source: cbsl · source: cbsl source: cbsl 5.00% 7.00% 9.00% 11.00% 19 19 19 19 9 19 19 19 19 19 19...
TRANSCRIPT
Source: CSE
Source: CBSL
-50
50
150
250
350
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
Jan
-17
Feb
-17
Mar
-17
Ap
r-1
7
May
-17
Jun
-17
Jul-
17
Au
g-1
7
Sep
-17
Oct
-17
No
v-1
7
De
c-1
7
Jan
-18
Feb
-18
Mar
-18
Ap
r-1
8
May
-18
Jun
-18
Jul-
18
Au
g-1
8
Sep
-18
Oct
-18
No
v-1
8
De
c-1
8
Jan
-19
Feb
-19
Mar
-19
Ap
r-1
9
May
-19
Jun
-19
Jul-
19
Au
g-1
9
Sep
-19
Oct
-19
No
v-1
9
De
c-1
9
Volume ASPI
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00
13.00
14.00
Jan
-17
Feb
-17
Mar
-17
Ap
r-1
7M
ay-1
7Ju
n-1
7Ju
l-1
7A
ug-
17
Sep
-17
Oct
-17
No
v-1
7D
ec-
17
Jan
-18
Feb
-18
Mar
-18
Ap
r-1
8M
ay-1
8Ju
n-1
8Ju
l-1
8A
ug-
18
Sep
-18
Oct
-18
No
v-1
8D
ec-
18
Jan
-19
Feb
-19
Mar
-19
Ap
r-1
9M
ay-1
9Ju
n-1
9Ju
l-1
9A
ug-
19
Sep
-19
Oct
-19
No
v-1
9D
ec-
19
%
5 Year
7 Year
10 Year
15-Mar-2035
01-Mar-2045
Source: Dept of Census and Statistics
Source: OANDA
Inflation increased by 50 bps for the month of December. Food inflation had increased from 4.6% to 6.3%YoY in December 2019. Non-food inflation also increased from 4.2% to 4.3% YoY in December 2019.
The USD/LKR exchange rate marginally depreciated by 0.34% in December. Also, for the month of Decemberthe CB was a net seller of USD, recording a sale of USD 4.0 Mn.
4.8%
4.3%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
Jan
Feb
Mar
Ap
r
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
ber
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
ber
Dec
em
ber
Jan
uar
y
Feb
ruar
y
Mar
ch
Ap
ril
May
Jun
e
July
Au
gust
Sep
tem
ber
Oct
ob
er
No
vem
ber
Dec
em
ber
2018 2019
CCPI-Point to Point CCPI-12MMA
95.00%
105.00%
115.00%
125.00%
De
c-1
6
Jan
-17
Feb
-17
Mar
-17
Ap
r-1
7
May
-17
Jun
-17
Jul-
17
Au
g-1
7
Sep
-17
Oct
-17
No
v-1
7
De
c-1
7
Jan
-18
Feb
-18
Mar
-18
Ap
r-1
8
May
-18
Jun
-18
Jul-
18
Au
g-1
8
Sep
-18
Oct
-18
No
v-1
8
De
c-1
8
Jan
-19
Feb
-19
Mar
-19
Ap
r-1
9
May
-19
Jun
-19
Jul-
19
Au
g-1
9
Sep
-19
Oct
-19
No
v-1
9
De
c-1
9
December was a sluggish month for the market with low activity levels across all participants.The ASPI was down by 1.33% for the month of December. The average daily volume forDecember 2019 was 28.8 Mn which was below the average YTD daily trading volume of 38.3Mn. The average turnover for December was LKR 558.7 Mn which is again below the YTDaverage turnover of LKR 711.2 Mn.
Source: CSE
4,0402,022
-8,693
1,681
-692
9
-1,204-1,651-1,650
-6,976-5,280-4,699
-2,320-2,713-1,153
1,742
-1,190 -786
7,080
-2,121-1,244-1,743
-6,421
-978
Jan-18
Feb-18
Mar-18
Apr-18
May-18
Jun-18
Jul-18
Aug-18
Sep-18
Oct-18
Nov-18
Dec-18
Jan-19
Feb-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
May-19
Jun-19
Jul-19
Aug-19
Sep-19
Oct-19
Nov-19
Dec-19
Source: CBSL Source: CBSL
5.00%
7.00%
9.00%
11.00%
Jan
-19
Feb
-19
Mar
-19
Ap
r-1
9
May
-19
Jun
-19
Jul-
19
Au
g-1
9
Sep
-19
Oct
-19
No
v-1
9
De
c-1
9% 3m
6m
12m
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00
13.00
14.00
Jan
-19
Feb
-19
Mar
-19
Ap
r-1
9
May
-19
Jun
-19
Jul-
19
Au
g-1
9
Sep
-19
Oct
-19
No
v-1
9
De
c-1
9
% 5 Year
7 Year
10 Year
15-Mar-2035
01-Mar-2045
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
1.27
3.85
1.27
3.85
-3.77
-15.82
-16.03
-13.67
* Non-annualized return
23%12%
10%
7%
7%
Banks
Capital Goods
Consumer Durables andApparels
Healthcare Equipment andServices
Food, Beverage & Tobacco
Equity70%
MM+Cash (Net of
Payables)1%
Commercial Papers
27%
Debentures2%
75
95
115
135
155
Dec
-15
Feb
-16
Ap
r-16
Jun
-16
Au
g-1
6
Oct
-16
Dec
-16
Feb
-17
Ap
r-17
Jun
-17
Au
g-1
7
Oct
-17
Dec
-17
Feb
-18
Ap
r-18
Jun
-18
Au
g-1
8
Oct
-18
Dec
-18
Feb
-19
Ap
r-19
Jun
-19
Au
g-1
9
Oct
-19
Dec
-19
75
95
115
135
155
NEF Index ASPI Index
1.27
1.92
1.27
1.92
-3.77
-14.88
-16.03
-16.18
* Non-annualized return
Equity, 78.4%
MM+Cash (Net of
Payables), 0.7%
Commercial Papers, 18.6%
Debentures, 2.3%
75
95
115
135
155
175
Dec
-15
Feb
-16
Ap
r-1
6
Jun
-16
Au
g-16
Oct
-16
Dec
-16
Feb
-17
Ap
r-17
Jun
-17
Au
g-17
Oct
-17
Dec
-17
Feb
-18
Ap
r-1
8
Jun
-18
Au
g-18
Oct
-18
Dec
-18
Feb
-19
Ap
r-1
9
Jun
-19
Au
g-19
Oct
-19
Dec
-19
75
95
115
135
155
175
NGF Index ASPI Index
26%
12%
12%
7%
5%
Banks
Consumer Durables and…
Capital Goods
Healthcare Equipment…
Food Staples & Retailing
37.41%
47.74%
4.72%
10.12%
Less than 1 month
1 - 2 months
2 - 3 months
More than 3 months
AA- (Fitch)9%
A+ (ICRA)7%
A (ICRA)38%
A- (ICRA)10%
A- (Fitch)11%
BBB+ (ICRA)18%
BBB- (ICRA)7%