South Asian Precipitation: A Seamless Assessment:

SAPRISE

An NERC/MoES funded project

Changing Water Cycle Programme

PIs: Krishna AchutaRaoMat Collins

Partner Institutions and Scientists1: IIT, Delhi: Prof Krishna AchutaRao, Dr Sagnik Dey2: Univ. Exeter: Prof Mat Collins, Dr Indrani Roy3: ICCSIR, Gujarat: Dr Vikram M. Mehta, Dr Satyendra Bhandari, Dr Rohit

Srivastava 4: IITM, Pune: Dr K. Ashok, Dr. Jayasree Revadekar, Mr Sudhir Sabade5: IIT, Kanpur: Prof S.N. Tripathi6: IIT, Kharagpur: Prof P.C. Pandey, Dr Mihir Kumar Dash7: IMD: Dr D.R. Pattanaik8: Met Office Hadley Centre: Dr B. Bhaskaran, Dr Alberto Arribas, Dr Viju

John, Dr Richard Levine, Dr Gill Martin, Dr Sean Milton, Dr Jane Mulcahy

9: NCMRWF: Dr E.N. Rajagopal, Dr Ashis K. Mitra, Dr Raghu Ashrit, Mr G.R. Iyengar, Dr John P. George

10: Univ. Reading: Dr Andy Turner, Dr Richard Allan, Dr Liang Guo, Prof Ellie Highwood

Guests: Kopal Arora, Christine Chung, Sam Ferrett, David Long, Thomas Mendlik, Joe Osborne, …

Aims of the Meeting

• To (further) get to know each other

• To report on the research and other activities that has been going on

• To identify areas for joint research, papers etc.

• For me and Krishna to capture some of the information why might need for reporting/promoting the project

Wednesday AM Discussion Session

Possible topics– Ideas for collaboration within the project– Future research topics– Pathways to impact– Future funding opportunities– Other opportunities (workshops etc.)– Venue of next meeting

Recent/Future Activities

• Some project members attended a ‘reporting’ meeting in Delhi in February (co-incident with meeting on future funding call)

• I met with Ken Sperber (Scientific Oversight Committee - SOC) to explain the project to him

• UK Changing Water Cycle meeting• Forthcoming joint Indian and Pacific CLIVAR

panel – Wenju Cai (SOC) is co-chair of PP

Admin Stuff• Please make your own name badge• Underline the name you wish to go by e.g. Mat

Collins

• WIFI – temporary accounts supplied every day. See circulating sheet. Choose a username/password then cross it off the list

• Weather: Dry with sunny spells, small chance of a shower. 10-20°C

Project Dinner

Dinner Choices

Management and Oversight• Regular email and telephone/Skype meetings between PIs• 3 project meetings planned + local UK and India meetings.

– Kickoff meeting held at Pune in Feb 2012– Next meeting being planned for Exeter, UK in June 24-26

2013• Scientific Overview Committee comprising 3 international

scientists– Ken Sperber, PCMDI, Co-chair CLIVAR Asian-Australian

Monsoon Panel– Wenju Cai, CSIRO, Co-chair CLIVAR Pacific Implementation

Panel– Olivier Boucher, LMD, Co-CLA IPCC AR5 Aerosols Chapter

• Technical Steering Committee in India to help in decision making.– K. AchutaRao (IITD), K. Ashok (IITM), E.N. Rajagopal

(NCMRWF), S. N. Tripathi (IITK), Dr. Vijay Kumar (MoES)

Scientific Objectives

• To investigate driving processes, variability, predictability and forced changes in South Asian precipitation on multiple time scales.

• A key focus will be on interactions with the Indian and remote ocean basins and on the local and remote interactions with the dynamic and radiative effects of aerosol.

Scientific Summary• Strength of Monsoon in models sensitive to both large-

and small-scale processes and features (Tibetan Plateau, SSTs, land-surface, monsoon depressions, …). Follow up on Arabian SST issue in CMIP5 (UoE)?

• Intriguing results on decadal variability and predictability. • What are we verifying our models and predictions

against? Divergence in observational estimates of rainfall. How to follow up?

• Aerosol impacts – how good are our models and how do aerosols impact on monsoon rainfall? Potentially very powerful set of experiments planned.

Wednesday AM Discussion Session

Possible topics– Ideas for collaboration within the project and

future research topics (see previous slide)– Pathways to impact– Future funding opportunities (Monsoon

Mission?)– Other opportunities (workshops etc.)– Venue and timing of next meeting

Pathways to Impact

• All UK PDRAs to attend NERC media training

• Social networking

• Engagement through Indian Network for Climate Change Assessment (INCCA)

• Invite Indian policy makers to project meeting (e.g. Ashok is part of UNFCCC negotiations)