sis energy sources and the climate change nexus brockway 2007
DESCRIPTION
Scientists in Schools Program - Presentations from the Energy and Climate Change SymposiumTRANSCRIPT
The Energy – Climate Change Nexus
Dr David BrockwayCHIEF CSIRO Energy Technology25 October 2007
CSIRO.
Energy & Society
Australia & Asia
Energy Security
Wealth Creation
Clean Energy
CSIRO.
Global Temperature Rise(Temperature Anomalies from 1961 – 1990 Mean)
Data supplied: NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies
CSIRO.
Modern lifestyles are energy demanding
Energy consumption per person
Energy consumption per dollar of GDP
150
100
50
Index
1970-71 1980-81 1990-91 2001-02 2008-09 2019-20
Historical Medium term
Longer term
CSIRO.Source: AGO (2002) National Greenhouse Gas Inventory
25
6
38
OtherNat Gas
Petroleum
Coal
5250
40
30
20
10
0
14
18
7
3 32
Perc
ent
Stat
iona
ry
Ener
gy
(Ele
ctric
ity)
Tran
spor
t
Agr
icul
ture
Land
Use
, Fo
rest
ry
Was
te
Oth
er
Indu
stria
l
GHG Emissions Sources 2000
CSIRO.
CSIRO R&D Priority Outcomes
Cut emissions from energy generation and use
Increase Australia’s transport fuel self-sufficiency
Enhance the value of Australia’s energy endowment
Australia & Asia
CSIRO.
02000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Mt C
O2e
Base case (BAU) Projection
50% below 1990 emission levels
Flagship trajectory to achieve 50% reduction in GHG emissions
50% Reduction in Greenhouse Gas Emissions
CSIRO.
Distributed Generation and Energy Management
Two way power flowSmart meters
Intelligent agentsPower arbitrage
-Base load power generation ~ 600 MW
Commercial building
Hospital / shopping complex
Apartment block
transmission lines
Commercial building
House / residential
suburb
Industrial complex / factory
Hospital / shopping complex
Apartment block
transmission lines
Wind
Solar cells
Wind
Solar cells
Wind
Solar cells
Wind farm
Solar cells
2 way grid
The future distributed power
system
CSIRO.
02000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Mt C
O2e
Base case (BAU) Projection
50% below 1990 emission levels
Flagship trajectory to achieve 50% reduction in GHG emissions
Energy Management
Energy efficiency & structural...
Energy Efficiency and Energy Management
CSIRO.
02000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Mt C
O2e
Base case (BAU) Projection
50% below 1990 emission levels
Flagship trajectory to achieve 50% reduction in GHG emissions
Energy Management
Energy efficiency & structural...
Distributed generationSmart house
Distributed Generation
CSIRO.
CSIRO.
02000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Mt C
O2e
Base case (BAU) Projection
50% below 1990 emission levels
Flagship trajectory to achieve 50% reduction in GHG emissions
Energy Management
Energy efficiency & structural...
Distributed generationSmart house
Solar thermal demonstration
Renewables
Role of Renewables
CSIRO.
02000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Mt C
O2e
Base case (BAU) Projection
50% below 1990 emission levels
Flagship trajectory to achieve 50% reduction in GHG emissions
Energy Management
Energy efficiency & structural...
Distributed generationSmart house
Solar thermal demonstration
Renewables
Nuclear
The Entry of Nuclear
CSIRO.
Thermal efficiency 28 - 33%CO2 emissions <100 kg/MWh
Coal
Generator
ElectricityLow CO2 flue gas
Flyash
Boiler
Reboiler
C.W.
Absorber
Flue gaspretreatme
nt
CO2
Stripper
Flue Gas
Cleaner Fossil Fuel Power Plants
Liquid CO2
CSIRO.
02000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Mt C
O2e
Fossil
Capturing and long term storage of CO2
Base case (BAU) Projection
50% below 1990 emission levels
Flagship trajectory to achieve 50% reduction in GHG emissions
Energy Management
Energy efficiency & structural...
Distributed generationSmart house
Solar thermal demonstration
Renewables
Nuclear
The Major Role of Cleaner Fossil Energy
CSIRO.
02000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Mt C
O2e
Fossil
Capturing and long term storage of CO2
Base case (BAU) Projection
50% below 1990 emission levels
Flagship trajectory to achieve 50% reduction in GHG emissions
Energy Management
Energy efficiency & structural...
Distributed generationSmart house
Solar thermal demonstration
Renewables
Nuclear
Alternative fuels & vehicles
Ultrabattery deployment
Synthetic fuels gaining market share
Reduced travel
More Efficient Transport
CSIRO.
Achievements
CSIRO.
Australian R&D Capability is Under Threat