smart growth strategy / regional livability footprint project san francisco co-sponsors bay view...
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SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
San Francisco Co-SponsorsBay View Hunters Point Community Advocates &
Local Contractors AssociationBoard of Supervisors, City & County of San
FranciscoEnvironmental Policy Center
Presidio TrustSan Francisco Chamber of Commerce
San Francisco Municipal RailwayCalifornia Center for Land Recycling
San Francisco Planning and Urban Research Association
Transportation Choices ForumTransportation for a Livable City
Visitacion Valley Planning Alliance
Special thanks to the San Francisco Planning Department for providing food and refreshments
for today's event.
Regional Agencies Smart Growth Strategy
Bay Area Alliance for Sustainable Development
Regional Livability Footprint Project
San FranciscoMay 4, 2002
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
• 1 million new jobs
• 1 million more people
• 265,000 daily in-commuters to the region
• 150% increase in aggregate traffic congestion
• Conversion of up to 83,000 acres of open space
• 44% decrease in households able to afford the median priced home from 1995 to 2001
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
BAY AREA TRENDSBAY AREA TRENDS
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Through 2020
1995 to 2001
Natural Increase
(“Our own children”)
Net Migration(“Other People”)
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
REGIONAL POPULATION GROWTHREGIONAL POPULATION GROWTH
50%
50%(approximate figures)
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
• Expand housing?
• Constrain future job growth?
• Expand infrastructure to handle in-commuters?
Find a smarter way to grow
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
CHOICES ABOUT FUTURE GROWTHCHOICES ABOUT FUTURE GROWTH
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
• Regionwide smart growth land use vision supported by local governments.
• Regulatory changes and fiscal incentives needed to implement vision.
• A set of smart growth land use projections.
PROJECT GOALSPROJECT GOALS
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
The Three E’s of Smart Growth and Sustainable Development:
SMART GROWTH PRINCIPLESSMART GROWTH PRINCIPLES
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Prosperous Economy
Quality Environment
Social Equity
• Preserve the region’s undeveloped open
space and agricultural land.
• Provide sufficient affordable housing.
• Revitalize central cities and older suburbs.
• Reduce single occupant vehicle trips.
• Foster equitable economic development while minimizing displacement.
SMART GROWTH PRINCIPLESSMART GROWTH PRINCIPLES
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
•Revised Regulatory Framework•Additional Incentives•Regional Context
RELATIONSHIP TO GENERAL PLANSRELATIONSHIP TO GENERAL PLANS
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
PROCESSPROCESS
Public Workshop Round OneSeptember and October 2001
Distillationand Analysis
Public Workshop Round TwoApril and May 2002
Final Steps
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Participants included:
- elected officials
- planning staff
- developers
- environmental advocates
- social equity representatives
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
PUBLIC WORKSHOPS - ROUND ONEPUBLIC WORKSHOPS - ROUND ONE
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Nine public workshopsSeptember and October 2001
• Smart growth principles
• Land use mappingexercise
• Affordable housing
• Regulatory changes and incentives
PUBLIC WORKSHOPS - ROUND ONEPUBLIC WORKSHOPS - ROUND ONE
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
PUBLIC WORKSHOPS - ROUND ONEPUBLIC WORKSHOPS - ROUND ONE
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Total: 105 countywide smart growth scenarios
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
POST-WORKSHOP PROCESSPOST-WORKSHOP PROCESS
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Distillation Maps
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
POST-WORKSHOP PROCESSPOST-WORKSHOP PROCESS
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
• Identified three draft regionwide themes and how they would play out in each county.
• Conducted distillation meeting with over 100 local planners and stakeholders.
• Finalized themes and regionwide maps of each alternative.
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
DISTILLATION METHODOLOGYDISTILLATION METHODOLOGY
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
• Identify themes that emerged from all nine Round One workshops.
• All components appeared in at least one group’s scenario.
• Alternatives as distinct from each other as possible.
• Similar regional jobs and housing levels in each alternative.
• Jobs and housing totals vary by county according to theme and workshop products.
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
DISTILLATION PROCESSDISTILLATION PROCESS
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
• Environment
• Transportation
• Housing
• Social Equity
• Development Feasibility
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
ANALYSISANALYSIS
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Analysis of Alternatives andCurrent Trends Base Case
TODAY’S WORKSHOPTODAY’S WORKSHOP
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
• Review results of first round of workshops.
• Review base case, three alternatives and analysis.
• Discuss regional planning principles.
• Discuss needed regulatory changes and incentives.
• Recommend preferred alternative.
Select and refine a single preferred
alternative for San Francisco.
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
TODAY’S GOALTODAY’S GOAL
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
• Single regionwide vision & corresponding projections
• BAASD coordinates public education & engagement campaign
• Companion incentives and regulatory changes
• ABAG Board considers adoption of smart growth alternative projections
• Regional Transportation Plan & Clean Air Plan
• Local implementation
NEXT STEPS
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
The Alternatives
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
EXISTING CONDITIONS 2000EXISTING CONDITIONS 2000
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
EXISTING CONDITIONS: HOUSING UNITS BY COUNTY
Alameda
NapaSan Mateo
Santa Clara
Sonoma
In-commuters
Solano
San Francisco
Contra Costa
Marin
County Households Jobs
Alameda 514,600 725,800
Contra Costa 338,900 360,100
Marin 99,500 123,500
Napa 46,200 59,700
San Francisco 315,600 628,900
San Mateo 254,400 380,400
Santa Clara 567,100 1,077,200
Solano 130,300 129,500
Sonoma 171,500 203,500
Total 2,438,100 3,688,600
CURRENT HOUSEHOLDS AND JOBS
• Base Case
1. Central Cities
2. Network of Neighborhoods
3. Smarter Suburbs
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
THE ALTERNATIVESTHE ALTERNATIVES
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
BASE CASEBASE CASE
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
• Relatively dispersed throughout the region. • Northern counties will grow the fastest.
• Southern counties will exhibit the most numeric growth.
• Development at the edges and within core cities.
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
BASE CASEBASE CASE
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
BASE CASEBASE CASE
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
BASE CASE: HOUSING UNITS BY COUNTY
Santa Clara
San Mateo
Napa
Alameda
Marin
Contra Costa
San Francisco
Solano
In-commuters
Sonoma
Change in Change inCounty Housing Jobs
Alameda 64,200 238,800
Contra Costa 81,900 140,500
Marin 11,900 27,000
Napa 12,500 30,100
San Francisco 15,900 102,800
San Mateo 24,100 71,400
Santa Clara 97,800 231,000
Solano 48,900 81,300
Sonoma 44,300 95,600
Total 401,500 1,018,500
GROWTH IN BASE CASE (2000-2020)
• Most development focused in centers of the region.
• Locates compact, walkable, mixed-income, mixed use development in each county’s largest city or cities.
• Also locates growth in nodes around existing public transit stations.
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
ALTERNATIVE 1ALTERNATIVE 1
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Central Cities
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
ALTERNATIVE 1ALTERNATIVE 1
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Central Cities
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
ALTERNATIVE 1ALTERNATIVE 1
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Central CitiesSan Francisco
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
ALTERNATIVE 1 ALTERNATIVE 1
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
ALTERNATIVE #1: HOUSING UNITS BY COUNTY
Alameda
Marin
NapaSan Francisco
San Mateo
Sonoma
Solano
ContraCosta
SantaClara
Change in Change inCounty Housing Jobs
Alameda 140,500 247,400
Contra Costa 121,400 167,100
Marin 11,100 8,300
Napa 10,000 12,600
San Francisco 110,900 150,900
San Mateo 39,400 54,200
Santa Clara 152,700 253,300
Solano 47,700 44,500
Sonoma 34,400 51,100
Total 668,100 989,400
GROWTH IN ALTERNATIVE #1 (2000-2020)
• Locates similar type development in same locations as Alternative 1, but less dense.
• Adds development in additional areas:
– existing transit nodes and major corridors.
– walkable communities.
– existing communities along expanded transit network.
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
ALTERNATIVE 2ALTERNATIVE 2
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Network of Neighborhoods
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
ALTERNATIVE 2ALTERNATIVE 2
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Network of Neighborhoo
ds
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
ALTERNATIVE 2ALTERNATIVE 2
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Network of Neighborho
odsSan Francisco
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
ALTERNATIVE 2ALTERNATIVE 2
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
ALTERNATIVE #2: HOUSING UNITS BY COUNTY
Alameda
Marin
Napa
San Francisco
San Mateo
Sonoma
Solano
SantaClara
ContraCosta
Change in Change inCounty Housing Jobs
Alameda 141,500 242,300
Contra Costa 106,200 130,100
Marin 16,400 29,100
Napa 19,100 27,100
San Francisco 79,800 97,300
San Mateo 37,200 77,300
Santa Clara 164,500 222,900
Solano 54,500 77,600
Sonoma 53,600 82,800
Total 672,800 986,500
GROWTH IN ALTERNATIVE #2 (2000-2020)
• Locates similar type development in same areas as Alternatives 1 and 2, but still less dense.
• Locates jobs and housing at periphery to create mixed use communities.
• Additional new smart growth communities.
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
ALTERNATIVE 3ALTERNATIVE 3
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Smarter Suburbs
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
ALTERNATIVE 3ALTERNATIVE 3
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Smarter Suburbs
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
ALTERNATIVE 3ALTERNATIVE 3
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Smarter SuburbsSan Francisco
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
ALTERNATIVE 3ALTERNATIVE 3
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Change in Change inCounty Housing Jobs
Alameda 117,500 219,300
Contra Costa 87,700 140,500
Marin 23,700 31,500
Napa 19,600 34,900
San Francisco 66,100 61,600
San Mateo 32,500 45,700
Santa Clara 199,100 213,500
Solano 67,600 141,700
Sonoma 62,900 93,800
Total 676,700 982,500
GROWTH IN ALTERNATIVE #3 (2000-2020)
ALTERNATIVE #3:2020 HOUSING UNITS BY COUNTY
Alameda
NapaSan Mateo
San Francisco
SantaClara
ContraCosta
Solano
Marin
Sonoma
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
The Analysis
Environment
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Goals: • Preserve the region’s undeveloped open
space and agricultural land• Improve the region’s air quality
• Conserve water
ENVIRONMENTENVIRONMENT
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Greenfield Development in
the Region:
Acres of greenfield converted
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
ENVIRONMENTENVIRONMENT
• Alternatives accommodate much more housing than current trends
• Air emissions remain mostly unchanged relative to Base Case
• More concentrated alternatives perform marginally better
•Smart growth benefits outside of region
Reduction in Air Emissions forecast over
the next 20 years
Air Quality
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
ENVIRONMENTENVIRONMENT
Water Consumption in the Region
Average Daily Per Household Water Usage
050
100150200250300350
Current Alt 1 Alt 2 Alt 3
•In Marin County: decreases by an average of 17% over current usage under the three alternatives
•Region wide: decreases by an average of 12% under the three alternatives region
27% 17% 7%
Transportation
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Goal: Reduce reliance on the single-occupant vehicle.
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
TRANSPORTATIONTRANSPORTATION
• Proximity to Transit
• Mode Split
• Auto Ownership
• Commute Time
• Commute Length
• Vehicle Miles Traveled
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
TRANSPORTATIONTRANSPORTATION
Located within ⅓ mile of a rail station or ¼ mile of a bus stop served by frequent bus service.
Proximity to Existing Transit in the Region
Current
Conditions
New Development
Alt 1 Alt 2 Alt 3
Housing near transit
23% 60% 47% 28%
Jobs near transit
36% 68% 59% 31%
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
TRANSPORTATIONTRANSPORTATION
Current
Conditions
New Development
Alt 1 Alt 2 Alt 3
Housing near transit
94% 93% 88% 100%
Jobs near transit
96% 87% 90% 96%
Proximity to Existing Transitin San Franciscoreplace
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
TRANSPORTATIONTRANSPORTATION
The proportion of all trips by public transit walking and bicycle vs. single occupant vehicle.
Base Case
Alternative 1
Alternative 2
Alternative 3
Auto (drive alone)
82% 78% 81% 82%
Transit, Walking, Bicycle
18% 22% 19% 18%
Mode Share
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
TRANSPORTATIONTRANSPORTATION
Percentage of Zero Vehicle Households:
• Base Case 2020: 8%
• Alternative 1: 11%
• Alternative 2: 10%
• Alternative 3: 9%
Auto Ownership
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
TRANSPORTATIONTRANSPORTATION
Commute Time & Length
• Current length: 12 miles
• Current time: 27 minutes
• Both remain essentially unchanged in all three alternatives and the Base Case
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
TRANSPORTATIONTRANSPORTATION
Vehicles Miles Traveled in the Region
VMT in millions of miles per day
175 167 172 176
0
50
100
150
200
Base Case Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3
Housing
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Goal:
Plan for a full range of housing to meet the needs of all current and future Bay Area residents.
HOUSING AFFORDABILITYHOUSING AFFORDABILITY
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Mix of units by housing affordability categories:
• Very Low-Income Households (less than 50% AMI)
• Low-Income Households (50 to 80% AMI)
• Moderate-Income Households (80 to 120% AMI)
• Above Moderate-Income Households (120% AMI or more)
(AMI: Area Median Income)
INCOME CATEGORIES FOR A FAMILY OF FOURMedian Income - $80,100
VERY LOW INCOME0-$40,050
— Child Care Worker$17,860 —
Medical Assistant$28,130 —
Retail Clerk$20,360
LOW INCOME$40,050-$64,080
— Accountant$48,740
—Elementary School Teacher$41,28
0
MODERATE INCOME$64,080-$96,120
—Computer Programmer$70,190
HOUSING AVAILABILITY AND AFFORDABILITYHOUSING AVAILABILITY AND AFFORDABILITY
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
—Police Patrol Office$49,220
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
HOUSING AFFORDABILITYHOUSING AFFORDABILITY
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Past Affordable Housing Production(1988 to 1998)
• 250,000 housing units constructed
• Needed affordable units: 58%
• Actual affordable units: 40%
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
HOUSING AFFORDABILITYHOUSING AFFORDABILITY
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
CUMULATIVE HOUSING PRODUCTION 1988-1998
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998
Num
ber
of U
nits
Total Units Produced Affordable Units Needed Affordable Units Produced
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
JOBS/HOUSING MATCHJOBS/HOUSING MATCH
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
NEW AFFORDABLE HOUSING, 2000-2020:CURRENT TRENDS VS. ALTERNATE VISION
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
2005 2010 2015 2020
Current Trend Alternatives
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
HOUSING AFFORDABILITYHOUSING AFFORDABILITY
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Base Case Alternatives 1,2,3
Per
cent
of Tota
l Housing
Very Low Low Moderate Above Moderate
Housing Units Envisioned by
Affordability 2000-2020
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
JOBS/HOUSING RELATIONSHIPJOBS/HOUSING RELATIONSHIP
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Jobs/Housing Match Analysis Areas
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
JOBS/HOUSING RELATIONSHIPJOBS/HOUSING RELATIONSHIP
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
San FranciscoAnalysis
Area
Greater San Francisco
San Francisco City
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
JOBS/HOUSING RELATIONSHIPJOBS/HOUSING RELATIONSHIP
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
DefinitionsTotal Balance:
Sufficient housing within an analysis area for all
workers working in that area.
New Match: Sufficient, new affordable
housing within an analysis area for all new workers working in that area.
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
EXISTING JOBS/HOUSING BALANCEEXISTING JOBS/HOUSING BALANCE
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
60% of the region's
households are located in balanced
analysis areas
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
TOTAL JOBS/HOUSING BALANCETOTAL JOBS/HOUSING BALANCE
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Percent of Total Households in Analysis Areas with a Balance
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Base Case Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
TOTAL JOBS/HOUSING BALANCETOTAL JOBS/HOUSING BALANCE
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
NEW JOBS/HOUSING MATCHNEW JOBS/HOUSING MATCH
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Percent of New Households in Analysis Areas with a Match
0%20%40%60%80%
Base Case Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
NEW JOBS/HOUSING MATCHNEW JOBS/HOUSING MATCH
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Social Equity
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Goals• Implement development patterns that benefit all communities in the region.
• Avoid displacement of existing Bay Area residents and businesses.
SOCIAL EQUITYSOCIAL EQUITY
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Impoverished Community
The majority of households earn
less than 80% of the County
median income (1990).
SOCIAL EQUITYSOCIAL EQUITY
The Bay Area’s 46 Most Impoverished Neighborhoods
(NCCC 1997)
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
A Range of Communities
Inner-city, poor job/transit access: Bayview Hunters Point
Inner-city, good job/transit access: Central East Oakland
Suburban, good job access: East San Jose
Suburban, poor job access: North Richmond
Rural Community: Boyes Hot Springs
SOCIAL EQUITYSOCIAL EQUITY
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Growth in the Five Case Study Communities
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Base Case Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3
Housing Jobs
SOCIAL EQUITYSOCIAL EQUITY
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Base Case
ALT 1 ALT 2 ALT 3
Improve Jobs/Housing Match Increase Job Supply Provide Increased Retail Services Relieve Overcrowding Improve Transit Access Minimize Displacement
Outcomes of the Alternatives
SOCIAL EQUITYSOCIAL EQUITY
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Equitable Smart Growth Strategies
• Provide training to current residents to obtain new high-skill jobs locally.
• Match job development to skills of current residents.
• Improve transit access to jobs around the region.
• Provide additional retail facilities.
• Cultivate business opportunities for local residents.
• Alleviate overcrowding.
• Maintain affordability of existing housing.
Development Feasibility
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Goal:
Plan for smart growth that can be realistically implemented.
DEVELOPMENT FEASIBILITYDEVELOPMENT FEASIBILITY
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
• Marketability
• Physical “Fit”
• Financial Feasibility
MARKETABILITYMARKETABILITY
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
New Units in the Region, 2000-2020
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Base Case Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3
Single Family Multi-Family
In 2000, 62% of the Bay Area’s total housing stock was single family
units
MARKETABILITYMARKETABILITY
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
New Units in San Francisco, 2000-2020
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3
single family multifamily
In 2000, 31% of San Francisco’s total housing stock was single
family units
MARKETABILITYMARKETABILITY
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
BAY AREA POPULATION CHANGEBY AGE 2000-2020
-400,000
-200,000
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
1
Cha
nge
in P
opul
atio
n
0-19
20-24
25-34
35-44
45-49
50-64
65-74
75-79
80+
MARKETABILITYMARKETABILITY
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Shifting demographic patterns create demand for a variety of housing types:
• compact housing near workplaces
• small single-family attached units
• “granny flats” (second units)
• senior housing
PHYSICAL FITPHYSICAL FIT
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Acres of Redevelopment
• Alternative 1: 33,000 acres
• Alternative 2: 41,000 acres
• Alternative 3: 45,000 acres
FINANCIAL FEASIBILITYFINANCIAL FEASIBILITY
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
• location• timing• economic and local market conditions• land prices• construction costs• regulatory environment• financial requirements of the development
and investment communities• political conditions
Financial feasibility will depend on:
REVIEWING THE ALTERNATIVESREVIEWING THE ALTERNATIVES
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
• All provide a framework for future development
• All can be modified to meet local needs
• Each provides a different general direction
Incentives and Regulatory Changes
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
INCENTIVES & REGULATORY CHANGES INCENTIVES & REGULATORY CHANGES
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Fiscal Reform
• Return property tax to local governments.
• Share tax revenue.
• Split property tax rate for land and improvements.
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
INCENTIVES & REGULATORY CHANGES INCENTIVES & REGULATORY CHANGES
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Financial Incentives
• Reward school districts that create joint school-community facilities. • Link new and existing state housing funding to development of affordable housing.
• Create smart growth zones.
• Target transportation funding to rail and bus nodes.
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES
INCENTIVES & REGULATORY CHANGES INCENTIVES & REGULATORY CHANGES
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Regulatory Changes
• Create limited exemptions to CEQA for smart growth development projects.
• Pass construction defect liability legislation.
• Create and enforce a living wage standard.
Regional Growth Philosophy
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
• Preserve the region’s undeveloped open
space and agricultural land.
• Provide sufficient affordable housing.
• Revitalize central cities and older suburbs.
• Reduce single occupant vehicle trips.
• Foster equitable economic development while minimizing displacement.
SMART GROWTH PRINCIPLESSMART GROWTH PRINCIPLES
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
UNDERLYING PHILOSOPHIESUNDERLYING PHILOSOPHIES
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
•Concentrate growth in existing
urbanized areas.
•Preserve greenfield sites.
•Develop around existing and new transit.
•Balance jobs and housing in all areas.
•Create new smart growth communities
Small Group Exercise
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
SMALL GROUP EXERCISESMALL GROUP EXERCISE
GOAL
Refine the selected
alternative for
San Francisco.
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
SMALL GROUP EXERCISESMALL GROUP EXERCISE
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
• Begin with selected alternative.
• Recommend modifications.
• Prioritize recommendations
• Reconvene for large group decision-making.
• Track changes with computerized output.
SMALL GROUP EXERCISESMALL GROUP EXERCISE
• Planning Areas
• Place Types
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
PLANNING AREASPLANNING AREAS
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUES SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
PLANNING AREASPLANNING AREAS
Colored: Areas of Change
Gray: Existing Land Use• Residential Areas• Mixed-Use Areas• Town Centers/Downtowns• Employment Areas/Institutions
Hatched: Transportation-Related• Rail Stations/Major Transfer Facility Areas• Corridors
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
PLANNING AREA CHANGESPLANNING AREA CHANGES
• Place Types
• Percent Increase (“Dial-up”)
• Numerical Change
• No Change from On-the-Ground Conditions
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
PLACE TYPES MENUPLACE TYPES MENU
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
PLACE TYPES BOOKPLACE TYPES BOOK
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
PLACE TYPESPLACE TYPES
Varying mixes of residential and employment uses:
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
1. Residential
2. Mixed-Use
3. Town Center/Downtown
4. Employment
Center/Institution
Marina District
RESIDENTIALRESIDENTIAL
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Lakeside
RESIDENTIALRESIDENTIAL
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
Yerba Buena Gardens
MIXED-USEMIXED-USE
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
MIXED USEMIXED USE
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
West Portal
TOWN CENTER / DOWNTOWNTOWN CENTER / DOWNTOWN
Financial District
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
TOWN CENTER / DOWNTOWNTOWN CENTER / DOWNTOWN
Haight-Ashbury
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
EMPLOYMENT CENTER / INSTITUTIONEMPLOYMENT CENTER / INSTITUTION
Fisherman’s Wharf
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
EMPLOYMENT CENTER / INSTITUTIONEMPLOYMENT CENTER / INSTITUTION
SMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
San Francisco State
• Varying land uses and densities
within each Place Type.
• Apply to all of a planning area,
unless otherwise specified.
• Focus on the next 20 years.
PLACE TYPE CHARACTERISTICSPLACE TYPE CHARACTERISTICS
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
OTHER PLANNING AREA ASSIGNMENTSOTHER PLANNING AREA ASSIGNMENTS
Percent Increase (“Dial-up”)
• 5% Residential Increase
• 15% Employment Increase
• Both
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
OTHER PLANNING AREA ASSIGNMENTSOTHER PLANNING AREA ASSIGNMENTS
Numerical Change
• Add or subtract specific numbers of jobs or housing units
• For marginal changes only
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
OTHER PLANNING AREA ASSIGNMENTSOTHER PLANNING AREA ASSIGNMENTS
No Change from On-the-Ground Condition
• Preserve existing development “as-is”
• Preserve open space
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT
•Broad brush, regional perspective
• County-wide interaction
APPROACHAPPROACH
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSIONIMPLEMENTATIONIMPLEMENTATIONKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESKEY ECONOMIC ISSUESSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECTSMART GROWTH STRATEGY / REGIONAL LIVABILITY FOOTPRINT PROJECT