smg stock research worksheet 2014 presentation
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SMG STOCK RESEARCH WORKSHEET
PRESENTED BY NANCY B. KING, ALASKA SMG COORDINATOR
MODERATED BY VINCENT YOUNG, DIRECTOR OF CURRICULUM INITIATIVES
Based on
One Up On Wall Street : How To Use What You Already Know To Make Money In The Market
by Peter Lynch and John Rothchild
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
• Uses company financial data to determine health of a company
• SMG Stock Research Worksheet uses 6 pieces of financial data1. Earnings Growth Rate2. Sales Growth Rate3. Profit Margin4. PEG Ratio5. Debt-to-Equity Ratio6. Percent of Institutional ownership
Morningstar Reuters
Morningstar
COMPANY PROFILE
GROWTH RATES: EARNINGS-PER-SHARE (EPS) AND EPS
FORECAST
EPS GROWTH RATE DATA
To Find the Data on Morningstar
EARNINGS-PER-SHARE 5-YEAR GROWTH RATE
FORECAST
Analysts estimate of company’s growth rate in the next 5 years.
To Find the Data on Morningstar
SALES/REVENUE GROWTH RATE
SALES/REVENUE DATA LOCATION
To Find the Data on Morningstar
PROFIT MARGIN
PROFIT MARGIN
To Find the Data on Morningstar
COMPANY PROFIT MARGIN VS INDUSTRY AVERAGE
COMPANY NET MARGIN VS INDUSTRY AVERAGE
To Find the Data on Morningstar
PEG RATIO
PEG RATIO
To Find the Data on Morningstar
PEG GUIDELINES FOR QUALITY STOCKS
Is the stock overpriced or is it a bargain?
0.5 to 0.9 The stock is a bargain if it is a quality company. 1.0 to 1.5 The stock is reasonably priced.
2.0 to 2.5 The stock is overpriced.
DEBT RATIO
LONG-TERM DEBT-TO-EQUITY
To Find the Data on Morningstar
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
INSTITUTIONAL OWNERSHIP
To Find the Data on Morningstar
STOCK PRICE
To Find the Data on Morningstar
STOCK’S CURRENT PRICE TREND
STOCK PRICE TRENDING UPSTOCK PRICE TRENDING DOWN
Free Stock Charts.com
MCDONALD’S PRICE TREND
To Find the Data on Morningstar
WRAP-UP QUESTIONS
THE SMG STOCK RESEARCH WORKSHEET
• Presents one way to evaluate a company
• Does not guarantee success
• Provides a systematic way to analyze a company
• Allows students to base their stock decisions on solid information
• Provides an alternative to guessing and to someone’s hot tip
RESOURCES
•Morningstar.com -- comprehensive data•Reuters.com -- good narrative about companies•Finance.yahoo.com -- I use their portfolio feature•Google.com/finance -- I like their variety•Bloomberg.com -- excellent for stock news• theMint.com -- for students• SmcKids.com -- from Warren Buffet kids tv program
INVESTING
• is a craft
• is an art, not a precise science
• requires patience, persistence, consistency
• requires objectivity, discipline, responsibility
These are listed at the conclusion of the Teacher Guide
COMMON CORE ELA ANCHORS
• Integration of Knowledge and Ideas• CCSS.ELA-Literacy.CCRA.R.7 Integrate and evaluate
content presented in diverse media and formats, including visually and quantitatively, as well as in words.– CCSS.ELA-Literacy.CCRA.R.10 Read and
comprehend complex literary and informational texts independently and proficiently.
INTEGRATION OF KNOWLEDGE AND IDEAS (GRADES 11-12)
• Science and Technical Subjects• CCSS.ELA-Literacy.RST.11-12.7 Integrate and evaluate multiple
sources of information presented in diverse formats and media (e.g., quantitative data, video, multimedia) in order to address a question or solve a problem.– CCSS.ELA-Literacy.RST.11-12.8 Evaluate the hypotheses,
data, analysis, and conclusions in a science or technical text, verifying the data when possible and corroborating or challenging conclusions with other sources of information.
– CCSS.ELA-Literacy.RST.11-12.9 Synthesize information from a range of sources (e.g., texts, experiments, simulations) into a coherent understanding of a process, phenomenon, or concept, resolving conflicting information when possible.
INTEGRATION OF KNOWLEDGE AND IDEAS (GRADES 6-10)
• Science and Technical Subjects– CCSS.ELA-Literacy.RST.6-8.7 Integrate
quantitative or technical information expressed in words in a text with a version of that information expressed visually (e.g., in a flowchart, diagram, model, graph, or table).
– CCSS.ELA-Literacy.RST.9-10.7 Translate quantitative or technical information expressed in words in a text into visual form (e.g., a table or chart) and translate information expressed visually or mathematically (e.g., in an equation) into words.
SPEAKING AND LISTENING• Presentation of Knowledge and Ideas
– CCSS.ELA-Literacy.SL.11-12.4 Present information, findings, and supporting evidence, conveying a clear and distinct perspective, such that listeners can follow the line of reasoning, alternative or opposing perspectives are addressed, and the organization, development, substance, and style are appropriate to purpose, audience, and a range of formal and informal tasks.
– CCSS.ELA-Literacy.SL.11-12.5 Make strategic use of digital media (e.g., textual, graphical, audio, visual, and interactive elements) in presentations to enhance understanding of findings, reasoning, and evidence and to add interest.
COMMON CORE MATH
• Modeling (HS Domain)• Statistics and Probability (MS)
– Using data samples to draw general conclusions and identifying patterns.
SMG SKILLS
THANK YOU
Open for Questions