shi1111 hp eng
TRANSCRIPT
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Samsung Heavy Industries
Nov 2011 MOJAH 266K LNG Carrier (332m 54m 27m)
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Contents
Company OverviewGlobal Markets
Future Strategy
Stena Drillmax (219m 42m 19)
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3
Business Highlights
Order & Backlog
Risk Management
Financial Results
Construction Business
LNG Carrier (302m
50m
27m) & LNG FPSO(336m
50m
32m)
Company Overview
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Revenue & OP margin(KRWt) (%)
4
Business Highlights
Revenue of 2010
Offshore51%Commercial
Vessels 41%
Construction 8%
(KRWt)
Backlog as of Oct 31, 2011
Construction division excluded
Offshore54%
CommercialVessels 46%
(US$b)
EPS and DPS
(KRW) (KRW)
6752178
2899 2900
3848250
500 500 500 500
-
200
400
600
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Earnings per share Dividend
1.6
4.7
7.16.1
7.6
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.08.0
0
5
10
15
20
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
OffshoreShipConstructionOP margin
6.48.5
10.613.1 13.1
EPS DPS
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2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011.Oct
OffshoreCommercial Vessels
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011.July
RigsProductionLNGCContainerTankerOthers(Ferry, WTI)
5
Order & Backlog
(US$b)
Order backlog
New orders Details
As of Oct 31, 2011
Containerships(22%)
14.915.313.5
21.2
1.4
(US$b)
New orders
9.7
$14.9 Bil (50 Units)
Drillships(38%)
LNG Carriers(24%)
Production Facilities(22%)
Tankers(4%)
WTI(2%)
Containerships(10%)
Order backlog Trend(US$b)
26.3
42.1
48.7
41.139.340.7Drillships(31%)
Production Facilities(23%)
LNG Carriers(12%)
Tankers
(12%)
2011.Oct
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Risk Management
6
Building Event
Time Gap (months) 20 4.5 2.5 3.0
Currency
Receivables
PayablesRaw Materials
Main Engine
Machinery
Steel Plate
Bulk Parts
SHI focuses on minimizing profit volatility
Contract Steel cutting Keel laying Launching Delivery
: Hedging, order : Execution, delivery
Foreign currency exposure is fully covered through forward transaction at the stage of shipbuilding contract
Main Engine and machinery are ordered within 1~2 months of contract signing
No Hedge tools available for Steel plates, SHI put buffer in bidding price to cope with unexpected price hike
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Financial Results
(KRWb)Income statement
2009 2010 20111Q 2Q 3Q Yearly 1Q 2Q 3Q Total
Sales 13,095 3,330 3,035 3,146 13,053 3,500 3,153 3,407 10,060
ShipbuildingConstruction
12,261
834
3,144
186
2,790
245
-
-
12,073
980
3,253
247
2,920
233
-
-
-
-
Operating Profit(Margin)
794(6.1%)
216(6.5%)
260(8.6%)
264(8.4%)
997(7.6%)
379(10.8%)
324(10.3%)
217(6.4%)
920(9.1%)
Pre-tax income 855 256 281 281 1,149 377 349 204 930
Non-OP incomeNon-OP expense
6,2226,161
1,7951,755
940919
--
3,7733,621
3638
316
--
--
Net income 670 200 230 258 888 291 266 132 689
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Balance sheet
8
(KRWb)
Financial Results
2008 2009 2010(A) 2011.2Q(B) B-ATotal Assets 26,084 20,188 18,440 16,477 -1,963
Cash & equiv. Account receivable Advance payments
Hedge relatedInventories
2,4901,9992,880
12,796778
1,0853,8142,405
6,916579
1,2265,4441,663
3,370600
1,4494,4631,499
2,326671
223-981-164
-1,04471
Total Liabilities 23,760 17,347 14,343 11,936 -2,407
Advance receiptDebtsHedge related
8,632158
12,518
5,6582,7806,817
5,3292,2213,578
5,9131,4582,319
584-763
-1,259
Total Equity 2,324 2,841 4,097 4,541 444
Paid in capitalTreasury shares
1,154-674
1,154-671
1,154-662
1,154-661
-1
Total Liab. & Eqty 26,084 20,188 18,440 16,477 -1,963
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Business overview Main projects
As of Oct 31, 2011
Revenue and profit
Order backlog
Tril KRW
Building & Housing70%
Civil & Plant30%
Road Apartment
Office building
HotelTownhouse
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Revenue Operating Profit
(KRWb)
Incineration plant
Museum
Construction Business
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Global New Orders
Major Market Situation
- Commercial Vessels Market
- Offshore Market
Major products of SHI : Containership, LNG Carrier, Drillship and FPSO (clockwise from upper left)
Global Markets
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20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
'99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11.Oct
LNG CarrierContainershipTankerBulkerOther
11
(Mn. GT)
4635
77 7469
116
177
111
30
AVG : 36
30 31
AVG : 73
AVG : 135
Increase of Sea trade volume together with chinese effect had lead shipbuilding orders for 2003~2008
After sharp decrease in 2009, new orders has been normalized to the level of 2003~2005
The orders of specialized vessels such as Drillship, LNGC and oversized Containership are increasing
76
43
Historical Orders by Shiptype and Countries
Korea
China
Japan
Global New Orders
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Fleet vs backlogFreight index
Source: Clarkson, as of Oct, 2011
Fleet(A)
OldFleet(20yrs)
Backlog(B) B/A
Bulk Carriers 310 78 126 41%
Tankers 259 23 52 20%
Source: Clarkson, as of Oct, 2011
(Mn. G/T)
Order trends and M/S by country
11,459
2,018
08/1/2 08/9/2 09/5/2 10/1/2 10/9/2
120
51
B D I
W S
19%
49%
24%8%
Korea ChinaJapan Others
(Mn. G/T)
[Bulk Carriers]
(Mn. G/T)
[Tankers]
51%29%
12% 8%
Korea ChinaJapan Others
136
177 165 151 146
0
20
40
60
80
100
020406080
100120140160180200
'07 '08 '09 '10 '11(E)
BacklogDeliveryNew order
93 100
7868 64
0
20
40
60
80
100
020406080
100120140160180
200
'07 '08 '09 '10 '11(E)
BacklogDeliveryNew order
Bulk Carriers & Tankers :
11/10/28
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Normal Slow steam
Speed(knots) 23 18.5
Voyage DaysCharter cost(A)
561.7
702.1
Fuel consumption(Ton/day)Fuel cost(B)
2005.1
1053.6
Total cost (A+B) 6.8 5.7(-16%)
CO2(th. Ton.) 24.4 17.4(-29%)
Cost comparison by speed
* 6,000TEU, Bunker-C: 650$/T, Charter Cost: $30,000/day
Fuel & charter cost($/Ton)
Cost Saving by Big-Sized vessel
Source: Drewry, Daesin Securities, 80% operation basis
(%) 8,000TEU 12,000TEU
Fuel Consumption/Day 230Ton 260Ton
Fuel Cost/Day $150,000 $169,000
Annual Cost (a) $43.2mil $48.7mil
Fixed Cost (b)(Capital Cost)
$23.6mil($11.5mil)
$32.8mil($16.5mil)
Total Cost/year(a+b) $66.8mil $81.5mil
Cost/TEU $8,350 $6,791
Comparison - 18%
Source: Clarkson, KMI
Containerships :
New Order & Delivery
Source: Clarkson, as of Oct 2011
(mil.GT)
1,406
596
720 645
0
200
400
600
800
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
'07.1 '07.7 '08.1 '08.7 '09.1 '09.7 '10.1 '10.7 '11.1 '11.10
HRCIBunker-C
($/Ton)
1311 11
104
-9
12
8
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
0
5
10
15
20
2530
35
40
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11(E)
New OrderDeliveryTrade Growth
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50
70
90
110
130
150
170
190
Korea Japan China
171
52 554 3 5
Delivery Backlog
LNG Demand & LNGC Fleet Forecast
14
Energy Consumption & LNG Trading
Source: BP
(MTOE)
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09
Oil (35%)
Natural Gas (24%)
Coal (29%)
Hydro(7%)
Nuclear (5%)
2.2 Bil.Ton(consumption)
Pipeline470(72%) Trading
650
(Mil.Ton , 09)
LNG180(28%)
Source: BP, Andy Flower
Economical
Eco-Friendly
LNGC Global M/S
(units)
87%
5% 8%
Source: SHI, 2000~2011.Oct
LNG Carriers
100 110 130 154165
221 248279
316
359
410
128139
176223
299363
429495
574
662
749
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
-50
100150200250300350
400450
'00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 '12F '14F '16F '18F '20F
LNG Demand
LNGC Fleet
Mil.ton (units)
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LNG Production & Supply Chain
Production
Facilities
Liquifaction
FacilitiesLNG Carrier Storage &
RegasficationGas FieldLNG FSRU
LNG RV
End
User
LNGC
LNG FPSO
LNG Derivatives :
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LNG FPSO
Supply Plan 10 vessels for 15 years(5 Bil $/ vessel)
Target Field Australian northwest area
Capacity 3.5 mtpa
Storage 450k cbm
Progress Status 1 st Vessel Contracted
Why LNG FPSO?
Capex Forecast for FLNG
Source: FlexLNG
Natural gas
Pre-treatment
Liquefaction
Shell LNG FPSO Project
LNGFPSO
Less Capex[25%]
Mobility[cover more reserves]
Traditionalonland plant
+
0
3
6
9
1215
18
21
'10 '11(E) '12(E) '13(E) '14(E) '15(E) '16(E) '17(E) '18(E) '19(E) '20(E)
(US$b)
LNG FPSO Market
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Offshore Market
Supply Increase in Deep Water
Source: Energyfiles1930 1950 1972 1993 2007 2014 2030
Global Oil Supply 1930~2030(mil barrels oil/d)
Conventional Onshore
Deep Water
Shallow Water
Oil Sands
00 10 25(E) 2% 8.5% 13%
Deep Water Development Regions
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2000 2005 2010 2015F 2020F 2025F 2030F
shallow water(mil. barrels oil/d) (mil. barrels oil/d)
Shallow water
Deep water
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
20
17
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011F 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F
(US$b)
Global Deep Water Capex
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Korea Singapore China Others
DrillshipSemi SubJack-up
18
Jack-ups
Drillship
Semi-submersible
Rig Types
D e e p W a t e r
S h a l l o wW
a t e r
Order History & M/S by country
Jack-ups21%
Drillships46%
Semi-sub33%
2005~2011.4, Floating rig, value based (source : RS Platou, SHI)
(52%) (30%) (7%)(11%)
90.0US$bOrders
Deep Water Rig orders
Drilling Rig
29
1519
26
31
10
1912
10
1
3
4
0
5
10
15
20
2530
35
40
'05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11.Oct
semi-sub
drillship
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Korea Singapore China Japan Others
Barge TLP
Semi FPSO
19
F.P.U
F.P.S.O
Fixed Platform
Facility Types
D e e p W
a t e r
S h a l l o wW
a t e r
FPSO 66%Semi 16%
TLP 13%
Barge 5%
1996~2011.4, Floating Facilities, number based (Source : IMA, Clarkson)
130UnitOrder
(44%) (28%)(2%)(14%) (12%)
Order History & M/S by country
Order forecast for Deep Water Facilities
2011(F) 2012(F) 2013(F) 2014(F) 2015(F)
New Demand 12 15 17 5 5
Replacement - - 5 10 15
Total 12 15 22 15 20
Order Forcast(*) 6 8 11 8 10
Amount(mil $) 6,600 8,250 12,100 8,250 11,000
Source: BP, Energyfiles, *: New Construction 50%, Conversion 50%
(unit)
Production Facility
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Technological Leadership
Green Future
Competitiveness
Globalization Strategy
Sakhalin fixed platform built by SHI
Future Strategy
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Growing environmental awareness creating eco-friendly product markets
Innovative technology and shrinking oil reserves are triggering new Arctic oil production era
Increasing demand for new products provides SHI with new business opportunities
LNG FSRU
Ice DrillshipIcebreaking Tanker Ice Container
LNG FPSO CRUISE
Technological Leadership
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Emission
Tanker(115K) 1.4
LNGC (266K) 3.0
CONT(13,800TEU) 6.2
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,0008,000
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
CO2 Emission Reduction Target (EEDI)
22
CO2 Emission from Ships
Phase 0(2013~14)
Phase 1(2015~19)
Phase 2(2020~24)
Phase 3(2025~)
IMO 0% 10% 20% 30%
SHI 30% 40% - -
SHIs Eco-Friendly vessels are already designed toreduce up to 20%
IMO EEDI Regulation Concept
Source: MEPC 62th Meeting, Company data
07: 847
(Mil Ton)
Source : IMO MEPC 58/INF.6
20: 1,500
50: 7,200
(Mil Ton)
EEDI Baseline
Operation Allowed
OperationNot Allowed
Vessel Size(DWT or GRT)
C O 2 E m
i s s i o n
b y g
/ t o n m
i l e
GradualReinforcement
Rules & Regulation by IMO MEPC
Energy Efficiency Design Index for New Ships
Technical(EEDI)
Energy Efficiency Operational Index for All Ships
Operational(EEOI)
Emission Trading Scheme, GHG Fund, Carbon TaxMarket Based
* Effective from 2013
Green Future
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High Oil Price(Bunker)
co2 EmissionRegulation
23
Source: Clarksons
- Development of Required EEDI- EEOI
- GHG Fund, ETS, Carbon Tax
- 1990~2000 avg: $90/ton- Current price at 645$
Paradigm Change
Fuel Saving of shipsNeed for
In Technology
Fuel Efficiency becomes Everything
In Operation
Higher Fuel EfficiencyShip Design &
Structure
Propeller TechnologyEnergy Saving Device
PropellerTechnology
Rudder Bulb Saver Fin
Green Future
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ShipbuildingCluster
EngineeringPower
Global EcoTrends
Korean
Steel9%
Source: Clarkson
Global New Order in 2011(US$b)
24
Competitors Situation Korean Exclusive Position
Source: The bank of Korea, National bureau of Statistics of China
(USD/month/person)
-500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,000
4,5005,000
'01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20
Korea(USD)China(USD)
- Synergy Effect- Strong Supply-Chain
- Long Experience- Preoccupancy
Dominent in Hig h-End Vessels marketLabor Cost Comparison
Require much time to catch up technologically
Shipbuilding Market shifts to Offshore
Shipyard Restructuring, Lower Profitabiliy
Oversupply of Low-end Vessels
Steep Increase of Labor Cost & Currency appreciation
No more merits from Lower Ship price
- Best Technology- Extensive Preparation
Competitiveness
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Global base
Global production and engineering bases enable SHI to meet various needs for customers
OsloLondon
Athens Tokyo
KojeShipyard
Dubai
Rongcheng
Ningbo
Singapore
Houston
Shipyard Overseas subsidiary
Branch office
Malaysia
Houston
India
Moscow
Chinablock
factory
Ningbo (Start :1997)- 240,000 tons in 2008- 250,000 tons in 2010
Rongcheng (Start: 2007)- 56,000 tons in 2008- 300,000 tons in 2010
Offshoreengineering
center
Houston- Production facility
engineering design
India- Production facility
basic design
Shipyard joint
venture
Brazil (Atlantico Shipyard)- Assets US$780m, Capital US$220m (SHI:10%)- Suezmax, VLCC, Semi Rig Hull
Brazil
Globalization Strategy
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Site 3.3million Quay Wall Length: 7.8Km
Berthing Capacity: 23vessels
Dock 1 Dock : 283m x 46m2 Dock : 390m x 65m3 Dock : 640m x 98m
G1 Dock: 270m x 52mG2 Dock: 400m x 55m
G3 Dock: 400m x 70mG4 Dock: 420m x 70m
Offshore Facilities
Dry Dock No.2
Floating Dock 3
Dry Dock No.3
Floating Dock 2
Floating Dock 4
Main Building
Dry Dock No. 1
Floating Crane3,000 ton
3,600 ton8,000 tonShinHanne Factory
Floating Dock 1
Shipyard View
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This presentation has been prepared by Samsung Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. andcontains forward-looking statements, that are subject to risks, uncertainties, and
assumptions. The presentation is solely for your information, subject to change
without notice, and makes no representation or warranty, expressed or implied and no
reliability should be placed on the accuracy, fairness, or completeness of the information
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any losses arising from any information contained in the presentation.
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