Some System Effects of Widespread Use of Autonomous Vehicles

Prof. Dr. Wolfgang Gruel

Institute for Mobility and Digital Innovation – Stuttgart Media University

http://modi.institute@twilfgang

Day 2

Shared Economy Automation & Electro-Mobility

Long Com-utes

Urban Sprawl

Viabilityof

Transit

+

-

+

Benefits ofAutonomous

Driving

Cost

Access

Safety

Effi-ciency

Con-gestion

FX ofTravel

Travel Volume

+

+

-

+Attractive-

ness ofDriving

see

Gru

el,

Sta

nfor

d (2

016)

: Ass

essi

ng t

he

Long

-Ter

m E

ffec

ts o

f Aut

onom

ous

Veh

icle

s…+The same traffic jam– again?

Death spiral oftransit

F i e l d s o f A c t i on

Regu l a t i on ( e . g . Road P r i c i n g ,

Zon i ng , … )

Sma r t A l t e r na t i ve s

(maybe) smarter alternatives

Smart Alternatives

Key Takeaways

Uni ntended Consequences

01

AVs A l one Are Not The So l u t i on

02

Smar t A l te rna t i ves and Ru l es

03

Thank you.

Prof. Dr. Wolfgang Gruel

Institute for Mobility and Digital Innovation – Stuttgart Media University

http://modi.institute@twilfgang