slide 1 gsc9/joint_004 may 9 -13, 2004 gsc-9 seoul, korea facing up to challenges, seizing...
TRANSCRIPT
May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 1
GSC9/JOINT_004
Facing Up to Challenges, Seizing Opportunities
John VisserPhone: +1 613-763-7028Fax: +1 613-765-6257Mobile: +1 613-276-6096
Email: [email protected]
May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 2
What is happening?
• Unprecedented changes occurring at unprecedented speed
• Major technology shifts mean major growth opportunities and major risks
• Major opportunities for synergies, reuse through convergence: telecoms/IT, fixed/mobile, broadcast
• Regional and global NGN standards initiatives already underway
May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 3
Challenges
• A Revolution is underway:– circuit to packet– single medium (voice only) to multimedia– monopolistic to competitive– fixed to mobile– discrete to converged
• How do we meet these challenges?
• What are the opportunities we can seize?
May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 4
Communications in the Global Economy
• Yankee Group, News Release 24 Jun 03:– estimate 18.6 percent of world’s population
currently has mobile phones – global wireless user base will increase 49%
over next 4 years, reach 1.72 billion by 2007– global cellular subscriber revenue will grow
from $387B in 2002 to $584B in 2007
• Similar in value to crude oil production
May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 5
NGN Essence
• NGN is the current “buzzword”
• What does NGN mean?– packet-switched core network– multimedia (based on 3GPP Rel. 6 IMS)– mobile (all dimensions) an integral part– access independence essential
• SG 13 definition provided in a separate presentation
May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 6
Opportunities
• NGN global consistency is a target to which everyone subscribes– essential for an increasingly interconnected
world– immediate value to developed and developing
markets
May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 7
Moving forward
• NGN is our opportunity to move everyone into the future together: – everyone must ensure they are well organized
to help “move the yardsticks” forward– existing relationships and cooperation
agreements provide the needed connections (or provide the basis for additional connections)
• A globally unified NGN approach will succeed!
May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 8
Challenges for ITU-T
• NGN is one of the key challenges facing ITU-T
• Other significant challenges include:– performance (QoS)– security– management– transport– etc.
May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 9
ITU-T Response
• ITU-T is a responsive organization as demonstrated through adoption of AAP, electronic working methods, focus groups, classes of membership, etc.– procedures and working methods are
“state of the art”
• But organization of technical work issub-optimal
May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 10
ITU-T Response
• Discussions on technical work organization have progressed slowly
• Essential to get “unstuck”:– must make progress on structural issues– must be seen to make progress on structural
issues
• WTSA-2004 offers a crucial and timely opportunity to demonstrate consensus on the way forward
May 9 -13, 2004 GSC-9 Seoul, Korea Slide 11
GSC-9 Influence
• It is in our common interest for ITU-T to succeed in global aspects of NGN– part of GSC mandate is to advise ITU-T with the
aim of strengthening its role in global standardization
• Opportunity to input a consistent and coherent message to the Assembly on the urgent need to optimize working arrangements to the benefit of the global standards community