TAB 51

SHOPP Ten Year Plan Maintenance Five Year Plan

Michael B. Johnson State Asset Management Engineer California Transportation Commission Meeting March 2017

California Streets and Highway Code (164.6)

• Requires Caltrans to prepare a Ten Year Plan for the rehabilitation and reconstruction of the State Highway System.

• Requires Caltrans to prepare a Five Year Maintenance Plan that addresses maintenance needs on the State Highway System

• The two plans shall be submitted in January of odd numbered years and will be the basis for the departments budget request and the adoption of the fund estimate.

California Government Code

• Government Code requires a “robust asset management plan” to guide the selection of projects in the SHOPP.

• The Asset Management Plan shall be consistent with Federal Law

• Performance measures and targets are approved by the CTC

Federal Law - MAP-21 / FAST Act

• MAP-21/FAST Act requires the development of a Transportation Asset Management Plan (TAMP) with National Performance Measures for pavement and bridges

• The TAMP Requires the implementation of Performance Management which requires performance targets to be set using the National Measures

• The TAMP shall include the entire National Highway System

Balanced rehab and

maintenance

Five Year Maintenance

Plan

MAP-21 Performance

Measures Robust Asset Management

Plan

10 Year Rehabilitation

Plan

Implement Performance Management

Aligned to Strategic

Goals

Threading the Needle

Differing Commission Roles

Document Authority Delivery Timeline

Five Year Maintenance Plan Receive a Copy of Plan Jan. 31, 2017

Ten Year SHOPP Plan Review and Comment Jan. 31, 2017

Transportation Asset Management Plan

Approve performance measures, targets and TAMP

June 30, 2020

Book Item Comprised of SHSMP Excerpts

• Commission Staff requested Caltrans excerpt the portions of the SHSMP related to the SHOPP Ten year Plan and Five Year Maintenance Plans

• These excerpts provide the Commission with the material necessary to address the Streets and Highway Code requirements

• Provides additional time for the Commission to approve SHOPP performance targets for the remaining SHS physical assets defined in the SHSMP

• The Department has attached the full SHSMP for the Commission

SHOPP Stewardship Needs (Unescalated)

10 Year Needs (Billions) All Others

$3.2

Pavement $18.6

Bridge Health $5.5

Facilities $2.9

Culverts $2.6

Emergency $2.8

120.0

100.0

80.0

60.0

40.0

20 Year Compounded Rate = 4.5%

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Highway Construction Cost Index

Escalated Need = $93.5 Billion

Highway Construction Cost Index

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

10 Year Compounded Rate = 1 %

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Escalated Need = $76.6 Billion

20 Year Best Fit Curve = 3 % 120.0

100.0

80.0

60.0

40.0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Highway Construction Cost Index

Escalated Need = $85.8 Billion

1.5

1.4

1.3

1.2

1.1

1

1 % Escalation 3 % Escalation 4.5 % Escalation

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Impact of Escalation on Needs Assessment

System Performance

Safety 17%

Stewardship 67%

Sustainability 10%

6%

SHOPP Investment Plan- $26.6 B

SHOPP Investment Highlights (10 Years)

• Pavement – Overlay over 10,000 lane miles / Rehabilitate 3,300 lane miles

• Rehabilitate/Replace over 5.3 million square feet of poor condition bridges

• Replace nearly 400,ooo feet of poor condition culverts

• Replace over 3,700 TMS elements and add over 1,600 new elements

Next Steps

• Request for comments (April 2017)

• Produce final plan (May 2017)

• Return to Commission for adoption of remainder of performance targets

Thank You