small to medium scale distribuation agency.pdf
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Pre-Feasibility Study
Prime Ministers Small Business Loan Scheme
(Distribution Agency)
Small and Medium Enterprises Development Authority
Ministry of Industries & Production
Government of Pakistan
www.smeda.org.pk
HEAD OFFICE
4th Floor, Building No. 3, Aiwan-e-Iqbal Complex, Egerton Road,Lahore
Tel: (92 42) 111 111 456, Fax: (92 42) 36304926-7
REGIONAL OFFICE
PUNJABREGIONAL OFFICE
SINDHREGIONAL OFFICE
KPKREGIONAL OFFICE
BALOCHISTAN
3rd Floor, Building No. 3,
Aiwan-e-Iqbal Complex,Egerton Road Lahore,
Tel: (042) 111-111-456
Fax: (042) 36304926-7
5TH Floor, Bahria
Complex II, M.T. Khan Road,Karachi.
Tel: (021) 111-111-456
Fax: (021) 5610572
Ground Floor
State Life BuildingThe Mall, Peshawar.
Tel: (091) 9213046-47
Fax: (091) [email protected]
Bungalow No. 15-A
Chaman Housing SchemeAirport Road, Quetta.
Tel: (081) 831623, 831702
Fax: (081) [email protected]
September 2013
mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected] -
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Table of Contents
1. DISCLAIMER ......................................................................................................................... 32. PURPOSE OF THE DOCUMENT ......................................................................................... 43. INTRODUCTION TO SMEDA .............................................................................................. 44. INTRODUCTION TO SCHEME ........................................................................................... 55. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ..................................................................................................... 56. BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT ................................................................................... 67. CRITICAL FACTORS ............................................................................................................ 68. INSTALLED AND OPERATIONAL CAPACITIES ............................................................ 79. GEOGRAPHICAL POTENTIAL FOR INVESTMENT ........................................................ 810. POTENTIAL TARGET MARKETS ................................................................................... 811. DISTRIBUTION PROCESS FLOW ................................................................................... 812. PROJECT COST SUMMARY ............................................................................................ 912.1 Project Economics ........................................................................................................ 9
12.2 Project Financing ........................................................................................................ 1012.3 Project Cost................................................................................................................. 1012.4 Space Requirement ..................................................................................................... 1112.5 Human Resource Requirement ................................................................................... 1112.6 Revenue Generation ................................................................................................... 1212.7 Other Costs ................................................................................................................. 12
13. CONSULTANS / EXPERTS ............................................................................................. 1214. ANNEXURES ................................................................................................................... 13
14.1 Income Statement................................................................................................... 1314.2 Balance Sheet ......................................................................................................... 1414.3 Cash Flow Statement ............................................................................................. 1514.4 Useful Project Management Tips ......................................................................... 1614.5 Useful Links ............................................................................................................. 17
15. KEY ASSUMPTIONS....................................................................................................... 19
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1. DISCLAIMER
This information memorandum is to introduce the subject matter and provide a general
idea and information on the said matter. Although, the material included in this
document is based on data/information gathered from various reliable sources;
however, it is based upon certain assumptions which may differ from case to case. The
information has been provided on as is where is basis without any warranties or
assertions as to the correctness or soundness thereof. Although, due care and diligence
has been taken to compile this document, the contained information may vary due to
any change in any of the concerned factors, and the actual results may differ
substantially from the presented information. SMEDA, its employees or agents do not
assume any liability for any financial or other loss resulting from this memorandum in
consequence of undertaking this activity. The contained information does not preclude
any further professional advice. The prospective user of this memorandum is
encouraged to carry out additional diligence and gather any information which isnecessary for making an informed decision, including taking professional advice from a
qualified consultant/technical expert before taking any decision to act upon the
information.
For more information on services offered by SMEDA, please contact our website:
www.smeda.org.pk
http://www.smeda.org.pk/http://www.smeda.org.pk/http://www.smeda.org.pk/ -
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2. PURPOSE OF THE DOCUMENT
The objective of the pre-feasibility study is primarily to facilitate potential entrepreneurs
in project identification for investment. The project pre-feasibility may form the basis of
an important investment decision and in order to serve this objective, the
document/study covers various aspects of project concept development, start-up, and
production, marketing, finance and business management.
The purpose of this document is to facilitate potential investors in Distribution Agency
by providing them with a general understanding of the business with the intention of
supporting potential investors in crucial investment decisions.
The need to come up with pre-feasibility reports for undocumented or minimally
documented sectors attains greater imminence as the research that precedes such
reports reveal certain thumb rules; best practices developed by existing enterprises by
trial and error, and certain industrial norms that become a guiding source regarding
various aspects of business set-up and its successful management.
Apart from carefully studying the whole document one must consider critical aspects
provided later on, which form basis of any Investment Decision.
3. INTRODUCTION TO SMEDA
The Small and Medium Enterprises Development Authority (SMEDA) was established in
October 1998 with an objective to provide fresh impetus to the economy throughdevelopment of Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs).
With a mission "to assist in employment generation and value addition to the national
income, through development of the SME sector, by helping increase the number, scale
and competitiveness of SMEs" , SMEDA has carried out sectoral research to identify
policy, access to finance, business development services, strategic initiatives and
institutional collaboration and networking initiatives.
Preparation and dissemination of prefeasibility studies in key areas of investment has
been a successful hallmark of SME facilitation by SMEDA.
Concurrent to the prefeasibility studies, a broad spectrum of business developmentservices is also offered to the SMEs by SMEDA. These services include identification of
experts and consultants and delivery of need based capacity building programs of
different types in addition to business guidance through help desk services.
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4. INTRODUCTION TO SCHEME
Prime Ministers Small Business Loans Scheme, for young entrepreneurs, with an
allocated budget of Rs. 5.0 Billion for the year 2013-14, is designed to provide
subsidised financing at 8% mark-up per annum for one hundred thousand (100,000)
beneficiaries, through designated financial institutions, initially through National Bank of
Pakistan (NBP) and First Women Bank Ltd. (FWBL).
Small business loans with tenure up to 7 years, and a debt : equity of 90 : 10 will be
disbursed to SME beneficiaries across Pakistan, covering; Punjab, Sindh, Khyber
Pakhtunkhwah, Balochistan, Gilgit Baltistan, Azad Jammu & Kashmir and Federally
Administered Tribal Areas (FATA).
5. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Small Scale Distribution Agency is proposed to be located at any densely populated
city such as Karachi, Lahore, Rawalpindi, Peshawar or Quetta to distribute consumer
goods such as Branded Tea, Powdered Milk and Confectionary Items to the Local
market. This business can also be done in all small 2nd tier towns in addition to
suburban towns of large cities.
This proposed distribution agency will distribute around 10 tonnes each of tea,
powdered milk, biscuits and Chocolate/ Toffees etc per month to the retailers. The
assumed sales force has the capacity to distribute around 60 tonnes of product and
initially they will be utilizing 67% of proposed capacity.
Total Cost Estimate of the project is Rs. 2,170,200 with Fixed Investment of Rs.
1,532,000 and Working Capital ofRs. 638,200
Given the cost assumptions IRR and payback are 41 % and 3.5 years respectively.
The most critical considerations or factors for success of the project are
1. Product and Brands to be distributed
2. Negotiation and Marketing Skills
3. Credit Recovery
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6. BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF PROJECT
Product: It has been suggested that for the proposed distribution business, the
company would act as a main institutional distributor for Fast Moving Consumer
Goods (FMCG) products. The business would distribute: one established tea brand,
any one of packaged Milk as new brands are growing in the market and any two of
confectionery products i.e. biscuits & toffee etc.
Location: Distribution Agency can be setup in any major city with significant number
of population such as Karachi, Lahore, Rawalpindi, Peshawar and Quetta. This
business can also be done in all small 2nd tier towns in addition to suburban towns of
large cities.
Target Market: The demand of distribution service providers is increasing which is
directly proportionate to the increase in consumer goods manufacturing companies
which is expanding substantially with the current economic growth and consumerism.
Therefore the potential Target market for the proposed setup is densely populated
cities such as Karachi, Lahore, Peshawar, Quetta, Rawalpindi, Islamabad and all 2 nd
& 3rd tier cities / towns of Pakistan.
Employment Generation: The proposed project will provide direct employment to 15
people. Financial analysis shows the unit shall be profitable from the very first year of
operation
7. CRITICAL FACTORS
Critical success factors that affect the decision to invest in the proposed business setup
are:
i) Products and brand
Product and Brands to be distributed would act as a key success factor for the proposed
distribution business. Greater the brand awareness in the market, higher would be the
chances of business success. It is suggested that prospective entrepreneur should
obtain distribution agreement for at least one successful brand.
ii) Background Experience
Background experience plays an important role in operating a Small to Medium Scale
Distribution Agency specially when dealing with customers and deciding on the
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business development activities to be carried out and negotiating on commercial terms
and conditions, etc.
iii) Marketing Skill
Critical to the business success is that the entrepreneur must have effective PR &
marketing skills. These marketing skills should enable the entrepreneur to carryout
business development activities to target his potential customers and also to maintain
his existing client base.
iv) Strong Sub-distributor
A strong sub-distributor network also plays an important role in generating additional
business. Such a network is imperative in developing a strong customer base which
might remain restricted if operated singly.
v) Skilled & Experienced ManpowerThe knowledge and experience of the entrepreneur is not sufficient to run the business
smoothly. A major proportion of the business development activities and accounts
receivables are managed by sales personnel employed by the agency. Therefore it is
crucial for the distribution agency to hire experienced and skilled sales staff that can
bring in new business with them and retain the existing customer base.
8. INSTALLED AND OPERATIONAL CAPACITIES
For the proposed project it is assumed that 480 tonnes / annum of various consumergoods will be distributed across the city where the distribution company is setup with 7%
sales volume growth assumption. For this purpose a staff of total 15 persons will be
justifying their job description in various capacities.
It has been suggested that for the proposed distribution business, the company would
act as a main institutional distributor for Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG)
products. The business would distribute: one established tea brand, any one of
packaged Milk as new brands are growing in the market and any two of confectionery
products i.e. biscuits & toffee etc.
Products for the distribution have been selected for the proposed business by
foreseeing their high potential and anticipated expansion in the manufacturing of these
products. However, as these products are perishable, efficient distribution operations
would be necessary. In order to leverage the opportunity for further business expansion,
intensive distribution practice would be followed which means that the business would
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place its products and services in as many outlets as possible employing the FIFO
method.
It is proposed that Milk would not stay in the warehouse more than 03 days, whereas,
tea and confectionery would take 07 days at most. However, it is suggested that time for
a product to leave the warehouse and be distributed should be as minimum as possible.
9. GEOGRAPHICAL POTENTIAL FOR INVESTMENT
The growing trend of consumerism and increase in population has increased
opportunities for the consumer goods distribution business in Pakistan. And the influx of
rural population into urban areas has also increase the demand of consumer goods,
therefore proposed Distribution Agency can be setup in any major city with significant
number of population such as Karachi, Lahore, Rawalpindi, Peshawar and Quetta. This
business can also be done in all small 2nd tier towns in addition to suburban towns of
large cities.
10. POTENTIAL TARGET MARKETS
Pakistan has a domestic market of above 185 million consumers with growing incomes
& changing consumption habits. Population growth, increase in per capita income, and
urbanization have led to demand of distribution agencies. Consumerism and
introduction of new products have fuelled the demand. The target market for the
proposed setup is densely populated cities such as Karachi, Lahore, Peshawar, Quetta,
Rawalpindi, Islamabad & all 2nd & 3rd tier cities / towns of Pakistan.
11. DISTRIBUTION PROCESS FLOW
Manufacturing or trading companies dealing in consumer goods when interested in
appointing a distributor for their products, advertise in the newspapers and call for
expression of interest from the local companies interested in the distribution.
Companies evaluate following capabilities of the interested distributors:
Location of distributors business premises;
Financial position and credit standing of the distributor;
Knowledge and experience of the distributor;
Storage and showroom facilities of the distributor;
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Ability of the distributor to secure adequate business and to cover the market;
Capacity of the distributor to provide after sale service;
General reputation of the distributor and his sales force;
Willingness of the distributor to handle the entrepreneurs products;
Degree of co-operation and promotion service he is willing to provide; Nature of other products, if any handled by the distributor.
In a country like Pakistan one needs an effective distribution system that provides
market coverage and is economical. The choice of a channel by traders or
manufacturers depends upon the nature of the product e.g. for low priced consumer
products like soap, a vast network is needed and manufacturers prefer to higher the
services of a independent distributor rather than having their own distribution setup
which is a high cost option. For industrial goods, a direct channel or a very short
channel is considered to be appropriate. The nature of the product- whether it is bulky
or perishable for instance as well as the cost and efficiency of the distributors are someother factors that manufacturers and traders consider while selecting a distributor.
12. PROJECT COST SUMMARY
A detailed financial model has been developed to analyze the commercial viability of
Distribution Agency under the Prime Ministers Small Business Loan Scheme. Various
cost and revenue related assumptions along with results of the analysis are outlined in
this section.
The projected Income Statement, Cash Flow Statement and Balance Sheet are
attached as appendix
12.1Project Economics
All the figures in this financial model have been calculated for distribution of 40 Tons /
Month of Packed Tea, Powdered Milk, Biscuits and Confectionary Items. Monthly Sales
of these items based on certain assumptions such as Distributors price and quantity of
sales are calculated to be Rs. 12.9 million.
The following table shows Internal Rate of Return, Net Present Value and Payback
Period.
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Table 1 - Project Economics
Description Details
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 41%
Payback Period (yrs) 3.5
Net Present Value (NPV) 6,442,089
Returns on the scheme and its profitability are highly dependent on effective
management of Logistics, General reputation of distributor and its sales force.
12.2Project Financing
Following table provides details of the equity required and variables related to bank
loan;
Description Details
Total Equity (10%) Rs.217,020
Bank Loan (90%.) Rs.1,953,180
Markup to the Borrower (%age/annum) 8%
Tenure of the Loan (Years) 07
12.3Project Cost
Following requirements have been identified for operations of the proposed business.
Table 1: Capital Investment for the Project
Capital Investment Amount (Rs.)
Renovation Office & Godown 50,000
Security Deposit 500,000
Furniture 50,000
Delivery Vehicles 02 Nos. (Used) 700,000
Rent Deposit 100,000
Office Equipment 82,000
Preliminary Expenses 50,000Total Capital Costs 1,532,000
Initial Working Capital 638,200
Total Project Cost 2,170,200
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12.4Space Requirement
Space required for Distribution Agency is 2000 Square ft. where 200 Sq. Ft. will be used
for Management Office and 1800 Sq. Ft. will be used Godown.
Table 2: Space Requirement
Description Area
Sq. Ft.
Monthly Rent
Charges (Rs.)
Yearly Rent(Rs.)
For Office & Godown 2000 20,000 240,000
Total Rent 20,000 240,000
Table 3: Office Equipment & Furniture Costs
Description Quantity Cost Amount
Computer & UPS 1 40,000 40,000
Printer 1 10,000 10,000
Fax & Telephone 1 12,000 12,000
UPS & Battery 1 20,000 20,000
Furniture 1 50,000 50,000
Total 132,000
12.5Human Resource Requirement
Table 4: Human Resource Requirement
Description Nos. Salary per month Total Salary
Owner Manager 1 25,000 25,000
Sales Staff / Outdoor Booking 4 12,000 48,000
Store Keeper 1 12,000 12,000
Billing Staff 1 12,000 12,000
Cashier 1 15,000 15,000
Deliveryman 2 10,000 20,000
Driver / Loader 3 10,000 30,000
Security Guard 2 10,000 20,000
Total Staff 15 106,000 182,000
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The table above provides details of human resource required to run a Distribution
Agency of Small and Medium Scale. Salaries of all employees are estimated to increase
at 10% annually.
12.6Revenue Generation
The revenues are based on assumption of monthly Sales Proceeds of Rs. 12.9 Million
of Branded Tea, Powdered Milk, Biscuits and Confectionary items with an annual sales
volume growth rate of 5% and Price Growth Rate of 10%. On an average distribution
margin is 2% of total sale proceeds.
Distribution of Items Monthly SalesCommission
on Sales (2%)
Incentives on
Sales
Branded Tea 5,000,000 100,000 40,000
Powdered Milk 5,000,000 100,000 80,000
Biscuits / Cookies 1,300,000 26,000 28,600
Candy / Toffee / Chocolates 1,600,000 32,000 28,800
258,000 177,400
Total Sales 435,400
12.7Other Costs
An essential cost to be borne by the company is maintenance of vehicles as delivery
vans has to cover a number of remote areas in different part of the city. On an average
Rs. 15,000 is assumed to be monthly vehicle maintenance expense.
13. CONSULTANS / EXPERTSFollowing are the few significant distributors with Sub distribution options:
Universal Distributors Limited (UDL)
International Brands Limited (IBL)
Burque Corporation, Premier Distributor
Muller & Phipps (M & P)
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14. ANNEXURES
14.1 Income Statement
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14.2 Balance Sheet
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14.3 Cash Flow Statement
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14.4 Useful Project Management Tips
Technology
List of Machinery & Equipment
Computer & UPS
Printer
Fax & Telephone
UPS & Battery
Furniture
Energy Requirement: Should not be overestimated or installed in excess and
alternate source of energy for critical operations be arranged in advance
Machinery Suppliers: Should be asked for training and after sales services under
the contract with the machinery suppliers
Quality Assurance Equipment & Standards: Whatever means required
products quality standards need to be defined on the packaging and a system to
check them instituted, this improves credibility
Marketing
Sales & Distribution Network: Expert's advise and distribution agreements
are required with.
Price - Bulk Discounts, Cost plus Introductory Discounts: Price should never
be allowed to compromise quality. Price during introductory phase may be lower and
used as promotional tool. Product cost estimates should be carefully documented
before price setting. Government controlled prices shall be displayed.
Human Resources
List of Human Resource
Owner
Sales Staff / Outdoor Booking
Store Keeper
Billing Staff
Cashier
Deliveryman
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Driver / Loader
Security Guard
Adequacy & Competencies: Skilled and experienced staff should be
considered an investment even to the extent of offering share in business profit.
Performance Based Remuneration: Attempt to manage human resource
cost should be focused through performance measurement and performance based
compensation.
Training & Skill Development: Encouraging training and skill of self &
employees through experts and exposure of best practices is route to success.
Least cost options for Training and Skill Development (T&SD) may be linked with
compensation benefits and awards.
14.5 Useful Links
Prime Ministers Office
www.pmo.gov.pk
Small & Medium Enterprises Development Authority (SMEDA)
www.smeda.org.pk
National Bank of Pakistan (NBP)
www.nbp.com.pk
First Women Bank Limited (FWBL)www.fwbl.com.pk
Government of Pakistan
www.pakistan.gov.pk
Ministry of Industries & Production
www.moip.gov.pk
Ministry of Education, Training & Standards in Higher Education
http://moptt.gov.pkGovernment of Punjab
www.punjab.gov.pk
Government of Sindh
www.sindh.gov.pk
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Government of Khyber Pakhtoonkhwa
www.khyberpakhtunkhwa.gov.pk
Government of Balochistan
www.balochistan.gov.pk
Government of Gilgit Baltistan
www.gilgitbaltistan.gov.pk
Government of Azad Jammu & Kashmir
www.ajk.gov.pk
Trade Development Authority of Pakistan (TDAP)
www.tdap.gov.pk
Security Commission of Pakistan (SECP)
www.secp.gov.pk
Federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FPCCI)
www.fpcci.com.pk
State Bank of Pakistan (SBP)
www.sbp.org.pk
Pakistan Institute of Fashion Design(PIFD)
www.pifd.edu.pk
Pakistan Fashion Design Council (PFDC)
www.pfdc.org
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15. KEY ASSUMPTIONS
Item Assumption(s)
Sales Volume Increase 5 %
Sales Price Increase 10%
Increase in Cost of Sales 10 %
Increase in Staff Salaries 10 % per year
Increase in Utilities 10 % per year
Increase in Rent 10 % per year
Increase in Office Expenses 10 % per year
Debt / Equity Ratio 90 : 10
Depreciation: Premises Renovation 10 % per annum (Diminishing Balance)
Furniture 10 % per annum (Diminishing Balance)Lease Period 7 Years
Lease Installments Monthly
Financial Charges (Lease Rate) 8 % per annum
Bad Debts 3% of Sales