smd’s science program leads the world · 2008-03-06 · cv = -$90,855 spi = 0.914 sci = 0.723 cpi...

12
SMD STATUS AND ISSUES MARCH 2008 Alan Stern Associate Administrator/SMD SMD’s Science Program Leads The World $4.441B/yr budget. Large Earth science, heliophysics, planetary science, & astrophysics programs. 53 flight missions in operation. 41 flight missions in development. 3000+ operating R&A grants. These numbers exceed the combined efforts of all other Earth & space science programs of the World.

Upload: others

Post on 09-Jul-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: SMD’s Science Program Leads The World · 2008-03-06 · CV = -$90,855 SPI = 0.914 SCI = 0.723 CPI = 0.791 Cost Variance & Schedule Variance Are Increasing} Cumulative Performance

1

SMD STATUS AND ISSUESMARCH 2008

Alan SternAssociate Administrator/SMD

SMD’s Science ProgramLeads The World

$4.441B/yr budget.

Large Earth science, heliophysics,planetary science, & astrophysics programs.

53 flight missions in operation.

41 flight missions in development.

3000+ operating R&A grants.

These numbers exceed the combinedefforts of all other Earth & space scienceprograms of the World.

Page 2: SMD’s Science Program Leads The World · 2008-03-06 · CV = -$90,855 SPI = 0.914 SCI = 0.723 CPI = 0.791 Cost Variance & Schedule Variance Are Increasing} Cumulative Performance

2

SMD Major Activities: Next 12 months

SMD Overview & ’08 Events FY09 SMD Budget Overview Mars Next Decade MSL Issues Q&A

PRESENTATION OVERVIEW

Page 3: SMD’s Science Program Leads The World · 2008-03-06 · CV = -$90,855 SPI = 0.914 SCI = 0.723 CPI = 0.791 Cost Variance & Schedule Variance Are Increasing} Cumulative Performance

3

FY09 PRESIDENT’S BUDGET:OVERVIEW

We will get more science done within ourbudget.

We will help ensure that U.S. SpaceExploration Policy succeeds.

We will promote U.S. leadership across allof SMD’s science disciplines.

We will improve SMD’s actual and itsperceived impact on, and relevance to,

the public.

We will create a better workplace.

SMD MANAGEMENTOBJECTIVES

Page 4: SMD’s Science Program Leads The World · 2008-03-06 · CV = -$90,855 SPI = 0.914 SCI = 0.723 CPI = 0.791 Cost Variance & Schedule Variance Are Increasing} Cumulative Performance

4

MAJOR FY09 BUDGETINITIATIVES

Increased commitment to Earth Science to accelerate theES decadal survey.

Initiated seven new FY09 mission starts: more than in thepast four budgets combined; at least one per SMD sciencearea: Earth Science: SMAP and IceSat II (2012, 2015

launches) Astrophysics: JDEM (launch in 2014/2015) Heliophysics: Solar Probe Plus (launch in 2015) Planetary: Outer Planets Flagship (launch by 2017)

small lunar science orbiter (launch by 2011), and lunarmini-landers (launch by 2014).

Substantial increases in astrophysics, heliophysics, andplanetary science R&A/MO&DA.

Increased budgets for suborbital rockets and balloons.

* FY2007 * FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013

Total NASA $16,231.0 $17,300.5 $17,610.7 $18,022.9 $18,457.0 $18,901.6 $19,355.4

Science $4,609.9 $4,706.2 $4,441.5 $4,482.0 $4,534.9 $4,643.4 $4,761.6

Earth Science $1,198.5 $1,280.3 $1,367.5 $1,350.7 $1,250.9 $1,264.4 $1,290.3

Planetary Science $1,215.6 $1,247.5 $1,334.2 $1,410.1 $1,537.5 $1,570.0 $1,608.7

Astrophysics $1,365.0 $1,337.5 $1,164.5 $1,122.4 $1,057.1 $1,067.7 $1,116.0

Heliophysics $583.7 $590.9 $575.3 $598.9 $689.4 $741.2 $746.6

DSN / Ground Netw ork $247.2 $250.0

Aeronautics Research $593.8 $511.7 $446.5 $447.5 $452.4 $456.7 $467.7

Education $114.1 $137.9 $112.1 $122.7 $120.4 $120.4 $120.4

Exploration Systems $2,837.6 $3,143.0 $3,500.5 $3,737.7 $7,048.2 $7,116.8 $7,666.8

Constellation Systems $2,114.7 $2,471.9 $3,048.2 $3,252.8 $6,479.5 $6,521.3 $7,080.5

Advanced Capabilities $722.9 $671.1 $452.3 $484.9 $568.7 $595.5 $586.3

Space Operations $5,093.5 $5,526.2 $5,774.7 $5,872.7 $2,900.1 $3,089.9 $2,788.5

Space Shuttle $3,295.3 $3,266.7 $2,981.7 $2,983.6 $95.7

International Space Station $1,469.0 $1,813.2 $2,060.2 $2,277.0 $2,176.4 $2,448.2 $2,143.1

Space and Flight Support (SFS) $329.2 $446.3 $732.8 $612.1 $628.0 $641.7 $645.4

Cross-Agency Support $2,949.9 $3,242.9 $3,299.9 $3,323.9 $3,363.7 $3,436.1 $3,511.2

Agency M anagement and Operations $971.2 $830.2 $945.6 $945.5 $939.8 $950.5 $961.3

Institutional Investments $223.8 $319.7 $308.7 $331.7 $335.9 $330.4 $338.3

Congressionally Directed Items $80.0

Center M anagement and Operations $1,754.9 $2,013.0 $2,045.6 $2,046.7 $2,088.0 $2,155.2 $2,211.6

Inspector General $32.2 $32.6 $35.5 $36.4 $37.3 $38.3 $39.2

* FY07-08 are consistent w ith IBPD, and exclude latest Operating Plans. Subsequent charts INCLUDE Operating Plans.

NASA AND SMD PRESIDENT’SBUDGET: FY09-FY13

Page 5: SMD’s Science Program Leads The World · 2008-03-06 · CV = -$90,855 SPI = 0.914 SCI = 0.723 CPI = 0.791 Cost Variance & Schedule Variance Are Increasing} Cumulative Performance

5

Heliophysics

Planetary Science

Astrophysics

Earth Science

Ground Network / DSN

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

$4,000

$4,500

$5,000

FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013

SMD BUDGET BY SCIENCETHEME

Launches by Calendar Year

New Horizons

STEREO

ST-5

* Hinode

ST-6

TWINS-A

CALIPSO

CloudSat

Phoenix

Daw n

GLAST

THEMIS

AIM

TWINS-B

* M3

HST SM-4

Kepler

* Herschel

* Planck

SDO

SOFIA

LWS SET-1

CINDI

IBEX

Glory

OCO

OSTM

MSL

WISE

ST-7

NPP

* Aquarius

Juno

Mars Scout

Discovery

RBSP

Mars 2013

Discovery

JWST

MIDEX

MMS

GPM Core

Earth Syst

* GPM Const

LDCM

Discovery

Sentinels

Mars 2016

New Frontiers

Einstein 1

ESSP

Discovery

MIDEX

Earth Syst

CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 CY14 CY15 CY16 CY17

Earth

Helio

Astro

Planetary

Missions Led by International Partner Indicated By *

Airborne or Suborbital Missions Indicated By Italics

SMD’S FLIGHT PROGRAM:JANUARY 2007

Page 6: SMD’s Science Program Leads The World · 2008-03-06 · CV = -$90,855 SPI = 0.914 SCI = 0.723 CPI = 0.791 Cost Variance & Schedule Variance Are Increasing} Cumulative Performance

6

Launches by Calendar Year

New Horizons

STEREO

ST-5

Hinode

ST-6

TWINS-A

CALIPSO

CloudSat

Phoenix

Daw n

THEMIS

AIM

* M3

HST SM-4

GLAST

* Herschel

* Planck

SDO

IBEX

LWS SET-1

CINDI

TWINS-B

Glory

OCO

OSTM

MSL

SOFIA

Kepler

WISE

ST-7

NPP

* Aquarius

Juno

GRAIL

LADEE

NuSTAR

LDCM

SMEX

RBSP

Mars Scout -

Aeronomy

Lunar Mini-

Lander 2

Lunar Mini-

Lander 1

* ExoMars

JWST

SMEX

BARREL

BARREL

GPM Core

Discovery

MMS

* GPM Const

SMAP

JDEM

SMEX

Solar Probe

* Solar Orbiter

ICESat II

Mars 2016

New Frontiers

Venture 2

Venture 1

OPF

Discovery

ExoPlanet 1

ES Decadal 3

CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 CY14 CY15 CY16 CY17

Earth

Helio

Astro

Planetary

Missions Led by International Partner Indicated By *

Airborne or Suborbital Missions Indicated By Italics

SMD’S FLIGHT PROGRAM:JANUARY 2008

Page 7: SMD’s Science Program Leads The World · 2008-03-06 · CV = -$90,855 SPI = 0.914 SCI = 0.723 CPI = 0.791 Cost Variance & Schedule Variance Are Increasing} Cumulative Performance

7

M3 MoO

MMS

IBEX

ST-9

RBSP ExoMars MoO

LDCM

GRAIL

EPOXI MoO

NExT MoO

NuSTAR

Solar Orb MoO

BARREL MoO

OPF

LADEE

Scout 2013

New Frontiers

JDEM

SMEX 2012

SMEX 2013

SMEX 2015

SMEX MoO

Solar Probe

ICESat II

SMAP

FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09

Heliophysics

Planetary

Earth Science

Astrophysics

NEWLY STARTEDMISSIONS

New Starts Defined as a Phase A Start Year or Final Downselect Year—Whichever is Later.

FLAGSHIP MISSIONCANDIDATES

Europa Orbiter Jupiter SystemObserver (JSO)

TitanExplorer

Page 8: SMD’s Science Program Leads The World · 2008-03-06 · CV = -$90,855 SPI = 0.914 SCI = 0.723 CPI = 0.791 Cost Variance & Schedule Variance Are Increasing} Cumulative Performance

8

FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15

B C & D E

LADEE Launch Goal Mini Lander Launch Goal

Lunar Research and Analysis

ILN Operation Start Goal

Mission of OpportunityScience-Funding-Opportunity Driven

A

Node I & IIOperations

Science Definition

Cruise

B EALaunch date to be set during Phase A

TBD during Phase A

LUNAR ROBOTIC SCIENCEMISSION INITIATIVE

LADEE

Mini Lander

LROE+

Possible Intl. PartnerEarly Operations

EC/D

ESMD SMD

B C & D E

SMD-Discovery Mission

Cruise

GRAIL

SDTB/C/D duration finalized during A

020308

SMD

-Ful

l Moo

n M

issi

ons

Science DefinitionSDT

Mars Program - Next DecadeLaunch Year

2020

TBD missionbased on

budget and sciencefeed-forward

MSR Element #1

Sample ReceivingFacility online by 2022

MSR Element #2

Page 9: SMD’s Science Program Leads The World · 2008-03-06 · CV = -$90,855 SPI = 0.914 SCI = 0.723 CPI = 0.791 Cost Variance & Schedule Variance Are Increasing} Cumulative Performance

9

MARS BUDGETHISTORY

Mars, as % of Total Planetary Funding, Since 1959

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 00 03 06 09 12

Mariner

Viking

Mars Observer

MGS, Pathfinder,

Mars 98, Odyssey,

MER, MRO, Phoenix,

MSL, Scout…

1985-2013 average = 27.3%

PLANETARY DIVSISIONBUDGET SPLITS

Page 10: SMD’s Science Program Leads The World · 2008-03-06 · CV = -$90,855 SPI = 0.914 SCI = 0.723 CPI = 0.791 Cost Variance & Schedule Variance Are Increasing} Cumulative Performance

10

MSL

August 2006: MSL Confirmed at a development (C/D) cost of $972M.– Program added $32M to increase reserves to 35% (~60% on the S-Curve).

Late ’06/early ’07: ~$20M in descopes were taken to control cost growth:– TLS, Corer, Sample Crusher, CheMin dual X-ray source, EDL latitude

performance.June ’07: MSL descopes and cash of $62M. Sources of growth included:

– Instruments; SAM, CheMin, ChemCam, Malin Space Science Systemscameras.

– Mechanical Design of Rover body, Corer/drill, Sample Acquisition/SampleProcessing and Handling

– Actuator Design– Thermal Protection System testing– Parts Procurements– Fabrication Services/Labor

Jan ’08: MSL estimated need for $165M-$200M cash. Sources of growth include:– Actuators, Thermal Protection System testing– Parts, Subsystems, Testing– Fabrication Services/Labor

MSL COST GROWTHHISTORY

Page 11: SMD’s Science Program Leads The World · 2008-03-06 · CV = -$90,855 SPI = 0.914 SCI = 0.723 CPI = 0.791 Cost Variance & Schedule Variance Are Increasing} Cumulative Performance

11

MSL GROWTH BYSUBSYSTEM

Largest contributors to growth

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Chem

Cam

Gro

ud D

ata

syst

em

Pro

j Scien

ce O

ffice

Mission

sys

tem

PSE

FS P

P

Mission

ass

uran

ce

Project M

gmt

Msn

des

ign

& n

av

Flight

Sys

tem

Mgm

t

PL Office

Telec

omFSW

Therm

al c

ontro

l

FS P

A

Pro

pulsio

n su

bsys

tem

Che

Min

FS s

yste

m e

ng

SAM

SA/SPaH

GN&C

PL M

SSS Cam

eras

proj

ect s

yste

ms

I&T

GN&C r

adar

Mec

hani

cal CEDL

Mec

hani

cal ot

her

Mec

hani

cal ro

ver

Avi

onics

$ t

ho

us

an

ds

April EAC July EAC Nov EAC

NOTE: See also Aerospace Corp EVM Charts in b/u at WBS levels 3/4

Radar

ATLO

w/EMs

ATLO

ATLO KSC

Flt. AvionicsDescent Stage

DrillR

adar

CDRJune 2007

LaunchSept. 2009July 2008March 2008

ShipMay 2009

Deliveries

As of Jan. 2008EAC increased > $200M

Since June 2007

KSCDeliveries

Jan. 2009

MSL Development FlowCompressionFlt. H

eatshield

Flt. AvionicsDescent Stage

Drill

As of June 2007CDR

Possible delays but flexibility available

Flt. Heatshield

Page 12: SMD’s Science Program Leads The World · 2008-03-06 · CV = -$90,855 SPI = 0.914 SCI = 0.723 CPI = 0.791 Cost Variance & Schedule Variance Are Increasing} Cumulative Performance

12

$-

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$350,000

$400,000

Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Sep-07 Oct-07 Nov-07

BCWS

BCWP

ACWP

SV = -$32,084

CV = -$90,855

SPI = 0.914

SCI = 0.723

CPI = 0.791

Cost Variance & ScheduleVariance Are Increasing

}

CumulativePerformance

Sensitive But Unclassified (SBU)

MSL PROJECT BUDGET GROWTH HISTORY

MSL Historical Direct LCC

$1,400

$1,450

$1,500

$1,550

$1,600

$1,650

$1,700

$1,750

$1,800

$1,850

PNAR

(2/2006)

NAR

(8/2006)

Confirmation

(8/2006)

Current

(12/2007)

Projected

w /PICA

JPL projected

EAC

$(M

)

12/07/07Current JPL

Projected

Blue line $1699Mcorresponds tothe 70% onSRB’s S-curvedevelopment cost predicted at confirmation