SOFIA 2004

SOFIA 2004

• A few words about:The Global OverviewThe IssuesThe FAO Special studies, and The Outlook

Fisheries production : (1998 - 2003)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

98 99 00 01 02 03

Total capture(World)

Total capture(World without China)

Total aquaculture(World)

Total aquaculture(World without China)

Million tonnes

Per capita food fish supply (kg)

13

13.5

14

14.5

15

15.5

16

16.5

98 99 00 01 02 03

Kg/year

World

World - excluding China

SOFIA 2004

SOFIA 2004

AquacultureAquaculture has an important role in food fish supplies

But growth not homogeneous: Stagnation in Europe and Oceania Rapid growth in Latin America Slow growth in Sub - Saharan Africa

0

5

10

15

20

25

Ave

rag

e an

nu

al g

row

th r

ate

(%)

1970-1980 1980-1990 1990-2000 2000-2002

Molluscs

Crustaceans

Marine fish

Growth of brackish and marine water aquaculture since 1970

SOFIA 2004

SOFIA 2004

• Livelihoods

Recent employment growth – takes place in Asia

Employment in capture fisheries – growth appears to be stagnating

Faster growth in aquaculture employmentAbout 1 % of employment world-wide

SOFIA 2004

• Stagnation also for fishing vessels?

Up-to-date information on vessels 100 GT and above

– shows stagnation in numbers

– about 24 000

But this does not mean stagnation in fishing capacity

SOFIA 2004

• Figures include only a fraction of the Chinese vessels

SOFIA 2004

• Wild fish stocks

Fisheries Technical Paper 457 just releasedProvides detailed information on status of

marine fish stocks

SOFIA 2004

SOFIA 2004

•International trade

The value of world fish trade continues to expand

Volume that enters trade – about unchangedChina responsible for growthChina accounted for some 7 % of world

exports in 2002

Imports and exports of fish and fishery products: China

0

1

2

3

4

5

76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02

US$ billlions

Surplus

Imports

Exports

SOFIA 2004

Six Issues Capture based aquaculture Labour standards in the fishing sector Fisheries management and CITES Trade implications of fish species and fishery

product identification Governance and management of deep water

fisheries Recovery of depleted stocks : a challenging

necessity

SOFIA 2004

Issue: recovery of depleted stocks UNCLOS - contravention World Summit on Sustainable Development

(WSSD) - goals Recovery: easier for small pelagics than long-lived

demersals Recovery: can take 10 years or more

Action is needed urgently!

SOFIA 2004

Highlights of special FAO studies:

Scope of seaweed industry Global aquaculture outlook Impacts of trawling on benthic habitats Measurement of fishing capacity Fisheries subsidies African freshwater fisheries Re-estimating discards

SOFIA 2004

Highlight: re-estimating discards in the world’s marine capture fisheries

Discards = portion of catch returned to sea In 1994 FAO estimated: 27 million tonnes/year In 2004 FAO reviewed available information We concluded that in the late 1990s discards were

most likely around 7 million tonnes/year

SOFIA 2004

SOFIA 2004

OutlookTwo sections: coming decade & 2020 – 2030Capture fisheries: Restricted access Fewer fishersBetter economy – but little growth in landings

Aquaculture:Continued growth in output

SOFIA 2004

Situation in 2015 and beyond: computer simulations Comparison of IFPRI/WFC – FAO study Results somewhat different – function of

different assumptions Good news: apparent consumption of fish per

caput in the world will be higher in 2015- 2020 than it is today

SOFIA 2004

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION

SOFIA 2004