small cap & special situations
TRANSCRIPT
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8/8/2019 Small Cap & Special Situations
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SmallCap&SpecialSituationsResearc
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DL | davianletter.com
January18,2
SmallCapandSpecialSituationsResearch
TheSmallCapandSpecialSituationsResearchreportoffersvaluefocused,in-depth
fundamentalanalysisofsecuritieswebelieveofferfavorablerisk-rewardprofiles.Weseekto
identifyandexploitmarketinefficienciesthroughourrigorousduediligenceprocess,and
applytechnicalindicatorswithagoaltoidealizetradeexecution.
Coverage
Whileknowinghowtovaluebusinessesisessentialforinvesting,acriticalcomponentinthe
investmentprocessinvolvesknowingwheretolookforopportunities.Webelieveour
coverageuniversecontainsampleopportunityforcapableinvestors.
1. SmallCapCompanieswithmarketcapitalizationoflessthan$2billion,includingthose
tradingonOTCExchanges.Wesearchforunloved,underfollowed,and/or
misunderstoodsecurities.Ouridealopportunityhasanimmediateorneartermcatalyst
forrealizationofunderlyingvalue.
2. SpecialSituationsTheunderlyingthemetomostoftheseinvestmentsischange.
Somethingoutoftheordinarycourseofbusinessistakingplacethatcreatesan
opportunity.Thedetailsofeachsituationvary,butnormallyinstitutionalconstraints,
illiquidity,complexityandinformationalinefficiencycreatevalueopportunity.Typical
SpecialSituationsinvestmentsoccurinthefollowingtransactions:
Spin-offs
Bankruptcies
Restructurings
RightsOfferings
MergerSecurities(CVRs,etc.)
Recapitalizations
Small Cap & Special Situations Research
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ResearchProcess
Ourresearchprocessisabottom-up,valuebasedapproach.Creativeideaflowrefinesourbroaduniverseintoabasketofworkableleadswhicharethenmetwithhard-nosedskepticism
andanalyticalrigor.
1. IdeaFlow
a. Proprietaryfundamentalscreens;
b. TargetedqualitativescreensthroughSECfilings;
c. UnusualActivity:Indexreconstitution,delisting,andinsideractivity;
d. Developingtrends.
2. Analysis
a. FinancialStatementAnalysis,emphasizingassetqualityandearningsreportedvs.
thetrueeconomicvalue;
b. PeerGroupandIndustryAnalysis;
c. Company&ExecutiveHistory;
d. OnSite/Companyvisitswhenwarranted;
e. TechnicalAnalysistooptimizetiming.
Strategy
Fromunprovenbusinessmodelstounfavorablecapitalraises,manytradersoutrightrefuseto
investigatesecuritiesliketheoneswecover.Thisbroad-brushthinkingoftenleadstooutsized
riskpremium,andthereforevalue.Inseekingobservablefactsandfollowinglogicalreasoning,
ourresearchaimstomitigateriskandidentifyunderappreciatedvalue.
Wewilldeliverstrenuouslyresearchedopinions,andformulateideasonhowtotradethe
namesbasedonourcombinedexperience.Theexpectationforhighvolatilitymustbe
appreciated,anditmustbenotedthatoutsizedpriceactionworksbothways.Patience,
positionsizing,timing,andexperiencecannotbeignored.
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Ethics&Disclosure
Ourproductinherentlydealsininstrumentswhosepricescanbemovedbyrelativelysmallsums.Notonlywillweoftenparticipateinthesecuritiescoveredasamatteroftrustinour
ownsystem,wemaytradeinthem,aswell.Weviewethicsasanimperative,andtherefore
willnotrefrainfromdisclosingpositionsatthetimeofwritingbuttherecanbenoexpectation
thatprompt,oreventimelynoticewillbegivenwhenchoosingtosell.Weviewstock
ownershipandtradingasanindividualmatter,notonlyonourpart,butonyours.Ifa
situationarisesthatchangesouropinionofagivensecuritythatopinionwillbedistributedas
soonasispracticable.Wereceivecompensationinconnectionwiththepublicationofthis
newsletterexclusivelyintheformoffeeschargedtoclients.
AboutKyle
KyleworksinCorporateFinanceforaFortune500company.Outsideofhisprofessional
activitieshedevotesthemajorityofhistimetomanaginghisowninvestmentsinthesmall
cap/specialsituationsspace.
AboutChris
UpongraduatingfromcollegeChrisspentalmostadecadeinconstructionmanagementwith
responsibilitiesincludingwritingcontracts,creatingschedulesandbudgets,andclient
interfaceforprojectvaluesrangingfromnegligibletotensofmillions.Beginningin2007,he
begantotakeownershipofamodestretirementportfolio,andseparatecashaccountwiththe
recognitionthatassetmanagementbeginsandendswiththeassetholder.Afterexceedingly
profitabletradingthroughthedown-turnandfollowingreboundhelefttheconstruction
industryintheSpringof2010todedicatemorefocustohislongtermresearchandmoretime
tohisshorterterminvestmentstrategies.
Valueinvestingisatitscorethemarriageofacontrarianstreakandacalculator.Thestrategyofbuying
whatsinfavorisafoolserrand,ensuringlong-termunderperformance.Onlybystandingagainstthe
prevailingwindsselectively,butresolutelycananinvestorprosperovertime.
SethKlarman