small cap & special situations

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  • 8/8/2019 Small Cap & Special Situations

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    SmallCap&SpecialSituationsResearc

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    DL | davianletter.com

    January18,2

    SmallCapandSpecialSituationsResearch

    TheSmallCapandSpecialSituationsResearchreportoffersvaluefocused,in-depth

    fundamentalanalysisofsecuritieswebelieveofferfavorablerisk-rewardprofiles.Weseekto

    identifyandexploitmarketinefficienciesthroughourrigorousduediligenceprocess,and

    applytechnicalindicatorswithagoaltoidealizetradeexecution.

    Coverage

    Whileknowinghowtovaluebusinessesisessentialforinvesting,acriticalcomponentinthe

    investmentprocessinvolvesknowingwheretolookforopportunities.Webelieveour

    coverageuniversecontainsampleopportunityforcapableinvestors.

    1. SmallCapCompanieswithmarketcapitalizationoflessthan$2billion,includingthose

    tradingonOTCExchanges.Wesearchforunloved,underfollowed,and/or

    misunderstoodsecurities.Ouridealopportunityhasanimmediateorneartermcatalyst

    forrealizationofunderlyingvalue.

    2. SpecialSituationsTheunderlyingthemetomostoftheseinvestmentsischange.

    Somethingoutoftheordinarycourseofbusinessistakingplacethatcreatesan

    opportunity.Thedetailsofeachsituationvary,butnormallyinstitutionalconstraints,

    illiquidity,complexityandinformationalinefficiencycreatevalueopportunity.Typical

    SpecialSituationsinvestmentsoccurinthefollowingtransactions:

    Spin-offs

    Bankruptcies

    Restructurings

    RightsOfferings

    MergerSecurities(CVRs,etc.)

    Recapitalizations

    Small Cap & Special Situations Research

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    ResearchProcess

    Ourresearchprocessisabottom-up,valuebasedapproach.Creativeideaflowrefinesourbroaduniverseintoabasketofworkableleadswhicharethenmetwithhard-nosedskepticism

    andanalyticalrigor.

    1. IdeaFlow

    a. Proprietaryfundamentalscreens;

    b. TargetedqualitativescreensthroughSECfilings;

    c. UnusualActivity:Indexreconstitution,delisting,andinsideractivity;

    d. Developingtrends.

    2. Analysis

    a. FinancialStatementAnalysis,emphasizingassetqualityandearningsreportedvs.

    thetrueeconomicvalue;

    b. PeerGroupandIndustryAnalysis;

    c. Company&ExecutiveHistory;

    d. OnSite/Companyvisitswhenwarranted;

    e. TechnicalAnalysistooptimizetiming.

    Strategy

    Fromunprovenbusinessmodelstounfavorablecapitalraises,manytradersoutrightrefuseto

    investigatesecuritiesliketheoneswecover.Thisbroad-brushthinkingoftenleadstooutsized

    riskpremium,andthereforevalue.Inseekingobservablefactsandfollowinglogicalreasoning,

    ourresearchaimstomitigateriskandidentifyunderappreciatedvalue.

    Wewilldeliverstrenuouslyresearchedopinions,andformulateideasonhowtotradethe

    namesbasedonourcombinedexperience.Theexpectationforhighvolatilitymustbe

    appreciated,anditmustbenotedthatoutsizedpriceactionworksbothways.Patience,

    positionsizing,timing,andexperiencecannotbeignored.

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    Ethics&Disclosure

    Ourproductinherentlydealsininstrumentswhosepricescanbemovedbyrelativelysmallsums.Notonlywillweoftenparticipateinthesecuritiescoveredasamatteroftrustinour

    ownsystem,wemaytradeinthem,aswell.Weviewethicsasanimperative,andtherefore

    willnotrefrainfromdisclosingpositionsatthetimeofwritingbuttherecanbenoexpectation

    thatprompt,oreventimelynoticewillbegivenwhenchoosingtosell.Weviewstock

    ownershipandtradingasanindividualmatter,notonlyonourpart,butonyours.Ifa

    situationarisesthatchangesouropinionofagivensecuritythatopinionwillbedistributedas

    soonasispracticable.Wereceivecompensationinconnectionwiththepublicationofthis

    newsletterexclusivelyintheformoffeeschargedtoclients.

    AboutKyle

    KyleworksinCorporateFinanceforaFortune500company.Outsideofhisprofessional

    activitieshedevotesthemajorityofhistimetomanaginghisowninvestmentsinthesmall

    cap/specialsituationsspace.

    AboutChris

    UpongraduatingfromcollegeChrisspentalmostadecadeinconstructionmanagementwith

    responsibilitiesincludingwritingcontracts,creatingschedulesandbudgets,andclient

    interfaceforprojectvaluesrangingfromnegligibletotensofmillions.Beginningin2007,he

    begantotakeownershipofamodestretirementportfolio,andseparatecashaccountwiththe

    recognitionthatassetmanagementbeginsandendswiththeassetholder.Afterexceedingly

    profitabletradingthroughthedown-turnandfollowingreboundhelefttheconstruction

    industryintheSpringof2010todedicatemorefocustohislongtermresearchandmoretime

    tohisshorterterminvestmentstrategies.

    Valueinvestingisatitscorethemarriageofacontrarianstreakandacalculator.Thestrategyofbuying

    whatsinfavorisafoolserrand,ensuringlong-termunderperformance.Onlybystandingagainstthe

    prevailingwindsselectively,butresolutelycananinvestorprosperovertime.

    SethKlarman