smart governance session -...

National Technical University of Athens (Coordinator)(Coordinator)

Tech4i2 Limited European Projects & Management Agency

University Koblenz‐Landau Joint Research CentreEuropean Commission

EUROCITIES Knowledge Society ForumBirmingham, 19th – 20th October 2010

SMART Governance Session

EU Research on ICT for governance and policy modellingThe CROSSROAD Project and Draft Research Roadmap

Gianluca Misuraca, IPTS Information Society Unit Acknowledgements: CROSSROAD Partners and DG-INGSO/H2 PO

The views expressed by the author are not necessarily those of the EC

OutlineOutline

Rationale for EU Research on ICT for Governance and Policy Modelling

Ongoing Research (ICT WP 2009‐2010)

CSA – CROSSROADProject’s Overview and Results

Scenarios Design: Digital Europe 2030

Draft Research Roadmap: Grand Challenges

FP7 ICT WP2011‐2012 – Obj. 5.6Principles & Funding Schemes

Next Events & More Information

EC FP 7th ICT‐WP 2009‐2010 (Objective 7.3) joins two complementary research fields (traditionally separated):

the Governance and Participation Toolbox (technologies such as mass conversation and collaboration tools); and

the Policy Modelling domain (forecasting, agent‐based modelling, simulation and visualisation)

Common goal of:improving public decision‐making in the age of complexity

making policy‐making and governance more effective and more intelligent and

accelerating learning in the policy cycle

ICT for governance and policy ICT for governance and policy modellingmodelling??

Governments struggle to regulate an increasingly interdependent and complex world, as the financial crisis has shown Citizens are becoming more vocal in monitoring and influencing policy decisionsFuture scenarios are likely to show greater complexity and citizens’ involvementCurrent ICT tools for collaborative governance and policy modelling start to show great opportunities for decision‐making, but they still remain an exception rather than the rule, and research is fragmented between academic fields, application areas, and approaches to innovation (theory vs. practice led)

RationaleRationale

FP7 WP2009‐10, November 2008:

First call on “ICT for governance and policy modelling”

FP7 WP2009‐10, 1 January 2010

Start of the 8 selected proposals (STREPs ‐ CSA), total funding 15M€

WP2011‐12, September 2010

Call 7 launch during ICT2010 (Brussels, 27‐29 September 2010)

Deadline for submissions: 18 January 2011

Ongoing research on ICT for governance and Ongoing research on ICT for governance and policy modellingpolicy modelling

CROSSROADSupport Action with the aim of developing a Research Roadmap on ICT for governance and policy Modelling

Coordination & Support Actions

FP7 WP 2009FP7 WP 2009‐‐10: Funded Projects 10: Funded Projects

STREPsCOCKPITa new governance model for the next‐generation public service deliveryand decision making process, supporting the notion of ‘Open Public Administrations’

WE‐GOVa toolset to make use of social networking sites (Facebook, Twitter, etc) to engage citizens in two‐way dialogues as part of the governance and policy‐making process.

UbiPOLa ubiquitous platform that allows citizens to be involved in policy making processes regardless of their current locations and time

PADGETSmicro web applications (gadgets) that will be used to collate and convey inputs from citizens to policy makers, thus facilitating the management of the full policy making cycle.

FP7 WP 2009FP7 WP 2009‐‐10: Funded Projects10: Funded Projects

OCOPOMOan integrated platform for efficient policy development by integrating formal policy modelling, scenario generation and open collaborationsupporting the engagement of a wide range of stakeholder groups.

+Spacesnovel technologies and instruments that will allow government bodies to measure public opinion on a large scale by using Virtual Worlds (VWs)as testbeds for policy simulation.

IMPACTformal, computational models of policy and arguments about policy, to facilitate deliberations about policy at a conceptual, language‐independent level.

FP7 WP 2009FP7 WP 2009‐‐10: Funded Projects10: Funded Projects

A Participative Roadmap for ICT Research in Electronic Governance & Policy Modelling

FP7 ICT WP Support Action Roadmapping

January – December 2010

CROSSROAD CROSSROAD –– www.crossroadwww.crossroad‐‐eu.neteu.net




The main goal of the CROSSROAD project is to drive the identification of emerging technologies, new governance models and novel application scenarios in the domain of ICT for governance and policy modelling

leading to the structuring of a beyond the state‐of‐the‐art research agenda and roadmap, fully embraced by research and practice communities

An indirect goal of CROSSROAD is also to build the community of stakeholders and shape the research domain of ICT for governance and policy modelling

GoalGoal

Obj A ‐ Towards the research community

“Raising awareness and creating consensus among the e‐governance and ICT research community, on new research directions in the field of participation,

governance and policy modelling.”

Obj B ‐ Towards present and future users of research results

“Setting forward‐looking, socio‐technological scenarios for combined governance and ICT applications, greatly exceeding the current state of play, and ensuring that identified research roadmaps responds to then need of present and future users of

the research results.”

Obj C ‐ Towards research policy‐makers

“Providing a sustainable decision support tool to policy‐makers, for managing the research roadmap and steering research on governance and policy modelling.”

Brussels, September 27th, 2010 11

[Athens], [12th January 2010] 13

MONTH MONTH 1212

Inputs from WP1: SotA;

WP2 Scenarios;WP3: Gap Analysis

Inputs from Inputs from WP1: WP1: SotASotA; ;

WP2 Scenarios;WP2 Scenarios;WP3: Gap AnalysisWP3: Gap Analysis

RoadmappingRoadmapping Methodological FrameworkMethodological Framework

D4.3: Roadmap D4.4: Final PolicyRecommendations


March 2010 May 2010 July 2010

November 2010 December 2010

Online Public ConsultationOnline Public Consultation

Internal Space:Deliverables

PresentationsTemplates

etc.

Deliberation on:State of the Art

ScenariosGaps

Roadmap

1. COMMUNITY

2. ROADMAP

3. PROJECT

CROSSROAD CROSSROAD Supportive SystemsSupportive Systems

17

Knowledge Base

Public Space:Consortium

Public MaterialNews

EventsContact Us

Experts Scientific

Committee

Public

Consortium

CMS for Project Mngmnt

Experts Scientific CommitteePetra Ahrweiler, University College DublinSteven Bishop, University College London

David Chadwick, University of KentBruce Edmonds, Manchester Metropolitan UniversityEnrico Ferro, Istituto Superiore Mario Boella (ISMB)

Yola Georgiadou, University of TwenteAlan Hartman, IBM Research IndiaJoern Kohlhammer, Fraunhofer IGD

Vittorio Loreto, Sapienza University of RomeWainer Lusoli, IPTS

Carlo Medaglia, Sapienza University of RomeInes Mergel, Syracuse University

José Moreno‐Jimenez, University of ZaragozaLucio Picci, University of Bologna

Jeremy Pitt, Imperial College LondonStefan Steglich, Fraunhofer FOKUS, FAMELjupco Todorovski, University of Ljubljana

Michael Witbrock, CYCORP


Seville State of Play & Visionary Scenario Design Validation Workshop, 29‐30 April 2010

Samos 2010 Summit on ICT for Governance and Policy Modelling, 6‐9 July 2010


DG‐INFSO Constituency Building Workshop Brussels, 13 July 2010

Validation Workshops & Constituency BuildingValidation Workshops & Constituency Building

Research Community Workshop, Lausanne 30 August 2010

ICEGOV 201, Beijing 25‐28 October 2010Open Government Conference, 15‐16

December 2010

Networking Session on Research Roadmap on ICT for Governance and Policy

Modelling, ICT Events 27 September 2010

CROSSROAD Research Taxonomy for ICT for CROSSROAD Research Taxonomy for ICT for Governance and Policy Governance and Policy ModellingModelling

Work conducted by IPTS under CROSSROAD WP2 aiming at developing a visionary scenario analysis based on a foresight exercise to:

identify key areas of expected change in the context of radical different future scenarios anticipate for each scenario, the risks and opportunities offered by ICT tools for governance and policy modelling

The scenario design exercise proposes a set of visionary scenariosof exploratory naturepresented qualitatively (i.e. narrative scenarios / storyboards)

The proposed visionary scenarios are instrumentalto develop a shared vision to inspire collaborative and interdisciplinary researchto mobilize the various governance stakeholders in addressing current and future societal challengesto provide inputs to the CROSSROAD Roadmap to provide strategic directions for the future research on ICT for Governance and Policy Modelling

Visionary Scenarios Design: Visionary Scenarios Design: Digital Europe 2030Digital Europe 2030

Samos, July 5th, 2010 23

Conceptual & Methodological FrameworkConceptual & Methodological Framework

Trends1. 1. IdentifyIdentify TrendsTrends

Key dimension 1: extreme 0




SCENARIO A SCENARIO B

SCENARIO C SCENARIO D

4. 4. DimensionsDimensions combinedcombined to to identifyidentify scenariosscenarios

5. 5. ScenariosScenarios storiesstories and and descriptiondescription

Source: Popper, 2008



1. 1. IdentifyIdentify TrendsTrends

Less impact

More impact

Uncertainty low

Uncertainty high

2. 2. ClassificationClassification of trends of trends 5. 5. ScenariosScenarios storiesstories and and

descriptiondescription

Governance/Policy modelling

CivilServants

TransactionalTransactional environmentenvironment

Government

PrivateSector

Technologysuppliers

Civil society organisations ContextualContextual

environmentenvironment

National politics and

policies

Socio-demographicdevelopments

Economics

...........

Research Community

EU policies

technology

Administrativeculture and

attitudes

Otherpractitioners



Trends1. 1. IdentifyIdentify TrendsTrends

Less impact

More impact

Uncertainty low

Uncertainty high

2. 2. ClassificationClassification of trends of trends

KEY DIMENSION ONE

KEY DIMENSION TWO 3 . 3 . Extraction of key Extraction of key dimensions of uncertaintiesdimensions of uncertainties





SCENARIO A SCENARIO B

SCENARIO C SCENARIO D

4. 4. DimensionsDimensions combinedcombined to to identifyidentify scenariosscenarios

5. 5. ScenariosScenarios storiesstories and and descriptiondescription

Source: Popper, 2008


Trends AnalysisTrends Analysis

Societal Trends Analysis STEEPV Methodology

Policy Trends AnalysisPolicy review & analysis of relevant strategic documents and scenarios

Research Trends AnalysisEmerging Research Trends from SoTA Analysis

Review of Experts Normative Visions (CROSSROAD CfC – Position Papers)

Preliminary Review of forthcoming trends of FP7 Projects

Identification of key areas of expected chance and impact dimensionsanalysis of relations between trends and key areas of expected change to identify key impact dimensions underpinning the scenario design framework


Visionary Scenarios Design FrameworkVisionary Scenarios Design Framework

The key societal, policy and technology‐research trends we are witnessing nowadays can be distilled in two basic uncertainties related to the way the European society and individual member states will shape their policies and research agendas in the future:

the societal value systems we will be living in (more inclusive, open and transparent or exclusive fractured and restrictive), and

the response (partial or complete, proactive or reactive) to theacquisition and integration of participatory policy intelligencetechniques in support of data processing, visualization and simulation for evidence‐based policy modelling

These uncertainties are translated into two key dimensions of impact:

Degree of Openness and Transparency (Axis Y) and

Degree of Integration and Participation in Policy Intelligence (Axis X)

Envisioning Digital Europe 2030Envisioning Digital Europe 2030


CROSSROAD Vision for Digital Europe 2030CROSSROAD Vision for Digital Europe 2030The Internet will move beyond being a network to connect computers to being a platform that connects everything together... based on virtualization, cloud computing and open standards and applications.. and supported by effective application of AI and augmented reality… giving birth to an Internet of Services embedded into a ‘Smart Ambient Living Space’Open Innovation and collaboration will take place on ordinary base and online communities will be key building blocks in establishing ICT‐enabled governance mechanisms and policy modelling toolkits which provide connection, deliberation, forecasting and processing modules, harnessing genuine political commitment through fully exploiting engagementmethodologies and technologies on a mass‐scaleReputation‐based governance mechanisms will characterize decision‐making processes anchored to principles and mechanisms of freedom of information and reuse of public sector data, also enabling new business opportunities and innovative solutions to improve public service delivery‘Real‐time’ ‘always on’ users coming from current Y‐generation will benefit of unprecedented changes in the use of collaborative ICT and enhanced participation in the building of the European and global Knowledge Society


Application Scenario Storyboard: exampleApplication Scenario Storyboard: exampleOpen Solution for energy efficiency ‐ Friday PM, Seville, hot summer…

Smart‐grid intelligent network in 100% of private and public buildingsdecentralised system of energy source production, distribution and consumption

self programmable network allowing for energy savings and redistribution

guaranteeing optimal delivery of energy at any time according to the needs of users

Developed by local universities and international partners members of an Open Network for Smart Ambient Intelligence

IPTS environmental modelling system open and reusable EU‐wide permitting to turn raw data in real time into reliable and usable information to monitor energy use and impact on the environment

City: make available the open ICT‐enabled platforms and distributed business laboratories where social entrepreneurs can launch experiments and cooperate

Changing role from centralised controller to platform enabler

Emergence of Innovative solutions and new energy services

Users: decide and programme their own consumption needsReducing costs of users

Accommodate users’preferences

Greenhouse emissions are minimized and climate change has been detained Changing lifestyle and contribution by all on solving the climate change issue

International cooperation for ensuring environmental protection

The future of Europe and the entire world is green again… time for Tapas in the Doñana park


Outlining Future Research DirectionsOutlining Future Research Directions

Information management and analysis to monitor and simulate in real time the behaviour of real and virtual entities (persons, things, information and data)

Enhanced real‐time situational awareness for Tracking, Policy Modelling, and Visualisation

Policy Intelligence and ICT‐driven decision analytics

Automated Mass Collaboration Platforms and Real‐time Opinion Visualisation

ICT‐enabled Data and Process Optimisation and Control

Complex dynamic societal modelling systems

Society increasingly interconnected, flexible, fast‐evolving, unpredictable

Governance often silos‐based, linear, obscure, hierarchical, over‐simplified

Policies Health R&D Social

Disciplines Economics Mathematics ICT

Actors Government Citizens Industry


State of the art: research pushState of the art: State of the art: research pushresearch push

Future scenarios:

demand pull

Future Future scenarios: scenarios:

demand pulldemand pullGapsGapsGaps

GrandGrand challenges (draft)challenges (draft)

Research challengesResearch Research challengeschallenges

Research challengesResearch Research challengeschallenges

Research roadmap

(final)

Research Research roadmap roadmap

(final)(final)


More people involved

More accurate analytical, modeling and simulation tools

More data available

20102010

20302030


Model-based collaborative governance

ModelModel--based based collaborative collaborative governancegovernance

Data-powered collective

intelligence and action

DataData--powered powered collective collective

intelligence intelligence and actionand action

Government service utilityGovernment Government service utilityservice utility

Science base of ICT enabled governanceScience base of ICT Science base of ICT enabled governanceenabled governance


StateState

Citizens

Citizens


GC 3GC 3GC 3

GC 1GC 1

GC 2GC 2

StateState

Citizens

Citizens


This challenge envisions pervasive system thinking and modelling applied to policy impact assessment thanks to standardization and reusability of models and tools

Model building and simulation would be carried out directly by the responsible civil servants, collaborating with different domain experts and colleagues from other departments

Visual dynamic interface allow users to directly manipulate the simulation parameters and the underlying model

Research Challenges:Integrated, composable and reusable modelsCollaborative modellingEasy access to information and knowledge creationModel validationInteractive simulation Output analysis and knowledge synthesis



Today’s complex societal challenges require wide collaborative action and behavioural change by all stakeholders

Nevertheless, the current collaboration tools engage only highly interested people, and rarely enable real action and impact, by citizens and government alike

Challenges to wider participation include information overload, trust in user‐generated data, privacy, debate manipulation, inclusion and representativenes

Research Challenges:Privacy‐compliant participatory sensing for real‐time policy‐makingReal‐time, high‐quality, reusable open government data Federated dynamic identity managementPeer‐to‐peer public opinion mining

Traditional public services have not delivered their promised added value or lived up to the expectations of citizens and businesses for actual cost‐effective, one stop‐shop provisionsGC3 aims to prove how Collaboration and Interoperability can turn a “introvert” public sector into a citizen‐oriented one that leverages Future Internet technologies into its everyday operation.Research Challenges

Intuitive, collaborative visual analytics of data for policy‐makingUser‐generated simulation and gaming tools for public actionNew institutional design of collaborative governanceDigital public services value proposition for all User‐driven innovation shaping Public Services Change the “DNA” of Public ServicesMassive Public Information as a Service

GC3 Government Service UtilityGC3 Government Service Utility

Traditional public services have not delivered their promised added value or lived up to the expectations of citizens and businesses for actual cost‐effective, one stop‐shop provisionsGC3 aims to prove how Collaboration and Interoperability can turn a “introvert” public sector into a citizen‐oriented one that leverages Future Internet technologies into its everyday operation.Research Challenges

Intuitive, collaborative visual analytics of data for policy‐makingUser‐generated simulation and gaming tools for public actionNew institutional design of collaborative governanceDigital public services value proposition for all User‐driven innovation shaping Public Services Change the “DNA” of Public ServicesMassive Public Information as a Service

GC3 Government Service UtilityGC3 Government Service Utility

The 1‐1‐1 Concept:every service can be provided in one stop, one second, with one euro cost

The 1‐1‐1 Concept:every service can be provided in one stop, one second, with one euro cost

ICT for Governance and Policy Modelling appear as key enablers for unlocking the full potential of participative decision making which is expected to drive society to a new era of citizens and decision makers collaborationYet, this domain is still very much unstructured and unchartered, still at the margin of the decision making processTo shift from a fragmented research field to a scientific domain, it has to be studied and developed as a rigorous scientifically‐lawful phenomenon, following scientific practices similar to its neighbouring domains (e.g. Social sciences, Political sciences, Systems/Complexity science, Services science as well as Economic sciences)

Research ChallengesFormal methods and tools for categorising and analysing the concepts, the problems and solution paths in ICT‐enabled governanceMetrics and assessment models, Decision Support, Modelling & Simulation Tools (supporting problem‐solution relation, utilising BPM/BPR tools, vertical approaches)Multi‐disciplinary issues and relations with neighbouring domainsContinuous evolution of the domain to meet new societal challenges

GC4 Science Base of ICTGC4 Science Base of ICT‐‐enabled governanceenabled governance

Full draft roadmap available and commentable online at www.crossroad‐eu.net

November 30th: publication of final roadmap

Presentation of Final Roadmap at Open Government Ministerial Conference, 15‐16 Dec. 2010 (TBC)


FP7 WP ICT 2011FP7 WP ICT 2011‐‐12: Objective 5.6 12: Objective 5.6 ““ICT ICT solutions for governance and policy modellingsolutions for governance and policy modelling””

Building on the previous call

Continuity to reinforce research in the domain

Focus

Bigger and wider impact (scaled‐up application)

International cooperation

Stakeholders

a) ICT solutions for governance and policy modelling

IP/ STREPs

EUR 7 million/ EUR 17 million

b) Roadmapping & Networking, International Cooperation

• Coordination and Support Actions

• EUR 1 million

FP7 WP ICT 2011FP7 WP ICT 2011‐‐12: Objective 5.6 12: Objective 5.6 Funding SchemesFunding Schemes

More informationMore information

DG‐INFSO/H2

http://ec.europa.eu/egovernance

INFSO‐EGOV‐[email protected]

FP7 Infoday on WP2011‐12 in Madrid, Spain, 26 October 2010

ICT Proposers’ Day 2011 19 ‐ 20 May, Budapest, Networking for European ICT R&D

Encouraged to organise networking events with all relevant stakeholders

Next EventsNext Events

http://ec.europa.eu/ictproposersday




Gianluca Gianluca MisuracaMisuraca, IPTS, [email protected]@ec.europa.eu

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