Short – term statistics and seasonal adjustment in Azerbaijan

Yusif Yusifov, Head of division Industry, transport

and communication statisticsState Statistical Committee of the Republic of Azerbaijan

yusify@azstat.org

24 Yanvar 2011 1

Assessment of needs

Priority of integration of official statistics of Azerbaijan to European standards

Increasing of demands of users on Business statistics International organizations: UN, IMF and etc. Government institutions Other users: questionnaires, letters and etc.

Twinning projects of EC State Program on improvement official statistics

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Assessment of situation before 2010

Not clear business statistics Different approach of frame of BS Different approach organization of

surveys and collection of data Nor covered all indicators on BS Not coordination of BS and publication

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Initials to building BS

Learning of regulations and recommendations of European Union

Support of Twinning project Learning of experience of Bulgaria and

Germany Study visit and expert missions Training on BS Analyze of availability of indicators

4

Practical steps by statistics of Azerbaijan

Decisions of State Statistical Committee: Improvement of questionnaires Coordination of data Publication of data

Creating of working group Preparation of indicators system on BS (STS

and SBS)

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Classifications for BS

National Classification of Economic Activities

- NACE Rev.2 and NACE Rev.1.1 National Product Classification by

activity - CPA-2003 and CPA-2008 Nomenclature of industrial production - PRODCOM Classification of regions of Azerbaijan Register of statistical units

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Industry – B to E (13 indicators) Construction – F (14 indicators) Retail trade and repair– G (3

indicators) Market services -H to R (2

indicators)

Short-term Business Statistics: frame by NACE

Availability of STS indicators (1)

By industry statistics – 13 indicators 110 Production - 120 Turnover 121 Domestic turnover 122 Non-domestic turnover 130 New orders received 131 Domestic new orders 132 Non-domestic new orders 210 Number of persons employed 220 Hours worked 230 Gross wages and salaries 310 Output prices 311 Output prices of the domestic market 312 Output prices of the non-domestic market

Availability of STS indicators (2)

By construction statistics – 14 indicators 110 Production 115 Production of building construction 116 Production of civil engineering 130 New orders received 135 New orders received for building construction 136 New orders received for civil engineering 210 Number of persons employed 220 Hours worked 230 Gross wages and salaries 320 Construction costs 321 Material costs 322 Labour costs 411 Building permits: number of dwellings 412 Building permits: square metres of useful floor area or alternative size

measure

Availability of STS indicators (3)

By retail trade and repair statistics – 3 indicators 120 Turnover 210 Number of persons employed 330 Deflator of sales

By market services statistics – 2 indicators 120 Turnover 210 Number of persons employed

Seasonal adjustment

Carried out via X12 ARIMA By Industry statistics - since 2009 Trade statistics – since 2009 Price statistics – since 2009 Construction statistics – since 2010

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Problems on STS and seasonal adjustment

Short-term statistics Integration (unification) of questionnaires

Different time for collecting data (turnover, labour) Creating of metadata, quality management Electron questionnaire

Seasonal adjustment Not confidence on accuracy of data Seasonal adjustment by NACE class and

aggregation Publication of data Implementation DEMETRA

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Thanks !

Questions?