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Slide 2 SLICE Transitioning from Phase 1 into Phase 2 Slide 3 What Id like to cover Project management issues Project management issues Where were at with Phase 1 Where were at with Phase 1 1. Timeline 2. Deliverables Transitioning out of Phase 1 and into Phase 2 Transitioning out of Phase 1 and into Phase 2 1. Debrief from Advisory Team Mtg in Jan. 2011 2. Stop-gap measures in 2012 3. Revised purpose and goals Vision of what SLICE looks like operationally and proposed timelines Vision of what SLICE looks like operationally and proposed timelines Slide 4 What Id like from you Better clarity on Exec. Sponsor and Roles in transitioning SLICE Phase 1 into Phase 2. Better clarity on Exec. Sponsor and Roles in transitioning SLICE Phase 1 into Phase 2. Your thoughts about what SLICE looks like operationally Your thoughts about what SLICE looks like operationally Moving from duct tape and bubble gum to something sustainable Moving from duct tape and bubble gum to something sustainable Realigning staff resources to best carry-out a revised lake survey program Realigning staff resources to best carry-out a revised lake survey program Timeline target for implementing Phase 2 Timeline target for implementing Phase 2 Slide 5 Oversight DNR Fisheries 1 Project Coordination 2 Ray Valley Implementation DNR Fisheries Implementation 3 Recommendation of direction Information base Analysis and Evaluation Analysis Teams 10 Syntheses of trends Technical Advisory Team 12 Eco and Waters Implementation 4 PCA Implementation 5 Local Partners 7 Citizen Volunteers 8 Public Information and Outreach 9 MDH Implementation 6 DNR Area Staff Local trends Local Partners Local trends PCA Water Monitoring Unit Local trends Ancillary Investigations 11 Strategic Advisory Team 13 SLICE Org chart CO Managers Regional Managers Slide 6 Slide 7 SLICE Phase 2 Slide 8 Slide 9 What Id like to cover Project management issues Project management issues Where were at with Phase 1 Where were at with Phase 1 1. Timeline 2. Deliverables Transitioning out of Phase 1 and into Phase 2 Transitioning out of Phase 1 and into Phase 2 1. Debrief from Advisory Team Mtg in Jan. 2011 2. Stop-gap assessments in 2012 3. Revised purpose and goals Vision of what SLICE looks like operationally and proposed timelines Vision of what SLICE looks like operationally and proposed timelines Slide 10 Where were at with Phase 1 2011 is last scheduled field season of 4-yr Phase-1 pilot 2011 is last scheduled field season of 4-yr Phase-1 pilot Several products will be rolled out in 2012-13 Several products will be rolled out in 2012-13 1. Forecast models of cold-water fish habitat given land use and climate changes in 3 sentinel lakes 2. Hist. reconstructions of WQ in 7 sentinel lakes 3. Cisco behavior and inland pop assessment tools 4. Zooplankton indicator development 5. 24 baseline comprehensive lake reports 6. DJ research project evaluating indicators Slide 11 Where were at with Phase 1 Were already finding useful indicators derived from our standard suite of lake survey assessments Were already finding useful indicators derived from our standard suite of lake survey assessments Looking to gain efficiencies in effort Looking to gain efficiencies in effort If we build it, they will come If we build it, they will come Slide 12 If you build it they will come Lucinda Johnson Heinz Stefan Puni Jeyasingh - OSU Lee Engel U of MN Slide 13 Leveraging other intellectual and financial capital to explore lake issues Simulations of cisco fish habitat in Minnesota Lakes under future climate scenarios Fang et al. (Auburn U & U of MN) Simulations of cisco fish habitat in Minnesota Lakes under future climate scenarios Fang et al. (Auburn U & U of MN) Simulating the combined effects of future watershed land cover and climate change on cold-water fish habitat Herb, Stefan, Johnson, Jacobson (U of MN and NRRI; USGS funded) Simulating the combined effects of future watershed land cover and climate change on cold-water fish habitat Herb, Stefan, Johnson, Jacobson (U of MN and NRRI; USGS funded) Reconstruction of how a century of nutrient-enrichment of lakes has affected evolutionary changes in organisms, particular Daphnia pulex zooplankton Punidan Jeyasingh Oklahoma State University (NSF funded) Reconstruction of how a century of nutrient-enrichment of lakes has affected evolutionary changes in organisms, particular Daphnia pulex zooplankton Punidan Jeyasingh Oklahoma State University (NSF funded) Classification of Selected Minnesota Lakes Using Deuterium and 18 O to Characterize Hydrologic Residence Time Lee Engel and Joe Magner (U of MN) Classification of Selected Minnesota Lakes Using Deuterium and 18 O to Characterize Hydrologic Residence Time Lee Engel and Joe Magner (U of MN) Slide 14 What Id like to cover Project management issues Project management issues Where were at with Phase 1 Where were at with Phase 1 1. Timeline 2. Deliverables Transitioning out of Phase 1 and into Phase 2 Transitioning out of Phase 1 and into Phase 2 1. Debrief from Advisory Team Mtg in Jan. 2011 2. Stop-gap assessments in 2012 3. Revised purpose and goals Vision of what SLICE looks like operationally and proposed timelines Vision of what SLICE looks like operationally and proposed timelines Slide 15 SLICE Advisory Team Meeting Debrief from Phase 1 Debrief from Phase 1 Review of progress on goals and objectives Review of progress on goals and objectives What worked, what didnt from a programmatic standpoint What worked, what didnt from a programmatic standpoint Discussed program purpose and goals Discussed program purpose and goals IDd core survey components of SLICE IDd core survey components of SLICE Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scenarios Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scenarios Slide 16 What we accomplished Debrief from Phase 1 Debrief from Phase 1 Review of progress on goals and objectives Review of progress on goals and objectives What worked, what didnt from a programmatic standpoint What worked, what didnt from a programmatic standpoint Discussed program purpose and goals Discussed program purpose and goals IDd core survey components of SLICE IDd core survey components of SLICE Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scnarios Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scnarios Slide 17 What worked Just the commitment to build long-term monitoring infrastructure has attracted interdisciplinary partners. Just the commitment to build long-term monitoring infrastructure has attracted interdisciplinary partners. Having a dedicated coordinator Having a dedicated coordinator Bringing Research and Management closer LTM bridges the gap. Bringing Research and Management closer LTM bridges the gap. Slide 18 Areas for Improvement Data quality issues Data quality issues 1. Many surveys werent done 2. Many surveys werent done right 3. Span of control issues with coordinating 18 Area offices and a dozen research staff to all be doing the same thing 4. Aging issues Slide 19 Areas for Improvement Ownership Ownership 1. One staff with explicit ownership through PD (me) 1. No ownership means lack of understanding why the data is being collected 2. Lack of buy in and data quality suffers 3. Informative data are being put in a database and not being used Slide 20 Areas for Improvement Disconnect in program relevance and staffing. Disconnect in program relevance and staffing. Area staff are shouldering workloads Area staff are shouldering workloads SLICEs primary utility is for describing regional and statewide trends SLICEs primary utility is for describing regional and statewide trends Scale issue Scale issue Slide 21 SLICEs Power is in the network: Example: statewide declines in Curly-leaf pondweed Slide 22 Curly-leaf pondweed Widespread throughout S and central MN and moving north. Grows under ice and needs some winter light Can grow abundantly and form mats early in spring Dies off by early summer and algae blooms typically follow in eutrophic lakes Expected to benefit from shorter winters and earlier springs Slide 23 Slide 24 Patterns of curly-leaf pondweed growth Slide 25 St. James St. Olaf Slide 26 Slide 27 Bottom Line: We wont get this type of synthesis across lakes with the current individual lake approach of the lake survey program and associated standard reporting Slide 28 Areas for Improvement Communication with staff Communication with staff 1. Relevance of SLICE to some Area staff not readily apparent 2. Communication to Area staff on progress or program direction is not timely or targeted. 3. The loss of training sessions hurts Slide 29 What we accomplished Debrief from Phase 1 Debrief from Phase 1 Review of progress on goals and objectives Review of progress on goals and objectives What worked, what didnt from a programmatic standpoint What worked, what didnt from a programmatic standpoint Discussed program purpose and goals Discussed program purpose and goals IDd core survey components of SLICE IDd core survey components of SLICE Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scenarios Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scenarios Slide 30 Adaptive Management Process Assess problem Evaluate Adjust Implement Design Monitor Phase 1: Oct Jan 2006/2007 May-Jun 2007 Apr. 2008 2008-2011 Today! Phase 2 Phase 1 Op plan Slide 31 Collaborative process Advisory team offered input on a short SLICE purpose statement Advisory team offered input on a short SLICE purpose statement Nine long-term goals were identified Nine long-term goals were identified More specific short-term Phase 2 objectives will follow with better clarity on budget More specific short-term Phase 2 objectives will follow with better clarity on budget Need an endorsement from Oversight team Need an endorsement from Oversight team Slide 32 SLICEs purpose To monitor and model Minnesota lake ecosystems for the detection and better understanding of the effects of environmental stressors in order to guide management and policy actions that sustain lake resources. Slide 33 What we accomplished Debrief from Phase 1 Debrief from Phase 1 Review of progress on goals and objectives Review of progress on goals and objectives What worked, what didnt from a programmatic standpoint What worked, what didnt from a programmatic standpoint Discussed program purpose and goals Discussed program purpose and goals IDd core survey components of SLICE IDd core survey components of SLICE Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scenarios Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scenarios Slide 34 Core components to continue monitoring in 2012 Water quality PCA Water quality PCA Zooplankton PCA & EcoWat Zooplankton PCA & EcoWat Lake Levels - EcoWat Lake Levels - EcoWat Year-round temperature loggers Year-round temperature loggers Nearshore fish sampling Nearshore fish sampling Point-intercept veg sampling Point-intercept veg sampling Large fish sampling (optional) Large fish sampling (optional) Slide 35 What we accomplished Debrief from Phase 1 Debrief from Phase 1 Review of progress on goals and objectives Review of progress on goals and objectives What worked, what didnt from a programmatic standpoint What worked, what didnt from a programmatic standpoint Discussed program purpose and goals Discussed program purpose and goals IDd core survey components of SLICE IDd core survey components of SLICE Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scenarios Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scenarios Slide 36 Timelines 2011 is last field season 2011 is last field season Suggested stop-gap measures to get us through 2012 Suggested stop-gap measures to get us through 2012 Several final reports to be completed in 2012-spr. 2013 Several final reports to be completed in 2012-spr. 2013 Would like several things in place by 2013 Would like several things in place by 2013 Standard assessment and reporting protocols Standard assessment and reporting protocols Dedicated staff Dedicated staff New research projects (DJ, LCCMR???) New research projects (DJ, LCCMR???) Slide 37 SLICE Phase 2 Slide 38 What we accomplished Debrief from Phase 1 Debrief from Phase 1 Review of progress on goals and objectives Review of progress on goals and objectives What worked, what didnt from a programmatic standpoint What worked, what didnt from a programmatic standpoint Discussed program purpose and goals Discussed program purpose and goals IDd core survey components of SLICE IDd core survey components of SLICE Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Sketched out an analysis timeline of Phase 1 and implementation of Phase 2 Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scenarios Started the discussion about alternative program designs based on funding scenarios Slide 39 What Id like to cover Project management issues Project management issues Where were at with Phase 1 Where were at with Phase 1 1. Timeline 2. Deliverables Transitioning out of Phase 1 and into Phase 2 Transitioning out of Phase 1 and into Phase 2 1. Debrief from Advisory Team Mtg in Jan. 2011 2. Stop-gap assessments in 2012 3. Revised purpose and goals Vision of what SLICE looks like operationally and proposed timelines Vision of what SLICE looks like operationally and proposed timelines Slide 40 Bottom line: Central Fisheries Command needs a small cavalry of specialists as our eyes on the landscape Slide 41 The SLICE Cavalry Statewide Rough Rider R1 Rough Rider R2 Rough Rider R3 Rough Rider R4 Rough Rider Slide 42 Sir! You should be aware that curly-leaf pondweed is declining across the State; the snowy winters of 2008 and 2009 may have something to do with it Report in from the field Slide 43 R2 Rough Rider Sir! It appears that last winter was tough on bluegills and it appears we have had widespread year class failures Slide 44 Notethese reports would come in regularly and not rely on periodic data mining projects to find declines that started years ago. Reports will be based on actual data (vs anecdotes) Slide 45 Lake Fish Communities and Habitats Status and Trends Canadian Shield Landtype 2014 Annual Report Slide 46 Slide 47 What Id like from you Better clarity on Exec. Sponsor and Roles in transitioning SLICE Phase 1 into Phase 2. Your thoughts about what SLICE looks like operationally Moving from duct tape and bubble gum to something sustainable Realigning staff resources to best carry-out a revised lake survey program Timeline target for implementing Phase 2