space debris and challenges to safety of space activity · the investigated structures of...
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FEDERAL SPACE AGENCY OF RUSSIA
SPACE DEBRIS
AND CHALLENGES TO SAFETY
OF SPACE ACTIVITY
Yuriy Makarov, Dmitriy GorobetsFederal Space Agency
Michael YakovlevCentral Research Institute of Machine Building
The International Interdisciplinary Congress on Space Debris
Montreal
May 7-9, 2009
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• The time have come when space debris poses the real risk for long term
sustainable space activity, also for people safety and property on the Earth
surface.
• Each following launch of a space vehicle at long last leads to creation of
new space debris. Moreover, studies indicate that beyond the middle of
current century the self-collision fragments will outnumber decaying
debris, and force the total debris population to increase.
• Taking into account that space have got more deeply in all fields of activity
of states and individuals, any limitation of space activity can lead to
negative influence on economy of states and international relations up to
development of potential conflicts.
• So, space debris problem that have to be decided, concerns not only
aspects of space engineering and space technologies, but also affects the
social and economic development of states and their national security.
Man-made orbital debris poses an increasing risk to space vehicles
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Regulation of Activity on Space Debris Mitigation
• national standards on space debris mitigation;
• international agreements on space debris mitigation;
• international standards on designing and operation of space assets in
order to minimize future space debris population;
• licensing the organizations - designers and operators of space assets on
the basis of the developed international standards on space debris
mitigation;
• restriction of the space market for the designers and operators of space
assets who don’t carry out the requirements of international standards;
• development and implementation of “space traffic management”;
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U N C O PU O S G uide line s on Space D e bris M itigation
IAD C G uide line s on Space D e bris M itigation
Lice nsing of
O pe rators of Space
Ve hicle s
Inte rnational
S tandards
on Space D e bris
Lice nsing of Space
Ve hicle s D e signe rs
N ational S tandards on Space D e bris
N A T I O N A L S P A C E A C T I V I T Y
INTERNATIONAL ACTIVITY ON SPACE DEBRIS PROBLEM
Scheme of Responsibility for Development of Normative
and Technical Documentation on Debris Mitigation
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• In June, 2007 at its 62nd session, the UN Committee on the Peaceful Uses of
Outer Space (hereafter – the Committee) endorsed the Space Debris
Mitigation Guidelines (Ref. Doc. is A/62/20).
• The COPUOS Guidelines are based on the technical content and the basic
definitions of the IADC Space Debris Mitigation Guidelines, taking into
consideration the United Nations treaties and principles on outer space.
• The COPUOS agreed that its approval of the voluntary guidelines for the
mitigation of space debris would increase mutual understanding on
acceptable activities in space and thus enhance stability in space-related
matters and decrease the likelihood of friction and conflict.
• The COPUOS Guidelines were subsequently endorsed by the General
Assembly in its resolution 62/217 of 21 December, 2007.
UN COPUOS Document on Debris Mitigation
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Design & Operation Practices
(ISO/National Activities)
Hierarchy of Documents on Space Debris
Mitigation
IADC Support to SD
Mitigation Guidelines (additional technical
information)
Level 1
How it should be done? (technical requirements)
Level 2
What should be done?
Level 3
Basic
Principles
IADC SD
Mitigation Guidelines
TECHNICAL ISSUESUN -
UN COPUOS -
S&TSC UN COPUOS -
Space Debris Mitigation
Guidelines
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Licensing of Operators
and Designers(ISO/National Activities)
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Top Priorities of the Russian Federation Space Activity
Safety control
of
space activity
Assurance of ecological safety of space activity, implementation of
technologies and the designs minimizing production of space debris at
launch and operation of spacecraft and orbital stations
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• Deployment of orbital satellite groupings for supporting communications, TV
and radio broadcasting, navigation, ERS, hydrometeorology, basic space
research, defense, thus satisfying the national security, social, economic and
science sectors requirements.
• Assured space access and autonomy of the Russian Federation space activity
within the whole range of the missions to be realized owing to construction of
a launch site on the country’s territory for operating science- and economy-
oriented spacecrafts.
• Fulfillment of international obligations including the ISS commitments,
completion of the ISS Russian Segment buildup and enhancement of its
scientific application payoff
• Exploration of Solar system planets and celestial bodies focused on obtaining
profound knowledge about the surrounding world, utilizing extraterrestrial
resources, studying the Earth climate evolution mechanisms, searching for
exobiota
The Keystones of the Russian Federation Space Policy
up to 2020 and Beyondapproved by the PRESIDENT of the RUSSIAN FEDERATION, April, 2008
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International Scientific Optical Network (ISON)
ISON is an open international non-government project mainly aimed at being a free
source of information on space objects for scientific analysis
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400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000
Высота перигея, км
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2400
Числ
о о
бъ
ект
ов в
100 к
м с
лое 2003 2005 2007 2009
Space Debris Modelling
• It was shown that within the
last two years the velocity of
enhancement of debris
population may be assessed
as unprecedented. It 4 times
exceeds the average speed of
growth of debris population for
all previous years.
• In 2009 the debris population
in the range of debris
concentration maximum was
enhanced up to 2.6 times in
comparing with 2003.
In 2008 the parameters of the
Russian Standard on Debris
Model were updated applying
the accessible data
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ISS Protection Against Space Debris Fragments
• Projectile – Al pellet of 10,72 mm in diameter, velocity ~ 6 km/s. Impact angle ~ 45o.
• The investigated structures of equivalent weight:
A - combination of mesh shield with continuous shield (Russian proposal).
B - combination of two continuous shields (as it used at the ISS).
A. Second shield –
without through breakdown(The first shield was made from the steel
mesh of special weaving)
B. Second shield –
through breakdown(The first continuous aluminum shield)
HIGH VELOCITY IMPACT EXPERIMENTS
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Compliance of Roscosmos Activity in Space Debris Mitigation
with the UN Space Debris Mitigation Guidelines
№/№The UN Principle
of Space Debris
Mitigation
The measures undertaken
in the space vehicles design and operation
1 Limit debris
released during
normal
operations
• Not to release space debris fragments for “Briz-M”, “DM” orbital stages , 3-rd
stage (block “I”) of “Soyuz-2” launcher during normal operations.
• Not to release space debris fragments for spacecraft during normal
operations .
2
Minimize the
potential for
break-ups during
operational
phases
• Strengthening of constructive materials of space vehicles and using of
shields around fuel tanks, high pressure vessels not to admit accidental
break-ups and to protect against impact of meteors and space debris
fragments.
• At spacecraft of “Ekran” type to prevent explosions of the detonating gas
that is being produced by the silver-cadmium batteries, the said batteries
were changed to the nickel-hydrogen ones.
• In case of orbital stages of “DM” type the minimizing of the potential for
break-ups is provided due to presence of relief dampers on fuel tanks and gas
cylinders.
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№/№The UN Principle
of Space Debris
Mitigation
The measures undertaken
in the space vehicles design and operation
3 Limit the
probability of
accidental
collision in orbit
• Guaranteed withdrawal of orbital stages from the launched spacecraft is
being undertaken thus decreasing the probability of dangerous collisions.
• In case of the International Space Station (ISS) the estimation of probability
of collisions with large debris fragments is being carried out on a regular
basis. Maneuvers of the ISS for leaving from dangerous fragments are
envisioned thus decreasing the probability of collisions.
4 Avoid intentional
destruction and
other harmful
activities
• Intentional destructions are prohibited at all launchers, apogee motors and
spacecraft developed by Roscosmos.
5 Minimize
potential for
post-mission
break-ups
resulting from
stored energy
•The pressure release from fuel tanks is made in case of orbital stages after their
withdrawal from the launched spacecraft
•In case of orbital stages of “DM” type the following procedures are
implemented: the removal of the remainders of fuel of the sustainer, a burning
out of the remainders of fuel from SOZ engine after separation of spacecraft, a
discharge of onboard storage batteries.
•In case of spacecraft of “Express” and “Gonets” types the following procedures
are implemented: termination of rotation of handwheels, gyros and other
mechanical devices, removal of the remainders of fuel under large pressure, a
discharge of chemical sources of a current.
Compliance of Roscosmos Activity in Space Debris Mitigation
with the UN Space Debris Mitigation Guidelines
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№/№ The UN Principle of
Space Debris
Mitigation
The measures undertaken
in the space vehicles design and operation
6 Limit the long-term
presence of
spacecraft and
launch vehicle orbital
stages in the low
Earth orbit (LEO)
region after the end
of their mission
• At the end of mission at presence of a fuel reserve the orbital stage
"Frigat" is disposed with the subsequent splashing down.
• In case of orbital stages of “DM” type after separation of spacecraft it is
flooded by the last momentum pulse of the sustainer.
• In case of spacecraft "Monitor" type its disposal is envisioned from to
lower orbit, providing braking of space vehicle and combustion in an
atmosphere.
• In a design of spacecraft “Sterkh” the capability of reduction in time of
its presence in an orbit by change of a configuration of solar arrays is
incorporated.
7 Limit the long-term
interference of
spacecraft and
launch vehicle orbital
stages with the
• The newly designed geostationary spacecraft disposal to a burial zone
(the IADC formula and eccentricity less than 0.003) is envisioned after
the end of their mission
Compliance of Roscosmos Activity in Space Debris Mitigation
with the UN Space Debris Mitigation Guidelines
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Прогноз эволюции превышения высоты перигея КА
АМ11 над высотой ГСО на ближайшие 10 лет, км
230
240
250
260
270
280
290
300
24.3.06 6.8.07 18.12.08 2.5.10 14.9.11 26.1.13 10.6.14 23.10.15
Disposal of the Emergency S/C “Express AM-11” from GEO
• The emergency of “Express AM-11”
took place on 29.03.2006.
• The prospective reason was a
depressurization of a contour of the
heat-carrier as a result of impact
with mechanical object.
• Disposal of the emergency S/C from
the protected GEO region was
performed since 30.03.2006 till
7.04.2006.
• 10 disposal burns was done totally. The first one was done by the correction
engine. Another 9 burns were done by using of orientation engines.
• Orbital parameters of the S/C “Express AM-11” after disposal:
apogee - GEO + 324 km,
perigee - GEO + 266 km,
eccentricity = 0,00026.
Long term perigee evolution of the disposed
“Express AM-11”
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THE 26-th MEETING OF THE INTER-AGENCY SPACE DEBRIS
COORDINATION COMMITTEE (IADC)
MOSCOW - 2008
Deputy Head of
Roscosmos
Vitaliy DavidovGreetings
to the IADC
delegates
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NATIONAL STANDARD OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION
“General Requirements to Spacecraft and Orbital Stages
on Space Debris Mitigation”
General requirements to design and operation of spacecraft and orbital stages
to assure space debris mitigation .
(had come into force on January 1, 2009)
• The common requirements to space vehicles are established to limit the space debris population
in Near Earth Space
• The requirements should be applied to new designed and updated space vehicles of all types:
civil, science (including deep space investigations), commercial, military and manned missions.
• Application of the requirements of the standard must be putted into practice during the all
stages of the life of space means: designing, manufacturing, launch, operation and disposal.
• The requirements of the NATIONAL STANDARD OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION were
harmonized with the UN Mitigation Guidelines
Development of Russian Standards on Space Debris Mitigation
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The Forecast of Risk Events in
Near Earth Space
The Forecast of Dangerous
Conjunctions
The Forecast of
Particle Impact
Asteroid and Meteoroid Population and Risk
Assessment Modelling
Data Analysis, Catalogues Management,
Decision - Making
Essential Data Output Data Presentations
Catalogues of Space
Objects
Observational Data, etc.
Data Processing and the Operative Tasks
Solution Software
TSNIIMASH, Mission Control Centre
Data from INTERNET
The Automated Risk Warning System in a Near-Earth Space
DATA BASE
ROSCOSMOSNASA, ESA, another
Agencies
Russian Academy of
Science, Ministry of
Defense, etc.
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Development of “Space Traffic Management”
The future set of documents and procedures on space traffic management
will be international inter-governmental agreements that contain three
parts:
Securing the Information Needs
• Defines necessary data (on trajectories as well as radio frequencies).
• Sets provision for the data (sources, governmental as well as private, etc.)
• Establishes a database and distribution mechanisms for data, etc.
Notification System
• Sets pre-launch notification (better data than Registration Convention).
• Provides information on the end of operational lifetime.
• Provides pre-notification of orbital maneuvers and active de-orbiting.
Traffic Management
• Provides traffic management rules based on the use of the database for
the purpose of collision avoidance
• Clarifies "space objects", including legal distinction between valuable
objects and valueless space debris.
• Clarifies "fault" and/or liability in case of damage caused in outer space
with regard to the implications of traffic rules, etc.
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Space Debris and Challenges to National Security
Space debris issues are connected with aspects of national security of
states by the following reasons:
• debris environment reflects the background - target conditions which
is necessary for planning any operation in space;
• space debris may be used as a legend to cover military action against
any space asset, for example by using of small-sized (invisible)
satellites;
• pretext of space debris allow to catch an excuse for beginning of
military action if the situation produced by debris will be interpreted as
an encroachment on rights, capabilities, and freedom of action in
space;
In order to exclude pre-conflict situations it is desirable to assure the
transparency of space activities whether it concern civil or military
assets.
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Space Debris and Challenges to National Security
• Highly important is the UN COPUOS space debris mitigation principle
not to create intentionally long-lived space debris because it
establishes limitations on tests of any anti-satellite systems and
decreases the danger of collisions.
• The question of increasing urgency is an active removal of a large
debris fragments from the actively used orbits. However it is necessary
to determine the rules of identification of space objects as debris.
• Unified rules on space traffic management may lead to some limitations
that contradict conventional understanding of interests of national
security.
• With the aim to preserve Space in order to increase knowledge,
discovery, economic prosperity the question about “space traffic
management” may be discussed at the international level under
condition not to create any unilateral advantages for any participant of
space activity.
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• Orbital debris poses a risk to continued reliable use of space-based services
and operations and to the safety of persons and property in space and on
Earth. Space debris problem concerns not only space engineering and space
technologies, but also the social and economic development of states and
their national security.
• Coordinated efforts of space faring nations have produced the fundamental
documents on space debris mitigation: the “IADC Space Debris Mitigation
Guidelines” and the UN COPUOS Space Debris Mitigation Guidelines that
was endorsed by the UN General Assembly.
• The Russian Federation supports the UN COPUOS Space Debris Mitigation
Guidelines and actively introduces the corresponding requirements into
national practices on space debris mitigation.
• The further step – “Space traffic management” may be studied as an
impendent measure owing to escalating intensity of space activity in
conditions of limited orbital resources. This step will demand the holistic
approach at which all aspects of space activity should be considered taken
together.
SUMMARY
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Thank you for your attention!
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SPACE DEBRIS AND CHALLENGES TO SAFETY
OF SPACE ACTIVITY
Yuriy Makarov, Dmitriy Gorobets Federal Space Agency, 41, Shepkina Str., Moscow, 129857 Russia
Michael Yakovlev Central Research Institute of Machine Building,
4 Pionerskaya Str., Korolev, Moscow Region, 141070 Russia
ABSTRACT Space debris poses a risk to continued reliable
use of space-based services and operations and to the
safety of persons and property in space and on the
Earth. Space active parties intend to minimize space
debris population being created by the governmental
and non-government operations in space in order to
preserve the space environment for current and future
generations.
Nevertheless, various situations caused by space
debris can be interpreted as the threat to assets
deployed on orbit. The report is devoted to analysis of
such situations and to the existing and future
regulations of space debris problems. Possible ways are
analyzed what to do to prevent non adequate response.
INTRODUCTION
Space is common house for all mankind. Each
launch of a space vehicle independently of its
significance, at long last leads to creation of new space
debris.
On 10th February 2009, an unpredicted accident
occurred in space when an inactive Cosmos-2251
satellite and an active commercial Iridium-33 satellite
collided in low-Earth orbit at an altitude of about 800
kilometers above Siberia. Consequently, a large cloud
of space debris was created which could remain in orbit
possibly for decades and continue threatening other
active satellites.
The time have come when space debris generate
the real risk for prolonged reliable use of space assets,
for space market, and also for safety of people and
property both in space and on the Earth surface.
Realizing the approaching threats the space faring
nations are going to reduce creation of space debris to
save the space environment for the future generations.
This idea is the motivation of efforts being undertaken
by the Inter-Agency Space Debris Coordination
Committee (IADC), the International Organization for
Standardization (ISO), the Scientific and Technical
Subcommittee of the UN Committee on the Peaceful
Uses of Outer Space (COPUOS) and other
organizations in their attempts to work out the mutually
acceptable international documents on space debris
mitigation.
Fulfillment of measures on space debris
mitigation will demand an additional onboard power
resources, increase of space vehicle’s reliability and
prolonged mission duration. For example, in all
operational orbit regimes, space systems should be
designed not to release debris during normal operations.
So, widely used pyrotechnics should be replaced with
magnetic locks or other special mechanical devices
which are obviously not having separated elements.
Space vehicles that are terminating their operational
phases in orbits should be de-orbited or where
appropriate maneuvered into an orbit with a reduced
lifetime. Additional propellant budgets will be required
for disposal maneuvers. Moreover, fulfillment of
disposal maneuver will demand the increased reliability
of onboard electronics at the end of mission. These
requirements will lead to substantial growth of space
project’s cost.
As far as debris population will increase the
world community will search measures to influence
upon the states and the organizations that not execute
the requirements on debris mitigation. Limitations on
space activity of the states - infringers may be
introduced, for example, by introduction of quotas on
orbital resources. Taking into account the fact that
space gets into all fields of activity of the states and
individuals more deeply, any limitations of space
activity can lead to negative influence on economy of
states and international relations up to development of
potential conflicts in space. Thus, space debris problem is starting to go out
on the foreground of future organization of space
activity. Solution of space debris problems will
influence not only development of space engineering
and space technologies, but will be spread to social and
economic development of states and to the area of their
national security.
1. REGULATIONS OF ACTIVITY ON SPACE
DEBRIS MITIGATION
Regulation of activity on space debris mitigation
may include the following main directions:
coming into force of the national standards on space
debris mitigation;
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coming into force of the international agreements on
space debris mitigation;
coming into force of the international standards on
designing and operation of space assets in order to
minimize future space debris population;
licensing the organizations - designers and operators
of space assets on the basis of the developed
international standards on space debris mitigation;
restriction of the space market for designers and
operators of space assets who don’t carry out the
requirements of international standards;
development and implementation of ―space traffic
management‖.
The stated scenarios can be considered from the
various points of view. On the one hand they reflect
natural reaction of the international community in
relation to infringers of ecological balance in the
natural areas representing the vital interest for the
further development of a human civilization. On the
other hand, introduction of mitigation measures at a full
scale will demand significant financial budgets and will
be implemented, first of all, by the states with advanced
economy, thus even more increasing their presence in
near-Earth space.
Space debris mitigation practice is developing
not quite effectively by all participants of space
activity. It may be explained by difficulties in
implementation of additional technical requirements,
and by poor understanding of the problem at all. In
particular, results of some researches show probability
of cascade multiplication of space debris at
achievement by them of a certain threshold
concentration in some orbits. Nevertheless at a number
of points the international community had advanced in
debris mitigation.
Figure 1. System of international cooperation in development of normative and technical documentation directed
on space debris mitigation
Now there is the fully formed international and
national scheme of responsibility for development of
normative and technical documentation directed on
space debris mitigation (see Figure 1).
In 2002 the Inter-Agency Space Debris
Coordination Committee (IADC) for the first time has
developed the ―IADC Space Debris Mitigation
Guidelines‖ [1] that is the set of technical requirements
to space vehicles and space operations in order to
prevent enhancement of debris population. The most
successful practice of national space agencies in debris
mitigation is reflected in the said document.
Five years have passed, and in June, 2007 the
―UN Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space
(COPUOS) Space Debris Mitigation Guidelines‖ have
been accepted (Ref. Doc. is A/62/20) on the basis of a
consensus [2]. The text of the document does not
contain quantitative definitions which rigidly would
limit conditions of application of space engineering.
The guidelines are applicable to mission planning and
operation of newly designed spacecraft and orbital
UN COPUOS Guidelines on Space Debris Mitigation
IADC Guidelines on Space Debris Mitigation
Licensing of Operators of Space
Vehicles
International Standards
on Space Debris
Licensing of Space
Vehicles Designers
National Standards on Space Debris
N A T I O N A L S P A C E A C T I V I T Y
INTERNATIONAL ACTIVITY ON SPACE DEBRIS PROBLEM
3
stages and, if possible, to existing ones. They are not
legally binding under international law. It is also
recognized that exceptions to the implementation of
individual guidelines or elements thereof may be
justified, for example by provisions of the ―United
Nations Treaties and Principles on Outer Space‖. The
Committee agreed that its approval of the voluntary
guidelines for the debris mitigation would increase
mutual understanding on acceptable activities in space
and thus enhance stability in space-related matters and
decrease the likelihood of friction and conflict.
In January, 2008 the UN General Assembly
endorsed the UN Space Debris Mitigation Guidelines
(Ref. Doc. is A/RES/62/217). In 2001 the International Organization for
Standardization (ISO) had started work to prepare an
international standards on space debris mitigation.
Some of the priority standards are listed below:
―Space systems — Orbital Debris – Management for
Debris Mitigation‖;
―Space systems —Unmanned Spacecraft, Estimating
Mass of Remaining Usable Propellant‖;
―Space systems — Launch Collision Avoidance‖;
―Space Systems — Orbit determination and
estimation – Process for Orbit Information Data
Exchange‖;
―Space Systems — Disposal of Satellites Operating
at Geosynchronous Altitude‖.
The above said documentation at all is the basis
for developing the national standards on space debris
mitigation. In such a way since the 1st of January, 2009
the National Standard of the Russian Federation on
space debris mitigation have come into force besides
the previously approved branch standards of the same
type. The requirements of National Standard have been
fully harmonized with the requirements of the UN
COPUOS Guidelines on Space Debris Mitigation.
The practice of licensing activity of the
organizations - designers and operators of spacecrafts
and orbital stages is being developed. Licensing is
based on the existing international documents on space
debris mitigation. For example, on June 21, 2004, the
United States Federal Communications Commission
(FCC) released a comprehensive set of debris
mitigation rules, including the disclosure requirement
rules for orbital debris mitigation [3].
It is important to emphasize that all accepted
international documents on debris mitigation are based
on the ―IADC Space Debris Mitigation Guidelines‖.
This fact confirms the IADC role as the leading
international technical expert on space debris problem.
2. RUSSIAN ACTIVITY ON SPACE DEBRIS
PROBLEM
Since early ninetieth of the last century Russia
actively participate in all actions directed to solve the
problem. It is enough to tell that the official activity of
the IADC was started in 1993 at the meeting in
Moscow when the IADC Terms of Reference had been
adopted. Roscosmos delegation takes part in all
sessions of the IADC, ISO. Every year we present a
comprehensive report about activity on debris
mitigation to the Scientific and Technical
Subcommittee UN COPUOS.
Last year the President of the Russian Federation
approved The Keystones of the Russian Federation
Space Policy up to 2020 and beyond. This document
determines the top priorities of space activity such as:
Deployment of orbital satellite groupings for
supporting communications, TV and radio
broadcasting, navigation, ERS, hydrometeorology,
basic space research, defense, thus satisfying the
national security, social, economic and science
sectors requirements.
Assured space access and autonomy of the Russian
Federation space activity within the whole range of
the missions to be realized owing to construction of a
launch site on the country’s territory for operating
science- and economy-oriented spacecrafts.
Fulfillment of international obligations including the
ISS commitments, completion of the ISS Russian
Segment buildup and enhancement of its scientific
application payoff.
Exploration of Solar system planets and celestial
bodies focused on obtaining profound knowledge
about the surrounding world, utilizing extraterrestrial
resources, studying the Earth climate evolution
mechanisms, searching for exobiota.
Among the top priorities there is the Safety
Control of Space Activity that includes assurance of
ecological safety of space activity, implementation of
technologies and the designs minimizing production
of space debris at launch and operation of
spacecraft and orbital stations.
Some examples of our activity will be illustrated
below.
In field of space debris observation Russian
Space Surveillance System carries on the Catalogue of
space objects that is used for needed space operations,
for example for the ISS maneuvering and re-entry
campaigns. The Scientific Optical Instruments Network
for astrometric and photometric tracking of space
debris fragments was organized. The Network
integrates 18 observatories, 25 telescopes. The Network
includes three specialized subsystems –
GEO and GTO objects surveillance;
high orbit small-size space debris fragments detection
and tracking;
LEO and high elliptical orbit objects observation.
In 2008 effectiveness of the Network have been
enhanced by 2.5 times as compared with 2007. Due to
Network capabilities the number of known GEO
objects have increased more than 35%.
In field of space debris modeling Russian
specialists have updated the parameters of the Russian
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Debris Model Standard. It was shown that within the
last two years the velocity of enhancement of debris
population is to be assessed as unprecedented. It 4
times exceeds the average speed of growth of debris
population for all previous years. In 2009 the debris
population in the range of debris concentration
maximum was enhanced up to 2.6 times in comparing
with 2003. Probability of collisions in space is
increased accordingly.
In field of screen protection against high velocity
debris impact the main efforts of Russian specialists are
concentrated around the International space Station
(ISS). As illustration of the achieved results there may
be mentioned the experimental data of aluminum
projectile impact on two-screen design models:
two layers of aluminum screen that is usual for ISS;
the design developed by the Russian specialists in
which the first layer of the screen is replaced with a
steel grid of special weaving.
In case of a steel grid the protected wall has only a dent
but not have been punched.
In field of space debris mitigation Roscosmos is
being implemented the Principles of the UN COPUOS
Debris Mitigation Guidelines in practice its own space
activity. The measures undertaken are as follows.
Principle 1 of the UN COPUOS Guidelines -
Limit debris released during normal operations.
Undertaken measures:
Not to release space debris fragments for ―Briz-M‖,
―DM‖ orbital stages , 3-rd stage (block ―I‖) of
―Soyuz-2‖ launcher during normal operations.
Not to release space debris fragments for spacecraft
during normal operations.
Principle 2 of the UN COPUOS Guidelines -
Minimize the potential for break-ups during operational
phases.
Undertaken measures:
Strengthening of the constructive materials and
shielding of fuel tanks, high pressure vessels not to
admit accidental break-ups under impact of meteors
and debris fragments.
At spacecraft of ―Ekran‖ type to prevent explosions
of the detonating gas that is being produced in the
silver-cadmium batteries, the said batteries were
changed to the nickel-hydrogen ones.
In case of orbital stages of ―DM‖ type the
minimizing of the potential for break-ups is provided
due to presence of relief dampers on fuel tanks and
gas cylinders.
Principle 3 of the UN COPUOS Guidelines -
Limit the probability of accidental collision in orbit.
Undertaken measures:
Guaranteed withdrawal of orbital stages from the
orbit of launched spacecraft is being undertaken thus
decreasing the probability of dangerous collisions.
In case of the International Space Station (ISS) the
estimation of probability of collisions is being carried
out on a regular basis. Maneuvers of the ISS are
envisioned thus decreasing the probability of
collisions.
Principle 4 of the UN COPUOS Guidelines -
Avoid intentional destruction and other harmful
activities.
Undertaken measures:
Intentional destructions are prohibited at all
launchers, orbital stages and spacecraft developed by
Roscosmos.
Principle 5 of the UN COPUOS Guidelines -
Minimize potential for post-mission break-ups resulting
from stored energy.
Undertaken measures:
The pressure release from fuel tanks is made in case
of orbital stages after their withdrawal from the
launched spacecraft
For orbital stages of ―DM‖ type the removal of
remainders of fuel, a discharge of batteries are
implemented.
For spacecraft of ―Express‖ and ―Gonets‖ types the
termination of rotation of mechanical devices,
removal of the remainders of fuel and discharge of
batteries are implemented.
Principle 6 of the UN COPUOS Guidelines -
Limit the long-term presence of spacecraft and launch
vehicle orbital stages in the low Earth orbit (LEO)
region after the end of their mission.
Undertaken measures:
At the end of mission at presence of a fuel reserve the
orbital stages "Frigat", ―DM‖ are disposed with the
subsequent splashing down.
In case of spacecraft "Monitor" type its disposal is
envisioned from to lower orbit.
In spacecraft ―Sterkh‖ the reduction of orbital
lifetime is incorporated by change of solar arrays
configuration.
Principle 7 of the UN COPUOS Guidelines -
Limit the long-term interference of spacecraft and
launch vehicle orbital stages with the GEO region after
the end of their mission.
Undertaken measures:
For newly designed GEO spacecraft disposal to a
burial zone is envisioned after the end of their
mission (in according with the IADC formula and
eccentricity less than 0.003).
One more example illustrates the Russian practice on
GEO disposal. This is the emergency situation of
―Express AM-11‖ in March 2006. The prospective
reason was a depressurization of the heat-carrier pipe
due to impact with mechanical object. Disposal of the
emergency S/C from the protected GEO region was
performed as result of 10 disposal burns. The first pulse
was done by correction engine. Another 9 pulses were
done by orientation engines. The resulted disposal
orbit was in according with the IADC requirements.
In April, 2008 Roscosmos hosted the 26-th
IADC Meeting. The meeting was held in Moscow. All
delegations (about 150 delegates) were present at the
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meeting. A number of questions were discussed such
as:
International space debris observational campaigns,
The study of the importance of non-GEO objects for
S/C in GEO,
Sensor systems to detect impacts on spacecraft
IADC Reentry Campaigns and many others.
The discussions taken place were useful to find the
ways of further investigations.
New Russian National Standard ―General
Requirements to Spacecraft and Orbital Stages on
Space Debris Mitigation‖ had come into force. The
requirements of the Standard should be applied to new
designed and updated space vehicles of different type:
civil, science, commercial, military and manned
missions. Application of the Standard requirements
spreads to all stages of life cycle of space vehicles:
designing, manufacturing, launch, operation and
disposal. The requirements of the Standard are fully in
line with the UN Mitigation Guidelines
In according with the Federal Space Program of
Russia the Automated Information & Analytical
System for Short- and Long-Term Prediction and
Warning of the Emergency Situations in Space have
been developed. Mission Control Center together with
NASA regularly analyze the close approaches between
ISS with other objects to assess the collision risks. If
hazardous situation occur a set of maneuvers to avoid
the dangerous space object is fulfilled by ISS. Such
maneuvers were realized on August last year and in
March this year. The Russian Mission Control Center
tracks the objects re-entering the upper atmosphere. In
this case special attention is paid to large-size space
objects or so called risk objects.
3. THE FURTHER STEPS IN ASSURANCE OF
SAFETY IN SPACE The further step in assurance of safety in space
may be so called ―Space Traffic Management‖ that was
proposed by International Academy of Astronautics in
its Report to the Science Technical Subcommittee UN
COPUOS [4]. ―Space traffic management‖ is being
understood as development and implementation of a set
of the normative documents and organizational
procedures providing safety of space activity at all
space mission stages. There is not supposed the need of
a unified structure for the control over space motion.
The problem can be solved within the limits of
interaction of the national and international
organizations executing mission control of space
objects, on the basis of the conventional agreements
and instructions. The Report proposes possible structure of the set
of documents and procedures on space traffic
management. The international inter-governmental
agreements envisioned would contain three parts:
Securing the Information Needs;
Notification System;
Traffic Management. Organization procedures for provision of inter-
governmental agreements may be as follows:
the provisions of the three agreements initially could
be monitored by UN Committee on the Peaceful
Uses of Outer Space and handled by the UN Office
for Outer Space Affairs.
subsequently, post 2020 the new agreement, together
with the existing space treaties, could be superseded
by a comprehensive Outer Space Convention.
As the first steps on space traffic improvement
the Report lists the following measures:
coordination and steady raising of efforts to establish
an unified policy and an infrastructure of
management of the Catalogue of observable space
objects (USA, ESA, Russia and others, including
the private organizations);
enforcement and checking mechanisms resulting in
obligatory notification / registration and the provision
of unified sets of relevant data for the objects
launched into outer space;
UN COPUOS should start discussing whether or not
space debris is space object in the sense used in space
law treaties.
The mutual consent of participants of space
activity on ―space traffic management‖ can be achieved
only on the basis of the international and
intergovernmental agreements on safe use of outer
space that should not substitute the ―United Nations
Treaties and Principles on Outer Space‖. Discussion of
―space traffic management‖ should be carried out in the
competent international organizations that enjoy
authority in respect to states and organizations of the
international community.
4. SPACE DEBRIS AND CHALLENGES TO
NATIONAL SECURITY OF STATES Space debris issues are connected with aspects of
national security of states by the following reasons:
debris environment reflects the background - target
conditions which is necessary for planning any
military action in space;
space debris may be used as a legend to cover
military action against any space asset, for example by
using of small-sized (invisible)satellites;
pretext of space debris allow to catch an excuse for
beginning of military action if the situation produced
rights, capabilities, and freedom of action in space.
The example of potentially disputed situation is
the sudden failure of some military or important civil
spacecraft of any state. If the event cannot be explained
by observational data the possibility remains to explain
the failure as result of deliberate impact by using
invisible (for observational means of victim party)
satellites. So, it is especially important to agree the
6
procedures of notification about launches and
maneuvers of small satellites in outer space. Visibility
of small satellites may be increased by using of special
radio beacons or angular reflectors which should be
envisioned in structure of their onboard equipment. In
case of absence of the said improvements space
systems customers should avoid application of poorly
visible satellites in orbits, especially in GEO. The UN COPUOS space debris mitigation
principle 4 - not to create intentionally long-lived space
debris – is especially meaningful because it establishes
limitations on tests of any anti-satellite systems and
decreases the danger of collisions. The question of increasing urgency concerns
capability of cleaning of the actively used orbits from
space debris. Such operations can be realized with use
of technologies of detection, approach, docking and
disposal of dangerous objects to a burial zone. However
it is necessary to determine the rules of identification of
space objects that should be deleted as useless ones and
relating to space debris. To carry out such operations
the more detailed description of mission purpose, the
spacecraft features and operation plan in orbit is
required for the Register of the United Nations. Just
now some of these data are not available especially in
case of military assets. Principles of free access to or use of space are
incorporated in the fundamentals of national policy of
all leading space faring nations. Unified rules on space
traffic management will be directed to prevent the
dangerous situations in space. Adoption of the said
rules may lead to some limitations that contradict
conventional understanding of interests of national
security in field of space activity. Any progress in space
traffic management will appear effective only in case
when it will be carried out on the basis of voluntary
adopted limitations for every participant of space
activity on basis of consensus.
With the aim to preserve Space in order to
increase knowledge, discovery, economic prosperity
the question about ―space traffic management‖ may be
discussed at the international level under condition not
to create any unilateral advantages for any participant
of space activity under condition not to create any
unilateral advantages for any participant of space
activity
CONCLUSION
Orbital debris poses a risk to continued reliable use
of space-based services and operations and to the
safety of persons and property in space and on Earth.
Space debris problem concerns not only space
engineering and space technologies, but also the
social and economic development of states and their
national security.
Coordinated efforts of space faring nations have
produced the fundamental documents on space debris
mitigation: the ―IADC Space Debris Mitigation
Guidelines‖ and the UN COPUOS Space Debris
Mitigation Guidelines that was endorsed by the UN
General Assembly.
The Russian Federation supports the UN COPUOS
Space Debris Mitigation Guidelines and actively
introduces the corresponding requirements into
national practices on space debris mitigation.
The further step – ―Space traffic management‖ may
be studied as an impendent measure owing to
escalating intensity of space activity in conditions of
limited orbital resources. This step will demand the
holistic approach at which all aspects of space
activity should be considered taken together.
REFERENCIES
1. ―Inter-Agency Space Debris Coordination
Committee Space Debris Mitigation Guidelines‖,
Abano Terme, Italy, 2002.
2. ―UN COPUOS Space Debris Mitigation Guidelines‖,
62-nd session of the UN Committee on the Peaceful
Uses of Outer Space, Vienna, Austria, 2007.
3. Second Report and Order of the Federal
Communications Commission, Parts 5, 25, and 97
Mitigation of Orbital Debris, IB Docket No. 02-54,
Washington, D.C. 20554, Released: June 21, 2004.
4. ―Cosmic study of Space Traffic Management‖, the
Report of International Academy of Astronautics to the
Scientific and Technical Subcommittee of the UN
COPUOS, Veinna, Austria, 2006.