singapore property weekly issue 232
TRANSCRIPT
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Issue 232Copyright © 2011-2014 www.Propwise.sg . All Rights Reserved.
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CONTENTS
p2 Secrets to My Investment Success
p7 Singapore Property News This Week
p11 Resale Property Transactions
(October 14 – October 20 )
Welcome to the 232 th edition of theSingapore Property Weekly .
Hope you like it!
Mr. Propwise
FROM THE
EDITOR
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By Gerald Tay (guest contributor)
I’m probably not being modest in this post.Pardon me if I sound overly boastful on thesuccess I had with my real estate investments
over the last 14 years. It is to help youunderstand the key differences betweenbeing a mediocre and a truly successfulinvestor.
All of my real estate investments over theyears have made more than a 20% a year
compounded return per property. Some evenhigher. The returns comes from sales and netrental income of the properties.
Secrets to My Investment Success
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Since late 2012 I’ve sent many warnings tobuyers – be extremely cautious or avoidbuying local and overseas investmentproperties. My predictions were proven rightfor the local property market. Today, propertyprices and rents are slowly falling and theworse is yet to come. I believe if a buyer were to have bought into the peak of 2013,they would very likely not see reasonablereturns for many decades.
Guts and conviction to be different fromthe crowd
In 2010, my US partners and I started lookinginto US Real Estate (RE) for great buyingopportunities. We were eagerly seeking co-
investors to snap up under-valued US RE –direct from seller and resale only.
One especially undervalued propertysegment is US Commercial RE. The market
is hugely untapped and shunned by manyordinary US investors. The complexitiesinvolved with buying into such large-scaleproperties are very different from buying aresidential property. Price is another factor asmany could not afford the hefty price tag thatcomes with Commercial RE. Priceseasilyranged from US$2 million and upwards.Comparatively, the price of a quality USSingle-Family Home costs $150,000 onaverage.
Furthermore, banks do not easily grant loansto buyers with zero experience in CommercialRE. Sellers will also reject an inexperiencedbuyer’s LOI (Letter of Intent) as they are
afraid the deal will not go through because of the complexities involved in handling suchproperties, and market negativity from a faileddeal will affect their selling price afterwards.
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Therefore, many inexperienced buyers divedinto the “safe” US residential market instead,driving up home prices. The US CommercialRE market remains today an excellent
investment prospect for savvy andknowledgeable investors. These propertiesare tenanted by large USCompanies (Citibank, Burger King, Dollar Tree, Home Depot, etc) listed on US stockexchanges. They are largely undervalued inprice and rental income.
In 2011, I urged investors to look into thisoverseas market segment as I was confidentwe would get good and stable returns over the next five years and beyond.
Many property buyers don’t know better
First example: Everyone I knew investinginto the US real estate market was either
jumping into expensive cities like New York or were buying into bankrupt cities like Detroit.They thought buying a property priced at only$30,000 was a steal. Overseas buyers of cheap properties often ended up with losses.
Second example: At one point the US dollar
went as low as S$1.20. It was the best time tosnap up quality US RE at a low price with thelow exchange. Instead, investors wereworried about the weakening of the US Dollar to the Singapore Dollar. Some were sayingthe US Dollar might even weaken further from
US$1 to S$1.
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In 2012, if you simply exchanged Singaporedollars for US dollars, you would haveprofited with a 5% per year compoundedreturn just on currency appreciation.
Third example: The Net Rental Yield (CapRate) in 2012 for US Commercial RE went ashigh as 8% per year for properties with stable,high quality tenants. This simply means thepurchase price was exceptionally low with a
high rental income. A buyer would get astable long-term tenancy with fixed leases,some as long as 20 years, and a yearly rentalincrement as stated in a contract.
However, amateurish investors tell me suchreturns were too low for them. They were
promised guaranteed total returns as high as20% for some overseas properties.
Our USA commercial properties are doingextremely well considering recent marketupheavals. My co-investors and I have seengood price, rental and currency appreciation
since we purchased in 2013. Valuation for one of our properties surged from US$2.2million in 2013 to US$2.6million in 2015. All of our US commercial properties are fullyoccupied with a 3% yearly rental incrementand new 5 to 10 year fixed leases.
Missing the woods for the trees
Successful investors are no different fromsuccessful entrepreneurs. Successful peoplereject popular thinking. They avoid going withthe herd. To reject popular thinking you must
be OK with feeling uncomfortable. To besuccessful, you need to see the woods andignore the trees.
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I’ve been successful with my investmentsbecause I:
Bought local Singapore properties duringthe down period of 2003 to 2006 whenothers were avoiding this
Saw old resale properties as greatinvestments while others rushed for newproperty launches
Loved adding value to my properties toenhance them
Invested in depressed USA assets
Bought when prices were low andavoided buying when it was going up
Sought reliable foreign partners for myoverseas investments
Every once in a while, a great opportunitycomes along and changes everything. And
you’re going to be very fortunate just to workon that one opportunity that may change your life.
I don’t believe in luck. Luck is leaving thingsto chance and the outside world. I believe intaking action and creating my own path in life.Your life is yours to create.
By guest contributor Gerald Tay, who is thefounder and coach at CREI Academy Group
Pte Ltd , an organization dedicated toempowering retail property investors withsmarter investing philosophy and strategies.He is a full-time investor with over 13 years of solid experience in building his wealththrough Property Investment and is financially
wealthy today.
http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/
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Singapore Property This Week
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ResidentialPr ices of comple ted condos up by 0 .1% in
Sep f rom Au g
According to flash estimates by NUS, theprices of completed condos have increased
by 0.1% in September from August.Nonetheless, prices of completed units in thecentral region saw a 0.4% drop in September from the previous month. Month-on-month,the Singapore Residential Price Index (SRPI)has recorded a fall in prices for five months
since April this year. Ong Kah Seng fromR’ST Research said that the price increase of small units of up to 506 sq ft in September was due to overall instability in the marketgiven the surge in completion of small units
since last year. HDB flat owners have kepttheir shoebox units vacant since their completions and may be more willing to let goof those units at a lower price now. EugeneLim from ERA Realty said that the increase inprices could have been due to a lack of major
project launches.(Source: Business Times)
M o re t h an o n e i n f iv e r es al e f l at b u y er s
appl ied for the Proximi ty Hous ing Grant
According to the Business Times, more thanone in five flat buyers over the past twomonths has applied for the Proximity HousingGrant (PHG). As income ceilings have beenraised to $12,000, about one in 10
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first-timer families and singles are noweligible for the CPF Housing Grant. Minister for National Development Lawrence Wongsaid that the PHG scheme has been
extended to all Singaporean families becausethe ministry recognised the desire to livecloser to parents and children is shared by aspectrum of Singaporeans, not just first-timer couples. According the MND, there were3,506 resale transactions over a two-month
period since 24 August this year. Ong KahSeng from R’ST Research said that since theexecutive condominium owners are not ableto rent out their flats in the first 5 years, theincrease in buyers may not be substantialdespite higher income ceilings. This isbecause these buyers may not be drawnaway from the private condo market.
(Source: Business Times)
GCB transact ions totals $177 mil l ion in Q3
In Q3, 9 good class bungalows (GCB)changed hands. This translated to about $177million in total, down from the $282 millionthat was amassed from the sale of 11 GCBsin Q2. In the first 9 months of this year, theGCB sale tally stands at 24 deals totalling$554 million. This was higher than the $511million transacted in the same time period a
year ago. Among the GCBs sold in Q3 thisyear, a freehold bungalow at Tanglin Hillchanged hands for $25 million or $1,539 psf.Samuel Eyo from Christie’s International RealEstate believes that this price was reasonableconsidering the location of the house and also
the cost needed to rebuild it.(Source: Business Times)
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Commercial
No bids accepted for Ubi indus t r ial s i te
HDB has declined bids for an industrial
development site at Ubi because the pricesoffered were too low. The site, which waslaunched for tender in June this year, is 0.6ha large and has been zoned for Business 1use. It has a lease term of 30 years and amaximum gross plot ratio of 2.5. A total of 5
bids were placed for the site, and the highestbid was placed at $19.9 million or $120.91 psf ppr. Tan Boon Leong from Colliers said thatthe pricing was reasonable due to theoversupply of industrial spaces.
(Source: Business Times)
Warehouse bu i ld ings a t Tampines up fo r
sale
Two adjacent multi-storey warehousebuildings at Tampines have been put up for sale. The properties may be bought jointly or separately, and both have been zoned for Business 2 use. The sites have a plot ratio of 1.4 and have balance lease tenures of 22years. Shaun Poh from Cushman & Wakefieldsaid that the buildings would be ideal for end-users such as e-commerce and logisticscompanies that want to operate from their own buildings. The buildings are notsubjected to rules imposed by JTC since theysit on private land. Their combined indicative
pricing is about $70 million and theexpression of interest exercise will close on 4December.
(Source: Business Times)
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Non-Landed Residential Resale Property Transactions for the Week of Oct 14 – Oct 20
PostalDistrict
Project NameArea(sqft)
TransactedPrice ($)
Price($ psf)
Tenure
2 SPOTTISWOODE PARK 1,270 800,000 630 99
4 TERESA VILLE 1,927 2,150,000 1,116 FH5 THE PEAK@BALMEG 1,948 2,500,000 1,283 FH
5 DOVER PARKVIEW 1,249 1,350,000 1,081 99
5 THE SPECTRUM 1,292 1,310,000 1,014 FH
5 DOVER PARKVIEW 969 980,000 1,012 99
8 MERA SPRINGS 1,292 1,708,000 1,322 FH
8 PRISTINE HEIGHTS 850 1,075,000 1,264 FH
9 CENTENNIA SUITES 2,271 5,100,000 2,246 FH
10 ARDMORE PARK 2,885 8,500,000 2,947 FH
10 ARDMORE PARK 2,885 8,300,000 2,877 FH10 NATHAN SUITES 1,776 3,150,000 1,774 FH
10 ASTRID MEADOWS 1,356 2,200,000 1,622 FH
10 MONTVIEW 1,507 2,130,000 1,413 FH
10 CHARMING GARDEN 1,808 2,550,000 1,410 999
10 DORMER PARK 1,270 1,680,000 1,323 FH
10 DUCHESS CREST 1,841 2,200,000 1,195 99
14 ESTA RUBY 1,130 1,450,000 1,283 FH
14 LE CRESCENDO 1,539 1,750,000 1,137 FH
15 THE BELVEDERE 1,259 2,050,000 1,628 FH15 COSTA RHU 2,239 2,900,000 1,295 99
15 AMBER RESIDENCES 1,798 2,320,000 1,291 FH
15 KINGS APARTMENTS 1,173 1,200,000 1,023 FH
15 JOO CHIAT MANSIONS 1,238 1,130,000 913 FH
15 VILLA MARINA 2,314 1,755,000 758 9 9
16 CASA MERAH 1,345 1,525,000 1,133 99
PostalDistrict
Project NameArea(sqft)
TransactedPrice ($)
Price($ psf)
Tenure
16 COUNTRY PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,087 1,180,000 1,085 FH
16 CASA MERAH 1,227 1,330,000 1,084 9916 BAYSHORE PARK 936 800,000 854 99
16 APOLLO GARDENS 2,120 1,659,600 783 FH
16 KEW GREEN 3,025 2,050,000 678 99
17 FERRARIA PARK CONDOMINIUM 1 ,087 1 ,020 ,000 938 FH
17 WATERCREST 1,324 1,090,000 823 999
18 WATERVIEW 4,402 2,550,000 579 99
19 A TREASURE TROVE 1,044 1,200,000 1,149 99
19 A TREASURE TROVE 1,044 1,150,000 1,101 99
19 KOVAN MELODY 1,292 1,400,000 1,084 9919 CHILTERN PARK 1,518 1,385,000 913 99
20 THE GARDENS AT BISHAN 883 908,888 1,030 99
20 BRADDELL VIEW 1,701 1,330,000 782 99
21 THE CASCADIA 1,238 1,830,000 1,478 FH
21 GARDENVISTA 1,130 1,428,000 1,263 99
21 THE RAINTREE 1,313 1,330,000 1,013 99
22 PARC VISTA 1,281 1,025,000 800 99
22 IVORY HEIGHTS 1,668 1,150,000 689 100
26 SEASONS PARK 1,292 1,130,000 875 99
27 ORCHID PARK CONDO MINIUM 1,152 880,000 764 99
NOTE: This data only covers non-landed residential resale propertytransactions with caveats lodged with the Singapore Land Authority.Typically, caveats are lodged at least 2-3 weeks after a purchasersigns an OTP, hence the lagged nature of the data.
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