smart homes and buildings
DESCRIPTION
Zoltan Karpathy gave a presentation on Smart Homes and Buildings. he looks specifically at Energy Efficiency legislation as well as the regional breakdown of world BACS as well as solutions for moving to the cloud.TRANSCRIPT
WM
I In
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Smart Homes
and Buildings Zoltan Karpathy
Senior Manager
Intelligent Building &
Home Controls
October 2014
2 2
Building Automation
3 3
Energy Efficiency Legislation and Emerging Markets Driving Market Growth
CAGR 3.0% CAGR 4.3%
World BACS* Market
US
$ M
illio
ns
*Building Automation & Control Systems (BACS)
Product 32%
Value-Add 44%
Service & Main-
tenance 24%
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Total BACS Business
Product
Value-Add
Total Installed System
Service
4
Regional breakdown of World BACS* Sales
* Building Automation and Control Systems
BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China)
Sales/Capita (US$)
Market Maturity (Total BACS Market)
BACS* Product Market
Europe 36%
North America 25%
Japan & Australia 8%
BRIC 9%
Saudi, UAE & Turkey
4%
Rest of World 18%
0 5 10 15 20 25
Germany
North America
Europe
Japan & Australia
BRIC Countries
Turkey, Saudi, UAE
5
BACS Solutions Moving to the Cloud
Light Applications Large Scale Applications
Sophis
tication*
Smaller
communicating
controllers
HVAC Solutions
with Built-in
Controls
Growth of VRF
Solutions
BACS Potential
of Telcos and
Other Utilities
Impact of 3rd Party
Applications and
‘Big Data’
Facilities
Management &
Energy Services
Cyber Threat to
‘Smart’ Buildings
Residential
Systems
Competing with
BACS
* “Sophistication” relates to attributes such as range of functions supported, capacity to communicate, analyse,
learn and adapt, etc.
6
VRF systems sales vs. Chillers
(*) Source BSRIA Air Conditioning
7
BACS Penetration USA – only 1/5 buildings
have a BACS – similar in Europe
Commercial
buildings
= 83% of all
non-
residential
buildings
Of building stock:
Of floor space:
0.5%
11%
0.2%
11%
1.5%
14%
3.0%
14%
94.8%
50%
BACS are
comparatively rare in
US buildings of under
100,000 sq. ft.
(equivalent to
c. 10,000 m2)
• The situation is similar
in Europe, and this
could represent a
missed opportunity.
• A further risk for the
‘established’ BACS
market is that not
competing at the
lower end could allow
new entrants the
chance to gain critical
mass.
* Source: BSRIA
5.4
million
buildings
8
BACS vs. BEMS
BACS
BEMS
Many BEMS Opportunities Are in Retrofit
Non-Residential Building Stock by Age, EU-27,
2011
Non-Residential Building Stock by Age, USA , 2011
Pre 1960
41%
1960 - 1990
44%
1991 - 2010
Pre 1960 1960 - 1990
1991 - 2010
15%
33%
52%
15%
EU USA
Buildings built 1960 – 1990 represent big retrofit opportunity….
9
10
Growth in the BEMS Market
Steady growth globally
2013 value c. $3.8 billion.
EU USA Rest ofWorld
20% 18%
42%
BEMS CAGR 2009 - 2013
EU 57%
USA 27%
Rest of
World 16%
BEMS Market Share 2013
10
11
Connected / Smart Homes
12
Home Automation / Connected & Smart Home
Environmental
control
Smart
appliances
Consumer
electronics
Lighting
control
Building
component
control
Security
system
Safety
alarm
Individual System Control Level
Home Energy Management
Smart Home
‘Smart Home’: provides integrated
control of two or more sub-
systems at home are regarded as
‘Smart Home Systems’
‘Connected Home’ – if home
automation is accessed via the
internet.
Source: BSRIA
13
System integration in family homes
Multivalent heating
systems
Smart heating
systems
Monovalent
heating
systems
Intelligent multivalent
heating systems
Will gain importance
after ErP will take
effect in 2015 On-site energy production /
energy storage
14
HOME
AUTOMATION
HOME
AUTOMATION
HOME AUTOMATION
Home Automation Trends – Towards Ubiquitous
Home
Source:
BSRIA
Focus on “lifestyle”
(lighting & entertainment)
in-house control only.
Integrates “lifestyle”,
security/safety, and
energy. Accessible
via Internet.
“Ambient Intelligence”.
Designed to recognise, predict,
and respond to the needs,
lifestyles, and habits of
occupants
15
Europe
End User Segments of Smart Home Market
Source: BSRIA
Luxury villas 24%
Luxury apartments 10%
Mid-range houses 8%
Mid-range apartments 3%
Zero/low energy homes 1%
Assisted homes 4%
Hotels 12%
Other commercial buildings
38%
Smart Homes Europe - €0.5 bn (2012)
16
Europe Smart Home Market Size
Germany
France
UK
Belgium
Netherlands
Norway
Austria
Denmark
Finland
Italy Poland Spain
Sweden
Switzerland Others
Total Smart Home Products
(2012): €0.5 bn Source: BSRIA
45%
10% 8%
6%
4%
17
-
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
350.0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Germany Smart Homes
€ m
illio
ns
€0.3 bn CAGR (2012-2015): 7%
Source: BSRIA
Electrical Building suppliers
(KNX based smart home
systems) hold 92% of the high-
end segment (73% of the total
market)
75% of products installed in
light commercial applications
Common standard: VDE
started its ‘Certification
Programme Smart Home’
Slow progress with smart
meters - a major obstacle.
18
Key Advancing Technologies
Smart Meters
Smart Cities
Smart Grid
Building Automation
Smart Government
Smart Appliances
Smart Devices
A
Converged
Smart
World Smart Homes
Smart Energy Storage
Building Energy Management
19
Thank you for your attention!
More information at
https://www.bsria.co.uk/market-intelligence/
Zoltan Karpathy
Senior Manager
Intelligent Building and Home Controls
Old Bracknell Lane West, Bracknell, Berkshire, UK, RG12 7AH
D : +44 (0)1344 465637 F : +44 (0)1344 465637
W : www.bsria.co.uk