Space: The Startup Frontier

Erika Ilves @ Latitude 59Tallinn, May 31, 2016

NewsWeek, 2015

“Space is the new internet.”

1,000 companies$2.3 B invested in 20158 exits since 20001 unicorn

“Trillionaires will be made in space “

“Insufficient facts always invite danger.”

xxx

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Humans

24 orbited12 walked

6 work544 visited

Machines13 launched2 active

8,000 launched3,000 in orbit1,400 active

77 launched0.5 active

~170Mpieces ofspace debris

The Perfectly Sane Grownup Zone

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

Low Earth orbit—350 km

The Perfectly Sane Grownup Zone

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

The Certifiably Insane Zone

Low Earth orbit—350 km

The Perfectly Sane Grownup Zone

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

The Certifiably Insane Zone

The Totally Bonkers Zone

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

Space business today

$6BRockets

$120BSatellite services

$58BGround equipment$16B

Satellitebuild

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Actuals

Satellites: GEO birds

Actuals

Satellites: Non-GEO birds

Actuals

Data

Fire in the New Valley in EgyptTaken by Planet Labs, on May 12, 2016

Actuals

Data

Khi Solar One in South AfricaTaken by Planet Labs, on May 11, 2016

Actuals

Internet

Actuals

Rockets

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

Space business actuals

“space is the new internet”

$6BRockets

$120BSatellite services

$58BGround equipment$16B

Satellitebuild

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

Space business potentials

Micro G research

Trash removal

Mining

Fuel

Factories

Solarfarms

Space trucks

Server farms

Tourism

Agriculture

Health

$6BRockets

$120BSatellite services

$58BGround equipment$16B

Satellitebuild

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Potentials

Trash removal

Potentials

Micro-gravity research

Potentials

Mining

OffWorld

Potentials

Fuel

Potentials

Space trucks

Potentials

Factories

Potentials

Solar farms

Mankins Space

Potentials

Server farms

Potentials

Solar to Earth

Mankins Space

Potentials

Tourism

Potentials

Agriculture

Potentials

Health

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

Startup frontier

Micro G research

Trash removal

Mining Fuel

Factories

Solarfarms

Space trucks Server farms

Tourism

Agriculture Health

“space is the new internet”

“space is the new infrastructure”

$6BRockets

$120BSatellite services

$58BGround equipment$16B

Satellitebuild

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Scenarios 2016-2030

Nothing exciting happensBig new market(s)Destination: MarsBlack swans

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

Nothing exciting happens

Tourism $6BRockets

$120BSatellite services

$58BGround equipment$16B

Satellitebuild

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

Big new markets

Tourism

Micro G research

Trash removal

Mining

Fuel Factories

Solarfarms

Space trucks

Server farms

$6BRockets

$120BSatellite services

$58BGround equipment$16B

Satellitebuild

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Scenarios

Destination: Mars

Scenarios

Black swans

killer asteroids

aliens

Mars—78, 340,000 km

Moon—400,000 km

Geostationary orbit—35,000 km

Startup frontier

Micro G research

Trash removal

Mining Fuel

Factories

Solarfarms

Space trucks Server farms

Tourism

Agriculture Health

“space is the new internet”

“space is the new infrastructure”

$6BRockets

$120BSatellite services

$58BGround equipment$16B

Satellitebuild

Low Earth orbit—350 km

Make It So, Number One!