sit rep february 20 2011
TRANSCRIPT
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Confidential Weekly Edition
Pakistan Security and Political
Situation Report & ThreatAnalysis
2011 BrassTacks. All Rights Reserved
Date: February 20, 2011
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Pakistan-India Relations, Kashmir and External DefenseAnalysis.
Eastern Front:
Indians are now trying to pacify the exploding emotions in Kashmir. Under intense pressureof the civilian intifada and the latest uprising in the occupied valley, Indian establishment isfacing extreme embarrassment as now they cannot even blame Pakistan for fomenting it.Apart from the external US pressure where Pakistan is exploiting its strategic leverage on USdue to NATO supplies, the internal peaceful civilian rebellion is the second decisive factorputting the Indian government on the defensive.
---------------------------------------------------------------
India to pare down Kashmir forces ----------------------------------------------------------------By Jawed Naqvi
NEW DELHI, Feb 13: India plans to withdraw nearly 10,000 paramilitary personnelfrom Jammu and Kashmir this year as it feels that the region can do with less centralforces, Press Trust of India (PTI) said on Sunday.PTI quoted Home Secretary G.K.
Pillai as saying also that amendments to the draconian Armed Forces Special PowersAct, which gives arbitrary powers to troops, are still on the table...
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/14/india-to-pare-down-kashmir-forces.html
Last week, we gave the following assessment of the developments between Pakistan and
India.
In a desperate bid to reduce frictions between Pakistan and India and to pacify a
visibly angry Pakistan for allowing Indian access into Afghanistan, US finallypressurized Delhi to come to talks with Pakistan on all issues. India would never come totalk to Pakistan under the circumstances if the US pressure was not the deciding factor. On
the other hand, US would never pressurize India, if Pakistan had not threatened US ofreduction or even withdrawing of its support to US operations in Afghanistan if Indian
influence in Afghanistan is not reduced. We doubt both US as well as India when they agreeto talks with Pakistan. US want to pacify Pakistan and India wants to buy time! There is
nothing more to these parleys
Despite being on the defensive, there is no way, Indians are going to have a soft heart forPakistan or would want a peace process to be initiated. Under the faade ofAman ki Asha,or the desire for peace project, Indian foreign office and media had started the social andcultural engagements between Pakistani and Indian celebrities and media. This was basicallyone way traffic to import Indian media and psy-ops inside Pakistan. But when Pakistanisingers start to make big in India, the establishment cracks down upon them to take back allwhat they have earned! In the past singers like Adnan Sami Khan also had to go through this
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treatment when his entire wealth in India was confiscated. Now another singer has beenripped off his earnings, delivering a near death blow to the aman ki asha.
----------------------------------------------------------------Singer Rahat detained in Delhi under customs act----------------------------------------------------------------
NEW DELHI, Feb 13: Noted Pakistani singer Rahat Fateh Ali Khan was detained atthe airport here on Sunday evening for allegedly attempting to leave the country with
over $124,000.According to sources, the artiste is likely to be arrested for trying totake foreign exchange way above the permitted limit out of the country. Indian lawsallow up to $5,000 in cash, or $10,000 in travellers cheques, to be taken abroad...
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/14/singer-rahat-detained-in-delhi-under-customs-act.html
----------------------------------------------------------------Rahat charged with violating forex rules
----------------------------------------------------------------NEW DELHI, Feb 19: Indias Directorate of Revenue Intelligence (DRI) on Saturday
charged Pakistani singer Rahat Fateh Ali Khan and his manager Maroof withviolations of the countrys foreign exchange and customs regulations in connectionwith the recovery of huge undeclared foreign currency from them at the airport here
last week.The DRI, which detained the duo from Indira Gandhi international airporton Feb 13 with allegedly undeclared $124,000 and some other instruments in foreign
currency, has completed its probe and sent the matter for adjudication, which will bedone by the commissioner of customs (airports), sources said. The commissioner may
impose heavy penalty on the duo for violations of the law, they said...
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/rahat-charged-with-violating-forex-rules.html
But within India, the tussle between the ruling Congress party and the oppositionparty BJP is now benefitting the Muslims and Pakistans cause as another sinister
dimension of Indian society is being exposed which defines the penetration of Hinduextremists and fascists in the Indian establishment, politics and military. Congress
leader Rahul Gandhi had fired fierce salvos on the opposition when he hadacknowledged that Hindu extremists are a bigger threat to Indian federation thanMuslim Jihadists or even Al-Qaeda. Now the battle has also gone to the courts and
the links of Hindu extremists with Indian mainstream parties are being questioned.
----------------------------------------------------------------
Court urged to reopen case against Advani ----------------------------------------------------------------
By Jawed NaqviNEW DELHI, Feb 18: Indias federal police moved the Supreme Court on Friday
against a nine-month-old High Court order that dropped charges of criminalconspiracy against top Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) leaders, including formerministers Lal Kishen Advani and Murli Manohar Joshi, in the Babri Masjid
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demolition case.In its appeal, the Central Bureau of Investigations (CBI) said that theAllahabad High Court had not come to the right conclusion and the charges of
criminal conspiracy should be restored against the leaders...http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/court-urged-to-reopen-case-against-advani-2.html
But the fact remains that Unknown to the world, a terrorism breeding fascist ideology istaking decisive control over the largest democracy of the world, posing an existential threatto the region as well as to the world at large. Under the faade of secularism, driven byextreme sentiments of hatred and a desire for revenge for being humiliated and ruled over fora thousand years by the Islamic and Western civilizations, the Hindu Brahmin zealots in Indiaare inflaming the masses religious passions to a mad frenzy, spreading the cancerousideology into the Indian establishment as well as the armed forces with a fierce desire to takecontrol of the military and nuclear weapons in order to wage a decisive and total war for Akhand Bharat or greater India! Though the boundaries of this mythical land for theBrahmin elite stretch from Malaysia to Kabul, it is Pakistan that remains the first and themost formidable hurdle in this proposed Hindu Zionist expansion. Pakistan fights not just forits own identity, ideology and geography but also for the entire civilized world against thislurking but hitherto unknown threat!
Following is the list of the terror attacks carried out by the Hindu militant groups but werefalsely blamed on innocent Muslims in India and the Pakistani ISI. Dozens of Muslim youthare still languishing in Indian jails after being accused of these attacks:
SAFFRON TERROR ATTACKS
Samjhauta ExpressIn February 2007, two firebombs exploded on a train commonly known as the "FriendshipExpress", which travels across the Indo-Pakistani border. Most of the 68 victims and 50
injured were of Pakistani origin. Three more unexploded suitcase bombs were later foundon the train as well.
Mecca Masjidin May 2007,an attack on the Mecca Masjid , in Hyderabad's old city, left 14 people deadwith five apparently killed by police firing on a furious mob after the incident. SwamiAseemanand said that the site was chosen because the local administrator wantedHyderabad to be a part of Pakistan during partition.
MalegaonIn September 2008, three bomb blasts killed 37 people in the Muslim-majority city ofMalegaon, situated about 250km northeast of Maharashtra's state capital, Mumbai. Muslims
had been attending prayers when the bombs exploded in a sacred burial ground, alsoinjuring more than 125 people.
AjmerShareefA famous Muslim shrine in the city of Ajmer in Rajasthan, about 350km southwest ofDelhi, was targeted by bomb attacks in October. Two people were killed and 17 injured nearthe scared shrine, which houses the tomb of a 13th-century Sufi saint. Swami Aseemanandsaid the blast was intended to deter Hindus from going there.
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/court-urged-to-reopen-case-against-advani-2.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/court-urged-to-reopen-case-against-advani-2.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/court-urged-to-reopen-case-against-advani-2.html -
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Saffron Brigade and Indian army
The Indian armys links with Hindu terrorist groups came to the fore when chief ofMaharashtra ATS Hemant Karkare, during theinvestigation of the 2008 Malegaon blast, firstblew the lid off the Hindutva terror cell and its connections w ith the military establishment.
Lt Col Purohit, who was attached with the military intelligence unit at Nashik, was arrestedby Karkare. This was the time when a shocking revelation was made that the serving Indianarmy officer, Lt. Col Purohit was found involved in planning and providing explosives forthe attacks on Samjhauta Express. After his confession, many serving and retired Indian armyofficers have been accused and investigated. A brief list is given below.
Indian Army Officer Has been involved in Status
Gen (R) J. J Singh Saffron terror activities till hisretirement; Col. Purohitsstatement
Retired
Gen (R) PremnathHoon Establishing militant wing of
ShivSena while serving inIndian army
Retired
Colonel JayantChitale Establishing Indias secularsuicide bombing squad
Retired
Col ShinkarPurohit Providing RDX explosives forSamjhuta Express blasts
Convicted
Col Raikar Patel conspiringMalegon andSamjhuta Express attacks
Accused / Investigated
Col Hasmukh conspiringMalegon andSamjhuta Express attacks
Accused / Investigated
Colonel BapadityaDhar conspiringMalegon andSamjhuta Express attacks
Accused / Investigated
The exact extent of Hindutva influence within the Indian military remains speculative but theinvolvement of Generals and Military Academy in-charge, as in the case of Col JayantChitale, indicates that these non-state actors within the Indian national securityinfrastructure have considerable powers to execute their own version of Operation
Northwood. (The CIA planned covert operation during 1960s to carry out false flagoperations to put blame on USSR and Cuba.) Gen (R ) Hoon and Col Chitale had also formedmaiden suicide bombing squad in the region.
In the coming days, this Hindutva dimension in the Indian social, political and militarydomains would be the decisive factor in determining the peace in the region, not the Islamicextremism.
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Western Theatre:
US is now genuinely desperate and frustrated as Pakistani anger continues to rise over theDavis crisis. The entire US diplomacy, administration, military and political pressure isbearing down on Pakistan but the Pakistani courts, armed forces and the citizens are firm tosee the justice through. This is the most critical and embarrassing diplomatic crisis for USwhere they find themselves hopelessly frustrated.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Pakistans stance on some issues frustrating, says CIA-----------------------------------------------------------------
By Anwar Iqbal
WASHINGTON, Feb 17: Pakistans cooperation has helped keep Al Qaeda at itsweakest point since 9/11, say US intelligence chiefs, but they also complain that the
countrys reluctance to take action against certain other groups frustratesAmerica.During a testimony at the US Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, CIADirector Leon Panetta described the US-Pakistan relationship as very complicated
and acknowledged that the two countries often differed on various issues. One ofthose complicating issues is the fact that theyre a nuclear power, he said. They
have a number of nuclear sites throughout their country, and they have proceeded tokeep up development of their nuclear weapons...
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/18/pakistans-stance-on-some-issues-frustrating-says-
cia.html
Nightmare of US foreign policyPakistani nation in rage against US!
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/18/pakistans-stance-on-some-issues-frustrating-says-cia.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/18/pakistans-stance-on-some-issues-frustrating-says-cia.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/18/pakistans-stance-on-some-issues-frustrating-says-cia.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/18/pakistans-stance-on-some-issues-frustrating-says-cia.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/18/pakistans-stance-on-some-issues-frustrating-says-cia.html -
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----------------------------------------------------------------Stop fomenting anti-Americanism, Hillary urges Pakistan
----------------------------------------------------------------NEW YORK, Feb 18 : As a diplomatic standoff between Pakistan and the United
States festers, Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton warned on Friday that
Pakistan risked major instability at home and a hampered war effort in next-doorAfghanistan if it didnt implement reforms and stop fomenting anti-American
sentiment.In a speech at the Asia Society, Ms Clinton said Pakistani cooperation wascritical to the success of the fight against Taliban and Al Qaeda extremists in
neighbouring Afghanistan. She also said it was no secret that we have not alwaysseen eye to eye with Pakistan...
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/stop-fomenting-anti-americanism-hillary-urges-
pakistan.html
Last week, we had predicted the following assessment on the crisis for US and the PPPregime.
It is not just the PPP government but also the US administration and the CIA which isin the panic mode over Davis. He was no ordinary employee of the CIA. He was
someone very special, on very critical missionsomeone CIA cannot afford to leave inPakistani hands for many dirty secrets may spill out. US is bringing down all the pressure itcan but even the US know, they are in a genuine crisis here. A full blown diplomatic war is
on the verge now between Pakistan and US which would translate into economic and militarycooperation between the two countries. It is this kind of crisis which can bring down weak
governments and PPP is visibly nervous. We do not see any early resolution of Daviscrisis. The national mood is angry. Armed forces want to see the justice done and
investigations conducted to know the exact levels of CIA operations through covertoperatives. Judiciary and Police are also firm in pursuing the course of law. This makes it
extremely complicated affair
President Obama had to step in to try to increase the pressure but even he was frustrated. Thiswas the maximum pressure US could bring and shows the height of desperation. Senator JohnKerry flew in to Islamabad to seek his release but had to return empty handed. US is not usedto this sort of humiliation at the hands of Pakistanis. This is the new Pakistan they are dealingwith.
-----------------------------------------------------------------Obama joins pressure team, wants Davis treated as diplomat
-----------------------------------------------------------------By Anwar Iqbal
WASHINGTON, Feb 15: Hours after police in Lahore submitted a preliminaryinvestigation report in a court accusing American national Raymond Davis of killing
two Pakistanis on a street in Lahore on Jan 27, US President Barack Obama urged
Pakistan to abide by the Vienna Convention, treat Davis as a diplomat and releasehim.President Obama, while insisting that Pakistan must not prosecute Mr Davis, said
he also was concerned about the loss of Pakistani lives in the incident. Obviouslywere concerned about the loss of life, Mr Obama said at a Washington press
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/stop-fomenting-anti-americanism-hillary-urges-pakistan.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/stop-fomenting-anti-americanism-hillary-urges-pakistan.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/stop-fomenting-anti-americanism-hillary-urges-pakistan.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/stop-fomenting-anti-americanism-hillary-urges-pakistan.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/stop-fomenting-anti-americanism-hillary-urges-pakistan.html -
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conference. Still, he said, Mr Davis should be treated as a diplomat. Theres abroader principle at stake that I think we have to uphold....
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/obama-joins-pressure-team-wants-davis-treated-as-diplomat.html
Game changing? Begging for mercyKerry in Islamabad!
---------------------------------------------------------------Kerry in Lahore as part of efforts to get Davis released
----------------------------------------------------------------
By Amjad MahmoodLAHORE, Feb 15: The United States stepped up its efforts on Tuesday to get
Raymond Davis released from custody, with Senator John Kerry spending a busy day
in the Punjab capital to try and sort out the complicated matter that has strained US-Pak relations.Mr Kerry, who heads the powerful Senate Foreign Relations
Committee, presented a spirited case for the grant of diplomatic immunity to MrDavis, and said that the American legal system could have a look at the case after the
suspects return to the United States. He also expressed regrets on behalf of theAmerican government and people over the loss of lives in the unfortunate
incident....
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/kerry-in-lahore-as-part-of-efforts-to-get-davis-released.html
But even the otherwise corrupt and compromised Pakistani Police was not impressed
despite the demands by no less than the US President!
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/obama-joins-pressure-team-wants-davis-treated-as-diplomat.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/obama-joins-pressure-team-wants-davis-treated-as-diplomat.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/obama-joins-pressure-team-wants-davis-treated-as-diplomat.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/kerry-in-lahore-as-part-of-efforts-to-get-davis-released.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/kerry-in-lahore-as-part-of-efforts-to-get-davis-released.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/kerry-in-lahore-as-part-of-efforts-to-get-davis-released.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/kerry-in-lahore-as-part-of-efforts-to-get-davis-released.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/kerry-in-lahore-as-part-of-efforts-to-get-davis-released.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/obama-joins-pressure-team-wants-davis-treated-as-diplomat.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/obama-joins-pressure-team-wants-davis-treated-as-diplomat.html -
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----------------------------------------------------------------Davis is killer, Lahore police tell judge
----------------------------------------------------------------By Khalid Hasnain
LAHORE, Feb 15: The investigation wing of the Lytton Road police and prosecution
officials submitted on Tuesday a double-murder challan (preliminary police report)against US national Raymond Davis to the court of Lahore District and Sessions
Judge (DSJ) Abdul Waheed Khan.After consulting some additional district andsessions judges, the DSJ marked the case to the court of ADSJ Mohammad Youssuf
Aujla....http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/davis-is-killer-lahore-police-tell-judge.html
Public emotionsdemanding his scalp!
The PPP regime would have already succumbed under pressure if they had not fearedtheir own demise under public wrath. The PPP leaders are already making outrageous
claims and pondering ways and means to provide relief to the arrested terrorist.PML(N) is running the show in Punjab and they are also negotiating on behalf of the
Americans for a blood money settlement.
----------------------------------------------------------------
Davis has immunity, claims Fauzia----------------------------------------------------------------
By Habib Khan GhoriKARACHI, Feb 14: Pakistan Peoples Partys Information Secretary Fauzia Wahabsaid on Monday that US national Raymond Davis had a diplomatic visa and he could
neither be arrested nor kept in custody under the Vienna Convention.He (Davis) is a
technical member of the US embassys diplomatic staff and according to Pakistanilaws, any diplomat and technical or administrative staff cannot be arrested or taken
into custody, she told reporters at the Karachi Press C lub...http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/15/davis-has-immunity-claims-fauzia.html
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/davis-is-killer-lahore-police-tell-judge.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/davis-is-killer-lahore-police-tell-judge.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/15/davis-has-immunity-claims-fauzia.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/15/davis-has-immunity-claims-fauzia.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/15/davis-has-immunity-claims-fauzia.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/davis-is-killer-lahore-police-tell-judge.html -
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----------------------------------------------------------------
Govt likely to back Daviss immunity
----------------------------------------------------------------
By Baqir Sajjad Syed
ISLAMABAD, Feb 15: The government is expected to concede before the LahoreHigh Court on Thursday that jailed American official Raymond Davis, accused of
murdering two men last month, qualifies for diplomatic immunity under the ViennaConvention. The LHC will be informed that the US embassys notification of Jan 20
in respect of Raymondhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/govt-likely-to-back-daviss-immunity.html
----------------------------------------------------------------Blood money option being studied for Daviss release
----------------------------------------------------------------
ISLAMABAD, Feb 17: After a whirlwind trip to Islamabad and Lahore by US SenateForeign Relations Committee Chairman John Kerry, the focus appears to be shiftingfrom immunity for US national Raymond Davis to a possible blood money deal for
ending the row which has put Pak-US ties on a freeze.Efforts are now afoot to thrash o ut a deal in which the US apologises for the incidentand pays compensation to the heirs of the victims, an official said. The idea was first
floated by Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani at the National Seerat Conference onWednesday and then during his meeting with Mr Kerry...
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/18/blood-money-option-being-studied-for-daviss-release.html
In this case, even the lower and higher judiciary is standing firm so far, taking the
pressure and siding with the people, armed forces and the patriots. This uniquedisplay of national will by the Pakistanis is genuinely embarrassing the USadministration.
----------------------------------------------------------------
Magistrate orders 14-day remand: Court orders Daviss name on ECL----------------------------------------------------------------
By Khalid Hasnain
LAHORE, Feb 17: Lahore High Court Chief Justice Ijaz Ahmad Chaudhry asked thefederal government on Thursday to keep the name of US national Raymond Davis,
who has confessed to killing two young men, on the exit control list till the disposalof identical petitions challenging his possible handover and immunity
status.Meanwhile, a judicial magistrate sent Davis to jail on a 14-day judicial remand
in a case relating to carrying illegal arms...http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/18/magistrate-orders-14-day-remand-court-orders-
daviss-name-on-ecl.html
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----------------------------------------------------------------
LHC orders action against US driver----------------------------------------------------------------
By Our Staff Reporter
LAHORE, Feb 18: The Lahore High Court has ordered the Punjab police to proceed,in accordance with law, on a case registered against a US Consulates driver accused
of crushing a man to death while driving a vehicle to rescue Raymond Davis involvedin shooting to death two youths last month.
The court also directed police to record statements of the complainant andeyewitnesses...
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/lhc-orders-action-against-us-driver.html
Faced with the prospects of arrest of the remaining accused as well, US diplomats arenow on a damage control mission. While they try to calm down a visibly nervous PPP
government, they also evacuate their people out of the country to keep them awayfrom arrests. PPP government is pleading the US to understand their ownvulnerabilities against a visibly hostile nation and a firm judiciary. If the US pushes
the PPP government too fast, too far, there would be a coup in Islamabad.
----------------------------------------------------------------
Davis spat: US makes moves to repair relations ----------------------------------------------------------------
By Baqir Sajjad SyedISLAMABAD, Feb 19: The United States has revived its high- level engagement withPakistan after keeping it suspended for a lmost a fortnight because of the impasse over
immunity for its jailed staffer Raymond Davis. Observers interpreted the resumptionof contacts as an attempt by the US to tone down the rhetoric so that prospects for a
settlement through blood money or some other out of the box solution got aboost.Pressure from extremist and rightwing political groups on the bereaved families
for spurning any compensation offer, however, remains the sticking point, even
though both sides have largely agreed to work together towards ending the ominousstalemate, according to sources...
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/davis-spat-us-makes-moves-to-repair-relations.html
----------------------------------------------------------------Davis case: Two US officials slip out of Pakistan ----------------------------------------------------------------
By Anwar Iqbal
WASHINGTON, Feb 19: A US Embassy official who ran his vehicle over aPakistani citizen while rushing to assist Raymond Davis has slipped out of the
country and is now in the United States along with another American official
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involved in the incident, officials say.A senior US official said in Washington thatboth left Pakistan soon after the Jan 27 incident in Lahore...
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/davis-case-two-us-officials-slip-out-of-pakistan.html
----------------------------------------------------------------
Davis case wont derail talks, says Pakistan----------------------------------------------------------------
ISLAMABAD, Feb 13: Pakistans standoff with Washington over a jailed USEmbassy worker will not thwart talks between the two countries and Afghanistan, a
government spokesman said here on Sunday.
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/14/davis-case-wont-derail-talks-says-pakistan.html
Pakistan is now also protecting its own interest on Afghan Transit trade agreement,
which were done under the arm twisting of the Americans to benefit the Indians.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Differences stall enforcement of new Afghan trade accord-----------------------------------------------------------------
By Mubarak Zeb Khan
ISLAMAMAD, Feb 13: Pakistan has offered to delay the implementation of a newtransit trade agreement for at least four months, while politely turning down
Afghanistans demand to withdraw a c lause about bank guarantee a imed at curbingsmuggling and pilferage of containers in Pakistani markets.
The issue of bank guarantee and other matters have held up the implementation of the
US-sponsored Afghanistan-Pakistan Transit Trade Agreement (APTTA) signed onOct 28 last year, which was scheduled to become operational on Feb 12.
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/14/differences-stall-enforcement-of-new-afghan-trade-accord.html
Seeing the mood in Pakistan now, US is desperate to find its own links and contacts
with the Afghan resistance. Pakistan holds the key to any strategic dialogue betweenUS and the Pashtun resistance but now, under sheer frustration, US is trying to findalternate means. There is not much US can do about their logistical lines which pass
through Pakistan as well but Washington feels that they can make some progress indirect talks with the resistance. That is a misconception as well. With every passing
day, Pakistan is getting the grips on the US policy in Afghanistan. The frustration andanger in US/NATO is visibly obvious.
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/davis-case-two-us-officials-slip-out-of-pakistan.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/davis-case-two-us-officials-slip-out-of-pakistan.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/davis-case-two-us-officials-slip-out-of-pakistan.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/14/davis-case-wont-derail-talks-says-pakistan.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/14/davis-case-wont-derail-talks-says-pakistan.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/14/differences-stall-enforcement-of-new-afghan-trade-accord.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/14/differences-stall-enforcement-of-new-afghan-trade-accord.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/14/differences-stall-enforcement-of-new-afghan-trade-accord.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/14/differences-stall-enforcement-of-new-afghan-trade-accord.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/14/differences-stall-enforcement-of-new-afghan-trade-accord.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/14/davis-case-wont-derail-talks-says-pakistan.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/davis-case-two-us-officials-slip-out-of-pakistan.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/davis-case-two-us-officials-slip-out-of-pakistan.html -
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----------------------------------------------------------------US in direct talks with Taliban, says magazine
----------------------------------------------------------------WASHINGTON, Feb 19: The United States has entered into direct talks with leaders
of the Taliban in Afghanistan, but contacts are exploratory and not yet a peace
negotiat ion, according to an article on Saturday in the New Yorker magazine.Thearticle, citing people briefed on the talks, said the talks are to assess who in the
Taliban leadership, if anyone, might engage in formal peace negotiations and underwhat conditions...
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/us-in-direct-talks-with-taliban-says-magazine.html
----------------------------------------------------------------Pakistans airspace violated
----------------------------------------------------------------By Saleem Shahid
QUETTA, Feb 15: A Nato fighter jet violated Pakistans airspace on Tuesday andflew over the border town of Chaman for some time.Sources said the jet intruded intoPakistans airspace over the Salahuddin border post and, after flying for some time,
went back to Afghanistan. The Nato fighter flying low intruded into our airspace byup to 2km, Naymatullah Achakzai, a resident of Chaman, told Dawn by phone.....
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/pakistans-airspace-violated.html
There are signs that in the coming days, relations between Pakistan and United States wouldbe more seriously strained. There are no reasons to believe otherwise. If the US had not beenso desperately dependent upon Pakistan in Afghanistan, a physical war would already havebeen imposed or US would have penetrated Pakistani tribal areas. Threats of economic and
diplomatic isolation are already being given and frustrations are all time high on militaryspheres. Pakistan is on very strong footings. The PPP regime is not. Davis just might take thisgovernment with him this time.
********
The entire Middle East and North Africa is in turmoil now. These are the acts of the dramaHenry Kissinger had warned about. Clearly CIA orchestrated uprisings to create anarchy,chaos and headless states within the Muslim heartlands. Now Libya and Bahrain as well asYemen and Algeria also see serious riots after Tunis and Egypt. It is only a matter of timewhen Syria and Saudi Arabia are also hit by the unrest.
----------------------------------------------------------------Uprising wave engulfs Arab world: Libyan govt clamps down on protesters; toll
tops 80
----------------------------------------------------------------MANAMA, Feb 19: Unrest flared anew in the Arab world on Saturday as reports
emerged of more than 80 killed in a bloody crackdown in Libya and protesters again
seized a main square in Bahrains capital after security forces withdrew.As Libyan
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/us-in-direct-talks-with-taliban-says-magazine.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/us-in-direct-talks-with-taliban-says-magazine.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/pakistans-airspace-violated.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/pakistans-airspace-violated.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/pakistans-airspace-violated.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/us-in-direct-talks-with-taliban-says-magazine.html -
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leader Muammar Qadhafi faced an unprecedented challenge to his rule, protesters inBahrain returned to Pearl Square in Manama as police and troops pulled back in an
apparent conciliatory move...http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/uprising-wave-engulfs-arab-world-libyan-govt-
clamps-down-on-protesters-toll-tops-80.html
Libya!
Yemen!
----------------------------------------------------------------
Thousands seek regime change in Bahrain
----------------------------------------------------------------
MANAMA, Feb 15: Thousands of Bahrainis demonstrated in the capital Manama onTuesday demanding regime change in the Gulf kingdom like that in Egypt andTunisia after two protesters were killed in clashes with police.The protests in a
country, which saw deadly unrest in the 1990s between the majority-Shiite populationand the Sunni ruling family, prompted Formula One boss Bernie Ecclestone to voice
concern about next months Grand Prix which opens the new Formula One season.....http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/thousands-seek-regime-change-in-bahrain.html
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/uprising-wave-engulfs-arab-world-libyan-govt-clamps-down-on-protesters-toll-tops-80.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/uprising-wave-engulfs-arab-world-libyan-govt-clamps-down-on-protesters-toll-tops-80.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/uprising-wave-engulfs-arab-world-libyan-govt-clamps-down-on-protesters-toll-tops-80.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/thousands-seek-regime-change-in-bahrain.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/thousands-seek-regime-change-in-bahrain.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/thousands-seek-regime-change-in-bahrain.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/uprising-wave-engulfs-arab-world-libyan-govt-clamps-down-on-protesters-toll-tops-80.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/uprising-wave-engulfs-arab-world-libyan-govt-clamps-down-on-protesters-toll-tops-80.html -
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In Pakistan, US has already brought that democracy which they are now trying to bring inthese Muslim lands. This is the re-shaping of the Middle East and redrawing of the maps tocreate regional instability for the greater Israel project! Pakistan and the Saudi Arabia are thelast two frontiers US want to attack. Softening up of these lands is already in progress.
Political / Economic Axis:
People Party is now disintegrating on all axes. Bitter internal rivalries, power feuds,corruption charges and party disputes are tearing the ruling part apart. From the PM to theministers to the party leadersit is a free for all now.
--------------------------------------------------------------Fauzia Wahab quits PPP post
--------------------------------------------------------------ISLAMABAD, Feb 19: The spokeswoman for the Pakistan Peoples Party resigned on
Saturday days after backing the claims of diplomatic immunity by a US gunman who killed
two men in Lahore last month.Pakistans ties with the United States have been strained sincepolice arrested Raymond Davis, who confessed to killing the men in self-defence on Jan 27...
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/fauzia-wahab-quits-ppp-post.html
----------------------------------------------------------------
Loyalists open fire on Qureshi----------------------------------------------------------------
By Amir WasimISLAMABAD, Feb 13: Former foreign affairs minister Shah Mehmood Qureshi has no
future in Pakistan Peoples Party, Information Secretary of the PPP Fauzia Wahab declaredhere on Sunday.Serious disciplinary action will be taken against him (Mr Qureshi) for
violating the party discipline and humiliating its leadership, Ms Wahab said while talking toDawn...
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/14/loyalists-open-fire-on-qureshi.html
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/fauzia-wahab-quits-ppp-post.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/fauzia-wahab-quits-ppp-post.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/14/loyalists-open-fire-on-qureshi.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/14/loyalists-open-fire-on-qureshi.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/14/loyalists-open-fire-on-qureshi.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/fauzia-wahab-quits-ppp-post.html -
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----------------------------------------------------------------
FIA issues notice to PMs son in Haj case ----------------------------------------------------------------
By Syed Irfan RazaISLAMABAD, Feb 14: The Federal Investigation Agency issued a notice on Monday toPrime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilanis son, Abdul Qadir Gilani, asking him to record his
statement before an FIA team investigating the Haj scam.After the issuance of the notice, thehead of the investigation team and FIA Director, Hussain Asghar, has been removed from the
panel...http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/15/fia-issues-notice-to-pms-son-in-haj-case.html
Last week, we had given the following assessment of the political and economic mess:
The last rites of this most corrupt and incompetent PPP regime are approaching closer.Zardari is in a panic mode, desperate to do damage control as things continue to fall apartaround him. The only reason he is still surviving is that US have not found an alternate
stooge in his place and Pakistans army is a patriotic force representing the federation and
hence cannot be trusted by the US to do what the Egyptian army did, hence US continues tosupport this crumbling government.
By implicating Musharraf in BBs murder, Zardari is also trying to prove that the army whichactually killed Benazir. Musharraf is reaping what he sowed but army would not appreciate if
the institution is also dragged into the controversy
In panic, the PPP regime is opening battle fronts with all and sundry, even the formerPresident Musharraf. PML(N) is already on a war path. With infighting at its peak and USupset with the PPP regime and all opposition parties also gunning for the government, this isa wide front which Mr. Zardari has opened for himself. The higher judiciary is also makinglife hell for the PPP regime. In desperate attempts to regain allies, PPP reaches out to MQMand JUI(F), both master crooks upping their price beyond the capacity of Mr. 10%.
--------------------------------------------------------------FIA told to produce Musharraf on March 5
--------------------------------------------------------------By Mudassir Raja
RAWALPINDI, Feb 19: An anti-terrorism court reissued on Saturday warrants for Gen (retd)Pervez Musharrafs arrest in the Benazir Bhutto assassination case and ordered the FIA toproduce him before the court on March 5.ATC-III Judge Rana Nisar Ahmed reissued the
warrants after investigators informed the court that they had gone to the Islamabad residenceof the former president to serve the warrants in compliance with its Feb 12 order but were
told that he was now living in London...http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/fia-told-to-produce-musharraf-on-march-5.html
---------------------------------------------------------------
PML-N, PPP on collision course , yet again----------------------------------------------------------------
By Our Staff ReporterISLAMABAD, Feb 19: The Pakistan Peoples Party and Pakistan Muslim League (Nawaz)
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/15/fia-issues-notice-to-pms-son-in-haj-case.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/15/fia-issues-notice-to-pms-son-in-haj-case.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/fia-told-to-produce-musharraf-on-march-5.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/fia-told-to-produce-musharraf-on-march-5.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/fia-told-to-produce-musharraf-on-march-5.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/15/fia-issues-notice-to-pms-son-in-haj-case.html -
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are heading for a confrontation as the PML-N is determined to expel the PPP from the Punjabcoalition government after Feb 23the deadline set by the party
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/pml-n-ppp-on-collision-course-yet-again.html
----------------------------------------------------------------
Patch-up at Nine Zero; Mirza in PPP team----------------------------------------------------------------
By Azfar-ul-AshfaqueKARACHI, Feb 18: In what is being described here as an attempt to firm up its alliance with
the Muttahida Qaumi Movement before the expiry of a PML-N deadline, a high-leveldelegation of the PPP, comprising both hawks and doves, paid a visit to the MQM
headquarters on Friday and reiterated its pledge to take their censorious ally along forstrengthening the country and democracy.Sindh Governor Dr Ishratul Ibad accompanied the
delegation. Interior Minister Rehman Malik and Chief Minister Syed Qaim Ali Shah alsotook along Home Minister Dr Zulfikar Mirza, whose vitriolic attacks on the MQM had
created a political crisis. Many were caught by surprise when they saw Dr Mirza at NineZero...
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/patch-up-at-nine-zero-mirza-in-ppp-team.html
Meanwhile, corruption and massive financial mismanagement remains the business of theday. Every passing day cause millions of rupees loss to national exchequer in embezzlementand financial corruption. Supreme Court is fuming!
----------------------------------------------------------------Non-compliance of orders angers SC
----------------------------------------------------------------By Nasir Iqbal
ISLAMABAD, Feb 15: The Supreme Court was annoyed when it was informed on Tuesday
that instead of implementing its order to terminate 15 retired officers reappointed on contract,the prime minister had sent the matter to the law ministry for legal opinion. Is the
government confronting us, asked Chief Justice Iftikhar Mohammad Chaudhry, who heads aseven-judge bench hearing a case relating to alleged mismanagement in last years Haj
affairs....http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/non-compliance-of-orders-angers-sc.html
----------------------------------------------------------------
SBP submits report in SC: Rs215bn loan cases pending in courts ----------------------------------------------------------------
ISLAMABAD, Feb 14: The State Bank submitted to the Supreme Court on Monday a report
saying that 56,336 cases of recoverable loans totalling Rs215 billion till December 2009 werepending in various courts.Syed Iqbal Haider, the counsel for the SBP, presented the five-volume report before a four-judge bench comprising Chief Justice Iftikhar MuhammadChaudhry, Justice Muhammad Sair Ali, Justice Ghulam Rabbani and Justice Khalilur
Rehman Ramday...http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/15/sbp-submits-report-in-sc-rs215bn-loan-cases-pending-in-
courts.html
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/pml-n-ppp-on-collision-course-yet-again.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/pml-n-ppp-on-collision-course-yet-again.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/patch-up-at-nine-zero-mirza-in-ppp-team.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/patch-up-at-nine-zero-mirza-in-ppp-team.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/non-compliance-of-orders-angers-sc.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/non-compliance-of-orders-angers-sc.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/15/sbp-submits-report-in-sc-rs215bn-loan-cases-pending-in-courts.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/15/sbp-submits-report-in-sc-rs215bn-loan-cases-pending-in-courts.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/15/sbp-submits-report-in-sc-rs215bn-loan-cases-pending-in-courts.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/15/sbp-submits-report-in-sc-rs215bn-loan-cases-pending-in-courts.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/15/sbp-submits-report-in-sc-rs215bn-loan-cases-pending-in-courts.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/non-compliance-of-orders-angers-sc.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/patch-up-at-nine-zero-mirza-in-ppp-team.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/pml-n-ppp-on-collision-course-yet-again.html -
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----------------------------------------------------------------
Govt has no funds for railways, NA body told----------------------------------------------------------------
By Khawar GhummanISLAMABAD, Feb 15: Pakistan Railways has turned into a shambles because there are no
funds available even to repair its out of order locomotives.A meeting organised by theNational Assembly Standing Committee on Railways to discuss affairs of the ever-sinking
national organisation was informed on Tuesday that the government had released only Rs2.1billion so far against Rs25.1 billion allocated to it for the current financial year....
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/govt-has-no-funds-for-railways-na-body-told.html
----------------------------------------------------------------
Funds allocated for poverty reduction schemes not utilised----------------------------------------------------------------
By Our Staff ReporterISLAMABAD, Feb 15: Budgetary allocations for most of the projects in economic and social
sectors designed to reduce poverty were not utilised during the last financialyear. Alarmingly 11 sectors (out of 15) have recorded under-utilisation of budgetary
allocations, said an annual report of the Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers of the ministryof finance......
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/funds-allocated-for-poverty-reduction-schemes-not-utilised.html
As we have said, the only reason this regime is surviving is that army has not made up itsmind to replace it yet. Also, the US has no option but to support this regime as army is moredefiant and patriotic. But Mr. Zardari is losing the grips on the situation and his destiny nowis in the hands of US or the GHQ and not in his own. This is a desperate state for him butwhile he is still there, he is not missing any opportunity to mint some more cash if he can. We
have a feeling his end would be very violent and perhaps very soon too!
Now we move on to internal security issues.
It is curious to note that since the arrest of Davis, drone strikes in Pakistan have stopped. Theequipment found from his car included homing devices used for drone strikes. There is agenuine suspicion within Pakistani security establishment that Davis is actually part of alarger spying and sabotage network run by the CIA in Pakistan, hence he is being treated as ahigh value prisoner not simply a murder accused for two Pakistanis. Davis is not even his realname and there is a possibility that he may even be an Israeli Mossad agent. BrassTacks havedone multiple interviews on international media on Davis issue and its implication onPakistans internal security issues and these also shed light on the thinking in Pakistan s
national security establishment. Links of Davis with violent TTP are also established, givinga weird and sinister twist to his operations in Pakistan.
BrassTacks interview to Iranians Press TVhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-QwcGdrEMvQ
BrassTacks interview to Watan Radio:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VhdekmlextY
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/govt-has-no-funds-for-railways-na-body-told.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/govt-has-no-funds-for-railways-na-body-told.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/funds-allocated-for-poverty-reduction-schemes-not-utilised.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/funds-allocated-for-poverty-reduction-schemes-not-utilised.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/funds-allocated-for-poverty-reduction-schemes-not-utilised.htmlhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-QwcGdrEMvQhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-QwcGdrEMvQhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VhdekmlextYhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VhdekmlextYhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VhdekmlextYhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-QwcGdrEMvQhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/funds-allocated-for-poverty-reduction-schemes-not-utilised.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/funds-allocated-for-poverty-reduction-schemes-not-utilised.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/govt-has-no-funds-for-railways-na-body-told.html -
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On the axis of insurgency and terrorism, TTP and BLA continue their war against the
State.
----------------------------------------------------------------
Militants gun down two spies in public----------------------------------------------------------------
MIRAMSHAH, Feb 15: Militants publicly gunned down two people, among them an Afghannational, in North Waziristan on Tuesday on charges of spying for the US, sources
said.Masked men brought the alleged spies to New Adda in Datakhel and shot them dead infront of a crowd.....
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/militants-gun-down-two-spies-in-public.html
----------------------------------------------------------------
TTP man held from hospital----------------------------------------------------------------
By S. Raza HassanKARACHI, Feb 15: A suspected member of Tehrik- i-Taliban Pakistanwas picked up by law-enforcement personnel from a private hospital here on Tuesday. Four
other suspects were arrested from outside the hospital.The raid on the hospital in NorthNazimabad was carried out by personnel of a secret agency with the assistance of police who
cordoned off the area......http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/ttp-man-held-from-hospital.html
---------------------------------------------------------------
Kurram dealHaqqanis Afghan insurance policy----------------------------------------------------------------
By Our Staff Reporter
ISLAMABAD, Feb 18: No doubt, the Kurram peace deal, which has eased tension in thevalley and ended the four-year blockade of the main Thall-Parachinar road and caused
jubilation among tribesmen, but it is yet to be seen how long the pact holds ground and helpsto maintain normalcy in the region.
It is an open secret that the Haqqani group, one of the outfits on the most wanted list of theUS government, brokered the deal between sectarian factions. Commander JalaluddinHaqqanis younger brothersIbrahim and Khalilplayed a key role in brokering the
agreement...http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/kurram-deal-haqqanis-afghan-insurance-policy.html
--------------------------------------------------------------
Taliban claim they shot dead Col Imam--------------------------------------------------------------
PESHAWAR, Feb 19: The Pakistani Taliban claimed on Saturday they had shot dead aretired intelligence official who once mentored their Afghan brethren and sided with the USagainst the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan.The claim contradicted Pakistani governmentsassertions last month that Sultan Amir Tarar died of a heart attack while being held captiveby militants in northwest part of the country. We have killed him. We shot him, Taliban
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/militants-gun-down-two-spies-in-public.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/militants-gun-down-two-spies-in-public.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/ttp-man-held-from-hospital.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/ttp-man-held-from-hospital.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/kurram-deal-haqqanis-afghan-insurance-policy.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/kurram-deal-haqqanis-afghan-insurance-policy.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/kurram-deal-haqqanis-afghan-insurance-policy.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/ttp-man-held-from-hospital.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/16/militants-gun-down-two-spies-in-public.html -
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spokesman Ahsanullah Ahsan told AP via phone from an undisclosed location...http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/taliban-claim-they-shot-dead-col-imam.html
----------------------------------------------------------------
Gas pipeline blast forces closure of Uch power plant----------------------------------------------------------------
By Our Staff CorrespondentQUETTA, Feb 13: The 586MW Uch power plant stopped generation on Sunday morning
after a major pipeline supplying gas to it was blown up near Dera Murad Jamali, sources said.The explosion took place in the Rabi canal area, they said...
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/14/gas-pipeline-blast-forces-closure-of-uch-power-plant.html
----------------------------------------------------------------Provinces help being sought for security of oil and gas installations
----------------------------------------------------------------
By Khaleeq KianiISLAMABAD, Feb 18: The federal government has decided to involve provincial police and
other law-enforcement agencies in providing security to oil and gas fields and pipelines tocurb the growing number of sabotage attacks on important installations.A senior government
official told Dawn on Friday that thehttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/provinces-help-being-sought-for-security-of-oil-and-gas-
installations.html
http://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/taliban-claim-they-shot-dead-col-imam.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/taliban-claim-they-shot-dead-col-imam.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/14/gas-pipeline-blast-forces-closure-of-uch-power-plant.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/14/gas-pipeline-blast-forces-closure-of-uch-power-plant.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/provinces-help-being-sought-for-security-of-oil-and-gas-installations.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/provinces-help-being-sought-for-security-of-oil-and-gas-installations.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/provinces-help-being-sought-for-security-of-oil-and-gas-installations.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/provinces-help-being-sought-for-security-of-oil-and-gas-installations.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/19/provinces-help-being-sought-for-security-of-oil-and-gas-installations.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/14/gas-pipeline-blast-forces-closure-of-uch-power-plant.htmlhttp://www.dawn.com/2011/02/20/taliban-claim-they-shot-dead-col-imam.html -
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Local
3.1 Karachi and Sindh
Analysis:
Karachi remains seriously in trouble this week and thethreat level remain at 3.
3.2 Islamabad / Rawalpindi
Analysis
Threat level due to violence is now lower in twin cities now at 2.
3.3 Lahore / Punjab
Analysis
Threat levels remain in Lahore and Punjab remains at level 2.
3.4 Peshawar / NWFP / Baluchistan / Northern Areas and AJK
Analysis:
This week in Peshawar, Threat levels are at 3.Threat levels in other NWFP cities and towns like Kohat,Dera Ismail, Mardan, would be 3 for the next week also.Swat, Dir and Malakand region as well as Buner is level 3.
Threat levels are at level 3 in Quetta, level 3 in tribal and interiorregions.
Kashmir is ok for now. Northern regions of Gilgit / Sakardu are tense but better at 3.
-
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3.5 Current Terrorism / Security Threat Levels.
City / Region Threat Level
Islamabad Level 2Karachi Level 3
Lahore Level 2
Punjab Level 2
NWFP* Level 4
PeshawarSwat, Buner, Malakand
Level 3Level 3
Quetta Level 3
Central Baluchistan / Kohlu /
Dera Bugti etc.
Level 3
Upper / Rural Sindh Level 3
Gilgit / SakarduKashmir
Level 3Level 2
*(Tribal areas, Parachinar, Miranshah and regions close to Afghan border)
4.1 Threat Level Reference
Threat Level 1
No threat at all to expats, families and interests, except isolated possibilities ofmuggings, petty thefts and stealing. No special precaution is required in traveling.
Threat Level 2
General Law and order problem in parts of the country. Basic precaution required intraveling outstation. Caution and observation required against particular threatsbuilding up. No particular threat to families.
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Threat Level 3
Serious law and order problems building up in some parts of the country. Travelrestrictions may be imposed. Families to remain within Islamabad or within homesunless extremely necessary to travel. Evacuation plans may be made ready. Still
livable but high degree of caution is required all the time.
Threat Level 4
Threat of Limited war, social chaos and collapse of civil administration happening orexpected in certain parts of the country. Complete travel ban to be imposed towardstroubled regions. All staff, families and personal to remain restricted withinIslamabad or indoors. Evacuation of families and extra staff from the troubledregions can begin; keeping only a rear guard team may be kept to look after interests.
Threat Level 5
Full blown war, civil war, total collapse of law and order, invasion/occupation of thecountry. The rearguard team to get into their embassy and try to get out of thecountry.
4.2 Map of Pakistan