s.n. jonkman b. maaskant e. boyd m. levitan

Loss of life caused by the flooding of New Orleans after hurricane Katrina:

A preliminary analysis of the relationship between flood characteristics and mortality S.N. JonkmanB. MaaskantE. BoydM. Levitan

BackgroundMethods for estimation of loss of life are used to:Assess consequence and risk levelsAnalyse mitigation strategiesA method has been developed for Netherlands, mainly based on Dutch 1953 dataObjective: analyse relationship between flood characteristics and mortality for New OrleansFocus on direct mortality in flooded area

populated area

Analysis of mortalityAnalyse flood characteristicsEstimate exposed population (incl. evacuation)Analyse relationship between flood characteristics and mortality

Mortality (=nr. of fatalities/nr. exposed)

New Orleans: situation

Hurricane Katrina

Levee systeem

Flood simulations2D Hydrodynamic simulationsTo give insight in: depth, velocity, rise rate, arrival timeInput information:Breach characteristics (location, size, timing)Digital elevation modelHydraulic roughness

Results compared with: flood maps, damage patterns, eyewitness accounts

Flood simulationSimulations by Bob Maaskant (TU Delft) and WL|Delft Hydraulics

Flood simulations: results

Flood simulations: results (2)

Affected population and evacuation Flooded area: 450,000 inhabitantsEvacuation rate: 80% to 90% ((Wolshon, 2006) based on traffic counts)Shelter in city (Superdome etc.) 10%Estimate: 10% of population was exposed to flooding

Data regarding Katrina related fatalitiesSource: State Louisiana DHH in cooperation with LSU Hurricane CenterTotal: 1118 fatalities in LouisianaRecovery locations geocoded for 771 victims (69%)Dataset also provides information on:Age (elderly!)Gender (50%-50%)Ethnicity (similar to original population)Type of structure / facility

Recovery locationsSource: State of Louisiana DHH & LSU Hurricane Center`

Results by bowl

Results

Grafiek15

0.0078430.0099670

0.0006720.0120.0015913792

00.0029810.0046224615

00.0069930.0081957294

0.0095540.0092380.0120289259

0.0045770.0142860.0159922498

0.0109290.004090.020015913

0.0093990.0165290.0240589703

0.0068810.0176210.0280960693

0.0019960.014652

0.0111270.02381

0.0035590.021898

0.0079160.017032

00.005814

0.0139750

0.0112990.015474

0.012442

0.020173

0.025237

0.012821

0.004016

0.010387

0.013667

0.004454

0.017341

0.007813

0

0.002755

0.018405

0.005076

0.002924

0.00248

0.006596

0.04078

0.003436

0.038023

0.009434

0.025974

0.001555

0.009362

0.008347

0.005637

0.016279

0.021186

observations Orleans

observations St. Bernard

bestfit trendline

water depth (m)

mortality (-)

Chart1

000.0048767879

00.00041166090.004876831

0.0095540.00259597040.0048768741

0.0045770.00669614280.0048769172

0.0109290.01238725490.0048769603

0.0093990.01932729660.0048770034

0.0068810.0272287440.0048770466

0.0019960.03586194710.0048770897

0.011127

0.003559

0.007916

0

0.013975

0.011299

0.012442

0.020173

0.025237

0.012821

0.004016

0.010387

0.013667

0.004454

0.017341

0.007813

0

0.002755

0.018405

0.005076

0.002924

0.00248

0.006596

0.04078

0.003436

0.038023

0.009434

0.025974

0.001555

0.009362

0.008347

0.005637

0.016279

0.021186

Observations

Bestfit LogNormal

Bestfit Exponential

Flood depth (m)

Fatality rate (-)

STD-Depth

0.5170311465

0.5075436348

0.4028639618

0.4515876127

0.4697104961

0.58117338

0.5040030499

0.4708139216

0.1308994528

0.3986230818

0.5412995959

0.2557544757

0.4465801473

0.3741269061

0.3900634249

0.2232100144

0.1986549405

0.2206485771

0.2073690271

0.4222499221

0.4313474269

0.3624380215

0.2457069332

0.2486633713

0.669595596

0.577312285

0.1597478735

0.5132201334

0.3907778951

0.3003016423

0.4035249151

0.132585384

0.429115439

0.2466777963

0.3980127636

0.1185291903

0.241892982

0.5034582133

0.462088615

0.4136764982

0.2620527785

0.1955040417

STD-Rise

10.21875

6.8333333333

0

0

8.16

2.1940575673

1.5076815642

8.0769230769

0.3808917197

1.2935420744

3.6034958602

2.3475336323

1.3821510297

3.042981867

3.086797066

0.4632853899

1.3427471117

1.8371373308

0.7133472678

2.5096525097

0.9722724533

2.906622201

2.7642095915

8.0909090909

9.0660066007

3.4733969986

0.5664012582

2.3238854443

1.3997634536

1.4147424512

1.2236306021

0.5050660793

1.9301603725

1.2610864745

1.5051546392

0.4037412315

0.7512404896

2.7323420074

2.2638830898

2.4085603113

1.126557377

0.9164336751

STD-Velo

0.8366394399

0.7076923077

0.9299145299

0.8207282913

0.8333333333

0.747246022

0.9258322798

0.3613363607

0.3443526171

0.5419520548

0.9062636881

0.7616530514

0.6385869565

0.5697538101

0.4930198384

0.7125119389

0.4449917898

0.2783556216

0.5485460818

0.8209969789

0.7776085301

0.4215876089

0.5477513896

0.4937810945

1.6104023553

1.0134408602

0.4079002079

0.7234567901

0.5388673936

0.3955515479

0.655685441

0.3798882682

0.550486618

0.7212993725

0.4777553084

0.6290568504

0.5274193548

1.0475718533

0.7493721748

0.5407072368

0.4345833333

0.9327970939

All

DEPTHDEPTH RISEVELOCITIESDEPTH*VELOCITIESARRIVAL TIMELOGN

IDBuitendijksFlooddepthNamePOPEXPRec_newRat_newMin_depthMax_depthRange_depthMean_depthStd_depthMin_stijgMax_stijgRange_stijgMean_stijgStd_stijgMin_veloMax_veloRange_veloMean_veloStd_veloMin_H*VMax_H*VRange_H*VMean_H*VStd_H*VMin_arrMax_arrRange_arrMean_arrStd_arr

ST BERNARDavailable3.52241.2603

618NO000701 (Lower ninth ward)3278328150.0457320.00005.36875.36872.55921.74370.000023.700223.70022.65182.93730.04188.80618.76431.84331.37900.000334.848834.84856.01324.76740.00004.58334.58331.73050.73330.0202180.000651

619NO000702300930130.0099670.00003.29153.29151.15381.09990.000011.850011.85001.07941.90370.03241.20241.17000.51880.24410.00013.24933.24931.03300.73952.39175.28612.89442.89220.29460.0036660.000040

620NO000800249825030.0120001.22213.03461.81252.17800.34910.00007.29237.29232.06231.10740.30690.94280.63590.65110.13120.28562.57032.28461.33530.47252.38062.92220.54162.62210.10490.0147310.000007





888NO030103670567120.0029810.00003.00143.00141.08770.79310.000023.699823.69980.46521.06430.00022.19822.19800.36000.25320.00004.86734.86730.50700.54166.988927.838920.850010.64223.28010.0031840.000000

889 (incl. st.rita's)NO31 fatalities in St. Rita's nursing home0301042693269330.1226770.00003.43263.43260.98580.52890.000094.800394.80030.12910.94340.00066.55226.55160.31480.27330.000011.077811.07780.36310.44973.419428.280624.86127.93373.5054

890NO030203429242930.0069930.00004.22614.22610.41970.52670.000035.760135.76010.06640.99730.00311.67631.67320.24970.18110.00004.76724.76720.21350.31894.69179.71945.02775.73540.71080.0002470.000046

891PartialNO0302046592659120.0182090.00005.70275.70270.18720.69280.0000100.0000100.00000.25132.91390.00922.52522.51600.65110.33420.000012.694512.69450.38440.89742.552810.44177.88895.92511.1492

892NO030206432743340.0092380.20985.18084.97102.41760.61790.0000100.0000100.00005.073811.73800.22682.46102.23420.92060.25680.004010.349610.34552.08371.11334.40566.56672.16114.86360.16710.0181100.000079

893NO030207559756080.0142860.53535.15534.62002.35390.66920.0000100.0000100.00004.788810.95580.20472.47332.26860.85870.23360.10229.51959.41731.90511.11544.16395.31111.14724.54060.17400.0171880.000008

894NO030208489248920.0040900.00005.40435.40432.92450.63740.0000100.0000100.00003.51557.62600.14047.23827.09780.76900.40410.022117.005616.98352.04211.18643.41947.45004.03064.84070.53460.0259840.000479

895NO030209484348480.0165290.00004.39864.39861.22880.90080.000059.399059.39900.70112.01910.00291.45161.44870.45300.20240.00014.75034.75030.72410.47474.566710.32785.76115.96810.57720.0042520.000151

896NO030300226522740.0176210.00005.69365.69362.57081.29510.0000100.0000100.00006.18348.92930.01452.40482.39030.89120.33530.00009.98329.98322.89511.64412.38335.56113.17782.78120.38920.0203940.000008

897NO030400273127340.0146520.00005.54365.54361.12961.13670.0000100.0000100.00001.21014.70770.00211.99271.99060.58330.46860.000010.774210.77421.30701.50262.575024.366721.79173.74980.89120.0034860.000125

898NO030500336233680.0238101.97515.37453.39943.31280.33091.3352100.000098.66484.48596.35890.52741.85551.32811.24870.17180.91558.85067.93503.85570.78622.70283.35560.65282.89790.09570.0325560.000076

899 (INCL. EOC)NO030601274327460.0218981.87485.39213.51733.68070.46820.0000100.0000100.00007.56378.63790.51834.92824.40991.05200.26801.356621.725120.36853.71361.34912.91943.54170.62233.20900.15070.0391260.000297

900NO030602411241170.0170320.98005.47644.49643.04040.50670.0000100.0000100.00005.846910.35980.23392.20731.97340.82760.19520.204011.199010.99502.38870.89552.99174.10001.10833.44100.20990.0279020.000118

901NO030603344134420.0058141.97625.44703.47083.01810.63991.8231100.000098.17699.132515.88250.46291.77811.31520.89050.22691.16859.01617.84762.55381.11423.42223.74440.32223.57630.07260.0275300.000472

902NO030700214021400.0000000.00004.06034.06031.09020.65700.0000100.0000100.00000.82564.06770.00871.33651.32780.46050.22470.00004.50574.50570.52390.44283.75007.42223.67224.38740.55990.0032020.000010

903NO030800517351780.0154740.42675.35454.92782.06410.66480.0000100.0000100.00003.42228.89280.32372.18221.85850.91440.24380.056110.534910.47881.69680.87403.56115.27781.71674.03150.24600.0132140.000005

Total854238543190

NO EAST

33 (+2 in meer)YESNOLake Catherine174917510.005714

39NOLittle Woods443114425210.0047460.3048005.4864005.1816002.8939000.9591000.0254840.0004300.0000000.0000000.004877

51NOPines Village497249740.0080480.3048005.1816004.8768002.7257000.8025000.0227900.0002170.5000000.0004120.004877

52NOPlum Orchard702670360.0085350.3048005.4864005.1816002.9086000.8645000.0257240.0002951.0000000.0025960.004877

54NORead Blvd East8240824110.0133500.3048005.4864005.1816003.5976000.9066000.0376160.0005891.5000000.0066960.004877

55NORead Blvd West556455650.0089930.3048005.4864005.1816002.7764000.6868000.0235920.0002132.0000000.0123870.004877

68PartialNOViavant/Venetian Isles1865187120.0641710.3048005.4864005.1816001.6263000.9018002.5000000.0193270.004877

69NOPART 25%partly floodedVillage de l'est12968129720.0015420.3048005.1816004.8768002.6218000.6967000.0211730.0003853.0000000.0272290.004877

71NOWest Lake Forest959696040.0041670.6096005.4864004.8768003.3960000.5452000.0340160.0008913.5000000.0358620.004877

Total962919624664.0000000.0450460.004877

ORLEANS68 door 2 in lake4.5000000.0546380.004877

6NONOBlack Pearl173517410.0057470.00000.00000.00000.00000.0000

17NONOEast Riverside322032220.0062110.00000.00000.00000.00000.0000

23NONOFrench Quarter414241430.0072460.3048001.2192000.9144000.4589000.2082000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00180.23770.23590.04400.04310.00000.25310.25300.02110.032818.141730.405612.263923.78983.2581

25NONOGarden District198719900.0000000.3048000.9144000.6096000.3357000.0924000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00260.30540.30280.09650.08030.00000.09760.09760.02380.024324.905630.61675.711127.61871.4833

32NONOIrish Channel425742600.0000000.3048000.3048000.0000000.3048000.0000000.00000.00000.00000.00000.0000

40NONOLower Garden District Neighborh604560520.0033060.3048000.6096000.3048000.3078000.0300000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00610.26660.26050.09440.08830.00040.09970.09930.01780.025728.680630.24441.563829.36500.4961

42NONOMarigny307230710.0032570.3048000.6096000.3048000.3340000.0897000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00130.18570.18440.03970.03410.00000.09160.09150.01260.015315.233330.230614.997320.17022.5871

61NONOSt. Thomas Development291629200.0000000.00000.00000.00000.00000.0000

72NONOWest Riverside526052620.0038020.00000.00000.00000.00000.00003.5453851.2714926.8922511.088288

8NOPART 30%partly floodedBywater Neighborhood509651040.0078430.3048005.1816004.8768000.9141000.5160000.00000.59250.59250.00420.02790.00092.99322.99230.15240.33230.00006.07776.07770.23840.65810.000029.330629.330611.41846.21070.0021250.0000330.0041150.000014

2NOPART 40%partly floodedAudubon14870148710.0006720.3048002.7432002.4384001.0990000.5624000.00001.05331.05330.04300.14560.00110.70360.70250.14470.11110.00001.57271.57270.21730.239520.338930.638910.300022.98031.77480.0033230.0000070.0048770.000018STD/Mean depthSTD/Mean RiseSTD/Mean Velo

67NOPART 55%partly floodedUptown Neighborhood668166800.0000000.3048002.1336001.8288000.7545000.3901000.00000.49630.49630.00320.03270.00040.36100.36060.08570.07170.00000.63770.63770.08340.100521.388930.99729.608324.22542.20620.0013070.0000020.0035540.0000130.517031146510.218750.8366394399

38NOPART 70%partly floodedLeonidas895389500.0000000.3048005.4864005.1816001.0141000.5147000.00005.27065.27060.03480.23780.00050.74760.74710.11700.08280.00003.05583.05580.14970.165215.333330.288914.955620.11333.28580.0027400.0000080.0045110.0000200.50754363486.83333333330.7076923077

63NOPART 70%partly floodedTouro314031430.0095540.3048000.9144000.6096000.4190000.1688000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00130.24770.24640.05850.05440.00000.20480.20480.03090.039623.363930.06946.705525.66111.42750.0002580.0000860.0026110.0000480.402863961800.9299145299

16NOPART 75%partly flooded, 1 fatality outside flooded areaEast Carrollton436843720.0045770.3048001.5240001.2192000.5102000.2304000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00130.38070.37940.07140.05860.00000.31270.31270.04060.047518.908330.580611.672324.65322.69820.0004540.0000170.0028390.0000030.451587612700.8207282913

9NOPART 80%partly flooded, 1 fatality outside flooded areaCentral Business District182818320.0109290.3048002.1336001.8288000.7841000.3683000.00000.27560.27560.00250.02040.00090.48280.48190.10260.08550.00000.84310.84300.10780.124617.080630.008312.927720.74953.26820.0014430.0000900.0036510.0000530.46971049618.160.8333333333

10NOPART 95%partly flooded, 1 fatality outside flooded areaCentral City Neighborhood191481915180.0093990.3048005.4864005.1816001.1420000.6637000.00008.72008.72000.10770.23630.00061.14351.14290.16340.12210.00004.70584.70580.25180.320519.488930.841711.352822.91532.16850.0036380.0000330.0050730.0000190.581173382.19405756730.747246022

3NOB.W. Cooper436143630.0068810.3048003.6576003.3528001.3115000.6610000.00003.51113.51110.14320.21590.00130.96380.96250.23730.21970.00002.30972.30960.42190.472917.747229.158311.411121.31932.16200.0050110.0000030.0059280.0000010.50400304991.50768156420.9258322798

4NOBayou St. John501050110.0019960.3048005.4864005.1816001.0947000.5154000.00008.48578.48570.03770.30450.00311.02541.02230.30830.11140.00002.99972.99970.37030.22678.105629.677821.572213.35601.80430.0032920.0000020.0048580.0000080.47081392168.07692307690.3613363607

7NOBroadmoor718971980.0111270.9144003.3528002.4384002.3392000.3062000.00002.20472.20470.62800.23920.10110.99810.89700.43560.15000.13283.21023.07731.06770.401319.300022.00562.705620.19830.38180.0170030.0000350.0152420.0000170.13089945280.38089171970.3443526171

11NOCity Park281328110.0035590.3048005.4864005.1816001.9028000.7585000.00009.13859.13850.40880.52880.00153.20623.20470.35040.18990.00009.14179.14170.73470.54953.002828.577825.57508.74222.47530.0112330.0000590.0102070.0000440.39862308181.29354207440.5419520548

12NODesire Area379137930.0079160.3048005.7912005.4864001.5097000.8172000.00007.12007.12000.10870.39170.00111.50171.50060.22830.20690.00006.06246.06240.48560.60180.505630.238929.73337.55655.63730.0068620.0000010.0071130.0000010.54129959593.60349586020.9062636881

13NODesire Development7807800.0000000.3048004.8768004.5720001.6422000.4200000.00004.74004.74000.08920.20940.03581.95481.91900.20810.15850.03637.99217.95590.40520.54521.572214.644413.07225.03521.80190.0082370.0000680.0080330.0000650.25575447572.34753363230.7616530514

14NODillard644064490.0139750.3048003.9624003.6576001.4255000.6366000.00001.35431.35430.08740.12080.00320.68830.68510.14720.09400.00001.76991.76980.24740.23410.175029.441729.26679.72983.76330.0060440.0000630.0065830.0000550.44658014731.38215102970.6385869565

15NODixon177117720.0112990.3048005.4864005.1816002.0330000.7606000.00009.94299.94290.29780.90620.08270.91070.82800.25590.14580.08675.19025.10350.54480.490111.227819.56118.333313.96541.56970.0128620.0000020.0115040.0000000.37412690613.0429818670.5697538101

18NOFairgrounds642664380.0124420.3048003.3528003.0480001.2298000.4797000.00007.90007.90000.08180.25250.00201.05541.05340.27220.13420.00001.96791.96790.35320.20127.216729.447222.230510.70191.89450.0043240.0000660.0055000.0000480.39006342493.0867970660.4930198384

19NOFillmore6938694140.0201730.3048003.6576003.3528002.5084000.5599000.00001.41491.41490.39630.18360.00153.67653.67500.31410.22380.00019.73509.73490.86260.67380.000021.100021.10005.47581.43980.0194570.0000010.0178060.0000060.22321001440.46328538990.7125119389

21NOFlorida Area317131780.0252370.3048004.5720004.2672002.1263000.4224000.00004.74004.74000.31160.41840.03111.68021.64910.48720.21680.01925.10265.08341.11390.57530.002816.594416.59164.82611.14570.0140800.0001240.0125340.0001610.19865494051.34274711170.4449917898

22NOFlorida Development155915620.0128211.5240004.8768003.3528002.2665000.5001000.00004.51434.51430.25850.47490.28511.77191.48680.60570.16860.61176.31675.70501.48590.73720.07224.78614.71394.26130.86620.0159830.0000100.0142570.0000020.22064857711.83713733080.2783556216

24NOFreret249224910.0040160.6096003.0480002.4384001.7370000.3602000.00000.95760.95760.33490.23890.04090.62160.58070.20290.11130.03541.44341.40790.39750.269820.761122.91112.150021.33450.35000.0092840.0000280.0087650.0000230.20736902710.71334726780.5485460818

26NOGentilly Terrace105881059110.0103870.3048005.7912005.4864001.6045000.6775000.00009.90009.90000.12950.32500.00571.03891.03320.13240.10870.00003.84783.84780.26030.30463.769423.788920.01959.46393.57890.0078350.0000070.0077600.0000070.42224992212.50965250970.8209969789

27NOGentilly Woods438743960.0136670.3048003.6576003.3528001.8732000.8080000.00001.08971.08970.16590.16130.00550.98240.97690.13130.10210.00102.34222.34130.30690.31025.733319.313913.580610.52682.69100.0108740.0000080.0099330.0000140.43134742690.97227245330.7776085301

28NOGert Town448944920.0044540.3048005.4864005.1816001.6538000.5994000.00009.52009.52000.20990.61010.00161.51651.51490.41320.17420.00016.47836.47820.76060.528712.894428.400015.505618.30731.54600.0083620.0000150.0081200.0000130.36243802152.9066222010.4215876089

29NOHollygrove6919692120.0173410.3048005.7912005.4864002.0207000.4965000.00009.94299.94290.22520.62250.00111.27191.27080.19790.10840.00005.23985.23970.43400.38087.416728.916721.500013.58832.33270.0127050.0000210.0113750.0000360.24570693322.76420959150.5477513896

31NOIberville Development255825620.0078130.3048001.8288001.5240000.9913000.2465000.00000.15490.15490.00220.01780.02030.36160.34130.16080.07940.01280.51780.50500.18670.116717.902821.00563.102818.53300.39510.0025930.0000270.0044170.0000120.24866337138.09090909090.4937810945

34NOLake Terrace & Oaks214721500.0000000.3048005.7912005.4864000.9446000.6325000.00007.90007.90000.03030.27470.00052.27032.26980.10190.16410.00007.08117.08110.15110.38860.000030.877830.877813.66044.75890.0023040.0000050.0042320.0000180.6695955969.06600660071.6104023553

35NOLakeshore/Lake Vista363036310.0027550.3048003.0480002.7432000.9882000.5705000.00002.87272.87270.07330.25460.00071.22511.22440.11160.11310.00002.80052.80040.16320.28263.447229.511126.063910.39653.60090.0025730.0000000.0044050.0000030.5773122853.47339699861.0134408602

36NOLakeview Neighborhood9781978180.0184050.3048004.2672003.9624002.9509000.4714000.00006.32006.32001.01730.57620.02441.91301.88860.48100.19620.02596.09416.06811.48210.61842.275013.947211.67223.82080.59880.0263540.0000630.0267400.0000690.15974787350.56640125820.4079002079

37NOLakewood197319710.0050760.3048005.7912005.4864001.6490000.8463000.00009.48009.48000.33870.78710.00211.58661.58450.28350.20510.00006.51856.51840.61740.67653.080629.244426.16388.44925.11260.0083100.0000100.0080840.0000090.51322013342.32388544430.7234567901

43NOMarlyville/Fountainebleau684468420.0029240.3048003.0480002.7432001.4205000.5551000.00000.98750.98750.16910.23670.01170.92250.91080.28430.15320.00252.03422.03170.47010.349017.719425.90568.186219.97500.99190.0059970.0000090.0065530.0000130.39077789511.39976345360.5388673936

45NOMid-City Neighborhood20163201650.0024800.3048005.4864005.1816001.7902000.5376000.00009.55209.55200.22520.31860.00091.11231.11140.33270.13160.00005.45645.45640.62890.31557.563928.102820.538914.54481.38320.0098930.0000550.0092040.0000450.30030164231.41474245120.3955515479

46NOMilan758275850.0065960.3048002.7432002.4384001.4128000.5701000.00001.41491.41490.22090.27030.00190.78310.78120.18820.12340.00012.10722.10710.33660.306620.619428.14727.527822.12891.10840.0059250.0000000.0065070.0000000.40352491511.22363060210.655685441

47NOMilneburg5640564230.0407800.6096003.9624003.3528003.2266000.4278000.00001.50481.50480.45400.22930.01400.86780.85380.35800.13600.01843.13113.11271.22340.49873.769414.766710.99735.08601.15270.0309460.0000970.0344490.0000400.1325853840.50506607930.3798882682

48NONavarre290529110.0034360.3048005.7912005.4864001.8382000.7888000.00009.13859.13850.38660.74620.00231.65621.65390.32880.18100.00006.48846.48840.71020.59883.633329.130625.49736.47812.86970.0104560.0000490.0096190.0000380.4291154391.93016037250.550486618

53NOPontchartrain Park2630263100.0380230.3048005.7912005.4864002.9950000.7388000.00008.61828.61820.36080.45500.00091.81771.81680.27090.19540.00006.57356.57340.91070.69155.458321.538916.08067.45001.70170.0270740.0001200.0278460.0001040.24667779631.26108647450.7212993725

56NOSeventh Ward169551696160.0094340.3048002.4384002.1336001.2379000.4927000.00000.58160.58160.06790.10220.00220.80910.80690.19780.09450.00001.27791.27790.27910.18128.627829.608320.980511.78982.18740.0043900.0000250.0055410.0000150.39801276361.50515463920.4777553084

57NOSt. Anthony5394539140.0259740.3048003.9624003.6576003.0541000.3620000.00000.81030.81030.25660.10360.00163.49743.49580.45910.28880.00049.08879.08821.43040.81140.002818.158318.15553.74391.14470.0280490.0000040.0293990.0000120.11852919030.40374123150.6290568504

58NOSt. Bernard Area642764310.0015550.3048003.3528003.0480001.8595000.4498000.00002.96252.96250.30230.22710.00710.86670.85960.24800.13080.00002.25112.25100.53580.35396.561129.055622.49457.70740.98590.0107100.0000840.0098090.0000680.2418929820.75124048960.5274193548

59NOSt. Claude117451175110.0093620.3048003.3528003.0480001.0410000.5241000.00000.66760.66760.02690.07350.00031.33011.32980.10090.10570.00002.85812.85810.14710.22204.758329.200024.441710.30434.88200.0029190.0000420.0046240.0000220.50345821332.73234200741.0475718533

60NOSt. Roch119751198100.0083470.3048005.7912005.4864001.7198000.7947000.00007.90007.90000.23950.54220.00131.41931.41800.19910.14920.00005.46215.46210.42410.44743.758329.066725.30849.10563.60580.0090900.0000010.0086270.0000000.4620886152.26388308980.7493721748

64NOTreme'/Lafitte886988750.0056370.3048002.1336001.8288001.0646000.4404000.00000.49890.49890.02570.06190.00200.83670.83470.24320.13150.00001.11541.11540.29070.183913.177829.030615.852816.44042.63240.0030800.0000070.0047250.0000010.41367649822.40856031130.5407072368

65NOTulane/Gravier430243070.0162790.3048002.7432002.4384001.5764000.4131000.00001.12861.12860.15250.17180.00260.98020.97760.24000.10430.00001.48911.48910.42150.229215.297229.061113.763916.98481.41490.0075410.0000760.0075620.0000760.26205277851.1265573770.4345833333

70NOWest End4724472100.0211860.3048004.2672003.9624002.9938000.5853000.00006.77146.77140.64380.59000.02749.93449.90700.77080.71900.006331.921231.91502.41812.22250.000014.016714.01672.37650.74520.0270550.0000340.0278150.0000440.19550404170.91643367510.9327970939

Total31208631212274263.000000

check hoe aan 260?, er zijn binnen partly flooded nbh's een paar binnen en een paar buitenLSE0.00150.0013

FLOODED AND NON-FLOODED49380049379530R^20.78120.8104

0.6103R20.6568

LSE0.0015

R^20.6091

jonkmanb:1 outside flooded area

jonkmanb:1 uotside flooded area


Chart_depth

0.0457320

0.0099670.0004116609

0.0120.0025959704

0.0485070.0066961428

0.0332230.0123872549

0.0701110.0193272966

0.0683760.027228744

0.0029810.0358619471

0.0069930.0450458357

0.0092380.0546377813

0.014286

0.00409

0.016529

0.017621

0.014652

0.02381

0.021898

0.017032

0.005814

0

0.015474

0.004746

0.008048

0.008535

0.01335

0.008993

0.001542

0.004167

0.007843

0.000672

0

0

0.009554

0.004577

0.010929

0.009399

0.006881

0.001996

0.011127

0.003559

0.007916

0

0.013975

0.011299

0.012442

0.020173

0.025237

0.012821

0.004016

0.010387

0.013667

0.004454

0.017341

0.007813

0

0.002755

0.018405

0.005076

0.002924

0.00248

0.006596

0.04078

0.003436

0.038023

0.009434

0.025974

0.001555

0.009362

0.008347

0.005637

0.016279

0.021186

Water depth (m)

Fat. rate

table_report

ST BERNARDLOGN

Neighborhood / tractIDPopulationExposedRecovered in residential areasMortalityWater depth (m)Rise rate (m/hr)Std_veloArrival time (hr)Std_arrFlooddepthRemarks

000701 (Lower ninth ward)6183278328150.0462.562.651.381.730.73330.0000000.000000

000702619300930130.0101.151.080.242.890.29460.0000000.000000

000800620249825030.0122.182.060.132.620.10490.0000000.000000

000901 (Lower ninth ward)6212675268130.0493.857.490.102.450.12740.0000000.000000

000902 (Lower ninth ward)6223005301100.0334.285.460.152.080.09570.0000000.000000

000903 (Lower ninth ward)6232710271190.0703.664.040.602.130.16610.0000000.000000

000904 (Lower ninth ward)6242340234160.0683.064.290.162.410.14840.0000000.000000

030103888670567120.0031.090.470.2510.643.28010.0000000.000000

0301048892693269330.1230.990.130.277.933.505431 fatalities in St. Rita's nursing home

030203890429242930.0070.420.070.185.740.71080.0000000.000000

0302048916592659120.0180.331.1492NO

030206892432743340.0092.425.070.264.860.16710.0000000.000000

030207893559756080.0142.354.790.234.540.17400.0000000.000000

030208894489248920.0042.923.520.404.840.53460.0000000.000000

030209895484348480.0171.230.700.205.970.57720.0000000.000000

030300896226522740.0182.576.180.342.780.38920.0000000.000000

030400897273127340.0151.131.210.473.750.89120.0000000.000000

030500898336233680.0243.314.490.172.900.09570.0000000.000000

030601899274327460.0223.687.560.273.210.15070.0000000.000000

030602900411241170.0173.045.850.203.440.20990.0000000.000000

030603901344134420.0063.029.130.233.580.07260.0000000.000000

030700902214021400.0001.090.830.224.390.55990.0000000.000000

030800903517351780.0152.063.420.244.030.24600.0000000.000000

Totals854238543190

NO EAST

Lake Catherine33174917510.006NO

Little Woods39443114425210.0052.890.0000000.0000000.0000000.0000000.001787

Pines Village51497249740.0082.730.0000000.0000000.5000000.0000000.002827

Plum Orchard52702670360.0092.910.0000000.0000001.0000000.0000000.004471

Read Blvd East548240824110.0133.600.0000000.0000001.5000000.0000000.007071

Read Blvd West55556455650.0092.780.0000000.0000002.0000000.0000000.011183

Viavant/Venetian Isles681865187120.064NO2.5000000.0000000.017686

Village de l'est6912968129720.0022.62PART 25%partly flooded0.0000000.0000003.0000000.0000000.027973

West Lake Forest71959696040.0043.400.0000000.0000003.5000000.0000000.044241

2people found in the water

Total962919624684.0000000.0000000.069971

ORLEANS68 door 2 in lake4.5000000.0000000.110665

Black Pearl6173517410.0060.00NO

East Riverside17322032220.0060.00NO

French Quarter23414241430.0070.460.000.0423.78983.2581NO

Garden District25198719900.0000.340.000.0827.61871.4833NO

Irish Channel32425742600.0000.300.00NO

Lower Garden District Neighborh40604560520.0030.310.000.0929.36500.4961NO

Marigny42307230710.0030.330.000.0320.17022.5871NO

St. Thomas Development61291629200.0000.00NO

West Riverside72526052620.0040.00NO3.5453271.271479

Bywater Neighborhood8509651040.0080.910.000.3311.41846.2107PART 30%partially flooded0.0021250.000033

Audubon214870148710.0011.100.040.1122.98031.7748PART 40%partially flooded0.0033230.0000070.0017870.916857STD/Mean depthSTD/Mean RiseSTD/Mean Velo

Uptown Neighborhood67668166800.0000.750.000.0724.22542.2062PART 55%partially flooded0.0013070.0000020.0035690.000013000

Leonidas38895389500.0001.010.030.0820.11333.2858PART 70%partially flooded0.0027400.0000080.0045290.000021000

Touro63314031430.0100.420.000.0525.66111.4275PART 70%partially flooded0.0002580.0000860.0026240.000048000

East Carrollton16436843720.0050.510.000.0624.65322.6982PART 75%partially flooded, 1 fatality outside flooded area0.0004540.0000170.0028530.000003000

Central Business District9182818320.0110.780.000.0920.74953.2682PART 80%partially flooded, 1 fatality outside flooded area0.0014430.0000900.0036680.000053000

Central City Neighborhood10191481915180.0091.140.110.1222.91532.1685PART 95%partially flooded, 1 fatality outside flooded area0.0036380.0000330.0050920.000019000

B.W. Cooper3436143630.0071.310.140.2221.31932.16200.0050110.0000030.0059480.000001000

Bayou St. John4501050110.0021.090.040.1113.35601.80430.0032920.0000020.0048760.000008000

Broadmoor7718971980.0112.340.630.1520.19830.38180.0170040.0000350.0152620.000017000

City Park11281328110.0041.900.410.198.74222.47530.0112330.0000590.0102290.000044000

Desire Area12379137930.0081.510.110.217.55655.63730.0068620.0000010.0071340.000001000

Desire Development137807800.0001.640.090.165.03521.80190.0082370.0000680.0080550.000065000

Dillard14644064490.0141.430.090.099.72983.76330.0060450.0000630.0066040.000054000

Dixon15177117720.0112.030.300.1513.96541.56970.0128630.0000020.0115260.000000000

Fairgrounds18642664380.0121.230.080.1310.70191.89450.0043240.0000660.0055190.000048000

Fillmore196938694140.0202.510.400.225.47581.43980.0194590.0000010.0178230.000006000

Florida Area21317131780.0252.130.310.224.82611.14570.0140800.0001240.0125560.000161000

Florida Development22155915620.0132.270.260.174.26130.86620.0159840.0000100.0142780.000002000

Freret24249224910.0041.740.330.1121.33450.35000.0092840.0000280.0087870.000023000

Gentilly Terrace26105881059110.0101.600.130.119.46393.57890.0078350.0000070.0077810.000007000

Gentilly Woods27438743960.0141.870.170.1010.52682.69100.0108750.0000080.0099550.000014000

Gert Town28448944920.0041.650.210.1718.30731.54600.0083630.0000150.0081410.000014000

Hollygrove296919692120.0172.020.230.1113.58832.33270.0127050.0000210.0113970.000035000

Iberville Development31255825620.0080.990.000.0818.53300.39510.0025930.0000270.0044350.000011000

Lake Terrace & Oaks34214721500.0000.940.030.1613.66044.75890.0023040.0000050.0042490.000018000

Lakeshore/Lake Vista35363036310.0030.990.070.1110.39653.60090.0025740.0000000.0044220.000003000

Lakeview Neighborhood369781978180.0182.951.020.203.82080.59880.0263550.0000630.0267410.000069000

Lakewood37197319710.0051.650.340.218.44925.11260.0083110.0000100.0081060.000009000

Marlyville/Fountainebleau43684468420.0031.420.170.1519.97500.99190.0059980.0000090.0065740.000013000

Mid-City Neighborhood4520163201650.0021.790.230.1314.54481.38320.0098940.0000550.0092260.000046000

Milan46758275850.0071.410.220.1222.12891.10840.0059250.0000000.0065270.000000000

Milneburg475640564230.0413.230.450.145.08601.15270.0309480.0000970.0344320.000040000

Navarre48290529110.0031.840.390.186.47812.86970.0104570.0000490.0096410.000039000

Pontchartrain Park532630263100.0383.000.360.207.45001.70170.0270760.0001200.0278450.000104000

Seventh Ward56169551696160.0091.240.070.0911.78982.18740.0043900.0000250.0055600.000015000

St. Anthony575394539140.0263.050.260.293.74391.14470.0280500.0000040.0293950.000012000

St. Bernard Area58642764310.0021.860.300.137.70740.98590.0107100.0000840.0098310.000068000

St. Claude59117451175110.0091.040.030.1110.30434.88200.0029190.0000420.0046420.000022000

St. Roch60119751198100.0081.720.240.159.10563.60580.0090900.0000010.0086490.000000000

Treme'/Lafitte64886988750.0061.060.030.1316.44042.63240.0030800.0000070.0047430.000001000

Tulane/Gravier65430243070.0161.580.150.1016.98481.41490.0075410.0000760.0075840.000076000

West End704724472100.0212.990.640.722.37650.74520.0270560.0000340.0278140.000044000

Total27945227947263263.000

check hoe aan 260?, er zijn binnen partly flooded nbh's een paar binnen en een paar buitenLSE0.00150.0012

FLOODED AND NON-FLOODED46116646114521R^20.78120.6562




st bernard



ST BERNARDavailable3.52241.2603





624NO000904 (Lower ninth ward)2340234160.0683762.27483.83791.56313.05920.30482.06098.61826.55734.29421.29790.74821.62290.87471.05080.16401.82275.36763.54483.08400.66851.92222.62780.70562.40930.14840.0282170.00161311.22994.6725StbOrl

619NO000702300930130.0099670.00003.29153.29151.15381.09990.000011.850011.85001.07941.90370.03241.20241.17000.51880.24410.00013.24933.24931.03300.73952.39175.28612.89442.89220.29460.0036660.0000400.00880.00000.000000

620NO000800249825030.0120001.22213.03461.81252.17800.34910.00007.29237.29232.06231.10740.30690.94280.63590.65110.13120.28562.57032.28461.33530.47252.38062.92220.54162.62210.10490.0147310.0000070.01260.00000.50000.00535883330.0004173504

888NO030103670567120.0029810.00003.00143.00141.08770.79310.000023.699823.69980.46521.06430.00022.19822.19800.36000.25320.00004.86734.86730.50700.54166.988927.838920.850010.64223.28010.0031840.0000000.00850.00001.00000.00812112350.0025928344

890NO030203429242930.0069930.00004.22614.22610.41970.52670.000035.760135.76010.06640.99730.00311.67631.67320.24970.18110.00004.76724.76720.21350.31894.69179.71945.02775.73540.71080.0002470.0000460.00480.00001.50000.01026142980.0066429702

892NO030206432743340.0092380.20985.18084.97102.41760.61790.0000100.0000100.00005.073811.73800.22682.46102.23420.92060.25680.004010.349610.34552.08371.11334.40566.56672.16114.86360.16710.0181100.0000790.01340.00002.00000.01206417080.0122406168

893NO030207559756080.0142860.53535.15534.62002.35390.66920.0000100.0000100.00004.788810.95580.20472.47332.26860.85870.23360.10229.51959.41731.90511.11544.16395.31111.14724.54060.17400.0171880.0000080.01320.00002.50000.01364577420.0190494909

894NO030208489248920.0040900.00005.40435.40432.92450.63740.0000100.0000100.00003.51557.62600.14047.23827.09780.76900.40410.022117.005616.98352.04211.18643.41947.45004.03064.84070.53460.0259840.0004790.01490.00013.00000.01506786350.026789318

895NO030209484348480.0165290.00004.39864.39861.22880.90080.000059.399059.39900.70112.01910.00291.45161.44870.45300.20240.00014.75034.75030.72410.47474.566710.32785.76115.96810.57720.0042520.0001510.00920.00013.50000.01636782810.0352372508

896NO030300226522740.0176210.00005.69365.69362.57081.29510.0000100.0000100.00006.18348.92930.01452.40482.39030.89120.33530.00009.98329.98322.89511.64412.38335.56113.17782.78120.38920.0203940.0000080.01390.00004.00000.01757040610.0442180536

897NO030400273127340.0146520.00005.54365.54361.12961.13670.0000100.0000100.00001.21014.70770.00211.99271.99060.58330.46860.000010.774210.77421.30701.50262.575024.366721.79173.74980.89120.0034860.0001250.00870.00004.50000.01869298180.0535939229

898NO030500336233680.0238101.97515.37453.39943.31280.33091.3352100.000098.66484.48596.35890.52741.85551.32811.24870.17180.91558.85067.93503.85570.78622.70283.35560.65282.89790.09570.0325560.0000760.01590.00015.00000.0197483290.0632560844

899 (INCL. EOC)NO030601274327460.0218981.87485.39213.51733.68070.46820.0000100.0000100.00007.56378.63790.51834.92824.40991.05200.26801.356621.725120.36853.71361.34912.91943.54170.62233.20900.15070.0391260.0002970.01680.0000

900NO030602411241170.0170320.98005.47644.49643.04040.50670.0000100.0000100.00005.846910.35980.23392.20731.97340.82760.19520.204011.199010.99502.38870.89552.99174.10001.10833.44100.20990.0279020.0001180.01520.0000

901NO030603344134420.0058141.97625.44703.47083.01810.63991.8231100.000098.17699.132515.88250.46291.77811.31520.89050.22691.16859.01617.84762.55381.11423.42223.74440.32223.57630.07260.0275300.0004720.01510.0001

902NO030700214021400.0000000.00004.06034.06031.09020.65700.0000100.0000100.00000.82564.06770.00871.33651.32780.46050.22470.00004.50574.50570.52390.44283.75007.42223.67224.38740.55990.0032020.0000100.00850.0001

903NO030800517351780.0154740.42675.35454.92782.06410.66480.0000100.0000100.00003.42228.89280.32372.18221.85850.91440.24380.056110.534910.47881.69680.87403.56115.27781.71674.03150.24600.0132140.0000050.01230.0000

Total7613876151450.0005

Corr0.4851

R20.2353

st bernard

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

000

000

000

000

000

000

0

0

0

0

0

bestfit St. Bernard

bestfit Orleans


observations Lower 9th Ward

water depth (m)

mortality (-)

orleans



ORLEANS68 door 2 in lake

6NONOBlack Pearl173517410.0057470.00000.00000.00000.00000.0000

17NONOEast Riverside322032220.0062110.00000.00000.00000.00000.0000

23NONOFrench Quarter414241430.0072460.3048001.2192000.9144000.4589000.2082000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00180.23770.23590.04400.04310.00000.25310.25300.02110.032818.141730.405612.263923.78983.2581

25NONOGarden District198719900.0000000.3048000.9144000.6096000.3357000.0924000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00260.30540.30280.09650.08030.00000.09760.09760.02380.024324.905630.61675.711127.61871.4833

32NONOIrish Channel425742600.0000000.3048000.3048000.0000000.3048000.0000000.00000.00000.00000.00000.0000

40NONOLower Garden District Neighborh604560520.0033060.3048000.6096000.3048000.3078000.0300000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00610.26660.26050.09440.08830.00040.09970.09930.01780.025728.680630.24441.563829.36500.4961

42NONOMarigny307230710.0032570.3048000.6096000.3048000.3340000.0897000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00130.18570.18440.03970.03410.00000.09160.09150.01260.015315.233330.230614.997320.17022.5871

61NONOSt. Thomas Development291629200.0000000.00000.00000.00000.00000.0000

72NONOWest Riverside526052620.0038020.00000.00000.00000.00000.00003.5453851.2714926.8922511.088288

8NOPART 30%partly floodedBywater Neighborhood509651040.0078430.3048005.1816004.8768000.9141000.5160000.00000.59250.59250.00420.02790.00092.99322.99230.15240.33230.00006.07776.07770.23840.65810.000029.330629.330611.41846.21070.0021250.0000330.0041150.00001400

2NOPART 40%partly floodedAudubon14870148710.0006720.3048002.7432002.4384001.0990000.5624000.00001.05331.05330.04300.14560.00110.70360.70250.14470.11110.00001.57271.57270.21730.239520.338930.638910.300022.98031.77480.0033230.0000070.0048770.0000180.50.000428843

67NOPART 55%partly floodedUptown Neighborhood668166800.0000000.3048002.1336001.8288000.7545000.3901000.00000.49630.49630.00320.03270.00040.36100.36060.08570.07170.00000.63770.63770.08340.100521.388930.99729.608324.22542.20620.0013070.0000020.0035540.00001310.0026487919

38NOPART 70%partly floodedLeonidas895389500.0000000.3048005.4864005.1816001.0141000.5147000.00005.27065.27060.03480.23780.00050.74760.74710.11700.08280.00003.05583.05580.14970.165215.333330.288914.955620.11333.28580.0027400.0000080.0045110.0000201.50.0067655474

63NOPART 70%partly floodedTouro314031430.0095540.3048000.9144000.6096000.4190000.1688000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00130.24770.24640.05850.05440.00000.20480.20480.03090.039623.363930.06946.705525.66111.42750.0002580.0000860.0026110.00004820.0124412324

16NOPART 75%partly flooded, 1 fatality outside flooded areaEast Carrollton436843720.0045770.3048001.5240001.2192000.5102000.2304000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00130.38070.37940.07140.05860.00000.31270.31270.04060.047518.908330.580611.672324.65322.69820.0004540.0000170.0028390.0000032.50.0193329291

9NOPART 80%partly flooded, 1 fatality outside flooded areaCentral Business District182818320.0109290.3048002.1336001.8288000.7841000.3683000.00000.27560.27560.00250.02040.00090.48280.48190.10260.08550.00000.84310.84300.10780.124617.080630.008312.927720.74953.26820.0014430.0000900.0036510.00005330.0271564154

10NOPART 95%partly flooded, 1 fatality outside flooded areaCentral City Neighborhood191481915180.0093990.3048005.4864005.1816001.1420000.6637000.00008.72008.72000.10770.23630.00061.14351.14290.16340.12210.00004.70584.70580.25180.320519.488930.841711.352822.91532.16850.0036380.0000330.0050730.0000193.50.0356865108

3NOB.W. Cooper436143630.0068810.3048003.6576003.3528001.3115000.6610000.00003.51113.51110.14320.21590.00130.96380.96250.23730.21970.00002.30972.30960.42190.472917.747229.158311.411121.31932.16200.0050110.0000030.0059280.00000140.0447466209

4NOBayou St. John501050110.0019960.3048005.4864005.1816001.0947000.5154000.00008.48578.48570.03770.30450.00311.02541.02230.30830.11140.00002.99972.99970.37030.22678.105629.677821.572213.35601.80430.0032920.0000020.0048580.000008

7NOBroadmoor718971980.0111270.9144003.3528002.4384002.3392000.3062000.00002.20472.20470.62800.23920.10110.99810.89700.43560.15000.13283.21023.07731.06770.401319.300022.00562.705620.19830.38180.0170030.0000350.0152420.000017

11NOCity Park281328110.0035590.3048005.4864005.1816001.9028000.7585000.00009.13859.13850.40880.52880.00153.20623.20470.35040.18990.00009.14179.14170.73470.54953.002828.577825.57508.74222.47530.0112330.0000590.0102070.000044

12NODesire Area379137930.0079160.3048005.7912005.4864001.5097000.8172000.00007.12007.12000.10870.39170.00111.50171.50060.22830.20690.00006.06246.06240.48560.60180.505630.238929.73337.55655.63730.0068620.0000010.0071130.000001

13NODesire Development7807800.0000000.3048004.8768004.5720001.6422000.4200000.00004.74004.74000.08920.20940.03581.95481.91900.20810.15850.03637.99217.95590.40520.54521.572214.644413.07225.03521.80190.0082370.0000680.0080330.000065

14NODillard644064490.0139750.3048003.9624003.6576001.4255000.6366000.00001.35431.35430.08740.12080.00320.68830.68510.14720.09400.00001.76991.76980.24740.23410.175029.441729.26679.72983.76330.0060440.0000630.0065830.000055

15NODixon177117720.0112990.3048005.4864005.1816002.0330000.7606000.00009.94299.94290.29780.90620.08270.91070.82800.25590.14580.08675.19025.10350.54480.490111.227819.56118.333313.96541.56970.0128620.0000020.0115040.000000

18NOFairgrounds642664380.0124420.3048003.3528003.0480001.2298000.4797000.00007.90007.90000.08180.25250.00201.05541.05340.27220.13420.00001.96791.96790.35320.20127.216729.447222.230510.70191.89450.0043240.0000660.0055000.000048

19NOFillmore6938694140.0201730.3048003.6576003.3528002.5084000.5599000.00001.41491.41490.39630.18360.00153.67653.67500.31410.22380.00019.73509.73490.86260.67380.000021.100021.10005.47581.43980.0194570.0000010.0178060.000006

21NOFlorida Area317131780.0252370.3048004.5720004.2672002.1263000.4224000.00004.74004.74000.31160.41840.03111.68021.64910.48720.21680.01925.10265.08341.11390.57530.002816.594416.59164.82611.14570.0140800.0001240.0125340.000161

22NOFlorida Development155915620.0128211.5240004.8768003.3528002.2665000.5001000.00004.51434.51430.25850.47490.28511.77191.48680.60570.16860.61176.31675.70501.48590.73720.07224.78614.71394.26130.86620.0159830.0000100.0142570.000002

24NOFreret249224910.0040160.6096003.0480002.4384001.7370000.3602000.00000.95760.95760.33490.23890.04090.62160.58070.20290.11130.03541.44341.40790.39750.269820.761122.91112.150021.33450.35000.0092840.0000280.0087650.000023

26NOGentilly Terrace105881059110.0103870.3048005.7912005.4864001.6045000.6775000.00009.90009.90000.12950.32500.00571.03891.03320.13240.10870.00003.84783.84780.26030.30463.769423.788920.01959.46393.57890.0078350.0000070.0077600.000007

27NOGentilly Woods438743960.0136670.3048003.6576003.3528001.8732000.8080000.00001.08971.08970.16590.16130.00550.98240.97690.13130.10210.00102.34222.34130.30690.31025.733319.313913.580610.52682.69100.0108740.0000080.0099330.000014

28NOGert Town448944920.0044540.3048005.4864005.1816001.6538000.5994000.00009.52009.52000.20990.61010.00161.51651.51490.41320.17420.00016.47836.47820.76060.528712.894428.400015.505618.30731.54600.0083620.0000150.0081200.000013

29NOHollygrove6919692120.0173410.3048005.7912005.4864002.0207000.4965000.00009.94299.94290.22520.62250.00111.27191.27080.19790.10840.00005.23985.23970.43400.38087.416728.916721.500013.58832.33270.0127050.0000210.0113750.000036

31NOIberville Development255825620.0078130.3048001.8288001.5240000.9913000.2465000.00000.15490.15490.00220.01780.02030.36160.34130.16080.07940.01280.51780.50500.18670.116717.902821.00563.102818.53300.39510.0025930.0000270.0044170.000012

34NOLake Terrace & Oaks214721500.0000000.3048005.7912005.4864000.9446000.6325000.00007.90007.90000.03030.27470.00052.27032.26980.10190.16410.00007.08117.08110.15110.38860.000030.877830.877813.66044.75890.0023040.0000050.0042320.000018

35NOLakeshore/Lake Vista363036310.0027550.3048003.0480002.7432000.9882000.5705000.00002.87272.87270.07330.25460.00071.22511.22440.11160.11310.00002.80052.80040.16320.28263.447229.511126.063910.39653.60090.0025730.0000000.0044050.000003

36NOLakeview Neighborhood9781978180.0184050.3048004.2672003.9624002.9509000.4714000.00006.32006.32001.01730.57620.02441.91301.88860.48100.19620.02596.09416.06811.48210.61842.275013.947211.67223.82080.59880.0263540.0000630.0267400.000069

37NOLakewood197319710.0050760.3048005.7912005.4864001.6490000.8463000.00009.48009.48000.33870.78710.00211.58661.58450.28350.20510.00006.51856.51840.61740.67653.080629.244426.16388.44925.11260.0083100.0000100.0080840.000009

43NOMarlyville/Fountainebleau684468420.0029240.3048003.0480002.7432001.4205000.5551000.00000.98750.98750.16910.23670.01170.92250.91080.28430.15320.00252.03422.03170.47010.349017.719425.90568.186219.97500.99190.0059970.0000090.0065530.000013

45NOMid-City Neighborhood20163201650.0024800.3048005.4864005.1816001.7902000.5376000.00009.55209.55200.22520.31860.00091.11231.11140.33270.13160.00005.45645.45640.62890.31557.563928.102820.538914.54481.38320.0098930.0000550.0092040.000045

46NOMilan758275850.0065960.3048002.7432002.4384001.4128000.5701000.00001.41491.41490.22090.27030.00190.78310.78120.18820.12340.00012.10722.10710.33660.306620.619428.14727.527822.12891.10840.0059250.0000000.0065070.000000

47NOMilneburg5640564230.0407800.6096003.9624003.3528003.2266000.4278000.00001.50481.50480.45400.22930.01400.86780.85380.35800.13600.01843.13113.11271.22340.49873.769414.766710.99735.08601.15270.0309460.0000970.0344490.000040

48NONavarre290529110.0034360.3048005.7912005.4864001.8382000.7888000.00009.13859.13850.38660.74620.00231.65621.65390.32880.18100.00006.48846.48840.71020.59883.633329.130625.49736.47812.86970.0104560.0000490.0096190.000038

53NOPontchartrain Park2630263100.0380230.3048005.7912005.4864002.9950000.7388000.00008.61828.61820.36080.45500.00091.81771.81680.27090.19540.00006.57356.57340.91070.69155.458321.538916.08067.45001.70170.0270740.0001200.0278460.000104

56NOSeventh Ward169551696160.0094340.3048002.4384002.1336001.2379000.4927000.00000.58160.58160.06790.10220.00220.80910.80690.19780.09450.00001.27791.27790.27910.18128.627829.608320.980511.78982.18740.0043900.0000250.0055410.000015

57NOSt. Anthony5394539140.0259740.3048003.9624003.6576003.0541000.3620000.00000.81030.81030.25660.10360.00163.49743.49580.45910.28880.00049.08879.08821.43040.81140.002818.158318.15553.74391.14470.0280490.0000040.0293990.000012

58NOSt. Bernard Area642764310.0015550.3048003.3528003.0480001.8595000.4498000.00002.96252.96250.30230.22710.00710.86670.85960.24800.13080.00002.25112.25100.53580.35396.561129.055622.49457.70740.98590.0107100.0000840.0098090.000068

59NOSt. Claude117451175110.0093620.3048003.3528003.0480001.0410000.5241000.00000.66760.66760.02690.07350.00031.33011.32980.10090.10570.00002.85812.85810.14710.22204.758329.200024.441710.30434.88200.0029190.0000420.0046240.000022

60NOSt. Roch119751198100.0083470.3048005.7912005.4864001.7198000.7947000.00007.90007.90000.23950.54220.00131.41931.41800.19910.14920.00005.46215.46210.42410.44743.758329.066725.30849.10563.60580.0090900.0000010.0086270.000000

64NOTreme'/Lafitte886988750.0056370.3048002.1336001.8288001.0646000.4404000.00000.49890.49890.02570.06190.00200.83670.83470.24320.13150.00001.11541.11540.29070.183913.177829.030615.852816.44042.63240.0030800.0000070.0047250.000001

65NOTulane/Gravier430243070.0162790.3048002.7432002.4384001.5764000.4131000.00001.12861.12860.15250.17180.00260.98020.97760.24000.10430.00001.48911.48910.42150.229215.297229.061113.763916.98481.41490.0075410.0000760.0075620.000076

70NOWest End4724472100.0211860.3048004.2672003.9624002.9938000.5853000.00006.77146.77140.64380.59000.02749.93449.90700.77080.71900.006331.921231.91502.41812.22250.000014.016714.01672.37650.74520.0270550.0000340.0278150.000044

Total31208631212274263.000000

check hoe aan 260?, er zijn binnen partly flooded nbh's een paar binnen en een paar buitenLSE0.0015LSE0.0013

FLOODED AND NON-FLOODED49380049379530Correlatie0.7812Correlatie0.8104

R20.6103R20.6568

orleans

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0,36

0,64

0,45

0,25

1,01

0,31

0,62

0,15

0,0025

0,30

observations

bestfit

water depth (m)

mortality (-)

NO_East

DEPTH

IDBuitendijksFlooddepthNamePOPEXPRec_newRat_newMin_depthMax_depthRange_depthMean_depthStd_depth

NO EAST

33 (+2 in meer)YESNOLake Catherine174917510.0057144.28481.2973

39NOLittle Woods443114425210.0047460.3048005.4864005.1816002.8939000.9591000.00650.0000

51NOPines Village497249740.0080480.3048005.1816004.8768002.7257000.8025000.00570.0000

52NOPlum Orchard702670360.0085350.3048005.4864005.1816002.9086000.8645000.00660.0000

54NORead Blvd East8240824110.0133500.3048005.4864005.1816003.5976000.9066000.01030.0000

55NORead Blvd West556455650.0089930.3048005.4864005.1816002.7764000.6868000.00590.0000

69NOPART 25%partly floodedVillage de l'est12968129720.0015420.3048005.1816004.8768002.6218000.6967000.00520.0000

71NOWest Lake Forest959696040.0041670.6096005.4864004.8768003.3960000.5452000.00910.0000

Total962919624660.0001

Corr0.4837967275

R20.2340592735




combined



ST BERNARDavailable3.52241.26035.20441.9995prediction

618NO000701 (Lower ninth ward)3278328150.0457320.00005.36875.36872.55921.74370.000023.700223.70022.65182.93730.04188.80618.76431.84331.37900.000334.848834.84856.01324.76740.00004.58334.58331.73050.73330.0202180.0006510.05317.3840





619NO000702300930130.0099670.00003.29153.29151.15381.09990.000011.850011.85001.07941.90370.03241.20241.17000.51880.24410.00013.24933.24931.03300.73952.39175.28612.89442.89220.29460.0036660.0000400.00570.00001.7102

620NO000800249825030.0120001.22213.03461.81252.17800.34910.00007.29237.29232.06231.10740.30690.94280.63590.65110.13120.28562.57032.28461.33530.47252.38062.92220.54162.62210.10490.0147310.0000070.01340.00003.35740.00000.0000

888NO030103670567120.0029810.00003.00143.00141.08770.79310.000023.699823.69980.46521.06430.00022.19822.19800.36000.25320.00004.86734.86730.50700.54166.988927.838920.850010.64223.28010.0031840.0000000.00520.00003.50350.50000.0016

890NO030203429242930.0069930.00004.22614.22610.41970.52670.000035.760135.76010.06640.99730.00311.67631.67320.24970.18110.00004.76724.76720.21350.31894.69179.71945.02775.73540.71080.0002470.0000460.00120.00000.51241.00000.0046

892NO030206432743340.0092380.20985.18084.97102.41760.61790.0000100.0000100.00005.073811.73800.22682.46102.23420.92060.25680.004010.349610.34552.08371.11334.40566.56672.16114.86360.16710.0181100.0000790.01530.00006.63941.50000.0082

893NO030207559756080.0142860.53535.15534.62002.35390.66920.0000100.0000100.00004.788810.95580.20472.47332.26860.85870.23360.10229.51959.41731.90511.11544.16395.31111.14724.54060.17400.0171880.0000080.01480.00008.30232.00000.0120

894NO030208489248920.0040900.00005.40435.40432.92450.63740.0000100.0000100.00003.51557.62600.14047.23827.09780.76900.40410.022117.005616.98352.04211.18643.41947.45004.03064.84070.53460.0259840.0004790.01940.00029.48972.50000.0160

895NO030209484348480.0165290.00004.39864.39861.22880.90080.000059.399059.39900.70112.01910.00291.45161.44870.45300.20240.00014.75034.75030.72410.47474.566710.32785.76115.96810.57720.0042520.0001510.00620.00013.00703.00000.0200

896NO030300226522740.0176210.00005.69365.69362.57081.29510.0000100.0000100.00006.18348.92930.01452.40482.39030.89120.33530.00009.98329.98322.89511.64412.38335.56113.17782.78120.38920.0203940.0000080.01660.00003.75903.50000.0241

897NO030400273127340.0146520.00005.54365.54361.12961.13670.0000100.0000100.00001.21014.70770.00211.99271.99060.58330.46860.000010.774210.77421.30701.50262.575024.366721.79173.74980.89120.0034860.0001250.00550.00011.50494.00000.0281

898NO030500336233680.0238101.97515.37453.39943.31280.33091.3352100.000098.66484.48596.35890.52741.85551.32811.24870.17180.91558.85067.93503.85570.78622.70283.35560.65282.89790.09570.0325560.0000760.02250.00007.5751

899 (INCL. EOC)NO030601274327460.0218981.87485.39213.51733.68070.46820.0000100.0000100.00007.56378.63790.51834.92824.40991.05200.26801.356621.725120.36853.71361.34912.91943.54170.62233.20900.15070.0391260.0002970.02550.00006.9924

900NO030602411241170.0170320.98005.47644.49643.04040.50670.0000100.0000100.00005.846910.35980.23392.20731.97340.82760.19520.204011.199010.99502.38870.89552.99174.10001.10833.44100.20990.0279020.0001180.02030.00008.3607

901NO030603344134420.0058141.97625.44703.47083.01810.63991.8231100.000098.17699.132515.88250.46291.77811.31520.89050.22691.16859.01617.84762.55381.11423.42223.74440.32223.57630.07260.0275300.0004720.02020.00026.9358

902NO030700214021400.0000000.00004.06034.06031.09020.65700.0000100.0000100.00000.82564.06770.00871.33651.32780.46050.22470.00004.50574.50570.52390.44283.75007.42223.67224.38740.55990.0032020.0000100.00520.00001.1211

903NO030800517351780.0154740.42675.35454.92782.06410.66480.0000100.0000100.00003.42228.89280.32372.18221.85850.91440.24380.056110.534910.47881.69680.87403.56115.27781.71674.03150.24600.0132140.0000050.01250.00006.4788

8NOPART 30%partly floodedBywater Neighborhood509651040.0078430.3048005.1816004.8768000.9141000.5160000.00000.59250.59250.00420.02790.00092.99322.99230.15240.33230.00006.07776.07770.23840.65810.000029.330629.330611.41846.21070.0021250.0000330.00410.00002.0661

2NOPART 40%partly floodedAudubon14870148710.0006720.3048002.7432002.4384001.0990000.5624000.00001.05331.05330.04300.14560.00110.70360.70250.14470.11110.00001.57271.57270.21730.239520.338930.638910.300022.98031.77480.0033230.0000070.00530.00007.880300



63NOPART 70%partly floodedTouro314031430.0095540.3048000.9144000.6096000.4190000.1688000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00130.24770.24640.05850.05440.00000.20480.20480.03090.039623.363930.06946.705525.66111.42750.0002580.0000860.00120.00010.37400.060.06

16NOPART 75%partly flooded, 1 fatality outside flooded areaEast Carrollton436843720.0045770.3048001.5240001.2192000.5102000.2304000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00130.38070.37940.07140.05860.00000.31270.31270.04060.047518.908330.580611.672324.65322.69820.0004540.0000170.00160.00000.71850.080.08


10NOPART 95%partly flooded, 1 fatality outside flooded areaCentral City Neighborhood191481915180.0093990.3048005.4864005.1816001.1420000.6637000.00008.72008.72000.10770.23630.00061.14351.14290.16340.12210.00004.70584.70580.25180.320519.488930.841711.352822.91532.16850.0036380.0000330.00560.000010.7222

3NOB.W. Cooper436143630.0068810.3048003.6576003.3528001.3115000.6610000.00003.51113.51110.14320.21590.00130.96380.96250.23730.21970.00002.30972.30960.42190.472917.747229.158311.411121.31932.16200.0050110.0000030.00680.00002.9682

4NOBayou St. John501050110.0019960.3048005.4864005.1816001.0947000.5154000.00008.48578.48570.03770.30450.00311.02541.02230.30830.11140.00002.99972.99970.37030.22678.105629.677821.572213.35601.80430.0032920.0000020.00530.00002.6401

7NOBroadmoor718971980.0111270.9144003.3528002.4384002.3392000.3062000.00002.20472.20470.62800.23920.10110.99810.89700.43560.15000.13283.21023.07731.06770.401319.300022.00562.705620.19830.38180.0170030.0000350.01470.000010.5754

11NOCity Park281328110.0035590.3048005.4864005.1816001.9028000.7585000.00009.13859.13850.40880.52880.00153.20623.20470.35040.18990.00009.14179.14170.73470.54953.002828.577825.57508.74222.47530.0112330.0000590.01130.00013.1671

12NODesire Area379137930.0079160.3048005.7912005.4864001.5097000.8172000.00007.12007.12000.10870.39170.00111.50171.50060.22830.20690.00006.06246.06240.48560.60180.505630.238929.73337.55655.63730.0068620.0000010.00830.00003.1336

13NODesire Development7807800.0000000.3048004.8768004.5720001.6422000.4200000.00004.74004.74000.08920.20940.03581.95481.91900.20810.15850.03637.99217.95590.40520.54521.572214.644413.07225.03521.80190.0082370.0000680.00930.00010.7228

14NODillard644064490.0139750.3048003.9624003.6576001.4255000.6366000.00001.35431.35430.08740.12080.00320.68830.68510.14720.09400.00001.76991.76980.24740.23410.175029.441729.26679.72983.76330.0060440.0000630.00760.00004.9217

15NODixon177117720.0112990.3048005.4864005.1816002.0330000.7606000.00009.94299.94290.29780.90620.08270.91070.82800.25590.14580.08675.19025.10350.54480.490111.227819.56118.333313.96541.56970.0128620.0000020.01230.00002.1749

18NOFairgrounds642664380.0124420.3048003.3528003.0480001.2298000.4797000.00007.90007.90000.08180.25250.00201.05541.05340.27220.13420.00001.96791.96790.35320.20127.216729.447222.230510.70191.89450.0043240.0000660.00620.00003.9995

19NOFillmore6938694140.0201730.3048003.6576003.3528002.5084000.5599000.00001.41491.41490.39630.18360.00153.67653.67500.31410.22380.00019.73509.73490.86260.67380.000021.100021.10005.47581.43980.0194570.0000010.01610.000011.1453

21NOFlorida Area317131780.0252370.3048004.5720004.2672002.1263000.4224000.00004.74004.74000.31160.41840.03111.68021.64910.48720.21680.01925.10265.08341.11390.57530.002816.594416.59164.82611.14570.0140800.0001240.01300.00014.1277

22NOFlorida Development155915620.0128211.5240004.8768003.3528002.2665000.5001000.00004.51434.51430.25850.47490.28511.77191.48680.60570.16860.61176.31675.70501.48590.73720.07224.78614.71394.26130.86620.0159830.0000100.01410.00002.2044

24NOFreret249224910.0040160.6096003.0480002.4384001.7370000.3602000.00000.95760.95760.33490.23890.04090.62160.58070.20290.11130.03541.44341.40790.39750.269820.761122.91112.150021.33450.35000.0092840.0000280.01000.00002.4876

26NOGentilly Terrace105881059110.0103870.3048005.7912005.4864001.6045000.6775000.00009.90009.90000.12950.32500.00571.03891.03320.13240.10870.00003.84783.84780.26030.30463.769423.788920.01959.46393.57890.0078350.0000070.00900.00009.5109

27NOGentilly Woods438743960.0136670.3048003.6576003.3528001.8732000.8080000.00001.08971.08970.16590.16130.00550.98240.97690.13130.10210.00102.34222.34130.30690.31025.733319.313913.580610.52682.69100.0108740.0000080.01100.00004.8469

28NOGert Town448944920.0044540.3048005.4864005.1816001.6538000.5994000.00009.52009.52000.20990.61010.00161.51651.51490.41320.17420.00016.47836.47820.76060.528712.894428.400015.505618.30731.54600.0083620.0000150.00940.00004.2003

29NOHollygrove6919692120.0173410.3048005.7912005.4864002.0207000.4965000.00009.94299.94290.22520.62250.00111.27191.27080.19790.10840.00005.23985.23970.43400.38087.416728.916721.500013.58832.33270.0127050.0000210.01220.00008.4362

31NOIberville Development255825620.0078130.3048001.8288001.5240000.9913000.2465000.00000.15490.15490.00220.01780.02030.36160.34130.16080.07940.01280.51780.50500.18670.116717.902821.00563.102818.53300.39510.0025930.0000270.00460.00001.1684

34NOLake Terrace & Oaks214721500.0000000.3048005.7912005.4864000.9446000.6325000.00007.90007.90000.03030.27470.00052.27032.26980.10190.16410.00007.08117.08110.15110.38860.000030.877830.877813.66044.75890.0023040.0000050.00430.00000.9142

35NOLakeshore/Lake Vista363036310.0027550.3048003.0480002.7432000.9882000.5705000.00002.87272.87270.07330.25460.00071.22511.22440.11160.11310.00002.80052.80040.16320.28263.447229.511126.063910.39653.60090.0025730.0000000.00450.00001.6491

36NOLakeview Neighborhood9781978180.0184050.3048004.2672003.9624002.9509000.4714000.00006.32006.32001.01730.57620.02441.91301.88860.48100.19620.02596.09416.06811.48210.61842.275013.947211.67223.82080.59880.0263540.0000630.01960.000019.1878

37NOLakewood197319710.0050760.3048005.7912005.4864001.6490000.8463000.00009.48009.48000.33870.78710.00211.58661.58450.28350.20510.00006.51856.51840.61740.67653.080629.244426.16388.44925.11260.0083100.0000100.00930.00001.8357

43NOMarlyville/Fountainebleau684468420.0029240.3048003.0480002.7432001.4205000.5551000.00000.98750.98750.16910.23670.01170.92250.91080.28430.15320.00252.03422.03170.47010.349017.719425.90568.186219.97500.99190.0059970.0000090.00760.00005.2022

45NOMid-City Neighborhood20163201650.0024800.3048005.4864005.1816001.7902000.5376000.00009.55209.55200.22520.31860.00091.11231.11140.33270.13160.00005.45645.45640.62890.31557.563928.102820.538914.54481.38320.0098930.0000550.01040.000120.9646

46NOMilan758275850.0065960.3048002.7432002.4384001.4128000.5701000.00001.41491.41490.22090.27030.00190.78310.78120.18820.12340.00012.10722.10710.33660.306620.619428.14727.527822.12891.10840.0059250.0000000.00750.00005.7219

47NOMilneburg5640564230.0407800.6096003.9624003.3528003.2266000.4278000.00001.50481.50480.45400.22930.01400.86780.85380.35800.13600.01843.13113.11271.22340.49873.769414.766710.99735.08601.15270.0309460.0000970.02180.000412.3221

48NONavarre290529110.0034360.3048005.7912005.4864001.8382000.7888000.00009.13859.13850.38660.74620.00231.65621.65390.32880.18100.00006.48846.48840.71020.59883.633329.130625.49736.47812.86970.0104560.0000490.01080.00013.1340

53NOPontchartrain Park2630263100.0380230.3048005.7912005.4864002.9950000.7388000.00008.61828.61820.36080.45500.00091.81771.81680.27090.19540.00006.57356.57340.91070.69155.458321.538916.08067.45001.70170.0270740.0001200.02000.00035.2536

56NOSeventh Ward169551696160.0094340.3048002.4384002.1336001.2379000.4927000.00000.58160.58160.06790.10220.00220.80910.80690.19780.09450.00001.27791.27790.27910.18128.627829.608320.980511.78982.18740.0043900.0000250.00630.000010.6472

57NOSt. Anthony5394539140.0259740.3048003.9624003.6576003.0541000.3620000.00000.81030.81030.25660.10360.00163.49743.49580.45910.28880.00049.08879.08821.43040.81140.002818.158318.15553.74391.14470.0280490.0000040.02050.000011.0242

58NOSt. Bernard Area642764310.0015550.3048003.3528003.0480001.8595000.4498000.00002.96252.96250.30230.22710.00710.86670.85960.24800.13080.00002.25112.25100.53580.35396.561129.055622.49457.70740.98590.0107100.0000840.01090.00017.0309

59NOSt. Claude117451175110.0093620.3048003.3528003.0480001.0410000.5241000.00000.66760.66760.02690.07350.00031.33011.32980.10090.10570.00002.85812.85810.14710.22204.758329.200024.441710.30434.88200.0029190.0000420.00490.00005.7582

60NOSt. Roch119751198100.0083470.3048005.7912005.4864001.7198000.7947000.00007.90007.90000.23950.54220.00131.41931.41800.19910.14920.00005.46215.46210.42410.44743.758329.066725.30849.10563.60580.0090900.0000010.00990.000011.8104

64NOTreme'/Lafitte886988750.0056370.3048002.1336001.8288001.0646000.4404000.00000.49890.49890.02570.06190.00200.83670.83470.24320.13150.00001.11541.11540.29070.183913.177829.030615.852816.44042.63240.0030800.0000070.00510.00004.4901

65NOTulane/Gravier430243070.0162790.3048002.7432002.4384001.5764000.4131000.00001.12861.12860.15250.17180.00260.98020.97760.24000.10430.00001.48911.48910.42150.229215.297229.061113.763916.98481.41490.0075410.0000760.00880.00013.7706

70NOWest End4724472100.0211860.3048004.2672003.9624002.9938000.5853000.00006.77146.77140.64380.59000.02749.93449.90700.77080.71900.006331.921231.91502.41812.22250.000014.016714.01672.37650.74520.0270550.0000340.02000.00009.4239

0.0026404.7288

CORR0.64680.7316

R20.41840.5352

Corr prediction obs0.8600948068

0.7397630767




combined

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observations Orleans


bestfit trendline

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mortality (-)

combinEast

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Lower 9th Ward

St. Bernard

Orleans

observed morality (-)

calculated mortality (-)

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observed number of fatalities

calulated number of fatalities

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Lower 9th Ward

St. Bernard

Orleans

observed number of fatalities

calulated number of fatalities

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Orleans

St. Bernard

rise rate (m/hr)

mortality (-)



ST BERNARDavailable3.52241.26037.02592.7613prediction






619NO000702300930130.0099670.00003.29153.29151.15381.09990.000011.850011.85001.07941.90370.03241.20241.17000.51880.24410.00013.24933.24931.03300.73952.39175.28612.89442.89220.29460.0036660.0000400.00630.00001.9088

620NO000800249825030.0120001.22213.03461.81252.17800.34910.00007.29237.29232.06231.10740.30690.94280.63590.65110.13120.28562.57032.28461.33530.47252.38062.92220.54162.62210.10490.0147310.0000070.01180.00002.95860.00000.0000

888NO030103670567120.0029810.00003.00143.00141.08770.79310.000023.699823.69980.46521.06430.00022.19822.19800.36000.25320.00004.86734.86730.50700.54166.988927.838920.850010.64223.28010.0031840.0000000.00600.00004.00580.50000.0026

890NO030203429242930.0069930.00004.22614.22610.41970.52670.000035.760135.76010.06640.99730.00311.67631.67320.24970.18110.00004.76724.76720.21350.31894.69179.71945.02775.73540.71080.0002470.0000460.00210.00000.91221.00000.0055

892NO030206432743340.0092380.20985.18084.97102.41760.61790.0000100.0000100.00005.073811.73800.22682.46102.23420.92060.25680.004010.349610.34552.08371.11334.40566.56672.16114.86360.16710.0181100.0000790.01310.00005.65141.50000.0083

893NO030207559756080.0142860.53535.15534.62002.35390.66920.0000100.0000100.00004.788810.95580.20472.47332.26860.85870.23360.10229.51959.41731.90511.11544.16395.31111.14724.54060.17400.0171880.0000080.01270.00007.12902.00000.0109

894NO030208489248920.0040900.00005.40435.40432.92450.63740.0000100.0000100.00003.51557.62600.14047.23827.09780.76900.40410.022117.005616.98352.04211.18643.41947.45004.03064.84070.53460.0259840.0004790.01560.00017.60502.50000.0135

895NO030209484348480.0165290.00004.39864.39861.22880.90080.000059.399059.39900.70112.01910.00291.45161.44870.45300.20240.00014.75034.75030.72410.47474.566710.32785.76115.96810.57720.0042520.0001510.00680.00013.27213.00000.0159

896NO030300226522740.0176210.00005.69365.69362.57081.29510.0000100.0000100.00006.18348.92930.01452.40482.39030.89120.33530.00009.98329.98322.89511.64412.38335.56113.17782.78120.38920.0203940.0000080.01380.00003.13663.50000.0183

897NO030400273127340.0146520.00005.54365.54361.12961.13670.0000100.0000100.00001.21014.70770.00211.99271.99060.58330.46860.000010.774210.77421.30701.50262.575024.366721.79173.74980.89120.0034860.0001250.00620.00011.69424.00000.0206

898NO030500336233680.0238101.97515.37453.39943.31280.33091.3352100.000098.66484.48596.35890.52741.85551.32811.24870.17180.91558.85067.93503.85570.78622.70283.35560.65282.89790.09570.0325560.0000760.01740.00005.8477

899 (INCL. EOC)NO030601274327460.0218981.87485.39213.51733.68070.46820.0000100.0000100.00007.56378.63790.51834.92824.40991.05200.26801.356621.725120.36853.71361.34912.91943.54170.62233.20900.15070.0391260.0002970.01910.00005.2366

900NO030602411241170.0170320.98005.47644.49643.04040.50670.0000100.0000100.00005.846910.35980.23392.20731.97340.82760.19520.204011.199010.99502.38870.89552.99174.10001.10833.44100.20990.0279020.0001180.01610.00006.6213

901NO030603344134420.0058141.97625.44703.47083.01810.63991.8231100.000098.17699.132515.88250.46291.77811.31520.89050.22691.16859.01617.84762.55381.11423.42223.74440.32223.57630.07260.0275300.0004720.01600.00015.5051

902NO030700214021400.0000000.00004.06034.06031.09020.65700.0000100.0000100.00000.82564.06770.00871.33651.32780.46050.22470.00004.50574.50570.52390.44283.75007.42223.67224.38740.55990.0032020.0000100.00600.00001.2806

903NO030800517351780.0154740.42675.35454.92782.06410.66480.0000100.0000100.00003.42228.89280.32372.18221.85850.91440.24380.056110.534910.47881.69680.87403.56115.27781.71674.03150.24600.0132140.0000050.01120.00005.8147

8NOPART 30%partly floodedBywater Neighborhood509651040.0078430.3048005.1816004.8768000.9141000.5160000.00000.59250.59250.00420.02790.00092.99322.99230.15240.33230.00006.07776.07770.23840.65810.000029.330629.330611.41846.21070.0021250.0000330.00500.00002.5422

2NOPART 40%partly floodedAudubon14870148710.0006720.3048002.7432002.4384001.0990000.5624000.00001.05331.05330.04300.14560.00110.70360.70250.14470.11110.00001.57271.57270.21730.239520.338930.638910.300022.98031.77480.0033230.0000070.00600.00008.972000



63NOPART 70%partly floodedTouro314031430.0095540.3048000.9144000.6096000.4190000.1688000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00130.24770.24640.05850.05440.00000.20480.20480.03090.039623.363930.06946.705525.66111.42750.0002580.0000860.00210.00010.66640.060.06

16NOPART 75%partly flooded, 1 fatality outside flooded areaEast Carrollton436843720.0045770.3048001.5240001.2192000.5102000.2304000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00130.38070.37940.07140.05860.00000.31270.31270.04060.047518.908330.580611.672324.65322.69820.0004540.0000170.00270.00001.15860.080.08


10NOPART 95%partly flooded, 1 fatality outside flooded areaCentral City Neighborhood191481915180.0093990.3048005.4864005.1816001.1420000.6637000.00008.72008.72000.10770.23630.00061.14351.14290.16340.12210.00004.70584.70580.25180.320519.488930.841711.352822.91532.16850.0036380.0000330.00630.000012.0172

3NOB.W. Cooper436143630.0068810.3048003.6576003.3528001.3115000.6610000.00003.51113.51110.14320.21590.00130.96380.96250.23730.21970.00002.30972.30960.42190.472917.747229.158311.411121.31932.16200.0050110.0000030.00720.00003.1477

4NOBayou St. John501050110.0019960.3048005.4864005.1816001.0947000.5154000.00008.48578.48570.03770.30450.00311.02541.02230.30830.11140.00002.99972.99970.37030.22678.105629.677821.572213.35601.80430.0032920.0000020.00600.00003.0107

7NOBroadmoor718971980.0111270.9144003.3528002.4384002.3392000.3062000.00002.20472.20470.62800.23920.10110.99810.89700.43560.15000.13283.21023.07731.06770.401319.300022.00562.705620.19830.38180.0170030.0000350.01270.00009.0996

11NOCity Park281328110.0035590.3048005.4864005.1816001.9028000.7585000.00009.13859.13850.40880.52880.00153.20623.20470.35040.18990.00009.14179.14170.73470.54953.002828.577825.57508.74222.47530.0112330.0000590.01040.00002.9240

12NODesire Area379137930.0079160.3048005.7912005.4864001.5097000.8172000.00007.12007.12000.10870.39170.00111.50171.50060.22830.20690.00006.06246.06240.48560.60180.505630.238929.73337.55655.63730.0068620.0000010.00830.00003.1479

13NODesire Development7807800.0000000.3048004.8768004.5720001.6422000.4200000.00004.74004.74000.08920.20940.03581.95481.91900.20810.15850.03637.99217.95590.40520.54521.572214.644413.07225.03521.80190.0082370.0000680.00900.00010.7037

14NODillard644064490.0139750.3048003.9624003.6576001.4255000.6366000.00001.35431.35430.08740.12080.00320.68830.68510.14720.09400.00001.76991.76980.24740.23410.175029.441729.26679.72983.76330.0060440.0000630.00780.00005.0532

15NODixon177117720.0112990.3048005.4864005.1816002.0330000.7606000.00009.94299.94290.29780.90620.08270.91070.82800.25590.14580.08675.19025.10350.54480.490111.227819.56118.333313.96541.56970.0128620.0000020.01110.00001.9622

18NOFairgrounds642664380.0124420.3048003.3528003.0480001.2298000.4797000.00007.90007.90000.08180.25250.00201.05541.05340.27220.13420.00001.96791.96790.35320.20127.216729.447222.230510.70191.89450.0043240.0000660.00680.00004.3506

19NOFillmore6938694140.0201730.3048003.6576003.3528002.5084000.5599000.00001.41491.41490.39630.18360.00153.67653.67500.31410.22380.00019.73509.73490.86260.67380.000021.100021.10005.47581.43980.0194570.0000010.01350.00009.3738

21NOFlorida Area317131780.0252370.3048004.5720004.2672002.1263000.4224000.00004.74004.74000.31160.41840.03111.68021.64910.48720.21680.01925.10265.08341.11390.57530.002816.594416.59164.82611.14570.0140800.0001240.01160.00023.6672

22NOFlorida Development155915620.0128211.5240004.8768003.3528002.2665000.5001000.00004.51434.51430.25850.47490.28511.77191.48680.60570.16860.61176.31675.70501.48590.73720.07224.78614.71394.26130.86620.0159830.0000100.01230.00001.9167

24NOFreret249224910.0040160.6096003.0480002.4384001.7370000.3602000.00000.95760.95760.33490.23890.04090.62160.58070.20290.11130.03541.44341.40790.39750.269820.761122.91112.150021.33450.35000.0092840.0000280.00950.00002.3727

26NOGentilly Terrace105881059110.0103870.3048005.7912005.4864001.6045000.6775000.00009.90009.90000.12950.32500.00571.03891.03320.13240.10870.00003.84783.84780.26030.30463.769423.788920.01959.46393.57890.0078350.0000070.00880.00009.3392

27NOGentilly Woods438743960.0136670.3048003.6576003.3528001.8732000.8080000.00001.08971.08970.16590.16130.00550.98240.97690.13130.10210.00102.34222.34130.30690.31025.733319.313913.580610.52682.69100.0108740.0000080.01030.00004.4998

28NOGert Town448944920.0044540.3048005.4864005.1816001.6538000.5994000.00009.52009.52000.20990.61010.00161.51651.51490.41320.17420.00016.47836.47820.76060.528712.894428.400015.505618.30731.54600.0083620.0000150.00910.00004.0787

29NOHollygrove6919692120.0173410.3048005.7912005.4864002.0207000.4965000.00009.94299.94290.22520.62250.00111.27191.27080.19790.10840.00005.23985.23970.43400.38087.416728.916721.500013.58832.33270.0127050.0000210.01100.00007.6271

31NOIberville Development255825620.0078130.3048001.8288001.5240000.9913000.2465000.00000.15490.15490.00220.01780.02030.36160.34130.16080.07940.01280.51780.50500.18670.116717.902821.00563.102818.53300.39510.0025930.0000270.00540.00001.3887

34NOLake Terrace & Oaks214721500.0000000.3048005.7912005.4864000.9446000.6325000.00007.90007.90000.03030.27470.00052.27032.26980.10190.16410.00007.08117.08110.15110.38860.000030.877830.877813.66044.75890.0023040.0000050.00520.00001.1091

35NOLakeshore/Lake Vista363036310.0027550.3048003.0480002.7432000.9882000.5705000.00002.87272.87270.07330.25460.00071.22511.22440.11160.11310.00002.80052.80040.16320.28263.447229.511126.063910.39653.60090.0025730.0000000.00540.00001.9627

36NOLakeview Neighborhood9781978180.0184050.3048004.2672003.9624002.9509000.4714000.00006.32006.32001.01730.57620.02441.91301.88860.48100.19620.02596.09416.06811.48210.61842.275013.947211.67223.82080.59880.0263540.0000630.01570.000015.3347

37NOLakewood197319710.0050760.3048005.7912005.4864001.6490000.8463000.00009.48009.48000.33870.78710.00211.58661.58450.28350.20510.00006.51856.51840.61740.67653.080629.244426.16388.44925.11260.0083100.0000100.00910.00001.7845

43NOMarlyville/Fountainebleau684468420.0029240.3048003.0480002.7432001.4205000.5551000.00000.98750.98750.16910.23670.01170.92250.91080.28430.15320.00252.03422.03170.47010.349017.719425.90568.186219.97500.99190.0059970.0000090.00780.00005.3484

45NOMid-City Neighborhood20163201650.0024800.3048005.4864005.1816001.7902000.5376000.00009.55209.55200.22520.31860.00091.11231.11140.33270.13160.00005.45645.45640.62890.31557.563928.102820.538914.54481.38320.0098930.0000550.00980.000119.7802

46NOMilan758275850.0065960.3048002.7432002.4384001.4128000.5701000.00001.41491.41490.22090.27030.00190.78310.78120.18820.12340.00012.10722.10710.33660.306620.619428.14727.527822.12891.10840.0059250.0000000.00780.00005.8950

47NOMilneburg5640564230.0407800.6096003.9624003.3528003.2266000.4278000.00001.50481.50480.45400.22930.01400.86780.85380.35800.13600.01843.13113.11271.22340.49873.769414.766710.99735.08601.15270.0309460.0000970.01700.00069.5865

48NONavarre290529110.0034360.3048005.7912005.4864001.8382000.7888000.00009.13859.13850.38660.74620.00231.65621.65390.32880.18100.00006.48846.48840.71020.59883.633329.130625.49736.47812.86970.0104560.0000490.01010.00002.9291

53NOPontchartrain Park2630263100.0380230.3048005.7912005.4864002.9950000.7388000.00008.61828.61820.36080.45500.00091.81771.81680.27090.19540.00006.57356.57340.91070.69155.458321.538916.08067.45001.70170.0270740.0001200.01590.00054.1797000

56NOSeventh Ward169551696160.0094340.3048002.4384002.1336001.2379000.4927000.00000.58160.58160.06790.10220.00220.80910.80690.19780.09450.00001.27791.27790.27910.18128.627829.608320.980511.78982.18740.0043900.0000250.00680.000011.551710.00466122180.0047628093

57NOSt. Anthony5394539140.0259740.3048003.9624003.6576003.0541000.3620000.00000.81030.81030.25660.10360.00163.49743.49580.45910.28880.00049.08879.08821.43040.81140.002818.158318.15553.74391.14470.0280490.0000040.01620.00018.718920.01211609940.0097489509

58NOSt. Bernard Area642764310.0015550.3048003.3528003.0480001.8595000.4498000.00002.96252.96250.30230.22710.00710.86670.85960.24800.13080.00002.25112.25100.53580.35396.561129.055622.49457.70740.98590.0107100.0000840.01020.00016.544530.02014831730.0144187604

59NOSt. Claude117451175110.0093620.3048003.3528003.0480001.0410000.5241000.00000.66760.66760.02690.07350.00031.33011.32980.10090.10570.00002.85812.85810.14710.22204.758329.200024.441710.30434.88200.0029190.0000420.00570.00006.704940.02826975710.0188017067

60NOSt. Roch119751198100.0083470.3048005.7912005.4864001.7198000.7947000.00

s.n. jonkman b. maaskant e. boyd m. levitan

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