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1/11/2010 1 Sources of Error Major: All Engineering Majors Authors: Autar Kaw, Luke Snyder http://numericalmethods.eng.usf.edu Transforming Numerical Methods Education for STEM Undergraduates

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Page 1: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

1/11/2010 1

Sources of Error

Major: All Engineering MajorsAuthors: Autar Kaw, Luke Snyder

http://numericalmethods.eng.usf.eduTransforming Numerical Methods Education for STEM

Undergraduates

Page 2: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

Sources of Error

http://numericalmethods.eng.usf.edu

Page 3: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

3

Two sources of numerical error

1) Round off error2) Truncation error

Page 4: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

4

Round-off Error

http://numericalmethods.eng.usf.edu

Page 5: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

5

Round off Error

• Caused by representing a number approximately

333333.031≅

...4142.12 ≅

Page 6: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

6

Problems created by round off error

• 28 Americans were killed on February 25, 1991 by an Iraqi Scud missile in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia.

• The patriot defense system failed to track and intercept the Scud. Why?

Page 7: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

7

Problem with Patriot missile

• Clock cycle of 1/10 seconds was represented in 24-bit fixed point register created an error of 9.5 x 10-8 seconds.

• The battery was on for 100 consecutive hours, thus causing an inaccuracy of

1hr3600s100hr

0.1ss109.5 8 ×××= −

s342.0=

Page 8: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

8

Problem (cont.)

• The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687 meters.

• The target was considered to be out of range at a distance greater than 137 meters.

Page 9: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

9

Effect of Carrying Significant Digits in Calculations

http://numericalmethods.eng.usf.edu

Page 10: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

10

Find the contraction in the diameter

dTTDDc

a

T

T

)(∫=∆ α

Ta=80oF; Tc=-108oF; D=12.363”

α = a0+ a1T + a2T2

Page 11: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

11

Thermal Expansion Coefficient vs Temperature

TDD ∆=∆ α

T(oF) α (μin/in/oF)-340 2.45-300 3.07-220 4.08-160 4.72-80 5.430 6.0040 6.2480 6.47

Page 12: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

12

Regressing Data in Excel(general format)

α = -1E-05T2 + 0.0062T + 6.0234

Page 13: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

13

Observed and Predicted Values

T(oF) α (μin/in/oF)Given

α (μin/in/oF)Predicted

-340 2.45 2.76

-300 3.07 3.26

-220 4.08 4.18

-160 4.72 4.78

-80 5.43 5.46

0 6.00 6.02

40 6.24 6.26

80 6.47 6.46

α = -1E-05T2 + 0.0062T + 6.0234

Page 14: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

14

Regressing Data in Excel(scientific format)

α = -1.2360E-05T2 + 6.2714E-03T + 6.0234

Page 15: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

15

Observed and Predicted Values

T(oF) α (μin/in/oF)Given

α (μin/in/oF)Predicted

-340 2.45 2.46

-300 3.07 3.03

-220 4.08 4.05

-160 4.72 4.70

-80 5.43 5.44

0 6.00 6.02

40 6.24 6.25

80 6.47 6.45

α = -1.2360E-05T2 + 6.2714E-03T + 6.0234

Page 16: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

16

Observed and Predicted Values

T(oF) α (μin/in/oF)Given

α (μin/in/oF)Predicted

α (μin/in/oF)Predicted

-340 2.45 2.46 2.76

-300 3.07 3.03 3.26

-220 4.08 4.05 4.18

-160 4.72 4.70 4.78

-80 5.43 5.44 5.46

0 6.00 6.02 6.02

40 6.24 6.25 6.26

80 6.47 6.45 6.46

α = -1.2360E-05T2 + 6.2714E-03T + 6.0234α = -1E-05T2 + 0.0062T + 6.0234

Page 17: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

17

THE END

Page 18: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

18

Truncation Error

http://numericalmethods.eng.usf.edu

Page 19: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

19

Truncation error

• Error caused by truncating or approximating a mathematical procedure.

Page 20: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

20

Example of Truncation Error

Taking only a few terms of a Maclaurin series toapproximate

....................!3!2

132

++++=xxxex

xe

If only 3 terms are used,

++−=

!21

2xxeErrorTruncation x

Page 21: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

21

Another Example of Truncation Error

Using a finite x∆ to approximate )(xf ′

xxfxxfxf

∆−∆+

≈′ )()()(

P

Q

secant line

tangent line

Figure 1. Approximate derivative using finite Δx

Page 22: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

22

Another Example of Truncation Error

Using finite rectangles to approximate an integral.

y = x 2

0

30

60

90

0 1.5 3 4.5 6 7.5 9 10.5 12

y

x

Page 23: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

23

Example 1 —Maclaurin series

Calculate the value of 2.1e with an absolute

relative approximate error of less than 1%....................

!32.1

!22.12.11

322.1 ++++=e

n1 1 __ ___

2 2.2 1.2 54.545

3 2.92 0.72 24.658

4 3.208 0.288 8.9776

5 3.2944 0.0864 2.6226

6 3.3151 0.020736 0.62550

aE %a∈2.1e

6 terms are required. How many are required to get at least 1 significant digit correct in your answer?

Page 24: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

24

Example 2 —Differentiation

Find )3(f ′ for 2)( xxf = usingx

xfxxfxf∆

−∆+≈′ )()()(

and 2.0=∆x

2.0)3()2.03()3(' fff −+

=

2.0)3()2.3( ff −

=2.0

32.3 22 −=

2.0924.10 −

=2.0

24.1= 2.6=

The actual value is,2)(' xxf = 632)3(' =×=f

Truncation error is then, 2.02.66 −=−

Can you find the truncation error with 1.0=∆x

Page 25: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

25

Example 3 — Integration

Use two rectangles of equal width to approximate the area under the curve for

2)( xxf = over the interval ]9,3[

y = x 2

0

30

60

90

0 3 6 9 12

y

x

∫9

3

2dxx

Page 26: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

26

Integration example (cont.)

)69()()36()(6

2

3

29

3

2 −+−===∫ xx

xxdxx

3)6(3)3( 22 +=13510827 =+=

Choosing a width of 3, we have

Actual value is given by

∫9

3

2dxx9

3

3

3

=

x234

339 33

=

−=

Truncation error is then99135234 =−

Can you find the truncation error with 4 rectangles?

Page 27: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

Additional ResourcesFor all resources on this topic such as digital audiovisual lectures, primers, textbook chapters, multiple-choice tests, worksheets in MATLAB, MATHEMATICA, MathCad and MAPLE, blogs, related physical problems, please visit

http://numericalmethods.eng.usf.edu/topics/sources_of_error.html

Page 28: Sources of Error - MATH FOR COLLEGEmathforcollege.com/nm/...aae_spe_pptsourcesoferror.pdf · 8 Problem (cont.) • The shift calculated in the ranging system of the missile was 687

THE END

http://numericalmethods.eng.usf.edu