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    Pre-Feasibility Study

    Prime Ministers Small Business Loan Scheme

    (Distribution Agency)

    Small and Medium Enterprises Development Authority

    Ministry of Industries & Production

    Government of Pakistan

    www.smeda.org.pk

    HEAD OFFICE

    4th Floor, Building No. 3, Aiwan-e-Iqbal Complex, Egerton Road,Lahore

    Tel: (92 42) 111 111 456, Fax: (92 42) 36304926-7

    [email protected]

    REGIONAL OFFICE

    PUNJABREGIONAL OFFICE

    SINDHREGIONAL OFFICE

    KPKREGIONAL OFFICE

    BALOCHISTAN

    3rd Floor, Building No. 3,

    Aiwan-e-Iqbal Complex,Egerton Road Lahore,

    Tel: (042) 111-111-456

    Fax: (042) 36304926-7

    [email protected]

    5TH Floor, Bahria

    Complex II, M.T. Khan Road,Karachi.

    Tel: (021) 111-111-456

    Fax: (021) 5610572

    [email protected]

    Ground Floor

    State Life BuildingThe Mall, Peshawar.

    Tel: (091) 9213046-47

    Fax: (091) [email protected]

    Bungalow No. 15-A

    Chaman Housing SchemeAirport Road, Quetta.

    Tel: (081) 831623, 831702

    Fax: (081) [email protected]

    September 2013

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    Table of Contents

    1. DISCLAIMER ......................................................................................................................... 32. PURPOSE OF THE DOCUMENT ......................................................................................... 43. INTRODUCTION TO SMEDA .............................................................................................. 44. INTRODUCTION TO SCHEME ........................................................................................... 55. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ..................................................................................................... 56. BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT ................................................................................... 67. CRITICAL FACTORS ............................................................................................................ 68. INSTALLED AND OPERATIONAL CAPACITIES ............................................................ 79. GEOGRAPHICAL POTENTIAL FOR INVESTMENT ........................................................ 810. POTENTIAL TARGET MARKETS ................................................................................... 811. DISTRIBUTION PROCESS FLOW ................................................................................... 812. PROJECT COST SUMMARY ............................................................................................ 912.1 Project Economics ........................................................................................................ 9

    12.2 Project Financing ........................................................................................................ 1012.3 Project Cost................................................................................................................. 1012.4 Space Requirement ..................................................................................................... 1112.5 Human Resource Requirement ................................................................................... 1112.6 Revenue Generation ................................................................................................... 1212.7 Other Costs ................................................................................................................. 12

    13. CONSULTANS / EXPERTS ............................................................................................. 1214. ANNEXURES ................................................................................................................... 13

    14.1 Income Statement................................................................................................... 1314.2 Balance Sheet ......................................................................................................... 1414.3 Cash Flow Statement ............................................................................................. 1514.4 Useful Project Management Tips ......................................................................... 1614.5 Useful Links ............................................................................................................. 17

    15. KEY ASSUMPTIONS....................................................................................................... 19

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    1. DISCLAIMER

    This information memorandum is to introduce the subject matter and provide a general

    idea and information on the said matter. Although, the material included in this

    document is based on data/information gathered from various reliable sources;

    however, it is based upon certain assumptions which may differ from case to case. The

    information has been provided on as is where is basis without any warranties or

    assertions as to the correctness or soundness thereof. Although, due care and diligence

    has been taken to compile this document, the contained information may vary due to

    any change in any of the concerned factors, and the actual results may differ

    substantially from the presented information. SMEDA, its employees or agents do not

    assume any liability for any financial or other loss resulting from this memorandum in

    consequence of undertaking this activity. The contained information does not preclude

    any further professional advice. The prospective user of this memorandum is

    encouraged to carry out additional diligence and gather any information which isnecessary for making an informed decision, including taking professional advice from a

    qualified consultant/technical expert before taking any decision to act upon the

    information.

    For more information on services offered by SMEDA, please contact our website:

    www.smeda.org.pk

    http://www.smeda.org.pk/http://www.smeda.org.pk/http://www.smeda.org.pk/
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    2. PURPOSE OF THE DOCUMENT

    The objective of the pre-feasibility study is primarily to facilitate potential entrepreneurs

    in project identification for investment. The project pre-feasibility may form the basis of

    an important investment decision and in order to serve this objective, the

    document/study covers various aspects of project concept development, start-up, and

    production, marketing, finance and business management.

    The purpose of this document is to facilitate potential investors in Distribution Agency

    by providing them with a general understanding of the business with the intention of

    supporting potential investors in crucial investment decisions.

    The need to come up with pre-feasibility reports for undocumented or minimally

    documented sectors attains greater imminence as the research that precedes such

    reports reveal certain thumb rules; best practices developed by existing enterprises by

    trial and error, and certain industrial norms that become a guiding source regarding

    various aspects of business set-up and its successful management.

    Apart from carefully studying the whole document one must consider critical aspects

    provided later on, which form basis of any Investment Decision.

    3. INTRODUCTION TO SMEDA

    The Small and Medium Enterprises Development Authority (SMEDA) was established in

    October 1998 with an objective to provide fresh impetus to the economy throughdevelopment of Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs).

    With a mission "to assist in employment generation and value addition to the national

    income, through development of the SME sector, by helping increase the number, scale

    and competitiveness of SMEs" , SMEDA has carried out sectoral research to identify

    policy, access to finance, business development services, strategic initiatives and

    institutional collaboration and networking initiatives.

    Preparation and dissemination of prefeasibility studies in key areas of investment has

    been a successful hallmark of SME facilitation by SMEDA.

    Concurrent to the prefeasibility studies, a broad spectrum of business developmentservices is also offered to the SMEs by SMEDA. These services include identification of

    experts and consultants and delivery of need based capacity building programs of

    different types in addition to business guidance through help desk services.

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    4. INTRODUCTION TO SCHEME

    Prime Ministers Small Business Loans Scheme, for young entrepreneurs, with an

    allocated budget of Rs. 5.0 Billion for the year 2013-14, is designed to provide

    subsidised financing at 8% mark-up per annum for one hundred thousand (100,000)

    beneficiaries, through designated financial institutions, initially through National Bank of

    Pakistan (NBP) and First Women Bank Ltd. (FWBL).

    Small business loans with tenure up to 7 years, and a debt : equity of 90 : 10 will be

    disbursed to SME beneficiaries across Pakistan, covering; Punjab, Sindh, Khyber

    Pakhtunkhwah, Balochistan, Gilgit Baltistan, Azad Jammu & Kashmir and Federally

    Administered Tribal Areas (FATA).

    5. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    Small Scale Distribution Agency is proposed to be located at any densely populated

    city such as Karachi, Lahore, Rawalpindi, Peshawar or Quetta to distribute consumer

    goods such as Branded Tea, Powdered Milk and Confectionary Items to the Local

    market. This business can also be done in all small 2nd tier towns in addition to

    suburban towns of large cities.

    This proposed distribution agency will distribute around 10 tonnes each of tea,

    powdered milk, biscuits and Chocolate/ Toffees etc per month to the retailers. The

    assumed sales force has the capacity to distribute around 60 tonnes of product and

    initially they will be utilizing 67% of proposed capacity.

    Total Cost Estimate of the project is Rs. 2,170,200 with Fixed Investment of Rs.

    1,532,000 and Working Capital ofRs. 638,200

    Given the cost assumptions IRR and payback are 41 % and 3.5 years respectively.

    The most critical considerations or factors for success of the project are

    1. Product and Brands to be distributed

    2. Negotiation and Marketing Skills

    3. Credit Recovery

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    6. BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT

    Product: It has been suggested that for the proposed distribution business, the

    company would act as a main institutional distributor for Fast Moving Consumer

    Goods (FMCG) products. The business would distribute: one established tea brand,

    any one of packaged Milk as new brands are growing in the market and any two of

    confectionery products i.e. biscuits & toffee etc.

    Location: Distribution Agency can be setup in any major city with significant number

    of population such as Karachi, Lahore, Rawalpindi, Peshawar and Quetta. This

    business can also be done in all small 2nd tier towns in addition to suburban towns of

    large cities.

    Target Market: The demand of distribution service providers is increasing which is

    directly proportionate to the increase in consumer goods manufacturing companies

    which is expanding substantially with the current economic growth and consumerism.

    Therefore the potential Target market for the proposed setup is densely populated

    cities such as Karachi, Lahore, Peshawar, Quetta, Rawalpindi, Islamabad and all 2 nd

    & 3rd tier cities / towns of Pakistan.

    Employment Generation: The proposed project will provide direct employment to 15

    people. Financial analysis shows the unit shall be profitable from the very first year of

    operation

    7. CRITICAL FACTORS

    Critical success factors that affect the decision to invest in the proposed business setup

    are:

    i) Products and brand

    Product and Brands to be distributed would act as a key success factor for the proposed

    distribution business. Greater the brand awareness in the market, higher would be the

    chances of business success. It is suggested that prospective entrepreneur should

    obtain distribution agreement for at least one successful brand.

    ii) Background Experience

    Background experience plays an important role in operating a Small to Medium Scale

    Distribution Agency specially when dealing with customers and deciding on the

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    business development activities to be carried out and negotiating on commercial terms

    and conditions, etc.

    iii) Marketing Skill

    Critical to the business success is that the entrepreneur must have effective PR &

    marketing skills. These marketing skills should enable the entrepreneur to carryout

    business development activities to target his potential customers and also to maintain

    his existing client base.

    iv) Strong Sub-distributor

    A strong sub-distributor network also plays an important role in generating additional

    business. Such a network is imperative in developing a strong customer base which

    might remain restricted if operated singly.

    v) Skilled & Experienced ManpowerThe knowledge and experience of the entrepreneur is not sufficient to run the business

    smoothly. A major proportion of the business development activities and accounts

    receivables are managed by sales personnel employed by the agency. Therefore it is

    crucial for the distribution agency to hire experienced and skilled sales staff that can

    bring in new business with them and retain the existing customer base.

    8. INSTALLED AND OPERATIONAL CAPACITIES

    For the proposed project it is assumed that 480 tonnes / annum of various consumergoods will be distributed across the city where the distribution company is setup with 7%

    sales volume growth assumption. For this purpose a staff of total 15 persons will be

    justifying their job description in various capacities.

    It has been suggested that for the proposed distribution business, the company would

    act as a main institutional distributor for Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG)

    products. The business would distribute: one established tea brand, any one of

    packaged Milk as new brands are growing in the market and any two of confectionery

    products i.e. biscuits & toffee etc.

    Products for the distribution have been selected for the proposed business by

    foreseeing their high potential and anticipated expansion in the manufacturing of these

    products. However, as these products are perishable, efficient distribution operations

    would be necessary. In order to leverage the opportunity for further business expansion,

    intensive distribution practice would be followed which means that the business would

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    place its products and services in as many outlets as possible employing the FIFO

    method.

    It is proposed that Milk would not stay in the warehouse more than 03 days, whereas,

    tea and confectionery would take 07 days at most. However, it is suggested that time for

    a product to leave the warehouse and be distributed should be as minimum as possible.

    9. GEOGRAPHICAL POTENTIAL FOR INVESTMENT

    The growing trend of consumerism and increase in population has increased

    opportunities for the consumer goods distribution business in Pakistan. And the influx of

    rural population into urban areas has also increase the demand of consumer goods,

    therefore proposed Distribution Agency can be setup in any major city with significant

    number of population such as Karachi, Lahore, Rawalpindi, Peshawar and Quetta. This

    business can also be done in all small 2nd tier towns in addition to suburban towns of

    large cities.

    10. POTENTIAL TARGET MARKETS

    Pakistan has a domestic market of above 185 million consumers with growing incomes

    & changing consumption habits. Population growth, increase in per capita income, and

    urbanization have led to demand of distribution agencies. Consumerism and

    introduction of new products have fuelled the demand. The target market for the

    proposed setup is densely populated cities such as Karachi, Lahore, Peshawar, Quetta,

    Rawalpindi, Islamabad & all 2nd & 3rd tier cities / towns of Pakistan.

    11. DISTRIBUTION PROCESS FLOW

    Manufacturing or trading companies dealing in consumer goods when interested in

    appointing a distributor for their products, advertise in the newspapers and call for

    expression of interest from the local companies interested in the distribution.

    Companies evaluate following capabilities of the interested distributors:

    Location of distributors business premises;

    Financial position and credit standing of the distributor;

    Knowledge and experience of the distributor;

    Storage and showroom facilities of the distributor;

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    Ability of the distributor to secure adequate business and to cover the market;

    Capacity of the distributor to provide after sale service;

    General reputation of the distributor and his sales force;

    Willingness of the distributor to handle the entrepreneurs products;

    Degree of co-operation and promotion service he is willing to provide; Nature of other products, if any handled by the distributor.

    In a country like Pakistan one needs an effective distribution system that provides

    market coverage and is economical. The choice of a channel by traders or

    manufacturers depends upon the nature of the product e.g. for low priced consumer

    products like soap, a vast network is needed and manufacturers prefer to higher the

    services of a independent distributor rather than having their own distribution setup

    which is a high cost option. For industrial goods, a direct channel or a very short

    channel is considered to be appropriate. The nature of the product- whether it is bulky

    or perishable for instance as well as the cost and efficiency of the distributors are someother factors that manufacturers and traders consider while selecting a distributor.

    12. PROJECT COST SUMMARY

    A detailed financial model has been developed to analyze the commercial viability of

    Distribution Agency under the Prime Ministers Small Business Loan Scheme. Various

    cost and revenue related assumptions along with results of the analysis are outlined in

    this section.

    The projected Income Statement, Cash Flow Statement and Balance Sheet are

    attached as appendix

    12.1Project Economics

    All the figures in this financial model have been calculated for distribution of 40 Tons /

    Month of Packed Tea, Powdered Milk, Biscuits and Confectionary Items. Monthly Sales

    of these items based on certain assumptions such as Distributors price and quantity of

    sales are calculated to be Rs. 12.9 million.

    The following table shows Internal Rate of Return, Net Present Value and Payback

    Period.

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    Table 1 - Project Economics

    Description Details

    Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 41%

    Payback Period (yrs) 3.5

    Net Present Value (NPV) 6,442,089

    Returns on the scheme and its profitability are highly dependent on effective

    management of Logistics, General reputation of distributor and its sales force.

    12.2Project Financing

    Following table provides details of the equity required and variables related to bank

    loan;

    Description Details

    Total Equity (10%) Rs.217,020

    Bank Loan (90%.) Rs.1,953,180

    Markup to the Borrower (%age/annum) 8%

    Tenure of the Loan (Years) 07

    12.3Project Cost

    Following requirements have been identified for operations of the proposed business.

    Table 1: Capital Investment for the Project

    Capital Investment Amount (Rs.)

    Renovation Office & Godown 50,000

    Security Deposit 500,000

    Furniture 50,000

    Delivery Vehicles 02 Nos. (Used) 700,000

    Rent Deposit 100,000

    Office Equipment 82,000

    Preliminary Expenses 50,000Total Capital Costs 1,532,000

    Initial Working Capital 638,200

    Total Project Cost 2,170,200

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    12.4Space Requirement

    Space required for Distribution Agency is 2000 Square ft. where 200 Sq. Ft. will be used

    for Management Office and 1800 Sq. Ft. will be used Godown.

    Table 2: Space Requirement

    Description Area

    Sq. Ft.

    Monthly Rent

    Charges (Rs.)

    Yearly Rent(Rs.)

    For Office & Godown 2000 20,000 240,000

    Total Rent 20,000 240,000

    Table 3: Office Equipment & Furniture Costs

    Description Quantity Cost Amount

    Computer & UPS 1 40,000 40,000

    Printer 1 10,000 10,000

    Fax & Telephone 1 12,000 12,000

    UPS & Battery 1 20,000 20,000

    Furniture 1 50,000 50,000

    Total 132,000

    12.5Human Resource Requirement

    Table 4: Human Resource Requirement

    Description Nos. Salary per month Total Salary

    Owner Manager 1 25,000 25,000

    Sales Staff / Outdoor Booking 4 12,000 48,000

    Store Keeper 1 12,000 12,000

    Billing Staff 1 12,000 12,000

    Cashier 1 15,000 15,000

    Deliveryman 2 10,000 20,000

    Driver / Loader 3 10,000 30,000

    Security Guard 2 10,000 20,000

    Total Staff 15 106,000 182,000

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    The table above provides details of human resource required to run a Distribution

    Agency of Small and Medium Scale. Salaries of all employees are estimated to increase

    at 10% annually.

    12.6Revenue Generation

    The revenues are based on assumption of monthly Sales Proceeds of Rs. 12.9 Million

    of Branded Tea, Powdered Milk, Biscuits and Confectionary items with an annual sales

    volume growth rate of 5% and Price Growth Rate of 10%. On an average distribution

    margin is 2% of total sale proceeds.

    Distribution of Items Monthly SalesCommission

    on Sales (2%)

    Incentives on

    Sales

    Branded Tea 5,000,000 100,000 40,000

    Powdered Milk 5,000,000 100,000 80,000

    Biscuits / Cookies 1,300,000 26,000 28,600

    Candy / Toffee / Chocolates 1,600,000 32,000 28,800

    258,000 177,400

    Total Sales 435,400

    12.7Other Costs

    An essential cost to be borne by the company is maintenance of vehicles as delivery

    vans has to cover a number of remote areas in different part of the city. On an average

    Rs. 15,000 is assumed to be monthly vehicle maintenance expense.

    13. CONSULTANS / EXPERTSFollowing are the few significant distributors with Sub distribution options:

    Universal Distributors Limited (UDL)

    International Brands Limited (IBL)

    Burque Corporation, Premier Distributor

    Muller & Phipps (M & P)

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    14. ANNEXURES

    14.1 Income Statement

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    14.2 Balance Sheet

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    14.3 Cash Flow Statement

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    14.4 Useful Project Management Tips

    Technology

    List of Machinery & Equipment

    Computer & UPS

    Printer

    Fax & Telephone

    UPS & Battery

    Furniture

    Energy Requirement: Should not be overestimated or installed in excess and

    alternate source of energy for critical operations be arranged in advance

    Machinery Suppliers: Should be asked for training and after sales services under

    the contract with the machinery suppliers

    Quality Assurance Equipment & Standards: Whatever means required

    products quality standards need to be defined on the packaging and a system to

    check them instituted, this improves credibility

    Marketing

    Sales & Distribution Network: Expert's advise and distribution agreements

    are required with.

    Price - Bulk Discounts, Cost plus Introductory Discounts: Price should never

    be allowed to compromise quality. Price during introductory phase may be lower and

    used as promotional tool. Product cost estimates should be carefully documented

    before price setting. Government controlled prices shall be displayed.

    Human Resources

    List of Human Resource

    Owner

    Sales Staff / Outdoor Booking

    Store Keeper

    Billing Staff

    Cashier

    Deliveryman

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    Driver / Loader

    Security Guard

    Adequacy & Competencies: Skilled and experienced staff should be

    considered an investment even to the extent of offering share in business profit.

    Performance Based Remuneration: Attempt to manage human resource

    cost should be focused through performance measurement and performance based

    compensation.

    Training & Skill Development: Encouraging training and skill of self &

    employees through experts and exposure of best practices is route to success.

    Least cost options for Training and Skill Development (T&SD) may be linked with

    compensation benefits and awards.

    14.5 Useful Links

    Prime Ministers Office

    www.pmo.gov.pk

    Small & Medium Enterprises Development Authority (SMEDA)

    www.smeda.org.pk

    National Bank of Pakistan (NBP)

    www.nbp.com.pk

    First Women Bank Limited (FWBL)www.fwbl.com.pk

    Government of Pakistan

    www.pakistan.gov.pk

    Ministry of Industries & Production

    www.moip.gov.pk

    Ministry of Education, Training & Standards in Higher Education

    http://moptt.gov.pkGovernment of Punjab

    www.punjab.gov.pk

    Government of Sindh

    www.sindh.gov.pk

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    Government of Khyber Pakhtoonkhwa

    www.khyberpakhtunkhwa.gov.pk

    Government of Balochistan

    www.balochistan.gov.pk

    Government of Gilgit Baltistan

    www.gilgitbaltistan.gov.pk

    Government of Azad Jammu & Kashmir

    www.ajk.gov.pk

    Trade Development Authority of Pakistan (TDAP)

    www.tdap.gov.pk

    Security Commission of Pakistan (SECP)

    www.secp.gov.pk

    Federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FPCCI)

    www.fpcci.com.pk

    State Bank of Pakistan (SBP)

    www.sbp.org.pk

    Pakistan Institute of Fashion Design(PIFD)

    www.pifd.edu.pk

    Pakistan Fashion Design Council (PFDC)

    www.pfdc.org

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    15. KEY ASSUMPTIONS

    Item Assumption(s)

    Sales Volume Increase 5 %

    Sales Price Increase 10%

    Increase in Cost of Sales 10 %

    Increase in Staff Salaries 10 % per year

    Increase in Utilities 10 % per year

    Increase in Rent 10 % per year

    Increase in Office Expenses 10 % per year

    Debt / Equity Ratio 90 : 10

    Depreciation: Premises Renovation 10 % per annum (Diminishing Balance)

    Furniture 10 % per annum (Diminishing Balance)Lease Period 7 Years

    Lease Installments Monthly

    Financial Charges (Lease Rate) 8 % per annum

    Bad Debts 3% of Sales