singapore property weekly issue 248
TRANSCRIPT
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Issue 248Copyright © 2011-2016 www.propwise.sg . All Rights Reserved.
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CONTENTS
p2 Property Investment Strategy in the
Year of the Fire Monkey
p8 Singapore Property News This Week
p10 Resale Property Transactions
(February 3 – February 12)
Welcome to the 248 th edition of theSingapore Property Weekly .
Hope you like it!
Mr. Propwise
FROM THE
EDITOR
mailto:[email protected]://www.propwise.sg/advertise/http://www.propwise.sg/advertise/mailto:[email protected]
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By Property Soul (guest contributor)
Last year I wrote about “The Property Marketin the Year of the Goat ”. It‟s time to review thepast year before talking about what to expectin the Year of the Monkey.
Year of the Goat: Enough bad news?
The strong earth element in the Wood Goatyear posed a big challenge to the worldeconomy. The disturbance in the global assetmarket in the last six months was not for thefaint-hearted.
Property Investment Strategy in the Year of theFire Monkey
http://propertysoul.com/http://propertysoul.com/2015/02/23/year-of-the-goat/http://propertysoul.com/2015/02/23/year-of-the-goat/http://propertysoul.com/2015/02/23/year-of-the-goat/http://propertysoul.com/2015/02/23/year-of-the-goat/http://propertysoul.com/2015/02/23/year-of-the-goat/http://propertysoul.com/2015/02/23/year-of-the-goat/http://propertysoul.com/2015/02/23/year-of-the-goat/http://propertysoul.com/2015/02/23/year-of-the-goat/http://propertysoul.com/2015/02/23/year-of-the-goat/http://propertysoul.com/2015/02/23/year-of-the-goat/http://propertysoul.com/2015/02/23/year-of-the-goat/http://propertysoul.com/2015/02/23/year-of-the-goat/http://propertysoul.com/2015/02/23/year-of-the-goat/http://propertysoul.com/2015/02/23/year-of-the-goat/http://propertysoul.com/2015/02/23/year-of-the-goat/http://propertysoul.com/2015/02/23/year-of-the-goat/http://propertysoul.com/2015/02/23/year-of-the-goat/http://propertysoul.com/2015/02/23/year-of-the-goat/http://propertysoul.com/2015/02/23/year-of-the-goat/http://propertysoul.com/http://propertysoul.com/http://propertysoul.com/
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It started with the crash of China‟s stockmarket and the sudden depreciation of theChinese currency. Then the interest rate hikeby Federal Reserve caused a correction inthe emerging markets. The year ended with asteep fall of commodity prices, especially oil.
And the Year of the Goat ended with thesharp decline of stock prices in January.
Investors who were unprepared were like
lambs to the slaughter. Who can blame them?Even Warren Buffett‟s Berkshire Hathawayadmitted they had the worst performancesince 2009.
Year of the Monkey: Who can tell what’s
next?
When financial analysts give very diverseviews on what 2016 will look like, this is a badsign. It implies they are simply fulfilling their duty to speak for their company, but deep in
their heart, it‟s likely they don‟t have a clueeither.
Those who make forecasts do not pledge to
take back their words when they make thewrong guess. That‟s why we prefer to talkabout „observations‟ here, not „predictions‟ .
What do the traits of monkeys mean for the property market?
Monkeys have a few characteristics that canperhaps give us a glimpse of the propertymarket in 2016.
Trait 1: Smart and Intelligent
According to URA, there are 5,736 launchedbut unsold private residential units and a totalof 23,271 unsold units from projects withplanning approvals. In 2016, there will be22,351 new units to be completed. Findingthe demand to clear the new and existing
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stock in a lacklustre market is like missionimpossible, unless developers and marketingagents possess supernatural powers to playmagic tricks like the Monkey King.
Like monkeys with high intelligence,developers will be using more creative waysto push projects this year. To stand out fromcompetition, they have to attract buyers withsuperior marketing, more aggressive
discounts and better unique selling positions.To avoid incurring extension charges and the
ABSD, developers will continue to use „clever‟ways to tackle projects that still have unsoldunits beyond the stipulated timeframe,including selling to subsidiaries or corporate
buyers in bulk, or delisting from the localstock exchange.
Advice from Property Soul:
The same applies to the resale and rental
market. Owners and landlords have to berealistic about their expectations. Smart onesknow how to attract eyeballs online with nicephotos after home staging which drives
buyers or tenants to send in their offers.
Don‟t think you can get rid of the middlemanduring bad times. Don‟t skimp oncommissions paid to property agents.Remember: When you pay peanuts, you get
monkeys.Trait 2: Curious and Adventurous
The monkey year started with the plummetingof oil prices and the Japanese stock market.Lots of drama is still waiting to be unfolded.
Like monkeys which are adventure-lovinganimals, the high volatility of the marketpresents many opportunities for speculators.Many will be tempted to rush in and make aquick profit.
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Others may be curious to know whether alternative investment strategies can work.Never mind the fact they are purelyspeculative. Monkey see, monkey do.
Advice from Property Soul:
1) Avoid getting your hands into any propertyyou can‟t afford.
2) Avoid getting your hands into anyinvestment you can‟t afford to lose.
3) Avoid getting your hands into any schemeyou don‟t understand.
Trait 3: Mischievous and Cunning
Monkeys are clever. But they can use their
intelligence in the wrong way. Although monkeys live in groups, they arealso known to be selfish and possessive.When a monkey finds good food, it produces
sounds to warn others of a tiger so that allmonkeys run away and it can safely enjoy thefood all by itself –faking at its best.
During uncertain times, people tend to lookfor second incomes that appeal to the needfor security. This is when deceitful high-returninvestments come into play.
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Advice from Property Soul:
Don‟t waste time monkeying around withunprofitable or money-draining properties.Don‟t hesitate to cut loss if you need to. If youhave to get a monkey off your back, talk tothe bank first before you really need to.
"Banks will lend you umbrellas on a sunnyday, but they will take them back when it ispouring." This is my favorite line from
Hanzawa Naoki, a popular Japanesetelevision series released in 2013.
My property investment strategy in the Year of the Monkey is to be defensive rather thanaggressive. The most important thing thisyear is not return. It is to avoid losing money.Less is more. Risk less and fail less.
May the Year of the Monkey be your Year of "Money"!
By guest contributor Property Soul, asuccessful property investor, blogger , and author of the No B.S. Guide to PropertyInvestment .
S GA O O 2 8
http://propertysoul.com/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://propertymarketinsights.com/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://propertysoul.com/
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Singapore Property This Week
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ResidentialHougang EC site sold for $183.8 million
A 99-year leasehold site situated at Hougang/Yio Chu Kang area attracted 10 bids in arecently closed tender. The site was won byHoi Hup Realty with a winning bid of $183.8million or $331.02 psf ppr. The breakevencost is estimated to be slightly above $700psf and the targeted selling price will be closeto $800 psf on average, said market experts.Last year, when the plot was launched,
property consultants had predicted that thewinning bid would be in the range of $260 to$340 psf ppr. Market experts also predictedthat there would be 5 to 14 bids. The plot is
projected to be developed into 560 units. Of these units, about 70% will be three-bedroomapartments, 15% will be four-bedroomapartments and the rest will either be two- or five-bedroom apartments. According to OngKah Seng from R‟ST Research, the results of this tender do not reflect that developers arebecoming positive. Instead, Ong believesthat bid prices were higher due to thelocation of the site. Ong Teck Hui from JLLadded that an absence of new EC supply inthat area and the significant potential
demand catchment from nearby HDB estatescould have encouraged bidders to view thesite positively.
(Source: Business Times)
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At least 4 GCBs sold since start of year
According to the Business TImes, at least 4Good Class Bungalows (GCBs) have beensold since the start of this year. Among thelatest is a bungalow along Peirce Road thatchanged hands for about $24 million or $1,479 psf based on the freehold land area of 16,224 sq ft. The two-storey property which islocated near Ridout Park was previously soldin 2006 for about $9.5 million. Other GCB
transactions include a property at Mount EchoPark which changed hands for $22.25 millionor $1,322 psf on 16,826 sq ft of freehold land;and another GCB along Yarwood Avenue wassold for $15.7 million or $971.35 psf. In 2015,more than $700 million of deals were
transacted in GCB areas. This exceeded the$626 million that was transacted in 2014.William Wong from Realstar Premier Groupestimates that GCB prices had fallen by 10 to15% in 2015. He predicts that prices will
continue to slip in H1 this year due to anabsence of positive stimulus. However, hebelieves that GCB prices will stabilise in H2this year.
(Source: Business Times)
TOP awarded to Tampines EC
The first hotel-inspired EC project,CityLife@Tampines has been awarded thetemporary occupation permit (TOP). The EC
which was launched in 2012, consists of 514units. About 90% of the units were fully soldduring its launch in March 2013. The EC willoffer hotel-inspired features such as homeconcierge service, an infinity pool and evencomplimentary WiFi at common areas.
Market experts believe that the hotel-inspiredfacilities and the strategic location of thecondo had contributed to its appeal.
(Source: Business Times)
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Non-Landed Residential Resale Property Transactions for the Week of Feb 6 – Feb 12
PostalDistrict
Project NameArea(sqft)
TransactedPrice ($)
Price($ psf)
Tenure
2 ALTEZ 603 1,210,000 2,007 994 THE INTERLACE 2,347 2,730,000 1,163 999 THE RITZ-CARLTON RESIDENCES SINGAPORE CAIRNHILL 3,057 11,600,000 3,795 FH9 TWENTYONE ANGULLIA PARK 3,348 12,052,800 3,600 FH9 THE RITZ-CARLTON RESIDENCES SINGAPORE CAIRNHILL 3,057 10,600,000 3,467 FH9 THE LAURELS 883 2,388,000 2,705 FH9 THE PATERSON 1,464 2,780,000 1,899 FH9 WATERSCAPE AT CAVENAGH 1,216 2,288,555 1,882 FH9 LEONIE SUITES 689 1,195,000 1,735 999 UE SQUARE 1,625 2,250,000 1,384 9299 CASA NOVACREST 1,582 2,000,000 1,264 FH10 ST REGIS RESIDENCES SINGAPORE 2,142 4,700,000 2,194 99910 THE LADYHILL 3,843 7,400,000 1,926 FH10 D'LEEDON 635 1,085,000 1,708 9910 SPRING GROVE 1,012 1,550,000 1,532 9910 JEWEL OF BALMORAL 1,345 1,950,000 1,449 FH10 BEAVERTON COURT 3,229 4,250,000 1,316 FH10 THE BALMORAL 2,885 3,650,000 1,265 FH10 DUCHESS CREST 1,561 1,900,000 1,217 9911 CUBE 8 904 1,450,000 1,604 FH12 IRESIDENCES 1,066 1,330,000 1,248 FH12 THE ARTE 1,873 2,200,000 1,175 FH
PostalDistrict
Project NameArea(sqft)
TransactedPrice ($)
Price($ psf)
Tenure
12 CRADELS 1,313 1,150,000 876 FH12 THE BELLEFORTE 1,658 1,350,000 814 F12 KIM KEAT HOUSE 1,066 820,000 769 F14 WATERBANK AT DAKOTA 1,130 1,710,000 1,513 14 STUDIO8 495 683,100 1,380 FH15 SUITES @ EASTCOAST 366 580,000 1,585 15 PARC ELEGANCE 431 600,000 1,394 F15 SUITES @ AMBER 840 1,050,000 1,251 F15 SANCTUARY GREEN 1,711 2,000,000 1,169 15 TANJONG RIA CONDOMINIUM 1,399 1,520,000 1,086 15 CRESCENDO PARK 1,345 1,438,888 1,069 F15 PEBBLE BAY 1,378 1,450,000 1,052 9915 EASTVILLE APARTMENTS 1,001 980,000 979 15 ALPHA APARTMENTS 1,152 1,128,000 979 16 THE BAYSHORE 1,259 1,180,000 937 918 NV RESIDENCES 743 800,000 1,077 918 TAMPINES COURT 1,690 830,000 491 1019 A TREASURE TROVE 1,130 1,168,000 1,033 19 A TREASURE TROVE 1,335 1,350,000 1,011 19 A TREASURE TROVE 1,206 1,208,000 1,002 19 PARC VERA 1,141 1,080,000 947 9919 THE QUARTZ 1,163 1,078,000 927 99
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NOTE: This data only covers non-landed residential resale propertytransactions with caveats lodged with the Singapore Land Authority.Typically, caveats are lodged at least 2-3 weeks after a purchaser
signs an OTP, hence the lagged nature of the data.
PostalDistrict
Project NameArea(sqft)
TransactedPrice ($)
Price($ psf)
Tenure
19 CHILTERN PARK 1,249 1,110,000 889 99
19 RIVERVALE CREST 1,668 980,000 587 99
20 COUNTRY GRANDEUR 1,442 1,520,000 1,054 FH
20 BISHAN POINT 936 950,000 1,014 9921 JARDIN 1,259 1,400,000 1,112 FH
21 SIGNATURE PARK 1,033 1,145,000 1,108 FH
21 SOUTHAVEN II 1,507 1,500,000 995 999
21 HIGH OAK CONDOMINIUM 1,658 1,180,000 712 99
22 THE LAKEFRONT RESIDENCES 710 968,000 1,363 99
22 THE LAKEFRONT RESIDENCES 710 930,000 1,309 99
23 HAZEL PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,378 1,285,000 933 999
23 MAYSPRINGS 915 805,000 880 99
26 BULLION PARK 1,238 1,250,000 1,010 FH
26 BULLION PARK 807 810,000 1,003 FH
27 ORCHID PARK CONDOMINIUM 893 690,000 772 99
27 ORCHID PARK CONDOMINIUM 980 710,000 725 99
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