
PMAXE.R. CANNES 2,556 2005
HYUNDAI HEAVY
INDUSTRI, S. KoreaSulzer
4 X 40t
CRANES$ 14.3m Greek
Tankers
Bulk Carriers
Containers
$ 214.0m
$ 31.0m Turkish - Arkas
Greek - Prime
Maritime
8
11th - 15th May 2015
Size Name TEU Built Shipbuilder M/E Gear Price Buyers Comments
FEEDER ANTARES J 1,150 2002 PEENE-WERFT,
GermanyB&W
2 X 40t
CRANES
FEEDER AURIGA J 1,150 2001 PEENE-WERFT,
GermanyB&W
2 X 45t
CRANES
FEEDER WMS ROTTERDAM 698 2005 MAWEI, China MaK N/A
FEEDER WMS VLISSINGEN 698 2005 MAWEI, China MaK N/A
FEEDER WMS AMSTERDAM 698 2005 MAWEI, China MaK N/A
Size Name Dwt Built Shipbuilder M/E CBM Price Buyers Comments
LNG LNG SWIFT 67,024 1989 MITSUBISHI
NAGASAKI, JapanMitsubishi 127,580 $ 20.5m S. Korean - Sinokor
LPG GAS SCORPIO 49,679 1995 MITSUBISHI
NAGASAKI, JapanMitsubishi 76,892 $ 38.0m
Vietnamese - Truong
Phat
Gas Carriers
Philipino
German - Navalis
Shipping$ 10.6m
Containers - contineud
9
With most of the Indian Sub-Continent having filled up their quotas
and looking to be taking their time going through their current inven-
tories, activity started to slump slightly pulling down the offered pric-
es with it. Taking into account however the performance of the mar-
ket this year so far, it looks as though once the current purchases have
been “digested” we may well be looking at another small price rally.
The market has seemingly been able to keep pace with the large num-
ber of demo candidates that have been offered and looks more then
ready to take on the rest of the year with similar zeal. Having said that
we are slowly moving closer to the Monsoon season and it looks as
though we will likely see 1-2 more firm round of purchases before the
seasonally quieter early summer period begins. The lack of support
from Chinese breakers still leaves a big gap in the market, though it
looks as though the market has managed to hold up fairly well up to
now despite their overall absence. This last point is likely to translate
into an even softer monsoon season comparatively to what we wit-
nessed in previous years in terms of pricing, though with the gap nar-
rowing it might motivate for more tonnage to head their during the
summer months at least.
11th - 15th May 2015
Reported Transactions
150200250300350400450500550
Bangladesh India Pakistan China Turkey
US$/ldt
150200250300350400450500550
Bangladesh India Pakistan China Turkey
US$/ldt
Indicative Wet Prices ($/ldt) last 5 years
15 May 08 May ±% Min Avg Max
Indian Sub Continent
Bangladesh 390 400 -2.5% 380 452 490
India 395 400 -1.3% 380 459 510
Pakistan 395 400 -1.3% 380 454 500
Far East Asia
China 220 220 0.0% 220 288 350
Mediterranean
Turkey 265 260 1.9% 230 312 355
Indicative Dry Prices ($/ldt) last 5 years
15 May 08 May ±% Min Avg Max
Indian Sub Continent
Bangladesh 365 370 -1.4% 350 433 475
India 370 370 0.0% 350 439 500
Pakistan 370 370 0.0% 350 432 475
Far East Asia
China 200 200 0.0% 200 270 340
Mediterranean
Turkey 255 250 2.0% 220 301 355
Type Vessel's Name Dwt Built Country Built Ldt US$/ldt Buyer Sale Comments
Tanker TUMA 136,100 1975 Sweden - N/A Bangladeshi
Bulker MELCHIOR 73,670 1995 S. Korea 10,336 N/A Bangladeshi
Bulker CAPT NAZIH 43,648 1985 Japan 8,032 $ 376/Ldt Pakistani pre-budget dely
Tanker AMADEO 39,203 1996 Romania 11,509 $ 282/Ldt undisclosed bss 'as is' River Plate
Tanker LAGES 29,995 1991 Brazil 8,127 N/A Pakistani
Gen.
CargoOMOLON 7,075 1987 Poland 4,174 $ 364/Ldt Indian
10
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
11th - 15th May 2015
US Dollar per Euro Yen per US Dollar
Iron Ore (TSI) Coal Price Index
Yuan per US Dollar US Dollar INDEX
Oil WTI $ Palm Oil
DryShips is in talks to extend the maturity of a loan that has already
lapsed . The Nasdaq-listed bulker and tanker owner revealed the nego-
tiations in a filing with the US Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC)
but did not identify the loan or the banks involved.
The talks over the loan add to long-disclosed negotiations with lenders
to obtain waivers of covenant breaches and extend existing waivers of
prior breaches.
But the disclosure also follows a long effort to bolster liquidity at the
Athens-based bulker and tanker owner, including the recent sale of its
entire fleet of 10 tankers to its chief executive, George Economou.
“We expect that our lenders will not demand payment of the loans re-
lating to our dry-bulk and tanker fleet under which we are in breach of
certain financial and loan-to-value ratio covenants before their maturi-
ty, provided that we pay scheduled loan installments and accumulated
or accrued interest as they fall due under the existing credit facilities,”
DryShips said in today’s filing.
Source: Tradewinds
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25
1.30
1.35
1.40
95.00
100.00
105.00
110.00
115.00
120.00
125.00
6.00
6.05
6.10
6.15
6.20
6.25
6.30
84.00
89.00
94.00
99.00
104.00
109.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
100.00
110.00
120.00
55.00
60.00
65.00
70.00
75.00
80.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
100.00
110.00
120.00
15 May 10 Apr ±% Min Avg Max
Markets
10year US Bond 2.14 1.95 9.7% 1.67 2.26 2.65
S&P 500 2,122.7 2,102.1 1.0% 1,862 2,015 2,123
Nasdaq 5,048.3 4,996.0 1.0% 4,069 4,632 5,092
Dow Jones 18,272.6 18,057.7 1.2% 16,117 17,367 18,289
FTSE 100 6,960.5 7,089.8 -1.8% 6,183 6,742 7,104
FTSE All-Share UK 3,780.0 3,830.9 -1.3% 3,309 3,613 3,834
CAC40 4,993.8 5,240.5 -4.7% 3,919 4,519 5,269
Xetra Dax 11,447.0 12,374.7 -7.5% 8,572 10,185 12,375
Nikkei 19,732.9 19,907.6 -0.9% 176 16,823 20,188
Hang Seng 27,822.3 27,272.4 2.0% 22,586 24,325 28,443
DJ US Maritime 266.0 256.7 3.6% 238.0 322.7 405.7
Currencies
$ per € 1.14 1.06 7.2% 1.06 1.23 1.37
$ per ₤ 1.57 1.46 7.6% 1.46 1.59 1.72
₤ per € 0.72 0.73 -0.4% 0.70 0.77 0.82
¥ per $ 119.5 120.4 -0.7% 101.2 112.0 121.4
$ per Au$ 0.80 0.77 4.7% 0.76 0.86 0.95
$ per NoK 0.14 0.12 10.6% 0.12 0.15 0.17
$ per SFr 0.92 0.98 -6.3% 0.86 0.94 1.02
Yuan per $ 6.18 6.18 -0.1% 6.12 6.18 6.27
Won per $ 1,089.3 1,094.6 -0.5% 1,009.3 1,067.0 1,134.0
$ INDEX 99.6 104.1 -4.3% 85.8 94.4 105.3
Commoditites
Gold $ 1,220.5 1,207.4 1.1% 1,141.2 1,235.4 1,345.6
Oil WTI $ 59.9 51.7 15.8% 44.7 75.1 107.3
Oil Brent $ 66.9 58.0 15.5% 47.3 80.9 115.1
Palm Oil 615.5 582.8 5.6% 574.5 708.8 910.0
Iron Ore 61.2 47.8 28.0% 46.7 76.6 102.8
Coal Price Index 66.8 57.5 16.2% 57.5 66.7 77.5
White Sugar 370.1 360.8 2.6% 355.4 436.7 1066.5
last 12 months
11
COSTAS KARAMANISMOBILE: +30 6941 54 14 65
MARGARITA TSALPATOUROU MOBILE: +30 6934 74 22 16
DIMITRIS KANELLOSMOBILE: +30 6945 07 47 85
PANOS ALEXOPOULOSMOBILE: +30 6944 34 66 15
ARISTOFANIS THEODOTOSMOBILE: +30 6951 79 82 89
DIMITRIS PATELISMOBILE: +30 6944 04 43 61
VASSILIS MANOLOPOULOS MOBILE: +30 6988 88 13 05
GEORGINA MAVRIKOUMOBILE: +30 697 4 18 07 84
ANGELIKI KAPPAMOBILE: +30 697 5 85 60 84
NATALIA KARAMANIMOBILE: +30 698 4 58 82 99
JOHN FLOURISMOBILE: +30 6955 80 15 03
NICOLAS PAPANTONOPOULOSMOBILE: +30 6945 23 21 88
STELLA FOUROULIMOBILE: +30 6947 35 68 48
Dry Cargo Chartering
Tanker Chartering
AERAKIS GEORGEMOBILE: +30 6946 04 57 37
BOLIS ILIASMOBILE: +30 6937 02 65 00
DASKALAKIS GEORGEMOBILE: +30 6932 24 80 07
DRAKOGIANNOPOULOS STAVROSMOBILE: +30 6932 20 15 65
DRAKOGIANNOPOULOS SAKISMOBILE: +30 6944 88 58 08
HATZIGEORGIOU NASSOSMOBILE: +30 6944 73 33 93
KARADIMAS COSTASMOBILE: +30 6932 20 15 64
KLONIZAKIS JOHNMOBILE: +30 6948 50 55 81
KOSTOYANNIS JOHNMOBILE: +30 6932 43 39 99
MANOLAS NIKOLASMOBILE: +30 6940 63 22 56
MOISSOGLOU THEODOROSMOBILE: +30 6932 45 52 41
PAPOUIS THASSOSMOBILE: +30 6944 29 49 89
PRACHALIAS ARGIRISMOBILE: +30 6947 62 82 62
STASSINAKIS JOHNMOBILE: +30 6972 60 92 09
TOBALOGLOU EVAGELOSMOBILE: +30 6932 40 56 20
TSALPATOUROS COSTISMOBILE: +30 6932 20 15 63
VARVAROS PLUTONMOBILE: +30 6937 25 15 15
GEORGE LAZARIDISMOBILE: +30 6946 95 69 40
Maritime Research & Valuations
Sale & Purchase
ALLIED SHIPBROKING INC. 48, Aigialeias Street, 4th Floor, Maroussi 151 25, Greece Tel: +30 210 45 24 500 Fax: +30 210 45 25 017/ 019 E-mail: [email protected]
ALLIED CHARTERING S.A. 48, Aigialeias Street, 4th Floor, Maroussi 151 25, Greece Tel : +30 210 42 88 100 Fax: +30 210 45 24 201
E-mail: [email protected]
E-mail: [email protected]
11th - 15th May 2015 | Week 20
12
Disclaimer
The information contained within this report has been provided by Allied Shipbroking Inc. and Allied Chartering S.A. for general information pur-
poses.
All the information is compiled through Allied Shipbroking Inc. and Allied Chartering S.A. databases, as well as from other market sources. Despite
having taken reasonable care in the gathering, filtering and auditing of this information and believing that the information is accurate and correct,
it may still contain errors, as a lot of the views regarding market levels are partially derived from estimates and/or subject judgments while the
reported transaction activity is gathered from several sources and rumors, some of which are sometimes hard to validate in full their accuracy and
truthfulness. As such we advise that the information be taken cautiously, while advising that this information doesn’t not obviate the need to also
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Appendix
Agregate Price Index quoted on the first page for both Newbuilding and Secondhand relates to the current average prices levels compared to
where they stood at 1st January 2010 (i.e. index 100 = 01/01/2010)
Demolition market average price index refers to the combination of the average prices currently offered in the Indian Sub-Continent, Far East
and Mediterranean.
Period rates relate to Capesize of 180,000dwt, Panamax of 76,000dwt, Supramax of 56,000dwt and Handysize of 33,000dwt on the Dry Bulk
side and VLCC of 250,000dwt, Suezmax of 150,000dwt, Aframax of 115,000dwt and MR of 52,000dwt on the Tankers side respectively.
In terms of Secondhand Asset Prices their levels are quoted based on following description:
All vessels built to European specifications by top Japanese shipbuilders, with dwt size based on the below table.
11th - 15th May 2015 | Week 20
Resale 5 year old 10 year old 15 year old
Capesize 180,000dwt 170,000dwt 170,000dwt 150,000dwt
Panamax 82,000dwt 76,000dwt 75,000dwt 73,000dwt
Supramax 64,0000dwt 56,000dwt 52,000dwt 52,000dwt
Handysize 35,000dwt 32,000dwt 32,000dwt 28,000dwt
VLCC 310,000dwt 310,000dwt 250,000dwt 250,000dwt
Suezmax 160,000dwt 150,000dwt 150,000dwt 150,000dwt
Aframax 110,000dwt 110,000dwt 105,000dwt 95,000dwt
MR 52,000dwt 45,000dwt 45,000dwt 45,000dwt