POWERED BY

SOCCEREX 20 UNDER 21

COMPILED BY PRIME TIME SPORTPOWERED BY THE PTS FOOTBALL VALUE INDEX

2016 / 2017 SEASON

INTRODUCTION

THE FVI & PRINCIPLES

The Football Value Index by Prime Time Sport is a best-in-class player valuation methodology, used by football clubs and the sport industry, to obtain an independent and accurate valuation of football players. Clubs need to know the REAL value of their main asset, the squad. The accounting value may differ significantly from this, so there are many situations when football clubs need the most accurate valuation of players or squads.

We really hope that this product helps the football industry to be more efficient. The main usages are in transfers (to help in the decision process and in negotiations), in M&A processes, in equity (when a significant difference between

the accounting value vs the real value can affect the equity position of the club), to make a rational value allocation for insurance, to provide real and relevant information to investors, and to set guarantees in loans and other financial products.

a) At-Present Principle: The player valuation is made bearing in mind both personal attributes and pitch performance, using player’s current personal information and the performances of both current season and the previous one.

b) Reliability Principle: Objective and contrasted sources are used for the performance of this report; the Soccerex Transfer Review report by Prime Time Sport (a reference in the European market for over 6 years for European

Welcome to the second edition of the Soccerex 20 Under 21 report by Prime Time Sport, compiled using our Football Value Index valuation methodology.

Fuelled by increased broadcasting deals and the awakening of China as a financial force in football, the global transfer market has never been so buoyant with so many clubs able to compete for top players who, as a result, are attracting higher fees.

Youth continues to command a premium with clubs keen to invest in talent with the potential

for improvement that will add to their team over a longer period. An example of this is Anthony Martial who many felt Manchester United paid over the odds for last summer in making him the world’s most expensive teenager – Martial went on to deliver a strong debut season for United which culminated in them lifting the FA Cup and also played his part in France’s run to the final of Euro 2016. At just 19 he is an important part of their future and rightly the top of our rankings for the 2016/2017 season.

Esteve CalzadaPrime Time Sport CEO & Football Agent

For every player, we researched:

METHODOLOGY

transfers), FIFA stats and other sources.

c) Independency Principle: Due to an internal methodology and the sources used in the

project, independent results and objective valuation are guaranteed.

d) Scope: Players born on or after July 1st 1995.

► Current club average player sale value. The origin club affects the player value.

► Current club “standard” player analysis. An analysis of the “standard” player sold in the last 5 years by the current club give us data to adjust weights for the PTS Rating Index.

► Comparable football clubs average selling player value. Calculation of average value of the last 5 years transfers performed by comparable clubs.

► Market Value perception. Popular transfer sites and press information can affect the player’s value, and have to be considered.

► Position on the pitch of each player. The average transfer paid (excluding temporary sessions and free transfers for ending contracts) per position of ALL transfers performed in the 5 major leagues (UK, SP, IT, DE, FR) in the last summer transfer window shows demand for different positions.

► Age.

► Years outstanding on player’s contract.

► PTS Rating Index. Study of stats and the expert valuation of technical skills of each player, analysing:

• National Team appearances. Appearances with a national team are a factor that boosts value, especially if the national team is in the Top 10 of FIFA’s Rankings.

• Minutes played. This aims to reflect the importance of a player and represents an objective variable to assess performance.

• Goals scored. Analysis of goals, weighted per position on the pitch.

• Injuries. The player’s value is affected by how prone they are to injury.

• Media Value. Assessed by the PTS Sports Marketing team.

• Technical quality. An essential factor in a player valuation.

NATIONALITY

ITALIANTEAM

AC MILANNATIONAL LEVEL

U21POSITION

GOALKEEPERAGE

17

20

VALUE

€13.750M

GIANLUIGI

DONNARUMMA

NATIONALITY

BRAZILIANTEAM

SANTOSNATIONAL LEVEL

SENIOR SQUADPOSITION

STRIKERAGE

19

19

VALUE

€13.891M

GABRIEL

BARBOSA

NATIONALITY

FRENCHTEAM

BORUSSIA DORTMUNDNATIONAL LEVEL

U21POSITION

RIGHT WINGAGE

19

18

VALUE

€14.051M

OUSMANE

DEMBELÉ

NATIONALITY

PORTUGUESETEAM

FC PORTONATIONAL LEVEL

SENIOR SQUADPOSITION

MIDFIELDERAGE

19

17

VALUE

€14.085M

RÚBEN

NEVES

NATIONALITY

ARGENTINATEAM

ROSARIO CENTRALNATIONAL LEVEL

U23POSITION

ATTACKING MIDFIELDERAGE

20

16

VALUE

€14.324M

GIOVANI

LO CELSO

NATIONALITY

GERMANTEAM

BORUSSIA MÖNCHENGLADBACHNATIONAL LEVEL

U21POSITION

MIDFIELDERAGE

20

15

VALUE

€15.027M

MAHMOUD

DAHOUD

NATIONALITY

GERMANTEAM

HOFFENHEIMNATIONAL LEVEL

U21POSITION

CENTRE BACKAGE

20

14

VALUE

€16.654M

NIKLAS

SÜLE

NATIONALITY

DUTCHTEAM

AJAXNATIONAL LEVEL

SENIOR SQUADPOSITION

MIDFIELDERAGE

19

13

VALUE

€19.153M

RIECHEDLY

BAZOER

NATIONALITY

BELGIANTEAM

RSC ANDERLECHTNATIONAL LEVEL

U21POSITION

MIDFIELDERAGE

19

12

VALUE

€19.331M

YOURI

TIELEMANS

NATIONALITY

BRAZILIANTEAM

PALMEIRASNATIONAL LEVEL

U23POSITION

LEFT WINGAGE

19

11

VALUE

€19.822M

GABRIEL

JESUS

NATIONALITY

GERMANTEAM

BORUSSIA DORTMUNDNATIONAL LEVEL

SENIOR SQUADPOSITION

DEFENSIVE MIDFIELDERAGE

20

10

VALUE

€19.823M

JULIAN

WEIGL

NATIONALITY

NIGERIANTEAM

MANCHESTER CITYNATIONAL LEVEL

SENIOR SQUADPOSITION

STRIKERAGE

19

9

VALUE

€20.066M

KELECHI

IHEANACHO

NATIONALITY

GERMANTEAM

SCHALKE 04NATIONAL LEVEL

SENIOR SQUADPOSITION

ATTACKING MIDFIELDERAGE

20

8

VALUE

€21.644M

MAX

MEYER

NATIONALITY

ENGLISHTEAM

MANCHESTER UNITEDNATIONAL LEVEL

SENIOR SQUADPOSITION

STRIKERAGE

18

7

VALUE

€22.509M

MARCUS

RASHFORD

NATIONALITY

SWISSTEAM

SCHALKE 04NATIONAL LEVEL

SENIOR SQUADPOSITION

STRIKERAGE

19

6

VALUE

€25.441M

BREEL DONALD

EMBOLO

NATIONALITY

FRENCHTEAM

BAYERN MUNICHNATIONAL LEVEL

SENIOR SQUADPOSITION

RIGHT WINGAGE

20

5

VALUE

€30.694M

KINGSLEY

COMAN

NATIONALITY

ENGLISHTEAM

TOTTENHAM HOTSPURNATIONAL LEVEL

SENIOR SQUADPOSITION

MIDFIELDERAGE

20

4

VALUE

€34.140M

DELE

ALLI

NATIONALITY

PORTUGUESETEAM

BAYERN MUNICHNATIONAL LEVEL

SENIOR SQUADPOSITION

MIDFIELDERAGE

18

3

VALUE

€34.550M

RENATO

SANCHES

NATIONALITY

GERMANTEAM

SCHALKE 04NATIONAL LEVEL

SENIOR SQUADPOSITION

RIGHT WINGAGE

20

VALUE

€37.132M

NATIONALITY

FRENCHTEAM

MANCHESTER UNITEDNATIONAL LEVEL

SENIOR SQUADPOSITION

STRIKERAGE

20

1

VALUE

€47.150M

ANTHONY

MARTIAL

2 LEROY

SANÉ

RESULTS

RANK PLAYER TEAM NATIONALITY NATIONAL LEVEL POSITION D.O.B. VALUE (€ K)

1 MARTIAL MANCHESTER UNITED FRENCH SENIOR SQUAD STRIKER 05/12/1995 47,150

2 SANÉ SCHALKE 04 GERMAN SENIOR SQUAD RIGHT WING 11/01/1996 37,132

3 SANCHES BAYERN MUNICH PORTUGUESE SENIOR SQUAD MIDFIELD 18/08/1997 34,550

4 ALLI TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR ENGLISH SENIOR SQUAD MIDFIELD 11/04/1996 34,140

5 COMAN BAYERN MUNICH FRENCH SENIOR SQUAD RIGHT WING 13/06/1996 30,694

6 EMBOLO SCHALKE 04 SWISS SENIOR SQUAD STRIKER 14/02/1997 25,441

7 RASHFORD MANCHESTER UNITED ENGLISH SENIOR SQUAD STRIKER 31/10/1997 22,509

8 MEYER SCHALKE 04 GERMAN SENIOR SQUAD ATTACKING MIDFIELD 18/09/1995 21,644

9 IHEANACHO MANCHESTER CITY NIGERIAN SENIOR SQUAD STRIKER 03/10/1996 20,066

10 WEIGL BORUSSIA DORTMUND GERMAN SENIOR SQUAD DEFENSIVE MIDFIELD 08/09/1995 19,823

RANK PLAYER TEAM NATIONALITY NATIONAL LEVEL POSITION D.O.B. VALUE (€ K)

11 JESUS PALMEIRAS BRAZILAN U-23 LEFT WING 03/04/1997 19,822

12 TIELEMANS RSC ANDERLECHT BELGIAN U-21 MIDFIELD 07/05/1997 19,331

13 BAZOER AJAX DUTCH SENIOR SQUAD MIDFIELD 12/10/1996 19,153

14 SÜLE HOFFENHEIM GERMAN U-21 CENTER BACK 03/09/1995 16,654

15 DAHOUDBORUSSIA

MÖNCHENGLADBACHGERMAN U-21 MIDFIELD 01/01/1996 15,027

16 LO CELSO ROSARIO CENTRAL ARGENTINIAN U-23 ATTACKING MIDFIELD 09/04/1996 14,324

17 NEVES FC PORTO PORTUGUESE SENIOR SQUAD MIDFIELD 13/03/1997 14,085

18 DEMBELÉ BORUSSIA DORTMUND FRENCH U-21 RIGHT WING 15/05/1997 14,051

19 GABRIELBARBOSA

SANTOS BRAZILIAN SENIOR SQUAD STRIKER 30/08/1996 13,891

20 DONNARUMMA AC MILAN ITALIAN U-21 GOALKEEPER 25/02/1999 13,750

RESULTS

INFOGRAPHICS

COUNTY BREAKDOWN WHERE ARE THE TOP 20 FROM?

FRANCE

3FRENCH PLAYERS

0PLAYERS AT

FRENCH CLUBS

€91.985M

€0M

ENGLAND

2ENGLISH PLAYERS

4PLAYERS AT

ENGLISH CLUBS

€56.649M

€123.864M

BELGIUM

1BELGIAN PLAYER

1PLAYER AT A

BELGIAN CLUB

€19.331M

€19.331M

NETHERLANDS

1DUTCH PLAYER

1PLAYER AT ADUTCH CLUB

€19.153M

€19.153M

GERMANY

5GERMAN PLAYERS

9PLAYERS AT

GERMAN CLUBS

€110.280M

€215.017M

SWITZERLAND

1SWISS PLAYER

0PLAYERS ATSWISS CLUBS

€25.441M

€0M

ARGENTINA

1ARGENTINIAN PLAYER

1PLAYER AT AN

ARGENTINIAN CLUB

€14.324M

€14.324M

BRAZIL

2BRAZILIAN PLAYERS

2PLAYERS AT

BRAZILIAN CLUBS

€33.713M

€33.713M

PORTUGAL

2PORTUGUESE PLAYERS

1PLAYER AT A

PORTUGUESE CLUB

€48.635M

€14.085M

NIGERIA

1NIGERIAN PLAYER

0PLAYERS AT

NIGERIAN CLUBS

€0M

ITALY

1ITALIAN PLAYER

1PLAYER AT ANITALIAN CLUB

€13.750M

€13.750M

€20.066M

2015 STATISTICS 2016 STATISTICS

POSITIONS OF POWER WHERE ARE THE TOP 20 ON THE PITCH?

EARLY DEVELOPERS WHAT NATIONAL SQUAD LEVEL HAVE THE TOP 20 REACHED?

MORE EQUAL THAN OTHERS WHICH OF THE BIG 5 LEAGUES HAS THE MOST VALUABLE PLAYERS?

BENCH TO PITCH HOW MUCH GAMETIME ARE THE PLAYERS GETTING?

FLYING THE NEST HOW MANY PLAY FOR CLUBS OUTSIDE OF THEIR HOME NATION?

PREMIER LEAGUE LALIGA SERIE A LIGUE 1 BUNDESLIGA

€210M €80M €56M €55M €27M

UP TO 20% UP TO 40% UP TO 60% UP TO 80% UP TO 100%

1 1 7 4 7

SENIOR12 U-21 8

HOME9 AWAY 11

BUNDESLIGA PREMIER LEAGUE SERIE A LALIGA LIGUE 1

€215M €124M €13M €0M €0M

UP TO 20% UP TO 40% UP TO 60% UP TO 80% UP TO 100%

0 2 2 15 1

SENIOR13 U-23 / U-21 7

HOME14 AWAY 6

2

5

2

1 2 2

2

1

3 1 2

1

1 1

3

56

CONCLUSIONS

There are many forces at play in this summer’s transfer window that are set to make it one of the most exciting ever; the impact of the new Premier League broadcasting deal kicking in, the influx of high profile managers at many of England’s top clubs, the huge spending potential of Chinese clubs and the economic uncertainty caused by Brexit to name just a few.

One of the big deals done so far is the transfer of Renato Sanches from Benfica to Bayern Munich for €35m – a fee backed up by our valuation. The teenager made a real impact at this summer’s Euros, starring for a Portugal side that would go on to win the trophy for the first time in their history, and is tipped for big things at Bayern.

Bayern are not the only German club investing in, or producing, top young talent – at the time of publishing, this year’s report shows that 9 of the top 20 most valuable U21 players in the world will play in the Bundesliga in 2016/2017, with 25% of the top 20 being of German nationality. This is a big swing from last year where they had less players in the top 20 than all the other “big 5” European Leagues, highlighting not only the quality of players coming through in Germany but the willingness of German clubs to give young players a chance.

In contrast to this is LaLiga, which despite consistent success on the pitch, providing the last three winners of both European competitions, surprisingly provides none of the players in the top 20. This may in part be down to the age criteria, with players like Saul Niguez and Jose Gimenez of Atletico Madrid valued highly but falling just outside the age range. With Spain getting to the final of this summer’s U17 Euros, however, expect

Spanish clubs to feature strongly again in next year’s list.

The Premier League again provide the most valuable player in our list and we see the inclusion of two of the league’s stand out English performers from last season, Deli Alli and Marcus Rashford – the latter featuring despite only really coming to prominence in the later part of the season because of the high percentage of minutes he played since coming into the team.

One noticeable difference when comparing with last year’s list is the switch from defence to attack; in 2015 nine out the 20 in the list were defenders, with five in the top 10. In 2016 there is only one defender featured, Niklas Süle of Hoffenheim, who features at no. 14. Let’s hope this emphasis on attack is seen throughout the Olympics, where many of the world’s best youngsters will feature, and then into the new season.

Despite the lack of defenders, for the first time our list features a goalkeeper, in the shape of Gianluigi Donnarumma. The teenager, seen as heir apparent to Italian legend Gianluigi Buffon, was hugely impressive for AC Milan last season, showing composure well beyond his years and, at just 17, is sure to feature in this list for a few years to come.

Whilst there has been a marked shift in player location and position within the report, the overall value of the top 20 remains high, in excess of €450m, and with more than a month left of the European window, several of the top 20 have been heavily tipped for a big move. Will the clubs agree with our valuations? Let’s see what happens in the next edition of the Soccerex Transfer Review!

In addition to the 20 U21 report, Soccerex and Prime Time Sport produce the bi-annual Soccerex Transfer Review which provides relevant data and insightful independent analysis on the variables that influence squad composition and player transfers throughout Europe’s biggest clubs. Soccerex Summer Transfer Review 2015 Key conclusions: €650m worth of players signed by Premier League sides over the last three seasons were only used in 50% or less of the total minutes of their club’s season.

Manchester United (€161m) and Tottenham (€138m) topped the list of players that failed to succeed, spending a combined €300m on 12 players. Manchester City (€73m), Liverpool (€69m), Arsenal (€47m) and Chelsea (€45m) also spent highly on players who failed to deliver.

Only five out of the ten highest summer expenditures resulted in League or Champions League success.

Manchester City’s capture of Raheem Sterling stands out as the most expensive English player ever in the Premier League (€60m).

Soccerex Winter Transfer Review 2015/16

Key conclusions:

Premier League side Watford spent more than any other team in Europe during the January transfer window with €43m invested on players. Seven of the top ten highest spending teams were Premier League sides and all three promoted teams featured in the top ten.

60% of the spending this season in the Premier League has been from clubs outside of the traditional top four compared with 47% in the Bundesliga, 44 per cent in Serie A and just 24% in La Liga.

The Chinese Super League (CSL) has broken the financial dominance of European Football in the transfer window, recording their biggest ever investment (€202m) in players from top leagues - second only to the Premier League.

Soccerex Summer Transfer Review 2016

The next report, the Summer Transfer Review, will be revealed at the start of September ahead of the upcoming Soccerex Global Convention, 26th-28th September in Manchester. The Convention will feature a special session looking at the state of the transfer market with Esteve Calzada, CEO, Prime Time Sport, being joined by a mix of former players and other key stakeholders to dissect the spending, player valuations and the different factors affecting the market.

FURTHER RESOURCES

SOCCEREX

+44 208 987 5522 enquiry@soccerex.com soccerex.com

TEW

GET IN TOUCH

PRIME TIME SPORT

+34 933 967 900 info@primetimesport.com primetimesport.com

TEW

FOOTBALL VALUE INDEX

+34 933 967 902 jr.minguell@primetimesport.com primetimesport.com

TEW