sony music mrp phase ii review (2014)

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    MRP Phase II Review

    October 8, 2014

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    Agenda

    2

    Executive SummaryFull Year FYE15 Forecast

    Brief Overview/Phase I Recap

    Market OverviewCompetitor Analysis

    Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

    Financials (Main Focus)

    Financial Anatomy of the Business

    MRP Assumptions

    Financial Projections

    Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers

    Potential Strategic Investments

    Mid-Range Plan

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    Agenda

    3

    Mid-Range Plan

    Executive SummaryFull Year FYE15 Forecast

    Brief Overview/Phase I Recap

    Market OverviewCompetitor Analysis

    Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

    Financials (Main Focus)

    Financial Anatomy of the Business

    MRP Assumptions

    Financial Projections

    Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers

    Potential Strategic Investments

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    Corporate Strategy

    44

    VisionA Global Market Share Leader PoweredBy The Industry's Best Creative TeamsAnd Delivering Maximum Profits

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    Key Strategic Priorities

    Grow MarketShare

    Expand andGrow DigitalRevenueModels

    MaximizeResultsAcross AllOur

    InternationalOperations

    Reduce andControlCosts/Maximize

    Efficiencies

    MaximizeOpportunitiesWith BroaderRights and

    New Business

    2 3 4 5 6

    AggressivelyPursueOne SonyInitiatives

    Roadmap to Winning During Mid-Range Planning Period

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    FYE15 Financial Results ($ In Millions)

    New and Developing Artist Success

    September YTD Full Year

    FYE14ACT FYE15ACT Vs. PY FYE15FC

    Revenues $1,286 $1,261 $2,780

    OperatingIncome $95 $107 $240

    Net Cash FlowBefore Financing $42 $66 $138

    +$12M

    -$25M

    +$24M

    Full YearForecastedOperating

    Income andCash Flow

    Expected tobe On orAbove

    Business Plan

    Strong Start to Fiscal Year, WellPositioned Going In to Second Half

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    Recent New and Developing Artist Success

    MAGIC! Meghan Trainor Ella Henderson Pharrell Williams Calvin Harris A Great Big World

    Kid Ink Sia Rita Ora Hozier MKTO Pentatonix

    Fifth Harmony Kongos Bobby Shmurda Future Tyler Farr George Ezra

    Collabro Juicy J Becky G Tinashe Bleachers G-Eazy

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    Strong Slate of Key Releases In Balance of Year

    Barbra Streisand (Sep 14) Kenny Chesney (Sep 14) Jason Aldean (Oct 14) Pentatonix (Nov 14)

    Pink Floyd (Nov 14) Pitbull (Nov 14) One Direction (Nov 14) Foo Fighters (Nov 14)

    Calvin Harris (Nov 14) Olly Murs (Nov 14) Garth Brooks (Nov 14) Usher (Dec 14)

    Meghan Trainor (Dec 14) AC/DC (Dec 14) Miguel (Dec 14) Carrie Underwood (Dec 14)

    J. Cole (Feb 15) Adele (Mar 15) Kelly Clarkson (Mar 15) Alicia Keys (Mar 15)

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    SME Revenues

    SME Operating Income

    MRP Financial Highlights ($ In Millions)

    $2,820 $2,780 $2,735 $2,763 $2,896

    FYE12 FYE15 FYE16 FYE17 FYE18

    CAGR+0.4%

    Mid-Range Planning PeriodForecast

    MRP Period WillContinue to DeliverImproved Profitsand Profit Margins

    Operating Incomeand Cash FlowTargets Favorableto Prior MRP

    Actual

    $133

    $240$250 $260

    $275

    FYE12 FYE15 FYE16 FYE17 FYE18

    CAGR+12.9%

    Mid-Range Planning PeriodForecastActual

    % OperatingIncome Margin 4.7% 8.6% 9.1% 9.4% 9.5%

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    Agenda

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    Mid-Range Plan

    Executive SummaryFull Year FYE15 Forecast

    Brief Overview/Phase I Recap

    Market OverviewCompetitor Analysis

    Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

    Financials (Main Focus)

    Financial Anatomy of the Business

    MRP Assumptions

    Financial Projections

    Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers

    Potential Strategic Investments

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    $1,286$1,183 $1,261

    $95

    $30

    $107

    FYE14ACT FYE15BP FYE15ACT FYE14ACT FYE15BP FYE15ACTRevenues Operating Income

    September YTD ($ In Millions)

    FYE14ACT FYE15BP FYE15ACT Vs PY Vs BP Highlights

    Revenues $1,286 $1,183 $1,261Favorable Sales Due to:

    Success of Michael Jackson and Pharrell Williams

    Unbudgeted John Legend Carryover, Jack White and Future

    Favorable Sales and Success of MAGIC!

    Earlier Than budgeted Release of Sia and Kenny Chesney

    Favorable Digital Track Sales of Meghan Trainor, DJ Snake and Calvin Harris

    Favorable SoundExchange Recognition of Digital Unearned Advances/Guarantees (SNEI and XBOX)

    Partially Offset by: Slippage of Usher, Rita Ora, Maxwell and Miguel

    Favorable Operating Income Due to:

    Favorable Flow Through From Sales

    Recognition of Beats Gain On Sale and Sale of Nashville Building

    Favorable Syco International TV Format Revenues

    Favorable Timing of Talent

    Favorable Cash Flow Due to:

    Higher Operating Results

    Proceeds From Sale of Nashville Building and Proceeds From Sale of BeatsInvestment

    Partly Offset by Syco Dividend Payment to Simon Cowell and Timing ofPayments

    Operating Income $95 $30 $107

    Net Income $101 $18 $57

    Net Cash Flow

    Before Financing $42 $38 $66

    +$77M

    +$39M

    +$78M

    11

    +$12M

    +$28M+$24M

    -$25M

    -$44M

    +$77M

    Vs BP

    +$12M

    Vs PY

    *Net Income Significantly Unfavorable to Prior Year As Prior Year Included Favorable Tax Audit Settlement In Holland

    *

    -$25MVs PY

    +$78MVs BP

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    September YTDMajor Sellers (Revenues)

    *Michael Jackson Includes 10M In Additional Revenues Due to Sony Mobile Deal; Pharrell Williams Includes Sales of Both Album G I R L and Single Happy

    Michael Jackson* $29M Pharrell Williams* $13M($31M RTD) John Legend$10M($22M RTD)

    Now 88 $9M

    Chris Brown $7M($11M RTD)

    Miranda Lambert $7M Barbra Streisand $6M MAGIC! $6M

    Sia $6M Beyonc $5M($47M RTD) Calvin Harris (singles) $5M($7M RTD) Now 87 $5M($10M RTD)

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    Full Year FYE15 ($ In Millions)

    FYE13ACT FYE14ACT FYE15FC

    Revenues $2,790 $2,869 $2,780

    Operating

    Income $218 $238 $240

    Net Income $192 $194 $138

    Net Cash

    Flow BeforeFinancing $162 $150 $138

    FYE15 Forecast

    Expected to BeOn or Ahead ofBusiness Plan

    1) FYE13 Net Income Includes Reversal of Brazils Valuation Allowance

    2) FYE14 Net Income Includes Reversal of Tax Provisions As A Result of Favorable Tax Audit Settlements In Holland

    3) Includes $30M Benefit From Deferring NOW! Investment Into FYE14

    (2)(1)

    (3)

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    Agenda

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    Mid-Range PlanExecutive Summary

    Full Year FYE15 Forecast

    Brief Overview/Phase I Recap

    Market OverviewCompetitor Analysis

    Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

    Financials (Main Focus)

    Financial Anatomy of the BusinessMRP Assumptions

    Financial Projections

    Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers

    Potential Strategic Investments

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    U.S. Industry RevenuesRIAA Figures ($ In Millions)

    1H 2013 1H 2014 B/(W)

    Total Physical $571 $482

    Downloads $1,076 $956

    Subscriptions (Paid) 151 204

    Streaming (Ad-Supported) 105 165

    Digital Radio 267 323

    Other 26 17

    Total Digital $1,625 $1,665

    Sync 99 88

    Total U.S. Industry $2,295 $2,235

    +35.1%

    +57.1%

    -15.6%

    -11.2%

    +21.0%

    -34.6%

    -11.1%

    -2.6%

    +2.5%

    Strong Growth In RevenuesFrom Streaming Services

    (Growth of 33% Y-O-Y) Helpedto Offset Continued DeclinesIn Physical and Downloads

    Streaming Services Combined Contributed to 31% ofthe Industry Revenues, Up From 23% In Prior Year

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    Worldwide iTunes Year-on-Year Growth (Industry Level)

    1%

    7%

    4%3%

    1%

    -5%-7%

    -6%

    -13%-11%

    -14%

    -17%

    -14%-16%

    -17%-15%

    -14%-15%

    -4%

    Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Fiscal 15Budget

    Assumption2013 2014

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    Spotify & Pandora Active Monthly Users (In Millions)

    10.021.0

    36.1

    54.5

    71.176.4

    QE Jun 2009 QE Jun 2010 QE Jun 2011 QE Jun 2012 QE Jun 2013 QE Jun 2014

    6.0 9.0 11.015.0 16.8

    22.1 23.8

    36.7

    1.0

    3.04.0

    5.08.2

    8.9 9.1

    11.5

    7.012.0

    15.020.0

    25.031.0 32.9

    48.2

    May 2011 Jan 2012 Jun 2012 Dec 2012 Nov 2013 Dec 2013 Jan 2014 Aug 2014

    Paid SubscriptionsActive Users

    +47%Aug From Jan(48.2M TotalActive Users)

    +26%Aug From Jan(11.5M Paid

    Subscriptions)

    Launch of Mobile Free Brings InMore Than 5M Users In the Month

    of December, With 700K Paying

    5.04 Billion Quarterly Listener Hours

    M k t T d R d d M i O l

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    Market TrendsRecorded Music Only(Trade Value, Excluding Japan, $ In Billions)

    $5.3 $4.6 $3.9 $3.0 $2.4

    $5.7$5.9

    $6.4 $7.1 $8.2

    $11.0 $10.5 $10.3 $10.1 $10.6

    FYE14 FYE15 FYE16 FYE17 FYE18Digital +8% +4% +8% +12% +15%

    Physical -10% -13% -16% -21% -23%

    Total -1% -4% -3% -1% +4%

    -2.7%-4.4%

    Mid-Range Planning PeriodForecast

    -1.3%

    Actual

    Excludes New Business Revenues; Digital Figures Include Digital Radio

    +3.6%

    FYE15BP+9%

    FYE15BP-16%

    Prior MRP+12%

    Prior MRP-18%

    Prior MRP+12%

    Prior MRP-20%

    -0.8%

    W ld id Di it l M k t G th P j ti ( J )

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    Mid-Range Planning PeriodForecast

    Worldwide Digital Market Growth Projections (ex-Japan)U.S. Vs. International ($ In Billions)

    $2.9 $3.0 $3.2$3.5

    $3.0 $3.4 $3.9

    $4.7$5.9

    $6.4$7.1

    $8.2

    FYE15 FYE16 FYE17 FYE18

    Total

    CAGR+11%

    IntlCAGR

    +16%

    U.S.CAGR

    +6%

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    Worldwide Digital Market Growth Projections ($ In Millions)

    52% 41%30%

    21%

    27%37%

    48%59%

    11% 13% 15% 14%

    7% 7% 7% 7%2% 1%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    FYE15FC FYE16MRP FYE17MRP FYE18MRP

    Other

    Digital Radio

    Video

    Audio Subs/Streaming

    Downloads

    CAGR

    Downloads $3,091 $2,606 $2,132 $1,705 -18%

    Audio Subs/Streaming 1,614 2,372 3,416 4,782 +44%

    Video 661 860 1,033 1,140 +20%

    Digital Radio 412 468 513 538 +9%

    Other 137 68 17 4 -69%

    Total $5,915 $6,374 $7,111 $8,169 +11%

    FYE15FC FYE16MRP FYE17MRP FYE18MRP

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    Agenda

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    Mid-Range PlanExecutive Summary

    Full Year FYE15 Forecast

    Brief Overview/Phase I Recap

    Market OverviewCompetitor Analysis

    Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

    Financials (Main Focus)

    Financial Anatomy of the BusinessMRP Assumptions

    Financial Projections

    Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers

    Potential Strategic Investments

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    35.0%25.1%

    14.6%

    Based On Internal Best Estimates

    RankGrowth

    From 2012

    U.S. 39.2% 28.5% 2 +0.5% 17.6%

    UK 32.2% 23.9% 2 +2.7% 15.1%

    Germany 33.1% 22.2% 2 +0.9% 9.9%

    France 32.5% 22.0% 2 +4.3% 14.5%

    Australia/NZ 44.0% 25.9% 2 +0.2% 14.5%

    Canada 42.0% 21.6% 2 +0.3% 14.5%

    ROW (incl. SA) 32.8% 22.8% 2 +2.1% 14.5%

    Asia(excl. Japan) 16.2% 12.2% 2 +0.6% 7.6%

    Latin America 33.2% 32.5% 2 +0.5% 12.2%

    WW(excl. Japan) 35.0% 25.1% 2 +1.2% 14.6%

    Universals Acquisition of EMI Has Increased Their Leadership Position In Most Key Markets

    UNI +9.9% pts WMG -10.5% pts

    Calendar 2013 Market Share Breakdown by Territory

    Competitor Comparison Recorded Music

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    Competitor ComparisonRecorded MusicMost Recent 12 Months Available (Including Japan, $ In Millions)

    Revenues & EBITDA Amounts Shown for Comparative Purposes; Adjusted for One-Time and Other ItemsUNI, SME & WMG 12 Months Ended June 30, 2014UNI Includes EMI Acquisition From September 28, 2012; WMG Includes Parlophone Acquisition From July 1, 2013

    Includes SMEJ

    ROS 12%11% incl. SMEJ12% excl. SMEJ 11%

    $5,467

    $644$3,625

    $414

    $2,526

    $275

    Revenues EBITDA EBITDARevenues Revenues EBITDA

    Digital

    $2,251

    Digital

    $1,090

    Digital$1,273

    (SME Only)

    SMEJ $774

    SMEJ $80

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    Agenda

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    Mid-Range PlanExecutive Summary

    Full Year FYE15 Forecast

    Brief Overview/Phase I Recap

    Market OverviewCompetitor Analysis

    Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

    Financials (Main Focus)

    Financial Anatomy of the BusinessMRP Assumptions

    Financial Projections

    Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers

    Potential Strategic Investments

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    Key Strategic Priorities

    Grow MarketShare

    Expand andGrow DigitalRevenueModels

    MaximizeResultsAcross AllOur

    InternationalOperations

    Reduce andControlCosts/Maximize

    Efficiencies

    MaximizeOpportunitiesWith BroaderRights and

    New Business

    2 3 4 5 6

    AggressivelyPursueOne SonyInitiatives

    Roadmap to Winning During Mid-Range Planning Period

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    25.10%

    25.35%

    25.60%

    25.85%

    FYE15 FYE16 FYE17 FYE18

    Key Strategic Priorities

    Maximize New Talent Development Success Across

    All Our Creative Repertoire Sources Aggressively Invest In New Talent

    Expand Our Relationships With Independent LabelSector

    Look For Opportunities to Sign Established Talentand Acquire Catalog

    Mid-Range Planning PeriodForecast

    +0.25%pts

    +0.25%pts

    +0.25%pts

    Flat Growth

    Grow MarketShare

    Maximize New Talent Development Success Across All Our

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    Maximize New Talent Development Success Across All OurCreative Repertoire Centers

    Core Labels

    Exclusive Producer

    Creative Partnerships

    Indie Services

    Catalog Artists

    Classical

    CMG

    SalaamRemi

    DrLukeAsia

    Latin Am.Europe

    GermanyFrance

    Japan

    Local Talent Development

    U.K.

    Labels

    ASTRONAUTSWANTED

    Nashville

    WolfgangBoss

    A i l I I N T l

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    Alex &

    Sierra Hozier

    Rita

    Ora

    London

    Grammar MKTO sgeir Zhu

    KidInk MAGIC! Bleachers Sia Tinashe Pentatonix G-Eazy

    A GreatBig World

    FifthHarmony

    KatDahlia

    MeghanTrainor Kongos

    BobbyShmurda Future

    TylerFarr

    CaseyJames

    Steven LeeOlsen

    TheHenningsens

    JerrodNeimann

    SwonBrothers

    JoshDorr

    UKGeorge

    EzraLaura

    DoggettNothing

    But ThievesLonely

    The BraveRag N

    Bone Man MadeonJamie

    Joseph

    EllaHenderson Collabro

    JackPack

    EttaBond

    MarlonRoudette

    AdySuleiman

    KidArkade

    Targetingto Achieve

    35% orGreaterShare of

    New ArtistBreakouts

    During

    MRP Period

    Aggressively Invest In New Talent

    Strengthen Our Focus On Country and EDM Genre. Recent Achievements Include Signing of

    Garth Brooks, New JV Deal With Disruptor Records and Continued Alignment With Ultra.

    Look For Opportunities to Sign Established Talent and

    http://www.sonymusicnashville.com/artist/josh-dorrhttp://www.sonymusicnashville.com/artist/steven-lee-olsenhttp://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=7_R21YIjZG9-bM&tbnid=iuLJHdiVD46V5M:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://prettymuchamazing.com/music/check-out-tinashe-vulnerable&ei=MsgAU63YH8jKsAT44oDoDQ&psig=AFQjCNHAJ6YxcV1Jc1p_g-cS8N79YB8FvQ&ust=1392646531140902http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=oemmxyzrQHFqtM&tbnid=0VbZyVblVc0KtM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.peoples.ru/art/music/pop/rita_ora/&ei=Ur8AU9znB7SssQTVjYGoCw&bvm=bv.61535280,d.aWc&psig=AFQjCNH_A5DJwsztGDkm-qLJFqboF_5kqg&ust=1392644279920417
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    Look For Opportunities to Sign Established Talent andAcquire Catalog

    Catalog37%

    New

    Music63%

    Catalog41%New

    Music59%

    FYE08 FYE14

    Maximize Digital Revenue Opportunities Through Targeted Partner Driven

    Initiatives Aggressively Pursue Strategic Catalog Investments

    Importance of Catalog Assets Continues As We Migrate More Towards Digital

    K St t i P i iti

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    $686 $701 $706 $752$830

    $577 $636$728

    $868

    $1,060$1.3 B$1.3 B

    $1.4 B

    $1.6 B

    $1.9 B

    Key Strategic Priorities

    TotalCAGR+13%

    SME Digital Revenues

    IntlCAGR+19%

    U.S.CAGR+7%

    Considers Market &Market Share Growth

    Estimated $0.6B Growth In Digital Revenues Over the MRP Period Driven bySignificant Growth In Paid Streaming

    An Overall 44%Growth From FYE15

    2

    Expand andGrow DigitalRevenueModels

    FYE14A FYE15FC FYE16MRP FYE17MRP FYE18MRP CAGR

    Downloads $817 $704 $600 $496 $401 -17%

    Streaming (Paid & Ad-Supported) 250 375 558 812 1,148 45%Video 85 120 158 194 217 22%

    Digital Radio 69 90 104 116 123 11%

    Other 42 26 13 3 1 -68%

    Total $1,263 $1,315 $1,433 $1,621 $1,890 13%

    Global Revenues Continue Decline While Consumption

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    588m

    581m1,070m844m

    428m382m 326m 331m

    316m 289m501m

    1,172m 1,271m 1,271m 1,336m1,259m

    98b

    62b

    31b

    20b24b

    PAID STREAMING

    WITHIN SUBSCRIBTION SERVICES

    AD-SUPPORTED

    26M Paid Monthly Subscribers

    520M music hours / month

    45M monthly listeners 450M music hours / month

    1BN monthly users

    2.4BN music hours / month

    76M monthly listeners

    1.6BN music hours / month

    DIGITAL VIDEO

    DIGITAL RADIO

    26M monthly listeners

    1.6BN music hours / month

    400M monthly listeners

    OTHER CONSUMPTION

    $11.0 $10.5 $10.3 $10.1 $10.6

    2013A 2014FC 2015MRP 2016MRP 2017MRP

    GLOBAL REVENUES EXPECTED TOCONTRACT FURTHER

    MUSIC CONSUMPTION HOWEVERCONTINUES TO GROW

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    GLOBAL CONSUMPTION NUMBERSACROSS CHANNELS AT ALL TIME HIGH

    OWNERSHIP + SUBSCIPTION (US)

    Global Revenues Continue Decline While ConsumptionReaches Record Highs

    C i i t P id S b i ti I Ulti t G l

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    Strategies to support growth and healthytransition from ownership to access are critical

    Continue to adjust ad-supported streamingtiers to drive conversion to paid

    Remove on-demand listening capability

    in ad-supported tiers Further limit ad-supported experience

    through changes in functionality andcontent availability

    Developing policies to restrict/limit promotion

    on free and ad-supported channels Limit digital radio where possible to ensure

    partners have incentive to drive paid tier

    Develop higher-price premium tier to includea higher price point for high-definition audio,

    lyrics, audiovisual and family plans

    Conversion into Paid Subscription Is Ultimate Goal

    PAID SUBSCRIPTION

    PHYSICAL

    AD-SUPPORTED

    $70

    $48

    $19

    $4

    DOWNLOADS

    AVERAGE REVENUE PER USER

    Subscription Will Be Leading Revenue Channel by 2016

    C i i t P id S b i ti I Ulti t G l ( td)

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    Service to device ubiquity willaccelerate consumer adoption of paidsubscription

    Need paid subscription to win thebattle for the car, against current

    low/zero monetization options suchas terrestrial/ digital/ satellite radio

    Consistency of experience onmobile, car and home is key yet

    currently missing for consumer andwill incentivize conversion

    SME to provide necessary incentivesto high-revenue partners so thatthey are able to compete against

    current alternatives

    Conversion into Paid Subscription Is Ultimate Goal (contd)

    Promote Device Ubiquity and Focus on Car Access

    Continue Developing Other Revenue Streams

    http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=M_J1lnAA3iDpRM&tbnid=uT7X6giFFSRydM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://marketplayground.com/2011/10/15/sirius-xm-nasdaqsiri-releases-first-satellite-radio-2-0-product-for-sale/&ei=4SeVUZzqL8e70AGPvYG4Bw&bvm=bv.46471029,d.dmg&psig=AFQjCNEILz0_bZSP6gOjaYzID6hxi4phTA&ust=1368815916971281
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    YouTube subscription has potential to be significantcontributor to growth

    SME to re-evaluate/limit licensing terms for ad-supportedduring MRP periodcurrently only ad-supported platform

    offering on-demand features on both mobile and desktop

    Continue to invest and create significant value in VEVO

    - Develop VEVO.commigrate traffic from YouTube

    - Expand original programming and contentdevelopment

    - Expand internationally in priority territories

    - Develop subscription offering for service without adsand for premium content

    Continue Developing Other Revenue Streams

    Maximize monetization of video content

    Continue Developing Other Revenue Streams (contd)

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    Download business still significantly material andsome customers will not make the switch

    Casual buyer will not transition to higher ARPU ofsubscription

    Ownership still preferred within somedemographics

    Enhance products including more visual element andhigh definition audio

    Download product continues to simply be an audiofile

    Sound quality and audiovisual have been outlinedas key developments of interest by listeners

    Continue Developing Other Revenue Streams (cont d)

    Dont abandon download customer

    Key Strategic Priorities

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    Key Strategic Priorities

    Artist Secure Global ArtistBreakthrough

    MarketContinue to AggressivelyPursue Opportunities toIncrease Repertoire Base(Organically and by Acquisition)

    ExpansionAggressively PursueOpportunities to Exploit Newand Emerging Markets toSecure No. 1 Position

    Common International Initiatives

    Across All Territories

    3

    MaximizeResults AcrossAll OurInternationalOperations

    Expanding Repertoire Base Grow Market Share

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    Expanding Repertoire Base Grow Market Share

    Negotiation withLUIS MIGUEL

    Negotiation withCOLDPLAY

    Negotiation withmajor artist

    KHALIL

    A&R Joint Venture withBLACK BUTTER

    Possible Acquisition

    with SME Classics:HARMONIA MUNDI Exploring

    Acquisitionwith GDB:

    BELIEVE

    Exploring Acquisitionof TRADEMARK:

    BRAVONegotiation with

    STROMAE

    Negotiation with

    ENRIQUE IGLESIAS

    Possible LabelAcquisition:

    NAIVE

    Acquisition targets:YMC /

    CHROME/YEDANG

    Acquisition target:RED FOO

    Label Acquisition:PHONAG/TBA

    MRP InitiativeAggressively Pursue Opportunities to increase

    Repertoire base (Organically and by Acquisition)

    Expanding Regionally Secure No 1 Position

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    Expanding Regionally Secure No. 1 Position

    CHINA:ExpandDigital Businessthrough

    China Mobile Video deal and directonline license deal with eitherTencent, Alibaba or CMC.IncreaseRepertoirethroughsigning of major artists KHALIL fromGold Typhoon (recent WarnerAcquisition) and MO MO WU fromIndie Dream China.

    INDIA:Grow Digital Business with new DSPlaunches, e.g. Spotify, GoogleHungama, Eros, Rdio, Boinc (SriLanka), Rockville (Pakistan).Targeting Catalogueacquisitions:Crescendo & Magnasound.

    VIETNAM:Explore market opportunities,possibly open office

    KENYA/NIGERIA:Grow and exploit West- and East

    African digital markets throughnewly opened office in Lagos andNairobi.

    REPERTOIRE:Target acquisition of local musiccatalogue, e.g. Premier Music, IvoryMusic (African) or Melody, Rotana

    (Arabic).Target JV opportunities withestablished players (Chocalate City,DB Records)

    DIGITAL EXPANSION:Currently in Discussions with mostAfrican Mobile Network Operatorse.g. MTN Nigeria, Etisalat, Airtel,Huawei, Safaricom, Tigo, Vodafone,IMI mobile.Partnership with Digital ServiceProvider NMusic in expansion toAfrica

    PERU:Grow and exploit growing Peruvian

    market through newly opened officein Lima

    CUBA:Explore market entry.Potential Acquisition of Catalogs, e.g.EGREM for worldwide exploitation.

    BRAZIL:Further Explore Digital OpportunitiesExplore opportunities aroundOlympic Games 2016

    TICKETINGExplore and build Ticketing Businessin Latin America

    Overall Goal for RegionTo Grow Profits by 40% to $50m

    LATIN AMERICA AFRICA ASIA

    MRP InitiativeAggressively pursue opportunities to exploit new

    and emerging markets to secure No.1 position

    Key Strategic Priorities

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    Key Strategic Priorities

    Capture and Exploit Broader Rights From New Artist Signings

    Continue to Maximize Exploitation of X Factor and Got Talent TV Formats

    Develop New Formats and Visual Content From Syco and Astronauts Wanted

    (Judy McGrath) JV Seek to Extend Long Term Successful Relationship With Simon Cowell

    SME Global FYE15FC

    New Business Revenues($ In Millions)

    MRP Assumes $261M Revenues

    $84

    $74

    $37

    $6

    $11

    $26

    $23

    TV/Film

    Live

    ArtistManagement

    Merchandising

    Total$261

    Brands/Sponsorship

    Other

    PassiveArtist Rights

    Participation

    Artist Services

    $70M Op. EBIT($33M Profit

    From Syco TV JV)4

    MaximizeOpportunitiesWith BroaderRights and NewBusiness

    Key Strategic Priorities

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    8.3%8.6%

    9.1% 9.4%9.5%

    FYE14 FYE15 FYE16 FYE17 FYE18

    Key Strategic Priorities

    % Operating Income Margins

    Mid-Range Planning Period

    Targeting to Continue to Improve Operating IncomeMargins Over MRP Period Through Initiatives In

    Overhead, Marketing and Supply Chain

    ForecastActual

    5

    Reduce andControl Costs/MaximizeEfficiencies

    Overhead Marketing Costs and Supply Chain

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    Overhead, Marketing Costs and Supply Chain

    Overhead/Headcount

    MarketingCosts

    Supply Chain(Physical + Digital)

    $1,556M

    $954M

    2005 FYE15FC FYE16 FYE17 FYE18

    HC 8,000

    HC 4,182

    Mid-Range Planning Period

    Overhead and Headcount Excludes Increases From Investment In Growth Areas and Emerging Markets

    15.3%15.3%

    $560M

    19.7%

    12.4%% OFNET SALES

    $660M

    2005 FYE15FC FYE16 FYE17 FYE18Mid-Range Planning Period

    2005 FYE15FC FYE16 FYE17 FYE18Mid-Range Planning Period

    Targeting to Maintain Efficient Spending RateWhile Focusing On New Artist Development

    Targeting $45M Gross Savings During MRP

    Period to Partially Offset Inflation

    Targeting to Partly Offset Effects of DecliningPhysical Pricing With Supply Chain Savings

    (% of Net Sales Going From 12.4% to 8.4% Over MRP Period)

    $350M

    $280M

    Key Strategic Priorities

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    Key Strategic Priorities

    6

    AggressivelyPursueOne SonyInitiatives

    Japan

    ELE TRONI S

    50%

    25%

    Michael Jackson Xscape FYE15 SuccessfulOne Sony Global Collaboration

    Sony Music Partnered With Sony Mobile, Sony Electronics

    and Sony Network Entertainment On A Global Co-Marketingand Promotion Campaign

    To Continue to Seek One Sony Opportunities

    http://www.emimusicpub.com/index.php
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    To Continue to Seek One Sony Opportunities

    Pursue Joint Signing Opportunities When Feasible

    Maximize Sync Opportunities With Sony Music Owned Masters and SATV Controlled Copyrights

    Maximize Collaboration Around Industry Related Issues

    Continued Shift of Warehousing and Distribution Service Requirements to DADC:

    - Comprehensive Reintegration of Manufacturing and Distribution, In Australia, Hong Kong, UK, Iberia,Mexico

    - New Long Term Exclusive Manufacturing Deal In Europe

    - Under Negotiation - to Appoint DADC In Brazil As Our New Partner For Manufacturing and Distribution

    - Licensing Out to DADC In Hong Kong Under Review

    Explore Potential Synergies Between The Orchard JV and DADC Digital Ops Group

    James Bond 2015 One Sony Collaboration Collaboration With Sony Music, Sony Pictures and Sony Mobile On Running With Music: Ghostbusters

    Edition, A Ghostbusters Branded Mobile Game

    Exploring Sales & Distribution Cooperation Opportunities With Sony Pictures (Mexico, Benelux, Nordics,Turkey, India, Africa, Brazil and France)

    Continue to Explore Cost Efficiencies Across All Support Areas

    Collaboration With Syco JV On Film/TV Opportunities, Including Potential Investment

    SME Is Currently Exploring Numerous Hi-Res Audio, 4K, and SOMC collaborations:- Creating A Global Hi-Res Album Bundle For Xperia, and Potential Hi-Res Offering On Xperia Through

    Sprint In the U.S. In Q1 2015

    - Working With the U.S. Hi-Res Audio Team On An October Hi-Res Walkman Listening Event

    - Shooting Yahoo Live! Music Events In 4K to Build Up SELs 4K Library

    - A 12-18 Month Partnership Between Sony and the Foo Fighters Which Would Integrate Hi-Res Audio,4K and Potentially Other Divisions Around the Artists 2015 U.S. and Global Tour Schedule

    - Working With SOMC to Provide On An Emerging Artist Platform and A Recurring Offer/StreamingSolution For Xperia Users, Allowing the Customer to Stream A Selection of Music Every Month

    - Successful Sony Jive Music App to Be Launched In Indonesia and Other Territories

    ELE TRONI S

    did l

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    Agenda

    46

    Mid-Range PlanExecutive Summary

    Full Year FYE15 Forecast

    Brief Overview/Phase I RecapMarket Overview

    Competitor Analysis

    Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

    Financials (Main Focus)

    Financial Anatomy of the BusinessMRP Assumptions

    Financial Projections

    Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers

    Potential Strategic Investments

    Repertoire Center Profit Summary

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    Columbia

    RCAEpic

    Nashville

    UKUK Syco

    (ex. Syco)

    25%

    75%

    LocalInternational

    Repertoire

    MajorRepertoire

    Centers

    Talent From Major Repertoire Centers (Primarily English Language) Account For 75% of GlobalProfitsTherefore Critical to Success

    Talent From Local Repertoire Centers Account for 25% of Global ProfitsTherefore Also An

    Important Part of Our Business and Potential Growth Area, Particularly In Emerging Markets

    Repertoire Center Profit Summary

    Impact of Talent Investment

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    FYE15 FYE16 FYE17 FYE18 FYE19

    New CatalogNew CatalogNew Catalog

    New CatalogNew Catalog

    New Catalog

    Impact of Talent Investment

    Catalog Highly Profitable Due to Upfront Investment In New Music (Talent and Marketing)

    Reduction In Talent Spending Will Have A Positive Short-Term Impact On Profit, But A Negative Mediumand Long-Term Impact On Profit and Valuation

    Reduced Talent Spend Would Negatively Impact SME Market Share

    TalentInvestment

    $173M

    TalentInvestment

    TalentInvestment

    TalentInvestment

    NewMusic

    NewMusic

    NewMusic

    NewMusic

    NewMusic

    60%of

    Revenues

    40%of

    Revenues Existing

    Catalog

    Existing

    Catalog

    Existing

    Catalog

    Existing

    Catalog

    Existing

    Catalog

    New Releases Become Part of Catalog 18 Months After Release

    Market Share Importance

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    SME Global

    Owned &DistributedMarket Share

    Market Share Enables Leveraging of Fixed Cost Structure GainsHas Been Oneof the Contributing Factors to Profit Increases and Margin Improvements

    22.0%

    24.0%

    25.1%

    CY11 CY12 CY13Source: IFPI

    Market Share Importance

    +3.1% ptsOver 2Years

    Market Share Influences Negotiations of

    Rates/Terms/Advances/MinimumGuarantees/Equity In DSPs

    Market Share Is An Important Factor In Determining

    Income From Digital Services and PublicPerformance and Broadcast (Radio Play)

    Industry International Public Performance and Broadcasting Income

    $630M

    $751M

    2010 2013

    5.2 PPB%of Industry

    6.2 PPB%of Industry

    SME PP&BRevenues ForFYE14 $166M

    PP&B Industry Revenues Have Grown 19% Overthe Last 3 Years

    Is A Significant Revenue Source

    Global Industry BreakdownRecorded Music Only

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    Streams Per $1 SME Revenue(Global CY14 Jun YTD)

    109

    408633

    727 769

    y y(FYE15FC, Trade Value, Excluding Japan, $ In Billions)

    Excludes New Business Revenues; Digital Figures Include Digital Radio

    Downloads$3.152%

    Subscriptions$1.627%

    Video$0.7

    11%Digital Radio

    $0.47%

    Ringtones/Other$0.13%

    Total Global Industry Digital Breakdown

    DigitalBreakdown

    Physical$4.644%

    Digital$5.956%

    $10.5B $5.9B

    PaidSubscription

    Stream

    Ad-Supported

    Stream

    Ad-Supported

    Stream

    Ad-Supported

    Stream

    DigitalRadio

    Top Physical and Digital Partners

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    PhysicalPhysical Projection of-20% CAGR of 3 Yr MRP

    DigitalDigital Projection of+11% CAGR of 3 Yr MRP

    Top Physical and Digital Partners

    Anconnect/Anderson

    30%

    Target13%

    Alliance14%

    Amazon14%

    TransWorld4%

    Other25%

    U.S.

    Top 5 = 75%

    On Average, >70% of Physical Revenues Come

    From Only Top 5 Customers In Key Markets Concentration of Top Accounts Means Exit of

    One Retailer Can Have Significant Impact OnRevenues

    Downloads,Streaming (Beats),

    Radio53% Downloads,Streaming 4%

    Streaming 11% Downloads 3%

    Radio 5% Streaming 2%

    Video 4% Streaming 2%

    Video 4% Streaming 1%

    Top 10 = 89%

    Top 10 Global Digital Partners Top 10 Global Digital Partners

    Account For 89% of Total

    Mix of Top Partners Will ChangeAs We Move Towards More ofA Streaming Model

    Risk of Cricket Exit Concentration of Major

    Accounts to Be Spread Across AGreater Number of Partners IsDependent On Partners Abilityto Achieve Financially ProfitableBusiness Models (See Spotifyand Pandora Example On NextPage)

    Spotify and PandoraFinancial Data and FutureP fit bilit $

    http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&docid=-10CkyW5Zm-7GM&tbnid=gngrx8Zs-FqWiM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://logos.wikia.com/wiki/Cricket_Wireless&ei=xie_U4vnJYSkyASFRA&bvm=bv.70810081,d.aWw&psig=AFQjCNFKWOYmnL2dLo4KxKTksEbAZU2leg&ust=1405122875958703
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    p yProfitability ($ In Millions)

    52

    Spotify First LaunchedIn Oct 2008 In Swedenand EBITDA For 2013Was A Loss of $109M

    Pandora FirstLaunched In Jan 2000

    Forecast Years Per Morgan Stanley

    Album to Track Market

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    Album to Track Market

    51%46%

    39%

    30% 23%

    49%54%

    61%70%

    77%

    FYE14A FYE15FC FYE16MRP FYE17MRP FYE18MRP

    Albums Tracks The Migration of the Music Market From

    Physical and Downloads to StreamingReduces the Relevance of the Album

    SME to Continue to Migrate ArtistContracts and Operating Practices toSupport the Business Evolution Away FromAlbums and Towards Track Consumption

    Changes Could Include:

    - Artist Contract Migration Towards TrackFocus

    - Track Based Marketing As Opposed toTraditional Album Based Marketing

    - More EP Releases and Less Full LPs

    - Ensuring Cost Efficiencies Around LowerVolume of Recordings As Focus Is NotOn Releasing Albums With 10+ Number

    of Songs- Reverse Order of Release Planning -

    Tracks to EPs to LPs

    - Maximize Our Physical Business WherePossible (Such As Consignment BasedSales For Physical, Exclusive ProductOfferings, Digital/Physical Offerings)

    A dMid R Pl

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    Agenda

    54

    Mid-Range PlanExecutive Summary

    Full Year FYE15 Forecast

    Brief Overview/Phase I RecapMarket Overview

    Competitor Analysis

    Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

    Financials (Main Focus)

    Financial Anatomy of the BusinessMRP Assumptions

    Financial Projections

    Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers

    Potential Strategic Investments

    Key Assumptions

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    y p

    Forecast Mid-Range Planning PeriodFYE15 FYE16 FYE17 FYE18 Comments

    Physical Market -13% Accelerated decline in Physical Market

    Digital Market +4% More aggressive growth expected duringlater MRP years

    Market Share 25.10% Increase of 0.75% pt during MRP period

    Talent Costs $173MInvestments to drive A&R/market sharegrowth & investments in emergingmarkets

    Overhead Vs. PY:(Net After Inflation)

    Inflation -$20MOffset inflation through targetedsavings initiatives

    Savings$20M

    Real Estate FlatReflects increased rent related torelocation into new corp. headquarters

    Investment In EmergingMarkets & Other GrowthAreas

    $0MTargeting emerging markets and growthareas

    Restructuring -$23M 23

    -16% -21% -23%

    +8% +12% +15%

    To25.35%

    To25.60%

    To25.85%

    $15M $15M $15M

    $180M $210M

    $20M $20M $20M

    $6M $20M$0M

    Flat $12M

    $20M $20M

    Flat

    Flat

    $20M

    A dMid R Pl

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    56

    Mid-Range PlanExecutive Summary

    Full Year FYE15 Forecast

    Brief Overview/Phase I RecapMarket Overview

    Competitor Analysis

    Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

    Financials (Main Focus)

    Financial Anatomy of the BusinessMRP Assumptions

    Financial Projections

    Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers

    Potential Strategic Investments

    Comparison Vs. Prior MRP ($ In Millions)

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    p ($ )

    MRP Op. Income Favorable From Prior Year MRP Despite Declining Revenues

    Forecast Mid-Range Planning Period

    FYE15 FYE16 FYE17 FYE18

    Prior MRP $2,766 $2,831 $2,904

    Forecast/MRP $2,780 $2,735 $2,763 $2,896

    Inc/(Dec) $14 ($96) ($141)

    Prior MRP $230 $240 $250

    Forecast/MRP $240 $250 $260 $275

    Improvement $10 $10 $10

    Prior MRP $130 $130 $135

    Forecast/MRP $138 $140 $150 $160Improvement $8 $10 $15

    Revenues

    Operating Income

    Net Cash Flow

    Before Financing*

    *Assumes No Capital Payment Associated With NY Headquarters Relocation

    Projected Improvement In All Profit Measures ($ In Millions)

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    FYE15 Mid-Range Planning PeriodBus. Plan Forecast FYE16 FYE17 FYE18

    Revenues $2,768 $2,780 $2,735 $2,763 $2,896

    Operating Income $240 $240 $250 $260 $275

    Margin % 8.7% 8.6% 9.1% 9.4% 9.5%

    Net Income $138 $138 $150 $158 $168

    Operating Cash Flow $285 $292 $320 $330 $344

    Net Cash Flow Before Financing $138 $138 $140 $150 $160

    Return On Equity 11.5% 11.3% 11.3% 11.2% 11.5%

    EBITDA $348 $341 $350 $367 $389

    EBITDA Margins 12.6% 12.3% 12.8% 13.3% 13.4%

    j p ( )

    MRP ReflectsContinued

    Improvement InOperating Income

    Margins

    ReconciliationFYE14 Actual to FYE15 Forecast ($ In Millions)

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    Revenues

    Operating Income

    $238 $240+$24

    -$35

    -$74

    +$76

    +$20 +$18

    -$9 -$20-$20

    +$10 +$12

    FYE15 FYE16FYE14

    Actual

    One Time ItemsPhysical MktDecline -13%

    Downloads-14%

    Audio Subs/Streaming

    +50%

    Digital Video+40%

    Digital Radio+32%

    Other-39%

    Syco VEVOEquity

    Income

    Costs/Other/New

    Business

    FYE15

    Forecast

    FYE14 Actual to FYE15 Forecast ($ In Millions)

    $2,869

    $2,780

    +$21

    -$143

    -$112

    +$125 +$34 +$22-$16 -$33

    +$12

    FYE14Actual

    4Q ActualFYE14

    Actual

    One Time ItemsPhysical MktDecline -13%

    Downloads-14%

    Audio Subs/Streaming

    +50%

    Digital Video+40%

    Digital Radio+32%

    Other-39% Syco

    Other(New Business)

    FYE15

    Forecast

    Breakage +21

    OH Inflation -20OH Savings +20Talent FlatNew Business +12

    Breakage +14Beats Gain +7Other Gains +3

    Orchard +6NOW! +4

    Total Digital $53+3.8%

    Total Digital $31

    ReconciliationFYE15 Forecast to FYE16 Target ($ In Millions)

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    FYE15 Forecast to FYE16 Target ($ In Millions)

    Revenues

    Operating Income

    $2,780 $2,759

    $2,735-$21

    -$151

    -$111

    +$176 +$37 +$13-$13

    +$25

    FYE14Actual

    4Q Actual

    Breakage -21

    Total Digital $102+7.8%

    $240

    $216

    $250

    -$24

    -$44

    -$64

    +$105+$20 +$11

    -$8

    +$12 +$2

    FYE14Actual

    4QActual

    Total Digital $64

    Breakage -14Beats Gain -7Other Gains -3

    OH Inflation -20OH Savings +15Other Cost Savings +6

    FYE15

    Forecast

    One Time ItemsAdj. FYE15

    Forecast

    Physical MktDecline -16%

    Downloads-16%

    Audio Subs/Streaming

    +47%

    Digital Video+31%

    Digital Radio+14%

    Other-50%

    Market ShareGain +0.25% pt

    FYE16

    Target

    FYE15

    Forecast

    One Time ItemsAdj. FYE15

    Forecast

    Physical MktDecline -16%

    Downloads-16%

    Audio Subs/Streaming

    +47%

    Digital Video+31%

    Digital Radio+14%

    Other-50%

    Market ShareGain +0.25% pt

    CostsFYE16

    Target

    Biggest Risk Is Streaming Growth47% Assumed IncrementalGrowth Contributes $105M to

    ProfitIf Only 30% Growth, ProfitImpacted Negatively by ~$39M

    ReconciliationFYE16 Target to FYE17 Target ($ In Millions)

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    $250$260

    -$54

    -$70

    +$136 +$14+$9

    -$7

    +$12

    -$12 -$6 -$7 -$5

    FYE15 FYE16

    Revenues

    Operating Income

    FYE16

    Target

    Physical MktDecline -21%

    Downloads-18%

    Audio Subs/Streaming

    +44%

    Digital Video+21%

    Digital Radio+10%

    Other-75%

    MarketShare Gain

    +0.25% pt

    Real EstateEmergingMarket

    Investment

    TalentInvestment Costs

    FYE17

    Target

    FYE16 Target to FYE17 Target ($ In Millions)

    $2,735 $2,763

    -$167

    -$110

    +$245+$33 +$10

    -$10

    +$27

    FYE14 Actual 4Q Actual

    Total Digital $168+11.5%

    Total Digital $82

    FYE16

    Target

    Physical MktDecline -21%

    Downloads-18%

    Audio Subs/Streaming

    +44%

    Digital Video+21%

    Digital Radio+10%

    Other-75%

    Market Share Gain+0.25% pt

    FYE17

    Target

    Inflation -20Savings +15

    Biggest Risk Is Streaming Growth44% Assumed IncrementalGrowth Contributes $136M to

    ProfitIf Only 30% Growth, ProfitImpacted Negatively by ~$46M

    ReconciliationFYE17 Target to FYE18 Target ($ In Millions)

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    Revenues

    Operating Income

    $260$275

    -$48

    -$63

    +$162 +$7 +$4

    -$1

    +$13

    -$20 -$30 -$9

    FYE15 FYE16FYE17

    Target

    Physical MktDecline -23%

    Downloads-20%

    Audio Subs/Streaming

    +40%

    Digital Video+11%

    Digital Radio+5%

    Other-75%

    MarketShare Gain

    +0.25% pt

    EmergingMarket

    Investment

    TalentInvestment Costs/Other

    FYE18

    Target

    FYE17 Target to FYE18 Target ($ In Millions)

    $2,763

    $2,896

    -$142-$99

    +$325 +$21 +$6

    -$2

    +$24

    FYE14 Actual 4Q Actual

    Total Digital $251+14.9%

    Total Digital $109

    FYE17

    Target

    Physical MktDecline -23%

    Downloads-20%

    Audio Subs/Streaming

    +40%

    Digital Video+11%

    Digital Radio+5%

    Other-75%

    Market Share Gain+0.25% pt

    FYE18

    Target

    Inflation -20Savings +15Other -4

    Biggest Risk Is Streaming Growth40% Assumed IncrementalGrowth Contributes $162M to

    ProfitIf Only 30% Growth, ProfitImpacted Negatively by ~$46M

    Cash Flow ($ In Millions)

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    Actual Forecast Mid-Range Planning Period

    FYE14 FYE15 FYE16 FYE17 FYE18

    Earnings Before Interest & Taxes $215 $215 $225 $235 $250

    Depreciation/Amortization 83 78 80 87 94

    Working Capital (2) (1) 15 8 -

    Cash Flow From Operations $296 $292 $320 $330 $344

    Capital Expenditures (22) (25) (29) (26) (25)

    Strategic Investments (67) (60) (60) (60) (60)

    Proceeds From Disposal of Assets 1 29 - - -

    EBIT Cash Flow $208 $236 $231 $244 $259

    Interest & Taxes (34) (70) (75) (77) (81)Minority Interest Payments (24) (28) (16) (17) (18)

    Net Cash Flow Before Financing $150 $138 $140 $150 $160

    1) Includes Proceeds From Sale of Beats ($17M) and Sale of Nashville Building ($12M)

    2) Includes Receipt From SCA On Prior Year Taxes3) FYE14 and FYE15 Reflects Dividends Paid to Simon Cowell and Benefit of X Factor U.S.

    (1)

    (2)

    (3)

    AgendaMid Range Plan

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    Agenda

    64

    Mid-Range PlanExecutive Summary

    Full Year FYE15 Forecast

    Brief Overview/Phase I RecapMarket Overview

    Competitor Analysis

    Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

    Financials (Main Focus)

    Financial Anatomy of the BusinessMRP Assumptions

    Financial Projections

    Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers

    Potential Strategic Investments

    Risks During the MRP Period

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    Aggressive Market Assumptions MRP Assumes 44% CAGR for Streaming and 20% CAGR for Video Physical Decline Could Accelerate and Cause Accounts to Exiting MusicCliff Event

    Unsustainable Profit From Syco TVand Syco Music

    MRP Assumes Extension of SC deal At Existing Terms

    MRP Assumes Success With New Formats ($46M Profit From New Formats Over 3 Year MRP)Higher Artist Royalty Cost Pressure On Artist Royalty Rate For DigitalParticularly Streaming

    MRP Assumes Some Slow Rate Creep Could Be Faster and Higher

    Talent Exposure On Superstar ArtistDeals and JVs

    Key Superstar Talent Assumed to Perform Consistent With Historical Sales and No AdditionalAdvance Exposure

    JVs Expected to PerformDevelop New Talent and Turn Profitable

    Unable to Generate OverheadSavings to Offset Inflation

    MRP Assumes $15M Savings Initiatives Per Year ($45M Total)All Currently Unidentified Mitigated by Restructuring Provisions

    Higher VEVO Funding Needed toDrive Strategy

    MRP Assumes $20M Per Year For Funding of VEVO Operations Which Is Only the Current Run Rate

    Universals Aggressive PracticesFurther Negatively Impacts BusinessEconomics

    Drives Up Costs For Key Artist Renegotiations and New Artist Signings Pricing Decisions Will Force Us to Follow Suit to Maintain Sales and Positioning

    Potential Unfavorable Result FromOnline Rate Hearing

    Negative Impacts For Recorded Music From By-Product of DOJ Review of Publisher Issues

    Negative Impact of the Orchard ExitProvision

    If Forced to SellLower Operating Income and Market Share/Influence Mitigated by One Time Gain On Sale

    Further Overhead Reductions Reduction In New Talent Investment Reduction In New Releases and Rosters Potential Wholesale Changes In the Way We Do Business

    - Exclusives/Windowing

    - 3rdParty Artist Financing

    Contingency Plansto Mitigate RisksWould Include:

    Opportunities During the MRP Period

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    Purchase of Controlling Interest Inthe Orchard

    Consolidation of Earnings (51% to 100%)

    Recognition of Gain From Revaluing Existing 51%Interest

    Sale of Spotify Equity Potential Sale of Warrants and EquityTotaling ~7%Interest

    Approximately $4B Valuation

    Liquidation of Other EquityInvestments

    Deezer (5%)

    VEVO (37.7%)

    Higher Growth In Emerging Markets Digital Business Provides Opportunity to GrowLegitimate Music In Emerging Markets

    Potential For Favorable Result From

    Online Rate Hearing

    U.S. Copyright Review Hearing On Online Radio

    Rates to Take Place Calendar Year 2015

    Recognition of Breakage Unearned Advances

    Minimum Guarantees

    Flats From Digital Service Providers

    Physical Market SensitivityOperating Income ($ In Millions)

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    Base Case

    Lower Case

    Higher Case

    CAGR-20%

    CAGR

    -16%

    CAGR-24%

    $240

    $250

    $260

    $275

    $241

    $248

    $263

    $240

    $259

    $273

    $289

    FYE15 FYE16 FYE17 FYE18

    Forecast Mid-Range Planning Period

    1% pt Growth/Decline In Physical ImpactsProfitability by Approximately $3M

    High Case and Low Case Exclude thePotential Offsetting Effect of Digital MarketMovements

    Digital Market SensitivityOperating Income ($ In Millions)

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    $240 $250$260

    $275

    $216

    $190

    $164

    $240

    $284

    $333

    $395

    Base Case

    Higher Case

    Lower Case

    CAGR

    +7%

    CAGR+11%

    CAGR+15%

    FYE15 FYE16 FYE17 FYE18

    Forecast Mid-Range Planning Period

    1% pt Growth/Decline In Digital ImpactsProfitability by Approximately $8M (FYE16)

    High Case and Low Case Exclude thePotential Offsetting Effect of PhysicalMarket Movements

    AgendaMid Range Plan

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    Mid-Range PlanExecutive Summary

    Full Year FYE15 Forecast

    Brief Overview/Phase I RecapMarket Overview

    Competitor Analysis

    Key Strategic Initiatives and Goals

    Financials (Main Focus)

    Financial Anatomy of the BusinessMRP Assumptions

    Financial Projections

    Risk/Opportunities & Sensitivity Impact of Key Drivers

    Potential Strategic Investments

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    Bravo StrategicPriority MEDIUM

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    Germany acquisition of BRAVO Hits compilation series

    Overview/Long TermStrategic Value

    The BRAVO Hits compilation series is by far the biggest selling compilations product seriesin GSA

    Until 2013, SME GSA was part of a JV with UMG licensing the brand from Bauer Verlag

    Given their market power after EMI acquisition, UMG pushed SME out of the JV contract

    and licensed directly from Bauer, resulting in profit loss of $4.6M for SME

    Acquiring the trademark gives SME chance to get back into this important compilation brand

    Bravo represents in total 2% of market share

    In acquiring brand and then forming a JV with UMG would increase SMEs Market share by

    roughly 1% (and reduce UMGs respectively)

    Estimated cost ~$30M

    Timing F2015

    Expected IRR ~11-12%

    IncrementalProfit

    EBIT of $37M over 10 years

    Big Machine/Taylor Swift StrategicPriority HIGH

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    Acquisition of indie label Big Machine

    Overview/Long TermStrategic Value

    Addition of Big Machine label to our Country division and Taylor Swift, the top femalecountry artist, to our roster

    Big Machine founder/owner, Scott Borchettapotential Sony executive

    Synergy opportunities in integrating Big Machine with Sony Music Nashville

    Position Sony Music as leader in Country music genre

    Estimated cost $100M+

    Timing F2015 - F2016

    Expected IRR TBD

    Syco StrategicPriority HIGH

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    Syco JV (Primarily TV Format Income) Syco Artists

    $95.8M

    $48.7M

    $102.3M

    $62.2M

    $99.0M

    $61.7M$67.8M

    $42.8M

    Revenues Profit Revenues Profit Revenues Profit Revenues Profit

    FYE12ACT FYE13ACT FYE14ACT FYE15FC

    Simon Cowell Is:- One of the Most Prominent and Successful TV Personalities

    - The Most Successful A&R Executive In the Industry Over the Last 15 Years- Proven Developer of Highly Successful TV Formats Simon Cowell and Sony Music: A 24 Year Relationship Potential New Deal Framework

    - Purchase of All or Part of SCs Interest In the Syco JV, Excluding Music(Est. $60M - $100M)

    - Enhance Music RelationshipPossible Converting Override Arrangement to JVArrangement (Estimated Profit Advance TBD)

    - Extend SCs Services On TV and Music For An Additional 5 Years (Annual Salary TBD)- Discussions Underway With SPE TV- Timing Expected During FYE15 or FYE16

    - IRR Range 10%-20%

    Total Syco JV Post-Tax Dividends FYE11-FYE14 $146M- Sonys Share $105M; SCs Share $41M- Sony Allocated $64M Higher Than SC Due to Contract Terms Which

    Protect/Recovered Sonys Initial Investment MRP Assumes Flat From FYE15FC

    Key Initiative Extension of Simon Cowell ServicesCurrent Deal Expires 12/31/15

    The Orchard StrategicPriority HIGH

    http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&docid=N5qnV7C9Cqwr3M&tbnid=lAqSih9E44n7TM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.mobo.com/news-blogs/x-factor-simon-cowell-return-2014&ei=6cPPU-nBNJe0yAT024GwBA&bvm=bv.71667212,d.aWw&psig=AFQjCNHpmi6Qx9snzAs-ZwDbuL_RxyYYxA&ust=1406211402847743
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    Current equity investment with 51% non-controlling ownership stake. Negotiating withDimensional about potential purchase of remaining 49% interest.

    Overview/

    Long TermStrategic Value

    SMEs investment in the Orchard has created significant value since Mar12. Our $25M cash

    investment has generated $14M of equity income to date for a net investment value of$38M. Orchards CY14EBITDA is forecasted to be $25M.

    Purchase of remaining 49% of the Orchard gives SME full control and allows us to consolidateOrchard financials. Based upon Orchards 3 year MRP, EBITDA is projected to growfrom$25M to $47M by CY17.

    Given current net investment value on our books, purchase of the remainder of company at avaluation of $350M-$660M could result in significant one time P&L gain due ($144M+)

    Preserve Market Share: Based on our agreement we have the last right to match any bindingthird party offer to buy Orchard. If we elect not to buy the remaining 49% at the third partyvaluation we would be forced to sell our 51% interest. This would result in a loss of over 3.5%pts in global digital market share.

    Estimated cost $175M - $330M (based on overall valuation of $350M - $660M) Based on offer received from3rdparty

    Any deal could include significant earn out component

    Timing 3 - 12 months

    Current Status Given current gap between Dimensional and SMEs valuation, Dimensional will explorepotential third party interest to acquire its 49% share.

    SME will make a decision on exercising its right to match at the appropriate time

    Expected IRR 10%-20%

    Coldplay StrategicPriority MEDIUM

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    Signing iconic band Coldplay (currently have one album remaining with WMG) in adistribution deal & license agreement

    Overview/Long TermStrategic Value

    Coldplays recent albums sold over 6M units each worldwide

    Will increase our artist roster with an iconic band, long-term deal with 3 firm albums,creation of catalog product

    Estimated cost Maximum commitment $40M

    Timing Signing in F2015, effective F2016

    Payments spread over contract term (per album)

    Expected IRR ~20%

    Profit Impact Profit contribution of $18M over 3 albums

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    Believe Digital StrategicPriority MEDIUM

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    Potential acquisition of Believe Digital, a competitor to the Orchard with a significantpresence in Continental Europe

    Overview/Long TermStrategic Value

    While The Orchards organic growth prospects continue to be strong, opportunity exists to

    achieve synergistic value through this acquisition (as evidenced by the integration of TheOrchard & IODA)

    International strength presents a much more attractive acquisition target as it completes theOrchards global market share profile

    Believes distribution fees are in line with the Orchard which should enable a high label

    retention rate

    Estimated cost $75M - $150M (based on 100% acquisition)

    Timing 1-3 years

    Expected IRR 10%-20%

    Razor & Tie StrategicPriority MEDIUM

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    Potential acquisition/investment in Razor & Tie record label

    Overview/Long TermStrategic Value

    Longstanding distribution relationship with proven track record. Creator of popular Kidz Bopfranchise, as well as a diverse artist roster specializing in metal, rock. R&T had 0.5% U.S.market share CY13

    Depending on deal structure, potentially allows us to consolidate Razor & Tie financials (FY14recorded music revenue through SME of $20M + additional ancillary revenue streams)

    R&Ts specialty compliments SMEs catalogue and distribution business

    Estimated cost TBD

    Timing 1-3 years

    Expected IRR TBD

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    Ultra Records/Patrick Moxey StrategicPriority MEDIUM

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    $28.8M

    $7.0M

    $23.0M

    $4.5M

    Revenues Profit Revenues Profit

    2012 (Pre-JV) JV Year 1

    Ultras Yr 1 Profits Declined From Historical Level Due to Fewer Big Hits Than Prior Years- Deals Expired and Not Renewed On A Few Established Acts- Universal Aggressively Overpaid For Several EM Acts After Losing Bid to Acquire Ultra

    15 Months Ending March 31, 2014

    Sony Acquired 50% Interest In An Established Label, Ultra, In December 2012Increasing SonysFootprint In EM (Dance)

    - An Established and Profitable LabelTherefore No Startup PeriodImmediate Profit Patrick Moxey Also Serves As Head of EM For Sony Music International

    - Providing Support to All International Affiliates In EM A&R and Marketing Activities

    - Several International EM Acts Have Been Signed, Including Mr. Probz, With Patricks Oversight and Format Credibility Potential Buyout

    - Contractual Option to Buy Patrick Moxeys Interest In JV At End of Term (December 2017)- Potential TimingF17 or F18- Potential Purchase Price and IRRTBD

    Annual Profit Allocation Protects Sonys InvestmentFrom Declining Profits

    - 1st- Sony receives $3.5M profit each year,- 2nd - PM receives next $3.5M profit,- 3rd - Sony receives shortfall on $3.5M/year, if any- 4th - 50%/50

    Mr. Probz Steve Aoki Benny Benassi Kaskade Carnage Project 46

    Sonys Share $3.5M

    P. Moxey Share $1.0M

    VEVO StrategicPriority HIGH

    http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&docid=0weWGglvNX94DM&tbnid=cp_UEb8EtoWuDM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://knackfortracks.com/2014/06/20/project-46-sky-bar-buffalo/&ei=VmC8U9q-JMyZyAS-toDoBA&bvm=bv.70138588,d.aWw&psig=AFQjCNEUlLtwUEMnp7OaoIbAGw01NAkrmw&ust=1404940749804280http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&docid=w9gZXu8TU9NnRM&tbnid=jzdl8oKuOYRQ7M:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://whiteraverrafting.com/watch-this-dj-carnage-edc-aftermovie/2013/07/30/&ei=9YetU5ewDc-_sQTy8YCIAw&bvm=bv.69837884,d.cWc&psig=AFQjCNH4DfM3aOZ4grVELFAACKSHE8qoEQ&ust=1403967817382546http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&docid=kWqwq3gb5da9DM&tbnid=IeW_rMpgNFdhfM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.rollingstone.com/music/news/kaskade-brings-edm-to-grammy-museum-20130116&ei=gzu8U_6FBo6pyATn0YDIAQ&bvm=bv.70138588,d.aWw&psig=AFQjCNFP5whKxD4OzKbw24fSRUKfvXCJ2g&ust=1404931313921677http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&docid=607PPPXlAjHSpM&tbnid=rzCUveX8ok19PM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mr_Probz&ei=QZDOU-XIJcyfyASq8oKQDw&bvm=bv.71198958,d.aWw&psig=AFQjCNGEoE7FiENxm9LC9toHJz8eF8-dLA&ust=1406132493517662http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&docid=829qXMzgpLTwZM&tbnid=voPiPY6eHWnOSM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.billboard.com/biz/articles/news/legal-and-management/6143195/edm-power-players-the-executives&ei=_Y7OU-P5N86nyASDhoLYBg&bvm=bv.71198958,d.aWw&psig=AFQjCNFun4dLZGGzpMUs4coL8_hejo1GqA&ust=1406132340551458http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&docid=vLK0hjbPtFOLqM&tbnid=Kum7G0rzm8xBzM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Datei:Ultra_Music_Logo.png&ei=M4rOU5-_O8KQyATSmIHYDA&bvm=bv.71198958,d.aWw&psig=AFQjCNEpj-FsGH8BwmjVEwZ-xEKrWxXPlA&ust=1406131118470640
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    Continued funding of VEVO JV

    Overview/Long TermStrategic Value

    VEVOsbusiness performing better than forecasted with revenue growing 57% yoy in 1sthalfof year. SMEs license revenue from VEVO is forecasted at $85M for FYE15. Overall, netincome to SME from VEVO is positive as net profits from content fees after artist royalties isforecasted to exceed SMEs equity losses by $31M for FYE15.

    While VEVO is expected to continue to experience positive revenue growth, VEVO willrequire additional capital funding to continue to expand their business, cover working capitaland other operational cash expenses over the MRP period. Growth in VEVO can be achievedthrough investment in original content, launch of a subscription service and International

    expansion.

    Majority Shareholders (Universal / SME) believe significant value growth can be achieved andwill therefore continue to invest in building of the business. As a result, no outsideinvestment from 3rdparties is likely during Mid Range Plan.

    Exception could be made for investment by Warner Music if antitrust requirements can bemet

    Estimated cost $60M of funding

    Timing Throughout MRP Period

    Expected IRR N/A

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