solid fuel imports of turkey m. sabrİ oral executive vice president odak group
TRANSCRIPT
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SOLID FUEL IMPORTS OFTURKEY
M. SABRİ ORAL
Executive Vice President
ODAK GROUP
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TURKEY
• 15th. largest economy worldwide
• 7 pct av. growth per annum during last 5 years
• 24 million mtons of SOLID FUEL IMPORTS
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Sector Type Source Tonnage
House Heating Sized coal Russia, China, South Africa 9.500.000
Electricity, cement Steam coal Russia,Colombia, South Africa, 5.500.000
Steel Coking coal USA, Australia, Canada, Russia 5.000.000
Cement Petcoke USA 2.000.000
Steel PCI Russia 500.000
Steel Anthracite, coke breeze Russia 500.000
Steel, sugar Metcoke China, Ukraine, Russia 500.000
Total 23.500.000
Types and Quantity of Imports
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9.500.000
5.500.0005.000.000
2.000.000
500.000 500.000 500.000
0
1.000.000
2.000.000
3.000.000
4.000.000
5.000.000
6.000.000
7.000.000
8.000.000
9.000.000
10.000.000
sized coal steamcoal
cokingcoal
petcoke pci anthracite metcoke
Types and Quantity of Imports
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STEEL INDUSTRY
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Crude Steel Production
2007 23 million tons
2009 30 million tons
• 75 pct. of production by Electric Arc Furnace• 25 pct. of production by Integrated Plants
• ERDEMIR, ISDEMIR, KARDEMIRare three Integrated Plants
•Steel sector in Turkey is expanding
•Turkey is 11th largest Steel Producer worldwide
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Traditional coking coal / PCI shippers
Coking coal USA
Australia
Canada
PCI Russia
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Coking Coal & PCI Imports of the Industry
Type of CoalSource 2007 (Mt.) 2009 (Mt.)
Coking Coal USA
Australia
Canada
Total 5 M. 6,3 M.
PCI Russia 0,5 M. 1,2 M.
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Demand & Supply Status of Coking Coal
DEMAND• China and India issue• Expansion plans of the
steel mills in Turkey, Russia and neighbours
• Demand to USA coal from nontraditional destinations
• Both loacal and global appetite growing
SUPPLY• Very high freights from
Canada and Australia• Congestion at Newcastle• Low Vol force majeurs at
USA• Shrinkage in Polish
production• Inefficiencies in Russian
Logistics
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Impacts of Demand / Supply Statuson the steel industry of our Region
• Australian and Canadian Coals are less competitive.
• Russian and Polish coals not sufficient to be widely exported.
• Demand to USA coals are growing.
• Even Poland and Russia imported USA coals.
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CEMENT INDUSTRY
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20062nd largest Cement and Clinker producer in
Europe with 30 million mt CLINKER production capacity
2008LARGEST Cement and Clinker producer in
Europe with 43 million mt CLINKER production capacity
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Solid Fuel for Cement Industry
• 2 million tons USA origined PETCOKE
• 2 million tons UNDERSIEVE STEAM coal of sized coal
• 0,5 million tons direct STEAM COAL imports
• 0,5 million tons domestic LIGNITES
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• Further the expansions at 2007/2008, 2 million fresh tons of solid fuel will be needed,
• Potential sources;
i. Petcoke – Still the most desirable high CV solid fuel for cement.
ii. Undersize steam coal – The amount will be less
iii. Steam Coal – Theoritically possible, however Russian and other alternative supplies is far from meeting not even the demand of coal fired utilities of the region regardless of cement’s needs.
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STEAM COAL FOR POWER PLANTS
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Source profile of TURKISH electricity production
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Percentages 47 20 18 6 5,5 3,5
Natural Gas Hydraulic Local Lignite Fuel oilImported Steam
CoalOther
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Added Electric demand3500 MW / year
If only 10 pct. of this demand is sourced by imported coal fired plants, after 10 years 10 million mtons more of imported STEAM
COAL will be needed
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SIZED COAL FOR HOUSEHOLD
INDUSTRY
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Turkey is the worldwide largest sized coal market,
Total sized coal imports9,5 million mt/annum,
Russian origin 6,5 million mt/annumRSA origin 1,5 million mt/annumChinese origin 1,5 million mt/annum
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0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0
8,0
9,0
10,0
rsa 1,0 1,0 1,0 1,0 1,0 1,0 1,5 1,5 1,5
russia 1,0 1,0 3,0 3,0 3,0 4,5 6,0 5,5 6,5
china 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,5 1,0 1,5 1,5
total 2,0 2,0 4,0 4,0 4,0 6,0 8,5 8,5 9,5
1992 1994 1997 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
1992 – 2006 SIZED COAL imports (million tons)
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ODAK GROUP
• Pioneers of Solid Fuel Import and Distribution activities in Turkey,20 years of experience.
• Total solid fuel imports for household and cement industries are 1,5 million tonnes.
• Classification and packing facilities at 4 locations;(Istanbul, Iskenderun, Izmir, Gemlik)
• Representatives of Alpha Group of USA , a major USA coking and thermal coal producer
and exporter ,and one of the regular cokingcoal suppliers of the Turkish steel industry.
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COAL IMPORTS OFTURKEY
M. SABRİ ORAL
Executive Vice President
ODAK GROUP